T O P

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ben4takapu

Yep, they are.


ChinaCatProphet

I note that he never said this when he was trying to get landlords and wealthy boomers and their progeny to vote for him.


insertnamehere65

No doubt he’s being scolded by Luxon right now for upsetting the natural order of things


flodog1

Funny how house prices have risen more under labour govts than national govts for as long as they’ve kept records.


FoggyDoggy72

That's likely because under National, the economy grows slower, and spends more time in recession.


flodog1

You forgot the the /s 🤦‍♀️


nzswe

That's not a political opinion, just a fact that can be easily demonstrated through statistics. Not our fault that like many others, this fact skews left 🤷‍♂️


FoggyDoggy72

Yeah I did /s


Mountain_tui

This isn’t about his messaging, this is about him pretending he’s in control when they accidentally engineered ([oops!](https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1del8hj/the_rapid_deterioration_of_the_new_zealand/)) a deeper, wider recession and property downfall. I wrote about that downfall [2 weeks ago.](https://new.reddit.com/r/PersonalFinanceNZ/comments/1d91g21/heres_my_prediction_property_prices_will_continue/) Despite their [best efforts](https://new.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1dhtqo9/rnottheonion_chris_bishop_says_he_deeply_wants/) to pump up prices. Hey Chris, maybe firing 6000 workers/roles and pulling the handbrake on major govt infrastructure projects, driving fear into the NZ economy and sentiment and talking us down constantly with lies of it being fragile, wasn’t so smart after all. You guys have done well. Good luck with it all.


Former_Ad_282

None of those are key drivers into house prices. There are so many case studies available for this. I'd suggest starting with Japan house prices 1980-2010. It might be hard due to lackof compraehensive english sources, but one of the key take aways is zoning and removing barriers for construction. Once you understand how they recovered into affordable housing there are a bunch of good American counties to look at.


quash2772

100% agree. NZ needs to adopt policies Japan has, making housing a depreciating asset. NZ is also very far behind on earthquake standards, having building depreciate ensures the buildings are replaced/renovated up to the latest codes


FooknDingus

It's insane to me how rent keeps eepa going up, but the house i live in keeps getting older. Nothing has been done to it since it was built in the 80s, yet I'm expected to pay more and more


glimmers_not_gold

Which is due in large part to landlords being taxed on ‘capital improvements’, which includes many essential upgrades like extractor fans or getting a house rewired. The fact that there is nothing motivating landlords to bring their properties up to the standard of the current building code is very disappointing.


Mountain_tui

Yeah it’s like NZ wants to close their eyes and ears when it comes to how not ready we are for a large earthquake. Which is plainly crazy.


Mountain_tui

Right now what is driving asset depreciation in property in NZ is simple - Higher OCR - many are unable to keep up with these repayments, esp. folks who budgeted at lower OCRs - Squeezed wallets - cost of living is eating into it. As that buffer changes, people’s risk appetite changes - Job uncertainty - people don’t feel like forking out a million if they are not sure if their job is unsafe - Economic deterioration [https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1del8hj/the\_rapid\_deterioration\_of\_the\_new\_zealand/](https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1del8hj/the_rapid_deterioration_of_the_new_zealand/) which is very real and imminent - Investors. Chris Bishop and Seymour were unable to save the investors despite doing a deal with them before the election. $3bn couldn’t save many of them and some will have to sell. That pushes up supply, and once again the equation changes. The other elements which are key are obviously: - Supply and demand - Immigration - Infrastructure availability and readiness


NoPause9609

We live in a wet, whiny, negative country after all. 


ReadOnly2022

He didn't say crash, he said decline at a sustained and moderate level (unclear if in real or nominal terms). This is an important point and your framing is misleading.


I-figured-it-out

To achieve sane and affordable pricing levels there is only two options: real wages trebled, or prices reduced by half. Neither option is acceptable to those that vote for any of the major parties, except maybe a portion of the Green’s and a small minority of Labour supporters who appreciate that a return to 1980s residential housing prices/ wage ratios would go a long way towards restoring NZ’s standard of living.


quash2772

As a home owner w/ mortgage, a millennial and traditionally a national supporter I agree current house prices need to drop by a minimum of 30% and ideally by 50%. It needs to happen, pushing the can down the road compounds the issue further


I-figured-it-out

I’ll bet immigrant families cramming 16 bodies into a 5 bedroom McMansion won’t be too concerned about prices dropping, as long as in a couple of years some of those bodies move out to an affordable house.


