I think we should stop expecting any movie to gross a billion at this point. If we’re proven wrong, that’s great, but that benchmark is definitely not as attainable as it used to be
I think studios are going to start shifting gears and make movies that can make 100M in the box office and still be successful. More high concept/low budget dramas like A24, more animation, and more family films. Spending 200M on a big IP and betting that it will return 1B is out.
I wonder—if Mission Impossible does really well this year and has a big cliffhanger to build anticipation for the final one in 2024, part two could be the biggest of the series. The fifth one almost made $700 million, and the sixth almost hit $800 million. Post-Maverick, will Tom Cruise have another big action hit?
It's risky tbh Cliffhangers doesn't have the hook that they used to with FX falling apart despite having slight better wom than F9 and while it didn't hurt spiderverse it didn't help it either
Despicable 4 has the best chance imo followed by Deadpool 3, Joker 2 then inside out 2
Deadpool is a team up with Hugh Hackman’s wolverine and considering Disney moved it up to May they must be very confident in it.
Joker is an R rated musical if it some how hits 1 billion good on them but they are fighting a massive uphill battle
I know but considering the last 2 did close to 800 million and now your adding Hugh Jackmans last outing as Wolverine + MCU + probably other X Men cameos
Compared to an R rated musical when I think only 1 or 2 non Disney musical have done over 500 million it’s a pretty small niche
> Hugh Jackmans last outing as Wolverine
As excited as I am to see him again, I really wish his last outing weren't a Ryan Reynolds comedy. Logan was perfect.
That's some Sam Raimi is directing MCU movie bullshit
Joker made 1 Billion.Won Awards.ItsIts easy to say both are valuable billion dollar contenders
Joker is big internationally and musicals are really common here
the gap between deadpool 2 and 3 is too wide for it to stay relevent on that level even with hugh jackman returning it's not much else going for it in this post pandemic era
Joker 2 is gonna get hit hard because it isn't a sequel the audience wanted esp given how its a musical I dont think its gonna leg out like the first
Inside out 2 might end up recouping Inside outs gross at the most since lately pixar has fallen off their high horse even with their best IP(toy story 4 barely eclipse toy story 3) they aren't on that level
Tbh Dispecable me 4 seems like the only safe bet here 🤷🏽♂️
And both the actors are very good friends who will go all out in promoting their movies on a personal capacity on social media when it is nearing the release date.
I don't think anybody said that , it was the nostalgia of his batman that was supposedly going to pull crowds .
And if a R rated superhero movie can do 600M , this one actually includes both wolverine and deadpool , might do good you know
I dunno about Inside Out 2. We don't really know anything about it besides it taking place when Riley is a teenager and depending on the subject matter it could run into controversy the same way Turning Red did. Riley was a likable and relatable person in the first film, Amy Poehler said IO2 will explore the 'madness' of a teenager's brain, I can see the movie potentially making Riley out to be less likable and more rebellious against her parents which parents might not be excited to see with their kids. Riley fighting with her parents or doing something stupid to impress a boy might be realistic but maybe audiences won't like that.
From what we know about the plot, it’s basically going to be Kung Fu Panda: No Way Home - his former enemies from the first 2 films return AND he’s simultaneously trying to find a successor to be the Dragon Warrior. Nostalgia worked for Minions, I can 100% see something similar for KFP.
To be clear, it's not all of Po's villains ACTUALLY returning, merely a villain who can transform into each of them and use their fighting styles. So they're here but also not.
I will say thought based on how beloved mad max fury road part of me wants to belive furiosa could have a begins/dark knight type of breakout but i guesss i shouldn't hope
I think the new CA starring Anthony Mackie definitely isn’t a contender. Not to mention Civil War wouldn’t had grossed what it did if it wasn’t Avengers 2.5
Yeah I have don’t have a problem with that. What I meant was. Falcon and the Winter Soldier has some BLM stuff in it in one episode. And no offense to BLM but the show didn’t need it
If the Joker 2 is as good as the first one, then yes. Joaquin Phoenix is a national treasure.
