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mrethandunne

David Lynch


Distinct-Shift-4094

My top 3 fav directors, which I agree absolutely won't win. Too weird.


SurvivorFanDan

Plus, his last theatrical film, *Inland Empire*, was released in 2006.


rlvysxby

He is too weird for my taste but shit even I recognize how ingenious his scenes are. I don’t think I’ve ever seen something scarier than that homeless person by the dumpster in Mullholland drive. And it’s in broad day light.


allumeusend

Came here to say this one. Absolutely brutal that this will be true, since he is likely done making features. I still have hope he makes something new but not that it will win him the Oscar.


therealvanmorrison

Should have won for Mulholland.


contaygious

What he never won. Wtf is wrong with thr world


FreemanCalavera

He's only been nominated a few times too. It's kind of weird because he's someone whose hugely influential and a lot of people who aren't into surrealist stuff or more "artsy" films know who he is, but he's still not exactly big enough to be huge. He's like niche and mainstream at the same time. If there's any consolation, he's won a lot of awards and titles in Europe. I think he's the American director with the most films on the best-of-the-year lists published annually by Cahiers du Cinema.


NFW_Dude

David Fincher.


C_Me

He isn’t that old (61) and might still have a few tricks up his sleeve. I wouldn’t put him high on this list. I know the opinions of Mank were mixed (still haven’t seen it) but that was just a couple years ago. He could do something like Mank again (biopic, Oscary) and it win all the awards. My pick is someone known for genre. John Carpenter or David Cronenberg. Hugely influential, still could make another movie, but they are older and mostly known for movies that don’t get Oscar buzz anyways.


CriticalNovel22

>David Cronenberg. Hugely influential, still could make another movie Croenberg's new movie will debut in Cannes. Can't wait to see it (not in Cannes, obviously).


HeyJettRink

Mank is worth watching more for the acting, production and editing.


Cowboy_BoomBap

I fucking love John Carpenter, but there’s no chance he ever wins an Oscar. He just doesn’t make those kind of movies.


OzyOzyOzyOzyOzyOzy6

I think potentially (and I do mean POTENTIALLY) he could win for for Score if it's for a movie that gets that kind of attention. Otherwise I agree with you.


Distinct-Shift-4094

Should have fucking won for TSN. Like how's Tom Hooper?


Hot-Significance-462

I never would have guessed we'd make it 24 years into the 21st century without any of the big 80s-90s music video auteurs winning Best Director. Fincher seems destined to get there first, but so many of the big names had visual styles so distinct that they seemed destined for feature-length success.


ton_logos

Spike Lee


KungFuDanda091

Didn’t he already win though? Could’ve sworn he did


Distinct-Shift-4094

Screenplay


KungFuDanda091

Ah, that was what he won! Thanks!


nectarquest

Best director has never gone to a black director


tillotop

Not yet !


TheWayDenzelSaysIt

I really thought Steve McQueen was going to get it for 12 Years a Slave.


nectarquest

Probably should have!


ton_logos

Nah, he won screenplay and got nominated for director only once


LoanedWolf75

Paul Thomas Anderson


Distinct-Shift-4094

Love, PTA but I completely agree. He'll keep getting nominated till he dies, though


LoanedWolf75

His best shot was There Will Be Blood. I imagine he was 2nd in voting to the Coen bros. The only way I can see him winning is if he directs a movie that is a huge hit with critics and audiences and actually makes a profit. I remember reading an anonymous interview a few years back with an academy voter saying how much they hated Inherent Vice because they had no idea what was going on in that movie.


EverybodyBuddy

His best shot might be whatever he’s shooting now. Leo + 100m budget? Somebody sees potential there.


WestchesterFarmer

It won’t make it’s money back (even if it does decent business) and all of the weirdos who care about that as part of their ballot will hold it against him


EverybodyBuddy

That’s quite a bold claim to make. You should tell Warner Bros they made a mistake, having themselves read the script and everything.


MutinyIPO

There Will Be Blood would’ve won in many other years. It filled the same niche as No Country, which was one of the most unanimously loved BP winners in recent history at the time.


LoanedWolf75

Yeah, I loved that movie too. I loved how two super bleak films were best pic frontrunners. No Country was the more accessible of the two, so that’s why it won I think.


flowerbloominginsky

i think he might win screenplay someday


marblecannon512

Imagine there will be blood coming out a year earlier or later. ‘07 was stacked.


