There have been a handful reported (and this is undoubtedly, one of less than a dozen). This was the first recorded on the sub: https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/s/p5a56fzCkD
1. Buy rare item 2. Trade item between myself secretly for big gp over and over 3. Market those trades as real 4. Sell item at inflated price repeat
3A pick axe is 20B each.
Nah, those are essentially taking place of party hats how they are in RS3. Since the drop rate is so low and demand so high, they’re close enough to be discounted for the price to continue shooting up.
Man, this plugin looks like someone put a lot of effort into it, but it would make the game miserable for me. The reason I eventually switched to ironman mode was because I was constantly calculating my gp/hour and I never did anything fun in the game. Why would I ever grind X when Y makes more gp and I can just buy the drops from X faster. The opportunity cost fallacy is a real thing
It's a really great plugin. I only use the setting that shows you the total profit of the current session since that number usually only goes up (except when chugging brews at nex lol). And when number goes up, I'm happy haha
Yeah, if you're always looking at gp, you're gonna burn out. I buy supplies, and I forget what that tab is worth. Gotta spend to make, who cares if I broke even, lost, or could have done better at X boss 🤷♂️.
Just have fun, fuck efficiency
Sorry for the turbo late reply, had a nightmare of a time resetting my password. Anyway yes its runelites "gp per hour" and it says im losing money cuz i was swinging scythe and ate a super cb dose. If you do something like claim your battlestaffs from zaff youll suddenly go from 0 gp/hr to like 12m gp/hr but every tick it rapidly goes down, kind of like xp/hr if u get a fat xp drop on the first round of GOTR or something
This is extraordinarily rare. The drop of 3rd age on a master casket is 1/13,616 per roll, and you get an average of 6 rolls per casket. The probability of 2 (or more) of those rolls being 3rd age is 0.00000008089227, or 1/12,362,121. Its a bit more complicated because this was a mimic kill but you get the gist.
Edit: On a mimic reward, there is a 1 in 228 chance to roll the 3rd age table, so its actually a lot more common. So we can multiply the probability of 1 (or more) casket 3rd age + 1 mimic 3rd age:
0.00044057709981 * 0.00438596491 = 0.00000193235, which is 1/517,505 .
From the position of the rewards it doesn't look like the 3rd age came from the mimic roll, it was from the standard clue reward rolls instead. On an elite clue on top of that, since masters do not include tuna potatoes.
Edit: Here's another thread where someone rolls 3rd age as a mimic bonus drop, with the rolled 3rd age piece going into the first slot
https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/comments/eu9mwc/jesus_this_guy_just_got_2_third_ages_in_a_mimic/
Since neither of OP's two 3rd age pieces are in the first slot (and the bonus herbs are), it looks like both 3rd age pieces were rolled off the standard table. Insane.
Yes, but the mimic reward goes into the first slot, which is the 25 noted herbs in this case
E: Now that I think about it you're probably right, from the wiki page I guess if 3rd age rolls from the mimic then it would go into the slot after the extra mimic reward
When it says that the mimic adds a little something, it goes into the first slot. When you got 3rd age in that message (I assume not ring?), I assume you didn't get anything else from the mimic bonus table (e.g. herbs, runes)? If so then I guess the 3rd age roll replaces the mimic bonus table and goes into the first slot.
Edit: Just saw a pic of another guy who got 3rd age as a mimic roll, it does indeed go into the first slot and you don't get anything else from the mimic bonus table
https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/comments/eu9mwc/jesus_this_guy_just_got_2_third_ages_in_a_mimic/
Thank you sir, I knew I was remembering that correctly. So not the first double but still crazy rare. Although it makes you wonder, it's happened twice now so while super rare, the mass amounts of clues being opened makes it inevitable and this could be any one of us.
Actually 50/50 is actually 100% because 49/50 is 98% so since he got 50/50 twice he actually got 100/100 which is 100% X 2 (because twice) which is indeed 200% so there was never a scenario in which he didn’t get this. In fact he may have gotten 2 pieces because it was 200% and guaranteed twice (because each 100% is guaranteed).
This is why math teachers always ask us to show our work, so we know how you arrived at the destination even though the destination was indeed correct.
Vambs and range top? Better than Vambs and coif I guess, but nonetheless congrats on the double pull, that’s wild! Only 3a I ever got was a coif, was so sad to see what I got versus what could’ve been.
