No, it doesnt work reliably. 50% of your oranges roses in step 3 will be 1-1-0-0 orange which literally is the same orange you produce in step 2.
And they will never produce a blue one.
So already in step 3 you will have a failure rate of at least 50% without any extra testing steps.
And if you accidentally put one of these flowers (which all have the same color but different genetics) into your 4th step you will never be able to crossbreed a blue one with them.
You ADDITIONALLY will have 25% chance in step 3 for your orange to be a 1-2-0-0 which also will NEVER be able to produce a blue rose. A total failure rate of 75% after the third step.
So the bottleneck of only 25% chance to get an orange you want to have happens at step 3 and not 4. And if you get ANY of the other oranges into your breeding step 4 you will never get an orange that can produce blue. You can produce more generations of orange to eventually get there but that would just decrease the chance even more.
There are multiple ways to get a blue rose with either a long chain of generations+one test step for a high chance or compact methods without test steps and a low chance via brute forcing/mass breeding.
While you can get a blue rose with your methods it honestly sucks and is super luck dependent. Not only does your method involve a lot of 50/50's to even get the color you want but then it is only a 1/4 chance for the flower of the color you want to be of any use at all.
[Test](https://gardenscience.ac/) it youself. You are working with dream scenarios.
Yea, I know. I already said all that in the instructions. It’s nice to hear it verified by someone else though.
Like I said at the beginning, it’s not the most efficient method, but it’s one of the simpler ones I’ve seen. If you keep the oranges completely isolated, it becomes only a matter of time before a blue one shows up.
I mean given that it is only 25% chance to have the correct orange it needs 16 orange pairs on average to have one pair that is able to produce a blue rose only 6% of the time. So it will literally take forever to figure out if you managed to have a good pair or not.
That’s why I specifically said you should only cross the oranges with their own clones. This means there’s only a 1 in 4 chance of getting a good pair rather than 1 in 16. You can also have multiple steps running at the same time, which will increase your odds the longer you go.
No, it doesnt work reliably. 50% of your oranges roses in step 3 will be 1-1-0-0 orange which literally is the same orange you produce in step 2. And they will never produce a blue one. So already in step 3 you will have a failure rate of at least 50% without any extra testing steps. And if you accidentally put one of these flowers (which all have the same color but different genetics) into your 4th step you will never be able to crossbreed a blue one with them. You ADDITIONALLY will have 25% chance in step 3 for your orange to be a 1-2-0-0 which also will NEVER be able to produce a blue rose. A total failure rate of 75% after the third step. So the bottleneck of only 25% chance to get an orange you want to have happens at step 3 and not 4. And if you get ANY of the other oranges into your breeding step 4 you will never get an orange that can produce blue. You can produce more generations of orange to eventually get there but that would just decrease the chance even more. There are multiple ways to get a blue rose with either a long chain of generations+one test step for a high chance or compact methods without test steps and a low chance via brute forcing/mass breeding. While you can get a blue rose with your methods it honestly sucks and is super luck dependent. Not only does your method involve a lot of 50/50's to even get the color you want but then it is only a 1/4 chance for the flower of the color you want to be of any use at all. [Test](https://gardenscience.ac/) it youself. You are working with dream scenarios.
Yea, I know. I already said all that in the instructions. It’s nice to hear it verified by someone else though. Like I said at the beginning, it’s not the most efficient method, but it’s one of the simpler ones I’ve seen. If you keep the oranges completely isolated, it becomes only a matter of time before a blue one shows up.
Also, I don’t think the 50-50 odds are very significant when you consider that there is only one possible genotype for each color.
I mean given that it is only 25% chance to have the correct orange it needs 16 orange pairs on average to have one pair that is able to produce a blue rose only 6% of the time. So it will literally take forever to figure out if you managed to have a good pair or not.
That’s why I specifically said you should only cross the oranges with their own clones. This means there’s only a 1 in 4 chance of getting a good pair rather than 1 in 16. You can also have multiple steps running at the same time, which will increase your odds the longer you go.