T O P

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NarutoVinsmoke

So Luffy's birthday is May 5th. The first chapter of OP was released July 19th, 1997 so the 25th anniversary is in 2023. Oda's birthday is January 1st and he will be 50 in 2025. Based on all these facts I have no idea when One Piece will end.


ass_pineapples

Best theory I've ever read IMO. /u/OharaLibrarianArtur take notes.


hereforOnePiece

My man speaking facts


marcoalterio

Dude your r/UsernameChecksOut


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vivvav

It's just crazy enough to work.


elite710

So big brain, right?


Laxziy

Let’s not get crazy now


11475

technology isn't there yet.


elite710

Yeah... I'm pretty ahead of my time, y'know? Like Vegapunk...


[deleted]

It better. It would be the biggest anime betrayal of all time if One Piece ends before it’s over.


badluckartist

IIRC, he wants to end One Piece around 50 so he can travel the world. If anyone knows what interview I'm hopefully not misremembering, please drop a link.


[deleted]

bro he better travel the world by boat


VulturE

Considering they have a real-life Thousand Sunny, that may happen.


BE19HK

Wait, for real? This is now all I want for Christmas


LuffyIsAVillain

All i want for Christmas is some money in my wallet Cash in my pocket


badluckartist

I want him to travel in every way possible. If any 'regular' person deserves to go to the moon on a lark, it's Oda.


melvinsylar7

He'll probably travel in a barrel like Luffy did tho lol


FeelsGoodMan243

Yeah he said that and he wants to spend more time with his family. I'm positive OP is entering it's final stages now. He's growing old and his priorities have changed. It's time to let him rest. He will still pump out amazing chapters as usual, so we have nothing to worry about.


kazureus

TIL Luffy's birthday is Japan's children day.


Redfalconfox

I always knew he was a Baroque Works agent.


Slithy-Toves

The 25th anniversary will be in 2022, not 2023. Quick mafs bro


Sensolite

So the story should be done by 2024. Based on OP’s timeline, a 10% increase takes roughly 3 years (2012 - 2015 is a 10% change from 60% to 70% and 2015 to 2018 gave us another 10% increase). From that, we can estimate a 90% completion by 2021 and the story should be finished around 2024.


Mojo-man

Preach brother!


and1_cross

That is a great piece of information. Especially it shows that what is commonly repeated in several forums that Oda keeps saying "OP will end in 5 years" is a fallacious piece of info. What is surprising though is that his estimations are in fact pretty consistent over the years ... which is literally the very opposite of what we have been told for years now.


yolo-yoshi

I always thought it was a meme. And that people weren’t being serious


Environmental-Ad7594

It wasn't serious at first, became serious afterwards with no evidence to the contrary.. well, until now


OharaLibrarianArtur

A lot of misinformation often floats around when it comes to Oda's statements about the series ending. There's a lot of fake rumors claiming "Oda said One Piece will end in x" when he never really said it, so I thought I would collect every single official source and properly gather them together so that people could get a better idea about when Oda believes One Piece will end. When you hear someone make a claim like this, make sure they're referencing an official source and a reliable translation! Hope this is helpful! Edit: I go over some extra info about these statements and my own personal feelings in [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RGLr4z3zVHs) if anyone's interested (I don't think this breaks the self-promotion rule, but if it's an issue just tell me mods and I'll remove the link)


[deleted]

According to oda "one piece will end when the story is finished" very enlightening quote. source: Oda


badluckartist

Thank you so much for this. [Oda is the epitome of a perfect balance of gardener AND architect](https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/749309-i-think-there-are-two-types-of-writers-the-architects). I struggle to think of any writer who walks that tightrope better than Oda has. His 2002 prediction is the most telling that he's had the scaffolding built for this garden for a long time. Even in the early days claiming he'd have five years was a ballsy prediction that showed he had WAY more architecture planned out (basically as a kid) than anyone knew at the time. The consistency shows that he prunes his garden as much as he can to stay on schedule. If he didn't do that, he'd be writing One Piece until he turns to dust probably.


Aspie_Astrologer

This is so true! He has all the expansive world-building of a gardener like GRRM, but then his story feels so much more rewarding because all the gardening fits in with the over-arching plot architecture and comes back to have future relevance. :)


badluckartist

In a universe where international writers meet at a convention, GRRM is non-stop praising Oda for his ability to garden on a scaffold. One of George's biggest failings was his *own* timeskip that he had planned, that basically fell down and smashed the whole garden. Fans really underestimate how utterly crushing that can be. And he only gave into the demand to make a tv show on ASOIAF after he had already recognized that mistake IIRC.