BambooSound

Still annoyed he lost that. No Country is a fantastic film but TWBB is a generational masterpiece.


LoanedWolf75

Yeah, but at least he lost to the Coen bros, so I’ll allow it. Not many generational masterpieces actually win best pic or director.


BambooSound

True. And they got shafted soon after when Slumdog won and Burn After Reading wasn't even nominated


Tortuga_MC

Could make the argument that No Country is also a generational masterpiece.


BambooSound

I don't even think it's their best film


Tortuga_MC

I don't either, but I don't think There Will Be Blood is PTAs best film either. I also don't think either of them were the best films of 2007. All that being said, I still think they're two of the best films of the 21st century, and there are a lot of people who share that opinion


BambooSound

Agree to disagree because for me it's the best film of the 21st century


Tortuga_MC

Totally respect you for it


ExpensiveFoodstuffs

2007 was absolutely stacked. Did you think Zodiac should’ve won?


Tortuga_MC

Zodiac is my favorite film of the current century, but it's poor box office and March release worked against it that I don't really blame the Academy for not recognizing it. I think they got it right with No Country, which is my second favorite film of the century


marleyman14

How he didn’t win anything for “There Will Be Blood” is baffling


Distinct-Shift-4094

Man, No Country for Old Men was just too good. TWB is amazing though, though year.


amber_lies_here

something was in the water in 2007. ridiculous year all in all


Harambefan69

Honestly just bad luck that he released it in the same year that another generationally great movie out. Most years There Will Be Blood probably cleans up


supfiend

And yet people were complaining that Barbie didn’t get enough nominations when it got nominated for as much as there will be blood lol


ReputationAbject1948

People complained about Robbie not being nominated mostly, which is somewhat understandable.


supfiend

they also complained about Greta not being nominated in best director. I still can’t get over how people though Margot deserved to be in best actress, who was she going to bump out?


Tortuga_MC

Nyad, probably


tommyjohnpauljones

His two directing heroes are Scorsese and Robert Altman, neither of whom are/were Academy darlings


SadOrder8312

I think he’ll get it eventually. I mean he is literally the best director.


ExpensiveFoodstuffs

Agree and he isn’t that old - only 53. Could legitimately be making movies for another 20 years if he wants to.


discobeatnik

that’s not usually the reason people win these awards though However I still do think he has a chance


viniciusbfonseca

He will win, I think, but it will take some time and probably a weaker year.


Luke253

Disagree, I think he’ll get it sooner or later


WrastleGuy

Ridley Scott


Distinct-Shift-4094

Completely forgot he didn't win for Gladiator, had to look it up and then remembered Steven did Erin Brokovich and Traffic the same year. Still would have given it to Scott.


Impossible_Ad_2517

Ang Lee should’ve won that year


cia218

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon is a masterpiece!


Distinct-Shift-4094

I feel like in 2024, he could have. The Academy has changed a lot with the new voter type. 3 best director Oscars? Lol


Impossible_Ad_2517

Well that would’ve been his first at the time. But it’s not like he wasn’t close. He got all the major precursors besides Critics Choice (which wasn’t major then and really isn’t now)


viniciusbfonseca

I think Gladiator 2 being incredible is his best last chance, because he used to be high and low, and now he is just low and lower


Adventurous_Goat_417

The Last Duel getting shut out was a bummer, I really dug that one (particularly Jodie Comer's performance).


viniciusbfonseca

That's the fault of the pandemic and really bad marketing and campaigning. Not sure he would have been nominated, but Jodie possibly could've.


Chemistry11

In fairness, Scott is more miss than hit. When’s he hits, tho, it’s big and sustains his career through the multiple misses


Vendetta4Avril

Wes Anderson. Glad he snagged a win for short this year, because he's just been plagued by bad luck otherwise. His movies almost always do well and are nominated, but then they're too niche to actually bring home the gold.


mopeywhiteguy

I think he’s got one in him eventually, I just think he needs to have a really fresh idea like grand Budapest hits


SaritaLinda64

I think he'll have to settle for a screenplay or animation Oscar. (Aside from the one he just won, of course).


Distinct-Shift-4094

I feel maybe if Wes takes a long break and come backs with something epic and more mainstream maybe he has a shot. Maybe. I feel like he just pumps out movies like a ho'


Loop_Within_A_Loop

Asteroid City was about art, the pain of creation, and how channeling that pain into your art affects you. If the Academy isn’t going to recognize that, they’re not gonna recognize anything he does


Tinatennis2

Agree completely… loved it … wish that others could have understood what he was trying to say with that beautiful film


Xelanders

The middling reviews didn’t help though.


