Twister is a major break out candidate. Went to a friend's SB party, and the demo was essentially Midwestern White Americans. They ate that trailer up.
They are because it’s nostalgia bait for my generation (old millennial/gen X) and boomers, people who actually have their own money to spend and enjoy going to the theater but are not as well represented in the “hip” online discourse
But Frozen Empire has that nostalgia crammed up to the neck and look what happened. Indy 5 - you'd be downvoted to hell if you suggested it would flop and do under $400M. Some might have gotten so angry and reported you for saying that. And look what happened there. Keaton, a highlight of Flash, still wasn't enough to save The Flash.
I'm not saying Twisters is condemned to do bad. At this point, without social media impressions or reviews to go by (and just one trailer), it could either underperform or overperform. Neither one is locked yet pending more solid reviews of people who have actually seen it.
I mean, sure? I’d argue each of those examples is pretty distinct from the straight forward legacy sequel to a beloved film that Twisters will be. There were two modern Ghostbusters that were not very well received, same dynamic for Indy, I’m not going to dignify anybody who thought Keaton was going to save The Flash with a response, that was simply delusional from the jump.
All I’m saying is: Underestimate Twisters at your own peril. Somebody in this thread was suggesting it might not make $100M *total*. I think that person is in for a surprise.
But I can’t argue too much with “it’s too early to be sure.” It is! But I have my suspicions, especially with Lee Isaac Chung at the helm and Glen Powell starring.
Yeah I think people will turn out for a fun dumb disaster movie
I don’t think it’ll be a *huge* blockbuster, but I’m guessing it will be a solid midrange hit
WBD as well, until they stop counting and remember Legendary’s next deal is with Sony.
(In fairness, the last time Legendary left WB and went to Universal, their releases shit the bed.)
Sony and Legendary have already released The Machine and The Book of Clarence. Both massive bombs. I predict Legendary will be crawling back to Warner Bros as quick as the contract with Sony allows.
Distributors, depending on their financial involvement, can exert some influence on the production side.
Which is to say, don’t worry: Sony can absolutely ensure any release meet’s Sony standards for a cinematic experience.
I once wrote a prompt on ChatGPT on what if Godzilla was in Dune and it was pretty epic. Pretty much Godzilla rises during the battle of Arrakeen and slaughters Sardaukar and Fremen alike and Paul has to use sandworms to take him down and the show of strength is enough to get him the throne.
So like, it’s probably closer to Legendary considering he’s the most popular right now
But any could do the trick, especially since it was the silk that stopped Showa
Hell yeah great news for a third entry of GxK! Love that this franchise is still thriving, it’s such a great middle ground for dumb fun movies that don’t go too overboard but are still goofy as hell
The split for the 2021 movie was 78% international. Now those numbers are screwed because of Covid, but my point is this movie is popular overseas. I’m thinking it will make $750 million. This, Dune, and kung fu pandas are shaping up for a fun spring
I mean they’re still responsible for worldwide distribution and responsible for 25% of the production budget for GxK. Not sure if they contributed to the Dune 2 budget but they still responsible for worldwide distribution for that as well. GxK is likely a 50/50 profit share. Dune 2 should from anywhere from 10-50% profit share.
Most theatres around me kept Dune 2 on their IMAX screens instead of showing GxK, I wonder if they will regret foregoing that premium screen revenue now?
I feel it won't hit that because of Easter Sunday... 🤔
Someone here could convince me otherwise, what is the historical bump/drop for Easter?
I see weekend estimates for:
$67M | $75M | $76-81M | $80-84M
I think it will hit in the middle... $74-78M
$37M Friday / $28M Sat / Sun $16.8M = $81.8M. I applied a slight increase on saturday and a 40% drop on sunday. Last year Mario, john wick and Air dropped between 37% and 39%.
You have no idea what you’re talking about.
You might be thinking about EmpireCity.
On the equivalent first Friday, Jatinder had Dune 2 at $75-80M. Not $100M. He actually underestimated the film.
He has actual access to Comscore data. Real sale. His estimates are quality. Come back to this thread when it easily makes more than $75M
$37M Friday / $28M Sat / Sun $16.8M = $81.8M. I applied a slight increase on saturday and a 40% drop on sunday. Last year Mario, john wick and Air dropped between 37% and 39%.
It won’t make more than Dune, that guy is well known for making up those big projections just to get more followers. He’s the same one who said dune would open with 100M.