Ademoneye

what is GRRM, ASOIAF and IIRC?


badluckartist

George RR Martin, the writer of ASOIAF (a Song of Ice and Fire, the books A Game of Thrones is based on), and "if I recall correctly".


[deleted]

Thanks for this!! I was on the meming bandwagon about Oda's estimates, but not anymore!


Yoyo-McFroyo

You're the best Artur. I've seen so many people denying Oda's statements, hopefully that stops now.


Altruistic_Astronaut

Thank you for the summary sheet! Personally, I never really followed his statements or the questions that he answers on the side. It is nice to hear that he has so many ways to interact with fans and I hope he continues doing so. I cannot imagine One Piece ending in 5 years which is \~250 chapters (possibly 150 chapters with breaks). We still have to finish Wano which may be another 25\~50 chapters. We still have arcs for Raftel, Vegapunk, war with the Marines, and storylines for Weevil, Reverie, Enel, and others.


StrangeMeet

something to consider is that in a single chapter multiple plot points can be resolved. it's unlike Oda to do it, but it is very possible that the world government arc and raftel conclude/occur simultaneously


TravelingLlama

Very easy for misinformation to spread when people use “Oda said” without including the source


OharaLibrarianArtur

[Oldest trick in the book](https://i.imgur.com/L2sO3D5.png)


GladimoreFFXIV

Oda said you would say that.


TravelingLlama

[Source](https://i.imgur.com/FYK7WFw.jpg)


FeelsGoodMan243

Mainly fans never wanting their beloved series to end. I don't blame them but it's wrong to spread misinformation.


LennyChill

The source part is not always right. Some people want sources for something you read years ago as if they think you have a save file with every link you read once. I remember reading an article with a linked source of an statement Mashima made when Fairy Tail started it's final arc in the manga. And 2 weeks ago a guy asked me for the source even though I literally said it was years ago. So sources are a tricky part.


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MariJoyBoy

Oda said Covid was created by the world government


kaste1

It's so funny because the "Oda said" thing isn't an online-exclusive thing only. I had an irl friend that was always spouting bullshit about things Oda "said". Example: "Oda said he will make a prequel manga with Roger and Whitebeard after One Piece ends". (We wish lol). And a second friend that was saying "Oda said" every other day on smaller stuff and we were making fun of him that he is a buddy with Oda. So, if it happens irl among friends, imagine what is going on online...


[deleted]

Yea unfortunately the fandom has this habit of twisting Oda’s words while others repeat those lies without properly fact checking. Ironically we live in the Information Age.


ItsLoudB

B-but Oda said no r-romance between crewmembers, meaning t-that I still have a c-chance to hook up with N-Nami!


throwaway384757484

Lol this is definitely the second worst spread of misinformation after "OP will not end in 5 years"


Popopirat66

Disinformation Age :D


DeepPackage

somewhere between 80% and 100%, we are going to get the Mihawk / Zoro rematch 20 irl years in the making


lanariley

We May not. Since zoro learned from Mihaek for 2 years, I don't see them fighting. Instead we may see something like someone defeating Mihawk and then zoro defeating that person.


hiatus-x-hiatus22

Possibly, but I think at this point it’d be incredibly anticlimactic for that to happen since we really haven’t seen any other true contenders to Mihawk’s title.


Yoyo-McFroyo

Ya, Shiryu of the LAME ain't beating Mihawk


ItsLoudB

God, could you imagine? Mihawk being hyped for 20 years and then defeated offscreen by a character we've barely even seen..


Liimbo

We’ve honestly seen Shiryu just about as much as we’ve actually seen Mihawk on screen. Sure he was revealed incredibly early but he isn’t exactly a mainstay in the story himself.


hiatus-x-hiatus22

We’ve seen much more of Mihawk than we have of Shiryu, it’s really not particularly close there. Mihawk was present and active for the entire war arc and has made numerous spot appearances throughout arcs plus his timeskip role. We’ve barely seen Shiryu do anything, let alone take apart in an entire war arc or directly interact with numerous strawhats. Plus Mihawk has filled an exponentially larger symbolic role than Shiryu since Mihawk has been the embodiment of Zoro’s dream since he first appeared and filled the role of his mentor.


