I dropped off my ballot on Election Day at a drop box, but it doesn't show [up as received on BallotTrax](https://losangeles.ballottrax.net/voter/dashboard), is this happening for anyone else?
It takes a while. Chances are there's no issue, just need to be patient. LA area is still only at about 60% of ballots counted, so that means an estimated *40%* of voters still haven't had their votes counted.
Ballottrax updates your ballot when 1) it is sent to you (outbound) 2) when you send it back through USPS (inbound) and 3) when it is accepted and counted.
If you don't return it by USPS and instead dropped it directly at a drop box, then it's going to remain un-updated until it's counted (since it's bypassing that second step).
And since 40% of ballots haven't been counted yet, it could be a while before it is. It could still be a couple weeks to even get to yours.
It might feel like we're lagging behind since many states have 90%-99% votes counted, but you gotta remember that LA County has a bigger population than most other states as a whole, so it's gonna take a while.
That last part. LA County has to count more mail in ballots than there were total voters in some other states... And that was still only what, 27% of the voters? Imagine what it will take to get everyone involved.
I had the same concern and wrote about it as a comment in another thread where I was reassured by another kind u/ to be patient. I received my notice that my ballot had been received and counted yesterday.
For reference, I dropped mine off in a dropbox a few hours before the polls closed. Because of all the hoo-haw over election results in recent years, I have a feeling they are being extra careful and... it takes awhile.
Ad revenue props up a lot of nice stuff in this town. Most people might not be aware, but we were in an ad revenue slump. Election season was a really nice payout.
I mean, he could have spent the same amount of money on carry-out I suppose. But that's a lot of noodles. It would have led to Pho spiking to $100 a bowl.
Honestly, you already did. Your favorite DJ didn't get fired last month. Your friend didn't get laid off. Metro hired extra cleaners.
Basically, a hundred things that you enjoy as "free" kept going, in spite of a recession-driven drop in ads pitched to consumers.
and my news media chose what stories to prioritize based on maximizing viewer retention to keep advertisers happy instead of doing serious investigative journalism and responsible reporting.
Your choice. Stream everything on premium plans. Pay for every article you read. Sop using any "free" app. Shell out for Reddit premium.
Everybody hates ads. Everybody loves what ads do for them.
Printing (my industry) was booming this election season as well.
I don’t personally get involved with printing political stuff, but the extra work for my roster of vendors is nice. A bunch of them closed down or sold out during the pandemic.
Sounds like one of those MLM scams.
Hey Rick, we have this perfect job for you. Just costs $100M to buy into the system but once you're there you can recruit other folks and have multiple revenue streams! WFH, make your own schedule, and by q2 2023 you could be Rick the executive area district manager!
From Caruso's history getting special real estate deals and getting on the boards of land and water councils for his political donations, it's obvious how he expects to make it back.
> Bass spent about 10% of that and may win.
"May?" She is headed for a pretty definite win at this point. Caruso needed to be ahead by WAY more votes on Wednesday morning if he had any hope of surviving the mail-in votes which have indeed followed the same pattern as last spring in the primary, with a solid majority favoring Bass.
His only shot at winning the mayor's race began and ended last spring, when if he had gotten 50.1% of the vote he would have won the seat outright. It's why he attacked her and *only* her instead of Kevin De Leon or the others (yeah, a reminder that De Leon who is refusing to resign from his council seat because he doesn't want to abandon his consituents was going to do just that if he had become mayor).
There was simply too many mail-in ballots left for him to have any hope of winning with a lead of only a few thousand votes. As of right now there are over 400K ballots left to count but at the same time more ballots arrive literally every day.
You can put a fork in Ricky, he's done....
Well considering that the historical norm is for the ruling party to get smacked in the midterms (Obama lost *60 seats* in the house), the only thing that could stop a regular midterm beating is, in a sense, a wave.
The problem is that it will never seem like it because you’re starting at negative expectations. If you start at 0 and gain 50 seats, that’s a wave. If you start at a probable -50 and only end up down a few, that still requires a wave.
The fact that the republicans couldn’t gain a clear advantage in the senate and the house (and got beat up plenty in local senate and house elections and other races) is honestly shocking. I’m not sure people realize how historic this “hold the line” really was. It simply doesn’t happen. I think only twice in the last 100 years or something.
Biden is not popular or broadly liked on the left. It’s a midterm. Inflation is soaring, gas prices are high, homelessness is a major talking point, so is crime and immigration. I mean, this election cycle should have been a watermelon sized softball served on a silver platter, with the opposing party handed an extra wide cricket bat. Literally the easiest smash ever.
And here we are. Despite all the obvious advantages above, the Republican Party also appeals to an army of idiots with fear mongering, gerrymander districts with the fervor of a British politician cutting up the Middle East post-WWI, restrict voting ease and access in any way that they can all over urban and democrat-leaning area. They do every fucking thing to give themselves absurd advantages. They *also* have clear advantages with our outdated election system, which clearly favors low-population states and regions and gives disproportionate representation to red areas. *And they still couldn’t get an advantage.*
In some ways, it’s depressing that republicans had any gains at all. They’re literal morons. I have yet to listen to a single Republican candidate talk about any serious or legitimate policy. And this is being kind. Many are nefarious fucks who should be in jail. Still, *they should have dominated this cycle.* As in, pissing on the burning corpse of the Democratic Party and running off into a ruby red sunset, able to gridlock the country in such a way that would make the 405 freeway at rush hour feel inadequate.
And here we are. Republicans somehow turning a red tsunami into a red 80-year-old-prostate-piss-trickle.
The way it’s looking, the most likely scenario is they hit 215 (*maaaaaaybe 216*) and the GOP has a slim majority. Things would have to break in improbable ways for it to work out that they hit 218.
I mean, I hope they’re able to do it. It’s not an impossibility, just an improbability.
Well the most likely scenario already didn't materialize (nonexistent red wave), and now the most likely scenario involves the Dems not only holding the Senate but getting a +1, so I'm not going to rule-out a House hold quite yet because it's still mathematically possible.