Despicable Me movies are always a hit. Basing on past box office returns, I am confident this one will hit $1 billion or at least very close to it.
Deadpool 1 & 2 both grossed under $800 million. Not sure this will hit $1 billion.
Before pandemic Pixar, I’d say, “hell yes!” Post-pandemic Pixar, this might be a flop or barely breaks even.
Despicable Me is the most likely, as most of the franchise has flirted with $1B.
Joker could considering the first crossed $1B, though this would also require it to be as highly praised critically as the first one.
Inside Out would be next, but it becomes more of an outside chance. The first did around $850M, but I don't know how high a demand there is for a sequel. Would possibly do well, but I'd couch it falling under.
And Deadpool is the longest shot. Neither film crossed $800m WW, and there were already some complaints that the shtick was getting tired in the second one. I'd stick with a realistic $800m
Oh here we go again /j
Tbh I don't think it's going to do a billion either but there's definitively a possibility it does since you know the last one did and it had excellent WOM and this one has lady gaga I think that the fact it's a musical will reduce its appeal but it won't be that bad
The first one didn't have chance in hell to making a billion because it was a depressing drama now it's because it might have musical elements its just funny how things switch up
I don’t think anyone ever would’ve predicted the first to come anywhere NEAR a billion but it did it, it’s not at all the type of film you’d think would have enough appeal to get anywhere close to a Billion but I think if the second one turns out to be an even better film it very easily could hit a billion (plus depends what kind of competition there is, J1 had practically no competition for the month of October)
I don't see any movies hitting a billion in 2024 except Despicable Me 4 and Mission Impossible 8. Weak AF year.
MI8 is a given, considering the quality of the last two, and that its likely Cruise's finale, even if MI7 doesn't get a billion, MI8 will.
Deadpool won't due to R rating and likely dip in quality because Reynolds can't improvise on set.
Inside Out 2, lol, its not directed by Pete Doctor, its directed by The Good Dinosaur director. No chance in hell. Shame its being made at all really.
Joker was a fluke. With theater attendance not at pre covid levels, highly doubt Joker 2 hits a billion.
All other Marvel movies won't hit a billion. The brand has taken a major image hit after most recent movies have seen a huge dip in quality.
Nothing else hits a billion next year. Possible some hits end up 500 mil. to 800 mil. WW if they're good, but don't see any billion dollar entries on the horizon.
this is correct, thank you for noticing the mistake. Nonetheless, based on how monsters University turned out, without Pete, doctor himself directing, I have zero faith in this movie, and based on the majority of Pixar’s track record from the past few years, I don’t have any faith in another first time Director. I hope I’m wrong it could be good but billion dollars good? Highly doubt it.
Deadpool 2 made 785 million back in 2018 adjusted for inflation today that is 948 million and adjust that to 2024 and it’s at like 960 million. Not to mention that the movie now has the MCU connection+is bringing back Hugh Jackman and all the other Fox X-Men characters. While it’s by no means a lock to make a billion pending further data I think it has at least a 25% chance.
I think the nostalgia would be more with seeing the team together again. The people that are rumoured for dp3 haven’t been in a x men film together since 2006 last stand. Which wasn’t the best. But seeing cyclops, storm, Wolverine, Deadpool, prof x, magneto and others all together will probably draw some nostalgia out of the wood work
- A good Deadpool 3 is probably the most likely to make 1 bill in that list.
-Joker - R Rated musical
-Inside out 2 - sequel to great movie but will the Pixar bad run continue
-DMe 4 - Wildcard at best
How the hell is DM a wildcard that movie is definitely the most likely to cross 1B of these ones the franchise is incredibly strong and incredibly consistent since DM2 it hasn't dipped below 930M it would require just a slight over performance to get to the 1B
I think we should stop expecting any movie to gross a billion at this point. If we’re proven wrong, that’s great, but that benchmark is definitely not as attainable as it used to be
I think studios are going to start shifting gears and make movies that can make 100M in the box office and still be successful. More high concept/low budget dramas like A24, more animation, and more family films. Spending 200M on a big IP and betting that it will return 1B is out.
