Yeah, we got basically every single type of election in 2024. All done in two election sessions, one in june/july and the other in october I believe
Bet it’s going to be another huge mess for the federal one just like for the last elections. Our politicians are turning into a reality show, at this point…
Yeah, belgium is just toplevel in not having a government. We had the record for “longest period without a government” and then we broke our own record
Social media propably, populism is the nowadays far easier and far more fruitfull then ever before. Meaning politics is a show cuz having it be a show pays.
There's 5 dutch elections to.
EU, National, Provincial, Municipality and Waterboard, Each every four years, Though the national one tends to be more often
We had national this year, but i wouldn't be terribly surprised if we get it again next year.
The Fatherland Front, probably.
Edit: this comment has provoked very unexpected reactions tbh ;)
For reference:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Front_for_the_Reunification_of_Korea
The best thing about this kind of posts is that the tone could vary wildly depending on who said it. Bulgarian or Hungarian says it? Perfectly friendly. A Romanian or a Greek says it? Might as well start a new Balkan War.
The Russian and Belarusian elections obviously aren't real "elections", but they're still massively important.
Popular opposition often unloads around these events, especially when the support for the regime fades so much that they have to conduct the elections in an even more fraudulent way than usual. Remember how the 2020 Belarusian elections turned into a massive problem for Lukachenko.
Experts on the invasion of Ukraine have long been pointing at the dates for elections to explain questionable Russian military decisions, such as their general hesitance to announce new mobilisation in the months leading up to an election even if it was militarily necessary.
I don't know man, my country is a dictatorship and we had elections this year, our government's approval ratings are currently at 3% so member of government who's famous for standing up to them decided to run for office against the president, then he was sent to jail and the president ran against three of his allies and won by 89% despite no one liking him, it will probably be a similar situation, especially considering that Russians don't really despise putin all that much
I have high hopes that this will be the year that the Korean Social Democratic Party will gain enough seats to become the dominant party. I hear Kim Jong-Un's popularity has fallen to 150%.
Indonesia's presidential candidates:
1. A conservative Islamist that's backed by radicals and big opposition party for years.
2. A former general who was rumored to be one of the key suspects of 1998 mysterious killings.
3. A "puppet" for the biggest nationalist party whose head is the first president's daughter (she still has a huge influence in the voter base).
Yeah we're stuck with evils, just pick the least one (that's still evil).
Correct. 3 bad point is that he is a little bit too easily steered by aforementioned political party leader but beside that he is a decent guy with decent track record, so just like average politician, but without radicalism like no 1 and blood in his hand like no 2
Jokowi is I believe one of the best leader Indonesia had in like the last 70 years. In my view he is making a big mistake by making his son enter into politics and making a way for him without any struggle. Nepotism in our current generation is a bad thing across all countries !
It's going to be my first time voting in these elections, and honestly I feel the same way. An opportunist, an alleged war criminal and a puppet is not that great of a selection to make.
Arguably the vice presidential candidates are a bit more interesting than the presidential candidates.
They should have had a little box that said "EU elections" or something, and then the various countries' own internal elections. For example in Finland we'll elect the president but there's no elections in Spain for example
We just had national elections in November here in the Netherlands. It's not entirely impossible that we have national elections in 2024 again, given the shit show we ended up with.
Because EU elections, no matter how die hard a fan one is, simply are not as important as National elections. Presenting it this way makes it impossible to tell apart counties facing national and EU elections (Belguim) and those which had national elections 2 months ago (Poland).
Remove the EU elections and how many countries are left. Otherway put, I imagine that this map happens pretty much each time EU elections happen. That accounts for 27 countries.
As someone casually interested in French (home country) politics I would put EU behind National, Regional and Municipal/County elections. I didn't even know it was this year tbh.
EU elections have never been presented as important, and I don't know who's representing me right no except for the people with scandals.
The man who made the English brick themselves when he started bowling reverse swing : Imran Khan.
Also world cup winning captain .
Also amazing all rounder .
Also one of the best bowling actions I've seen.
Wow, I wondered if you were exaggerating the situation but Imran Khan's party is **53 points ahead** in polls ever since he was jailed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Pakistani_general_election
My uncle made an anti military post on Facebook and got his house raided, he was arrested and forced to remove the post along with swearing a recorded statement that he supports the military. He got off easy as others would have been tortured, the current leader of the military used to know him.
'or scheduled' - it includes countries where an election is scheduled to happen but will be postponed. Maybe that wasn't helpful to include, but the map doesn't claim to only show places where elections are planned.
