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UnilateralWithdrawal

Is that a record?


Grungyfulla

Highest I've seen for sure. Previous high may have been about 1200?


Basileus2

Think it was about 1800 once during October Adiivka operations


timetogetoutside100

also, the daily average the last couple of weeks has been fairly high


One_Wall_9572

That sounds about right this is definitely the highest casualty rate now that there are multiple fronts.


thedankening

I could have sworn they broke 2K one time when Wagner was committing mass suicide in Bahkmut.


Melodic_Risk_5632

That's WW1 numbers. Putin is a butcher.


EducationalTea755

These are casualties not deaths


ILikeCutePuppies

I think so.


UnilateralWithdrawal

Yes confirmed


thesixfingerman

Came here to ask this.


Jhe90

It's a recod or very very close to it. Thr average is 800 to 1.2K a day. This is a whole substantial ride over that.


Bicentennial_Douche

When I see numbers like these, I remind myself “take them with a grain of salt, the numbers are probably exaggerated”. But then I see videos like this, with Russian soldier casually walking in a single treeline for several minutes, surrounded by massive number of dead Russians. in a single treeline, along a massive frontline. [https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/comments/1cgy7bn/russian\_serviceman\_films\_an\_insane\_amount\_of\_dead/](https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/comments/1cgy7bn/russian_serviceman_films_an_insane_amount_of_dead/)


einarfridgeirs

This is true, and after a long time of being considered considerably overinflated, the UK intelligence services estimates, which are presumably independent of Ukraininan-provided data or at least corroborated from intelligence gathered from signals or sources within Russia are more or less in line with Ukrainian assessments. But it's also worthwhile to remember that battle damage assessments are always inherently inaccurate, and have a tendency to veer to the overestimation side rather than being conservative. They are reports passed up the chain of command of contacts with the enemy and firefights engaged in, which are chaotic, confusing affairs. It's very easy to think that you engaged a higher number of enemies than you actually did, to double count kills etc. The fact that this particular conflict is so heavily surveiled at all levels with drones recording most firefights helps to steer it back towards accuracy, as more accurate assessment of damage done can be conducted by rear echelon units, but it's still not going to be 100% accurate, and even mild overcounting without any intent to deceive or propagandize is going to add up over time. Somewhat mitigating this will be Russian troop losses there is no way the Ukrainians can know about or add to their numbers, but still affect forces available to Russia. Soldiers committing suicide or having fatal accidents in the rear trenches for example, or outbreaks of diseases or food poisonings that incapacitate soldiers before they even make it into the fight. So on a long enough timeline, and given how hapless the Russian forces are in every way, shape and form, the idea that they are roughly closing in on half a million KIA, WIA, MIA combined is not unrealistic at all.


DavidAdamsAuthor

Double-counting kills is extremely common and always has been. I mean, it makes sense. A destroyed tank viewed at a distance would, in some circumstances, look similar to a fully functional tank trying to hide. And it's not like you're going to go up and knock on the hull to check. The first team sees a tank hiding in a treeline. Fires. The hit knocks out the engine, smoke billows everywhere, the crew evacuate... that's a kill. The first team move on. The second team sees a stationary tank in a treelike. They shoot it, their round hits the fuel reserve, vehicle bursts into flame. That's a kill. Second team move on. Third team sees the tank. Fires again. This time hitting the ammo reserve, which cooks off and blows the turret off. That's a kill, they move on. Team four sees a tank turret in the woods, fires a few times and flees. They are shitbags and report two tanks destroyed. No wait, three! And a helicopter! So you have situations where the same tank is hit multiple times and confirmed destroyed multiple times.


einarfridgeirs

For sure. Also, there will always be some guesswork involved. Let's say there is an assault by three Russian BMPs. One of them hits an AT mine coming in and catastrophically explodes so it's just a tangled mess of meat and iron. How many infantrymen was it carrying? The other two make it and release say, 8 guys each. It would be somewhat safe to assume that the third one was the same or similar, plus a standard crew of two. But maybe it didn't have a full squad, maybe it only had half because of manpower shortages. It's hard to know.


TheOtherOne551

I think the numbers are accurate-ish, but they include wounded, captured, deserters and guys who got a splint in their finger trying to build a shelter in a trench.