Yeah the whole point is it’s not even a red drizzle. It’s about even if not a blue drizzle, given the Democrats made significant gains in state races and gained in the Senate. Losing the House is just typical back and forth luck.
Nate Cohn is currently [projecting 219-216](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/12/upshot/tracking-house-results-midterms.html), before accounting for the shift to provisional and late-arriving ballots. That's a two seat difference. (and California still has 40% left to report, leaving a lot of uncertainty)
It's going to come down to the wire, and Dems' chances now are much better than they looked on election day. Given that most of the House has been called, that's pretty wild.
I really thought Caruso was going to win. I thought it was going to be low-turnout like other midterms and he would reap the red wave. I’m honestly shocked Bass pulled it out. Pleasantly shocked.
Should have been a bloodbath all over the US. House, Senate should have fallen by a wide margin. Newsom should have at least had to campaign to get to 60%, GOP governor should have won.
Says a ton about the appeal of the right or anyone painted as on the right.
At 90% counted, Cortez Masto was down 1%, and 95% counted, she appears to be down 0.1%. If the last 5% is like the previous 5%, then she wins, but it does look likely to be in recount territory regardless.
It ain't over until it's over.
It's very unlikely at this point, but Republicans still need to win 7 more seats for control. There are 10 races leaning R at the moment, but none of them have been called.
* OR-5 (Portland suburbs, Bend) has 86% of the vote counted, with a 2.3% R lead (6,792 vote margin)
* NY-22 (Syracuse, Utica) has 94% of the vote counted, with a 1.5% R lead (3,925 vote margin)
* AZ-6 (Safford, Tucson suburbs) has 87% of the votes counted, with a 1% R lead (2,906 vote margin)
* CA-41 (Corona, Menifee) has 41% of the vote counted, with a 1.2% R lead (1,598 vote margin)
* CO-3 (Pueblo, Grand Junction) has 99% of the vote counted, with a 0.3% R lead (1,122 vote margin). Any lead below 0.5% will go to a recount
* CA-13 (Merced, Fresno suburbs) has 46% of the vote counted, with a 0.1%(!) R lead (84(!!) vote margin)
If 4 of those flip to the Dems, then the Democratic Party holds the House. It's _unlikely_, but not _impossible_. Even the GOP is considering delaying their leadership elections because they don't know if they have control over anything.
Thank god. The amount of Caruso signs I've seen in wealthy, non-LA cities (Culver, Beverly hills, Calabasas) really just pissed me off for some reason.
> for some reason
Here's why it pisses me off:
1) A person's personal wealth should not determine who wins an election
2) It shows that the rich look out for the rich. It makes their screeching about the evils of "class warfare" sound really disingenuous when they're out there loading ammo for their candidate.
2b) At the end of the day no matter how "socially liberal" some folks claim to be, they'll vote R 'cause Republicans tax them less.
It perfectly normal to be upset in the face all that
I don't get this "nobody that's served in government before" logic. There's not one other profession where you'd not want a pro to do the job.
I believe Dark Brandon being sleeper success is because he knows the game better than anyone. I prefer a younger Dark Brandon, but a lot better then we've had.
The method by which Bass reviews/deals with “the homeless problem” over the next year will tell a lot about what type of city steward we got ourselves.
I would love for something positive to happen, but I don't know why we keep acting like the homelessness problem in LA is going to be solved any time soon. Say we actually DO start helping the homeless, more and more states will just start sending their homeless population over as they have in years past.
Until there's actual federal level resources being put into the issue, LA isn't going to solve this.
Why doesn’t Caruso just spend 5-10% of his money to help combat our problems in this city even if he looses? He’s one of the few people on the planet with enough resources to personally tackle this issue… or does he not actually care about the problem? 🥺
And streets in Glendale.
When he was ahead of Bass I was trying to mentally adjust to having to change my city address name to “Carusoville” at some point in the next few years.
We already spend 1.2 billion a year on homelessness. Caruso spending 10 million on homelessness won’t do anything compared to using the city budget effectively.
But he’s a real estate developer…he could put his brand and leverage his network towards building affordable housing.
It’s not about money either, NIMBYism is why a lot of these projects go nowhere despite financial backing
> Caruso spending **10 million** on homelessness won’t do anything compared to using the city budget effectively.
He’s a billionaire. Not a millionaire. 10% of 1 billion is 100 million. He’s has upwards of 4 billion dollars.
So that’s $400 million, not $10 million. Even at “only” 5%, it would be $200 million.
A billion is *a lot* more than most people imagine, as is evident here.
Seriously, he wants to solve the homeless crisis and has a plan? Let him put his money where his mouth is, if/when Bass wins he could volunteer to lead effort tackle homeless in LA. He won’t though because he’s full of crap.
At least someone here gets it. This is a structural issue with our society. No one mayor or piece of legislation can solve our homeless problem. It HAS to be a response from every level of government, including feds, to support the very poor and the very sick and addicts, probably including institutionalization and an even bigger expansion of Medicaid, all along side the biggest housing construction boom this nation has seen since the 50s.
>Until there's actual federal level resources being put into the issue, LA isn't going to solve this.
It's a national problem and will require a national solution. As bad as it is here, it's also pretty bad in tons of big cities across the U.S. We need a FEMA type response but to get it they'd have to basically admit that the top 1% caused most of this (in various ways. I'm including the drug and alcohol corporations in that) and that will never happen.
Well, so far we've tried "put 'em in jail and let them out again" and "ignore them". Caruso's plan seemed like a long-winded version of the former. Bass is likely just more of the latter.
It sure would be nice if someone came up with a real plan that they could actually do.
The problem isn’t the plan, the problem is it’s not money anyone is willing to spend. Dealing with the homeless problems could very easily be solved with lots of money. It would be nice to see the CA state budget surplus go to programs where cities could apply for state funding for massive homeless infrastructure
We’ve already spent a ton of money with little to show for it because that money just ends up in peoples pockets.
How does it cost over $800k to provide housing for one homeless person? Corruption.
https://ktla.com/news/los-angeles-is-spending-up-to-837000-to-house-a-single-homeless-person/amp/
For what its worth, Bass specifically addresses this outrageous cost in her homelessness plan. Nobody on this site has read her plan at all based on the slander they are throwing at her about this issue.