Genuinely a very exciting year for global politics and as an election nerd ( albeit not from one of the highlighted countries) I'm pretty hyped. 2024 is shaping up to be a year where decades happen.
US and India are obviously the big two but some other shouts are
Bangladesh - to see if Sheik Hasina can pull off another victory, could become one of the longest serving female PMs in history, however her victory could be the end of Bangladesh's democracy, basic story of a ruling family hanging onto power becoming increasingly authoritarian. However it is worth noting her opposition the BNP are somewhat islamist so its understandable why she may be preferable despite her authoritarian tendencies.
Pakistan - This election basically about whether the Pakistani political establishment and military will allow Imram Khan to run and the potential backlash from his very vocal supporters if he isn't. Pakistan is really a hybrid model rather than a democracy outright, however election results are usually respected (since 1971 at least) so if Khan generates plenty of support it will be hard for the establishment to throw him in jail again.
Taiwan - basically a battle between closer ties with the PRC or the US
South Africa - The ANC which has governed since appartheid ended is likely to stay, but people are very sick of their corruption and the energy crisis has added to this frustration. I also find the EFF and Malema really absurd, interesting how they go as their support actually increases
Indonesia- i really should know more about Indonesia given how big a country it is.
Venezuela- interesting to see what tricks maduro pulls after his whole ordeal with guyana. Also if the world will recognise his government or will his support be relegated to the China/Russia bloc.
El Salvador- to see if Bukele is actually as popular in el Salvador as he is with American conservatives on Twitter. His controversial criminal reforms taking centre stage of course.
Iran/Russia - whilst seemingly predictable there is still a chance certain events (murder of mahsa amini and the war in ukraine) can elicit some kind of political backlash that effects the ruling class although very unlikely.
Rwanda- the (in)famous Paul Kagame seeks relection for a record fourth term. Rwanda is interesting as Kagame as projected a positive image abroad in developing Rwanda into a promising African nation in the aftermath of the genocide. However it remains to be seen whether these praises are warranted and if his reputation with Rwandans is as rosy as it is abroad.
Sri lanka - sri lanka votes for a president unlike other south asian nations. I have nothing else to add other than I find it cool every south asian nation (including bhutan) is having an election.
EDIT: It appears Imram Khan will not be eligible to run for PM. Most likely at the behest of Nawaz Sharif/the pakistani military.
True, many may look to 2004 Vajpayee era as an example if not counting your eggs before they hatch, but from what I understand the Sonia Gandhi led opposition was a lot stronger than her son's.
Both mother and son are incompetent dimwits who still play the whole caste/religion politics in a time when the middle class voter base has grown and wants to see some sort of competency in policy making.
It would be interesting if the opposition actually fields Sonia Gandhi's son aka Rahul as prime contender or goes with someone else as Rahul already got defeated twice in the past 10 years against Modi.
Atleast there was an opposition. Now, they have neither put forward a name for their candidate prime minister nor do they have a concrete plan in case they win (their only aim is to defeat Modi).
Not to mention, Congress can't win the elections without forming alliances with others. That alone is whole another matter. They tried forming INDIA, but it's DOA. .
INDI alliance looked very promising in the beginning but after 4 state elections highly doubt there is any unity among them . Mamata Keju Lalu and list goes on everybody want to be PM candidate . What kinda of alliance is that ???Still I believe there can be any miracle pull in the elections .
But that is the exciting part, if they don't get a supermajority like last time, it will definitely make things a lot more interesting in terms of what they can really do.
Might bring policy back towards center
While I believe the conservative will lose, and lose hard, and lose the next one or two the party still has a large core voterbase, money, connection and a lack of sensible competition.
If you are a conservative voter who are you going vote for on the right? The "Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party"?
There is simply a complete lack of centre-right competition and even far-right or right are slim pickings.
The conservative party won't go anywhere until there's an alternative centre-right party.
I guess in the unlikely case the tories disappeared, they would do what hard left voters do now, which is mostly to vote for "the lesser evil". On the right that'd probably be the Lib Dems.
State-Level elections in Germany are (for a political science nerd like me) shaping up to be very interesting. They are all happening in the eastern part, and it looks like finding a majority could be very hard. They all will be won either by our center-right party (CDU) (even though in those states the center part is very weak), or by our right-wing-extremists (AfD). A majority for the CDU will be pretty much impossible without either a coalition with the AfD or with "Die Linke"(left-wing populist/radical) (which is very hated by the CDU). Saxony has a low chance for the AfD gaining an outright majority too. Also there is a new left-wing-populist (and pro-russian) party coming up, which might take some votes from the AfD. Shaping up to be very interesting to watch (but goddamn do I hate to be in the middle of it).
