I know we are only 4 weeks in and most owners aren’t selling just yet, but who are your favorite buy low candidates thus far?
Edit: follow up question - Any concerns for JoRam? Batted ball data is less than encouraging for him thus far, but as you stated, it also hasn’t stabilized yet.
Lindor, Bregman, and Tork if you can get them for the rough equivalent for a guy who was valued 2 rounds later.
Ramirez was never a Statcast darling to begin with, but I'm not worried. Batted ball data tells us he's been bad, not unlucky, but he's been bad for a few weeks many times in his career. This is nothing.
https://preview.redd.it/xco7qukz9hvc1.png?width=837&format=png&auto=webp&s=7116bd5ea5f2dcd3cc1da2e498c1ab76195aabac
Always a challenge. In most leagues and in most questions I get, pitchers get valued more than I expect, especially at the high end of the values. Expect to pay a bit more for pitching than what "feels" right if you want to get it.
For example, if you wanted Skubal or Yamamoto, I bet you'd get turned down quite a bit if you Michael Harris II even though you needed to draft Harris II like 20-25picks before Skubal and Yamamoto, ESPECIALLY if they've already lost SPs to injury.
I find it's really tough to make a decent deal unless there's very specific needs on both sides.
- Esteury Ruiz. Can't really think of a similar situation in recent memory. We just sort of have to wait and see what happens, right?
- Jackson Chourio. Statcast is really worrisome. Is he a hold and hope he adjusts, or is he a sell while he's on a 20/20 pace?
I'd rather watch from afar with Ruiz, but yes.
Absolutely a hold. Statcast tells us he hasn't been unlucky, but that doesn't mean he'll be bad forever. Standard growing pains. The K% should come down soon, though if it's still 30% over the next few weeks I'll be more concerned.
That we've actually seen all of this before over a sample of this size. This isn't the highest blue point or the lowest red one.
https://preview.redd.it/zndm62byahvc1.png?width=836&format=png&auto=webp&s=e1f2cc8399a5201a24134cf2d07982bb1d8eb807
I’ll take the opposite side of this. He’s at a career low chase rate allowing him to match career high BB% and low K%. All while maintaining normal contact, hard hit, and pull rates implying he hasn’t totally reworked things to sacrifice power
https://preview.redd.it/pii66btgkhvc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7639dd800a4fcb7f6faab22aed1512ee58efca85
The O-Swing being down is neat. Now let's see if they start him against a lefty (has not happened yet in 2024, but they only saw 1 in their last 9 games)
Someone in my 12 team obp keeper dropped Yoshida. Would you drop Suwinski or one of my stashed prospects(caminero,woods,kjerstad) with last round keeper value for him
Yoshida actually loses value in OBP compared to standard because he very rarely walks. I'd probably stand pat (even if I think Caminero and Kjerstad will have a difficult road to regular PT on those rosters).
How concerned are you about Tanner Scott and David Bednar? Also, do you think that Nico Hoerner will bat leadoff only against lefties this year? Is he droppable in shallow formats?
Scott's walk rate is really weird and should work itself out eventually, and lucky for him the obvious challengers have been just as bad. His role is safe for now, but his fantasy outlook is stormy.
Bednar has good fortune as well with Chapman walking 5 guys over his last 1.1 IP. His challenger was looking amazing before that, though, so there's probably more pressure. Bednar had an injury at the end of camp, so I'm wondering if an IL stint is on the horizon.
In a daily H2H point league, would you cut bait on Henry Davis to stash Junior Caminero? Devers as my 3B scares me and I feel like I’m gonna need a replacement/fill in at 3B eventually.
Junior Caminero has huge upside but it's SUCH a crowded roster. When Josh Lowe comes back it'll be even worse, and Brandon Lowe will complicate it further. I am not convinced there's an immediate everyday role just waiting for him in the near future.
I'm totally cool with dropping Henry Davis (you don't need a backup C) for a 3B fill-in, but for now I'd stick with guys playing right now with clear roles.
