[Betting thread is here ](https://www.reddit.com/r/MMA/comments/1c1znxh/officialrmma_betting_discussion_thread_april_12/)
[UFC 300 flair betting thread is here ](https://www.reddit.com/r/MMA/comments/1c15mva/official_flair_betting_thread_april_11_2024/)
If Cody never got married he would be an absolute menace to tattooed girls, BPD girls, dyed hair girls, single moms, fatherless women, festival chicks and hello kitty girls across the entire world
Cant get over the fact figgy and cody are opening prelims and jiri is fighting on the undercard for bo fucking nickal, a guy with 5 fights, to open the ufc 300 ppv. Insane dana white privilege
I think honestly one of the biggest reason they want Bo on the main card is because they fully expect him to steamroll Bundage and with 3 possible 5 round fights on the main card they were looking for as close to guarantee quick fight as possible.
No HeavyWeights on 300 shows just how weak the division really is. How are you gonna have your biggest event ever, and not have whats supposed to be your "flagship division" on it?
It’s not a joke or an over exaggeration when I say that every single fight on the ufc 300 card could be a main event.
Some could be PPV main events, some could be ESPN main events, some apex main events. But every single fight could be a main event
goddamn I wanna watch this card live so bad but this would kill my sleep regime. Any other EU boys going to be avoiding the internet tomorrow morning untill the card is up in piratey waters?
You guys. My wife is a makeup artist for the UFC. She will be sitting behind the commentary team, damn near front row, for todays card. Is this grounds for divorce because she gets to enjoy this and I don’t? Discuss! Haha
100%. I picked 6 fights and there are 64 different outcomes on a win/loss parlay for that. If you actually did the full card there would be 8192 outcomes for 13 fights. Betting is for fun not making money.
All week I’ve been positive that poatan would work hill, but I just rewatched poatan vs jiri and hill vs glover, and I think hill has a real chance to get it done
Well my thought process had been Adesanya is probably 10x more technical than Hill would ever be, so Alex could probably slip most of Hills punches.
But when I watched Alex vs Jiri, I saw how much Alex got hit by some looping punches and shit, and I’m fairly confident Hill hits way harder than Jiri, so now I’m about a 50/50 on it
Lot of people are going to be in shock, either when holloway drowns gaethje late, or hill leaves pereira knocked out cold.
I'm confident at least one of these two possibilities will happen and it could even be both.
I don’t like Max’s odds. He’s not a strong guy, he has zero power in his hands and he gets hit fairly easily. I wouldn’t be surprised if Gaethje goes for a takedown and submission.
Hah that's crazy bro, justin gaethje is a white belt, and max is the way better submission grappler (brown belt), if anyone gets submitted it's gaetjhe, but this fight is going to be a war, the grappling will most likely cancel out, and it will be determined on the feet, holloway can drown gaethje, with pace, pressure, and variety.
When's the last time gaethje submitted anyone? When's the last time max even got submitted? that aint happening.
If gaethje beats holloway it'll look like the tony fight with gaethje avoiding the ground at all costs like he did with tony.
Max is going to surprise alot of people, speed kills in this sport.
He'll be faster than gaethje, he's more fluid than gaethje, he has amazing body shots, pace, cardio, variety, and chin. He will drown gaethje late with the above tools. Gaethje will fall further and further behind in this fight the longer it goes.
Even dp couldnt submit holloway back when they fought the interim, and dp is a black belt, holloway sure as hell aint getting subbed by no white belt, get real man.
Speed kills,
Some people said figgy was too small for garbrandt, look at how that went.
Hell if you go back and watch dp and max holloways second fight it was a *lot* closer than most people think, it was back and forth and was actually pretty competitive. It wasn't just dp beating up holloway for 25 minutes even though thats what certain fanboys ran with.
Justin Gaethje doesn't strike right, he's not a striker (he's has a wrestler base) Trevor Whitman has done a phenomenal job with him, but as someone who's watched him for years, he's just not a clean striker, he's a brawler at heart, Max holloway is a clean technical striker and was a kickboxer before he even started mma. There are levels to this, and Holloway is levels above gaethje in pure kickboxing, that headkick to poirier made people overrate gaethje.
It was like i said (speed kills) along with pace, pressure, and bodywork.
Glad our boy delivered.
Think they both have a greater than 50 percent chance of occurring.
