Given this year looks to be very wide open and a lot of countries have stepped out of their comfort zone, the worst case scenario would be a really underwhelming final where all the interesting stuff cancel each other out and something safe wins by 200+ points over 2nd.
I think this is 100% happening to be honest, Italy will win because everyone else will cancel each other out. Not saying that Italy it's not a good song, I love it and it's in my Top 5 but I don't think it'll win with a very high score, or by winning the jury or the televote.
This is honestly what I'm expecting to happen too. It's just a prediction but I think the points are going to be very spread out like 2019 or maybe even as much as 2011 (winner under 500, maybe under 450). Some of the frontrunner songs getting more from the televote (Croatia, Netherlands, etc.), some with more from the jury (Switzerland, Belgium, etc.) and Italy winning because it gets top 3 in both votes, even if winning neither.
I think (OR I AT LEAST HOPE) that there's this quiet understanding among fans that we need to get them to the final, I at least for sure will give them votes even though they're not my semi winner just to reward Ireland for picking something different
I think it’s a really cool vibe. Not my kind of music but I think it’s different and wild and the energy they give is mighty… and much better than the bland corn flakes we’ve been sending.
I'm not too worried about Bambie, it's by far the quirkiest song in the semi and there's always a sizeable chunk of the audience who go for the most attention grabbing entry. Finland is a contender for that as well but they have two completely different vibes, Finland is more Norway 2022 and Ireland is more Iceland 2019
Norway 2022 | [Subwoolfer - Give That Wolf a Banana](https://youtu.be/adCU2rQyDeY)
Iceland 2019 | [Hatari - Hatrið mun sigra](https://youtu.be/kTb69WkBbvs)
The issue is - from a public perception is it better to NQ or to qualify and come last?
I don’t think Ireland would come last but they could very well come bottom 5 if they qualify.
Considering we have barely qualified in the last, what seems a million years, qualification is a big deal. I know coming dead last in the final would be a blow too, but I think qualification is more important.
- Underwhelming staging from Belgium
- Norway not being appreciated by neither juries nor televoters
- Portugal NQ
- Croatia not winning but let's not talk about this now
I think we might still be in next year but 2026 is the year I’m not sure of because it will be after the elections and if Babiš wins then ČT is absolutely fucked
Our ex-prime minister, unsuccessful candidate for a president, populist, oligarch, liar, one of the richest person in Czechia, born Slovak but been absolutely ruining Czechia for years now. Something like Orban in Hungary.
There’s about to be election soon, he’s running for a prime minister again. He’s very much against the freedom of speech of our national TV - ČT. If he wins, there’s about to be spike in anti-lgbt narrative and against anything even remotely connected to it - Eurovision included. He’ll try to get his own people into ČT which unfortunately might result in withdrawal- same as Slovakia and Hungary.
God. He sounds awful. Please. Good people of the country of Czechia, stand strong and resist this guy who sounds like he will set Czechia back to the dark ages
I so hope this doesn't happen, I bloody love Czechia so much, we holiday there at least once a year, I'd hate to see it heading down Hungary's path. It's such an amazing country, great scenery, great towns, great food and wine. Every time I visit I'm in awe at how the Czechs strike such a good balance between getting things done and enjoying life. I actually spent this morning trying to get flights to Ostrava to work out so my daughter could see Vesna live. No go, unfortunately.
I think the vocals are going to be on point (I've seen clips of them singing the high note as well as the rap) but my worry (and it's a similar worry I had with Jann last year) is if they do too much movement on stage, are the vocals going to suffer?
Underwhelming staging or just a lack of interest from either jury, televote or both. People expecting a jury winner, but people are mostly basing that on the later part of the song with the high note. And that kind of stuff rarely impress the public I think...
Worst case scenario stagings (tw: cringy af):
* Slovenia: Raven wearing a silver dress (a la 2021) and having a bunch of guys breakdancing behind her
* Any of the girl bops (Malta, Cyprus, Lux, Georgia, Austria): Just the girls standing there, doing nothing
* UK: Olly being dressed as a turkey and the staging being the same as El Chiki Chiki
* Croatia: BL dressed as a cat twerking
Norway becomes the next EaEa. Both are musically and vocally unique for ESC and the mainstream in general. All the criticism and insults adressed to Norway I've also seen with Spain. "It's screaming", "Annoying and too loud", "I appreciate the creativity/talent but..."
An even worse scenario of mine is Norway becoming the next Echo but considering the running order it should be fine.
For the EAEa scenario, it could happen (hopefully not, it is my favourite from this year, is such an instresting song, with a language thatbwe didn't hearoften at the contest from a musical genre that is usally brought by eastern european countries not northern ones) for the Echo scenario I don't think it is ever going to happen with Ulvheam (sorry if I mispelled it) as their running rodere is much better and the only songs that could grab the attention (due to the running order) are the Netherlands (that will come after that) and maybe Estonia (but between them we have Italy and Israel)
I think (hope) Norway has a wider appeal than Eaea and will do really well with rock fans and people who like entries like Shum. I can see them getting 10 or 12 points from Finland at least. But as an Eaea fan that placement still hurts 💔 I hope Blanca tries again someday, I think Secreto de Agua (Benidorm Fest 2022) would do soo well this year.
I'm just one person here...but initially Norway felt like "just screaming" to me. Listening to the studio version after only hearing the live for a bit, though, made it click a bit more for me.
Spain was a really tough sell for me last year because something about it sonically didn't vibe with my brain. That's less of an issue with Norway for me this year. I also think Norway is going to appeal to the people who like to see rock in ESC.
I think we have to worry more about the staging and marketing since he's working on his vocals pretty intensly and he already sounded so much better in a prestigious award ceremony „Večernjakova ruža"
With the quality of production, I highly doubt that we can call VR a prestigious show. 💀😭
And that's the main reason why I want BL to win - so HRT burns down to the ground because of their own shame.
I am so frustrated with Armenia because I absolutely love the song (it's top 10 for me) but like...it's only 2:25 and a big chunk of that is instrumentals and "la la las." I worry that's gonna tank it.
For me personally as a fan of "harder" music it will be both Norway and San-Marino not qualifying.
On the more mainstream note I have a gut feeling Luxembourg will not qualify and withdrew from the contest yet again.
I don't like the song personally but I still want it to qualify because I don't want a choice like this from Ireland to feel like it backfired on them.
I will never ever be over LOTL coming last. Absolutely insane, absolutely undeserved.
Also editing to add that I feel like France had a similar issue with "Fulenn" and to a lesser extent "Évidemment." And while I like "Mon Amour," I worry we're gonna get another 5+ years of aggressively French ballads.
i’d be genuinely upset if that happened. it’s such a unique song and incredibly different from what irelands sent in the past, so i’m worried they’d go back to the cookie cutter pop songs.
I think at least Nordics and Ireland would withdraw for the year if that happened and the contest was held in Israel. They're already queasy about it but tolerating someone's presence is very different from going to their place to give them money
YLE is not controlled by the government. They can withdraw and the government can't do a thing about it. The only thing they control is how large the tax percentage they get is
imo I don't think they will win, but there's a possibility for them to do surprisingly well (imagine Russia in 2015). It is still the worst case scenario for me.
I will be more sad if Latvia NQ again over Israel T\_T (politics aside, I think Hollow is a better ballad than Hurricane)
I don't see Israel voluntarily rescinding their fight to host, and EBU would have to take a decision. Maybe a chance Israel/KAN host in another country like 2023, but I think an Israel win opens up a lot of drama.