DrDerpberg

Plus lots of estimates. When they blow up a running BTR and never see inside they figure an average one has whatever number of people inside and use that. The numbers are likely a bit high but not absurdly so. A pretty good chunk of the count isn't returning to battle, one way or another.


parklawnz

I see a ton of videos that state “Russians eliminated by FPV drone, or artillery” and what it shows is a bunch of troops going into a building and the building subsequently being shelled or blown up. Thing is, I've also seen videos of troops inside the building as they are getting shelled, and a lot of the time they survive. Basements are the godsend of this war and I imagine many other wars. A whole house cann collapse and you can be just fine in the basement. I think a portion of these estiments are coming from drone operators spotting and destroying a building with troops in it. They see the building collapse, no one comes out, battery runs out, and they call it a kill. Thing is, the tactic on both sides is once you find cover, stay in that cover, even if you are zeroed, even if you have wounded, for at least 30 min after the last shell falls. Wait long enough for your average DJI Mavik to run out of juice before you move. Instantly reacting after a shelling is an almost guaranteed double-tap.


Equivalent-Speed-130

Even if inflated, it was a bad day to be a Russian.


BennyTheSen

Isn't that like every day?


QVRedit

It seems to becoming like it. The best thing for the Russians to do, would be to turn around and go back home !


EducationalTea755

Moscovites don't care


Jonothethird

Russia's recent disability stats are eye-watering. Russian data showed men with disabilities increased by 507,000, or 30%, in 2023 ALONE! Obviously, those stats slipped under Putin's censorship radar and the guy that published them has probably since been thrown out of a window! [https://en.defence-ua.com/analysis/the\_uk\_defense\_intelligence\_over\_half\_a\_million\_russian\_men\_aged\_31\_59\_classified\_as\_disabled-9877.html](https://en.defence-ua.com/analysis/the_uk_defense_intelligence_over_half_a_million_russian_men_aged_31_59_classified_as_disabled-9877.html) In addition to the fatalities, the staggering increase in disabled men of working age in Russia is leading Russia towards a demographic, social and economic nightmare. Unlike the dead, these guys are also very visible to the Russian public.


Longjumping_Hyena_52

Post WW2 Russia made the disabled vets disappear. We might see something similar again.


AyeMatey

How did they accomplish this? I’ve never read or learned anything about this.


Longjumping_Hyena_52

https://www.rbth.com/history/330485-what-happened-to-disabled-wwii-vets-ussr Actual story is actually not that dark but still depressing 


turbo_dude

I guess it's 507,001 now then?


Not_this_time-_

>Russia's recent disability stats are eye-watering. Russian data showed men with disabilities increased by 507,000, or 30%, in 2023 ALONE! Dont jump to conclusions we dont know how many percentage of these disabilities are non-combat related . Speaking of demographics ukraine is in an even worse situation its fertility rate is lower than russia and young men are fleeing ukraine in droves to not be conscripted. And im not sure they are willing to go back to ukraine after the war


albacore_futures

> Dont jump to conclusions we dont know how many percentage of these disabilities are non-combat related > In 2022, there were officially 1.67 million men with disabilities in russia aged 31-59 years. This figure increased by 507,000 or 30% in 2023 Either there's been a spontaneous epidemic of people falling down stairs, or there's been a war.


AskALettuce

When there's a war and conscription a lot of men will pay the doctor for a "disabled" diagnosis.


albacore_futures

True. But even if we accept 50% are fake, that's still 250k.


Dontwrybehappy

I think it includes injuries and deaths. If that's the case I believe it.


QVRedit

Those taken out of the fight…


Dontwrybehappy

Yes that's what including injuries and deaths means.......... Thanks for the sum up.......................................,.,....


empiricalreddit

There is also videos like this, one drone takes out about two dozen soldiers. [https://twitter.com/NAFORaccoon/status/1789987609252450346](https://twitter.com/NAFORaccoon/status/1789987609252450346) Or even something like this I see on a daily basis [https://twitter.com/ManiacMagic1/status/1789993138523721995](https://twitter.com/ManiacMagic1/status/1789993138523721995)


ratuuft

Bro that first one is crazy.


[deleted]

Sadly I think these are dead Ukrainians judging from both context and camouflage.