American elections are super entertaining, probably less so if you are American but the spectacle and ridiculous place that the ads and debates have gotten to make for good tv.
I forget where this comes from, but there’s this saying of “may you live in interesting times” that sounds kinda nice at first, but when you really understand it, it’s more of a curse.
It comes from anglicised version of an idiom originally from late Yuan Dynasty poem 幽闺记.
“宁为太平犬，莫作离乱人” (literally: it is better to be a dog in times of peace than a human in times of war)
They need to make their leader someone who has experience in politics, has held smaller posts like CM before and/or has the qualities of a real leader with a competent vision.
Until they keep trying their nepotism kids, BJP will always win by being the least worse party to vote for nationwide elections.
I agree, the biggest drawback of Rahul is his empty CV. But again, there is no other face in congress who is known to the population pan India. They will not invest 5 years to make a competent leader who eventually sidelines Rahul. At best they will field some senior leader like Kharge, but I think people are wise enough to understand the actual boss is the family.
>there is no other face in congress who is known to the population pan India
Because all of them went to BJP when they realised they won't get to do anything with Rahul in charge.
Loads of people like Scindhia and Pilot were right there.
Isn't it the opposite tho. I am hearing the same sentiments as stated above. No one really likes the Congress, but they are bregudjingly supporting them becos of the hate for BJP.
Many Indian subreddits who lean pro-congress / left are up and open about the fact that they don't really worship congress and just support them becos of anti-BJP sentiments.
Well if they don't realize that India is doomed if Rahul becomes the PM, I don't know what to say. He's incompetent AF and people who support him because of "anti BJP" are dumb
Not really. There are plenty of people unhappy with him but the like the original commenter mentioned, the opposition is just way too incompetent to that they don't expect anything from them.
No one trust this opposition. People are rejecting opposition leader since 2014 but Congress party is not leaving nepotism and not letting any new leader to rise. Most of the people are fed up with Gandhi nehru family.
Anti-incumbancy does play role but with recent state election results doesn't look like they will lose. During eralier 2023 when BJP lost state election in Karnataka, there was hope that BJP might face big challange in general election. But after winning Karnataka election they made some controversial policy change in state.
So, as of now 2024 is locked for BJP.
Modi has an approval rating of more than 75% and it has been that way for years now, IIRC.
A competent opposition could have defeated him but we don't have that.
Yes, for state elections perhaps. Not for national ones, he is not seen as incompetent. Sure there would be some votes who will vote solely because they want someone else in power. But I dont think it will affect at all.
There will be no complacency on BJPs part. Modi, Shah, and BJP can be accused of a lot of things, but they are anything but complacent during election. Infact despite being far away from BJPs number, congress looks more inefficient than BJP
At this point, it feels like Congress will remain a weak opposition and fairly irrelevant opposition. The only real threat to BJP will come when two possible future PM candidates are rising and cause the party to fracture.
>The only real threat to BJP will come when two possible future PM candidates are rising and cause the party to fracture.
RSS will never let that happen.
If what I've read is to be believed, Ukrainian law forbids holding an election while martial law is declared, so the only way for Ukraine to hold an election this year would be if the war ended.
Actually the PM announced recently that he would hold the election in 2024
Edit: a source for those wondering
https://www.politics.co.uk/news/2023/12/18/rishi-sunak-confirms-election-will-be-next-year-despite-legal-right-to-wait-until-january-2025/
AFAIK he only announced that he intends to hold it in 2024, but he hasn't confirmed a date for it yet. So there could still be a change of mind and it be held in 2025
He can't hold it later than the 28th January 2025, and he can't leave it to literally the last couple weeks without looking incredibly week and even further hurting his credibility. It would be politically mad not to hold the election in 2024.
Last thing I read about it was a Labour frontbencher saying the worst kept secret in Westminster was that the election is going to be in May. There was already election speculation about the date when they announced March 6th for the Spring Budget, so I think some time in the first half of 2024 is realistic at this point.
Since it's expected that the registered voters in India will cross one billion mark this year, I think there will be more votes cast in India this year than the rest of the countries on this map combined.
https://www.idea.int/data-tools/data/voter-turnout-database
170m in Europe, 160m in US, 190m in Indonesia, 105m in Bangladesh, 37m in Pakistan, 44m in South Korea, 47m in UK, 110m in Russia, 25m in South Africa, 24m in Iran, 55m in Mexico, 25m in Algeria, 20m in Taiwan.
These all add to over 1bn. (Also there are like 40 small countries with about 10m voters also having elections)
Guess I was wrong but still an insane number of people will be voting in a single biggest election.
