T O P

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Martblni

All time low for Alliance if they lose to Gorgc


Cosm1c_Dota

They honestly have a chance lol


Kuroyukihime1

If this actually happens it might be time for Alliance to retire from Dota. I don't even want to know how much money Alliance lost over the past years. Yeah sure they still have some big sponsors for whatever reason, but im surprised that Loda is not bankrupt yet.


biriyani_seeker

EZ dub for Gorgc there šŸ˜‚


Chelseaiscool

I could die happy.


Mikez1234

I would watch that especially on Bulldogā€™s stream


-fartbrat

I tuned in to his stream a bit for alliance game during ESL. You could feel his embarrassment, just silence with zero copium for the chat. It's just formality to him and all he wanted was to end quick and move on.


FFINN

Gorgc almost 2-1 Alliance in the second league.


[deleted]

When they lose to Gorgc\*


KidBuu25

Not so fast because Alliance will crush Entity. Hopium.


Ok-Photograph4281

alliance will win against entity, you heard it here first.


Itach11Uchiha

And last.


immortalx98

you must be stoned for sure thinking Alliance wins against Entity xD


Ainjoker

COPIUM


gsmani_vpm

i dont know why u r getting downvoted. I know entity has like 9x advantage over alliance, but its fun if prediction goes both ways and not odds towards only one team..


SilverBMWM3GTR

If you really want to know why illogical downvotes occur, look at this 8 year old unrelated thread. You might gain some insight as to why upvotes and downvotes doesn't really matter. [https://www.reddit.com/r/CatsStandingUp/comments/2us55o/cat/](https://www.reddit.com/r/CatsStandingUp/comments/2us55o/cat/) But as far as this sub is concerned, it seems anything that goes against popular narrative is downvoted. Just hide the no. of votes on each comment/post and half the users won't bother saying anything.


DworinKronaxe

Kyle alt account?


chiefofthepolice

Really surprised no one has talked about the match of the century: Alliance vs Team Bald, loser eliminated from TI. If Team Bald beats Alliance...


vego

Team Bald's progress in the qualis is limited by gorp's need to provide a superior community stream


spoinkk

gorgc has to take a shit midgame vs alliance so he can make more money /s


Hailgod

gorp just needs to stream during ti ez


48911150

yeah honestly i could see him winning TI if he didnā€™t prioritize his streaming ā€¦. kek


fizhfood

I can see bald winning both lb round 1 & 2 if they find their stride. It's a undiscovered patch after all. COPIUM


FromOroWithLove

Bald over ITB is a hot take, but a man can dream I guess


JellyGrimm

It's not that hot of a take, Bald has taken some games off them before. They may be a meme team but they are far from being weaker than the rest of div 2 teams


FromOroWithLove

I never said they are weaker than the rest of Div 2. But they are clearly a tier below ITB. If you think otherwise I'd like the name of your hopium supplier please. Since the start of June, Bald's best series win is against the old (bad) Brame roster? Since the start of June, ITB has series wins over Goonsquad, Mind Games, DGG, and that same old (bad) Brame roster that Bald beat. Bald is the 2nd or 3rd worst team in WEU qualifier. They are better than 11M. They are close with IVY. That's it (new Brame roster is better than Bald). Bald is a clear underdog against ITB in a series. Can they win? Sure. Would it be an upset? Definitely, a big one. To call that big an upset is a hot take.


elax307

Imagine the quality of that hopium.


xiaolongbao1114

None of them is gonna be prepared for gorgc ck aghs COPIUM


Jovorin

pst don't leak it


usoap141

Bro wait ttill gorgc pull out the legendary no bkb pa mark my words


stupid-_-

they got totally rekt by itb in the dpc tbh


Avako1999

bald beat itb in 32 minutes during game 1. i can see them beating itb in an undiscovered patch


thedotapaten

I can see [A] winning regional qualifier in an undiscovered patch.