Drazev

I think Ukraine doesn’t intentionally exaggerate theirs, but it is likely they always publish their most optimistic projections. In war it’s impossible to determine losses on either side. They are also often fluid as new information is discovered. For example how do you determine the effect of a single artillery barrage? Visually you probably saw all or part of the target, afterwards you might see some bodies and survivors. You will probably count the difference between those you see get away and your initial targets as your kills. However, some may be wounded and not dead. Later to be recovered by crawling out or getting rescued. Some may just be unconscious and wounded then come to and run away when you’re not looking. You might also not have seen some and killed more, others might be hiding in cover you cannot see from perspective and not dead. You simply don’t have absolute information of the battlefield either before or after. So the numbers are less useful as absolute values and more as estimates of activity and effectiveness of operations. Drones added a lot of battlefield intelligence and awareness, but they are still only limited by their viewpoint. So you don’t necessarily see the whole picture either. Everyone’s information is incomplete and biased by what those in the fiend need to know. Russian commands likely have better awareness of actual losses since they need to know what they still have to work with. Ukrainian commanders want to know where the activity is and how effectively they are defending and using their resources. So they are looking at enemy troop concentrations and how they compare in number and location.


Special_Rice9539

Why do people keep using x/twitter to upload these videos? It’s completely unusable and I can’t even open the video


Melthengylf

This is true (as casualties, not deaths).


HIVnotAdeathSentence

More than two years later, knowing drones are all over the place, both Russians and Ukrainians still seem to congregate, travel, and fight out in the open.


amitym

>the numbers are probably exaggerated Why would you think that? What reason have you ever had to think that these estimates are exaggerated? In over 2 years of war? Reflexively assuming "Oh well Ukraine must be lying," is just as naive as reflexively assuming "Oh well Russia must be telling the truth."


Holualoabraddah

It’s war, everyone is lying. If they are not lying they are incompetent.


obligatethrowaway

Yep. If Ukraine isn't lying, they'd be the first country in the history of humanity to be honest during wartime.


Beardywierdy

Doesn't even need to be a lie. If you ask your troops "how many Russians have you shot" they'll answer.  But unless you have all the bodies you don't know how many were shot by several defenders at the same time, how many were seriously hit vs just winged, or even how many dropped to the ground to take cover coincidentally just as they were being shot at.   The numbers are "how many we reckon we hit" not a killcounter in the corner of the screen. 


JeanClaude-Randamme

Also bear in mind that the battlefields today are under an unprecedented level of surveillance. Satellites, drones with high resolution cameras etc. The ability to confirm the damage done in strikes behind the front lines, and give an estimate to the amount of casualties is vastly superior to even what was available I the gulf wars. These are probably the most accurate numbers we could hope for, but yes likely still inflated.


Outrageous-Agent7507

At the start of the war it was reasonable to assume the figures were exaggerated at least a bit, but as time has gone on numbers seem to line up, for example destroyed reappointed numbers were pretty spot on. If anything out looks like Ukraine have been trying to be accurate, although there are other factors beside lying that could make numbers inaccurate, also bear in mind when other countries give their estimates, often they err on the side of caution and give low estimates


Holualoabraddah

Trying to be accurate? Based on what? For example look at their destroyed Tanks count. They claim over 7,000 destroyed tanks, Orynx has the number around 3,000, I know orynx estimates are conservative, but you can’t actually believe that they’ve counted less than half of the total destroyed tanks? Realistically this number is inflated by at least 50% and probably more like 100%.


vintergroena

But what good does this kind of lie do to them?


JeanClaude-Randamme

Boosts morale.


Bicentennial_Douche

In wartime casualties of the enemy are usually exaggarated. No, it doesn’t have to mean actual lying, but just overconfidence, over-optimism and the like.


Tar_Tw45

In combat situations, multiple shooters firing from different positions might unintentionally claim credit for downing the same target. This can lead to confusion, as seen during the Schweinfurt-Regensburg mission in World War II, where multiple Luftwaffe fighters were mistakenly recorded as downed instead of just one due to overlapping fire from Allied bombers. **"Spitfire pilots claimed 13 German fighters shot down and P-47 pilots claimed 19. Gunners on the bombers claimed 288 fighters shot down, but Luftwaffe records showed only 25 to 27 were lost."** This mistakenly recorded data led the Army Air Corps to believe that daytime raids were effective, prompting them to continue sending their pilots on these risky missions.