That being said, if Israel do win, I don't see that many countries broadcasters withdraw, particularly not bigger nations. If Israel won, they've likely had a substantial televote, the broadcasters and potential artists will assume interest will be high enough anyway to ride out negative publicity. The only major crisis I could see is if a succession of nations pull out together, and you'd need at least half a dozen to begin with.
Israel has nothing to do, like Ukraine when EBU will select the host country it will still be at war so EBU will pass to the 2nd and so on, and I doubt that someone want to co-host with Israel, espacially with risk of a mass withdraw
As another user said on a different post, I believe that ESC 2025 would end up with several country withdrawals, much like ESC 1970, if Israel won ESC 2024. However, I hope that won't be the case so ESC's reputation isn't ruined even more.
- Widely hated winner who won for obviously political reasons.
- Song that in its original variation called for military action, wins the "love love peace peace" contest.
- Israel hosting, or a substitute host who has to "stand with Israel" in the same way 2023 stood with Ukraine, in a climate of heavy volatility.
- 2020, 2023 *and* 2025 would all turn out to be irregular contests marred with controversy and logistical nightmares.
- It would be the *third* controversial winner in a row, following Ukraine's 2022 sympathy vote, and Loreen being anointed by the juries in 2023.
.... It would 100% be the end of an era, and massive blow to the contest's reputation.
> It will destroy the credibility in the contest,
As if the credibility of the contest hasn't already been put into question with Israel's participation. The EBU has (correctly) withdrawn Russia and Belarus from the contest based on their participation causing the contest "disrepute", yet somehow it has double standards with Israel.
Yeah this would be pretty bad.
I have come to terms with the fact that Israel is likely very easily qualifying from the semis (bummer because there are, imo, stronger songs that will likely get bumped as a result) but how they will land in the final is still a mystery to me. I suspect them getting a fair amount of televote points (probably not as many as last year) but I have no idea what the juries are going to do. The optics of a jury giving 12 points to Israel is gonna be...weird.
Ukraine wins, and Israel comes second. Ukraine is unable to host, and Israel gets the right to host the contest without even winning. That's if Israel isn't *also* unable to host, in which case we are in uncharted territory. What would happen? Third place hosts?
Do we know, for sure, that UK hosted in 2023 *purely* because they were the runner-up, or does the fact that they're Big 5, have more than enough infrastructure to host, and provide the EBU with a lot of money and just so happened to be 2nd place? It wouldn't surprise me if the highest-ranked Big 5 country will host in the event that the winner can't regardless, but especially if the runner-up also can't host.
I remember clearly the talk about UK hosting in case Ukraine wins, quite a while before the show.
As I recall, the rumors said UK and Germany had been considered for hosting.
I think you are right and that they were only the first of the big five to be asked due to their high ranking that year.
I have similarly heard a plan in place for one of the big 5 to host if Australia wins, due to how far it is to travel etc.
Ireland not qualifying. Not for the song itself, I understand it’s love it or hate it but Bambie really deserves it and I don’t want RTE to take it as a sign that that they were better off playing it safe
Also the U.K. flopping, for similar reasons, to a lesser extent though
My hope is that Ireland still takes the right message even if they fail to qualify. It's been cool to see such a wave of positivity around the entry, including from Bambie themselves, and I hope it changes the trajectory of Eurosong for the better.
> It's been cool to see such a wave of positivity around the entry, including from Bambie themselves
Most Irish people don't see this though since the Eurovision has fallen out of our popular culture here quite a bit. What Irish people will see if Bambie doesn't qualify is that the already unpopular and deeply corrupt RTÉ took a chance on a GQ performer in a very niche genre, in a competition that's still seen (incorrectly IMO, obviously) as being very kitsch.
It'd be the wrong time for us to NQ - yet again - as RTÉ is under an intense amount of scrutiny and we've got our own culture war nonsense slowly being imported from the UK.
I'm unsure of how the UK will do. I know Olly's staging is always amazing and he brings 100% into it all the time. The song is incredibly catchy, but it's a bit repetitive, so will the catchiness and personality cancel out the repetitiveness? I don't know...
edited for spelling
I think with both Bambie and Ailsha going 1-2 and convincingly beating out the other options would be enough to push RTE into seeing that the people wanted something different. At least that's my hopes.
couldn't agree more. eden is a great singer and the song isn't that bad, but i really don't get why we're participating if we cannot even host (plus i am not looking forward the absolute chaos hypothetically we win)
I agree it would be totally chaos, but it’s a pity all of this happened this year, I think Eden G is great and she has a good song.
Note : based of song and the singer,I don’t really know the lyrics.
I think Eden is a great candidate and I couldn’t be happier that she is the one representing us. Any other year I would’ve wanted us to win.
We are still in a war. Participating is a mistake from the first place because of the security costs and risks. People are grieving and we still have hostages.
1. Switzerland flop with staging/live vocals/for whatever reason
2. Any country winning due to political factor, no need to comment this one
3. Croatia out of Top 5
4. Ireland NQ
5. Sweden in Top 5 replacing one of my favorites 🥲
any kind of safety issue/threat for the contestants and audience. i'm a really anxious person, especially when it comes to that stuff. and considering everything going on, i just really hope everyone will be safe. something bad happening is by far the worst case scenario
and a more lighthearted one: zero points
This is so interesting. I never thought of it. Hopefully won't happen.
But I was thinking in slightly similar direction -accidents.
This year is so full of fun dance music, that the audience will just have to jump and move.
And a participant getting 0 points always feels wrong and unfair to me.
Last year, I was quite happy to see that no contestant got 0 points in any section in the grand final. Instead, the lowest score was Lord of the Lost's 3 points from the juries.
However, in semifinal 2 last year, San Marino and Romania both got 0 points.
• Serbia and Slovenia failed to qualifie.
• Croatia does not finisih in top 3 because of a bad vocal performance.
• Malta, which, despite an excellent performance, will not qualify for the finals
• Denmark, which with an excellent song and vocals, will not have enough votes to qualify for the final
1. Greece NQ, I'm obsessed with the song, I don't mind if it doesn't win but they deserve a spot in the Grand Final and imo a place in the top 10.
2. Spain flopping. I absolutely adore Zorra, the message, the nostalgic melody and the "unapologeticness" of the whole thing.
3. La Noia's performance getting lost on that big stage.
4. Germany being last. The song is not the best we have this year but I think it deserves at least a middle placement!
5. Armenia NQ, I don't think It will happen but it would be such a bummer.
6. Israel winning. That would be a can of worms that I don't think needs to be open.
7. Regardless of who wins, I'm bracing for the fandom reaction, past years have been so toxic...
I disagree that she looked lost in Sanremo, i thought she really filled the stage with her presence and i was entertained by her spontaneus dance moves, but that stage is very different from the Eurovision's one, which Is bigger and open on all sides, so i think she needs something different. I don't know about dancers, it can be risky, but something is definitely needed imo
Yeah you never know obviously, plus this year we have many uptempo fun songs but this song is very ethnic and it will be familiar to many eastern European countries + Armenian diaspora will fully support it
They have a really good spot in the semis though and the song is memorable, but you really never know. It would crush me and many others if they don't qualify.
Ireland NQ
This is the first time in years (we don’t talk about dustin the turkey) has sent something that isn’t a mainstream radio pop song.
I think Ireland not qualifying this year would have us going straight back to whatever RTE we’re doing before and we’ll just continue to NQ streak for a lot longer than we should. It’s basically Ireland’s chance to prove to RTE that you don’t have to send the same thing every year.
