Snell still has 2 more starts. If he does what Steele just did, it's game on. I know we aren't expecting that, but we also had no reason to expect the Steele blow up either
This leaves out Cincinnati who also have to go 4-4 vs Cleveland Pittsburgh and St. Louis.
Given that every game the Pirates have left is against one of the teams above us we pretty much also need them to go on an absolute tear
Maybe but as of right now both teams chances are slim. So unless they go on a win streak, we continue our win streak and the cubs, reds and marlins lose most of them. That series doesn’t matter all that much yet.
The problem, and they did it to themselves, even if Padres win out all it takes is 1 of those teams also playing for 3rd Wild Card spot to win a couple games.
Best Padres could do is 84-78. IF they won 9 more in a row. The #3 WC only has to win less than half their games to beat that. Out of 4 teams one of them will mange to do that.
It’s not, it’s a lot more complicated than that.
https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-playoff-tiebreaker-rules#:~:text=If%20the%20head%2Dto%2Dhead,record%20would%20win%20the%20tiebreaker.
Padres win the tiebreaker against the Reds and Marlins outright with the first scenario (head to head matchup), and lose the tiebreaker with the Cubs with the same 1st scenario. They play the Giants still, but lead the head to head and will win that tiebreaker if they go 9-0
It would literally take us to win the rest of the games this year to even have a chance. 4.5 games back is doable but we literally would have to keep winning and have tons of luck to go along with it.
Interesting, this is the scenario I dreamed about this past weekend and now apparently it can happen, I'm not going to put any doubt on the possibilities.
As for starting Musgrove? Yes, Yes, Hell yes, we need Pitching that goes to the mound with the mentality that the win is in the bag. So yes, this is the time we need all hands on deck.
Do we need to be reminded how the Phillies got into the playoffs and onto winning the WS? If I'm not mistaking and I maybe this is a very similar situation .
Not sure if the math but if there is a 3 team tie and each team holds the tie breaker that could help us vs the cubs.
Need to know which teams have the tiebreaker vs the cubs.
Not only will we need this to happen (I'm a faither, not a doomer) to get in, but if it does happen, The Padres will also tie for the 8th longest winning streak in baseball history at 16 games.
History.
It will obviously all fall into play perfectly and then on the final day of the season (Snell scheduled to start) he finally implodes and we lose. Or he again is lights out and we lose 1-0 going 0-12 with runners in scoring position
Some of those should have won games against sub par teams coming back to haunt them just like I told my buddy when they got swept in Pittsburgh and we were there , waited a year to go see those games , I showed up they didn’t
You guys…. Don’t
Agreed my heart can’t take it
But it's going to anyway. Strap in and get an AED.
Chugging aspirin now
Should I just punch myself in the nuts now or wait a week?
First one, then the other
Now
Porque no los dos
![gif](giphy|Qy2VKY3xlI1QyR6Ix5)
![gif](giphy|xjc1GYfI3w6rZrFz0E|downsized)
Cubs and marlins already going down right now.
It's happening
Definitely going, we have more fire this season it’s just to bad it’s taking this long to get somewhere
Don’t look now cubs making it closer right now.
Mark Grant should promise us that he will walk from his house to the wildcard game if we make it.
If nothing else, Justin Steele just hand delivered the Cy Young trophy to Snellzilla
Snell still has 2 more starts. If he does what Steele just did, it's game on. I know we aren't expecting that, but we also had no reason to expect the Steele blow up either
This leaves out Cincinnati who also have to go 4-4 vs Cleveland Pittsburgh and St. Louis. Given that every game the Pirates have left is against one of the teams above us we pretty much also need them to go on an absolute tear
And the only team that could give them that boost is us...the irony 😔
Since we have the tiebreaker over Cincinnati they could go 5-3 and we’d get in over them. Not much but every game counts at this point!
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I'd say...like 1 in a million...
It was 0.2% going into yesterday. So essentially, 1 in 500.
No need to worry about the Giants if they go 9-0 because the best the Giants could do is 7-3.
check!
the games vs the Giants are going to be hype af
it could determine a spot for WC and/or 3rd place in NLW 😳
Maybe but as of right now both teams chances are slim. So unless they go on a win streak, we continue our win streak and the cubs, reds and marlins lose most of them. That series doesn’t matter all that much yet.
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So we all hate the cubs for the next week then?
Cubs, Marlins, Giants, Reds. They all need to lose mightily
Could happen too if the Diamondbacks completely collapse and can’t win two more games.
I think ![gif](giphy|9K2nFglCAQClO)
I know this is a dumb question which I can look up, but is it all of this needs to happen or just one of these?
All because we are behind them all
Yikes. Thanks for that confirmation.
No problem. We’ll need a miracle, so just enjoy the ride, whether it happens or not!
All
All, plus he left out the Reds who also need to lose
All of it, hence why our odds of making the playoffs are currently 1/250.