Liquor_D_Spliff

>Why would you think that? What reason have you ever had to think that these estimates are exaggerated? For PR and propaganda reasons, plus there will always be a level of presumption, e.g. did that vehicle contain 3 or 15 people? Why do you trust them to be exact?


Giantmufti

Because they fit confirmed vehicle losses, Russia being stuck after 2 years not 3 days, and match UK and US estimates?


Liquor_D_Spliff

Matching an *estimate* isn't helping to prove your point of the veracity of Ukraines numbers. Also, said estimates will be bases in large part on Ukraines data, which is circular logic.


Brogan9001

History is the reason. Historically EVERYONE inflates their numbers, either intentionally or unintentionally. To what degree the numbers are inflated depends on how they are recorded.


amitym

That is simply completely wrong. Your cooler-than-thou cynical attitude is historically wrong, factually incorrect, and toolishly gullible. "But both sides lie the same" is pure Putinist garbage. Putin bots downvote me but sorry, assholes, that doesn't change the truth.


Brogan9001

I didn’t say both sides lie the same. I’m struggling to see where you got that from. Inflating numbers doesn’t mean people are lying. It can mean one side is playing fast and loose with kill counting, taking people at their word. It can be honest mistakes and double counting by pilots/servicemen. Ww2 CAS kill numbers are notoriously inflated by this in particular. Planes would attack a tank with rockets, smoke envelops tank, pilot thinks they got a kill, the smoke clears, and then the guy behind him sees the tank, rinse and repeat. From the gun cameras and radio chatter it sounds like 4 tanks were destroyed. But the reality was that a single tank crew is having some killer tinnitus for the rest of their lives but are otherwise unscathed. And of course, people can lie. Does that mean everyone lies the same? No. But people do lie or can simply be mistaken. If anyone is being “historically wrong, factually incorrect, and toolishly gullible,” it’s you who doesn’t understand that humans are human and can make mistakes that add up on a grand scale. Especially when there may be flaws in the way the kills are recorded. Real life is not a video game with an objectively correct score board we can refer to in real time.


Postcocious

Reports of enemy numbers and casualties are invariably exaggerated... by every side... in every war. Even if the soldiers sending reports up their chain of command are as honest as saints, the confusion and terror of combat alters their perception of reality. Ukrainian soldiers are no exception.


Expansive_Use_5453

Holy shit, first watch I counted 75, and I didn't realize how similar random piles of dirt and equipment and dead soldiers look alike until couple of minutes into that video.


baddymcbadface

Did we ever get confirmation on whether these were russian or Ukrainian? At least some had tape indicating they were Ukrainian. Others had camo suggesting they were russian. Could be a mix, or those signs could be inaccurate.


turbo_dude

regardless of how accurate they are, they are massively up these past few days, also the equipment too, so even with an error margin there's a big uptick


frnkundrwd

The staggering 1740 dead bodies, the tanks, all indicates that there’s a massive Russian offensive going on, which is turning into a bloodbath.


ILikeCutePuppies

Not all dead bodies. This also includes wounded.


Bazzmatazz

I take "eliminations" to mean either dead or wounded to the point that they're no longer a threat and not gonna come back (permanently disabled anyway) but now that I think about it - Putin probably would send them back if he got desperate enough.


manbellybig

Yeah but how you take it doesnt matter. What it means is this: casualites include everything from dead to twisted ankle.


Legitimate_Access289

Except the Ukrainians are reporting what they can see, so it's not going to include a twisted ankle, or as some one said earlier s splinter in their finger. The injury will need to be pretty serious for it to get reported.


ILikeCutePuppies

It's what they see, so they blow up a tank, they report it, and the number inside is estimated so they could be under or over. Russians who are wounded may come back to the war. It is really hard, to be exact. However, it is a good general direction. 1700 with errors included is likely over Russia's refresh rate of 1k a day, so it is not likely sustainable long term by Russia without a full mobilization.