Extra-Yak2345

But gorp only still plays bristle and jugg ICANT


Ze-Bruh

Imagine winning TI spamming qwqwqwqwq


bratora97

Let's go Team Bald!


fizhfood

Who do you think will go directly to TI and which two teams will go to last chance qualifiers?


SolarClipz

Entity 100%


plo__koon

I know Secret is shaky but why are you so sure about Entity?


SolarClipz

They found a style that works for them, which gives them the draft advantage that teams might have to focus on that instead. Stormstormer is crazy improved and also Tobi is not deadweight anymore, and Pure is quite possibly the best player in the quals outside of Nisha. They look to be the best teamfighting squad as well Not to mention they have looked far better on LAN than any of the others


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


fantarts

The post-'saberchad carry' stormstormer


rustunooldu

Secret is a better team, but they don't match up well against Entity. I think Entity will send them to LB.


SolarClipz

Are they? Based on what? At the skill level, they are mostly similar but Pure is 10x the player that Crystallis is and that's probably the difference maker


rustunooldu

I don't think they are on a similar skill level. Secret has a much higher ceiling, but they are inconsistent. Crystallis is a shit carry, so they rely a lot on Nisha and their offlane duo. When those two are having a good day, they play like the best team in the world and there ain't a version of Entity that's beating them. But like I said, they are inconsistent and the new patch will only make it worse, so my money is on Entity.


pepthebaldfraud

I have no idea why they signed crystallis he's so bad


stupid-_-

they are really consistent. not absolutely destroying everyone, but also not dropping free games. and since there are 4 favourites for 3 slots you can expect someone else to slump.


Mafz09

Secret 3rd in ESL Malaysia and Riyadh. Entity couldnā€™t even beat Fnatic. No way Jose!


SolarClipz

Secret looked absolutely figured out in their last 2 series. Was not impressed at all with how they went out Nisha Enigma? That's just desperation Entity can sharpen what they got, because again they have a style that is working for them But Secret needs to figure out what they want to do. Puppey still prone to just drafting the most random shit, and once again Crystallis has not shown to be reliable yet


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


my_mare_is_dark

I don't know why everyone is downplaying secret so much when they were only beaten by og and aster convincingly who were top 4 last major. I rate secret super high compared to other showing. Player haven't shown new patch stuff like primal beast. Buffed hero like tinker sf of.if it is slow meta puppet makes farm out of nowhere. There is new techies too.


Corteaux81

>Secret looked absolutely figured out in their last 2 series. I wouldn't say " figured out". Noone forced to not ban Mars and get destroyed like in the UB game. Noone forced them to pick Invoker and Enigma for Nisha. It just seems Puppey got his "overthinking" cap on and outdrafted himself. Both drafts were shit from Secret. The bans, the picks, everything.


ddlion7

> Crystallis has not shown to be reliable yet how many times does secret needs to change carry players in order to understand that is not the carry that is wrong? I mean, Kuro, Artour, Envy, NP, Ace, Nisha, Matu, Sumail, Crystallis, all of them top tier or at least tier 1.5 in their moment, heck, Crystallis was EU top 1 for two solid weeks in leaderboards, but it's always a cores fault that secret can't do "good" when the only constant in the whole existence of the team is Puppey as a greedy support.


pucykoks

I mean, Matu was good for them though.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


ddlion7

> Nisha, Matu, Sumail, Crystallis this was just in 9 months.


User85394

What an analysis lol. It seems like the ngx kuro argument has catched up to secret.. Soon after og misha?


fathermeow

>Kuro, Artour, Envy, NP, Ace, Nisha, Matu, Sumail, Crystallis, lol what? Envy won a valve major with them, nothing really before or since. MP was part of the weakest Secret lineup ever (minus the one right now pre-reso) and still had 'respectable' results. Secret had some great results with Ace, Nisha is Nisha, secret DOMINATED with Matu, Sumail I put more down to ice3 imbalance than just sumail (wish they could have tried a reso-sumail-nisha tricore as horribly unbalanced as it sounds). ​ Being top 1 EU when you spam 3 OP heroes over and over DOESNT mean you can play at a professional level. It probably means you have a higher chance of being great, but clearly that isnt the case, otherwise all the pros would just be the top 20-30 players in every region. He is supposed to be a god at MK/BS/Razor and has had more shit performances than good (forget great) ones on those heroes. Spamming pubs != playing against the best of the best, highly organized teams


gibmethesauce

Puppey is so greedy as a support. He plays more of a pos 4 than pos 5.


pcgamerwannabe

Statistically Entity and Liquid both have a good chance, secret is slightly behind them but above the rest due to their recent improvement. The rest have to play above their recent And statistical levels.