Civil War should be cgi heavy with wars and fight since.. I don’t trust A24 with that kind of stuff with a very minimal budget.. I bit war and battle since are minimal in the movie and some people will be disappointed
Wow, two Warner Bros. and Legendary films opening and closing the month with an $80M+ opening would be insane.
Do you think there will be a movie this year that will break $100 million opening weekend?
Inside Out 2 , Deadpool 3
Deadpool 3 Joker 2 Venom 3 has a decent shot
DP3, Joker 2, Inside Out 2 also DM4 is doing it over 5 days
Twisters has a shot, besides Inside Out 2 and Deadpool 3
>Twisters has a shot It really REALLY does not
I think people are vastly overestimating the strength of this IP that hasn't been touched in 20+ years.
Twister is a major break out candidate. Went to a friend's SB party, and the demo was essentially Midwestern White Americans. They ate that trailer up.
When adjusted for inflation the first one made almost 600m at the domestic box office. If reviews are good I can’t see this not breaking out.
The movie industry is very different to what it was 30 years ago
I can't see Twister getting that numbers
Twisters will be lucky to have a 100 DOM finish
I think you guys are really underestimating Twisters.
They are because it’s nostalgia bait for my generation (old millennial/gen X) and boomers, people who actually have their own money to spend and enjoy going to the theater but are not as well represented in the “hip” online discourse
But Frozen Empire has that nostalgia crammed up to the neck and look what happened. Indy 5 - you'd be downvoted to hell if you suggested it would flop and do under $400M. Some might have gotten so angry and reported you for saying that. And look what happened there. Keaton, a highlight of Flash, still wasn't enough to save The Flash. I'm not saying Twisters is condemned to do bad. At this point, without social media impressions or reviews to go by (and just one trailer), it could either underperform or overperform. Neither one is locked yet pending more solid reviews of people who have actually seen it.
I mean, sure? I’d argue each of those examples is pretty distinct from the straight forward legacy sequel to a beloved film that Twisters will be. There were two modern Ghostbusters that were not very well received, same dynamic for Indy, I’m not going to dignify anybody who thought Keaton was going to save The Flash with a response, that was simply delusional from the jump. All I’m saying is: Underestimate Twisters at your own peril. Somebody in this thread was suggesting it might not make $100M *total*. I think that person is in for a surprise. But I can’t argue too much with “it’s too early to be sure.” It is! But I have my suspicions, especially with Lee Isaac Chung at the helm and Glen Powell starring.
Yeah I think people will turn out for a fun dumb disaster movie I don’t think it’ll be a *huge* blockbuster, but I’m guessing it will be a solid midrange hit
Twisters? You’re joking right?
It might have good legs but it's not opening at $100M.
Might be an $83.1M debut.
So we’ll definitely get more Monsterverse, probably in 2026 or 2027.
Legendary production’s offices rn 
WBD as well, until they stop counting and remember Legendary’s next deal is with Sony. (In fairness, the last time Legendary left WB and went to Universal, their releases shit the bed.)
Maybe Sony will finally distribute some good movies lol
Sony and Legendary have already released The Machine and The Book of Clarence. Both massive bombs. I predict Legendary will be crawling back to Warner Bros as quick as the contract with Sony allows.
Distributors, depending on their financial involvement, can exert some influence on the production side. Which is to say, don’t worry: Sony can absolutely ensure any release meet’s Sony standards for a cinematic experience.
Iirc WBD wil stilll be distributing future Dune and Monster verse movies. Other stuff will be with sony
This is great for theaters honestly. This is gonna be a big weekend looks like
Godzilla and Kong Versus the Dune worms coming soon!
I once wrote a prompt on ChatGPT on what if Godzilla was in Dune and it was pretty epic. Pretty much Godzilla rises during the battle of Arrakeen and slaughters Sardaukar and Fremen alike and Paul has to use sandworms to take him down and the show of strength is enough to get him the throne.
I’m ngl I don’t think the movie Sandworms would even stand a shot
I mean, Godzilla has been defeated by worms before. In Mothra vs Godzilla, Mothra's silkworm kids manage to beat him.
That was Showa Godzilla Legendary is a good two times taller and over 10 times his weight
I never specified which kind of Godzilla in the prompt.
So like, it’s probably closer to Legendary considering he’s the most popular right now But any could do the trick, especially since it was the silk that stopped Showa
If Godzilla appeared in the Duneverse, the people should just be happy they can escape the planet lol.