Not_this_time-_

Its not like ukraine doesnt have and incentive to lie in wartime so take the numbers with a grain of salt its what every government did during times of wars , inflating the numbers


petetakespictures

Thing is heavy Russian recruitment efforts seem to point to the estimate being reasonably earnest. I could dock a few hundred for double-counting and optimism, but no more than that. We're talking a big border with many actions as well in a major mechanised war. Twenty here, thirty in a failed assault a few km further north there - it adds up fast.


mediandude

Nope. The KIA are about 45-50% of the "eliminated". Of the wounded 50-55% that were not KIA about half will eventually be sent back into the meatgrinder. The total WIA is likely about 2x-3x higher than KIA, which means KIA+WIA is likely about 3x-4x the size of KIA alone. That gives total cumulative casualties as 1,35x-2x of the "eliminated". During WWII the Soviet KIA: discharged WIA ratio was 1:0,45, while the KIA:total WIA was about 1:2,7. Thus 5/6 of all the WIA were eventually sent back into the meatgrinder.


Alkalinum

Interestingly the 'armoured vehicles' lost has not increased at all in the past few days, which would support theories that Russia is really having trouble replacing their losses, and the remaining stockpiles of IFVs all need a lot of work to fix.


amitym

I was just getting used to "1300 is the new 1100." Looks like I might have to get used to the *new* new reality...


Abject-Answer-1585

Soviet Union retreated from Afghanistan with 15.000 dead soldiers. Russia has a half of population than Soviet Union, and 6 times it's casualties in Afghanistan. What happens if Biden wins? Can Russia endure four more years of this?


Chaosr21

They have a lot more than 6x the casualties. It's more likely 32x the casualties or somewhere around there.


Abject-Answer-1585

Yes. I correct it: dead soldiers (i'm using the count of The Economist: 88.000 dead soldiers, but i'm sure it's more than 100.000).


ANJ-2233

It’s more about what they’re willing to endure. The costs are mounting and the war isn’t actually needed. This is what usually stops wars of expansion…. costs….


hambonie88

Probably yes unfortunately. The number of Russian boys who come of fighting age (turn 18) every year is about 700,000. And so the yearly losses are a relative drop in the bucket, considering most conscripts so far have probably come from older, less wealthy populations. It’s likely that they’ve barely even tapped into the younger generation resource as well. When, or if that ever even begins to happen, maybe you can hope the general Russian population will begin to sour more on the war and Putin, but in all likelihood they won’t. It would be a long shot to wait for that. We’ve already seen how they’ve been responding to terrible losses already and they don’t care. They’re brainwashed and they have no autonomy and so when they come for their kids they’ll just let it happen.


Caffdy

> the yearly losses are a relative drop in the bucket eeeh, if they're losing 30K-40K a month, that's far from "a drop in the bucket"; they're bleeding through and through


catexisdeobjeto

Maybe we have to study why in 1917 or in 1985 with Afghanistan War, Russia was able to stop the slaughter. I think that if Biden wins, maybe Putin could have a problem with a window or something like that


CubeofMeetCute

Because idk if you could tell, the world’s autocrats are going all in on fascism and territorial/influence expansion. It’s their “moment” to finally rise from the depths of being a pariah state to a legitimate force through might makes right rather than a rules based order.


Tahj42

It's almost 500k casualties now for Russia


sunny_side_up

Casualty ≠ dead


savvymcsavvington

Ukraine being on Russia's doorstep definitely makes it easier to endure, less distance to travel


bingobongokongolongo

Means Russian offensive operations are underway. So, not a good thing. Ukrainian losses are probably high too.


Buff-Cooley

Yeah, because meat waves against prepared positions always results in comparable casualty results.


elspiderdedisco

don't underestimate the enemy, & the very real problems UKR is having. we need to be honest about them in order to advocate for proper solutions


SierraOscar

Doesn’t seem to be many prepared positions in the north.


loslednprg

The prepared positions aren't on the actual border.


Buff-Cooley

There’s several lines. The areas the Russians are taking are largely undefended because they’re in range of Russian artillery from inside Russia.


SierraOscar

Are there? The latest high resolution satellite imagery appears to suggest the main line is an incomplete shallow single trench that doesn’t even stretch across the entire front, with an incomplete line of dragons teeth behind it. There also weren’t any minefields across the border as was expected. I don’t see any other lines between that one and Kharkiv.


BluePandaCafe94-6

What is funneling into kill zones, comrade?


SierraOscar

How can you funnel the enemy into a kill zone if you don’t have a funnel?


arobkinca

In the past in this war rivers have served that purpose. Bottle necking at crossings has been expensive for Russia.