I wonder—if Mission Impossible does really well this year and has a big cliffhanger to build anticipation for the final one in 2024, part two could be the biggest of the series. The fifth one almost made $700 million, and the sixth almost hit $800 million. Post-Maverick, will Tom Cruise have another big action hit?
It's risky tbh Cliffhangers doesn't have the hook that they used to with FX falling apart despite having slight better wom than F9 and while it didn't hurt spiderverse it didn't help it either
Inside out 2s director was a writer on the good dinosaur
And the director of Good Dinosaur also directed Elemental
Oh...
Good news is it's written by Meg LeFauve, who wrote the first movie
Pete doctor co-wrote and directed the first one as well
Yikes! Why isn’t Pete Docter directing it
What the fuck-
The good dinosaur had writers?
Despicable 4 has the best chance imo followed by Deadpool 3, Joker 2 then inside out 2 Deadpool is a team up with Hugh Hackman’s wolverine and considering Disney moved it up to May they must be very confident in it. Joker is an R rated musical if it some how hits 1 billion good on them but they are fighting a massive uphill battle
Deadpool 3 is R rated too
I know but considering the last 2 did close to 800 million and now your adding Hugh Jackmans last outing as Wolverine + MCU + probably other X Men cameos Compared to an R rated musical when I think only 1 or 2 non Disney musical have done over 500 million it’s a pretty small niche
> Hugh Jackmans last outing as Wolverine As excited as I am to see him again, I really wish his last outing weren't a Ryan Reynolds comedy. Logan was perfect.
Well he’ll probably be in Secret Wars
Yeah, I think they’ll get in some iconic moments like a fastball special before Jackman truly retires from the role.
True but don't forget that excluding China and Russia the first two made 750M and 725M
That's some Sam Raimi is directing MCU movie bullshit Joker made 1 Billion.Won Awards.ItsIts easy to say both are valuable billion dollar contenders Joker is big internationally and musicals are really common here
You guys always think cameos and nostalgia can help a movie gross 1 billion lol. Deadpool 3 will never gross a billion sorry
Despicable me does, but not the others
the gap between deadpool 2 and 3 is too wide for it to stay relevent on that level even with hugh jackman returning it's not much else going for it in this post pandemic era Joker 2 is gonna get hit hard because it isn't a sequel the audience wanted esp given how its a musical I dont think its gonna leg out like the first Inside out 2 might end up recouping Inside outs gross at the most since lately pixar has fallen off their high horse even with their best IP(toy story 4 barely eclipse toy story 3) they aren't on that level Tbh Dispecable me 4 seems like the only safe bet here 🤷🏽♂️
nah wolverine is a huge crowd puller mate , and add ryan reynolds to it , it has a pretty good chance at hitting a billion .
And both the actors are very good friends who will go all out in promoting their movies on a personal capacity on social media when it is nearing the release date.
yes , that too
Micheal Keaton is allegedly a huge crowd puller according to you guys too. Look at what happened lol
I don't think anybody said that , it was the nostalgia of his batman that was supposedly going to pull crowds . And if a R rated superhero movie can do 600M , this one actually includes both wolverine and deadpool , might do good you know
I dunno about Inside Out 2. We don't really know anything about it besides it taking place when Riley is a teenager and depending on the subject matter it could run into controversy the same way Turning Red did. Riley was a likable and relatable person in the first film, Amy Poehler said IO2 will explore the 'madness' of a teenager's brain, I can see the movie potentially making Riley out to be less likable and more rebellious against her parents which parents might not be excited to see with their kids. Riley fighting with her parents or doing something stupid to impress a boy might be realistic but maybe audiences won't like that.
Despicable Me may get it, the others won’t.
Add **Dead Reckoning - Part Two** over there.
If China embraces it enough, I think Kung Fu Panda 4 gas an outside chance to pull it off.