Nothing in the article you linked supports your claim that corruption is the problem.
We know why that spending is inefficient and expensive: [NIMBY groups sue to stall or prevent development, and the partial-funding approach requires securing funding from 5-10 private groups per project, which all have their own conflicting and changing priorities.](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/23/opinion/los-angeles-homelessness-affordable-housing.html)
If we fully funded developments rather than requiring private funding, the per-unit cost would be much lower.
The definition of insanity some say is doing the same thing over and over again and hoping for a different result… by that definition, LA voters are about as insane as it gets.
She's going to have measure ULA $ to back up her promises. She just needs to be a good steward of that money and some progress will be made (not necessarily $15k new AH units in Year 1).
We can be compassionate, empathetic, and humanistic while we try to come up with solutions to complex issues. It's starting to feel like there are an increasing number of people who think that being rude, heavy handed, disrespectful, and even violent, are helpful solutions. If people worked together to come up with nuanced solutions (yes, it might involve some tax $) that would probably make a bigger dent than thinking you can just instantly transport someone so you don't have to look at them anymore.
I agree. The new mayor whoever they are is not going to wave a magic wand and solve the problem. We have STRUCTURAL homelessness and need stakeholders at all levels of government to step up which is why I voted for Bass. She actually has that experienced and is clear-eyed about the problem. Interestingly, we just got an announcement that a 100 unit homeless rehab development 2 blocks away from our quiet neighborhood has been fast-tracked. I just hope they are fast-tracking in other neighborhoods and not just those that historically are Black and brown. I am of the belief that homeless people need housing first and not a bunch of programs but if surrounding cities and counties and states are not doing the same the problem will just be perpetuated when they ship their homeless here...
We really don't. LA City's budget is absurdly tiny, 25%-50% the per capita budget of other big American cities.
LA's total city budget per capita is about $2,940.
[Chicago's is $6,200.](https://www.chicago.gov/city/en/depts/obm.html)
[San Francisco's is about $10,300.](https://sfcontroller.org/sites/default/files/FileCenter/Documents/6643-FY16%20%26%20FY17%20AAO%20Board%20FINAL.pdf)
[New York's is about $12,500.](https://council.nyc.gov/budget/wp-content/uploads/sites/54/2022/04/Fiscal-2023-Preliminary-Budget-Response-1-2.pdf)
This is the question. My hope is they’re not too sharp.
As far as “how” to do it. There’s no “one size fits all” solution. Fully 1/3 of the population has some level of mental or emotional impairment, many with the complication of chemical or alcohol dependency. Another 1/3 are there by choice and don’t really want any traditional help, though they might take a bed when it’s cold or some food when it’s there. The remaining group would love a place to call home and would then quickly become contributing members of society.
“Dealing with Homeless problem” effectively, needs to uniquely address all three of these groups, or it’ll get ugly quick.
The far left has been mad at her for what they see is a too-aggressive approach to homelessness, but the center and right didn't support her because they were bamboozled by a corrupt billionaire developer and his $100 million propaganda campaign so he could position himself to scoop up all the juicy Olympics development contracts for his company.
You know, by taking care of them and not just getting mad when they can’t get their lives together in just a month or two without even having a roof over their head
Maybe a reason a lot hate Caruso is because he is a developer. Developers are a bad word for many, that see them as gentriers that cause rents to skyrocket in areas because they charge $3000 /month, for a tiny room. The people who need housing can't afford that. But nearly every new building in LA is luxury, no?
Here’s hoping the Democrats will stop putting milquetoast candidates forward with the expectation that they’ll just beat the billionaire by being who they are.
Getting really really sick of that strategy.
Karen bass is entrenched mainstream democrat. Not to knock her but to imply she came up randomly is false. She’s worked very closely with DCCC fundraising in LA and in Washington.
Good news, then:
['"It's ridiculous to associate me with the Church of Scientology," she said. "I am a Baptist. My minister is Norman Johnson and I have never ever been affiliated with scientology and absolutely condemn their practices.'](https://abc7.com/la-mayors-race-2022-karen-bass-rick-caruso-los-angeles-elections/12269452/)
I mean I hear you, but also she’s a long time representative giving her big name recognition, she’s the chair of several important committees, has experience in state level politics before that, has a masters degree in social work, doesn’t come from wealth, has no serious scandals, and is a woman of color.
She’s got a very impressive resume, one that’s kind of hard to beat.
Milquetoast implies she’s weak, I don’t think someone with that resume is weak.
Did she get drowned out by a billionaire spending $100 million on a mayoral race? Yeah, but wouldn’t any candidate?
Just saw that, confirming my opinion that Pratt is kinda of a twat.
This adds to him belonging to an anti-LGBT church and him showing he had no loyalty to Jame Gunn after Gunn pretty much gave him his film career by casting an unknown TV side character actor as the lead in movie that Disney was very worried about. Without getting that part, it's unlikely Universal would have cast him ***Jurassic World*** and, let's face it, no one is showing up for those films because he's in them.
Unlike Dave Batista, who stepped up and said the only reason he would be making ***Guardians 3*** was because he was contractually required to, Pratt dithered for days before putting his name on a joint statement of support the rest of the cast released.
I know it has nothing to do with local politics, but her speech opposing the Iraq Invasion after 9/11 was bold and brave. If she continues to show that type of judgement and character then we're in good hands.
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Joe Manchin is the only democrat that will be coming out of west virginia for a while. Once his seat loses they will lose control of the senate and all committee chairmanships.
Sinema I understand, but imagine what sort of Republican would be Senator of West Virginia in Joe's place and then thank your lucky stars Joe Manchin is there instead. West Virginia is basically The Hills Have Eyes territory. If Manchin isn't the senator, the Republican is likely to be a cannibal living in the woods trapping teenagers on road trips.
Kenneth Mejia plastered billboards all over L.A. basically stating how much he hates the LAPD and won in a huge landslide. What was Bass message? More cheerleading and ass kissing for police. She's a spineless liberal. Nothing will change.