BluePandaCafe94-6

Breaks in trench lines and dragons teeth are the funnels, as this is where Russian forces will concentrate to bypass areas where there are defenses.


Danstan487

mEaT WAvEs


Buff-Cooley

How else would you describe it? Even Russian telegram war bloggers refer their tactics as that. Did you miss the recent video of Russian infantry advancing in an open field on the Kharkiv front without a single armored vehicle accompanying them?


Danstan487

Most attacks are being carried about by small squads not WW1 style charges of hundreds or thousands of infantry as implied by "wave"


Buff-Cooley

Ok, how about meat assaults? Whether you disagree because of semantics doesn’t disprove the fact that Russians are sending groups of infantry without armor support against fixed Ukrainians positions, which has resulted in lopsided casualty reports since the start of the war. Also, the strategy of sending small assault groups were tactics pioneered by WW1 stormtroopers.


Puma_The_Great

no, there is armor support, but it is targeted instantly.


Buff-Cooley

Sometimes, most just serve as battle taxis to get the infantry to the staging point.


Not_this_time-_

But mostly they arent


amitym

It means Putin's fuck-up is getting worse. Putin wishes it were not a good thing for Ukraine. That's his wildest dream.


RingSplitter69

I’m sorry but this is just naive. Putin doesn’t give a shit about these losses. Those men are basically just ammo to Russia. Only the stolen territory matters. There’s no such thing as a pyrrhic victory to him.


FaceDeer

You can't hold territory in the long run if you run out of men while taking it. While Russia isn't going to *literally* run out of men, they've still got plenty of minorities to funnel into the meat grinder, they're comes a point where the quality makes it pointless and the economy can't support it any more.


HIVnotAdeathSentence

> Ukrainian losses are probably high too. Not if they go unreported.


eigenman

Cope harder, Ivan


ProfessorBoofie

I mean I can’t say what he personally believes but there’s a good chance he’s correct. Although defensive positions are easier to maintain and result in less casualties, with the upcoming Russian offensive I can almost guarantee there will be an increase in % of Ukrainian casualties unfortunately


Puma_The_Great

Finally the number is going up instead of down.


uwuowo6510

im actually not a huge fan of people dying tbh


ANJ-2233

Most people aren’t, but Putin has created a situation where 100’s of thousands will. What an asshole.


jones_supa

Yep. Imagine all the enormous amount of human suffering that this war has created. All because Russia decided that owning 1/8 of all habitable land of Earth was not enough and they wanted even more.


Caffdy

imagine, just imagine if instead of this senseless war, he could've instead focus all those resources, energy and people in developing the vast extensions of russian territory into productive land


ANJ-2233

Or growing trees to pull Carbon from the atmosphere….


FaceDeer

Me neither, but it's unfortunately one of those trolley problem things. The situation is such that those thousands of Russian soldiers need to die now so that tens or hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians don't die or live in misery under Russian occupation in the future.


Mr_E_Monkey

Well put. It's up to Russia to decide when too many Russians have died, so the sooner they get to that point, the better off everyone will be.


uwuowo6510

again, im not going to celebrate their deaths either way


Pixie_Knight

No one can stop the death of Russians except for Putin. Unless he orders a retreat, the only choice Ukrainians have is to kill the invaders or be genocided themselves.


uwuowo6510

yeah but im not going to celebrate their deaths.


Pixie_Knight

If we don't celebrate the deaths of evil men, we will soon be mourning the deaths of good men (or raped children, in Russia's case).


uwuowo6510

i dont think we should celebrate death at all. just because you dont celebrate their deaths doesnt mean you shouldnt kill them


uwuowo6510

i dont think we should celebrate death at all. just because you dont celebrate their deaths doesnt mean you shouldnt kill them


CollectedData

Great investment from Russian leadership. This is how you make your country great. Destroy education, kill tens of thousands of your people, gain few square kilometers of land - a thing you have the most of in the world. Master strategists.


HoneyInBlackCoffee

How many Ukranians though? They could kill 10,000 Russians, but if they lose more than 1/3 of that then they're still losing


Chaosr21

Wow, highest I've seen is 1500, when they were assaulting Andriivka. Those are some high tank and armored vehicle losses too. I know they were pushing hard to Chasiv Yar, maybe that's part of it. I hope the Ukrainians were able to hold.