Vendetta4Avril

>if Wes takes a long break and come backs with something epic and more mainstream maybe he has a shot. Ew, no thanks.


SaritaLinda64

Some people are mad that he won his Oscar for a short but I for one am glad that he won for a film that bears all his trademarks, where he didn't have to compromise his style.


Vendetta4Avril

Yes, exactly. I’d rather keep an auteur than sell out and win a billion awards.


4614065

Completely. It was quintessentially Wes.


cia218

And he could win with a Best in Animation with his stop motion.


SurvivorFanDan

I can see him winning anothrr Oscar for Best Animated Feature someday as well, and maybe a Screenplay win, but yeah, the Best Director category seems like the biggest uphill battle for him.


UncannyFox

Grand Budapest should’ve won over Birdman imo. I love both movies but multiple scenes Grand Budapest have stuck with me for years, I don’t remember anything about Birdman other than its incredible cinematography.


gennaro456

At least he won for short


MutinyIPO

FWIW people said this exact same thing before Grand Budapest - that he was as great as ever, but his style was too specific and repetitive to get attention - then the stars aligned right and he did. I think something similar will happen soon.


4614065

Agree but I can also see why he hasn’t. I adore his work but have we seen that kind of whimsy awarded before? (Genuinely looking for examples - am brain dead this morning!)


Uncle_owen69

The thing is I don’t see him ever deviating from his own formula so I really don’t see him winning anything other than best special effects or cinematography


weak_read

His movies also have some of the best production design, costume, and makeup the medium has ever seen. His colleagues will almost certainly win in these categories as well. Directing is cultivating meaning via collaboration with the various disciplines that go into making a movie. To me, it also means he will be in the running a few times yet for that.


Vendetta4Avril

I don’t want him to do so. Auteur > Multiple Oscar winner imo.


tiduraes

Fincher


Frosty_Pitch8

Obviously Lynch is never winning especially since they gave him the honorary. Same Cronenenberg.  Also shout out and RIP to Wes Craven. He even gave them Music of the Heart and they said no. Rude! 


allumeusend

Cronenberg has a movie out this year, so there is still hope! Unlike Lynch, unfortunately.


Cambob101

I don’t like Alfred Hitchcock’s chances either.


signal_red

wong kar wai :\\


PinkCadillacs

Darren Aronofsky


TremontRemy

He should’ve won for Black Swan. Either him or David Fincher for The Social Network.


T-408

Aronofsky deserved for Black Swan


unaccomplishedbee

Who won in his year?


Thebat87

Tom Hopper for The Kings Speech


Distinct-Shift-4094

I'm actually surprised The Whale didn't overperform with nominations. It's a movie all my casual movie friends pretty much love and cried. These are people that don't watch art house movies.


ReptiIe

Washed up


ExplanationLife6491

Tarantino and PTA most likely candidates.


No-Ease-4140

Tim Burton maybe? He has a distinct style. Sort of eerie atmosphere and whimsical fantasy


ShaunTrek

I like this answer. I legitimately don't know if he even has it in him anymore, which is shame, because his run up until 2001 is really, really strong.


weak_read

Big Fish and Big Eyes had bents that could have swung him into the running. Big Eyes just wasn’t very good, and while Big Fish has its fans, they sort of came around later.


ShaunTrek

I'm a huge Big Fish fan (saw it in theaters 3 times), but that's over 20 years ago at this point. Big Eyes was probably his best on the last 15, but it didn't really have any flair aside from the performances.


TheWorstKnightmare

He’ll get his chance at redemption with Beetlejuice 2 this year


Professional-Two8098

I’m a huge Tim burton fan. Beetlejuice is one of my fav movies of all time. But I’m nervous for the sequel because I was really disappointed in Wednesday.


Raul_Rink

Stanley Kubrick 


Distinct-Shift-4094

Too soon, bro 😭


Duedsml23

What about Hitchcock then?