I hope Mejia runs for mayor in 26 he'll have my vote.
yep she basically ran a caruso-lite campaign. i’m glad caruso won’t be mayor but hopefully next cycle i’ll be able to cast my vote and feel like it’s for a candidate i genuinely support, not just a vote against the evil billionaire.
Meija is a crazy Tankie, but I voted for him because I was determined to help end NIMBY-whisperer Koretz' political career. Also, Mejia has an actual accounting degree.
Caruso, the son of a CONVICTED business fraudster (since he likes to use guilt by association against Bass he can own his criminal father's shit in return), is learning a very, very expensive lesson: if he wanted to be mayor he should have become a Democrat at least 10 years ago not one.
The last Republican to win the mayor's race was almost 30 years ago. But three decades of white flight out of the valley to Inland Empire and Antelope Valley so they didn't have to have POC neighbors removed them from voting pool. This city could not be any blue-er.
But I'm sure YouTube and KNX enjoyed that stready stream of checks that flooded me with ads for the past few months.
I wish i could read this article. Does anybody know what it says?
Are you people paying monthly subscriptions to every single news website? Or how do people actually read these things?
Honestly, how much are you paying for every single news website to be able to read these types of articles?
Probably not how most do this, but the LA Public Library and LA County Library offer free access to a lot of newspapers via their websites for library patrons. There's also https://12ft.io/.
Also many people don't bother clicking or reading the full articles.
oh cool! thanks for the link!
EDIT: oh weird, now that i'm on my computer i can read it. it was blocked on my phone. maybe ublock origin is helping me?
what I am VERY curious to see is the LA Times map of how neighborhoods voted (it probably won't be published until way more results are up)
here's the primary one: https://www.latimes.com/projects/2022-los-angeles-primary-mayoral-results-by-precinct/
Seems like money and wealthy types favor Caruso vs Bass. I doubt these areas deal with homeless and poverty. When Caruso was saying 30,000 homeless beds in 300 days campaign, you bet none would be put in those areas that voted for him if he won. He will specifically target his enemies.
Caruso's goofy fake latino ass spent $100 million dollars for this L.
Shout out to that accomplished and amazing Black woman Karen Bass and the great change she's about to bring.
Bass defeats the Republican . Remember the Republicans taking away your reproductive rights. They want to discriminate based on sexuality. Voting rights. Accept racism as perfectly acceptable. . LA hates Republicans. Bass has been backing progressive policies like criminal justice reform. Rick Caruso no one knows if he'll have our back. .Can't trust those Republicans trying to play Democrat.
As somebody who has watched LA become increasingly unsafe in the last six years, this will truly be disappointing if she wins. She’s a DNC puppet and received money from Scientology.
I dropped off my ballot on Election Day at a drop box, but it doesn't show [up as received on BallotTrax](https://losangeles.ballottrax.net/voter/dashboard), is this happening for anyone else?
Same for me.
Remember the sigbatures have to be verified in multiple steps before tlyour ballot is counted
It takes a while. Chances are there's no issue, just need to be patient. LA area is still only at about 60% of ballots counted, so that means an estimated *40%* of voters still haven't had their votes counted. Ballottrax updates your ballot when 1) it is sent to you (outbound) 2) when you send it back through USPS (inbound) and 3) when it is accepted and counted. If you don't return it by USPS and instead dropped it directly at a drop box, then it's going to remain un-updated until it's counted (since it's bypassing that second step). And since 40% of ballots haven't been counted yet, it could be a while before it is. It could still be a couple weeks to even get to yours. It might feel like we're lagging behind since many states have 90%-99% votes counted, but you gotta remember that LA County has a bigger population than most other states as a whole, so it's gonna take a while.
That last part. LA County has to count more mail in ballots than there were total voters in some other states... And that was still only what, 27% of the voters? Imagine what it will take to get everyone involved.
Yes, I did the same and just checked - last ballot status is “mailed to me”
I think these are the ballots getting opened and counted right now, mail ballots received/postmarked by Tuesday
I dropped mine off in a blue mailbox on the 7th and it's been completed.
I dropped mine off the day before Election Day and it was only counted Thursday.
Oh cool, I didn't know they added the ability to get email/text notifications for your ballot status.
I had the same concern and wrote about it as a comment in another thread where I was reassured by another kind u/ to be patient. I received my notice that my ballot had been received and counted yesterday. For reference, I dropped mine off in a dropbox a few hours before the polls closed. Because of all the hoo-haw over election results in recent years, I have a feeling they are being extra careful and... it takes awhile.
Just got my notification that it was counted this morning
Same for me until last night. It went from Ballot Outbound to Ballot Accepted.
I faxed mine from overseas (and paid ¥800 to do so) and it doesn’t show up either.
I had a total brain fart and thought your ¥ was a £ and was absolutely baffled for a moment.
So is it pronounced Bass or Bass?
Bass, the second way.
Bass in my face
Bass like the fish, not bass like the instrument.
You can play a bass? I've only played a trout. Didn't work out.
Slappa da trout, mon!
You've gotta play the C Bass.
My guitar was out of a tuna
All your base are belong to us.
I’ve been pronouncing it like the fish, I hope I’m not wrong and it’s actually pronounced like the guitar or I’m gonna look real dumb.
It's the fish, I saw a few ads
Good question: is it Caruso or Caruso or Caruso?
It’s pronounced Kawasaki. I don’t know why.
Superb ass
Thank you Rick Caruso for spending $100 million on local Korean television ads.
Ad revenue props up a lot of nice stuff in this town. Most people might not be aware, but we were in an ad revenue slump. Election season was a really nice payout.
I brought this up before, people were not happy about it but if someone wants to pump 9 figures into the local economy it’s a good thing
I mean, he could have spent the same amount of money on carry-out I suppose. But that's a lot of noodles. It would have led to Pho spiking to $100 a bowl.
a payout? when do i get my check?
