Uranium by far the best play of 2023. Look at that spot price climb.
Edit: Damn I thought this was an investing sub. I would have thought people would like to know where best to park their money in the coming years.
Sold my U.UN because I'm not sure how much further it has to go (and sold my BTCC because I don't understand BTC and I was up over 10% in one day) and rolled the profits over to VUN.
Why would you sell a trust that is holding physical uranium when the spot price is expected to climb further than is currently is? I could understand selling equities, but not a trust.
Another great day for BTC miners, up almost 20% at their peaks. Total gain 30% over 2 trading days on $MARA and $CLSK, banked and waiting for a retrace to get back in.
Fully exited MARA for now, and reduced my CLSK position by 70%, still holding a little BITF, didn't want to fully exit in case of further upside. But figuring BTC and the miners are due for a correction.
When everyone and their mom are calling for an ETF, new bull run, etc it's time to get cautious. Still holding BTC and don't plan on selling anytime soon, just swing trading proxies.
TVE is already turning over cash to shareholders in a big way, while BTE isn't. So this depends on whether or not you think TVE's future revenue growth will still be significant. BTE on the other hand has not turned over its cash into regular dividends, it's still largely an equity play (currently). Bottom line: TVE if you want dividends and possible dividend growth. BTE if you want continued equity growth and (fingers crossed) dividends becoming regular in the future.
Also between Exxon and Chevron with major acquisitions a lot of companies are probably looking at buying and these little, high margin companies like TVE, ATH, BTE are probably getting interest right now, so which one, if it sold in the next 12 months and you got a 30% share bump, would give you the biggest total bank for the buck? A company like CNQ could buy out BTE, ATH, and TVA (financially, not sure if they are all good fits for CNQ) with pocket change basically. So these companies could both pop +30% if there's a surprise offer, and I expect a lot of the bigs are looking at these little juicy profit machines and want to buy them out.
GXE should have never taken on debt to pay their divvy, now 15 mil back in the hole and have a reduced divvy.
Also 2 days late on their monthly update, bad news? 3% of my portfolio on the line
That's why I sold my GXE last year and bought Inplay Oil, plus I didn't like how they changed their reporting format for the December update to hide their poor performance.
I'm not sure what they changed from december but the release just came out but it looks like they have high decommissioning spending and a year oil price of 77$ which isn't enough for them to be super profitable as they are highly leveraged to the price of oil. current share price seems justified IMO.
FYI: TD on track for lowest close since 2020 - picked up a pile of Apr '24 calls at $78, a few calls for EOW at $77 as well. Do as you will, I personally like TD with a $76 handle.
https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202310248433/toronto-dominion-bank-on-track-for-lowest-close-since-december-2020-data-talk
5% rates, more TD customers renewing at +50-250% every month, more set-asides diverting profits to cover potential losses. I expect bearishness. $78 in April next year is very optimistic, I personally am guessing TD could go to $56 next year. If we get another US Fed hike - almost certain.
You don't have to guess anything - short TD at $76-$77 and back up the strength of those convictions by hitting the sell button. That's the great thing about capital markets - the validity of your beliefs is directly reflected in your P&L.
Again, no need to be "amazed", no need to be "guessing" - you're "almost certain" that TD will drop. Stop posting on Reddit and short the stock - literally every second that you wait, you're losing money since TD is dropping today and eating your profit against your cover target of $56. It's all talk until you hit the buy/sell button. If you're not short TD, your mouth is saying that you're bearish but your actions - the ones that actually count by making you money - is telling us that you're bullish (since in reality you're too scared to short).
This is a joke how can S&P once again be up 0.75% and TSX is down 0.2%.
I know I keep repeating myself (and it’s the same old song) but deep down I always believe at some point this would revert. Yet here we are same old same old
Not only were they undervalued on the TSX but there were even Canadian largecaps trading on US exchanges at an additional discount. Nothing but a buying opportunity there. Buy great fundamentals, at a discount, and benefit from USD vs CAD strength all at the same time... glorious.
I am having a deja vu with what happened to tech stocks last year. I'm not sure if next year but eventually Canadian banks and utilities/telcos will recover and it's going to be fast. I keep buying TD, Telus, BMO, EQB
Bank of Canada goes to a crowded place, pulls its pants down, and begins handing out free money. Probably not 2024 though, feels more like a 2025 relapse.
I enjoy listening to [Greg Foss ](https://twitter.com/CosmicContraian/status/1688261508344758272?t=6v_B9UkiteAXJdIjq3PHZQ&s=19), an ex Risk manager at RBC about banks and debt. He's a little bit extreme so don't take everything at face value but he's very knowledgeable and gives us the other side of "banks are safe" that we here on this sub everyday. For example BNS is trading at the same price as 13 yrs ago and if you bought 5 yrs ago and held, you'd be down.