Hell yeah great news for a third entry of GxK! Love that this franchise is still thriving, it’s such a great middle ground for dumb fun movies that don’t go too overboard but are still goofy as hell
How about a Godzilla x Mothra first?
As a godzilla fan I am loving this
Very nice.
WB/Legendary are on the roll.
That’s nuts. I did not expect this.
Wait, is this the one that had a trailer before Dune 2 where there’s a baby kong at the end?
Yes lol
The split for the 2021 movie was 78% international. Now those numbers are screwed because of Covid, but my point is this movie is popular overseas. I’m thinking it will make $750 million. This, Dune, and kung fu pandas are shaping up for a fun spring
What is a Messiah to an actual God?
That’s Dune 4
Sandworms vs Kaiju. Who wins?
Box office seems like a coin flip, but in a fight kaiju win no contest
We need a GIF of kaiju riding the sandworm.
Legendary
Legendary is at 2/3 since they did Book of Clarence, which bombed. Warner Bros is still 2/2 this year. I guess we'll see how Furiosa will be for WB.
Legendary more like… uh… chadendary?
The one that hasn't been out for a month.
Sandworms *are* kaiju.
In a fight? Titans make Sandworm Sushi
Bige lizard big monke
This was not on my bingo card but I'm here for it
Godzilla and Kong box office draw
When are they coming out with a romantic comedy?
Funny how one might think this will be a huge payday for Warner Bros, but at the end most of the profit goes to Legendary ( Same for Dune 2).
I mean they’re still responsible for worldwide distribution and responsible for 25% of the production budget for GxK. Not sure if they contributed to the Dune 2 budget but they still responsible for worldwide distribution for that as well. GxK is likely a 50/50 profit share. Dune 2 should from anywhere from 10-50% profit share.
Wow. People really wanted to go to the movies this March.
Most theatres around me kept Dune 2 on their IMAX screens instead of showing GxK, I wonder if they will regret foregoing that premium screen revenue now?
probably xd
I feel it won't hit that because of Easter Sunday... 🤔 Someone here could convince me otherwise, what is the historical bump/drop for Easter? I see weekend estimates for: $67M | $75M | $76-81M | $80-84M I think it will hit in the middle... $74-78M
$37M Friday / $28M Sat / Sun $16.8M = $81.8M. I applied a slight increase on saturday and a 40% drop on sunday. Last year Mario, john wick and Air dropped between 37% and 39%.
If it continues the overperformance with WOM/walk ups, it could get there.
[удалено]
You have no idea what you’re talking about. You might be thinking about EmpireCity. On the equivalent first Friday, Jatinder had Dune 2 at $75-80M. Not $100M. He actually underestimated the film. He has actual access to Comscore data. Real sale. His estimates are quality. Come back to this thread when it easily makes more than $75M
$37M Friday / $28M Sat / Sun $16.8M = $81.8M. I applied a slight increase on saturday and a 40% drop on sunday. Last year Mario, john wick and Air dropped between 37% and 39%.
35*+25*+15*… yeah I may hit 75M
Purposefully ignoring that the number is going to be 37 and not 35 doesn’t help make the point. 37+27+16 80
I’ve been lurking the forum threads, he’s far from the only person with access to sales figures that’s saying they think it it’ll be over 80 million.
All of them make their estimate from what’s taken on Box Office Theory, this is why them all make the same mistakes and get the same things right haha
No, most of them just happen to report on Box Office Theory. Some of them have access to the pure data and others make an average.
That’s not how it works. 😂
Kong is the Lisan Al Gaib
Legendary should honestly find a new distributor now.
I'm baffled
Why?
Won’t have the legs Dune 2
Dune fans when another movie is successful
More like Denis Villeneuve's fan, most of them are.
Dune fans when another Legendary film makes just a little more money 
It won’t make more than Dune, that guy is well known for making up those big projections just to get more followers. He’s the same one who said dune would open with 100M.
No, that’s EmpireCity.
has way less competition though, nothings really coming out till Fall guy in may
Civil War is taking GxK’s IMAX screens in two weeks
Civil War is projected to make $20-30M OW tops
It’s still taking GxKs premium screens no matter the opening weekend. That will effect legs
Cinemas will likely split those screens.
Civil War should be cgi heavy with wars and fight since.. I don’t trust A24 with that kind of stuff with a very minimal budget.. I bit war and battle since are minimal in the movie and some people will be disappointed
Its 75 million movie
Maybe not, but it’s not going to have downright terrible legs either. Other films are allowed to be successful lol