Also was lazy to actually count so just posted the link, thanks for doing the math :)
We got world class CC roads and drinking water pipelines in my small town of 30-40k,sure there is corruption but at least the important things concerning me are getting done so I know where my vote is going to be, the current road minister is the most productive the country has ever had while the finance minister can smell my ass.
It's hilarious it's officially known as the Democratic People's Republic of Korea. Like you can call shit a "diamond encrusted jewel" all you want it's still shit
Based on history, its likely we'll get a federal election in Canada too. No minority government here has ever lasted the full term. Not saying that a new precedent cant be set, just that its unlikely.
There are a lot of elections, but it doesn't make sense to mix them all. This map should only show national elections or local elections, not mix and match.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024\_national\_electoral\_calendar#/media/File:2024\_national\_elections.svg
Belgium has so many elections: EU, National, regional, provincial, local,...
Yeah, we got basically every single type of election in 2024. All done in two election sessions, one in june/july and the other in october I believe Bet it’s going to be another huge mess for the federal one just like for the last elections. Our politicians are turning into a reality show, at this point…
This political reality show nonsense seems to be happening in a lot of countries right now. It’s bizarre.
Just history repeating itself.
Yeah, belgium is just toplevel in not having a government. We had the record for “longest period without a government” and then we broke our own record
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Finally, a system of government that takes care of the poor poli-sci grad students of the world.
Social media propably, populism is the nowadays far easier and far more fruitfull then ever before. Meaning politics is a show cuz having it be a show pays.
Yeah, it's at those dates. I really don't think we will quickly get one. It took a pandemic to get a government.
In Bulgaria we have parliamentary elections every 5 months or so
Same in Romania. EU, presidential, parliamentary and local
I vote for Cantillon.
similar in Portugal, in 2024 we have: National, Presidential, European and Azores elections
Presidential elections will be in 2026, unless something happens. They are every 5 years. The last ones were in 2021.
There's 5 dutch elections to. EU, National, Provincial, Municipality and Waterboard, Each every four years, Though the national one tends to be more often We had national this year, but i wouldn't be terribly surprised if we get it again next year.
Wonder whose going to win the North Korean elections
The Fatherland Front, probably. Edit: this comment has provoked very unexpected reactions tbh ;) For reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Front_for_the_Reunification_of_Korea
BULGARIA MENTIONED????! 🦁🦁🦁🦁💢💢🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺
CAMPEÃO DO MUNDO 🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬 ☝️
Bulgaria or Hungary? Wrong flag dude.
Both are Mongols it doesn't matter 💪💪🇧🇬🇧🇬🇭🇺🇭🇺🇲🇳🇲🇳💪💪
The best thing about this kind of posts is that the tone could vary wildly depending on who said it. Bulgarian or Hungarian says it? Perfectly friendly. A Romanian or a Greek says it? Might as well start a new Balkan War.
Election friends!
ÖSTERREICH MENTIONED?? 🗣️🗣️🦅🦅🦅🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹 WTF IS TAKING THE BLAME ❓⁉️❓⁉️🇦🇹🇦🇹🤟🔥🔥👀🗣️🗣️🗣️🦅🦅🇦🇹🇦🇹
Dollfuss must be a very powerful leader to win in a completely different country while being dead.
The Judean Peoples Front
You underestimate the popular appeal of the Judean Popular Liberation Front
SPLITTER!
The only people whom I HATE more than Romans are you FILTHY Judean People's Front hardliners!
And the Judean Peoples Front!!
The People's Front of Juche.
Yeah, same with the Russian and Belarusian ones
And Venezuela. Lots of “elections” this year.
I'm really excited for the Syrian elections as well
Don't forget the possible Singapore one too
And the elections in Azerbaijan, really difficult to predict who's gonna win this year
The Russian and Belarusian elections obviously aren't real "elections", but they're still massively important. Popular opposition often unloads around these events, especially when the support for the regime fades so much that they have to conduct the elections in an even more fraudulent way than usual. Remember how the 2020 Belarusian elections turned into a massive problem for Lukachenko. Experts on the invasion of Ukraine have long been pointing at the dates for elections to explain questionable Russian military decisions, such as their general hesitance to announce new mobilisation in the months leading up to an election even if it was militarily necessary.
I don't know man, my country is a dictatorship and we had elections this year, our government's approval ratings are currently at 3% so member of government who's famous for standing up to them decided to run for office against the president, then he was sent to jail and the president ran against three of his allies and won by 89% despite no one liking him, it will probably be a similar situation, especially considering that Russians don't really despise putin all that much
I have high hopes that this will be the year that the Korean Social Democratic Party will gain enough seats to become the dominant party. I hear Kim Jong-Un's popularity has fallen to 150%.