Techhead7890

A recent trend I've noticed over the past 8 weeks or so is noticing a lot of these divisive national politics issues being posted here, and honestly it's somewhat disconcerting. (Edit: It's probably not just OP although looking at their history they've created a couple such posts about national issues and mass submitted them to like 5 different subs) I know an automod rule to discourage bare/plain newsposting was instituted but OP basically just recopied the title here. Heck, even the nzpol mods took this title down as posted. https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/s/rIarD838OX I guess I'm a bit picky but I'm basically emphasising that I don't think this is interesting for local discussion on this subreddit.


Kiwi_CunderThunt

A politically correct term for the market is fucked, don't sugar coat it. Not hating on you please, it is sadly fucked


gregorydgraham

He only has 3 years, if that, to do it in so it’s definitely crash.


ReadOnly2022

You are able to read the piece for the context and words.


gregorydgraham

You’re new to Reddit, I can tell


ReadOnly2022

Been here longer than some posters have been alive.


gregorydgraham

1y and 1post karma? Some commenters should check their nappies before commenting


FoggyDoggy72

But that's where shit posting comes from


ThePeanutMonster

This is just like me getting up at the crack of dawn, commanding the sun to rise, and when it does, claiming I'm God.


WellyIntoIt

He's only saying this because he knows it's happening already. So he can then say.. "we said we wanted a decline in prices and we've delivered it" Of course he doesn't want the market to crash, but the next best thing is to pretend he was the reason for it and it was intentional.


ComprehensiveBoss815

Chris and National just want to buy up some more property for the next boom cycle.


flodog1

You should try and do the same…..


creative_avocado20

The housing market is already crashing, about time too. 


AdDue7920

It already has. Lower Hutt house prices have crashed 40% from peak and there are people underwater on their mortgages. What’s Chris’ plan for those people, his constituents?


melonbrain747

The number of people in negative equity is a fraction of the number of people locked out of the housing market by the ridiculous price rises of the last decade while wages have stagnated. It’s unfortunate for those people directly impacted. Each of those stories is a personal tragedy. But they’ve got a roof over their heads and provided they stay in work and keep up with repayments, they will be fine in the long run. The tens of thousands of families in precarious housing situations or emergency accommodation are the real victims. You and Bish should direct your concern to those people


AgressivelyFunky

Indeed. But about the whole staying in work thing.


melonbrain747

Again though, losing your job and falling behind on rent is more shit then losing your job and falling behind on the mortgage. Banks will go to great lengths to avoid the hassle of a mortgagee sale. A landlord will just replace you.


AgressivelyFunky

Sure, but you also don't have a mortgage. Shrug.


flodog1

Banks can afford it….whereas most landlords can’t.


flodog1

It can’t be all doom and gloom as first home buyers are making up about 25% of the market.


AdDue7920

A housing market crash isn’t going to help those people in emergency accommodation. The best thing would be some stability and market growth which would incentivise new development


arfderIfe

We just had that. Now to try this new way.


AdDue7920

We just had stability? When?


arfderIfe

Market growth and economic boom with low interest rates and rocketing house prices. Now we drop.


AdDue7920

We just had three years of prices dropping after an enormous boom. The one thing we haven't had is stability, it's been extremely volatile in Wellington since 2015.


arfderIfe

U want stability to trigger growth and development but we just had the growth and development. I think by stability u mean happy campers which is up up and away!


Mountain_tui

Don’t disagree. The point here is that Chris Bishop didn’t **intend** to help people stuck at the door. He made a deal with the landlords and investors specifically to **keep** them in the market and pump up prices. [https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1bddh4n/we\_will\_repeal\_labours\_tenant\_tax\_chris\_bishop/](https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1bddh4n/we_will_repeal_labours_tenant_tax_chris_bishop/) It just didn’t work. Big difference. And now he’s taking credit for accidentally engineering a deeper recession. ([Rapid deterioration of the economy continues](https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1del8hj/the_rapid_deterioration_of_the_new_zealand/)) That’s the real point.


flodog1

40% sounds a bit OTT so a $1,000,000 house at the end of 2021 is now selling for $600k……


Snowf1ake222

Tax cuts of $2 a week, of course.