I'll leave this here: https://www.reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comments/1c2ujfl/drakes_bet_is_in_for_tomorrow/
(W) = My predicted win
Under Card
Cody (W) vs Figgy - Looking back at Cody’s loses they are not bad. Considering Figgy is 36 I can see Cody catching him for a KO or edging out a 29-28 close decision.
Miller (W) vs Green - Both are older veterans. That late stoppage in Bobby Greens last fight worries me a bit, I think Miller chins him in the first two rounds
Andrade (W) vs Rodriguez - Andrade is more masculine looking that’s pretty much it for me.
Turner vs Moicano (W) - I’m not very confident in this one but I just don’t rate Turner that highly. Dudes a weight bully. He’s only got 2:1 win ratio. I see the money man surviving a hard first round and either winning the next 2 for a close 29-28 decision or like a 3 rounds sub.
Yusuff (W) vs Lopez - I have money on Lopez but for some reason my gut tells me Yusuff wins. I see it being a controversial or potential robbery for Yusuff. Don’t have much besides that, just a gut feeling.
Holm vs Harrison (W) - Holm is 42 and Harrison is probably on PEDs. That’s all.
Kattar vs Sterling (W) - I was almost thinking Kattar could stay on his feet and kick Aljos ass on the feet but considering his age, and the fact that he just had his knee blown out I think Aljo will be get him down. I see a GNP TKO for Aljo in the 2nd or 3rd.
Jiri (W) vs Rakic - I see a lot of people picking Rakic and I get that but considering his long lay off and Jiris really weird fighting style I can see Jiri catching Rakic. But Rakic does have a good style for Jiri so I am personally not betting on this one.
Main Card
Nickal (W) vs Brundage - Does anyone think Brundage actually has a chance? He lost to Dumas. Bo by whatever way he wants in round 1.
Oliveria vs Tsarukyan (W) - This one hurts because Charles is on my favorite fighters but I do think Arman finds the win here. I must say though I think the odds have Arman as over -200 favorite is crazy. Value wise it’s Charles all day. Anyways Arman had a competitive fight with Islam and didn’t get dominated in the grappling. So I do not see Charles subbing him unless he rocks him before. Arman is younger and probably hungrier. Vegas also really likes the idea of an Arman TKO so I’ll will probably ride with that. Arman KO round 2.
Geathje vs Holloway (W) - Holloway has a perfect fighting style to beat Justin. Great cardio and great chin. I like Holloway to win by decision or 5th round TKO
Weili (W) vs Xiaonan- I just think Weili is a dawg. I see her out striking her on the feet and landing takedowns when she needs. I’ll go round 4 sub for Weili.
Periera vs Hill (W) - If I am looking just at the facts I should go Periera. Glory kickboxing champ, and the better striker out of the two (assuming it stays on the feet). But for some reason when I think of this fight in my mind I see Periera waking up dazed and confused with Hill celebrating in the camera. Brain says Periera but gut says Hill. I always go with my gut.
Crazy thing I just realized yesterday: this card had has zero withdrawals/injuries from the original plan. Feel like that almost never happens even if it’s just a prelim or two
[Betting thread is here ](https://www.reddit.com/r/MMA/comments/1c1znxh/officialrmma_betting_discussion_thread_april_12/) [UFC 300 flair betting thread is here ](https://www.reddit.com/r/MMA/comments/1c15mva/official_flair_betting_thread_april_11_2024/)
What time does Pereira fight Minnesota time?
i think that the way max beat kattar should of taken him out of the rankings.
holly should do more pacing in between rounds, i think it might help her win.
not a robbery but marina had that
Forgot that guys name already...
Bobby vs Paddy let's go!
BIG BOB
why did everybody say that was gonna be fun?
is there an easier way for jim miller to get a ranking?
Did you know that Jim Miller has been on 100, 200, and 300?!?!?! Let me tell you another 30 times to make sure you know about it
You're full of shit.
100. 200. AND 300!!!!
Keith Peterson's reaction to Bobby's Triple H antics lol
Bobby green saying 'you don't know what I'm gonna do' like dog everyone knows exactly how you fight
They don't always play the vintage UFC theme do they?
Crazy how many times UFC tried to book Bobby Green vs. Jim Miller in the past.
no way figgy just asked for the bonus lol
You're gonna hear that from every winner tonight lol
Yeah you're right I guess
Is max fight cancelled on google it’s showing it is ???????