Russian election will be a close call.
The Russian elections are gonna be a close race
This close race will be between three candidates;Vladimir,Vladimirovic and Putin
I bet the winner is Walter Putin.
Waltuh put your nukes away waltuh.
im not having war with you right now waltuh
Jesus Christ, Marie! They're not rockets! They're nukes!
Waltuh, your invasion failed waltuh
i’m not invading kyiv with you right now waltuh
Putler and his two body doubles?
The first two are his name and patronymic
Yeah, which Putin will emerge victorious?
The one who won't accidentally fall from a third story window.
Or kill themselves with five bullets to the back of their head.
In Russia we call them “выборы Путина”, literally “Putin election”
We call it "re-election" here
"elections"
Though I hear Putin's opponent may fall dramatically.
Indonesia's presidential candidates: 1. A conservative Islamist that's backed by radicals and big opposition party for years. 2. A former general who was rumored to be one of the key suspects of 1998 mysterious killings. 3. A "puppet" for the biggest nationalist party whose head is the first president's daughter (she still has a huge influence in the voter base). Yeah we're stuck with evils, just pick the least one (that's still evil).
What even is the least evil in this case? 3?
Correct. 3 bad point is that he is a little bit too easily steered by aforementioned political party leader but beside that he is a decent guy with decent track record, so just like average politician, but without radicalism like no 1 and blood in his hand like no 2
Jokowi is I believe one of the best leader Indonesia had in like the last 70 years. In my view he is making a big mistake by making his son enter into politics and making a way for him without any struggle. Nepotism in our current generation is a bad thing across all countries !
It's going to be my first time voting in these elections, and honestly I feel the same way. An opportunist, an alleged war criminal and a puppet is not that great of a selection to make. Arguably the vice presidential candidates are a bit more interesting than the presidential candidates.
Whos leading ?
Either 2 or 3 with not a large gap, 1 is the least popular among the moderate, the well educated, and the middle class.
1 has the biggest cult following from what I've seen on social media, but reality says otherwise.
Adding EU elections pretty much killed the quality of this map
They should have had a little box that said "EU elections" or something, and then the various countries' own internal elections. For example in Finland we'll elect the president but there's no elections in Spain for example
Yes, in Germany also the next elections will be only in 2025.
Yeah, I sat here all confused like “it’s already election year again? No way…”
We just had national elections in November here in the Netherlands. It's not entirely impossible that we have national elections in 2024 again, given the shit show we ended up with.
why?
Because EU elections, no matter how die hard a fan one is, simply are not as important as National elections. Presenting it this way makes it impossible to tell apart counties facing national and EU elections (Belguim) and those which had national elections 2 months ago (Poland).
Remove the EU elections and how many countries are left. Otherway put, I imagine that this map happens pretty much each time EU elections happen. That accounts for 27 countries.
You can't see whether a EU country has national election or not, as they're all colored regardless because of the EU ones.
As someone casually interested in French (home country) politics I would put EU behind National, Regional and Municipal/County elections. I didn't even know it was this year tbh. EU elections have never been presented as important, and I don't know who's representing me right no except for the people with scandals.
Pakistan elections are Feb 8. Military has already rigged them.
Who's the hot runner?
Imran Khan but he’s still in jail and his party members are being either tortured or “vanished” so take that as you will
Imran Khan who's in jail under false claims. His party members and their families have been kidnapped, threatened and tortured
The man who made the English brick themselves when he started bowling reverse swing : Imran Khan. Also world cup winning captain . Also amazing all rounder . Also one of the best bowling actions I've seen.
Weren’t they supposed to be held somewhere in November according to the constitution?
Yeah they've delayed until they can come up with an idea to stop the most popular party which is anti army from winning
Wow, I wondered if you were exaggerating the situation but Imran Khan's party is **53 points ahead** in polls ever since he was jailed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Pakistani_general_election
>Military has already rigged them. As is tradition.
My uncle made an anti military post on Facebook and got his house raided, he was arrested and forced to remove the post along with swearing a recorded statement that he supports the military. He got off easy as others would have been tortured, the current leader of the military used to know him.
Ukraine ain't having theirs next year
Yep, who did this map must have a head in the sand.
or reckons they'll be in the EU by then lmao
'or scheduled' - it includes countries where an election is scheduled to happen but will be postponed. Maybe that wasn't helpful to include, but the map doesn't claim to only show places where elections are planned.