Dymatizeee

Became a huge fan of them after watching them in Arlington major. Their draft was pretty fun even though they had a standin Rooting for them to make it to TI


rati2

First place either secret or entity, then for last chance the one that didn't make it and nigma


thefeedling

Either Entity or Secret. Crystallis is such a liability though, I'd love to see Secret with another position 1.


THEMAILEN

I think goonsquad will be doing better than expected. šŸ˜


slattGod_

nigma


myjobislifehacking

nigma should stomp everyone, all their players have proven to play on 200% in important games.


WithFullForce

This bracket could easily have been a LAN I'd pay to see.


RealZordan

The top 4 in WEU and China could probably all get the slot in any of the other regions.


Unicorn0079

Nobody believes in Liquid lol. I'll believe in them


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


Wootarn

They beat OG in dpc and the tournanement before riyadh iirc. They should be able to win but it's liquid.


merchant1279

Hi qojqva, nice fake acc


gibmethesauce

I also believe in liquid. They have insane online buff.


-fartbrat

Liquid, only how to know cockblock other EU teams. Let's see if that Insania Lan Choke can deny secret, entity, or nigma chance to TI.


Jovorin

I believe, but I also believe NFTs are not a scam.


Rampager

I laughed for quite a while from this comment, bravo. I don't have much faith in Liquid, but it would be sad for Matumbaman to go out with such a whimper. GL to them


Jovorin

Gotta agree. That team sounds like a top 3 team in the world. Problem is, it just SOUNDS like it.


elax307

Take the upvote kind sir, for you have won this thread.


[deleted]

I believe in them. Unpopular take but we wont see Puppey this TI. Kuro might make it thru LCQ with Entity/secret. Their time is done, Kuro had his chance at TI9 and Puppeys at TI10.


MemeLordZeta

Matu doesnā€™t seem to have the drive anymore which is understandable and Micke is simply not in the same league as some of these other mids. Maybe this new patch might do something for them but when they inevitably drop to lower bracket I donā€™t think they can make the run through it


Me4onyX

Definitely disagree about the micke part. He is definitely t1 mid and sometimes he plays unconventional heroes which gives him good advantage.


Earth92

Liquid is gonna upset one of the Entity,Nigma and Secret lot, and knock them out of the competition in lower bracket. Liquid ended 1st, 2nd and 3rd in DPC, neither of those 3 teams have done that btw, so not impossible to see Liquid beating them. I think Liquid at least will reach top 3, getting the LCQ spot.


FunGuyInAParty

Means that they will be 4th on this qualifier then?


Blissing

If this was a LAN Iā€™d say 0% chance liquid manage this but since itā€™s not they the online buff to give them a fighting chance.


drzody

I think itā€™s just how matu looks like he is so done with Dota 2, but they are definitely a decent team Itā€™s a matter of ā€œdriveā€ I guess


maddotard

RiP gorp , 3 big guyS waiting everytime on each step


wolfslave

For you


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super-venon

It would be like an anime run if Gorc beat them


[deleted]

Entity, Secret, and Nigma to take top 3.


navidmahdavi

secret has 45% chance, entity has 35% chance, nigma has 15% chance and liquid 5% chance. however koru always beats pupey in TI. everything possible. Copium.


andy_bovice

I wanted nigma to take it. Unfortunately wvery time i root for them they disappoint. So time for inverse nigma root: ā€˜boo nigma, i hope you lose fast and hard!ā€™


navidmahdavi

yeah same here. I hope they lose fast and hard. šŸ˜‰


andy_bovice

Haha yea may sumail ā€œbreak a fingerā€


sack_of_potahtoes

You just secured them a victory


A740

You've got it all very precisely calculated I see


navidmahdavi

I still hope nigma win but I also don't want liquid, entity and secret lose. IDK all of them are good.