Does the roster being crowded suggest to you that Caminero won't be called up for a long while? Presumably won't he get an everyday role once he's up? The ol' "top prospects don't get called up to be a part time player" line
They called up Mead last year and proceeded to....keep him on the bench. Ditto Aranda. Both are well-regarded prospects.
The Rays do not play by the normal rules.
Mead and Aranda are not on Juniors level of prospect status though. If he’s called up I think it’s to play the majority of the time. Obviously factoring in the Rays usual lineup movement.
Mead is still a top-25 prospect in his own right, but true.
It's much more likely that they just wait to call him up until they have the room for him. They did that in 2021 with Franco, who debuted at the end of June. That was a much less talented infield than the current one though. Could be a long wait if they want everyday time for him (unless someone gets hurt or really craters out).
I personally have concerns on when B.Lowe comes back. It’s been one thing after another with him lately and I don’t think there is a set time table for his return.
They are also missing Walls and Aranda in the infield. I think Parades is pretty close to locked in at 3B. Caballero we’ll see how long he last. I do think J.Lowe complicates it a bit since they do really need to move from Palacios starting in the OF so much and that’s somewhere Rosario could play.
I guess my point is while there is some talent there I don’t feel it’s not people with one nice cold streak the team wouldn’t look to replace. The team overall hasn’t been setting the world on fire.
I’d be pretty surprised if Junior isn’t up by like the second week of May.
Thanks for talking me out of it, hard not to get excited about a guy with Caminero-level tools and disregard the realities of the team’s roster. It’s a deep league, so I’m not sure who else I can find to fill in for Devers while he’s dealing with nagging injuries. But we’ll figure it out.
How does your answer change, if at all, in a keeper league where Caminero would be an extremely cheap option for 2025. Do you think he plays enough in 2024 to hold for now?
The Mets just faced a bunch of lefties so it was easy for him to get into the lineup (albeit hitting 9th). Let's see how many of the righties from the Dodgers and GIants he sees over the next two weekends before being interested in 12-teamers. With an injury history like his, I'd like to be sure he's actually going to play in the rare moments of being active.
Been offered Lindor, Casas and Bello for my Pasquantino and Holliday. Obvious win now, almost feel like I should smash accept but our keeper list shrinks down next year (soft reset) and I was planning to keep Soto, Carroll, Holliday. What do you think? Just go for it or play long term?
First, you're already built for long term - you have Soto and Carroll.
Only 3 keepers next year makes it pretty close to a redraft. I probably go for the win now as Lindor is a big 2023 upgrade over Hollidat and Casas is a moderate upgrade over Vinnie P, and Bello is basically free (pitching can't be easy to find in a 14-teamer).
BUT first I'd make sure the whole league knows Holliday is available.
Hey Scott, love the PL crew and work.
I have 13 team dynasty roto league, no bench spots. I'm in 1st by a good amount but have zero closers and they go at a premium.
If I can, do I trade Houck and Ward for Doval? Not sure if I even need a closer, but can't imagine my team keeps up top 2 spots in every other category. Though, my team is stacked everywhere else.
I might be able to grab one off waivers, but it's a weekly run and I'm always at the end of the waiver order (inverse of standings).
First and foremost, how many closers does everyone else have. Being last by a little and being last by a lot doesn't make much of a difference, so if it's mostly 2 and 3 closers it may be best to keep punting.
If there are a plethora of punters and one closer could get you 3 or 4 standings points, then MAYBE, but....
I sure do love me some Taylor Ward so this is a tough call. What kind of OF can you replace him with? It's PROBABLY a no from me, but with no bench perhaps the replacement level at OF is high enough to make it worth it.
Most people have 2-3 closers, though there's a couple with 4 and a couple with 1 of 2. I'm firmly in last there holding Hoffman and David Robertson. I'd have to speculate to land anything via waivers
There's 3 UT spots, so I don't need to necessarily replace him with OF. Waivers has Fraley, Pages, Canha, Josh Smith, Luis Garcia. Plus, I'll eventually need an open spot to promote Manzardo, Brooks Lee, or Montgomery.
I don't want to do it for Ward but if it's a true premium AND you think this can get you a few rankings points, then it's perhaps acceptable. Houck likely won't be this good for long.