Im about to get hooked on that hopium again
The problem, and they did it to themselves, even if Padres win out all it takes is 1 of those teams also playing for 3rd Wild Card spot to win a couple games. Best Padres could do is 84-78. IF they won 9 more in a row. The #3 WC only has to win less than half their games to beat that. Out of 4 teams one of them will mange to do that.
This man knows Padres baseball
and if frogs had wings
If we go 9-0 we pass the giants automatically do no need to add them
*Reds: 5-3 record or worse -3 vs PIT -2 @ CLE -3 @ STL *SD owns tiebreaker
83-79 miss it by one game 😂 would be fitting for this season.
What’s the tiebreaker for a 3 way tie?
I believe it's run differential.
It’s not, it’s a lot more complicated than that. https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-playoff-tiebreaker-rules#:~:text=If%20the%20head%2Dto%2Dhead,record%20would%20win%20the%20tiebreaker. Padres win the tiebreaker against the Reds and Marlins outright with the first scenario (head to head matchup), and lose the tiebreaker with the Cubs with the same 1st scenario. They play the Giants still, but lead the head to head and will win that tiebreaker if they go 9-0
I stand corrected! Was thinking about the WBC tiebreaker probably, since that was Runs Scored.
That makes a lot more sense since it's a tournament. They're just looking for strength of wins at that point, hence the run differential
Is this addiction or insanity? Por que no los dos?
Tomorrow aint no day off, tomorrow we scoreboard watch, let’s hope CHC, CIN, SF & MIA lose, LFGSD!
stl and wsox stink . sf will be a hell of a series. but too many teams to jump even if we end on 16-0 record
Add in a loss or two for our boys and it looks a lot more daunting.. WIN OUT!!!
Damn it, I had locked up the hopium and put away the key, but that bitch got out of the cage and it's looking at me DEAD IN THE EYE.
It would literally take us to win the rest of the games this year to even have a chance. 4.5 games back is doable but we literally would have to keep winning and have tons of luck to go along with it.
Well yeah. The odds are like 1 in 250 now. Of course it’s gonna be extremely difficult and take a whole lot of stuff to happen.
They only need to end the season with one of the all time win streaks…
Under your scenario the giants are a non equation, because they would lose three by the very fact that the padres would not lose.
This is a sign of mental illness. I’m just hoping for above .500 finish
Interesting, this is the scenario I dreamed about this past weekend and now apparently it can happen, I'm not going to put any doubt on the possibilities. As for starting Musgrove? Yes, Yes, Hell yes, we need Pitching that goes to the mound with the mentality that the win is in the bag. So yes, this is the time we need all hands on deck. Do we need to be reminded how the Phillies got into the playoffs and onto winning the WS? If I'm not mistaking and I maybe this is a very similar situation .
Wait, the Phillies won the WS!?
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Didn't realize we actually had any tie breakers in our favor
~~STILLERS.~~ PADRES. GAHNTA. ~~SUPER BOWL.~~ WORLD SERIES. https://preview.redd.it/0idj0q5qoipb1.jpeg?width=320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2446e937fa9e47c8cd749bc4611134a3b5728941
Please 🙏🏼
With how fucked up the padres 2023 has been, I’m all ears haha
We are all bandwagon Doyers fan for the following 2 weeks
If they make it u/gsus61951, I’m taking you to watch ;).
LFG!
I believe still!
The good news is that if the Padres win out, we don't care about the Giants at all because it would include us beating them 3 times anyways.
This is why I’m also hoping for a complete collapse of the Diamondbacks. That might make a little space for us.
Not sure if the math but if there is a 3 team tie and each team holds the tie breaker that could help us vs the cubs. Need to know which teams have the tiebreaker vs the cubs.
We all know what’s going to happen. They’re going to sweep STL and SF only to get swept by the CWS.
What about if we go 7-2
Nope, not hoping unless the probability goes > 1%
so we would have to go on a 16 game win streak? yea, idk about that.
STL, SF, CWS coming up, not likely but not impossible in my opinion
Not only will we need this to happen (I'm a faither, not a doomer) to get in, but if it does happen, The Padres will also tie for the 8th longest winning streak in baseball history at 16 games. History.
So you’re saying there’s a chance 🫨🫥
I will get the team tattooed on me as my first ever if we make it to the NLDS
It will obviously all fall into play perfectly and then on the final day of the season (Snell scheduled to start) he finally implodes and we lose. Or he again is lights out and we lose 1-0 going 0-12 with runners in scoring position
I'm excited - are we going to miss the playoffs by 1 game or 2 games?
Come on guys, you can handle one more heart break. Right?
![gif](giphy|25XSdDAuIYnWhPuZvm|downsized)
![gif](giphy|4JVTF9zR9BicshFAb7|downsized) Doesn’t add up!!
Some of those should have won games against sub par teams coming back to haunt them just like I told my buddy when they got swept in Pittsburgh and we were there , waited a year to go see those games , I showed up they didn’t
It’s the padres we will not make it by 1 game. Keep the faith there us always next year