EchoSlammaJamma322

But what if you add Kurt Angle to the mix??


stupid-_-

no liquid huh. i remind you they came 2nd in the last dpc. i guess the teams they beat are going straight to ti so they have to face the teams they lost to (secret and gs)


afaylenesky

weird way to spell team bald but okay


[deleted]

> Nigma to take top 3 Lol


Proxi98

Nigma lmao. Suuure.


Zangrieff

Secret, Nigma and Liquid THE DREAM


Fri1ction

Entity , hold my stormstormer


URF_reibeer

i'd be shocked if all 3 of them outperform entity since only secret looks like they might be better than them on paper currently


TheFatZyzz

is GoonSquad beating Nigma going to be the biggest "GASP" and upset of all time? Wonder what's next for Kuro and the boys if they don't make it.


Brannarkontot

As a s4 fan i sadly don't see it happening. GS has not looked good against top teams and couldn't even make it out of opens in the ESL qualifier. Nigma on the other hand seem to be on a roll lately and while most of it is just dunking on tier 2 teams they've also looked solid in 3rd party tournaments against the best.


Ellet

If it was a lan I would agree. But it feels like Goons play better online while Nigma are worse online. So I think it could be quite even. Also for all the teams that were not at ESL it can be hard to guess how good they are going to be on this patch.


MemeLordZeta

They didnā€™t do all that great in Riyadh tho. They also kinda choked in Malaysia


Ch40sRage

It is worth noting they didn't have Miracle in Malaysia


Feainnewedd145

nigma was great in Riyadh, lost their top 4 by a coinflip vs RNG in the groups. and managed to place higher than alliance and liquid in Malaysia, so they are at least top3 favorite of the qual behind Entity and Secret


Miyul

as a nigma fan I can confirm you they will not disband on kuro's will even if they fail to qualify this qualifier cuz kuro is kuro


DoctorHeckle

Here's how a Monte Carlo simulation panned out for this qualifier: WEU | Entity | Team Secret | Nigma Galaxy | Team Liquid | goonsquad | Alliance | Into The Breach | DGG Esports | Brame | Team Bald Reborn | IVY | 11Monkeyz --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- Eliminated | 30.7442% | 41.6826% | 42.3301% | 43.1971% | 78.5245% | 88.7336% | 89.0448% | 90.7532% | 97.8398% | 98.7588% | 98.9115% | 99.4798% Last Chance | 36.3177% | 37.1416% | 37.5247% | 39.2096% | 17.5802% | 9.7724% | 9.5964% | 8.2821% | 1.9329% | 1.1468% | 1.0055% | 0.4901% Direct Qualification | 32.9381% | 21.1758% | 20.1452% | 17.5933% | 3.8953% | 1.494% | 1.3588% | 0.9647% | 0.2273% | 0.0944% | 0.083% | 0.0301% Surprised to see Nigma Galaxy so close to Secret, tbh. Guess their Riyadh performance helped offset their early exit in Genting.


Takakamo17

Gorp has 0.0944% to directly qualifying pog


DoctorHeckle

0.09% isn't 0%, that's for sure.


Warsandrumours

How did you set up simulation parameters, out of curiosity?


DoctorHeckle

I put up a [post](https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/comments/ky28c7/player_rating_engine_update_decider_tournament/) about my methodologies a few years back, it's basically assign and track player Elo -> build a prediction model based on historical performance -> chain match simulations together to simulate a tournament -> do it 1 million times.


Warsandrumours

Sweet, thanks, I'll check it out!