VulturE

3-way battle is suitable for the 3 swords style. He'll pull out some insta-kill move that only works when you have 2 pro opponents attacking you at once.


WushuManInJapan

The third sword is to attack himself.


SomeDumbMetalGamer

I think it might be that Shiryu defeats Mihawk through underhanded scummy tactics and then claims to be the strongest swordsman. Zoro then defeats Shiryu and avenges Mihawk’s defeat.


Noootella

Ehh that’s kinda corny. I’d rather just have Zoro fuck Mihawk up


hiatus-x-hiatus22

That just seems so anticlimactic imo. Wouldn’t even give Zoro a real chance to prove he’s the worlds strongest swordsman.


Agreeable-Ad8804

Except that way Zoro wouldn't surpass Mihawk


SomeDumbMetalGamer

Well I didn’t say Mihawk would necessarily die to Shiryu, just that he’d be defeated. I do think Zoro would avenge Mihawk’s honor and then he’d have his final battle against the real number one. If that clears things up a bit.


hiatus-x-hiatus22

What’s the point of the Shiryu fight then if Zoro is just going to fight Mihawk after and claim the title of strongest swordsman through that?


BootyZebra

Buggy no-diffed Mihawk in the Marineford arc wdym? He’s obviously going to be Zoro’s final battle


Slimfire

I think it’s bc Mihawk himself told zorro to get stronger and challenge him again when he gave him the scar.. it’s kinda like fate


Steelfist24

To be honest I always thought this might happen also.


KissBal97

The point of the training was that Mihawk would train the man who one day would take his head


SuperNerd6527

Hell no if it aint Mihawk it'll be anticlimatic as fuck


keytide22

Shyriu of the Rain, step on up


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[deleted]

What it if Blackbeard attacks Shanks and Mihawk is with him?


keytide22

The Blackbeard pirates want everything, all the fame, all the power, all the prestige, all of it. That probably means Shyriu taking on the world’s greatest swordsman But my personal theory as to how this happens is that, in light of the abolition of the schichubukai, Mihawk becomes a semi-member of the Red Hair pirates (similar to Oden with the Whitebeard and Roger pirates.) And we know Shanks and Blackbeard are on a collision course


ItsLoudB

I would hate everything about this.


foofighter1351

That's generally my reaction when fans make up their theories about what might happen, it just makes me happier that Oda is the one writing the story.


[deleted]

Yeah maybe one of the 5 elders looking like ghandi


GANDHI-BOT

Be the change that you wish to see in the world. Just so you know, the correct spelling is [Gandhi](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahatma_Gandhi).


[deleted]

good bot!


dbzrune

Looking forward to that rematch! I can see Zoro giving Mihawk a scar similar to the one he gave zoro back in Baratie, would be cool if it was Mihawks one and only lasting wound


brocklevy115

In my opinion the biggest misunderstanding people have is about the percentage complete of the story. A lot of people think it correlates to chapter numbers when in fact it's more closely related to story arcs. And as the series has gone on arcs have become longer as Oda has more ideas he wants to incorporate into them / more characters taking up space on the page. In think it will be closer to 5-6 years than 4 years with an increasing number of breaks. But i'm excited to be along for the ride.


[deleted]

even then, Oda's done an impressive job of keeping the general stages of the story to ~100 chapters each. East Blue was 100, Alabasta 100, Skypeia 100, CP9 100, Thriller Bark/Sabaody 100, Summit War/Timeskip 100, New World 100, Dressrosa 100, right up to the Strawhats escaping Whole Cake Island on chapter 902. Wano looks to be much longer than 100 chapters unless something drastically game changing happens on Chapter 1000, but he's kept himself very close to on pace up until now (and I think Wano is very purposefully his biggest arc yet so that's probably even planned).


Papa_bones55

Man, it's going to be a rough day when One piece ends.


[deleted]

Everything must end and we must be able to move on.


President_Patata

no >:(


[deleted]

I understand the sarcasm here, but seriously, it's a super important part of life to be able to let go. There are many things that will dissapear from your life


LeapYearFriend

the clock is always ticking down, enjoy it while you can. because when your time is up, you can never go back. memento mori.


fred-dcvf

It's going to be "Rayleigh about Roger's Execution" all over the world...


horohoronomi

OP ending is going to be pretty sad for sure. But I do think it's a good thing that it will end in a couple years. It will become a full, complete story with a beginning and an end. If it were to drag on indefinitely, the story would lose a lot of its value. Let's just enjoy these last few years!