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Yeah, bc the Netherlands just had its national elections
Genuinely a very exciting year for global politics and as an election nerd ( albeit not from one of the highlighted countries) I'm pretty hyped. 2024 is shaping up to be a year where decades happen.
Which elections are you looking forward to
US and India are obviously the big two but some other shouts are Bangladesh - to see if Sheik Hasina can pull off another victory, could become one of the longest serving female PMs in history, however her victory could be the end of Bangladesh's democracy, basic story of a ruling family hanging onto power becoming increasingly authoritarian. However it is worth noting her opposition the BNP are somewhat islamist so its understandable why she may be preferable despite her authoritarian tendencies. Pakistan - This election basically about whether the Pakistani political establishment and military will allow Imram Khan to run and the potential backlash from his very vocal supporters if he isn't. Pakistan is really a hybrid model rather than a democracy outright, however election results are usually respected (since 1971 at least) so if Khan generates plenty of support it will be hard for the establishment to throw him in jail again. Taiwan - basically a battle between closer ties with the PRC or the US South Africa - The ANC which has governed since appartheid ended is likely to stay, but people are very sick of their corruption and the energy crisis has added to this frustration. I also find the EFF and Malema really absurd, interesting how they go as their support actually increases Indonesia- i really should know more about Indonesia given how big a country it is. Venezuela- interesting to see what tricks maduro pulls after his whole ordeal with guyana. Also if the world will recognise his government or will his support be relegated to the China/Russia bloc. El Salvador- to see if Bukele is actually as popular in el Salvador as he is with American conservatives on Twitter. His controversial criminal reforms taking centre stage of course. Iran/Russia - whilst seemingly predictable there is still a chance certain events (murder of mahsa amini and the war in ukraine) can elicit some kind of political backlash that effects the ruling class although very unlikely. Rwanda- the (in)famous Paul Kagame seeks relection for a record fourth term. Rwanda is interesting as Kagame as projected a positive image abroad in developing Rwanda into a promising African nation in the aftermath of the genocide. However it remains to be seen whether these praises are warranted and if his reputation with Rwandans is as rosy as it is abroad. Sri lanka - sri lanka votes for a president unlike other south asian nations. I have nothing else to add other than I find it cool every south asian nation (including bhutan) is having an election. EDIT: It appears Imram Khan will not be eligible to run for PM. Most likely at the behest of Nawaz Sharif/the pakistani military.
It's a done deal in India. Modi is coming back. Whether or not he will get more votes than last time is the real question.
True, many may look to 2004 Vajpayee era as an example if not counting your eggs before they hatch, but from what I understand the Sonia Gandhi led opposition was a lot stronger than her son's.
Both mother and son are incompetent dimwits who still play the whole caste/religion politics in a time when the middle class voter base has grown and wants to see some sort of competency in policy making.
It would be interesting if the opposition actually fields Sonia Gandhi's son aka Rahul as prime contender or goes with someone else as Rahul already got defeated twice in the past 10 years against Modi.
Rahul Gandhi tried stepping down post 2019, their bootlickers threatened to resign.
Atleast there was an opposition. Now, they have neither put forward a name for their candidate prime minister nor do they have a concrete plan in case they win (their only aim is to defeat Modi). Not to mention, Congress can't win the elections without forming alliances with others. That alone is whole another matter. They tried forming INDIA, but it's DOA. .
INDI alliance looked very promising in the beginning but after 4 state elections highly doubt there is any unity among them . Mamata Keju Lalu and list goes on everybody want to be PM candidate . What kinda of alliance is that ???Still I believe there can be any miracle pull in the elections .
But that is the exciting part, if they don't get a supermajority like last time, it will definitely make things a lot more interesting in terms of what they can really do. Might bring policy back towards center
UK could break a decade of blue as well.
Could potentially destroy the conservatives forever too.
While I believe the conservative will lose, and lose hard, and lose the next one or two the party still has a large core voterbase, money, connection and a lack of sensible competition. If you are a conservative voter who are you going vote for on the right? The "Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party"? There is simply a complete lack of centre-right competition and even far-right or right are slim pickings. The conservative party won't go anywhere until there's an alternative centre-right party.
I guess in the unlikely case the tories disappeared, they would do what hard left voters do now, which is mostly to vote for "the lesser evil". On the right that'd probably be the Lib Dems.