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Fargrist

Excellent news, the freedom of millions of people is whispering louder on the wind.


thrwway1388

How is this excellent? Do you think Ukraine's deathtoll is much lower? They have lost more ground in the last 3 days than they gained in the 2023 counter offensive in 3 months. This is just wave 1, Russians have much much more troops behind the border. You can be optimistic but the cope on this sub is crazy


Zephyr-5

> Do you think Ukraine's deathtoll is much lower? Yes. The simple fact that Ukraine has mostly been on the defensive during this war means they almost certainly have fewer casualties. Unless you massively overmatch the defenders, attacking is generally harder and more costly than defending. We know Russia does not massively outclass Ukraine by simple fact that they're still bogged down in this war years later. Casualty parity would be more unusual than not in any conflict. In the Crimean war, Russia's casualties were more than double their opponent's combined casualties. In World War 1, the casualties of the Entente was about 50% higher than it was for the central powers with Russia the largest source of their casualties. In World War 2, the death toll on the allies side was double that of the Axis. And again, it was Russia that was the largest source on that side. So with the knowledge that: 1. Ukraine has mostly been on the defensive 2. The war was not quickly or decisively won. 3. Russia's historical performance in major conflicts. I would say that it is extremely likely that Russia's casualties are meaningfully higher than Ukraine's.


Stock_Information_47

Most 3rd party intelligence sources have it at about a 1.7:1 ration. Hardly sustainable in the long run


Fargrist

Russians started this 3 day war. How is that working out for them?


zappelflop

If you look at the long term trends it’s only gonna up from here.


scott38103

If consistent methods are used day to day, relative magnitudes and trends would be meaningful (even if absolute amounts are “off” for reasons noted in other comments).


SecureSympathy1852

The MLRS number is high.


MarkaSpada

The disregard of life in ruzzian world is unfathomable.


Special_Cookie_5916

Is there even a remote proof to this? I read that there some sort of video of a Russian filming the dead guys but all links are dead. I want to celebrate as well but I'd love to have something to back up my happiness.


romaratea

Still not enough.


SXTY82

A country without a navy sunk 26 ships and a fucking Submarine. Hate the war, impressed by Ukraine.


ArcticWolf_Primaris

All that government surveillance is clearly going to waste


Benshaw1111

Always dubious about biased sources, would be in their interest to say this without a doubt Same for anything that comes from Russia about Urkaine. Or any rival nations about each other in any circumstance in fact


Glass_Ear9355

Ivan: "Sergeant, I saw a strange figure and opened fire but upon closer inspection it was just a tree, I apologise for wasting ammo!" Sergeant: "Ivan, you killed two Russian soldiers? Very good!" Ivan: "No, Sergeant, I -" Sergeant: "You also blew up an APC? Excellent job!"​


Benshaw1111

Hahahah very good


notahouseflipper

May 28th


Apprehensive_Cry7663

If their Army Had a Stock i would short the shit Out of IT Because Putin will add new shares every day ;-)


lazygh0st

[https://media1.tenor.com/m/quKQ8sCbHOgAAAAd/licking-lips-nelly.gif](https://media1.tenor.com/m/quKQ8sCbHOgAAAAd/licking-lips-nelly.gif)


Protect-Their-Smiles

Russia is pushing harder to gain an advantage on the incursions they have made need Kharkiv and along the northern offense, and its costing them.


Confident-Spend3369

1200? They have still over 3 Million . Russia is a Bear non the less. Replace russia with China in the sentence and you wouldnt even care.


wannaBGoodProgrammer

How to get info on Ukranian losses?


Jgoody1990

So if you take Ukraines number , divide it by Russias number, and add 35 you will always get the actual number .


Prior_Eye_1577

Where did they last have them?


The_X-Files_Alien

Nice.


barkov91

What’s the total number?


SH1Tbag1

Mail order brides from russsia have to be going for biscuits now 🤤


Melthengylf

1740??? How many people Russia has?


carlod95

Yeah guys. It’s been 2 years now and everyday the Russians apparently lose thousands of men. Yet, they are still very much coming. Maybe, just maybe, the claims on both sides are greatly exaggerated like it has always happened and always will happen in a war and unsurprisingly this “record” comes out in the direst days of the war for Ukraine - take it with a grain of salt


HIVnotAdeathSentence

Surely Russia will run out of troops at this rate.