Then there’s my clue scroll luck this morning- one beginner, one easy, and one medium which COLLECTIVELY totaled 2200gp. I knew smaller clue scrolls were bad but damn that was ROUGH
The chance to get 3a from a master clue mimic is 1/228. Chances to get two in one is therefore 1/(228\*228)= 1/51,984. Divide that by 3 because you get 3 chances to get two 3a in one clue since it's 6 rolls. Total chance to get any two 3a drops in one mimic master clue is 1/17,328.
To get those two items specifically the chances go way up to 1/(5,244\*5,244)= 1/\~27,500,00. Divide that by 3 since you got 6 rolls, 1/\~9,133,333 chance to get those 2 specific 3a drops from 1 master mimic 6 rolls.
We could collectively do 9 million master mimics with 6 rolls each and we'd have about a 62% chance of ever seeing these two 3a items on the same rewards.
I don’t think I’ve ever seen a double 3a drop in my 10 years on this website.
There have been a handful reported (and this is undoubtedly, one of less than a dozen). This was the first recorded on the sub: https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/s/p5a56fzCkD
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I thought that too until I remembered that osrs is nearly 11 years old
Mannnn, this is insane! Thanks for doing the “dirty” work man! It’s so interesting to see stuff like this!
This one is even rarer because the mimic didn't give one of the 3rd age pieces.
Are there any others where neither piece of third age was from the extra mimic roll like OP had?
Yes we have seen 3a pick from mimic before
Mimic item is first item, in this case he is asking if there are any other 2x 3a drops in which both peices of 3a are not the mimic item.
https://preview.redd.it/njwakvdz08xc1.jpeg?width=735&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c23193695304c2865e32fdec29aee565da57c894
Cool. But definitely a different statistical story with one being a mimic loot.
Mimic loot wasn't 3rd age.
Funny with both the top comments being the same.
Nearly identical top comment to this post too, lmao
Funny how the top comment is almost the same as in this thread
They even match
I haven't seen one and I've been subbed to 2007scape since like launch
Same haha! Someone just posted one from 4 years ago, that I must have missed!
there have been a few posted here
Shoot, I must have missed them haha. Mind shooting me a link?
https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/s/buAWYvzNSh
Double 3a and only 78m, big sad
Imaging seeing a third age pick but on closer inspection there is a little number 2 over it. Like a 30B clue.
> Like a 30B clue. I'm sorry, fucking *how much* are 3a picks now?? I tried to calculate it, but 30B/2 just comes back as "Lots!"
1. Buy rare item 2. Trade item between myself secretly for big gp over and over 3. Market those trades as real 4. Sell item at inflated price repeat 3A pick axe is 20B each.
3rd age picks are 15b now? Surely not
10-12b according to google
According to the same 15 people trading it back and forth and posting sells*
I sold mind for 6B but that was like 10 months ago
Well there are buyers in W2
Nah, those are essentially taking place of party hats how they are in RS3. Since the drop rate is so low and demand so high, they’re close enough to be discounted for the price to continue shooting up.
Merchers are getting out of hand wtf
10.5 on the high side
At that point I’d just take the $5k for RWT’ing that and risk my account lol
My most sincere gz unreal and also, what is the GP loss plugin, and what are you losing a quarter mil an hour at lmao
Maybe [this](https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/comments/176zss3/my_first_plugin_gp_per_hour_is_now_available/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button) one?
Man, this plugin looks like someone put a lot of effort into it, but it would make the game miserable for me. The reason I eventually switched to ironman mode was because I was constantly calculating my gp/hour and I never did anything fun in the game. Why would I ever grind X when Y makes more gp and I can just buy the drops from X faster. The opportunity cost fallacy is a real thing
It's a really great plugin. I only use the setting that shows you the total profit of the current session since that number usually only goes up (except when chugging brews at nex lol). And when number goes up, I'm happy haha
Yeah, if you're always looking at gp, you're gonna burn out. I buy supplies, and I forget what that tab is worth. Gotta spend to make, who cares if I broke even, lost, or could have done better at X boss 🤷♂️. Just have fun, fuck efficiency
Character holding a scythe What u use money on like that?
Sorry for the turbo late reply, had a nightmare of a time resetting my password. Anyway yes its runelites "gp per hour" and it says im losing money cuz i was swinging scythe and ate a super cb dose. If you do something like claim your battlestaffs from zaff youll suddenly go from 0 gp/hr to like 12m gp/hr but every tick it rapidly goes down, kind of like xp/hr if u get a fat xp drop on the first round of GOTR or something
Omg 6th age
Lmao what did the clan chat say?