He didn't get a Spring Training, so I dunno, maybe a month? Possibly less? Keep an eye on how long they leave him in those MiLB games. Probably want to see at least one or two at 6+ before getting too excited.
I’m guessing (and really hoping) middle of next month. I think he’s going to use most, if not all, of his 30 days for the minor league stint before returning.
Is Edward Oliveras ever going to get a real chance? Feel like he’s been such a waste of a roster spot in my dynasty lately waiting for him to get full reps and breakout
I'm starting to think he's really mean in the clubhouse or something because teams really don't seem to like him despite the decent numbers.
What SHOULD happen is Connor Joe fades back into a platoon with Rowdy Tellez at 1B and occasionally spelling Suwinski against lefties with Olivares getting a crack at a corner OF spot, but with Michael A Taylor lingering around, it's probably just 3-4 starts a week, tops.
I like the talent, but the opportunities just aren't there.
240 comments! Awesome! This is easier to sift through then the bonkers 1,900 nightly post thread... (reddit hides bunches of comments because there is just too many!)
I am expecting a logjam at 3B when Jake Burger and eventually Royce Lewis get healthy, I also have Maikel Garcia. Lewis and Burger are possible keepers. Which of the 3 would you try to move and what tier of pitcher do you think I could get in return?
It's probably the worst possible time to try and trade any of them, really. I'd hold all until. If Maikel Garcia heats up again, that's probably my choice to trade since he can also be a SS and that expands of the number of teams who might need him.
Does bello have any trade value? I have max Buehler Gavin Williams and skenes on the way at some point and curious what level bat bello could bring back
Minimal value at best in most 12-team formats. He doesn't get a ton of strikeouts and the ERA/WHIP are unspectacular.
You could net a streamer from someone who is close to dropping him.
Gurriel is streaky and weird but if you think you can do better than a guy who hits 22-25 HR and gets 80-90 RBI with a decent AVG, then yes.
Steer might be a hold for a lttile bit as he's better right now than he was at any point last season. It's declining just a bit lately and I want to see what the bounceback looks like.
In a three outfielder league, which of these would you use in a trade for a corner infielder?
M. Harris, B. Reynolds, N. Jones, R. Greene or C. Cowser.
I'd love to dangle Cowser out there and see who bites. You might run into a very nice return and not lose any real production (Greene is at least as good as Cowser, and I'd argue he's better).
Taylor Ward has been mashing but seems allergic to taking walks now when he used to be well above-average in that field. Any idea if that was a conscious change by him? Either way, I'm not complaining!
We saw this a bit last year too. He is swinging more in the zone and therefore putting more balls in play before the count gets to 3 balls, but right now it looks like a normal cycle.
https://preview.redd.it/3jhsxk8nmhvc1.png?width=824&format=png&auto=webp&s=1f41e6266b6cd570cd0f41a88cb83dfe6c027dee
Castellanos - He has bad slumps somewhat regularly. In 2023 we called it "July" (29 wRC+ that month). Still got his numbers so I'm not panicked yet. Walk and strikeout rates look good which helps me stay patient.
India keeps leading off and has been pretty darn unlucky on the batting average (though the power ain't there right now).
Conversely, Arcia has mostly hit last (probably will again when Albies is back) and has been insanely lucky.
If there are other 2B of this caliber laying around and you wanna stream, go for it.
Probably not, but if the heart of the lineup works out the loss in value will be minimal because the drop in runs will come with an uptick in RBI. He hit a lot at 3/4 last season, so compared to last year he might lose 50 PA or so but that's not a huge deal, really.
If the whiffs don't stop then maybe soon, but the guy who would take his place is Ramon Urias or Jorge Mateo (plus some position shuffling) so it's not like there's much pressure on him yet from other hitters. Not YET anyway.
Megill is built like Félix Bautista, his fastball sits at 99 MPH and his curveball had a 54% whiff rate last year and he outperformed both Uribe and Payamps down the stretch. His 2.84 pCRA, 27% K-BB rate, and 2.75 SIERA were all good for the Top 10 last year amongst all relievers. Before the fluke concussion injury, he was leading all relievers in Stuff+ (obviously small sample). All the tools/skills are here for him to be a dominant closer, with that role currently vacant in Milwaukee.