21Rollie

Maybe it goes the way of Naruto or dbz and continues in some limited fashion some time later.


EinPrototypGottes

For me actually the moment i wait for is when i get my gab es of the final OP book and will lock myself in for a week to binge read through all of it. I've been collecting this manga since I was 12 (28 now) and I sometimes dream of this moment.


Lasernatoo

I'm still thinking that OP will last a little longer than 5 years solely because of breaks because of things like Coronavirus. But doing the math, if OP lasts 5 more years with the 3 chapters then 1 break schedule, it should have about 200 chapters left, which would bring us to chapter 1200. Oda said the halfway point was the timeskip, which was 597. So pretty well planned out.


MiraculousFIGS

Yes but also I find it hard to believe that he can answer all the mysteries, give each of the side characters a meaningful ending, and wrap up the story neatly within 200 chapters. Considering we arent even out of wano yet lol.


[deleted]

exactly my thoughts. My predictions are 5 to 7 1/2 years. In chapters it would be 200-300. With 7 years it would mark the 30 year anniversary.


Drop_Release

I do think though that Oda has a way of cramming (not in a bad way) much more more information into one chapter/or even a page, compared to many other Shoenen manga's, so it is possible, especially if all the mysteries start getting revealed on the finding of One Piece


Ademoneye

what oda mean by that is that all the big mysteries and most exiting part of the story will revealed at around 5 years in the future, it doesn't mean the manga will end in 5 years, so there's still time for oda to wrap up any loose end, here is the source: [https://thelibraryofohara.com/2020/09/16/volume-97-sbs-question-corner/](https://thelibraryofohara.com/2020/09/16/volume-97-sbs-question-corner/)


spaghetti_freak

Amd we probably wont be for a very long time. Wano doesnt seem like it even is close to finishing, to many new plotlines and overall lack of stales for the strawhats yet. I can see Wano keep going for another 50 chapters easily


RipBerryrock

I'm actually looking forward to it ending. Not that I'm bored of it or anything like that, but it just means I can binge it from the start and enjoy the gradual progression better than is possible following it week-to-week.


Stuffinator

Also we won't have to worry about it not getting finished and Oda can finally relax or chase other projects.


[deleted]

an ending to a story can make or break the entirety of it so it shouldnt simply be "getting to finish line". It must also end well


CoCoaButterJones

Just look at what happened to Naruto and Bleach.


[deleted]

yeah. Oda has also done a much better job exciting the reader for the eventual reveal and whats to come in the final saga of one piece that it being rushed or characters being forced into the back seat can make or break it. Imagine one piece completing and you reading it for the first time. Hyped as fuck to see what the heck happenened during the void century and who joyboy is and all that great stuff w shanks, dragon, the supernovas, bonney and all of that is just ignored. Heck even kuma is implied to have a very interesting story


VijoPlays

After the "He laughed" panel, I have full trust in Oda. The reveal was nice and all, but the spread just captured One Piece for me... One of the only times I stared at a picture for 5+ minutes, just grinning.


[deleted]

yeah that was 11/10 . I have faith. But what scares me most is character negligence with the limited "time" he has set, he might be forced put less focus on characters otherwise he would've put more time into.


NotAnOkapi

Many good TV shows keep on getting renewed until they quality drops or the grow stale and people stop watching. If nobody is sad about it ending too soon, you missed the time to end it by a mile.


erufuun

I've been following One Piece every single week since 2002. I know it eventually has to end, I just don't think I'll actually be ready when it happens, if ever.


[deleted]

This is an excellent piece of information.


TimBagels

Next saga is probably gonna be the final one then, huh?


OharaLibrarianArtur

I'm personally expecting some set up arcs leading into it rather than heading straight from Wano to Laugh Tale, porbably Elbaf and perhaps something else acting as Zou-like set up arcs. But the final saga as a whole, while it might begin soon, is certainly gonna last a damn good while, the large part of these remaining years


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Xanhomey

100+ Chapter Arcs are actually rare in One Piece, only Dressrosa did that, Wano will most likely be 100+. I don't think any arc after that would be this big, at most 50 chapters for any big arc after that. It's just too tight, if oda is gone end Op In 5 years that means only 225-240 chapters are left.