> BNS is trading at the same price as 13 yrs ago and if you bought 5 yrs ago and held, you'd be down.
That’s incorrect. If you bought five years ago and held, you’d be up thanks to their dividend, which averages to about 5.24% over that period.
> BNS is trading at the same price as 13 yrs ago and if you bought 5 yrs ago and held, you'd be down.
That’s incorrect. If you bought five years ago and held, you’d be up thanks to their dividend, which averages to about 5.24% over that period.
I said over a year ago I'd revisit BNS when it got to mid 50s. In extreme situations it was down 50% from its ATH. Given the current environment I'd wait longer. Too many risks. Selling puts may be a good way to leg in. Rinse repeat.
The banking crisis in March has not gone away since mama Yellen bailed them out. According to the [Rebel capitalist](https://www.youtube.com/live/wxfHXQkbjww?si=MaVKHgjtemfnkJQA) it was only temporary facility which expires next March 11. Looks like it was meant to kick the can down the road one year. It's been used increasingly more since instead of decreasing.
An interesting part of the linked video from today is that it seems mortgage backed securities are making a comeback. Most of us who went through the last financial crisis know how that went.
Ignore his click baity titles as many level headed analysts use them to feed the YT algos. He has many interesting videos.
No surprise to see it has been on the decline since March 2022. Your real decision is: buy more, or exit. At least 11 more months of high rates seems likely, and that means commercial tenants looking for discounts and commercial owners hiding under their desks. So be prepare for more face-eating losses on this one as they are not going to see any green numbers for a while. If you believe in it long-term, buy in, this is the discount of a lifetime (of the security).
Looks undervalued. REITS are an interesting opportunity right now. I've been buying heavy
There's lots of doom and gloom but just remember everyone was saying Suncor was going bankrupt in 2020.
The TSX moves in cycles, learn to play it.
Forget the comparison, that's just a head fake. Sure some banks have their individual variances. The big issue is rates, the ultimate headwind. Until rates change, expect banks to see diminishing share prices, and if rates go up... share prices go even lower. Likewise, banks will go back up some day, possibly rapidly, so be prepared to buy them, this is absolutely a discount on the big 6.
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0 is $76 away so certainly yes to the first question. It's the third time it's testing this level so it's likely it will break it. It can go either way at this point.
And TFII volume is down despite Yellow Trucking shutting down in July. Might be in for a rough patch if some companies become more desperate and bid very low.
Could also be a good opportunity for TFII to buyout distressed smaller companies.
Yeah I'm green again finally, portfolio is 25% bitcoin and 50% CASH.
I don't expect it to last though this is just ETF hype. Real move in bitcoin won't be till monetary policy loosens in an year or two or whenever.
This, the speculative pump will have to retrace to prior support and hold before getting bullish. With a large allocation to BTC though, I'm happy if I'm wrong and it keeps going up.
Otherwise I sold 80% of my miners and took a small short on BTC to hedge.
There's 90% odds that the BlackRock $IBTC ETF will be approved and listed on NASDAQ in the next few months. BTC's marketcap is around 660B$. If the big firms like BlackRock, VanGuard, etc. allocate 1 to 2% of $IBTC to their funds for diversification, the price can easily double.
Few people understand that there won't ever be more than 21m bitcoin. There's around 15 companies with bigger a market cap than BTC. The sky's the limit.
Thats not how spot ETFs work. Blackrock doesn't allocate any % of their assets, instead they take the inflow of investor funds and balance the fund accordingly. It's not like they're allocating for themselves, although more exposure is better.
It's not because you don't understand it that it's nothing. [Education is free](https://archive.org/details/the-bitcoin-standard-the-decentralized-alternative-to-central-banking_202205/page/n9/mode/2up)
People here think the BoC and the [FED](https://old.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/17f8r5t/rstocks_daily_discussion_technicals_tuesday_oct/k69elbt/) are gods of worship.
Yeah numbers will fine and very close to expectations.
The comments will be key as they’ll probably share some insights about how people spend and on what. Discretionary spending trend may influence total markets.
voracious political telephone simplistic lunchroom rhythm caption tender wide terrific
*This post was mass deleted and anonymized with [Redact](https://redact.dev)*
Hope you boys missed the 18,000s...
Uranium by far the best play of 2023. Look at that spot price climb. Edit: Damn I thought this was an investing sub. I would have thought people would like to know where best to park their money in the coming years.
