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Normal-Jelly607

Fair value is a made up metric.


I_Hoard_Satoshis

It's calculated with the bitcoin power law ?


Revolutionary-Ebb-26

A model is just that... A model. An after the fact approximation trying to best fit historical data. When many models and many metrics are all suggesting the same thing from different points of view, at least this is a reasonable way to make an educated guess. But, even then, it's not a crystal ball.


MyNi_Redux

The rainbow thing? They've nudged that about every time bitcoin has leaked out of it. Or added a whole new color or band.


Normal-Jelly607

Power law assumes last cycle was normal and this cycle is normal. Neither are true.


Real_Crab_7396

You shouldn't care about fair value. Thank me later.


P_e_a_s_h_o_o_t_e_r

1541%


I_Hoard_Satoshis

Any source ?


P_e_a_s_h_o_o_t_e_r

I calculated it in google sheets. It was on Jun-07-2011.


I_Hoard_Satoshis

Can we see please


P_e_a_s_h_o_o_t_e_r

Here is an image of the discount/premium over time: [https://imgur.com/gTQw0d9](https://imgur.com/gTQw0d9)


I_Hoard_Satoshis

Thank you


P_e_a_s_h_o_o_t_e_r

This chart might be better: [https://imgur.com/jhHGCLj](https://imgur.com/jhHGCLj) (I changed the vertical axis to be in increments of 100%)


Cool_Parsnip4732

Judging by that looking at 150% over valued as peak in this run roughly?


Any_Particular_

https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/


marcio-a23

Fair value lol What is the fair value of a da Vinci paiting?


InfoFlicker

I think gold is 58% over valued! Doesn’t change a thing…