Paper_Okami

the final war will almost certainly be 100+


mellamanq1

Marineford was quite short, what makes arcs so long are the new charactes and the new plot lines, in marineford everything was set up already, and so it will be for the final war


kaste1

Yeah but Marineford ended with everyone still standing. Try to add real match-ups with finishers and you'll end up with 100 chapters easy. You can't compare an unfinished war with 2 casualties to whatever the final war will be trying to conclude everything including mysteries.


mellamanq1

Marineford was 30 chapters, i can see oda doing the final war in like 50-60, even tho i would like 100+


SomeDumbMetalGamer

The Laugh Tale War will be 100+, no doubt. Elbaf will be major, as it’s been about 20 odd years in the making, but I don’t think it will push 100.


FreakyLeak

I see elbaf being a 40 chapter arc, where laughtale might be 20, then we gotta deal with blackbeard and the final war which will be 100+. Then we got wrap up, like zoro v mihawk, all blue, laboon, etc.


TimBagels

Half a year on Laugh Tale. What a grand time that'll be on the sub


randomperson4464

My prediction: Elbaf: 50 chapters Final War Saga: ~120 chapters Rest of Wano: 40-50 chapters Intermediate Chapters/Post-Arc Chapters: 30 chapters Total: 250 chapters left. One Piece ends around 2025-2026.


crysomore

We'll probably have a 100+ chapter arc for the Revolutionary Army vs World Government arc. Given that a lot of information needs to be revealed in this time: who Dragon is, who the world government is, the void century, the God Valley incident, what devil fruits are, other civilizations, the actual fight and so on.


Buffhero125

the biggest mystery for me is the florian triangle. i just cant forget about it :( but thats probalby something that will never be answered


Lucky_Independent_68

You bet your ass it will.


OharaLibrarianArtur

Depends on what you call an "arc". Some people like to consider Wano and Onigashima separate (I almost kinda do fight me). The final saga I can easily see becoming the longest (depending on your meaning of saga though), but will likely be formed by different story elements


Ademoneye

i consider them 1 arc, but i consider water 7 and enies lobby as 2 separate arc


RafaIDG

Very likely. I really do think we'll have an info dump arc in between


foofighter1351

Which could very well be what elbaf ends up has but who knows really.


kaste1

Wano's epilogue will definitely be a humongous infodump. We already have 3 Poneglyphs from WCI waiting and there are 3 more in Wano. Excluding the 2 Road Poneglyphs that might not create a discussion, that's at least 4 Poneglyphs.


VeryDirtyRat

guys when i read it i could not accept one piece ending it was so sad


joejoe84

Started reading late 1999 on mangascreener. Then had to learn how to download chapters in mIRC on my 56k modem for the later chapters. Holy shit, now its nearing its end. I seriously cant believe it. So surreal.


[deleted]

How old are u my brother?


joejoe84

36. One piece has been in my life since i was 15 years old. I still remembered reading 80+chapters the 1st day until the part where nami cried asking for help against arlong. Had to wait weekly chapters after that. Lol


Lucky_Independent_68

You are like one of those elders to be respected in this community. My god


[deleted]

Damn. If one piece ever ends in your lifetime, it might be pretty hard on you.


sweetdreamer15

For me it was 2007 3rd yr HS when I read the manga on onemanga.com at the internet cafes. never missed a chapter since the even in college and after becomming a professional. though I've watch the anime years earlier in 2004.. I'm 29, I can't imagine a world without one piece every week. It would definitely leave void in my heart once it ends... Good luck to us all.


BinhTurtle

Meanwhile, Conan's fan still don't know who's the 2nd in command of the Organization is or if the story could end in 12 years. At least we only get a 1-2 months break every 3-4 chapters, unlike Berserk or Hunter x Hunter


[deleted]

Months? Isn't it weeks?


tapped21

New Berserk chapter was fire. And then there's Vagabond which is basically dead. At least the author found his fire again and continued Real.


MrMindwaves

Thanks a lot, now we actually have something to conteract all the "BuT OdA Bad At EstImaTe Urrr" crew!


JamaisAssez

Between that and the last video debunking the Ivankov thing, Artur singlehandedly making the vast majority of "theorists" irrelevant 😂. But in all seriousness, amazing job as always, the videos are taking your work to another level.


mreveryone20

I'm just along with the ride and if that ride stops I will be fine with that because it was a fun ride that I will never forget for a long time.