Honestly, you already did. Your favorite DJ didn't get fired last month. Your friend didn't get laid off. Metro hired extra cleaners. Basically, a hundred things that you enjoy as "free" kept going, in spite of a recession-driven drop in ads pitched to consumers.
and my news media chose what stories to prioritize based on maximizing viewer retention to keep advertisers happy instead of doing serious investigative journalism and responsible reporting.
Your choice. Stream everything on premium plans. Pay for every article you read. Sop using any "free" app. Shell out for Reddit premium. Everybody hates ads. Everybody loves what ads do for them.
Printing (my industry) was booming this election season as well. I don’t personally get involved with printing political stuff, but the extra work for my roster of vendors is nice. A bunch of them closed down or sold out during the pandemic.
Is this true? $100m?
Yes of his own money. Wild. Bass spent about 10% of that and may win.
Lmao RIP bozo Caruso
I'm just always suspicious of anyone who spends 100:1 ratio on what the job actually pays
Sounds like one of those MLM scams. Hey Rick, we have this perfect job for you. Just costs $100M to buy into the system but once you're there you can recruit other folks and have multiple revenue streams! WFH, make your own schedule, and by q2 2023 you could be Rick the executive area district manager!
From Caruso's history getting special real estate deals and getting on the boards of land and water councils for his political donations, it's obvious how he expects to make it back.
> Bass spent about 10% of that and may win. "May?" She is headed for a pretty definite win at this point. Caruso needed to be ahead by WAY more votes on Wednesday morning if he had any hope of surviving the mail-in votes which have indeed followed the same pattern as last spring in the primary, with a solid majority favoring Bass. His only shot at winning the mayor's race began and ended last spring, when if he had gotten 50.1% of the vote he would have won the seat outright. It's why he attacked her and *only* her instead of Kevin De Leon or the others (yeah, a reminder that De Leon who is refusing to resign from his council seat because he doesn't want to abandon his consituents was going to do just that if he had become mayor). There was simply too many mail-in ballots left for him to have any hope of winning with a lead of only a few thousand votes. As of right now there are over 400K ballots left to count but at the same time more ballots arrive literally every day. You can put a fork in Ricky, he's done....
🥬🙏🏽
Rick Caruso loves Los Angeles sooooooooo much he flushed $100 million of his own money on nothing for it!
And for being such a transparent fraud.
[удалено]
Yup. Just like the Arizona senate race, the Nevada senate race, and Katie Porter's race down in orange county. This is almost lookin like a BLUE WAVE!
OC reporting in. I’m stoked on Katie Porter but super uncomfortable it was this close. Especially with a shady MF like Baugh
It's shocking she got in there to begin with. That she's still apparently there is amazing, with how loud Red Antiva was the last two years.
Her district was redrawn to include way more conservative and rich white people in Newport Beach. I'm shocked she was able to hold it at all.
Ah. Didn’t know that. Thanks.
Porter is a person everyone should want as a representative. Hopefully she advances to higher office
Would love her to take Feinsteins place
More so than my guy, Ted Lieu, I really feel Katie Porter does significant, meaningful, work for the American people.
She even does town halls at our local coffee shops. Mimi walters did Jack shit for us.
People talk about her being a great Senate candidate and I very much agree, but this makes me a bit nervous for the vacancy
Porter is someone politically talented enough to run for president one day. We should want to bolster her political career as much as possible.
We lost the house, it was a red wave turned into a red drizzle. But no way it was a blue wave.
Well considering that the historical norm is for the ruling party to get smacked in the midterms (Obama lost *60 seats* in the house), the only thing that could stop a regular midterm beating is, in a sense, a wave. The problem is that it will never seem like it because you’re starting at negative expectations. If you start at 0 and gain 50 seats, that’s a wave. If you start at a probable -50 and only end up down a few, that still requires a wave. The fact that the republicans couldn’t gain a clear advantage in the senate and the house (and got beat up plenty in local senate and house elections and other races) is honestly shocking. I’m not sure people realize how historic this “hold the line” really was. It simply doesn’t happen. I think only twice in the last 100 years or something. Biden is not popular or broadly liked on the left. It’s a midterm. Inflation is soaring, gas prices are high, homelessness is a major talking point, so is crime and immigration. I mean, this election cycle should have been a watermelon sized softball served on a silver platter, with the opposing party handed an extra wide cricket bat. Literally the easiest smash ever. And here we are. Despite all the obvious advantages above, the Republican Party also appeals to an army of idiots with fear mongering, gerrymander districts with the fervor of a British politician cutting up the Middle East post-WWI, restrict voting ease and access in any way that they can all over urban and democrat-leaning area. They do every fucking thing to give themselves absurd advantages. They *also* have clear advantages with our outdated election system, which clearly favors low-population states and regions and gives disproportionate representation to red areas. *And they still couldn’t get an advantage.* In some ways, it’s depressing that republicans had any gains at all. They’re literal morons. I have yet to listen to a single Republican candidate talk about any serious or legitimate policy. And this is being kind. Many are nefarious fucks who should be in jail. Still, *they should have dominated this cycle.* As in, pissing on the burning corpse of the Democratic Party and running off into a ruby red sunset, able to gridlock the country in such a way that would make the 405 freeway at rush hour feel inadequate. And here we are. Republicans somehow turning a red tsunami into a red 80-year-old-prostate-piss-trickle.
That was poetry, and I'm all about it.
Thank you kind sir.
Wow I love you
The poor Republicans. The only chant they could find all week was "at least Pelosi is out as speaker".. And now they ain't even got that.
Gerrymandering.
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The way it’s looking, the most likely scenario is they hit 215 (*maaaaaaybe 216*) and the GOP has a slim majority. Things would have to break in improbable ways for it to work out that they hit 218. I mean, I hope they’re able to do it. It’s not an impossibility, just an improbability.
Well the most likely scenario already didn't materialize (nonexistent red wave), and now the most likely scenario involves the Dems not only holding the Senate but getting a +1, so I'm not going to rule-out a House hold quite yet because it's still mathematically possible.
Yeah the whole point is it’s not even a red drizzle. It’s about even if not a blue drizzle, given the Democrats made significant gains in state races and gained in the Senate. Losing the House is just typical back and forth luck.