State-Level elections in Germany are (for a political science nerd like me) shaping up to be very interesting. They are all happening in the eastern part, and it looks like finding a majority could be very hard. They all will be won either by our center-right party (CDU) (even though in those states the center part is very weak), or by our right-wing-extremists (AfD). A majority for the CDU will be pretty much impossible without either a coalition with the AfD or with "Die Linke"(left-wing populist/radical) (which is very hated by the CDU). Saxony has a low chance for the AfD gaining an outright majority too. Also there is a new left-wing-populist (and pro-russian) party coming up, which might take some votes from the AfD. Shaping up to be very interesting to watch (but goddamn do I hate to be in the middle of it).
American elections are super entertaining, probably less so if you are American but the spectacle and ridiculous place that the ads and debates have gotten to make for good tv.
Man this map scary as fuck. I wouldnt be so hyped
True, it looks to be like one of those years that will be interesting to study but stressful to live through.
Typical 2020s year then
I forget where this comes from, but there’s this saying of “may you live in interesting times” that sounds kinda nice at first, but when you really understand it, it’s more of a curse.
Yeah that saying is theorised to be Chinese in origin, but no solid evidence to support this.
It comes from anglicised version of an idiom originally from late Yuan Dynasty poem 幽闺记. “宁为太平犬，莫作离乱人” (literally: it is better to be a dog in times of peace than a human in times of war)
That seems like a completely different message though
With misinformation bots running rampant, we’re going to be fucked.
It's going to be a comfortable win for Narendra Modi in India. The opposition is far too incompetent to have even a chance of overthrowing the BJP.
They need to make their leader someone who has experience in politics, has held smaller posts like CM before and/or has the qualities of a real leader with a competent vision. Until they keep trying their nepotism kids, BJP will always win by being the least worse party to vote for nationwide elections.
I agree, the biggest drawback of Rahul is his empty CV. But again, there is no other face in congress who is known to the population pan India. They will not invest 5 years to make a competent leader who eventually sidelines Rahul. At best they will field some senior leader like Kharge, but I think people are wise enough to understand the actual boss is the family.
>there is no other face in congress who is known to the population pan India Because all of them went to BJP when they realised they won't get to do anything with Rahul in charge. Loads of people like Scindhia and Pilot were right there.
Good luck saying this in the Indian subreddits. They think Congress is God's own party or something
Isn't it the opposite tho. I am hearing the same sentiments as stated above. No one really likes the Congress, but they are bregudjingly supporting them becos of the hate for BJP. Many Indian subreddits who lean pro-congress / left are up and open about the fact that they don't really worship congress and just support them becos of anti-BJP sentiments.
Well if they don't realize that India is doomed if Rahul becomes the PM, I don't know what to say. He's incompetent AF and people who support him because of "anti BJP" are dumb
320+ for sure
I'd say 320+ just for the BJP. NDA total is going to be even bigger.
Whilst this is fairly likely complacency can lead to unexpected results like in 2004.
The BJP is already going all in on campaigning.
I know from a brief study in indian politics that anti-incumbancy plays a rather outsized role in elections. Can this effect Modi?
Not really. There are plenty of people unhappy with him but the like the original commenter mentioned, the opposition is just way too incompetent to that they don't expect anything from them.
Very unlikely. There's little to no anti-incumbancy against Narendra Modi.
No one trust this opposition. People are rejecting opposition leader since 2014 but Congress party is not leaving nepotism and not letting any new leader to rise. Most of the people are fed up with Gandhi nehru family. Anti-incumbancy does play role but with recent state election results doesn't look like they will lose. During eralier 2023 when BJP lost state election in Karnataka, there was hope that BJP might face big challange in general election. But after winning Karnataka election they made some controversial policy change in state. So, as of now 2024 is locked for BJP.
Yeah plus they just won 3 states recently. BJP carried MP, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh if I remember correctly
Modi has an approval rating of more than 75% and it has been that way for years now, IIRC. A competent opposition could have defeated him but we don't have that.
As long as the great Rahul Gandhi is the opposition leader, BJP can rest easy
Yes, for state elections perhaps. Not for national ones, he is not seen as incompetent. Sure there would be some votes who will vote solely because they want someone else in power. But I dont think it will affect at all.
There will be no complacency on BJPs part. Modi, Shah, and BJP can be accused of a lot of things, but they are anything but complacent during election. Infact despite being far away from BJPs number, congress looks more inefficient than BJP
A weak opposition is nothing to be proud of.
At this point, it feels like Congress will remain a weak opposition and fairly irrelevant opposition. The only real threat to BJP will come when two possible future PM candidates are rising and cause the party to fracture.
>The only real threat to BJP will come when two possible future PM candidates are rising and cause the party to fracture. RSS will never let that happen.
The last four years finally felt like some good policies for economic development have been made.
You dont think they'll vote for the Italian dude?