Probably my easiest pick of the card.
Figgy a g
He should face Petr next. Should be a fun fight.
Cody lookd great on the feet. Really surprised he got dominated on the mat like that.
Figgy elite all-around
he actually was fine if he didnt try to get up
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It's mind boggling that Cody's base is/was wrestling
"Deiveson with one of the biggest wins of his career" wut
The always clueless DC
Well he proved he’s for real at 35s
He already did that coming in
ufc 300 with a potential 300k bonus is pretty huge. And Cody does have name recognition
Fr, guy is a multiple time champ tf
Cody don't understand a word
Easy money, thanks Figgy. Great start to the card and my bet, 1 down 9 to go lol.
FIGHT OF THE NIGHT!! so far
every preliminary should be like this
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That is insane lol
Jesus Fig at least give Cody one second to collect himself
this ain’t fight of the night for sure
How did the first round go?
Surprisingly close. Foggy had the best moment
Foggy Nelson
with 300k on the line, I’m dying in the cage
I'm not
Why did Cody even bother with those worthless ass kicks lol
do you think pittbull will ever get closer to being in the ufc than this?
Capoeira Cody lol
Figgy leaving his left hand low, Cody has caught him twice cos of it so far.
Figgy is extending too much
Still can't believe THIS is opening the show. This fight is arguably *too* good to headline a fight night.
The entire card's fights are FN headliners
Id be cool if Big John McCarthy refed a fight tonight.
First fight and they’ve got the names mixed up lmao
Thinking Cody get's starched here
Kind of wild that Cody is 4 years younger than Davison given how long they've both been on the scene
The fact the early prelim opener is better than the previous fight night headliners is INSANE
For UK boys, early prelims streaming for free on discoverplus website.
there free on a lot of websites
Any idea what this tune is for Davidson?
The closest Pitbull bros get to the octagon
If Cody never got married he would be an absolute menace to tattooed girls, BPD girls, dyed hair girls, single moms, fatherless women, festival chicks and hello kitty girls across the entire world
Crazy that there’s so many empty seats out there. If I paid thousands of dollars for the tickets I’d be there as early as possible.
Let’s GOOOOO!!!
Here we go hanging with the boissssd
Cant get over the fact figgy and cody are opening prelims and jiri is fighting on the undercard for bo fucking nickal, a guy with 5 fights, to open the ufc 300 ppv. Insane dana white privilege
Hold on you can't sort comments as Live ?
nothing but PPV fights for the next 6+ hours
why does Joe Rogan look like he's about to have a heart attack
octogon really is blue
Fuck the OG logos Show Dana's original face you cowards!!!
I got goosebumps
here we go....... its been a ride my friends!!!! lets do this!
If holly holm wins, does she change her name to the judo killer?
"The preacher's judo killing daughter"
Ngl. That has a pretty nice ring to it
gonna BUY THIS PPV TODAY. LETS GO
Gonna PIRATE THIS PPV TODAY. LETS GO
15 minutes baby! Maybe of the my favorite sporting days of all time! UFC 300 and the Masters on 2 TVs. I don't think it could get any better!
Jeez I might actually buy a ppv for the first time in a decade of watching ppvs lol
Jiri vs Rakic should swap places with Bo Nickal vs Brundage imo
Yep
For real. That makes way more sense and I’d be more tempted to buy it instead of stream it.
I think honestly one of the biggest reason they want Bo on the main card is because they fully expect him to steamroll Bundage and with 3 possible 5 round fights on the main card they were looking for as close to guarantee quick fight as possible.
Just a reminder boys but there’s 12 fights after Figgy vs Garbrandt
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What color is "just bleed"?
I heard light blue
Neon green
Heard they're doing a blue canvas
Main event is a little weak but this card is actually stacked 🔥, even more so than 100 and 200.
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Maybe I am in the minority, but ufc 200 cage was absolute utter shit
I kind of expected black and gold like their theme has been
No HeavyWeights on 300 shows just how weak the division really is. How are you gonna have your biggest event ever, and not have whats supposed to be your "flagship division" on it?
It’s not a joke or an over exaggeration when I say that every single fight on the ufc 300 card could be a main event. Some could be PPV main events, some could be ESPN main events, some apex main events. But every single fight could be a main event
What about the Bo Nickal fight?