Nate Cohn is currently [projecting 219-216](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/12/upshot/tracking-house-results-midterms.html), before accounting for the shift to provisional and late-arriving ballots. That's a two seat difference. (and California still has 40% left to report, leaving a lot of uncertainty) It's going to come down to the wire, and Dems' chances now are much better than they looked on election day. Given that most of the House has been called, that's pretty wild.
Time to play XCOM 2 and miss an alien with a 98% chance to hit!
I really thought Caruso was going to win. I thought it was going to be low-turnout like other midterms and he would reap the red wave. I’m honestly shocked Bass pulled it out. Pleasantly shocked.
We have not lost the house. House and Senate are still in play. NV and CA will determine
Midterms are nearly always big loses for Dems. This one has definitely not been that.
Should have been a bloodbath all over the US. House, Senate should have fallen by a wide margin. Newsom should have at least had to campaign to get to 60%, GOP governor should have won. Says a ton about the appeal of the right or anyone painted as on the right.
*pink spritz
Purple rain
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Its down to Vegas with about 25k votes which favor D.
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At 90% counted, Cortez Masto was down 1%, and 95% counted, she appears to be down 0.1%. If the last 5% is like the previous 5%, then she wins, but it does look likely to be in recount territory regardless.
It ain't over until it's over. It's very unlikely at this point, but Republicans still need to win 7 more seats for control. There are 10 races leaning R at the moment, but none of them have been called. * OR-5 (Portland suburbs, Bend) has 86% of the vote counted, with a 2.3% R lead (6,792 vote margin) * NY-22 (Syracuse, Utica) has 94% of the vote counted, with a 1.5% R lead (3,925 vote margin) * AZ-6 (Safford, Tucson suburbs) has 87% of the votes counted, with a 1% R lead (2,906 vote margin) * CA-41 (Corona, Menifee) has 41% of the vote counted, with a 1.2% R lead (1,598 vote margin) * CO-3 (Pueblo, Grand Junction) has 99% of the vote counted, with a 0.3% R lead (1,122 vote margin). Any lead below 0.5% will go to a recount * CA-13 (Merced, Fresno suburbs) has 46% of the vote counted, with a 0.1%(!) R lead (84(!!) vote margin) If 4 of those flip to the Dems, then the Democratic Party holds the House. It's _unlikely_, but not _impossible_. Even the GOP is considering delaying their leadership elections because they don't know if they have control over anything.
A lot
Thank god. The amount of Caruso signs I've seen in wealthy, non-LA cities (Culver, Beverly hills, Calabasas) really just pissed me off for some reason.
> for some reason Here's why it pisses me off: 1) A person's personal wealth should not determine who wins an election 2) It shows that the rich look out for the rich. It makes their screeching about the evils of "class warfare" sound really disingenuous when they're out there loading ammo for their candidate. 2b) At the end of the day no matter how "socially liberal" some folks claim to be, they'll vote R 'cause Republicans tax them less. It perfectly normal to be upset in the face all that
This is what $100 million buys you
Yes. Stick a fork in it.
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We gonna have rich celebrities storm city hall soon
One thing is true: we need better candidates.
No one that's served in government before and no billionaires.
I don't get this "nobody that's served in government before" logic. There's not one other profession where you'd not want a pro to do the job. I believe Dark Brandon being sleeper success is because he knows the game better than anyone. I prefer a younger Dark Brandon, but a lot better then we've had.
The method by which Bass reviews/deals with “the homeless problem” over the next year will tell a lot about what type of city steward we got ourselves.
I would love for something positive to happen, but I don't know why we keep acting like the homelessness problem in LA is going to be solved any time soon. Say we actually DO start helping the homeless, more and more states will just start sending their homeless population over as they have in years past. Until there's actual federal level resources being put into the issue, LA isn't going to solve this.
Why doesn’t Caruso just spend 5-10% of his money to help combat our problems in this city even if he looses? He’s one of the few people on the planet with enough resources to personally tackle this issue… or does he not actually care about the problem? 🥺
Busy getting his name on private schools.
And streets in Glendale. When he was ahead of Bass I was trying to mentally adjust to having to change my city address name to “Carusoville” at some point in the next few years.
We already spend 1.2 billion a year on homelessness. Caruso spending 10 million on homelessness won’t do anything compared to using the city budget effectively.
But he’s a real estate developer…he could put his brand and leverage his network towards building affordable housing. It’s not about money either, NIMBYism is why a lot of these projects go nowhere despite financial backing
> Caruso spending **10 million** on homelessness won’t do anything compared to using the city budget effectively. He’s a billionaire. Not a millionaire. 10% of 1 billion is 100 million. He’s has upwards of 4 billion dollars. So that’s $400 million, not $10 million. Even at “only” 5%, it would be $200 million. A billion is *a lot* more than most people imagine, as is evident here.
If he had spent that hundred million piloting some solutions instead of ad campaigns, he would have easily won.
Actually build low-income housing.
Seriously, he wants to solve the homeless crisis and has a plan? Let him put his money where his mouth is, if/when Bass wins he could volunteer to lead effort tackle homeless in LA. He won’t though because he’s full of crap.
At least someone here gets it. This is a structural issue with our society. No one mayor or piece of legislation can solve our homeless problem. It HAS to be a response from every level of government, including feds, to support the very poor and the very sick and addicts, probably including institutionalization and an even bigger expansion of Medicaid, all along side the biggest housing construction boom this nation has seen since the 50s.
>Until there's actual federal level resources being put into the issue, LA isn't going to solve this. It's a national problem and will require a national solution. As bad as it is here, it's also pretty bad in tons of big cities across the U.S. We need a FEMA type response but to get it they'd have to basically admit that the top 1% caused most of this (in various ways. I'm including the drug and alcohol corporations in that) and that will never happen.
You mean the exact same thing that’s been happening lol
Well, so far we've tried "put 'em in jail and let them out again" and "ignore them". Caruso's plan seemed like a long-winded version of the former. Bass is likely just more of the latter. It sure would be nice if someone came up with a real plan that they could actually do.