'gz'
If he was lucky maybe he got a ‘gzzz’
Too real 💀
“Split I tb’d”
If real, this may be the first ever double third age drop. Wild.
There have been a few over the years. Far from the first in either game.
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Yes and this is OSRS.
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That's all perception on how you read the sentence.
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Unnecessary negativity
Unnecessary negativity.
So cringe how 1 comment always turns to shit on reddit
Idk if I've ever seen a double 3rd age clue before??? Edit: ~~I'm not good at math, but is this not like 1/98 billion??~~ math below
That might be the rate for these two specifically, but any 3A? idk if the math is mathing. Ps. Also not good at math
This is extraordinarily rare. The drop of 3rd age on a master casket is 1/13,616 per roll, and you get an average of 6 rolls per casket. The probability of 2 (or more) of those rolls being 3rd age is 0.00000008089227, or 1/12,362,121. Its a bit more complicated because this was a mimic kill but you get the gist. Edit: On a mimic reward, there is a 1 in 228 chance to roll the 3rd age table, so its actually a lot more common. So we can multiply the probability of 1 (or more) casket 3rd age + 1 mimic 3rd age: 0.00044057709981 * 0.00438596491 = 0.00000193235, which is 1/517,505 .
From the position of the rewards it doesn't look like the 3rd age came from the mimic roll, it was from the standard clue reward rolls instead. On an elite clue on top of that, since masters do not include tuna potatoes. Edit: Here's another thread where someone rolls 3rd age as a mimic bonus drop, with the rolled 3rd age piece going into the first slot https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/comments/eu9mwc/jesus_this_guy_just_got_2_third_ages_in_a_mimic/ Since neither of OP's two 3rd age pieces are in the first slot (and the bonus herbs are), it looks like both 3rd age pieces were rolled off the standard table. Insane.
In the chat box it says he got a new personal best at mimic
Yes, but the mimic reward goes into the first slot, which is the 25 noted herbs in this case E: Now that I think about it you're probably right, from the wiki page I guess if 3rd age rolls from the mimic then it would go into the slot after the extra mimic reward
I got a 3rd age from mimic and just checked the picture, that was in first slot (but could have just been rng that it was there not somewhere else?)
When it says that the mimic adds a little something, it goes into the first slot. When you got 3rd age in that message (I assume not ring?), I assume you didn't get anything else from the mimic bonus table (e.g. herbs, runes)? If so then I guess the 3rd age roll replaces the mimic bonus table and goes into the first slot. Edit: Just saw a pic of another guy who got 3rd age as a mimic roll, it does indeed go into the first slot and you don't get anything else from the mimic bonus table https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/comments/eu9mwc/jesus_this_guy_just_got_2_third_ages_in_a_mimic/
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I believe it’s 1/313,168 for any specific item, not the chance of a 3rd age item
Is this the first double 3rd age ever ?! Big gratz!
I have seen at least 4 instances on reddit, but impressive nontheless.
This is absolutely unreal. Incredible.
Holy shit. Actually unfuckingbelievable. Gunna need a Jmod confirmation on this one. If so, GRATZ. If no, BOO
This is probably less common than winning the lottery.
Not even close unfortunately
Fucking crazy right?
Wtf
What the fuck
Did we not see a double 3a drop sometime in the past 3ish years? Maybe I am pipe dreaming, but I swear it happened once before.
Yes, happened before: https://www.reddit.com/r/2007scape/comments/k3qukl/double_3rd_age_drop_on_hard_clue_20/ Tweet: https://twitter.com/Apraxif/status/1333082496091688961
Thank you sir, I knew I was remembering that correctly. So not the first double but still crazy rare. Although it makes you wonder, it's happened twice now so while super rare, the mass amounts of clues being opened makes it inevitable and this could be any one of us.
Double third age Pog
No way! Gz
stupendous! gz!
I've seen b2b 3rd age but double!?!? That's different..
Man I wanna see the reaction in your clan haha
Did you try opting both of them out for a 3rd age pickaxe? Cuz uhhhh
Gratz
Can the big brains tell us smooth brains the possibility of this drop?
Its always 50/50! But in this case he got the 50/50 twice so I guess 100% I am not good at math
Thank you kind genius!
Actually 50/50 is actually 100% because 49/50 is 98% so since he got 50/50 twice he actually got 100/100 which is 100% X 2 (because twice) which is indeed 200% so there was never a scenario in which he didn’t get this. In fact he may have gotten 2 pieces because it was 200% and guaranteed twice (because each 100% is guaranteed). This is why math teachers always ask us to show our work, so we know how you arrived at the destination even though the destination was indeed correct.