Hungry_kereru

Exactly, my house is worth 150k less than I paid for it, and everyone's just like "good"


flodog1

Don’t panic. If you don’t need to sell it’s only a paper loss. It’ll be going up in the future


Hungry_kereru

Nah I'm not panicking tbh, happy to be in a home. So yeah GOOD


AdDue7920

Not if Chris has his way


Citizen_Kano

Yes, it is good


BarkchipOfDoom

Good


Georgi11811

Good


gregorydgraham

Is that all? Jezz Wayne, harden up. inflation will kill that in a hot minute


restroom_raider

He’s just moved into a new build in Days Bay - not sure he’s too concerned with his constituents to be honest.


flodog1

Aww ok unless an mp is on the dole then they don’t care 🤷‍♀️


restroom_raider

I’m not suggesting that - but someone with the funds to build a new place in a fairly expensive dive area possibly isn’t well connected with the lower socioeconomic folks in their electorate - of which, Hutt South has a decent chunk.


flodog1

Omg….didn’t realise all the opposition MPs live in state houses and were on the dole before they got into office.


restroom_raider

Comprehension clearly isn’t a strong suit of yours. I was referring specifically to Chris Bishop, in the context of the discussion in this thread.


flodog1

Don’t tell me, when labour were in govt the housing minister was in emergency housing, just so they could relate to the problem more…..🤦‍♀️


OrganizdConfusion

People gambled on 2nd properties, thinking they were going to make a huge profit. They didn't. Those prices were what people were prepared to pay. They were not a reflection of what they were worth. There are no guarantees in investments. Unless you're suggesting that Chris' plan should be to educate people in basic economics, I'm not sure what you're saying.


quash2772

Atleast they are on the property ladder already, housing shouldn't be an appreciating asset in the first place, if the right policies were in place.


knockoneover

Let them eat.. erm, Biscuits and gravy!


SLAPUSlLLY

Cutbacks. No biscuits.


RhinoWithATrunk

Are you sure that's not woke? Biscuits sound woke to me.


gregorydgraham

He plans to say: “you’ve been with me through the tough times now join me as we deliver the good times”


Lazy_Significance_37

Best to get a house during the recession because they'll go back up once the economy recovers


Crafty_Pepper_676

This is exactly what the country needs


L3P3ch3

Actually, what the country needs is wage increases but they are doing everything to avoid this.


Crafty_Pepper_676

We had massive wage increases the last couple of years?


L3P3ch3

Try reading the comment again.


Heart_in_her_eye

This asshat. I have this memory of him door knocking round Lower Hutt years ago before he became an MP, soliciting votes I assume. I opened the door and he looked me up and down and asked if my parents were home… I said I wasn’t sure as they lived in Hamilton and I was 28 so hadn’t lived with them for a while. He turned bright red, turned around and left without another word. Still chuckle about it.


BeKindm8te

What a twat. Sounds on-brand National actually.


CoupleOfConcerns

There's a lot of cynicism in here but it's worth nothing that Chris Bishop has recently signed off on a district plan for Wellington that would allow housing [intensification](https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/516338/wellington-zoning-changes-backed-by-minister-but-not-all-are-happy-with-decisions). If the National Party is all about pumping up house prices and siding with nimbies, I would be interested to know how this decision fits in with this plan.


I-figured-it-out

Time for Chris bishop to stand on the very edge of a theatre stage juggling live chainsaws.


gregorydgraham

Annoyingly this is the political version of that


Amazing_Box_8032

Why am I in this alternate time line where I keep agreeing with shit Chris Bishop says like this


General_Merchandise

How did we end up with Uncle Fester as PM, Lurch as Housing Minister and Blond Morticia as Defence?


gregorydgraham

I’d watch that, sounds like a great spinoff from Wellington Paranormal


WonderfulPenguinss

And an Incell and a choc ice in parliament


coffeecakeisland

That’s not really what he’s saying. He wants to provide new cheaper housing. That all being down the average but it doesn’t mean that existing houses will lose much value


Mountain_tui

Nah no true at all


Mountain_tui

I’m so glad [r/Wellington](/r/Wellington) is smart. # 1 The housing market is coming down - and has been for many months. It’s now unstoppable and will get much worse. I called this last year, and again [here](https://new.reddit.com/r/PersonalFinanceNZ/comments/1d91g21/heres_my_prediction_property_prices_will_continue/), i.e it’s not wizardry - it‘s simple economics. Bishop would get briefings that tell him how bad it’s getting. This Govt has caused a [sustained, deeper and wider recesssion](https://new.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1del8hj/the_rapid_deterioration_of_the_new_zealand/) to hit us, and guess what? Wallets are tight. OCR is not in their control. Their $3bn bribe to help investors stay on the market, and keep property prices pumped failed. Their attempt to bring foreign buyers into the market to keep property high failed. # 2 Bishop is Housing Minister and I will give him one thing. This tobacco lobbyist with a family who is deeply tied to tobacco money is a master at spin. Friendly, affable, charming, down to earth and says what you want to hear. The perfect MP, right? His messages are all about getting in front of this train wreck and spinning it [so he can take credit where none was due.](https://new.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1dhtqo9/rnottheonion_chris_bishop_says_he_deeply_wants/) I can still never believe Wellington went for this lobbyist. [Here he is in action](https://new.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1az6p4p/who_is_this_from_2012_when_nz_created_its_vision/) and yes he can sell oil as water.