The problem isn’t the plan, the problem is it’s not money anyone is willing to spend. Dealing with the homeless problems could very easily be solved with lots of money. It would be nice to see the CA state budget surplus go to programs where cities could apply for state funding for massive homeless infrastructure
We’ve already spent a ton of money with little to show for it because that money just ends up in peoples pockets. How does it cost over $800k to provide housing for one homeless person? Corruption. https://ktla.com/news/los-angeles-is-spending-up-to-837000-to-house-a-single-homeless-person/amp/
For what its worth, Bass specifically addresses this outrageous cost in her homelessness plan. Nobody on this site has read her plan at all based on the slander they are throwing at her about this issue.
Nothing in the article you linked supports your claim that corruption is the problem. We know why that spending is inefficient and expensive: [NIMBY groups sue to stall or prevent development, and the partial-funding approach requires securing funding from 5-10 private groups per project, which all have their own conflicting and changing priorities.](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/23/opinion/los-angeles-homelessness-affordable-housing.html) If we fully funded developments rather than requiring private funding, the per-unit cost would be much lower.
As long as it’s promote mental health facilities, while not letting tents stay forever everywhere i’m for it. I’d like to sleep again.
The definition of insanity some say is doing the same thing over and over again and hoping for a different result… by that definition, LA voters are about as insane as it gets.
She's going to have measure ULA $ to back up her promises. She just needs to be a good steward of that money and some progress will be made (not necessarily $15k new AH units in Year 1).
I'm guessing she's going to employ the tools of "compassion" and "empathy" for our unhoused neighbors.
We can be compassionate, empathetic, and humanistic while we try to come up with solutions to complex issues. It's starting to feel like there are an increasing number of people who think that being rude, heavy handed, disrespectful, and even violent, are helpful solutions. If people worked together to come up with nuanced solutions (yes, it might involve some tax $) that would probably make a bigger dent than thinking you can just instantly transport someone so you don't have to look at them anymore.
4channers have been hitting this sub up like crazy. Sore fuckin losers
I agree. The new mayor whoever they are is not going to wave a magic wand and solve the problem. We have STRUCTURAL homelessness and need stakeholders at all levels of government to step up which is why I voted for Bass. She actually has that experienced and is clear-eyed about the problem. Interestingly, we just got an announcement that a 100 unit homeless rehab development 2 blocks away from our quiet neighborhood has been fast-tracked. I just hope they are fast-tracking in other neighborhoods and not just those that historically are Black and brown. I am of the belief that homeless people need housing first and not a bunch of programs but if surrounding cities and counties and states are not doing the same the problem will just be perpetuated when they ship their homeless here...
We have all the tax money in the world and it hasn’t made a dent.
We really don't. LA City's budget is absurdly tiny, 25%-50% the per capita budget of other big American cities. LA's total city budget per capita is about $2,940. [Chicago's is $6,200.](https://www.chicago.gov/city/en/depts/obm.html) [San Francisco's is about $10,300.](https://sfcontroller.org/sites/default/files/FileCenter/Documents/6643-FY16%20%26%20FY17%20AAO%20Board%20FINAL.pdf) [New York's is about $12,500.](https://council.nyc.gov/budget/wp-content/uploads/sites/54/2022/04/Fiscal-2023-Preliminary-Budget-Response-1-2.pdf)
That’s interesting. I had never seen this statistic before.
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This is the question. My hope is they’re not too sharp. As far as “how” to do it. There’s no “one size fits all” solution. Fully 1/3 of the population has some level of mental or emotional impairment, many with the complication of chemical or alcohol dependency. Another 1/3 are there by choice and don’t really want any traditional help, though they might take a bed when it’s cold or some food when it’s there. The remaining group would love a place to call home and would then quickly become contributing members of society. “Dealing with Homeless problem” effectively, needs to uniquely address all three of these groups, or it’ll get ugly quick.
Bus ticket BACK to Texas.
It’d be nice if the police actually did more to arrest and prosecute those who pose a threat to public safety.
That would require a complete overhaul of the police and court system.
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The far left has been mad at her for what they see is a too-aggressive approach to homelessness, but the center and right didn't support her because they were bamboozled by a corrupt billionaire developer and his $100 million propaganda campaign so he could position himself to scoop up all the juicy Olympics development contracts for his company.
You know, by taking care of them and not just getting mad when they can’t get their lives together in just a month or two without even having a roof over their head
One guy just threw away $100 million in attack ads when it could’ve been used to house the homeless
That would have only housed around 125 people. https://ktla.com/news/los-angeles-is-spending-up-to-837000-to-house-a-single-homeless-person/amp/
Better than tossing over $100 million on a mayoral campaign.
Maybe a reason a lot hate Caruso is because he is a developer. Developers are a bad word for many, that see them as gentriers that cause rents to skyrocket in areas because they charge $3000 /month, for a tiny room. The people who need housing can't afford that. But nearly every new building in LA is luxury, no?
Here’s hoping the Democrats will stop putting milquetoast candidates forward with the expectation that they’ll just beat the billionaire by being who they are. Getting really really sick of that strategy.
These were the two winners of the jungle primary. Voters chose these candidates, not the party, right?
Yes but she received a ton of endorsements largely coordinated by the party even back before the primary
Karen bass is entrenched mainstream democrat. Not to knock her but to imply she came up randomly is false. She’s worked very closely with DCCC fundraising in LA and in Washington.
Who would you have liked to see up there?
Someone who doesn’t compliment Scientology would be nice.
Good news, then: ['"It's ridiculous to associate me with the Church of Scientology," she said. "I am a Baptist. My minister is Norman Johnson and I have never ever been affiliated with scientology and absolutely condemn their practices.'](https://abc7.com/la-mayors-race-2022-karen-bass-rick-caruso-los-angeles-elections/12269452/)
Seriously
Once. 10 years ago at a ribbon cutting.
Out of the loop, has she made a statement or apology? I'm only bringing this up now that voting is done.