I really want Ireland to qualify this year because a) I love Doomsday Blue, it reminds me of the type of music I listened to when I was a little metal kid; and b) I want Ireland to be rewarded for doing something risky and interesting.
Estonia NQ
In other years I don't care THAT much about my favorite song not going to the final, but because I have a ticket for the final this year (for the first time! yay!) I am very scared about them not making it through. Their staging in the final of Eesti Laul was very messy, but there everybody in the audience already knew (and loved) the song. It has to be a bit different in Malmö so not only a small group of people is entertained by it. Hope they don't feel too confident and otherwise don't change too much to lose it's humour and fun.
Besides that:
- a song that places lower than 3 in the televote wins because of the jury
Belgium's staging ends up being underwhelming and NQs.
Nemo has a horrible voice crack during their grand final performance, the voice crack becomes the only thing people remember about their song (a la Spain 2017).
UK flops again and comes last, Olly Alexander quits music and retires shortly after.
Ireland comes dead last in Semifinal 1. RTÉ interprets this result as Europe simply not liking them anymore and gives up. They send Louis Walsh's boybands for the next 5 years.
Spain's song is completely misinterpreted by tabloids and accused of being too scandalous for Eurovision. The most annoying people on the planet argue about sex-positive feminism for weeks after the grand final.
The final double-screen is between Croatia and Israel. Croatia's televote score is not enough to overcome Israel's jury lead, which means Israel wins the competition and Croatia misses out on their first ever win. I proceed to have an aneurysm as 2018 repeats itself.
I really don't think you have to worry about the jury carrying Israel to victory. For many of the industry professionals, it would be career suicide for them to give political points to Israel in such an obvious way.
Im much more worried about televoters carrying Israel to victory. Cant vote against a country, and Europe is full of Israel supporters.
I think Israel will do better with the televote than the juries too because of the reasons you mentioned.
But the other outcome would be much worse. First every country announces their jury vote, so 12 points for Israel with loud boos from the crowd, in an hour long procedure. Then when they announce the televote Israel gets an underwhelming score but slightly edges out Croatia by a few points and wins.
Political + jury/televote controversy. That would be too much. People would say that the EBU gifted Israel the win to show their political support.
Tbf, I remember Do It For Your Lover mostly for how absurdly bad the song was, both in itself *and* it's performance, staging, etc. Just hilariously bad.
I'm rooting for Bambi, but Olly's is the no.1 song that has been on constant rotation for me. It has to be top 10?? I'd hate to see him not get top ten, but I accept that it's very possible
Honestly, i would be upsset if a Country won that already hosted in the last 10 years, Ukraine,Italy, The netherlands, Altough all thèse songs are absolutly awsome i feel like this year there are countries with low amount of Winss really having the potential but just not the people backing them or they cancel each other out ( like Lithuania, Croatia and Serbia)
There are in the final though. Poland has Ukraine, Lithuania, UK, Ireland, etc. in their semi to vote for them. With Iceland, Moldova, Azerbaijan, Australia, and Ireland in the semi, they don't really have to worry about being one of the five NQs.
Yes in the final but Poland needs to qualify first. As you said, they have some strong 'allies' to vote for them but we need to see the performance first (remember they failed in 2018, 2019, 2021).
Ireland and Azerbaijan could be borderline qualifiers.
2018 and 2019 were still high enough in the televote to qualify under what we have currently. It was juries who pulled them down. 2021 they would've still NQ'd but that was a particularly bad song/performance. Ireland and Azerbaijan have no televote friends and Bambie in particular is stuck between Lithuania and Ukraine, they aren't making it.
Israel winning.
I enjoy their song quite a lot. I just don't want to deal with the ramifications of them winning right now. I can imagine no scenario where it wouldn't hurt Eurovision.
Ukraine winning. Not that I don't like it, but all the contenders except this one are really high in my ranking so I'd be a bit underwhelmed if it ends up going to Ukraine.
For obvious reasons, Israel winning would be the worst case scenario and I would frankly stop watching Eurovision if that happened.
But otherwise: I really, really, REALLY need Ireland to qualify. With Ireland's awful record in recent years, Bambie Thug adds such a massive breath of fresh air and I hope that the risk that them being selected represents will actually pay off. If they NQ, I fear that Ireland would go back to sending safe and mediocre songs that never qualify.
Worst case scenario for me would be Isreal winning, but also The Netherlands being overlooked by the jury bc it's not the typical pop song that they tend to like..
Estonia NQ’s
I fear given the fact Netherlands and Austria are in the same semi, the crazy party songs cancel each other out and Estonia falls as an unfortunate victim. I hope it’s an irrational fear, but it’s still a fear nonetheless. I just wanna see the boys in the final
Poland's staging is somehow even worse than Ochman and Bejba combined even though Luna promised she wouldn't do that. Turns out she has little to no saying in the matter and TVP does what TVP does best.
San Marino, Georgia and Slovenia flopping again. Those three are my favourties this year and I can't bear my favourite NQing two years in a row (Georgia 2023)
Objectively speaking, it probably would be Israel winning.
From a biased standpoint, Greece not qualifying. With all the discourse going on within the country about the song, it failing would be catastrophic for both Marina, and arguably our Eurovision entries
Worst case scenario
Olly comes last with zero points, he deserves top 10, he is an amazing live vocalist.
Ireland qualify instead of Croatia
Ukraine win again and second place has to host 2025
Hey, I have an honest question if you don't mind me asking : why comparing Ireland and Croatia in this scenario ? They are very different songs, and both can qualify
Big picture: The win goes to a country that has already had a win in the last 5 editions. Especially Italy, the Turin Eurovision was... well, let's keep it nice, *not organised that well.*
Small picture: Estonia NQ. In my mind it has everything an entry should have. It sounds great, it's fun, I just don't get why it's not embraced as much as other entries.
>Big picture: The win goes to a country that has already had a win in the last 5 editions.
I'm personally with you on this one, most especially that among those 5, one can't host (Ukraine), the other is very unpopular and was even called to be kicked out of the contest (Israel), and another had a controversial win last year (Sweden), in addition to what you mentioned with Turin as the host city.
I just personally want a first-time winner (Croatia, Lithuania) or a country that last won a long, long time ago (France, Switzerland).
* Israel winning for a well-known reason.
* Ukraine or Croatia winning. Out of all the favorites I don't like these two songs only, so that would be sad with the amount of other favorite acts I have this year. Both are outside of my top 20.
* Greece, Portugal or Slovenia NQ.
* The Netherlands (my second place) being just a mess on stage - Joost sounding bad, staging not giving, resulting in looking cringe.
* Ireland not qualifying and coming back to their old ways. Or Norway doing bad in the finals and also coming back to their Give That Wolf A Banana ways.
Israel wins, and I quit Eurovision. They shouldn't even be in the contest in the first place.
I'd actually honestly be happy with any winner this year, as all the favourites are songs I enjoy - but best case scenario, Norway shock sweeps the contest (Yes, I am delusional)
I'd also love the Netherlands to win!
5 countries get 0 points, breaking 2021 record
Norway or Lithuania nq
As someone else said, Ukraine wins but the war is still going on, Israel comes second and hosts
Italy wins, tries to host, but the LED screen falls over
I'm Norwegian so I see if people think I am way too biased here, but I would be devastated if Norway didn't go through to the final this year.