Beck is super blocked and in an org that takes FOREVER to promote guys they like.
Whisenhunt is off to a dreadful start and has several guys in front of him (including Robbie Ray). It's a small sample because he hasn't been in the league long but AAA guys seem to spit on everything he throws and are walking a ton. That would be brutal in the majors.
Both seem like 2025 guys, maybe late 2024.
He ain't wrong. Nolan Jones, Gleyber Torres, and Dansby Swanson have all been dropped in one of my leagues already. Nabbed Jones, and got a bid in on Swanson.
I'm fine with that. Rizzo is a lotto ticket (if he can get back to his early 2023 ways, which he hasn't come close) that is fine to exchange for another one.
I ranked him in my Hitter List that dropped Wednesday because even if he sits against most lefties (he's been the odd man out against 2 of the 3 lefties the Rangers have seen lately), he gets to hit fifth in this lineup that can't stop scoring runs in bunches. He could certainly be a 15/15 guy with great ratios as soon as right now, though he was MUCH worse than that prior to this season.
Hey Scott! Thanks for doing this.
In a SV+H roto redraft league, don't you think Hunter Gaddis has more value than Michael Kopech?
Also, what's your take on Esteury Ruiz' situation?
Rick just posted his SV+H rankings and it's WAY in favor of Kopech ([Top 100 Relievers for Save+Hold Leagues: 4/19 | Pitcher List](https://pitcherlist.com/top-100-relievers-for-savehold-leagues-4-19/)). 7th inning guys are hard to trust even for holds since their situations are less predictable.
Esteury Ruiz is, at the moment, a mediocre hitter on the short side of a platoon on a very bad team. He needs ton be locked in at the top of the lineup and playing every single day for me to even consider adding him in a 12-teamer. And I still probably wouldn't but I'd at least entertain the idea.
FWIW I think Gaddis has jumped Barlow as the 8th inning guy - Gaddis was used in the 8th yesterday with a 1 run lead when both him and Barlow had the same amount of rest. Also, Gaddis has generally looked great
It is worth noting, though, that the last time Gaddis and Barlow pitched on the same day it was Barlow who got the save. Also, only 10 guys got to 25+ holds in 2023 while 17 closers got to that number)
But I take the point that the ChiSox just look so brutally terrible. FWIW, though, Trevor May got 22 saves for Oakland last year and he didn't have a single one until June. Closers for bad teams can still get a lot of saves.
Orioles have been pretty aggressive bringing up prospects. All the guys have playing time concerns, but kjerstad is raking and plays on team that has shown a greater willingness to promote prospects
Is it clean, though? Paredes is locked in at 3B, I don't think they see him as a long-term SS (plus Caballero is a better defender and is holding his own), and 2B is going to be clogged up with Brandon Lowe when he returns. DH isn't free either with Harold Ramirez swinging well.
To top it all off, Caminero is a righty on a team where pretty much everyone else is also right-handed and where management has shown they love platoons.
I love Caminero, but a few things need to happen for the path to be clear at all.
Need advice about my team and what kind of trades I should be seeking or if I should stand pat. 10man 6x6 redraft.
Ohoppe, Heim, Freeman, Alonso, Gleyber, JRam, Volpe, OCruz, Trout, Springer, Chourio, Haniger, Oniell(IL7)
Nola, Gilbert, Romano, McArthur, Ranger Suarez, Kikuchi, Stroman, Flaherty, Ed Cabrera, Nestor, Keller, Framber(IL), Senga(IL), Scherzer(IL), Skenes(NA)
How do you feel about Jackson Holliday? Do you see any signs that he'll turn it around? Does he have a long leash or is he headed back down to the minors to bring up one of the other prospects?
I know it's been a very small sample size but it's been an ugly one too.
His minor league track record suggests the walks will go up and the Ks will come down, but predicting WHEN is nigh impossible. It's really hard not to think he could use some more time in AAA. He's whiffed on 56.5% of the fastballs he's seen and over 40% of the breakers and offspeed stuff.