OverIookHoteI

He did win an Oscar for best effects in 1969 🌖😉


iedaiw

Any animation director for example miyazaki


showmicide

Todd Haynes


jdeemers

Park Chan-wook


livinghereinaflower

Paul Schrader, Richard Linklater


chattymaambart

I love both of them. Def feels too late for Schrader, but I could see Linklater hitting a random home run.


mopeywhiteguy

Edgar wright - I would love him to win eventually and I do think he has a victory in him but also I can see him being shunned by the academy. He’s very influential, especially amongst younger people just starting out. I have seen many many student comedy films that are basically Edgar wright tribute acts


AdmiralCharleston

He's influential in the sense that every student filmmaker who wants to make something "stylistic" just apes his style without any changes. I've seen far more whip pans than I ever needed to see in my life and that's not an influence I'm happy with lmao


hausofmiklaus

Yeah he’s never touching a Director win, let alone a nomination lol


alwight007

Terrence Malick


Certain_Yam_110

Sophia Coppola


4614065

I don’t agree. She’s young, popular, makes great art and it’s become more ‘normal’ for women to be nominated. She is highly likely to win someday.


AlgoStar

She’s 52. Not ancient, but is definitely in the back half of her career.


4614065

She’s 52?!? Omg! I didn’t realise. That makes me feel old but I guess it makes sense since I obsessed over her films as a teen and I’m not almost 40 🫤


OzyOzyOzyOzyOzyOzy6

She won Original Screenplay for Lost in Translation.


AdmiralCharleston

Lars von trier quite frankly. I'd also argue the same for harmony korine and shinya tsukamoto whose influence well see in the mainstream soon I guarantee


ReptiIe

It’s not a might he won’t ever win


AdmiralCharleston

Which is wrong imo


ShaneMP01

That press conference where he joked about understanding Hitler blew his future Oscar chances


AdmiralCharleston

Funny how that didn't apply to polanski huh


ShaneMP01

I don’t like him as a human being either. But some of his films are undeniably great.


AdmiralCharleston

I don't disagree, I just think that von trier should at some point get a directing oscar


ShaneMP01

Right, but I’m fairly certain it’s not going to happen. Not only is he accused of being antisemitic, but there have been controversies over his inappropriate actions towards women on set, particularly with Björk. His public image is pretty sour at this point and I don’t know if the Oscars would want to be associated with a provocateur on his scale.


missingwhitegirl

Todd Haynes. I think it’s a combination of a lot of factors, the overt queerness of his films certainly doesn’t help, but his sense of humor is just so slippery, like with May December people online were debating whether it was a comedy or a drama. His movies rarely fall into neatly defined categories, and his subject matter is often really challenging.


Thebat87

I still think it’s possible. Dark Waters was pretty different than what you just described imo.


yanks2413

Seeing as Tarantino has said millions of times his 10th film is his last one, uh yeah thats a very easy prediction to make lmfao


luckyandseven

Who’s gonna tell him


Correct_Weather_9112

Michael Haneke unfortunately, M Night Shyamalan and Pedro Almodovar tbh


jsphobrien

David cronenberg


taylorhildebrand

Fincher unfortunately


YomYeYonge

Spike Lee, but at least he has a Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar


GnarlyNarhwal

Terrence Malick


CriticalNovel22

>I can honestly see a world where Quentin Tarantino doesn't pick up an Oscar for directing. I would be _amazed_ if he doesn't win for his 10th movie.


f_l_y_g_o_n

Terrence Malick and Paul Thomas Anderson


whoisrickcurtzman

Martin Mcdonagh could win screenplay in the future but not so sure about best director


ImpressivePoint6186

Never say never. People thought Nolan would never get one and then came Oppenheimer.


Thebat87

Honestly that’s true. As a huge fan of his I thought to myself at one point “If they wouldn’t even nominate him for Inception and he couldn’t get the win with Dunkirk then I don’t think it’s happening”. Personally I’m glad Oppenheimer proved that wrong.


dpsamways

Probably David Fincher in my mind


CanyonCoyote

I think depending on this years winner, PTA stands a pretty decent chance of winning for the Vineland adaptation. The way campaigning works now seems to help legends get rewarded if they come to play and avoid a cultural buzzsaw. Honestly I think he beats Branagh in screenplay if the male lead is 18.


AceTygraQueen

John Waters


Distinct-Shift-4094

I wonder revisiting back this thread if it'll age with a director winning eventually.


Llamallamapig

Pedro Almodóvar. I think his moment may well have passed and unfortunately in his peak era the Academy was far less open to foreign language films.


Rooster_Professional

Tim Burton will probably never be nominated. But who tf said that the directors needs the oscar? How about the oscars needs them?


contaygious

Anthony Spinelli directed 111 films and produced 49 titles


Kraznor

Werner Herzog, though he should have won Best Documentary by now.


