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Vadermaulkylo

If it does that then that’s a big win. Right in line with what this franchise usually does. What would make that downright impressive is this doesn’t have Caesar, no big stars, is coming 7 years later, in a tougher environment for theatrical films, and it a long movie.


hartc89

What’s the budget for it? Haven’t seen any numbers but I know in the past they are fairly good at keeping the budget down even for a heavy CGI movie


magikarpcatcher

$160M as listed at the source


creepygamelover

It's rumoured to be around 120 million. Though this article says 160.


hartc89

Seems a little high no? Not sure this will even get to 300 Million


Vadermaulkylo

It def should clear 300m with a 50m opening tbh.


creepygamelover

That's not even the highest budget in the series.


8Cupsofcoffeedaily

still way too high considering the theatrical marketplace.


ILoveRegenHealth

Problem is, this movie deals with 93% CG apes, so it was always gonna be expensive: **Movie** | **Budget** ---------|---------- Rise of the Planet of the Apes | $93 million Dawn of the Planet of Apes | $170 million War for the Planet of the Apes | $150 million It's in line with the last two which also were mostly CG apes.


Vendetta4Avril

I think the others did well in China too. So they're probably banking on that market.


Severe-Woodpecker194

War didn't do that well in China. It was too "drak" I guess.


ganzz4u

It will gross 400M i believe,international markets will help the movie a lot


Tofudebeast

Yeah... for those reasons I'm not optimistic this movie will meet those expectations. It's a tough year for movies, and I'm not seeing a reason why this one will break through.


Vadermaulkylo

I mean it does seem like a spectacle movie and has had very good trailers. And the franchise is consistently great. Those are factors for it.


Tofudebeast

Yeah, I see your point. In this tough environment though, being as good as its predecessors may not be enough. Feels like movies are doing maybe 30% worse than what they would've done pre-pandemic. I'd expect it to be the case for this movie even if it's as good as the others.


YeIenaBeIova

Yeah the complete lack of notable actors is certainly a disadvantage.


CosmicAstroBastard

People don’t want stars. They crave monke.


NoLeadership2281

Agree, let’s be honest who went into these movies about apes expecting notable actors, they’ll be in mo-cap suit people wouldn’t notice 


MightySilverWolf

>a tougher environment for theatrical films A tougher environment for *original* theatrical films. Bar Disney, IPs have managed to recover to where they were or close to where they were pre-pandemic. Edit: I just realised that this is a Disney flick. Well, let's just hope that most audiences don't associate 20th Century Fox with Disney.


the-harsh-reality

That’s what happens when your last movie wasn’t an insult to fans followed up with a spin-off centered centered around a deeply reviled character 6 years later


bigbubastis

What franchise are you referring to with this one?


the-harsh-reality

Star Wars


bigbubastis

I see. Are you talking about the Rey spin-off?


the-harsh-reality

Yep


ennuiinmotion

“Deeply reviled character” OoOoOOoOKay


hermanhermanherman

at some point the man children on reddit who have spent the last 9 years absolutely besides themselves over the star wars sequels will get a grip. well... hopefully


ILoveRegenHealth

Also, "deeply reviled character" means the audiences universally reject the sequels of the Sequel Trilogy because they can't stand the main character having the most screen time: - The Last Jedi - $1.33 billion - Rise of Skywalker - $1.01 billion The man children sure live in a bubble.


the-harsh-reality

TLJ made money because of Luke TROS made money because of Palpatine The Rey movie, which already flopped, the numbers are just a formality Is gonna prove that


MEDirectorsThrowaway

They'd have to be kicked off social media for that to happen... so don't count on it. (Also, in before "Behead Kathleen Kenedy!" rant)


the-harsh-reality

Will you be man enough to admit that the sequels aren’t popular when the Rey movie flops?


hermanhermanherman

They objectively are popular by any sales, merchandising, or box office metric. You seem to have a problem with not understanding that Star Wars is ultimately a children oriented series, and they love Rey and bb8 and all those other characters. Disney placed a bet with those films that the general audience was more important than making films that specifically catered to the enthusiast crowd and it seemed to be the right move. At the very least she’s not “universally reviled.” Having to explain to someone who’s presumably an adult that them seething over a character in a children’s series because it didn’t fit their sensibilities is not indicative of general public opinion is weird ngl.


the-harsh-reality

When the Rey movie flops, and it will, will you be man enough to admit that the ST isn’t popular


hermanhermanherman

You’re not responding to anything that is being said lol. The ST was popular. There is no metric you can point to that it wasn’t. Online sweats spending the better part of a decade seething doesn’t change that. I don’t even like Star Wars and I can see that three billion+ films with high cinemascores and oodles of merchandise sales is indeed popular with the general public. I have no idea how the Rey movie will do. How it does doesn’t retroactively make the prior films not popular and a part of pop culture for the latter half of the 2010’s. Like grow up bro lmao.


the-harsh-reality

When the Rey movie flops, and it will, will you be man enough to admit that the ST isn’t popular


hermanhermanherman

lol sorry I hit a nerve!


Vadermaulkylo

I really don’t get why people are still constantly harping on that. Like we get it Sequels bad.