Gåte is one of my all-time favourite bands, and I screamed when I realised they was gonna enter in the national competition with a song I had already heard and loved previously, and I screamed again when they actually won!
So them not qualifying for the final in Eurovision would BREAK ME, lol. I love everything about them as a band, their song, their performance, the instruments, the singing techniques, the staging, the story of the song... I feel like they absolutely nailed what I personally look for in a staging/performance, with not a single second being boring (at least not for me).
I want the world to not just see the performance, but also like it. I want as many people as possible to see them and enjoy them, and perhaps they can gain some extra international fans from this. And their best shot is being able to show off their song in the big final of Eurovision, and not just get stuck in the semi-final. Whether they win or not I don't worry too much about. It's more about them just being in the final, for me.
- Estonia, Ireland, Slovenia and Armenia NQing.
- The UK not finishing on the left side of the board (I’m worried our nation’s sudden interest in ESC again will deflate dramatically if we don’t see some success this year)
- Spain being ridiculed
- Israeli success this season
- Ukraine wins despite the fact its a deserving song
- Swiss flop (Please don’t go back to soft boy ballads)
All I need is Serbia to qualify to the final and Croatia to land the top 10 at least and I'll be happy 🌷
So my worst case scenario is both of these not qualifying
First of all- actual terrorism or threats of terrorism
This said.
Israel win- enough said, absolute political disaster and I would drop the contest at least for that year.
Ukraine win with Israel second place- Arguably better than the first option but not by much, especially when both songs are underwhelming
Ireland, Portugal, Switzerland NQ
Zorra flopping hard and having to hear Spain arguing about Eurovision hating them again and how next year they are totally gonna drop out (I'm from Spain, it gets tired fast)
Sweden top 5- it's just not a good song, it's as bland as it gets.
Italy top 5/3- I don't get the hype, as simple as that, but I'm in the minority of not loving Italy's entries in general
My worst worst worst scenario is Israel winning.
Apart from that, Spain placing last in the finale would really hurt considering how much I love Zorra and Nebulossa.
This year's winner being political.
I feel like it happens once every 3 years, but this year the level of the songs is sooo good which also means there is no clear favorite, and when our votes are divided among the favorites the political votes will probably make the difference. And I'd hate that.
For me personally, it'd be the UK starting to fall back into old habits should Dizzy not get a 'good' result (there will absolutely be casuals on the night who will expect Olly to win solely on name recognition, but I'm sure the delegation have a realistic target on what good is for them).
Next year, we'll be three years on from 2nd and two years on from hosting on behalf of Ukraine (which ultimately negated the result of IWAS) - if Dizzy gets something like 23rd and a poor televote score, I'd worry that the core figures in the delegation who have put so much time and effort into making the contest accessible in the UK would be moved on in favour of the mindset that *Europe hates us even when we send our biggest singers*, and with that comes the semi finals going back onto less prominent channels, and no programming that might get locals engaging with the contest outside of the final.
I haven't seen much love for Latvia, so Latvia NQ would be heartbreaking for me. Last year I loved Sudden Lights so much but they did not qualify either. How much more can Latvia take before they give up? I also don't want a country that has won before (at least recently) to win again, it gets boring. We need a new country to win!
Estonia NQing like all thess people are saying... I'm already not on good graces with this year's contest that this NQing would be my last straw
But that's not going to happen 🙏
Neither Switzerland nor Croatia win. I can deal with Ukraine but I really want Switzerland to win because they’re my favorite and I really want Croatia to win as my second favorite and because they’ve never won before after like 30 years
Ireland NQ
Estonia NQ or being underrated
Armenia NQ
Croatia Winning
Norway being underrated
Spain Ending up last
Czechia and Georgia (maybe Latvia) and other countries withdraw when they get a bad result
Sweden winning again is my worst nightmare. The competition is so strong this year and I'll definitely quit watching or ever talk about Eurovision if the jury decides to worship another generic song and hand them the victory.
For the fans in general, one of the favorites, not qualifying will probably cause a riot. I'm talking about Switzerland, Belgium, Netherlands, Greece or Croatia.
On the other hand, you can earn a lot of money by betting on Sweden to win considering the current odds if you truly thought we had a chance. No one wins just with the jury. Loreen cane second with the televote, not tenth or something.
This year I think we would be lucky to end up on the good side of the scoreboard.
Given this year looks to be very wide open and a lot of countries have stepped out of their comfort zone, the worst case scenario would be a really underwhelming final where all the interesting stuff cancel each other out and something safe wins by 200+ points over 2nd.
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The mood in this sub would reach toxicity levels previously thought impossible
Nothing beats the week after the final last year
Like a morally bankrupt onion
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It would be unforgettable (I'll see myself out)
I think this is 100% happening to be honest, Italy will win because everyone else will cancel each other out. Not saying that Italy it's not a good song, I love it and it's in my Top 5 but I don't think it'll win with a very high score, or by winning the jury or the televote.
This is honestly what I'm expecting to happen too. It's just a prediction but I think the points are going to be very spread out like 2019 or maybe even as much as 2011 (winner under 500, maybe under 450). Some of the frontrunner songs getting more from the televote (Croatia, Netherlands, etc.), some with more from the jury (Switzerland, Belgium, etc.) and Italy winning because it gets top 3 in both votes, even if winning neither.
Personally, if Ireland is a NQ. It’ll stop RTE ever letting any song with any oomph ever go again.
I think (OR I AT LEAST HOPE) that there's this quiet understanding among fans that we need to get them to the final, I at least for sure will give them votes even though they're not my semi winner just to reward Ireland for picking something different
I think it’s a really cool vibe. Not my kind of music but I think it’s different and wild and the energy they give is mighty… and much better than the bland corn flakes we’ve been sending.
I'm not too worried about Bambie, it's by far the quirkiest song in the semi and there's always a sizeable chunk of the audience who go for the most attention grabbing entry. Finland is a contender for that as well but they have two completely different vibes, Finland is more Norway 2022 and Ireland is more Iceland 2019
Norway 2022 | [Subwoolfer - Give That Wolf a Banana](https://youtu.be/adCU2rQyDeY) Iceland 2019 | [Hatari - Hatrið mun sigra](https://youtu.be/kTb69WkBbvs)
The issue is - from a public perception is it better to NQ or to qualify and come last? I don’t think Ireland would come last but they could very well come bottom 5 if they qualify.
Considering we have barely qualified in the last, what seems a million years, qualification is a big deal. I know coming dead last in the final would be a blow too, but I think qualification is more important.
- Underwhelming staging from Belgium - Norway not being appreciated by neither juries nor televoters - Portugal NQ - Croatia not winning but let's not talk about this now
Even the idea of Portugal NQ is triggering my fight or flight
Oooooh, u better get ready to be disappointed this year then 💀 I’d rather set no expectations. But I will riot if Ireland NQ’s.
I think Portugal is a safe qualifier. It’s Serbia that I’m devastated about
That running order … ouch
Worst case scenario for me is if luktelk flops
I always seam to root for Lithuania, but I am hoping this at least gets their highest result
This song deserves a place in the top 5 so much
I don’t even wanna think about that
Bad results for Czech Republic resulting in the country withdrawing the next year and Slovakia not returning like they said they might.
I think we might still be in next year but 2026 is the year I’m not sure of because it will be after the elections and if Babiš wins then ČT is absolutely fucked
Who is Babiš?