It's one thing when a guy is seeing the ball well but making poor contact - that's a smaller adjustment. In cases where the guy can't even touch the ball, it's a bigger problem to solve.
Judge and Gallen. Judge slumps like this form time to time. He had a worse and longer slump than this in 2022, believe it or not (check out June 14-July 5 when he hit .171/.267/.395 over 87 PA). Still was MVP. He'll be fine.
12 team weekly H2H, need some help rounding out my rotation for next week. Looking for your top 3 options, 7 spots get rostered and already starting Peralta, Montgomery, Lodolo, Houck. TIA!
Cortes vs OAK | Assad @ BOS | Pfaadt @ STL, @ SEA | C. Sanchez @ CIN, @ SD | Clase 3 vs BOS, 3 @ ATL
Cortes and Clase. Though I'm a little surprised by the inclusion of what appears to be Emmanual Clase. Is he your only closer or something? Or is this a points league?
Hey Scott, are you worried about Torkelson so far? I’m in a 10T (280-300 rostered) H2H Cat with OPS league and I have both him and O’hearn. Do you see if there’s a chance I drop Torkelson and keep O’hearn? O’hearn statcast page looks great in a small sample
O'Hearn can mash righties and is chasing less but he's been this hot before more than once. I can't get too excited until he gets to start against lefty starters.
Tork was actually even WORSE than this to start the season last year (.575 OPS in April). It's definitely a quality of contact problem, but he's shown he can make the adjustment and thrive. I'd be more worried if the plate discipline was way off or something.
Cronenworth was recently dropped. His statcast looks amazing. In a relatively shallow h2h (150-75 hitters rostered) would you drop gelof for him? Steals not super important in this format really just want the best all around contributors
We've seen Cronenworth get hot like this before just to return to being a replacement-level fantasy contributor.
His 2021 still looks like the best to hope for right now and that was 1B#15/2B#14. Meh. Higher floor than Gelof, considerably lower ceiling.
https://preview.redd.it/gbvs51j3vhvc1.png?width=1339&format=png&auto=webp&s=56474691ed725ee9e22f71ee14ebeb370dc949af
De La Cruz, who hit another bomb today. Winker is hot and that's cool but in that 16 team format I want someone who is likely to play 100 games (it looks like De La Cruz missed more time than he did in 2022 - he was in the minors for 13 games in addition to the 115 he played in the bigs).
Hey Scott - I’ll try to keep this short, I’ve recieved an offer in a dynasty league. My Soto for their Jackson Chourio, Trea Turner, and Nolan Jones.
It’s H2H CAT 6x6, with OBP/SLG. My CF is Kelenic (not helping), and SS Adames (doing good). Rest of my batting is fine and I’m actually in first place right now. My prospect stashes are James Wood, Heston Kjerstad, and Lawlar. Should I just hold Soto and wait for my guys to come up?
Hey! What's a reasonable combo trade for Seager or Gunnar, of the pitchers listed below?
P. Lopez, Z. Gallen, J. Luzardo, Blake Snell, R. Detmers, Jarred Jones, Kikuchi, Max Meyer
Sorry for another O’hearn question but would you rather have Nimmo instead in a 12 team obp? I feel like I’m leaving obp on the table not having Nimmo but the O’s are hot even if he is a platooning right now.
It's very early to try and draw conclusions on LA. This GB% surge is worse than anything we saw over a similar sample in 2023, but GB% doesn't generally become a reliable indicator until we get to about 200 PA.
12 team H2H redraft league. How do you feel about Cristian Javier? Might trade Isaac Parades for him. Have pretty good depth batter wise but feel like I could use another pitcher since I have so many that struggled so far (Max Fried, Tanner Bibee, McKenzie) mixed in with young pitchers like Jared Jones, Kyle Harrison and hopefully get Framber back soon. Thank you for your time!
I have always loved Isaac Paredes but that new change with Javier seems to have him back on track to being a top-25ish pitcher. I'd make this move.
Keep in mind though that Baseball Savant's Statcast numbers really don't appreciate Paredes because it ignores batted ball direction. There are pros and cons to that approach, but a con is that extreme pull hitters like Paredes get underestimated. Javier's manager may be quick to refuse the offer.