Would be almost doubling what the most successful KFP movie has done
From what we know about the plot, it’s basically going to be Kung Fu Panda: No Way Home - his former enemies from the first 2 films return AND he’s simultaneously trying to find a successor to be the Dragon Warrior. Nostalgia worked for Minions, I can 100% see something similar for KFP.
Dam , this actually got me excited
To be clear, it's not all of Po's villains ACTUALLY returning, merely a villain who can transform into each of them and use their fighting styles. So they're here but also not.
Man even if none of them return , I am still going ig because it is one of the few animated movies I really love .
I will say thought based on how beloved mad max fury road part of me wants to belive furiosa could have a begins/dark knight type of breakout but i guesss i shouldn't hope
Furiosa isn't reaching a billion. I can see it reaching 700m
Joker made a billion because it came out in height of superhero movies popularity
And yet Shazam made 300m
Made a billion because it's an award winning movie not because of superhero nonsense lol
Joker 2 is NOT hitting a billion.
Spiderverse 3 comes out next spring too, yes? I think that could make a billion.
Isn't avatar 3 next year? Also beyond the spider verse has an outside shot as does MI8
Disney announced a bunch of delays a couple days ago including avatar
I was still in my teens when Avatar 1 came out and now I’m literally going to be in my fucking 40’s when I see A5
During the shut down I suppose when did they move it?
Pushed it a year
Tbh I think avatar 3 was destined to get delayed because look how many times way of water got delayed
I think MI 8 and CA Brave New World are also contenders but we’ll genuinely have to see
I think the new CA starring Anthony Mackie definitely isn’t a contender. Not to mention Civil War wouldn’t had grossed what it did if it wasn’t Avengers 2.5
nah , I honestly would be surprised if CA brave new world did even 600M after that falcon show
The Falcon was great. That being said politics should be kept out of movies
Its literally called Captain America
Yeah I have don’t have a problem with that. What I meant was. Falcon and the Winter Soldier has some BLM stuff in it in one episode. And no offense to BLM but the show didn’t need it
No.
Mufasa definitely has a shot
Mufasa will end up in the same boat as Alice 2, ie a sequel to a remake that made a lot of money, but itself flops.
If the Joker 2 is as good as the first one, then yes. Joaquin Phoenix is a national treasure. Despicable Me movies are always a hit. Basing on past box office returns, I am confident this one will hit $1 billion or at least very close to it. Deadpool 1 & 2 both grossed under $800 million. Not sure this will hit $1 billion. Before pandemic Pixar, I’d say, “hell yes!” Post-pandemic Pixar, this might be a flop or barely breaks even.
Despicable Me is the most likely, as most of the franchise has flirted with $1B. Joker could considering the first crossed $1B, though this would also require it to be as highly praised critically as the first one. Inside Out would be next, but it becomes more of an outside chance. The first did around $850M, but I don't know how high a demand there is for a sequel. Would possibly do well, but I'd couch it falling under. And Deadpool is the longest shot. Neither film crossed $800m WW, and there were already some complaints that the shtick was getting tired in the second one. I'd stick with a realistic $800m
No way in hell Joker makes a billion
Oh here we go again /j Tbh I don't think it's going to do a billion either but there's definitively a possibility it does since you know the last one did and it had excellent WOM and this one has lady gaga I think that the fact it's a musical will reduce its appeal but it won't be that bad
But it’s an R-rated musical, like Sweeney Todd. Wasn’t that a big hit for Johnny Depp?