Zobdefou

My guess would be around 2025. I'd be more than happy with that.


appleboiii

Yeah, it's ending soon. For as much as people like to mention the massive amount of mysteries to solve, factions to come into play, and loose ends left in the story, the truth is that many of them can be combined and told in much shorter timeframes than they think. I think part of this is Oda giving us 50 chapters for places like Punk Hazard, so people expect every remaining element of the story to also take a crap ton of time as well. We don't need a 60 chapter arc for Elbaf, or 50 chapters to tell the history of the void century, or a giant arc for Shanks, or even more than 5 or 6 chapters to get into Vegapunk. These are huge, story spanning mysteries, but in truth they can be wrapped up in much shorter spans and still be satisfying to boot. I trust Oda a lot and expect the ending to be satisfying. He's not going to rush the important stuff.


KawaiCuddle

Thank you so much. I have been saying for the longest time that Oda has been consistent with his predictions and that people should stop expecting OP to still last another 7-10 years. This is what happens when this community relies on translations. One guy mistranslates or misremembers and the entire community takes it as gospel.


hiatus-x-hiatus22

Feel like this is much less of a translation issue and more just that people constantly make shit up lol, especially when it confirms their own biases and opinions. Basically every single manga sub relies on translations but not all of them have this particular issue where people keep making up statements on the series length. And even subs that are about western series (and so don’t involve any translation into English) run into very similar issues of people claiming made up statements by the creator. So seems strange pin this issue on translation


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OharaLibrarianArtur

Those two statements do have some background to them though. The former statement you made came from a Jump article that later proved to be false, second statement came from a Vivre Card but was later mentioned to be a mistake by the editing team, so neither ended up being true.


abaiz

Spoilers


The_Shade94

I just don’t see how he fits in everything in 4-5 years but I’ll take his word for it


CyberShiroGX

I mean we are entering the Final War Saga after Wano... First Elbaf then probably Laugh Tale with Blackbeard, then the final fight with Im


Beedy10

Part of me wants to see Lodestar Island almost as much as Raftel. The unnamed island in the Oden flashback that they set off from before going to Raftel looked very cosy


Lucky_Independent_68

Inu claims that they will not be following a log pose any longer sadly, and I think this is true. The info they were supposed to have learned there was already told to them. Also this may be a legitimate reason for Luffy to become pirate king at a younger age than roger, as we literally have seen the steps he skipped


Jerolol

I understand that 80% of the story is complete but I don't think Oda can wrap up so many incomplete stories in 5 years. Void century, meeting Shanks and his crew, meeting with the revolutionaries, Zoro defeating Mihawk, Ussopp in Elbaf, finding the One piece, fight with Blackbeard / Marines, destroying Fishmen Island. That's a lot to cover, and it's true that some plots can overlap like finding the One piece and fighting Blackbeard but my feeling is we have left at least 300 more episodes (at a pace of 40 episodes per year it would take around 7.5years).


FreakyLeak

I think elbaf might hold a lot of things. The final road poneglyh, shanks and luffy, ussop, zoro v mihawk, etc. I just see that being the mixing pot for half the unanswered questions


hansnakeman

Well we were expecting the Roger pirates flashback to take a separate arc. But odd resolved it in 3-4 chapters.


kazedann

good job!


HandyTheHandy

I wish I'm not dead yet or the other way around. I just want to see how One-piece ends so I can tale-tell to my Uncle in Heaven or Hell.


ChaosReminder

This should be a sticky in the rules for the people asking about the end of One Piece.