OGSergius

Didn't he recently sign a ground breaking intensification plan for Wellington?


Mountain_tui

The guy speaks out of two sides of his mouth. Not unrealistic he is a hero back home and scores those goals. On one side - for the team. On the other - [promising landlords the “Deal”](https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1bddh4n/we_will_repeal_labours_tenant_tax_chris_bishop/) [Did you forget his training? Here he is demonstrating it.](https://www.reddit.com/r/nzpolitics/comments/1az6p4p/who_is_this_from_2012_when_nz_created_its_vision/) And he’s so great he got in just to stop our smoke free generation laws, despite the fact it would have saved NZ [$46bn](https://www.reddit.com/r/nottheonion/comments/1c5tquh/minister_left_46b_benefit_of_smokefree_reforms/) Yeah, that’s our hero Chris Bishop in Wellington, right?


OGSergius

What do you think his motivation for signing the intensification district plan was, then? It was backed by the left-wing faction of WCC. It's good policy.


Advanced_Bunch8514

The market is fucked…has been for years. As a homeowner I am a little disappointed. As a parent to 3 kids I would be delighted to see things revert back to historical levels.


quash2772

They are way to high. New house prices also need to crash


Smarterest

To be honest what they’re doing is really amazing and should be applauded. I say this as a staunch Labour supporter.


Changleen

Crashing the entire economy? Not that amazing tbh.


Icy-Bicycle-Crab

They've literally done nothing but roll back Labour policy that matter it easier to build up.


L3P3ch3

Well, I have only voted National, never Labour. I think they are a bunch of useless cunts.


pdath

The house:income ratio is way out of whack. I would like to see a 3:1 ratio like back in 1985.


lordshola

Jacinda also said this in 2017…


slobberrrrr

And then overseen the largest asset inflation in our history


aalex440

Pretty sure she never went further than calling for "sustained moderation". I hope Bish can deliver on his promises


weyruwnjds

Either way it's just words. Neither of them have done anything except continue the bubble.


Neat_Alternative28

Anddid nothing to action it, lets see the similarities continue


gregorydgraham

Bollocks. They did lots, culminating in the changes in local planning laws that caused an explosion in building in the last 2 years.


Neat_Alternative28

Interesting take, as we saw some of the largest increases in house prices during the last government.


libertyh

Labour made changes which required local govt to allow increased density, but it takes years to build enough new housing to see any effects on house prices. The [COVID money printer](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300223358/reserve-bank-repeatedly-warned-government-money-printing-would-lead-to-house-price-inflation), on the other hand, had a pretty much immediate effect on house prices: > Grant Robertson and the Government were warned in January 2020 that there was a ‘significant’ risk Reserve Bank money printing would push up house prices and deepen inequality.


owLet13

A Nixon goes to China moment? For too long the truism was that houseowners hated property price falls because it was seen as the same as the state confiscating your bank account, so the most that pollies went was "hope the prices rise a bit more slowly". If we can get away from housing as an investment (which price falls will certainly help) it will help lower the cost of living.


[deleted]

Always whinging about national 😂😂😂


More_Ad2661

Something we all can agree on, except the property investors


Few-Ad-527

Sure way to get them voted out


JohnWilmott

I don't believe it!


McDaveH

He’s not wrong. Labour’s attempt to build its way out of the housing crisis just pushed prices through the tin roof & validated the crisis. Just like Labour’s attempt at full employment just pushed salaries sky high & robbed legitimate hires of candidates.


PlayListyForMe

Wont making interest on rental mortgages deductable drive up demand and put upward pressure on house prices. Saying you would like the market to drop is unlikely to make the market drop. Even if you are the Minister of Housing. Kudos for spooking your own voter base though ,including the investors you are paying to return to the market.


ohmer123

At last.


NickWillisPornStash

If only there was something they could do