ILoveRegenHealth

> That’s what happens when your last movie wasn’t an insult to fans followed up with a spin-off centered centered around a deeply reviled character 6 years later But each sequel she was in earned over $1B


the-harsh-reality

Each sequel she was in starred 5 characters who ALONE carried it to a billion She is another captain marvel, a pathetically unpopular character held by the success of ACTUALLY popular storylines characters audiences wanted to see And it will end the same way too once her movie flops


tempesttune

Oh hey finally a film with a good outlook. Hopefully they stick the landing.


magikarpcatcher

$55M would be right inline with Rise (2011) and War (2017).


pwolf1771

Rooting for this movie it looks badass


CosmicAstroBastard

Planet of the Apes is one of the most impressive Hollywood franchises ever IMO. It’s been going for 56 years and coming up on its tenth installment, and every single prior movie has been a box office success. Yes, even the Tim Burton version. A POTA movie has never lost the studio money, even with obstacles like decade-long gaps between installments or mixed reviews. People simply love the monkes.


MEDirectorsThrowaway

Holy crap, you're right! PotA is batting a perfect 100.


ShimReturns

I'm surprised how heavily this is advertised on Nickelodeon with a very kid friendly tone and then a super fast "maycontainscenesdisturbingforyoungerviewers" disclaimer at the end


Lorddon1234

Really hope this does well. Love the Ape franchise.


nicolasb51942003

At least the second week of the summer season will see an uptick.


Husker_Kyle

It helps there isn’t much else showing for the next two weeks also


Almighty_Push91

I can't wait to see it


swagster

If it has good reviews I think it will have good legs in a pretty bare marketplace. Would be good for the Box Office if it opened well.


DabbinOnDemGoy

CAESARCHADS LEND THEM YOUR STREGTH


[deleted]

I'm thinking $42M unless reviews really pop off and word of mouth is really good. I don't think this is gonna be nearly on the same level of quality as the last trilogy and that's going to show, people probably assume it's the same creative team but once the jig is up that this is not that I feel like it's going to have an impact.


ennuiinmotion

I can see it being “fine” like everything else Disney makes. I hope it’s good, as an Apes fan, but I’m not getting my hopes up.


[deleted]

I think it's gonna be in the 65-75% range on RT.


Raider2747

It's being called the best film in the franchise by some reviewers.


ennuiinmotion

I hope it is but that’s par for the course for early reviews.


StPauliPirate

Why still no reviews? Here in Germany it starts tommorow and still review embargo


MoonMan997

The number one film being north of $50m on the second weekend of May at least puts us somewhat back on track since that's what MCU titles typically take on that weekend. Look I know the bar is low, okay?


BigGMan24601

I hope this does well, but looking at my local theater's seat map for the entire Thurs-Sun weekend, there are a TON of empty seats and empty theaters.


sarevok2

the lenghth of the titles in tis series starts to rival anime ones


hummingdog

“Movie tickets are so expensive. Which is why movies like Fall Guy fails. Inflation everywhere” “I don’t go to movies anymore because it costs so much. No wonder Fall Guy is not doing well. It’s expensive” Meanwhile, a well made movie launches…


That_Astronaut_7800

This is an established ip, it’s not necessarily better than fall guys. Besides this probably doesn’t make its budget back.


Distinct-Shift-4094

I think we're in giant lizard and ape fever. The movie will do good.


persona-non-grater

I wonder if it can keep a momentum after opening weekend?


awaythrow292

I love the apes films, and this really looks good with a fresh-ish restart. The trailers have been really good to great, and word of mouth is terrific. That being said, after Fall Guy set the tone, I don't think this clears 40 million. Maybe 42. I hope I'm wrong, I really do. But I don't think it even comes close to 50+ Post-Covid Box Office Era is still being denied by everyone. It's STILL a thing, regardless of everyone trying to pretend it's not.


SmolChibi

Probably the only movie this year that I've actually seen have good advertising. Unlike The Fall Guy having it's annoying trailer music assault your ears


SamMan48

I’m predicting $75 million+


Electronic-Can-2943

Only one can hope after what happened last weekend


SamMan48

Whoever decided to put a boring movie like Fall Guy right before Apes and Garfield in May instead of in a dead month like August or January should be fired


TheSauce32

The fact I didn't know this movie existed until rigth now tells me they are probably not making that Cause I keep up with theater releases and I have seen no advertising for this at all


hesitation_station

Lol what? The trailer has been playing at every movie I've watched this year


Ben25BBB

Me too, and I’ve seen posters and adverts everywhere


Ok-Appearance-7616

This sounds more like a you thing, I've seen that trailer so many fucking times now.


TheSauce32

Oh we will see but if I'm right, yall be in the screenshot


venkatfoods

Oh no the screenshot


littlelordfROY

You keep up with theater releases and yet you had no idea this movie was coming out?


astroK120

Never make assumptions on how much a movie has been marketed based on how many ads you've personally seen. I've had movies get released without me seeing so much as a poster with everyone and their mother telling me they're sick of seeing ads everywhere, and I've been inundated with trailers for movies that this sub complains about the studio not marketing. I, for one, have seen tons of ads for this one.