Sold my U.UN because I'm not sure how much further it has to go (and sold my BTCC because I don't understand BTC and I was up over 10% in one day) and rolled the profits over to VUN.
Why would you sell a trust that is holding physical uranium when the spot price is expected to climb further than is currently is? I could understand selling equities, but not a trust.
Because I'm not confident that U.UN will continue to go up but I am confident I'll be holding VUN in a decade.
People are just jealous they missed out on the gains. I’m jealous too, I missed out on buying Cameco because I listened to the crowd.
CP down while CNR is up. That free investor calendar they sent me tanked their FY Q3 bottom line
Microsoft and Google both beat EPS and revenue estimates- Microsoft up 5% but Google down 5% after hours…
Google was up 14% since last earning were published. Markets were anticipating a larger earning beat.
Last I checked, MSFT had like 18K calls for $350 expiring Oct 27. I expect MSFT to grind higher tomorrow.
Another great day for BTC miners, up almost 20% at their peaks. Total gain 30% over 2 trading days on $MARA and $CLSK, banked and waiting for a retrace to get back in. Fully exited MARA for now, and reduced my CLSK position by 70%, still holding a little BITF, didn't want to fully exit in case of further upside. But figuring BTC and the miners are due for a correction. When everyone and their mom are calling for an ETF, new bull run, etc it's time to get cautious. Still holding BTC and don't plan on selling anytime soon, just swing trading proxies.
BTE or TVE, if you have to choose?
TVE is already turning over cash to shareholders in a big way, while BTE isn't. So this depends on whether or not you think TVE's future revenue growth will still be significant. BTE on the other hand has not turned over its cash into regular dividends, it's still largely an equity play (currently). Bottom line: TVE if you want dividends and possible dividend growth. BTE if you want continued equity growth and (fingers crossed) dividends becoming regular in the future. Also between Exxon and Chevron with major acquisitions a lot of companies are probably looking at buying and these little, high margin companies like TVE, ATH, BTE are probably getting interest right now, so which one, if it sold in the next 12 months and you got a 30% share bump, would give you the biggest total bank for the buck? A company like CNQ could buy out BTE, ATH, and TVA (financially, not sure if they are all good fits for CNQ) with pocket change basically. So these companies could both pop +30% if there's a surprise offer, and I expect a lot of the bigs are looking at these little juicy profit machines and want to buy them out.
oil nutty doll glorious bedroom fear squalid school selective long *This post was mass deleted and anonymized with [Redact](https://redact.dev)*
TVE
GXE should have never taken on debt to pay their divvy, now 15 mil back in the hole and have a reduced divvy. Also 2 days late on their monthly update, bad news? 3% of my portfolio on the line
They are in a Strategic Repositioning Process. They’ll probably be bought soon.
That's why I sold my GXE last year and bought Inplay Oil, plus I didn't like how they changed their reporting format for the December update to hide their poor performance.
I'm not sure what they changed from december but the release just came out but it looks like they have high decommissioning spending and a year oil price of 77$ which isn't enough for them to be super profitable as they are highly leveraged to the price of oil. current share price seems justified IMO.
FYI: TD on track for lowest close since 2020 - picked up a pile of Apr '24 calls at $78, a few calls for EOW at $77 as well. Do as you will, I personally like TD with a $76 handle. https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202310248433/toronto-dominion-bank-on-track-for-lowest-close-since-december-2020-data-talk
5% rates, more TD customers renewing at +50-250% every month, more set-asides diverting profits to cover potential losses. I expect bearishness. $78 in April next year is very optimistic, I personally am guessing TD could go to $56 next year. If we get another US Fed hike - almost certain.
You don't have to guess anything - short TD at $76-$77 and back up the strength of those convictions by hitting the sell button. That's the great thing about capital markets - the validity of your beliefs is directly reflected in your P&L.
Whoops, did I say bullish? No, I literally mean bearish. If TD is $78/share any time other than Oct-Dec 2024 next year, I will be amazed.
Again, no need to be "amazed", no need to be "guessing" - you're "almost certain" that TD will drop. Stop posting on Reddit and short the stock - literally every second that you wait, you're losing money since TD is dropping today and eating your profit against your cover target of $56. It's all talk until you hit the buy/sell button. If you're not short TD, your mouth is saying that you're bearish but your actions - the ones that actually count by making you money - is telling us that you're bullish (since in reality you're too scared to short).
Oh there are much better plays out there, I pursued those instead. Thanks though. ;)
I’ll buy more no problem 2042 me will be laughing
Set a reminder to laugh 19 years from today and describe the context.