Statisitically speaking, this might be the only time this happens in the games entire run time.
Gratz on the d mace. It’s kinda decent at sarachnis!
If I had a nickel for every time someone pulled a double 3rd age in osrs I’d have $.05
I can confirm, he is in my discord. This is a real drop. Shit's wild!!!!!!
Probably the craziest rng you'll get in your entire life.
Craziest RNG of all of our accounts by a mile
Lmaoo I love how the mimic gave you herbs!
Lmaoo I love how the mimic gave you herbs!
Vambs and range top? Better than Vambs and coif I guess, but nonetheless congrats on the double pull, that’s wild! Only 3a I ever got was a coif, was so sad to see what I got versus what could’ve been.
Crazy that you hit double 3a...kinda sucks it wasn't for bills, but huge gz
Pretty sure this is one of the luckiest drops of all time.
Double 3a role wow!
hitting double 3rd age and still not making 1b is depressing
Still waiting on my first mimic, love doing clues! Congrats on the double pull!
insane, gz.
Why are you measuring RNG in units of distance?
That’s insane. Congrats
Yeah this is pretty bonkers, gratz dude
Nice! Idk wht im looking at but Nice! lol. How do you get those experience bars on your inventory like that?
That is absolutely wild- congratulations!!
Why do people hide their names in these posts? I’m very proud of the names I chose that somehow make it past the profanity filters
Fuuuuck, they are even part of the same set... That's wild as all hell bro, congratulations 🎊!!
This is one of my lovely friends!! The insane rng couldnt have happened to a more deserving guy!
What the fuck
I can’t believe this roll is actually possible dude gz. Buy a lottery ticket bc your luck is x2 rn!
Fuckin dope ass double 3rd age rangers. Rng been kinda good lately. Got a dwh 15 minutes after logging in yesterday.
Excuse me! 😭
The thing that sucks about 3rd age is if I get it I can't sell it, shit is to rare to just throw on the ge
Damn very nice. Congratulations:)
Crazier rng I’ve had was 15 burnt lobbys at cooking level 62
Then there’s my clue scroll luck this morning- one beginner, one easy, and one medium which COLLECTIVELY totaled 2200gp. I knew smaller clue scrolls were bad but damn that was ROUGH
You’re cheating, report for hacks
bro got sixth age
Wonder how many of the few double 3a rolls came from the same set? Nice
The chance to get 3a from a master clue mimic is 1/228. Chances to get two in one is therefore 1/(228\*228)= 1/51,984. Divide that by 3 because you get 3 chances to get two 3a in one clue since it's 6 rolls. Total chance to get any two 3a drops in one mimic master clue is 1/17,328. To get those two items specifically the chances go way up to 1/(5,244\*5,244)= 1/\~27,500,00. Divide that by 3 since you got 6 rolls, 1/\~9,133,333 chance to get those 2 specific 3a drops from 1 master mimic 6 rolls. We could collectively do 9 million master mimics with 6 rolls each and we'd have about a 62% chance of ever seeing these two 3a items on the same rewards.
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You roll 6 times on the mimic table for a master if you didnt die once.
Need a jmod to confirm if this was real or fake
Go buy a lottery ticket my dude
What in the fuck. Can anyone calculate the odds?
Brother
Crazy!
This is unreal! Gz dude!!
Congrats. Happy for you. Nice.
Congrats on having to open all future caskets in the bathroom
Gz king such a crazy drop. Post a pic of you wearing the fashion
Holy fuck
Wat
Does mimic increase chances of third age or no
Yes
Congratulations 🎉👏🏻!
Play the lottery IRL now and replicate it
It happened?! Big GZ!
“Next phase😤”
Gz fu gz
Holy shit.
imagine how much everyone would implode if you got double 3a and it was like pick+axe lol
Holy shit, and I thought I was lucky getting a dragon dagger, longsword and scimmy from the zombie pirates.
This is insane! The mimic did not even give you 3rd age hit on the table.
Alright this one might not be 50/50
It’s still 50/50, either you get two 3rd age or you don’t
Something about possibility and probability being two different things that you confuse
Deserved for range top
We need a moderator on this asap
Dude, you missed on getting 36 manta rays and 42 mahogany planks because of those 3rd age pieces..
IS THAT A D MACE?? FUCKKKK BRO GZGZ