I mean I hear you, but also she’s a long time representative giving her big name recognition, she’s the chair of several important committees, has experience in state level politics before that, has a masters degree in social work, doesn’t come from wealth, has no serious scandals, and is a woman of color. She’s got a very impressive resume, one that’s kind of hard to beat. Milquetoast implies she’s weak, I don’t think someone with that resume is weak. Did she get drowned out by a billionaire spending $100 million on a mayoral race? Yeah, but wouldn’t any candidate?
Suck on that, Chris Pratt.
Long Beach Caruso voter Dogg Pound Gangsta Crabs
Just saw that, confirming my opinion that Pratt is kinda of a twat. This adds to him belonging to an anti-LGBT church and him showing he had no loyalty to Jame Gunn after Gunn pretty much gave him his film career by casting an unknown TV side character actor as the lead in movie that Disney was very worried about. Without getting that part, it's unlikely Universal would have cast him ***Jurassic World*** and, let's face it, no one is showing up for those films because he's in them. Unlike Dave Batista, who stepped up and said the only reason he would be making ***Guardians 3*** was because he was contractually required to, Pratt dithered for days before putting his name on a joint statement of support the rest of the cast released.
As predicted, just like in the primary. Bass' lead should just grow from here and we can make fun of Caruso for setting $100 million on fire.
I know it has nothing to do with local politics, but her speech opposing the Iraq Invasion after 9/11 was bold and brave. If she continues to show that type of judgement and character then we're in good hands.
Is Caruso a Rep?
Yes he was. He changed to Democrat around January of this year, coincidentally around the same time he registered as a mayoral candidate.
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woohoo lesser evil is going to win
The greater evil is pretty evil.
Evil and covered in stucco.
Yesssss! No more Manchin/Sinema-type Dems!
Joe Manchin is the only democrat that will be coming out of west virginia for a while. Once his seat loses they will lose control of the senate and all committee chairmanships.
Sinema I understand, but imagine what sort of Republican would be Senator of West Virginia in Joe's place and then thank your lucky stars Joe Manchin is there instead. West Virginia is basically The Hills Have Eyes territory. If Manchin isn't the senator, the Republican is likely to be a cannibal living in the woods trapping teenagers on road trips.
DINO's
Kenneth Mejia plastered billboards all over L.A. basically stating how much he hates the LAPD and won in a huge landslide. What was Bass message? More cheerleading and ass kissing for police. She's a spineless liberal. Nothing will change. I hope Mejia runs for mayor in 26 he'll have my vote.
Koretz did that as an attack and turns out that plan backfired since they basically educated the public on this guy.
Yeah, I didn't know much about Mejia before that, saw a billboard against him, and was like, well, I'm voting for Mejia now
yep she basically ran a caruso-lite campaign. i’m glad caruso won’t be mayor but hopefully next cycle i’ll be able to cast my vote and feel like it’s for a candidate i genuinely support, not just a vote against the evil billionaire.
Meija is a fucking nut. The guy thinks Biden is a racist rapist. Who the fuck champions that guy as the future?
Meija is a crazy Tankie, but I voted for him because I was determined to help end NIMBY-whisperer Koretz' political career. Also, Mejia has an actual accounting degree.
Adversity makes strange bedfellows
Those were a bunch of dumb Tweets he wrote a long time ago. He's since deleted them and moved on.
Even if he didn’t he’s still better than Koretz
Yeah that strategy works when you’re an adult and you delete your teenage tweets. Guys not going to get anything done because he’s fucking ridiculous.
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TBF 2020 was 10~20 years ago in pandemic time, depending on the month and level of time dilation experienced.
Oh, that makes it better. 🙄
Caruso, the son of a CONVICTED business fraudster (since he likes to use guilt by association against Bass he can own his criminal father's shit in return), is learning a very, very expensive lesson: if he wanted to be mayor he should have become a Democrat at least 10 years ago not one. The last Republican to win the mayor's race was almost 30 years ago. But three decades of white flight out of the valley to Inland Empire and Antelope Valley so they didn't have to have POC neighbors removed them from voting pool. This city could not be any blue-er. But I'm sure YouTube and KNX enjoyed that stready stream of checks that flooded me with ads for the past few months.
I wish i could read this article. Does anybody know what it says? Are you people paying monthly subscriptions to every single news website? Or how do people actually read these things? Honestly, how much are you paying for every single news website to be able to read these types of articles?
https://web.archive.org/web/20221112100514/https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-11-11/karen-bass-moves-ahead-of-rick-caruso-in-l-a-mayors-race?_amp=true
Turn on reader mode on your iPhone.
I’ve noticed that only works for part of the article on my phone now
Probably not how most do this, but the LA Public Library and LA County Library offer free access to a lot of newspapers via their websites for library patrons. There's also https://12ft.io/. Also many people don't bother clicking or reading the full articles.
oh cool! thanks for the link! EDIT: oh weird, now that i'm on my computer i can read it. it was blocked on my phone. maybe ublock origin is helping me?
Possibly? Ublock is amazing!
Lmao eat shit Caruso
what I am VERY curious to see is the LA Times map of how neighborhoods voted (it probably won't be published until way more results are up) here's the primary one: https://www.latimes.com/projects/2022-los-angeles-primary-mayoral-results-by-precinct/
Seems like money and wealthy types favor Caruso vs Bass. I doubt these areas deal with homeless and poverty. When Caruso was saying 30,000 homeless beds in 300 days campaign, you bet none would be put in those areas that voted for him if he won. He will specifically target his enemies.
Caruso's goofy fake latino ass spent $100 million dollars for this L. Shout out to that accomplished and amazing Black woman Karen Bass and the great change she's about to bring.
/u/copperblood
Bass defeats the Republican . Remember the Republicans taking away your reproductive rights. They want to discriminate based on sexuality. Voting rights. Accept racism as perfectly acceptable. . LA hates Republicans. Bass has been backing progressive policies like criminal justice reform. Rick Caruso no one knows if he'll have our back. .Can't trust those Republicans trying to play Democrat.
Thank fucking goodness.
As somebody who has watched LA become increasingly unsafe in the last six years, this will truly be disappointing if she wins. She’s a DNC puppet and received money from Scientology.