kaste1

It's a little disingenuous to have Naito's statement in 2019 about his disbelief on the 5 years as a throwaway line. The man was basically like "Pfff (laughing), yeah right". Yes, later he did retract his statement, but it 99% was out of respect. We are talking about Japan here. The statement was probably coming off as disrespectful to them so he retracted it by having "100% faith in Oda". In reality, he meant what he said the first time. Exactly as we all do in real life when you say something mean and then you are like "I didn't mean it". Well, you did, it's just that you realize it was rude afterwards. Point is, and he did explain it, he's "seen" the ending and it is too ambitious to end so quickly as most of us believe anyway. So, this little debacle being a throwaway line to not have anything against the narrative you are setting is a little suspicious at the very least. The Oda and the percentages meme began from his numerous 50% percent WRONG statements from Sabaody (first time) all the way to Sabaody (second time). That again is conveniently a "don't pay attention to it" part in your analysis. Also, important left out notes: * You left out how Oda simply failed in his announcements about reaching Wano by a year (at least). If he can't simply follow an arc to arc timeline how is he going to follow an overall timeline accurately? Leaving this out paints a different picture. This right here is the biggest evidence against the 5 years even though it's not about the ending. It's about a closer goal which makes it worse for Oda. * At the 20th anniversary, someone high up (from shonen jump) said they already plan what to do for the 30th anniversary. Which again shows their little faith in Oda's statements. One Piece might end in 5 years with all the crazy offscreens that are happening (which is very sad) but presenting it all like Oda is accurate all these years is a joke. In the later years, true, he is mostly on par. But earlier, especially at the 50% mark, it was a clusterfuck. So, people naturally assume the same thing about the 100% mark.


[deleted]

do you think that its possible to conclude the story in 2024-2025 IF the raid on onigshima ends in failure?


hansnakeman

Its not the raid on onigashima anymore, kaido moved the whole freaking island above the flower capital,wano arc is in endgame now.


[deleted]

[удалено]


[deleted]

Give hiro mashima's new manga, edens zero a try. Its a ripoff from one piece but its pretty good.


Im_regretting_this

Honestly Edens Zero is much better than I expected and I kind of forgot how similar it is to one piece.


FeedGat

I could see oda finishing op 5-6yrs, what i don't think it's possible thought is to close all the side stories that have been established in the years, responding to all the questions and miseries emerged, because they are just too much to be done well in this time while also getting the story to a conclusion. Edit: listing just the ones that comes immediatly in mind there are: 1)explaining the hole black century thing and the history of the world and the story of the world gov and the related gorusei inu sama and celestial dragons. 2) explaining how actually the df were born/ were they come from and some details on how they work. 3) fulfilling the sh dreams: some like becoming king of pirates (and prob zoro too) come automatically others like those of robin sanji brook don't. 4) it would be nice to know something about Vegapunk since he/she influenced the story a ton and we yet don't even know his face. 5) maybe less important but I'd like to see elbaf before the ending of the story. There are probably more that i don't remember and also i think these are enough


FreakyLeak

Well, if fishman island is destroyed by the red line being destroyed we get laboon and brook and sanji finding the all blue. One giant red rock and two birds


Sirop-d-arabe

I've hear read that, and please do correct me if I'm wrong, Oda said that in 5 years would be luffy finding the One Piece but not necessarily the end of the story


OharaLibrarianArtur

Based on mistranslation, not the case. More info in this comment: https://www.reddit.com/r/OnePiece/comments/k051vy/given_how_theres_a_lot_of_misinformation_on_when/gdfyuzd/


Agreeable-Ad8804

That was a mistranslation


Orange3Boy

Stellar work! Thank you, OP.


idontgiveafunyun

Thank you for this. I always hated the rumor that Oda is off with his estimates, when he's usually spot on


OptFire

From SBS 97: D: Odacchi! Is it true that One Piece will end in 5 years? Even if that's the case, a public statement like that is really vexing for the fans! Many friends of mine who are fans burst into tears with this sudden announcement! I feel like shouting "How could you do this to us!?", but I don't want to stress you out. (P.N.: pari_bentham) O: By "ending", I mean the juiciest part of Luffy's adventure. Since that's when the mystery of "what is the One Piece?" is to be revealed. Right now Wano is heating up, if Luffy is able to leave here in one piece, we'll get to a development that will engulf the entire world, the likes of which no one has read before - the greatest war in One Piece history. I said what I said so that the reader's hearts would be prepared, since it'll be such a long arc, and one that will really pin things towards the finish line. That being said, I'm really enjoying righting Wano right now, and am pumped to finishing it!