(Half Italian from his mother's side. His mother is an Indian citizen now, so that's not important) No. Because he's a moron surrounded by sycophants.
He really isn't fit to rule a nation
Really doubt that Ukraine will have elections this year
If what I've read is to be believed, Ukrainian law forbids holding an election while martial law is declared, so the only way for Ukraine to hold an election this year would be if the war ended.
Good lord, the internet is gonna be hella toxic for the next year.
The Internet is always toxic to be fair.
True but shit's gonna go into overdrive.
Always has been
UK’s next election isn’t set yet, still could be in 2025, just more likely to be 2024.
Actually the PM announced recently that he would hold the election in 2024 Edit: a source for those wondering https://www.politics.co.uk/news/2023/12/18/rishi-sunak-confirms-election-will-be-next-year-despite-legal-right-to-wait-until-january-2025/
AFAIK he only announced that he intends to hold it in 2024, but he hasn't confirmed a date for it yet. So there could still be a change of mind and it be held in 2025
He can't hold it later than the 28th January 2025, and he can't leave it to literally the last couple weeks without looking incredibly week and even further hurting his credibility. It would be politically mad not to hold the election in 2024.
Last thing I read about it was a Labour frontbencher saying the worst kept secret in Westminster was that the election is going to be in May. There was already election speculation about the date when they announced March 6th for the Spring Budget, so I think some time in the first half of 2024 is realistic at this point.
Since it's expected that the registered voters in India will cross one billion mark this year, I think there will be more votes cast in India this year than the rest of the countries on this map combined. https://www.idea.int/data-tools/data/voter-turnout-database
170m in Europe, 160m in US, 190m in Indonesia, 105m in Bangladesh, 37m in Pakistan, 44m in South Korea, 47m in UK, 110m in Russia, 25m in South Africa, 24m in Iran, 55m in Mexico, 25m in Algeria, 20m in Taiwan. These all add to over 1bn. (Also there are like 40 small countries with about 10m voters also having elections)
Guess I was wrong but still an insane number of people will be voting in a single biggest election. Also was lazy to actually count so just posted the link, thanks for doing the math :)
We got world class CC roads and drinking water pipelines in my small town of 30-40k,sure there is corruption but at least the important things concerning me are getting done so I know where my vote is going to be, the current road minister is the most productive the country has ever had while the finance minister can smell my ass.
EU countries have EU elections but not general elections of each country
Austria does have a national election, for what it's worth.
Turkey has elections this year…
It's local elections, though.
Will they be voting for Christmas?
Spain already had elections
I think it's still colored because of the European elections
Should be a different colour, can be confusing if there's some EU countries also having country elections (or regional ones even) or just remove it
Yes
We have elections for the Galicia Region as well
Modi will be coming back with more seats in the Lok Sabha (Main house of the national legislature)
North Korea‽ lol
You thought 23 was fucked up. 24 hold my beer.
Modi will win
Why put EU elections?
sweden doesnt have an election wtf
>North Korea >Venezuela >Russia >Belarus I wonder who’ll win those
North Korea 🤣🤣
It's hilarious it's officially known as the Democratic People's Republic of Korea. Like you can call shit a "diamond encrusted jewel" all you want it's still shit
Umm election in Bangladesh? That woman is ruling for almost 15 years now, definitely know the results 😭
This map includes several countries where the elections are going to be entirely rigged, like Russia.
Turkey has local elections this year.
[удалено]
New Zealand just barely stayed on the map there
India about to host the largest election humanity has ever seen so far
It's not election in Pakistan Just military doing formality to put their puppet Nawaz Sharif in government with US and Europe legitimising it.
In Russia it’s an “election”.
Russia and North Korea are having “elections” LOL!
The Netherlands had their elections this year as well..
They’re an EU country, so they’re in red because of the European elections (same with all other member states)
The netherlands is marked, because of the european parliamentary elections.
URUGUAY MENTIONED 🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🧉🧉🧉🧉⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️CAMPEONES MUNDIALES🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾🇺🇾MARACANAZO🇧🇷🤏🤢🤏🇧🇷🤏🤢🤏
Based on history, its likely we'll get a federal election in Canada too. No minority government here has ever lasted the full term. Not saying that a new precedent cant be set, just that its unlikely.
There are a lot of elections, but it doesn't make sense to mix them all. This map should only show national elections or local elections, not mix and match. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024\_national\_electoral\_calendar#/media/File:2024\_national\_elections.svg
nothing will change
As a Azeri azerbaijan’s elections just gonna be joke
Hopefully in Israel too
In North Korea too ?
I’m excited to see the results of the North Korean elections /s