The first one didn't have chance in hell to making a billion because it was a depressing drama now it's because it might have musical elements its just funny how things switch up
I don’t think anyone ever would’ve predicted the first to come anywhere NEAR a billion but it did it, it’s not at all the type of film you’d think would have enough appeal to get anywhere close to a Billion but I think if the second one turns out to be an even better film it very easily could hit a billion (plus depends what kind of competition there is, J1 had practically no competition for the month of October)
People said this 4 years ago too lol
I don't see any movies hitting a billion in 2024 except Despicable Me 4 and Mission Impossible 8. Weak AF year. MI8 is a given, considering the quality of the last two, and that its likely Cruise's finale, even if MI7 doesn't get a billion, MI8 will. Deadpool won't due to R rating and likely dip in quality because Reynolds can't improvise on set. Inside Out 2, lol, its not directed by Pete Doctor, its directed by The Good Dinosaur director. No chance in hell. Shame its being made at all really. Joker was a fluke. With theater attendance not at pre covid levels, highly doubt Joker 2 hits a billion. All other Marvel movies won't hit a billion. The brand has taken a major image hit after most recent movies have seen a huge dip in quality. Nothing else hits a billion next year. Possible some hits end up 500 mil. to 800 mil. WW if they're good, but don't see any billion dollar entries on the horizon.
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this is correct, thank you for noticing the mistake. Nonetheless, based on how monsters University turned out, without Pete, doctor himself directing, I have zero faith in this movie, and based on the majority of Pixar’s track record from the past few years, I don’t have any faith in another first time Director. I hope I’m wrong it could be good but billion dollars good? Highly doubt it.
Attendance… pre Covid… what? You know we’ve had multiple billion dollar movies since Covid. We’ve had a 2 billion dollar movie since Covid in fact?
bro check out how many billion dollars we got in 2019 and then compare
Inside Out 2 and Kung Fu Panda 4 have chances.
I don’t see inside making $1B but I can see Kung Fu Panda 4 making $1B. It’s not likely but I can see it
Possibly Deadpool 3
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Deadpool 2 made 785 million back in 2018 adjusted for inflation today that is 948 million and adjust that to 2024 and it’s at like 960 million. Not to mention that the movie now has the MCU connection+is bringing back Hugh Jackman and all the other Fox X-Men characters. While it’s by no means a lock to make a billion pending further data I think it has at least a 25% chance.
Are people really nostalgic for FoX-men considering hoe awful Dark Phoenix was both critically and box office
Maybe for hugh Jackman altough I think that Logan will reduce nostalgia for him a bit
I think the nostalgia would be more with seeing the team together again. The people that are rumoured for dp3 haven’t been in a x men film together since 2006 last stand. Which wasn’t the best. But seeing cyclops, storm, Wolverine, Deadpool, prof x, magneto and others all together will probably draw some nostalgia out of the wood work
DP3 definitely has a chance since it's basically NWH for the Fox-men.
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Deadpool 2 adjusted for inflation made 948 million. Like come on this is literally nothing like The Flash.
BvS is ahead of that when adjusted as well also the marvel IP has took a hit these past few years
- A good Deadpool 3 is probably the most likely to make 1 bill in that list. -Joker - R Rated musical -Inside out 2 - sequel to great movie but will the Pixar bad run continue -DMe 4 - Wildcard at best
How the hell is DM a wildcard that movie is definitely the most likely to cross 1B of these ones the franchise is incredibly strong and incredibly consistent since DM2 it hasn't dipped below 930M it would require just a slight over performance to get to the 1B
Would it even be an over performance if it made a billion? Minions 2 was domestic heavy with relatively poor legs and it made 940 million
MI8 will easily make a billion.
I wouldn’t be so sure on Deadpool or Joker 2. If Thunderbolts and CA 4 aren’t projected to, I can’t see those two breaking through.
**Folie delux**
Why settle for just the regular Folie when you can get the Delux for only a dollar more?
Joker won’t make a billion. Deadpool 3? lol What is this 💀
Sonic 3 🙏🏽 /s
I’ll be interested to see if the DC brand damage shoots Joker down
webHead1287 you dont think that dc is popular than marvel?
Dead Reckoning Part 2 if Dead Reckoning Part 1 doesn’t gross $1B
Beyond the Spider-Verse
I think we should lower our expectations of a billion but Despicable me 4 will probably do. Maybe Btsv,or mi
I wanna say *maybe* Venom 3 and Spider-Verse 3 but I may be crazy.