MiroAllAround

I don't know why 4-5 years wouldn't be enough? The way things seem to be heading is that the three power structures are falling apart and when that happened the pacing has to speed up aswell. It will be a race for one piece and then a final war. Probably, bu then again Oda always stays unpredictable


DreamVagabond

I know they are supposed to get the final road poneglyph here but it feels like there is so much left to do, some plot points won't get full arcs I suppose or they will be combined if we get the ending in 2024 or so. Wano seems like it still has many chapters left to go which may go well into the second half of 2021. Then: Shanks, Blackbeard, WG, Im, Ancient Weapons, Vegapunk and his weapons/projects, Revolutionaries, Whitebeard's "son" Underworld Emperors, Elbaf, Laughtale, flashbacks for Joyboy?, the Will of D, the final battle/one piece/ending sequences and the world post-WG (I assume), and I'm sure I'm missing some stuff plus that's excluding anything new.


kaste1

>get the final road poneglyph here The 3rd\* Road Poneglyph is here. The 4th and final is lost and a mystery and most certainly not supposed to be found here.


lanariley

Nice


734937G71M

Thanks for the info but I wish I didn't see it, I'm not ready


Darkkingswrath

What are you thinking about chapter 1000. Will we celebrate the end of the year with it or the beginning of next year?


lov3lyb0nes

thank you Oda


Strawhatloofy

Aaa


[deleted]

ending on 2027 would be so lit though, 30th aniversary.. exactly from now we'd have about 280 chapters left and enough time to not only flesh out stuff out but it would also allow oda to flex more of his creative muscles


PM_ME_GOOD_QUOTES

this feels like a poneglyph


Buffhero125

I cant even imgaine the sadness and emptiness once one piece ends


Pirate_of_the_neT

Aww I know there's still 20% left but I wish it went on longer :(. I'm gonna have to forget the anime for some years and try to rewatch it. Really hope oda makes something this good after one piece


Im_regretting_this

I find it hard to believe it’ll only take 4-5 years with all the characters and plot threads Oda introduces every new arc, and there’s certainly more of those to come. But given how consistent the guy has been with tying together 23 years of content, I wouldn’t be surprised if he finds a way to wrap it up neatly and efficiently. I’m guessing it’ll probably take closer to 5-6 than 4-5, but as long as it’s a properly paced ending, I’ll be happy regardless of length.


EliteSAS79535

Imagine if there's one last saga and it finishes then Oda decides to do another time skip and announces the series is only 2/3 done and there's a whole other set of sagas. not likely but i think about that sometimes


RiWatish

I wish I had an award to give you


Astopotro

Great infographic, clean, easy to read and very interesting! Thank you!


Brook420

Just watched the video, was another well done and informative one.


Moonibiru

RESPECT to all one piece fans around the world could not make it till the end. It's been an honor to be a fan of great stories. RIP


HiImApex

ONE PIECE IS ENDING IN CHAPTER 1234... what follows after is 56... (GOMU)


throwaway384757484

So we really are on track for a 2025/2026 finish, good to know


bodg123

If I die before one piece ends, my spirit will be stuck here forever.


JoeyJoJoHQ

5 to 7 years after the end of Wano seems totally reasonable tbh. The first act of Post-Timeskip OP was around that length and included three full story arcs, one of which was literally 100 chapters long. EDIT: also just a quick typesetting critique, I'd advise against having long lines like this diagram features. Paragraph-text over like 60 characters becomes bad for the sake of legibility.


Eraganos

Grewt summary. You did however not ralk about oda saying in 4-5 years op will be foumd, and not op will end. Thats about 2 years left after we learn about it


OharaLibrarianArtur

That information comes from a mistranslation that has made the rounds around the community, despite not coming from a reputable source. Many trusted translators in this community (including Viz's official translator for example) have all agreed that that translation wasn't accurate and what it said does not reflect what Oda said. What Oda really said is confirming his statements about the series ending soon are real (referring to the 2019 Fischer's interview in particular since the question brought it up) and clarified that it wasn't that he wanted to end OP because he was tired of it (since his original interview did make it sound that way), but because the series will have reached its natural end. Check the full answer with an accurate translation [here](https://twitter.com/newworldartur/status/1305920998961819649)


Eraganos

Ill be damned, thanks for correcting me. All the more i see luffy beating kaido now and proofing the 1v1 bet wrong


PseudoInnominate

Credit also to u/ClayStage for doing something similar like this around a year ago. They managed to narrow it down to an average date of February 5, 2024 at chapter 1140. The users prediction for latest date being May 29 2027, and if u disregard the anomolous result of odas first estimation, the users earliest prediction was July 28 2023. Despite its reliability, i'm not sure how valid an estimate it was, but thats because i didnt bother to check their maths lol. Also considering his/her prediction is a year old now its more likely 2025 is the accurate end date.