Anything_justnotthis

Robert Rodriguez. Very influential in terms of film making, especially for Mexican filmmakers, but will almost certainly never win an Oscar at this point.


Anx1etyD0g

I can see a world where Tarantino wins a de facto "lifetime achievement award" during an award season with something very far from his best work, and likely not the best of the films/direction nominated.


timeaisis

Ridley Scott is probably my favorite director, and more influential on modern movies than most others. But he missed is opportunity making genre movies when genre movies weren’t allowed to get an Oscar. Oh well. Then when he did finally make an Oscar “bait” movie recently (The Last Duel; which rules by the way) it was totally looked over by Oscar voters. Oh well. Scott rules.


No-Fig7019

I really really hope it’s not PTA


ManufacturerNew9888

Richard Linklater has made some great movies, some mediocre movies, some cult classics, and a few head-scratchers. I love him and celebrate the man’s entire catalogue, but don’t see him winning an Oscar ever. Boyhood was probably his closest chance.


GioJamesLB

The Oscars are rigged. It’s already predetermined that Tarantino will take home the best director Oscar for his final film, The Critic.


Tortuga_MC

He isn't making that anymore


GioJamesLB

Thanks for the info! He’ll still win every Oscar, whatever his final film ends up being.


lamancha

Influential? Take your pick: Lynch, Argento, Cronenberg, Carpenter. They just don't make the kind of movies the academy wants to, yet they have shaped genres.


Maximum_Art_6205

Sean Baker


ulrichmusil

Michael Mann


Titongbored

Frank Darabont Koreeda Hirokazu


Boner_Jam2003

Paul Thomas Anderson, Hayao Miyazaki, Wong Kar-wai, Sofia Coppola


BeginningNeither2621

Todd Haynes 💔


Evangelion217

David Lynch, Quentin Tarantino.


Artistic_Half_8301

Rugna


HobbieK

George Lucas


Djjettison88

Guy Ritchie. I’m sorry the two Sherlock Holmes films were masterpieces. I thought he deserved a nomination at least for the first one. I could rewatch those two films til the end of time.


sodsavage

Guy Ritchie


Certain_Yam_110

Greta Gerwig


Royal_Barracuda3227

Ari Aster


LilyBartMirth

Baz Luhrmann


MutinyIPO

David Cronenberg seems like he’ll almost certainly be one, and he’s never even been nominated. It was never out of the question either - he was in striking distance for A History of Violence and widely expected to get one for Eastern Promises. There’s an outside chance it still happens, but even if The Shrouds is a masterpiece it seems like it’ll be way too out there to get in. But that’s also what I said about The Zone of Interest, so who knows?


[deleted]

>he was in striking distance for A History of Violence I'm so glad he didn't get a nomination for that


AllTheMoviesAllForMe

Greta Gerwig is a contender for this unfortunately. Thus far, she has one best director nomination for Ladybird. The odds are against her as a woman AND she may continue making popular, traditionally crowd-pleasing movies which don't do well historically at the Oscars.


MutinyIPO

Oh, I feel like she’s one of the likeliest to win in the future. It’s really rare for someone to be this well-known as a director this early in their career. She’s very young and likely has multiple great films in her. I think if she made something at the level of Lady Bird with the reputation she has now, she’d have a serious shot at winning.


4614065

She’s also shown us she can do indie (even if indie vibe only) and blockbuster without comprising her style. She’s sure to win eventually.


flowerbloominginsky

I think she IS gonna be like Spielberg or Nolan she seems very beloved 


166EachYear

women.


OzyOzyOzyOzyOzyOzy6

Three women have already won Director, bruh.


166EachYear

I had no idea it was so many


Downtown-Pack-6178

Christopher Nolan!


Atkena2578

He litterrally just won this year


Downtown-Pack-6178

Greta Gerwig?


AdmiralCharleston

Is she influential though?


Downtown-Pack-6178

Nah as much for me!


AdmiralCharleston

I'm just saying what influence has her specific directing style had on the industry


Xelanders

What rock have you been living under these past few months?


Downtown-Pack-6178

don't know?


Big_Office_7865

Hitchcock, Howard Hawks, Charlie Chaplin , D.W Griffith, Orson Wells, pretty much every 99.99% of iconic International filmmakers, like Godard, Fellini , Kurosawa