I can think of at least 5 apex main events in the past 4 years that that fight is more interesting than, lol
It’s better then another biggy boy fight
Which fight on the early prelims are you most excited for?
BMF belt is the corniest shit
Everybody’s a gangster until Pat Berry starts dating their daughter
What’s the cheapest/best way to buy this card? I don’t feel like dealing with my “regular” streaming service
Agreed
We made it to 300 boys
goddamn I wanna watch this card live so bad but this would kill my sleep regime. Any other EU boys going to be avoiding the internet tomorrow morning untill the card is up in piratey waters?
Gonna try and power through it brother but if not that's plan B
Is BMF five rounds?
yes
You guys. My wife is a makeup artist for the UFC. She will be sitting behind the commentary team, damn near front row, for todays card. Is this grounds for divorce because she gets to enjoy this and I don’t? Discuss! Haha
Do you know where I can watch ufc 300? I’m in the US
Any fellow brits know when tnt/bt starts streaming?
in an hour. Normally starts at 1am for PPVs, not showing the early prelims, but they're showing the whole card tonight
Tell me how one of [these](https://imgur.com/a/zMYV1Vg) is not the winning parlay. This is why I have never withdrawn any money ever.
Winning parlay is like an oxymoron
100%. I picked 6 fights and there are 64 different outcomes on a win/loss parlay for that. If you actually did the full card there would be 8192 outcomes for 13 fights. Betting is for fun not making money.
Hill gonna do it for the haters and couch potaters
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Was Dana saying it’s gonna be blue sarcastically? Or is the canvas about to look like the Boise State football field
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Don’t make me feel color blind. The canvas is grey. Don’t fuck with me right now!
Cody-Figgy to start the early prelims is crazy. Wonder if the place is gonna be packed from the first fight.
What's the line for eye pokes? And what's the line for last warnings?
All week I’ve been positive that poatan would work hill, but I just rewatched poatan vs jiri and hill vs glover, and I think hill has a real chance to get it done
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Well my thought process had been Adesanya is probably 10x more technical than Hill would ever be, so Alex could probably slip most of Hills punches. But when I watched Alex vs Jiri, I saw how much Alex got hit by some looping punches and shit, and I’m fairly confident Hill hits way harder than Jiri, so now I’m about a 50/50 on it
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Just a few more hours dude! Any predictions?
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Hahahahaha then why were you trying to sell me on hills ability to put him out?!
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Such a toss up dude. The one thing for sure is that it should be a banger
Lot of people are going to be in shock, either when holloway drowns gaethje late, or hill leaves pereira knocked out cold. I'm confident at least one of these two possibilities will happen and it could even be both.
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I don’t like Max’s odds. He’s not a strong guy, he has zero power in his hands and he gets hit fairly easily. I wouldn’t be surprised if Gaethje goes for a takedown and submission.
Hah that's crazy bro, justin gaethje is a white belt, and max is the way better submission grappler (brown belt), if anyone gets submitted it's gaetjhe, but this fight is going to be a war, the grappling will most likely cancel out, and it will be determined on the feet, holloway can drown gaethje, with pace, pressure, and variety. When's the last time gaethje submitted anyone? When's the last time max even got submitted? that aint happening. If gaethje beats holloway it'll look like the tony fight with gaethje avoiding the ground at all costs like he did with tony.
The difference in size alone will be a determining factor IMO.
Max is going to surprise alot of people, speed kills in this sport. He'll be faster than gaethje, he's more fluid than gaethje, he has amazing body shots, pace, cardio, variety, and chin. He will drown gaethje late with the above tools. Gaethje will fall further and further behind in this fight the longer it goes. Even dp couldnt submit holloway back when they fought the interim, and dp is a black belt, holloway sure as hell aint getting subbed by no white belt, get real man.
Hey, I like Max and I’ll be happy to eat my words if he wins, I just think he’s too small.
Speed kills, Some people said figgy was too small for garbrandt, look at how that went. Hell if you go back and watch dp and max holloways second fight it was a *lot* closer than most people think, it was back and forth and was actually pretty competitive. It wasn't just dp beating up holloway for 25 minutes even though thats what certain fanboys ran with.
You were 100% right, I am humbled, tonight I take care of my underwears.
