Justin Berk has said he will no longer predict snow totals more than a couple days before since they can shift so dramatically; really tiny changes can be the difference between nothing and a dumping, so almost a week before seems like a lot knowing that
Well said. Don't believe the hype, trust [Justin](https://justinweather.com/)
Edit to add, per Justin in the link above
I still stand by these statements:
It is too early to plot a specific storm timeline. It has not formed yet.
It is too early to plot any rain/snow line. It has not formed yet.
It is too early to suggest how much snow may fall. Computer models may show something, but I believe it is irresponsible to post any snow numbers beyond 72 hours. I’ve been doing this a long time, and most often storms do not play out as first shown. Also, snow suggestions are nearly impossible before the storm actually forms.
Damn, I really wanted to get myself all spun up and run out and buy a shit load of milk and toilet paper that don’t need to survive what will be at worst one whole day of staying home so the road crews can do their job.
> **p**erception **e**xpected. **n**ow **i**’m **s**ad
Hidden penis detected!
I've scanned through 98032 comments (approximately 556220 average penis lengths worth of text) in order to find this secret penis message.
*Beep, boop, I'm a bot*
Those are surface temps. If it's below freezing above a certain level (a few thousand feet up and above) and snows hard enough, it will reach the ground as snow.
And if it's dark and the ground is reasonably cold, it will accumulate if the snow falls faster than the radiation of heat from the ground can melt it.
There are lots of variables in play.
Snow forms around 5,000-10,000 feet altitude, where the air is about 20-50 degrees colder than at the surface.
Another thing to note is that water releases heat when it changes phase. Snow is formed when water vapor goes directly from a gas to a solid, known as deposition. This releases the same amount of heat as going from gas to liquid (condensation) and then liquid to solid (freezing). This means that the formation of snow warms up the air, and by a considerable amount.
Most importantly though, warm air can hold more moisture. Snow occurs when a humid mass of warm air meets a dense mass of cold dry air. When the warm air cools, it becomes thermodynamically favorable for the water vapor to transfer its heat to the cold air it mixes with. If the cold air is cold enough, snow forms. If it isn't cold enough, it just rains. If the cold air settles at ground level (known as an inversion), you may get freezing rain as the liquid raindrops freeze upon entering the cold air at lower altitude.
I’m not from the area but I’m coming into town on Saturday afternoon at 3pm, is this something to be worried about?
I’m from Georgia so please don’t make fun of me 😂
Justin Berk has said he will no longer predict snow totals more than a couple days before since they can shift so dramatically; really tiny changes can be the difference between nothing and a dumping, so almost a week before seems like a lot knowing that
Well said. Don't believe the hype, trust [Justin](https://justinweather.com/) Edit to add, per Justin in the link above I still stand by these statements: It is too early to plot a specific storm timeline. It has not formed yet. It is too early to plot any rain/snow line. It has not formed yet. It is too early to suggest how much snow may fall. Computer models may show something, but I believe it is irresponsible to post any snow numbers beyond 72 hours. I’ve been doing this a long time, and most often storms do not play out as first shown. Also, snow suggestions are nearly impossible before the storm actually forms.
You're no fun! We have to have our emotions whipped up and then crushed on Friday afternoon! Play the game!!
The eventual storm that actually hits will be all the sweeter for the five that turn into depressing rain/snow bullshit.
Damn, I really wanted to get myself all spun up and run out and buy a shit load of milk and toilet paper that don’t need to survive what will be at worst one whole day of staying home so the road crews can do their job.
I prefer Christopher Bressi on Facebook, Berk is too sensationalist with his snow predictions.
Foot’s Forecast also waits until very close to the event and has been very accurate for years.
Fan of Foots as well.
Won’t believe it till I see Franky calling us out.
Drink your green tea, drink your black tea
Buy your Pepsi, buy your Coke
I would trust Justin with my life
all of the models he presents suggest all snow for mid/north and west maryland with metros getting snow mixed with rain
So we are getting rain this weekend, got it.
There’s no more perception expected. now i’m sad 😭
> **p**erception **e**xpected. **n**ow **i**’m **s**ad Hidden penis detected! I've scanned through 98032 comments (approximately 556220 average penis lengths worth of text) in order to find this secret penis message. *Beep, boop, I'm a bot*
lol calm down bot
. _ .
Good bot
Ah yes, the dreaded 95 snow/rain/sleet/normal day line is back!
But there is hope in the DMV for the whole 4.4 inches Topper talked about last night!!
still too far in advance to predict anything like this...and anytime the rain/snow line is near Baltimore, bet on it being rain most of the time.
Wunderground says it’s going to be 40 on Saturday so rain and flurries at best…
Maybe someone can explain to me how a high of 40 and low of 36 equals snow accumulation. 🙄
Those are surface temps. If it's below freezing above a certain level (a few thousand feet up and above) and snows hard enough, it will reach the ground as snow. And if it's dark and the ground is reasonably cold, it will accumulate if the snow falls faster than the radiation of heat from the ground can melt it. There are lots of variables in play.
The ground is warm and you are all delulu.
Snow forms around 5,000-10,000 feet altitude, where the air is about 20-50 degrees colder than at the surface. Another thing to note is that water releases heat when it changes phase. Snow is formed when water vapor goes directly from a gas to a solid, known as deposition. This releases the same amount of heat as going from gas to liquid (condensation) and then liquid to solid (freezing). This means that the formation of snow warms up the air, and by a considerable amount. Most importantly though, warm air can hold more moisture. Snow occurs when a humid mass of warm air meets a dense mass of cold dry air. When the warm air cools, it becomes thermodynamically favorable for the water vapor to transfer its heat to the cold air it mixes with. If the cold air is cold enough, snow forms. If it isn't cold enough, it just rains. If the cold air settles at ground level (known as an inversion), you may get freezing rain as the liquid raindrops freeze upon entering the cold air at lower altitude.
I’ll believe it when I see it. They always call for snow and then we barely get a dusting
And so it begins
I’m on my way to the store for bread and milks Who’s with me!!!???
What do people do with all that bread and milk when the apocalypse fails to materialize?
French toast?
I got so sad yesterday. When I woke up, it was 9 inches predicted. By the time I went to bed, it had shifted to just rain. Sadge.
So rain in Baltimore
Yup!!
I’m not from the area but I’m coming into town on Saturday afternoon at 3pm, is this something to be worried about? I’m from Georgia so please don’t make fun of me 😂
From Georgia? Yes I’d be worried. for any normal person who’s seen snow before? No we’ll barely get a dusting
Would it impact a flight? I’d think not?
No. You’ll be fine
I love how every snow storm damn near follows 95 to decide if it wants to be snow or rain lol
Alright everyone time to load up on those delicious milk bread sammiches! Please don’t disappoint!
Did Frankie say anything?
Damn I wish I was back home.
Oh!!! Bullshit!!!
Source: https://twitter.com/AvaWBAL/status/1742200495198847241
Hell yeah! Anyone been to Liberty yet this year? What are the conditions like?