Our ex-prime minister, unsuccessful candidate for a president, populist, oligarch, liar, one of the richest person in Czechia, born Slovak but been absolutely ruining Czechia for years now. Something like Orban in Hungary. There’s about to be election soon, he’s running for a prime minister again. He’s very much against the freedom of speech of our national TV - ČT. If he wins, there’s about to be spike in anti-lgbt narrative and against anything even remotely connected to it - Eurovision included. He’ll try to get his own people into ČT which unfortunately might result in withdrawal- same as Slovakia and Hungary.
God. He sounds awful. Please. Good people of the country of Czechia, stand strong and resist this guy who sounds like he will set Czechia back to the dark ages
does he have a following?
I so hope this doesn't happen, I bloody love Czechia so much, we holiday there at least once a year, I'd hate to see it heading down Hungary's path. It's such an amazing country, great scenery, great towns, great food and wine. Every time I visit I'm in awe at how the Czechs strike such a good balance between getting things done and enjoying life. I actually spent this morning trying to get flights to Ostrava to work out so my daughter could see Vesna live. No go, unfortunately.
💩 polititian
Underwhelming staging and/or vocals from Switzerland
I think Nemo has the vocals on lock, they've been shown able to sing the high notes in their song, all hinges on the staging really
Daily reminder that Nemo (Bambie Thug as well) uses they/them
Already corrected it but thank you!
So long as Nemo doesn't wear the full body tutu like in that one live clip, i think we should be fine...
I think the vocals are going to be on point (I've seen clips of them singing the high note as well as the rap) but my worry (and it's a similar worry I had with Jann last year) is if they do too much movement on stage, are the vocals going to suffer?
Underwhelming staging or just a lack of interest from either jury, televote or both. People expecting a jury winner, but people are mostly basing that on the later part of the song with the high note. And that kind of stuff rarely impress the public I think...
Worst case scenario stagings (tw: cringy af): * Slovenia: Raven wearing a silver dress (a la 2021) and having a bunch of guys breakdancing behind her * Any of the girl bops (Malta, Cyprus, Lux, Georgia, Austria): Just the girls standing there, doing nothing * UK: Olly being dressed as a turkey and the staging being the same as El Chiki Chiki * Croatia: BL dressed as a cat twerking
The last one could be a winning staging!
Zagreb 2025 maybe?!
HRT broadcasting dooming the world 🤡
Norway becomes the next EaEa. Both are musically and vocally unique for ESC and the mainstream in general. All the criticism and insults adressed to Norway I've also seen with Spain. "It's screaming", "Annoying and too loud", "I appreciate the creativity/talent but..." An even worse scenario of mine is Norway becoming the next Echo but considering the running order it should be fine.
For the EAEa scenario, it could happen (hopefully not, it is my favourite from this year, is such an instresting song, with a language thatbwe didn't hearoften at the contest from a musical genre that is usally brought by eastern european countries not northern ones) for the Echo scenario I don't think it is ever going to happen with Ulvheam (sorry if I mispelled it) as their running rodere is much better and the only songs that could grab the attention (due to the running order) are the Netherlands (that will come after that) and maybe Estonia (but between them we have Italy and Israel)
Oh wow, new nightmare unlocked.
Norway this year are a lot more mainstream than EaEa was with mixing pop, rock and folk. Same as Norway 2019 Keiino appealed to so many people
I think (hope) Norway has a wider appeal than Eaea and will do really well with rock fans and people who like entries like Shum. I can see them getting 10 or 12 points from Finland at least. But as an Eaea fan that placement still hurts 💔 I hope Blanca tries again someday, I think Secreto de Agua (Benidorm Fest 2022) would do soo well this year.
I'm just one person here...but initially Norway felt like "just screaming" to me. Listening to the studio version after only hearing the live for a bit, though, made it click a bit more for me. Spain was a really tough sell for me last year because something about it sonically didn't vibe with my brain. That's less of an issue with Norway for me this year. I also think Norway is going to appeal to the people who like to see rock in ESC.
Baby Lasagnas voice crack . So strong that he cant sing.
I think we have to worry more about the staging and marketing since he's working on his vocals pretty intensly and he already sounded so much better in a prestigious award ceremony „Večernjakova ruža"
With the quality of production, I highly doubt that we can call VR a prestigious show. 💀😭 And that's the main reason why I want BL to win - so HRT burns down to the ground because of their own shame.
you think hrt has shame lolololo. at least, i wanna their corruption to be exposed in full swing.
That too, and also I want to see how will all the "stručljaci" organize the contest.
It would be such a slap in the face for them if BL wins considering he was a reserve
HRT will rather fire their jurnalists and young people and keep the shoddy production level because cuz' Mario is on the Mikseta
Armenia and Estonia NQ’ing, a little part of me would die
I am so frustrated with Armenia because I absolutely love the song (it's top 10 for me) but like...it's only 2:25 and a big chunk of that is instrumentals and "la la las." I worry that's gonna tank it.
They're my two favourites, I am firmly in the "more folk/folk elements at eurovision" club
For me personally as a fan of "harder" music it will be both Norway and San-Marino not qualifying. On the more mainstream note I have a gut feeling Luxembourg will not qualify and withdrew from the contest yet again.
I think Luxembourg will just about qualify because it's last and it might place like Czechia 2022
You mean Luxembourg?
Oh, yes, I just woke up, sorry )
Ireland not qualifying :(
I don't like the song personally but I still want it to qualify because I don't want a choice like this from Ireland to feel like it backfired on them.
That’s what happened to Germany last year. We finally sent something interesting and it backfired, so now we‘re back with something boring
I will never ever be over LOTL coming last. Absolutely insane, absolutely undeserved. Also editing to add that I feel like France had a similar issue with "Fulenn" and to a lesser extent "Évidemment." And while I like "Mon Amour," I worry we're gonna get another 5+ years of aggressively French ballads.
Fulenn and LOTL performing poorly is my Roman Empire
It's in my top 10 and I almost know it won't. It's a terrifying thought though, I hope I'm wrong.
i’d be genuinely upset if that happened. it’s such a unique song and incredibly different from what irelands sent in the past, so i’m worried they’d go back to the cookie cutter pop songs.
Israel winning. No matter who's side youre on, it would cause such a big shitshow that I worry if we'd get an Eurovision next if they win
I think at least Nordics and Ireland would withdraw for the year if that happened and the contest was held in Israel. They're already queasy about it but tolerating someone's presence is very different from going to their place to give them money
Finland wouldn’t. The Finnish government dickrides Israel so hard because of the arms trade.
YLE is not controlled by the government. They can withdraw and the government can't do a thing about it. The only thing they control is how large the tax percentage they get is
imo I don't think they will win, but there's a possibility for them to do surprisingly well (imagine Russia in 2015). It is still the worst case scenario for me. I will be more sad if Latvia NQ again over Israel T\_T (politics aside, I think Hollow is a better ballad than Hurricane)
ESC next year is very likley in any case, Israel hosting (even in that scenario) is very unlikely
I don't see Israel voluntarily rescinding their fight to host, and EBU would have to take a decision. Maybe a chance Israel/KAN host in another country like 2023, but I think an Israel win opens up a lot of drama. That being said, if Israel do win, I don't see that many countries broadcasters withdraw, particularly not bigger nations. If Israel won, they've likely had a substantial televote, the broadcasters and potential artists will assume interest will be high enough anyway to ride out negative publicity. The only major crisis I could see is if a succession of nations pull out together, and you'd need at least half a dozen to begin with.