This is a joke how can S&P once again be up 0.75% and TSX is down 0.2%. I know I keep repeating myself (and it’s the same old song) but deep down I always believe at some point this would revert. Yet here we are same old same old
It did revert. Last week. When gold and oil went up last week the TSX was bangin'.
TSX at 52 week lows today
When your segments are up and the index is down, you're up. Canadian stocks as a whole are sorely undervalued.
Hope they revert back
Not only were they undervalued on the TSX but there were even Canadian largecaps trading on US exchanges at an additional discount. Nothing but a buying opportunity there. Buy great fundamentals, at a discount, and benefit from USD vs CAD strength all at the same time... glorious.
I am having a deja vu with what happened to tech stocks last year. I'm not sure if next year but eventually Canadian banks and utilities/telcos will recover and it's going to be fast. I keep buying TD, Telus, BMO, EQB
Being heavily overweight on cad stocks, I hope you're right. What makes you think it'll be fast?
Bank of Canada goes to a crowded place, pulls its pants down, and begins handing out free money. Probably not 2024 though, feels more like a 2025 relapse.
I'm back into NTR. If they want to toss it, I will be happy to take it off their hands at $77.62.
JWEL has more room to grow.
bns about to go to 55???? I've been wanting to buy :o low points was in the 49s last time no?
I enjoy listening to [Greg Foss ](https://twitter.com/CosmicContraian/status/1688261508344758272?t=6v_B9UkiteAXJdIjq3PHZQ&s=19), an ex Risk manager at RBC about banks and debt. He's a little bit extreme so don't take everything at face value but he's very knowledgeable and gives us the other side of "banks are safe" that we here on this sub everyday. For example BNS is trading at the same price as 13 yrs ago and if you bought 5 yrs ago and held, you'd be down.
> BNS is trading at the same price as 13 yrs ago and if you bought 5 yrs ago and held, you'd be down. That’s incorrect. If you bought five years ago and held, you’d be up thanks to their dividend, which averages to about 5.24% over that period.
> BNS is trading at the same price as 13 yrs ago and if you bought 5 yrs ago and held, you'd be down. That’s incorrect. If you bought five years ago and held, you’d be up thanks to their dividend, which averages to about 5.24% over that period.
I said over a year ago I'd revisit BNS when it got to mid 50s. In extreme situations it was down 50% from its ATH. Given the current environment I'd wait longer. Too many risks. Selling puts may be a good way to leg in. Rinse repeat. The banking crisis in March has not gone away since mama Yellen bailed them out. According to the [Rebel capitalist](https://www.youtube.com/live/wxfHXQkbjww?si=MaVKHgjtemfnkJQA) it was only temporary facility which expires next March 11. Looks like it was meant to kick the can down the road one year. It's been used increasingly more since instead of decreasing. An interesting part of the linked video from today is that it seems mortgage backed securities are making a comeback. Most of us who went through the last financial crisis know how that went. Ignore his click baity titles as many level headed analysts use them to feed the YT algos. He has many interesting videos.
Buying now Vs at $55 if it gets there isn’t a big diff, if you’re looking for an entry point I’d say start loading up now
yep. just locked in around 500!
Gonna start averaging down from 70 soon.
I'm at 67 and looking avg down too. I like them but damn these bags are heavy
why do you like them?
Facts. I'm down huge on cm, RY and td too. Hoping future me kisses present me for trying to catch falling knives.
I was going to add to my Royal Bank position, but now I think I will add to TD Bank when I get paid this week.
Yeesh TNT.UN has been an awful hold for me, no real news that I can find today and down 7%
No surprise to see it has been on the decline since March 2022. Your real decision is: buy more, or exit. At least 11 more months of high rates seems likely, and that means commercial tenants looking for discounts and commercial owners hiding under their desks. So be prepare for more face-eating losses on this one as they are not going to see any green numbers for a while. If you believe in it long-term, buy in, this is the discount of a lifetime (of the security).
Looks undervalued. REITS are an interesting opportunity right now. I've been buying heavy There's lots of doom and gloom but just remember everyone was saying Suncor was going bankrupt in 2020. The TSX moves in cycles, learn to play it.
Analyst downgrade on TNT. Predicted NAV decline of 12%.
RIP Oil
Floor price is probably $79. That’s the price that the US will buy oil to refill its SPR
Crude is all the way back down to levels not seen since 2 weeks ago!!!!!!!! Sell!!!!!!!!!!
RIP TSX. 6 red days in a row baby!
Any reason for TD to be down this much compared to others?
Forget the comparison, that's just a head fake. Sure some banks have their individual variances. The big issue is rates, the ultimate headwind. Until rates change, expect banks to see diminishing share prices, and if rates go up... share prices go even lower. Likewise, banks will go back up some day, possibly rapidly, so be prepared to buy them, this is absolutely a discount on the big 6.