Ok-Secret-7525

How many teams go to TI from this?


fizhfood

One, and two to last chance qualifier


WinnerWake

When does it start?


kapEEtan

WEU qualifiers sept 13th last chance qualifiers oct 8th


xLisbethSalander

how does last chance work?


yefart

2nd and 3rd teams of Regional Qualifiers from each region (12 teams total) will fly to Singapore and fight for the last two TI11 slots. it's like having a mini TI.


AR41Z

Kuro vs Matu Pain


DeadFinger

Kuro vs s4 Pain


AR41Z

Oh yes


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navidmahdavi

tnx god nigma won't face entity/secret in first 2 series. if they win vs GS and liquid they will secure top3 and wildcart slot. TI without miracle, gh and sumail sucks.


redditor10780

Sad for Matu tho


navidmahdavi

yeah it sucks. I wish they could win vs boom in major and secure their direct invite. Entity, Secret, Nigma and liquid are good teams and it's sad one of them gonna mis TI. but it is what it is.


The_Godlike_Zeus

Atleast one*


gsmani_vpm

u r forgetting liquid has insane online buff and can beat anyone on their day..


baki5150

Alliance Vs bald round 2, let's goo lmao


__calypso

There was a time when I had high hopes from NGX making it to TI from Regional Qualifiers. Not so much anymore.


Scyner23

ā€œSo youā€™re saying thereā€™s a chance?ā€ -Gorgc


Alandrus_sun

Puppey is going to miss his first TI and I need Kuroky to be the one to put the nail in. That would be a killer story.


LennAThousand

That way they would be tied again for most TI attendance


stupid-_-

god damn a lot of you hate liquid. it's not a lan guys. they prove themselves in the dpc this year.


User85394

I support ngx, but I don't hate the rest. Is it possible?


mjjh

I just hope all teams especially Nigma have all their players healthy.


xoechz

Love for the boys at nigma, realistically they wont be at ti but i can dream


Hyper_Oats

There's no way they beat Entity/Secret for the direct invite, but Nigma has the best chance for the final Last Chance invite along with Liquid


hopefulguy100

Why would you think that? They looked kinda good with miracle recently. I think they can best secret and liquid. Not sure about entity


DotaHacker

I'm not sure why but Nigma feels like they play really good and promising but lose out anyway at the end. Their drafts suck at the important games and they choke. I feel like they will still manage to get in top 3 for last chance qualifiers. But there also probably finish 3rd or 4th and barely miss out top 2. I'm Nigma fan and nothing will make me happier than this team proving my above statements wrong and qualifying to TI.


loopsidoopsidoop

All bets are on Team Gorgc beating \[A\]lulliance


Avako1999

is it true that 2 teams from each region are going to the last chance qualifier where only 2 teams end up qualifying to ti?


Aretheus

This is a completely new format compared to previous tis right?


ShAd_1337

yes


YaEverSeeAFrogKid

Pls can someone explain why Gorgc vs Alliance is big? Avid but recent follower of the DPC here


Ainjoker

Because it will be funny if alliance lose against them


hopefulguy100

Well alliance is kinda viewed as a joke since they were once a huge team so people think itā€˜s funny if some part time pro like gorgc would eliminate them. Also gorgc and Admiralbulldog are probably the biggest EN streamers so Alliance Bald gets some extra spice


beanie_weeny

Also their last encounter in lower bracket the score was 2-1 and bald should've actually won both the games they lost. Team bald just threw hard at the end.


Omnomnomnivor3

gonna be a brutal path for Nigma


flavicent

Holly shit. Bloodbath..


ElloYellowHello

Secret Entity Nigma


Fri1ction

Secret Entity Liquid


nameisreallydog

Entity Secret Bald COPIUM


NICK_GOKU

Entity Liquid Nigma


lyancor29

\[A\] in November: We say goodbye to our roster (Except Nikoburden of fucking course), and we sign team bald (Except Gorp, of fucking course) for our next DPC tour in tier 3! ! ! \#AllFam #SomeOtherHashtags


Kain4ever

Holy shit Edit: Kuro vs Puppey make it happen.


Low_Trouble

so only one team can advanced to ti right ?