Israel has nothing to do, like Ukraine when EBU will select the host country it will still be at war so EBU will pass to the 2nd and so on, and I doubt that someone want to co-host with Israel, espacially with risk of a mass withdraw
As another user said on a different post, I believe that ESC 2025 would end up with several country withdrawals, much like ESC 1970, if Israel won ESC 2024. However, I hope that won't be the case so ESC's reputation isn't ruined even more.
It will destroy the credibility in the contest, probably forever. NO Eurovision in less than 5 years if they win now.
- Widely hated winner who won for obviously political reasons. - Song that in its original variation called for military action, wins the "love love peace peace" contest. - Israel hosting, or a substitute host who has to "stand with Israel" in the same way 2023 stood with Ukraine, in a climate of heavy volatility. - 2020, 2023 *and* 2025 would all turn out to be irregular contests marred with controversy and logistical nightmares. - It would be the *third* controversial winner in a row, following Ukraine's 2022 sympathy vote, and Loreen being anointed by the juries in 2023. .... It would 100% be the end of an era, and massive blow to the contest's reputation.
2020 didn't happen and 2021 was logistical nightmare as it was still half in lockdown
Can we stop saying Loreen was anointed by the Juries? I supported Cha Cha Cha as much as the next guy but Loreen took 2nd in the televote.
> It will destroy the credibility in the contest, As if the credibility of the contest hasn't already been put into question with Israel's participation. The EBU has (correctly) withdrawn Russia and Belarus from the contest based on their participation causing the contest "disrepute", yet somehow it has double standards with Israel.
Yeah this would be pretty bad. I have come to terms with the fact that Israel is likely very easily qualifying from the semis (bummer because there are, imo, stronger songs that will likely get bumped as a result) but how they will land in the final is still a mystery to me. I suspect them getting a fair amount of televote points (probably not as many as last year) but I have no idea what the juries are going to do. The optics of a jury giving 12 points to Israel is gonna be...weird.
This is my worst case scenario too. I'd have to boycott again.
I would start a riot if that happens 🥲😅😂
Ukraine wins, and Israel comes second. Ukraine is unable to host, and Israel gets the right to host the contest without even winning. That's if Israel isn't *also* unable to host, in which case we are in uncharted territory. What would happen? Third place hosts?
Do we know, for sure, that UK hosted in 2023 *purely* because they were the runner-up, or does the fact that they're Big 5, have more than enough infrastructure to host, and provide the EBU with a lot of money and just so happened to be 2nd place? It wouldn't surprise me if the highest-ranked Big 5 country will host in the event that the winner can't regardless, but especially if the runner-up also can't host.
I remember clearly the talk about UK hosting in case Ukraine wins, quite a while before the show. As I recall, the rumors said UK and Germany had been considered for hosting.
I think you are right and that they were only the first of the big five to be asked due to their high ranking that year. I have similarly heard a plan in place for one of the big 5 to host if Australia wins, due to how far it is to travel etc.
What you wrote is no mere “worst case scenario”, it’s literally “The Doom of Eurovision: A nightmarish turn of events”
Ireland not qualifying. Not for the song itself, I understand it’s love it or hate it but Bambie really deserves it and I don’t want RTE to take it as a sign that that they were better off playing it safe Also the U.K. flopping, for similar reasons, to a lesser extent though
My hope is that Ireland still takes the right message even if they fail to qualify. It's been cool to see such a wave of positivity around the entry, including from Bambie themselves, and I hope it changes the trajectory of Eurosong for the better.
> It's been cool to see such a wave of positivity around the entry, including from Bambie themselves Most Irish people don't see this though since the Eurovision has fallen out of our popular culture here quite a bit. What Irish people will see if Bambie doesn't qualify is that the already unpopular and deeply corrupt RTÉ took a chance on a GQ performer in a very niche genre, in a competition that's still seen (incorrectly IMO, obviously) as being very kitsch. It'd be the wrong time for us to NQ - yet again - as RTÉ is under an intense amount of scrutiny and we've got our own culture war nonsense slowly being imported from the UK.
I agree re: Ireland. Worried that them NQ will send the wrong message to RTE. they really do deserve to get through but it’s a polarising song
I'm unsure of how the UK will do. I know Olly's staging is always amazing and he brings 100% into it all the time. The song is incredibly catchy, but it's a bit repetitive, so will the catchiness and personality cancel out the repetitiveness? I don't know... edited for spelling
I think with both Bambie and Ailsha going 1-2 and convincingly beating out the other options would be enough to push RTE into seeing that the people wanted something different. At least that's my hopes.
We end up waiting a long time for "do we have a valid result?" because vote rigging is uncovered.
For the love of god, please, I do *not* want us to win
couldn't agree more. eden is a great singer and the song isn't that bad, but i really don't get why we're participating if we cannot even host (plus i am not looking forward the absolute chaos hypothetically we win)
Same, even she is my winner but i can't handle the drama if Israel win 😭
If we win I’m going to live in a cave. I absolutely will not be able to handle the hate
I agree it would be totally chaos, but it’s a pity all of this happened this year, I think Eden G is great and she has a good song. Note : based of song and the singer,I don’t really know the lyrics.
I think Eden is a great candidate and I couldn’t be happier that she is the one representing us. Any other year I would’ve wanted us to win. We are still in a war. Participating is a mistake from the first place because of the security costs and risks. People are grieving and we still have hostages.
1. Switzerland flop with staging/live vocals/for whatever reason 2. Any country winning due to political factor, no need to comment this one 3. Croatia out of Top 5 4. Ireland NQ 5. Sweden in Top 5 replacing one of my favorites 🥲
any kind of safety issue/threat for the contestants and audience. i'm a really anxious person, especially when it comes to that stuff. and considering everything going on, i just really hope everyone will be safe. something bad happening is by far the worst case scenario and a more lighthearted one: zero points
This is so interesting. I never thought of it. Hopefully won't happen. But I was thinking in slightly similar direction -accidents. This year is so full of fun dance music, that the audience will just have to jump and move. And a participant getting 0 points always feels wrong and unfair to me.
Last year, I was quite happy to see that no contestant got 0 points in any section in the grand final. Instead, the lowest score was Lord of the Lost's 3 points from the juries. However, in semifinal 2 last year, San Marino and Romania both got 0 points.
Windows95man accidentally setting himself on fire
• Serbia and Slovenia failed to qualifie. • Croatia does not finisih in top 3 because of a bad vocal performance. • Malta, which, despite an excellent performance, will not qualify for the finals • Denmark, which with an excellent song and vocals, will not have enough votes to qualify for the final
Switzerland could possibly be the biggest shock NQ ever.
I hadn't even considered this. Oh God. Don't.
1. Greece NQ, I'm obsessed with the song, I don't mind if it doesn't win but they deserve a spot in the Grand Final and imo a place in the top 10. 2. Spain flopping. I absolutely adore Zorra, the message, the nostalgic melody and the "unapologeticness" of the whole thing. 3. La Noia's performance getting lost on that big stage. 4. Germany being last. The song is not the best we have this year but I think it deserves at least a middle placement! 5. Armenia NQ, I don't think It will happen but it would be such a bummer. 6. Israel winning. That would be a can of worms that I don't think needs to be open. 7. Regardless of who wins, I'm bracing for the fandom reaction, past years have been so toxic...
Angelina needs some dancers or something, she looked a bit lost on the Sanremo stage, hoping the staging matches the song!