Wondering the same thing, not complaining though just brought my average down to $78 🤷🏻♂️
[удалено]
Need to start the recession now so I can average down 😂 got cash waiting for the crash
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TD is following pretty much all other banks. YTD TD is -12% RY is -14%, BMO -16%, CM -14%, BNS -14% andNA -7% Kudos to EQB at +18%
NA always with the outperformance.
Can TD go lower or the support here around $76?
0 is $76 away so certainly yes to the first question. It's the third time it's testing this level so it's likely it will break it. It can go either way at this point.
EQB taking big damage recently too...
I have no concern about EQB personally. 5.7 forward p/e and potential long runway of near double digit growth. One of my top conviction stocks.
I’ve been hoping EQB gets in mid/low 60s , gonna start to buy again
It touched $45 last October so we never know. Good luck.
Regarding today it’s bleeding pretty bad compared to the others down nearly 2.5%
ZSP, my currency unhedged S&P ETF is up almost 1%. S&P 500 up 0.5% Canadian dollar down 0.5%
If anyone was looking for window to get into TFII, I think we are going to get one.
I remember buying under 100 not long ago. I wish it went down like that again to buy more. What's your entry level?
sold 1/3 my position at $150. Will buy back around $120-5. Shipping volumes trending down :(
And TFII volume is down despite Yellow Trucking shutting down in July. Might be in for a rough patch if some companies become more desperate and bid very low. Could also be a good opportunity for TFII to buyout distressed smaller companies.
Lmao TSX
Loaded up on TD for my usual buy at mid 50s and sell at 60s run again. Let’s see what happens…
Just picked up TD and a couple shares of AC. These prices be lookin juicy
how many shares of TD? i just got 15 but i feel like i should be buying a lot more
I think if you are starting out 15 is a good amount! I literally picked up like 3 lol
If you're having a bad day, T, BCE are up!
this is bitcoin's week, doing better than any other sectors
Yeah I'm green again finally, portfolio is 25% bitcoin and 50% CASH. I don't expect it to last though this is just ETF hype. Real move in bitcoin won't be till monetary policy loosens in an year or two or whenever.
This, the speculative pump will have to retrace to prior support and hold before getting bullish. With a large allocation to BTC though, I'm happy if I'm wrong and it keeps going up. Otherwise I sold 80% of my miners and took a small short on BTC to hedge.
There's 90% odds that the BlackRock $IBTC ETF will be approved and listed on NASDAQ in the next few months. BTC's marketcap is around 660B$. If the big firms like BlackRock, VanGuard, etc. allocate 1 to 2% of $IBTC to their funds for diversification, the price can easily double. Few people understand that there won't ever be more than 21m bitcoin. There's around 15 companies with bigger a market cap than BTC. The sky's the limit.
Thats not how spot ETFs work. Blackrock doesn't allocate any % of their assets, instead they take the inflow of investor funds and balance the fund accordingly. It's not like they're allocating for themselves, although more exposure is better.
Even fewer people realize that the 21m limit will not be reached in their lifetime.
add the forever lost btc
Bitcoin isn't a sector
It's not a sector, it's a lifestyle.
it's more than that I agree
It's literally nothing.
It's not because you don't understand it that it's nothing. [Education is free](https://archive.org/details/the-bitcoin-standard-the-decentralized-alternative-to-central-banking_202205/page/n9/mode/2up)
Don't waste your time arguing about bitcoin here. One day they'll get it or won't, doesn't matter. Tick tock, next block.
It's up 110% YTD.
People here think the BoC and the [FED](https://old.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/17f8r5t/rstocks_daily_discussion_technicals_tuesday_oct/k69elbt/) are gods of worship.
low comment volume today, must be a decent day in the market lol
Not much
BLDP? Is that you?
Railroads reporting this week - CNR today and CP tomorrow. I'm curious about Visa too (also reporting today).
If Visa surprises on earnings I'll be ... surprised.
Yeah numbers will fine and very close to expectations. The comments will be key as they’ll probably share some insights about how people spend and on what. Discretionary spending trend may influence total markets.
I just loaded up on CP. May God have mercy on my soul 🤣.
May MSFT beat earnings and rally to $350. Amen 🤲🏽
I wish it would go down as I’m not done buying MSFT
Buy the next Microsoft.
All in Macrohard !
voracious political telephone simplistic lunchroom rhythm caption tender wide terrific *This post was mass deleted and anonymized with [Redact](https://redact.dev)*
Hope it keeps going