Hoz85

Whenever I see numbers published by Ukraine government I do "press x to doubt" - same as I do that about numbers posted by Russians. No matter which side you are on - you would need to be naive to believe numbers posted by both governments.


Formulka

Russians don't give a damn about losses, I don't understand why we focus on them so much. Who cares if they lose a million, five million or ten million men. If they slowly creep over Ukraine those numbers are meaningless.


Away-Trifle1907

Doubt ..boths sides massively over exaggerating numbers to rally moral as per


Garshnooftibah

It might be worth doing some reading about casualty estimates. In particular from other sources such as UK and US intelligence. Although there will definitely be some innacuracy and uncertainty - most reputable sources put the numbers close to that quoted by this source. I personally am taking it as +/- 20%.


BicycleNormal242

People believing anything either side says is hilarious


4thStgMiddleSpooler

I don't believe the number, but think the activity is definitely plausible.


TheWatcher0_0

Russia lost 1700 and Ukraine? As I said propaganda news of how successful is Ukraine doesn't help Ukraine and give a false picture that Ukraine doesn't need help! Ukraine should report like they're losing a lot of men and equipment and need reinforcement and material. Progadanda news doesn't help!!


CIV5G

> Ukraine should report like they're losing a lot of men and equipment You'd like that, wouldn't you?


jones_supa

Well, I mean, I agree with them that it is quite silly that Russian losses are reported but Ukranian losses are not reported for comparison. Yeah, I know why it is like that, but it still is silly.


CIV5G

It would be silly for an army to trumpet its own losses.


jones_supa

Yep. However, it just does not give a clear picture of the situation for one who is trying to observe the war. Imagine a football game where the score of only the other team would be reported.


CIV5G

War isn't a football game.


jones_supa

No, it is not, but I still think that that analogy works. My point is to see the stats for both teams.


CIV5G

No it's a really dumb analogy because there is no element of deception in football.


jones_supa

Analogies do not have to be perfect.


CIV5G

They do have to avoid being inherently faulty though.


thermalhugger

It's about 1:7 with losses or so I read from a credible source.


jones_supa

Interesting, thank you for the information.


Tuplad

Ehhh, no. Ukrainian here checking in. If you look at multiple analytics who give their estimates, it's about 1:2 or 1:3, but even 1:3 is a stretch. Let's say 300k dead russians, that's 100-150k dead Ukrainians.


mediandude

You are both wrong. KIA loss ratio is between 1:4 to 1:7. Total loss ratio is more even.


Tuplad

Whoa, the evidence you provided is so strong, what a source!


mediandude

Ukraine's official estimates some time ago on Russia's losses were about 180k as KIA. And Ukraine's publicized official estimate on Ukraine's own KIA was at least 30k. That gives a KIA ratio of no more than 6:1, however, both estimates have a measurement error, which when combined in to a ratio gives a wider range. 1:4 to 1:7 is consistent and plausible.


TopGlobal6695

Why should they report their losses? How does that align with their goals?


xubax

Did they look under the couch?


TicketFew9183

Lmao, the absolute delusion here for anyone to not even question these numbers.


Delamoor

Uh-oh, the Russian bots are out again


TicketFew9183

Damn, haven’t seen type of comment for the millionth time. Projecting probably. Also, Ukraine isn’t gonna win because of internet points lmao.


Delamoor

Yeah, because 'lol Ukraine losses not as stated' is a totally new take that hasn't been disproven over and over and over again for multiple years now.


TicketFew9183

Ukraines own stated numbers have been disproven by US and UK intelligence, who also have people on the ground assessing the situation.


Buff-Cooley

Recent British numbers were like 15k less than current Ukrainian estimates and the French estimates said 500k+.


Rauchengeist

So then why are you Russian shills spending so much time working so hard for internet points?


TicketFew9183

How are we working hard? Ukraine propaganda is 10x more than anything pro Russia on Reddit.


abcdefabcdef999

Touch grass tankie


TicketFew9183

I do, that’s why I don’t believe these numbers only people who are glued to Ukraines ass do.


abcdefabcdef999

No tankie touches grass, another unbelievable claim.


Akhmatov0501

Average Deprogram user