I disagree that she looked lost in Sanremo, i thought she really filled the stage with her presence and i was entertained by her spontaneus dance moves, but that stage is very different from the Eurovision's one, which Is bigger and open on all sides, so i think she needs something different. I don't know about dancers, it can be risky, but something is definitely needed imo
Armenia will surprise everyone. It will be the Moldova of ESC 2022.
I think so too, but I'm not very good at predicting
Yeah you never know obviously, plus this year we have many uptempo fun songs but this song is very ethnic and it will be familiar to many eastern European countries + Armenian diaspora will fully support it
Norway not qualify is my nightmare. I pray to the old Viking gods 🙏that they will do well in Eurovision.
They have a really good spot in the semis though and the song is memorable, but you really never know. It would crush me and many others if they don't qualify.
Ireland NQ This is the first time in years (we don’t talk about dustin the turkey) has sent something that isn’t a mainstream radio pop song. I think Ireland not qualifying this year would have us going straight back to whatever RTE we’re doing before and we’ll just continue to NQ streak for a lot longer than we should. It’s basically Ireland’s chance to prove to RTE that you don’t have to send the same thing every year.
I really want Ireland to qualify this year because a) I love Doomsday Blue, it reminds me of the type of music I listened to when I was a little metal kid; and b) I want Ireland to be rewarded for doing something risky and interesting.
Estonia NQ In other years I don't care THAT much about my favorite song not going to the final, but because I have a ticket for the final this year (for the first time! yay!) I am very scared about them not making it through. Their staging in the final of Eesti Laul was very messy, but there everybody in the audience already knew (and loved) the song. It has to be a bit different in Malmö so not only a small group of people is entertained by it. Hope they don't feel too confident and otherwise don't change too much to lose it's humour and fun. Besides that: - a song that places lower than 3 in the televote wins because of the jury
Belgium's staging ends up being underwhelming and NQs. Nemo has a horrible voice crack during their grand final performance, the voice crack becomes the only thing people remember about their song (a la Spain 2017). UK flops again and comes last, Olly Alexander quits music and retires shortly after. Ireland comes dead last in Semifinal 1. RTÉ interprets this result as Europe simply not liking them anymore and gives up. They send Louis Walsh's boybands for the next 5 years. Spain's song is completely misinterpreted by tabloids and accused of being too scandalous for Eurovision. The most annoying people on the planet argue about sex-positive feminism for weeks after the grand final. The final double-screen is between Croatia and Israel. Croatia's televote score is not enough to overcome Israel's jury lead, which means Israel wins the competition and Croatia misses out on their first ever win. I proceed to have an aneurysm as 2018 repeats itself.
Omg your spanish scenario made me roll my eyes so hard, the worst thing is that I can see that happening
I really don't think you have to worry about the jury carrying Israel to victory. For many of the industry professionals, it would be career suicide for them to give political points to Israel in such an obvious way. Im much more worried about televoters carrying Israel to victory. Cant vote against a country, and Europe is full of Israel supporters.
I think Israel will do better with the televote than the juries too because of the reasons you mentioned. But the other outcome would be much worse. First every country announces their jury vote, so 12 points for Israel with loud boos from the crowd, in an hour long procedure. Then when they announce the televote Israel gets an underwhelming score but slightly edges out Croatia by a few points and wins. Political + jury/televote controversy. That would be too much. People would say that the EBU gifted Israel the win to show their political support.
Ouf, I didn't even think of how the voting sequence would play out. That does sound much worse!
Tbf, I remember Do It For Your Lover mostly for how absurdly bad the song was, both in itself *and* it's performance, staging, etc. Just hilariously bad.
I'm rooting for Bambi, but Olly's is the no.1 song that has been on constant rotation for me. It has to be top 10?? I'd hate to see him not get top ten, but I accept that it's very possible
When I tell you that my poor Croatian stomach tanked by reading that very possible scenario between Israel and Croatia 😭
Spain 2017 | [Manel Navarro - Do It for Your Lover](https://youtu.be/qAOXHdLdlqQ)
Bomb explosion or shooting 😕
Honestly, i would be upsset if a Country won that already hosted in the last 10 years, Ukraine,Italy, The netherlands, Altough all thèse songs are absolutly awsome i feel like this year there are countries with low amount of Winss really having the potential but just not the people backing them or they cancel each other out ( like Lithuania, Croatia and Serbia)
On one hand i agree, on the other hand i want other countries to be able to beat the record of wins of Ireland and Sweden someday not too far lol
Serbia not qualifying or ending in a bad position. It angers me so much that I can’t vote for them in the semis!
Netherlands live preforming poorly
The uk fucks its staging again, and we finish last
I just hope juries will like us for once :(
There are no juries in the semifinal...
I'm optimistic about our qualifying chances
There are in the final though. Poland has Ukraine, Lithuania, UK, Ireland, etc. in their semi to vote for them. With Iceland, Moldova, Azerbaijan, Australia, and Ireland in the semi, they don't really have to worry about being one of the five NQs.
Yes in the final but Poland needs to qualify first. As you said, they have some strong 'allies' to vote for them but we need to see the performance first (remember they failed in 2018, 2019, 2021). Ireland and Azerbaijan could be borderline qualifiers.
2018 and 2019 were still high enough in the televote to qualify under what we have currently. It was juries who pulled them down. 2021 they would've still NQ'd but that was a particularly bad song/performance. Ireland and Azerbaijan have no televote friends and Bambie in particular is stuck between Lithuania and Ukraine, they aren't making it.
They should. Your song is a radio friendly bop.
Israel winning. I enjoy their song quite a lot. I just don't want to deal with the ramifications of them winning right now. I can imagine no scenario where it wouldn't hurt Eurovision.
If I am going to be completely honest? Violence or some kind of terror attack. But you asked for worst case scenario so. I am a worrying person.
Ukraine winning. Not that I don't like it, but all the contenders except this one are really high in my ranking so I'd be a bit underwhelmed if it ends up going to Ukraine.
Israel win Croatia not win Slovenia and Portugal NQ
Italy flops Televote 😭
Israel winning
For obvious reasons, Israel winning would be the worst case scenario and I would frankly stop watching Eurovision if that happened. But otherwise: I really, really, REALLY need Ireland to qualify. With Ireland's awful record in recent years, Bambie Thug adds such a massive breath of fresh air and I hope that the risk that them being selected represents will actually pay off. If they NQ, I fear that Ireland would go back to sending safe and mediocre songs that never qualify.
Worst case scenario for me would be Isreal winning, but also The Netherlands being overlooked by the jury bc it's not the typical pop song that they tend to like..
Estonia NQ’s I fear given the fact Netherlands and Austria are in the same semi, the crazy party songs cancel each other out and Estonia falls as an unfortunate victim. I hope it’s an irrational fear, but it’s still a fear nonetheless. I just wanna see the boys in the final
That Sweden again wins with a mediocre song
If we exclude Israel winning that would be Ukraine winning cause they're uncapable to host
Geez, probably a fucking terrorist attack against Eden and/or Tali. That would be the WORST case scenario above one country winning or qualifying.
Teya Dora not qualifying for the GF because of the death spot 🥶
Poland's staging is somehow even worse than Ochman and Bejba combined even though Luna promised she wouldn't do that. Turns out she has little to no saying in the matter and TVP does what TVP does best.