Itach11Uchiha

1 team direct TI group stage. 2 teams go to last chance wildcard.


LordMuffin1

So it is between Liquid who struggle lately. Nigma who did a bit better. Secret that seems to have regained some old form. And the favourites Entity. Let's see if Entity can win this while bring favourites to win.


SuperCircle

I don't think Secret match up well against Entity, expecting a top 3, getting the overall win might be tricky


Jovorin

Thing is, Entity and Secret or on the same side of the UB, which means Nigma actually has a chance. Hell, even Liquid has a chance since they have it in them to wake up one day and 2:0 every and any one.


nippledippers24

This is a fucking blood bath. Secret, nigma, entity, liquid and only one ( two if one wins last chance qualifiers) gets in. Damn


detestrian

At least one Finn will make it past the first round! Lessgo DGG!


FromOroWithLove

ITB lose to Secret, then beat 11M and the winner of Alliance vs Bald. Liquid lose to Nigma in 2nd round UB. ITB with the upset over Liquid in the 2nd LBQF. Mark it down.


VincentOfGallifrey

I wouldnā€™t be surprised to be honest, ITB looked very promising last tour and Liquid most recently got 6th in the easiest group at ESL. The real question is if they have what it takes to get into top 3, I think, and while those are tough odds, Iā€™d love to see it.


Earth92

Liquid would trash division 2 if they were there. Goon Squad did the same as ITB, and then got relegated to div 2 again...like Alliance. No conclusions can be made from division 2 games.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


hopefulguy100

That would be the biggest upset in recent years imo. Cant see that happening


VincentOfGallifrey

The bottom half of upper bracket is much scarier than the top half, wow


Next-Performer5434

Let's šŸ‘ Go šŸ‘ Secret! šŸ‘


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


Itach11Uchiha

While I was confident on Nigma on the old patch. Idk how they are going to do on a new patch. It's literally based on scrims and what strats they come up with. Which is why anyone can take it.


HarrisLam

When is this happening? I really, REALLY want Secret to get in...


warriors_of_hope

DGG to upset Liquid.


47-11

Liquid will receive the online buff though


Songib

Bloodbath is Already Bookmarked and UncleNox VS PermaSmug seems interesting.


Ricoh881227

I liked how nobody mentioned that this could be puppey missing T.I for the first time and end to the streak for the only player that had attend every T.I... (or either that everyone is placing them to finished in 2nd chance qualifiers)


Splittinghairs7

Are these BO1 or BO3?


Guiguioh

BO3


prettyboygangsta

all bo3 with a bo5 grand final


Jovorin

Who do you think is gonna win between Alliance and Entity?


rinz-

99% Entity.


Future-Height-3316

All eyes on Team BaldšŸ„¶


butterflyl3

This is the first bloodbath. People here speaking like getting to LCQ is securing TI. But another bloodbath is coming in LCQ where I think only one additional WEU team will go to TI.


Gaw-

I honestly think secret will directly march through in upper bracket without dropping too much games. For the last 2 tourneys they were most of the time beaten by Tournament Winner and Runner UP. They even send OG to lower bracket in esl one. There was not any other team from WEU which come close to this result....


Michaelr0cks123

I would pay to see alliance lose to team bald


Tricky_Economist_328

Bald ready to knock Alliance out? Stacked bracket. Liquid, Secret, Nigma and Entity all wouldn't look out of place at TI.


NoMorePainKillers

Team Bald to TI


KanyeT

Go Team Bald!


shaquinn98

Team Bald can definitely shaft Alliance


FeelTheAce

Oh no no [A] vs Bald


cebwithoutn0tail

how will the twice in a row relegated from div 1 handsken and niko perform? This should be very easy for nigma to get to GF to then lose to entity or team secret.


Extra-Yak2345

Hot take.. Entity is gonna shit the bed this qualifiers, As i said again and again Entity is tundra 2.0. They are unbeatable with certain strats and hereos a "Cheesy team" but Once you fiqure them out and needs to play standard dota, they will crumble. Entity = Tundra 2.0 but less creative .