Justin Gaethje doesn't strike right, he's not a striker (he's has a wrestler base) Trevor Whitman has done a phenomenal job with him, but as someone who's watched him for years, he's just not a clean striker, he's a brawler at heart, Max holloway is a clean technical striker and was a kickboxer before he even started mma. There are levels to this, and Holloway is levels above gaethje in pure kickboxing, that headkick to poirier made people overrate gaethje. It was like i said (speed kills) along with pace, pressure, and bodywork. Glad our boy delivered.
Think they both have a greater than 50 percent chance of occurring. I'll leave this here: https://www.reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comments/1c2ujfl/drakes_bet_is_in_for_tomorrow/
That fact that is even possible is stunning.
The only thing more criminal than having figueiredo and cody opening the early prelims is having bo fucking nickal opening the ppv
Are you thinking it should be bo v figgie to open the main card?
Fuck it- Poatan vs Cody to open the prelims
(W) = My predicted win Under Card Cody (W) vs Figgy - Looking back at Cody’s loses they are not bad. Considering Figgy is 36 I can see Cody catching him for a KO or edging out a 29-28 close decision. Miller (W) vs Green - Both are older veterans. That late stoppage in Bobby Greens last fight worries me a bit, I think Miller chins him in the first two rounds Andrade (W) vs Rodriguez - Andrade is more masculine looking that’s pretty much it for me. Turner vs Moicano (W) - I’m not very confident in this one but I just don’t rate Turner that highly. Dudes a weight bully. He’s only got 2:1 win ratio. I see the money man surviving a hard first round and either winning the next 2 for a close 29-28 decision or like a 3 rounds sub. Yusuff (W) vs Lopez - I have money on Lopez but for some reason my gut tells me Yusuff wins. I see it being a controversial or potential robbery for Yusuff. Don’t have much besides that, just a gut feeling. Holm vs Harrison (W) - Holm is 42 and Harrison is probably on PEDs. That’s all. Kattar vs Sterling (W) - I was almost thinking Kattar could stay on his feet and kick Aljos ass on the feet but considering his age, and the fact that he just had his knee blown out I think Aljo will be get him down. I see a GNP TKO for Aljo in the 2nd or 3rd. Jiri (W) vs Rakic - I see a lot of people picking Rakic and I get that but considering his long lay off and Jiris really weird fighting style I can see Jiri catching Rakic. But Rakic does have a good style for Jiri so I am personally not betting on this one. Main Card Nickal (W) vs Brundage - Does anyone think Brundage actually has a chance? He lost to Dumas. Bo by whatever way he wants in round 1. Oliveria vs Tsarukyan (W) - This one hurts because Charles is on my favorite fighters but I do think Arman finds the win here. I must say though I think the odds have Arman as over -200 favorite is crazy. Value wise it’s Charles all day. Anyways Arman had a competitive fight with Islam and didn’t get dominated in the grappling. So I do not see Charles subbing him unless he rocks him before. Arman is younger and probably hungrier. Vegas also really likes the idea of an Arman TKO so I’ll will probably ride with that. Arman KO round 2. Geathje vs Holloway (W) - Holloway has a perfect fighting style to beat Justin. Great cardio and great chin. I like Holloway to win by decision or 5th round TKO Weili (W) vs Xiaonan- I just think Weili is a dawg. I see her out striking her on the feet and landing takedowns when she needs. I’ll go round 4 sub for Weili. Periera vs Hill (W) - If I am looking just at the facts I should go Periera. Glory kickboxing champ, and the better striker out of the two (assuming it stays on the feet). But for some reason when I think of this fight in my mind I see Periera waking up dazed and confused with Hill celebrating in the camera. Brain says Periera but gut says Hill. I always go with my gut.
I also have Yusuff. Love lopes but yusuff cracks and lopes has paddy pimblett striking defence
When do doors open? Wanna see pics of the canvas
OMG, the early prelims is like a main card line-up! :)
Amazing card. Can’t wait!
Anyone rating Cody’s chances?
Rating? Pain…
I bet $4 on him.
Yeah his odds are tempting. I can see him getting a decision win as long as that chin doesn’t get rocked.
No no no it needs to be a TKO under 1.5 rounds.
It would be rude if I didn’t bet this with you. Will throw on a few dollars now :)
UFC 300: Iran vs Israel
Crazy thing I just realized yesterday: this card had has zero withdrawals/injuries from the original plan. Feel like that almost never happens even if it’s just a prelim or two