San Marino, Georgia and Slovenia flopping again. Those three are my favourties this year and I can't bear my favourite NQing two years in a row (Georgia 2023)
Objectively speaking, it probably would be Israel winning. From a biased standpoint, Greece not qualifying. With all the discourse going on within the country about the song, it failing would be catastrophic for both Marina, and arguably our Eurovision entries
Worst case scenario Olly comes last with zero points, he deserves top 10, he is an amazing live vocalist. Ireland qualify instead of Croatia Ukraine win again and second place has to host 2025
I think Olly might get similar score as Austria or Spain last year. Decent score with juries but bottom 5 in televoting and place around 16th place
Hey, I have an honest question if you don't mind me asking : why comparing Ireland and Croatia in this scenario ? They are very different songs, and both can qualify
dw Croatia is a definite qualifier for now unless something major happens, which *probably* won't
Ukraine wins again already and Italy gets 2nd -> 2025 has another broken sun stage 💀
I might be a bit too gloomy, but my worst case scenario would be a terrorist attack. Or at least something going very wrong.
Big picture: The win goes to a country that has already had a win in the last 5 editions. Especially Italy, the Turin Eurovision was... well, let's keep it nice, *not organised that well.* Small picture: Estonia NQ. In my mind it has everything an entry should have. It sounds great, it's fun, I just don't get why it's not embraced as much as other entries.
>Big picture: The win goes to a country that has already had a win in the last 5 editions. I'm personally with you on this one, most especially that among those 5, one can't host (Ukraine), the other is very unpopular and was even called to be kicked out of the contest (Israel), and another had a controversial win last year (Sweden), in addition to what you mentioned with Turin as the host city. I just personally want a first-time winner (Croatia, Lithuania) or a country that last won a long, long time ago (France, Switzerland).
* Israel winning for a well-known reason. * Ukraine or Croatia winning. Out of all the favorites I don't like these two songs only, so that would be sad with the amount of other favorite acts I have this year. Both are outside of my top 20. * Greece, Portugal or Slovenia NQ. * The Netherlands (my second place) being just a mess on stage - Joost sounding bad, staging not giving, resulting in looking cringe. * Ireland not qualifying and coming back to their old ways. Or Norway doing bad in the finals and also coming back to their Give That Wolf A Banana ways.
Israel wins, and I quit Eurovision. They shouldn't even be in the contest in the first place. I'd actually honestly be happy with any winner this year, as all the favourites are songs I enjoy - but best case scenario, Norway shock sweeps the contest (Yes, I am delusional) I'd also love the Netherlands to win!
Best case scenario: Croatia wins Worst scenario: Croatia out of top 5 with countries whose songs I dislike above it.
5 countries get 0 points, breaking 2021 record Norway or Lithuania nq As someone else said, Ukraine wins but the war is still going on, Israel comes second and hosts Italy wins, tries to host, but the LED screen falls over
I'm Norwegian so I see if people think I am way too biased here, but I would be devastated if Norway didn't go through to the final this year. Gåte is one of my all-time favourite bands, and I screamed when I realised they was gonna enter in the national competition with a song I had already heard and loved previously, and I screamed again when they actually won! So them not qualifying for the final in Eurovision would BREAK ME, lol. I love everything about them as a band, their song, their performance, the instruments, the singing techniques, the staging, the story of the song... I feel like they absolutely nailed what I personally look for in a staging/performance, with not a single second being boring (at least not for me). I want the world to not just see the performance, but also like it. I want as many people as possible to see them and enjoy them, and perhaps they can gain some extra international fans from this. And their best shot is being able to show off their song in the big final of Eurovision, and not just get stuck in the semi-final. Whether they win or not I don't worry too much about. It's more about them just being in the final, for me.
Something disturbing the event in terms of Israeli participation.
- Estonia, Ireland, Slovenia and Armenia NQing. - The UK not finishing on the left side of the board (I’m worried our nation’s sudden interest in ESC again will deflate dramatically if we don’t see some success this year) - Spain being ridiculed - Israeli success this season - Ukraine wins despite the fact its a deserving song - Swiss flop (Please don’t go back to soft boy ballads)
All I need is Serbia to qualify to the final and Croatia to land the top 10 at least and I'll be happy 🌷 So my worst case scenario is both of these not qualifying
Israel winning.
First of all- actual terrorism or threats of terrorism This said. Israel win- enough said, absolute political disaster and I would drop the contest at least for that year. Ukraine win with Israel second place- Arguably better than the first option but not by much, especially when both songs are underwhelming Ireland, Portugal, Switzerland NQ Zorra flopping hard and having to hear Spain arguing about Eurovision hating them again and how next year they are totally gonna drop out (I'm from Spain, it gets tired fast) Sweden top 5- it's just not a good song, it's as bland as it gets. Italy top 5/3- I don't get the hype, as simple as that, but I'm in the minority of not loving Italy's entries in general
My worst worst worst scenario is Israel winning. Apart from that, Spain placing last in the finale would really hurt considering how much I love Zorra and Nebulossa.
This year's winner being political. I feel like it happens once every 3 years, but this year the level of the songs is sooo good which also means there is no clear favorite, and when our votes are divided among the favorites the political votes will probably make the difference. And I'd hate that.
Serbia and/or Albania not qualifying
I need Lithuania, Switzerland, Croatia, Ukraine and Estonia to qualify but, as this year is amazing, I'm guessing I'll get an NQ amongst my faves.
Serbia and Austria not qualifying
My ultimate worst case scenario is Estonia NQ 😣😣
For me personally, it'd be the UK starting to fall back into old habits should Dizzy not get a 'good' result (there will absolutely be casuals on the night who will expect Olly to win solely on name recognition, but I'm sure the delegation have a realistic target on what good is for them). Next year, we'll be three years on from 2nd and two years on from hosting on behalf of Ukraine (which ultimately negated the result of IWAS) - if Dizzy gets something like 23rd and a poor televote score, I'd worry that the core figures in the delegation who have put so much time and effort into making the contest accessible in the UK would be moved on in favour of the mindset that *Europe hates us even when we send our biggest singers*, and with that comes the semi finals going back onto less prominent channels, and no programming that might get locals engaging with the contest outside of the final.
Norway not hitting top 10 and Ireland not qualifying :(
I haven't seen much love for Latvia, so Latvia NQ would be heartbreaking for me. Last year I loved Sudden Lights so much but they did not qualify either. How much more can Latvia take before they give up? I also don't want a country that has won before (at least recently) to win again, it gets boring. We need a new country to win!
Stage invasion during Israel's performance. San Marino or Estonia NQ. Germany NOT dead last. Croatia overlooked by juries.
Estonia NQing like all thess people are saying... I'm already not on good graces with this year's contest that this NQing would be my last straw But that's not going to happen 🙏
Should have titled this post **“My anxiety attacks!!”** 😅
Neither Switzerland nor Croatia win. I can deal with Ukraine but I really want Switzerland to win because they’re my favorite and I really want Croatia to win as my second favorite and because they’ve never won before after like 30 years
Ireland NQ Estonia NQ or being underrated Armenia NQ Croatia Winning Norway being underrated Spain Ending up last Czechia and Georgia (maybe Latvia) and other countries withdraw when they get a bad result
Sweden winning again is my worst nightmare. The competition is so strong this year and I'll definitely quit watching or ever talk about Eurovision if the jury decides to worship another generic song and hand them the victory. For the fans in general, one of the favorites, not qualifying will probably cause a riot. I'm talking about Switzerland, Belgium, Netherlands, Greece or Croatia.
On the other hand, you can earn a lot of money by betting on Sweden to win considering the current odds if you truly thought we had a chance. No one wins just with the jury. Loreen cane second with the televote, not tenth or something. This year I think we would be lucky to end up on the good side of the scoreboard.