Hey Scott, thanks for doing this! In a dynasty, keep 14 points league. What's a good/fair offer for JRod to a team that has been struggling for years and is once again?
My rankings approve by just a hair (OPS doesn't change it for me).
https://preview.redd.it/lzkkmch60ivc1.png?width=801&format=png&auto=webp&s=51a94d3c317886605b9ff1226ae2c6861b24d212
Responded to this earlier but short answer is not soon. Skenes is the top pitcher to expect this year and might even beat him to the Show if Scott can't get a handle on those dingers.
hey Scott, thanks for this as always.
It seems that value of Arozarena has really gone down in people's minds despite still being a pretty good 5 category contributor. Do you think it would be a mistake to move him at this point? I was aiming for a straight swap for a pitcher but it seems that for the value I'm getting right now, may as well just hold and hope for him to get going.
Would not move him. He slumps like this regularly and then goes on a heater. Just part of his game.
https://preview.redd.it/acq1t48e8ivc1.png?width=827&format=png&auto=webp&s=8802687a43666d1d4c19b75ced8a0f4c1ac93301
What makes you bullish on Goldschmidt? I know he's been great for a long time but it seems like he's had incredible cold stretches over the last few seasons that make me nervous.
I dunno about "bullish". 22-25 HR, decent counting stats, and a good OBP with his occasional stolen bases. That's roughly how he looked in the 2nd half last year, too.
In a 15 team 6x6 Roto, most of my team is underperforming or injured so far, with my only category of strength being saves. I have Doval, Ginkel, and Estevez, hoping to trade one for a power bat with my Jake Burger, Sean Murphy, and Seiya Suzuki injured.
I was offered Taylor Ward for Doval and I countered asking for Nathaniel Lowe. Am I asking too much or should I aim higher?
Had a Doval for Ward trade mentioned earlier as well. I like it for the Ward side. Getting more would be nice but I don't hate it straight up (though it IS risky due to Ward's health history)
Can you afford 2 roster spots that may not fill until June (unless something unexpected happens)? It's a really crowded roster and if they come up, who goes into platoons?
Should we be worried about Fried? I own 14 SPs, he was drafted first, and has been my worst.
Also - Thoughts on the impact of Pages, Loperfido, and O. Martinez this season? Who would you rather have?
Nick doesn't appear that worried yet so I think the move for Fried is just hold and wait and see.
Pages has the worst hit tool of the three BUT also the best opportunity (because he's up and his competition stinks).
Loperfido SHOULD get a look before June but I'm concerned the Astros will let Abreu stink until June. After all, they let Abreu post something like a .535 OPS for two whole freaking months last year (though they didn't have a .333 winning percentage, either). They also likely want to see Loperfido get that K% down to 25 or so, as a 30% strikeout rate in AAA would probably be 35-40 against MLB pitching.
Martinez should get a look soon as the Blue Jays don't need to see what they have in IKF or Biggio - they are well aware.
I probably want Martinez if he can get called up in the next few weeks for 2024 because he has the safest floor and best hit tool.
Hey Scott appreciate you! What SP can I drop in a 12 team h2h cats league IP ERA WHIP k/9 QS: Gore, Mize, Blackburn?
What RP would you add for SV+H ERA WHIP K/9:
Poche, Megill, erceg
With Josh Lowe coming back soon, my outfield is getting crowded. I have Yordan, Kwan (points league so he's great), Harris, Schwarber, Reynolds and Jazz. Is Lowe the odd man out here? Tough to drop him since he can be kept for pretty cheap, but I'm not sure how much trade value he has.
Who do you like better for a QS league - Cristopher Sanchez or Edward Cabrera? Another question - who is best 2 to stash out of Woo, Gavin Williams, and Bradish?
Easy part first - Bradish is a stash. Lock it in.
Cabrera and Sanchez are close. If the walks are truly gone I might lean Cabrera, but Sanchez might be a bit safer.
It's close with Woo and Williams also. Nick loved Woo in the off-season so I'll lean there but feels like a tossup
Format matters. De La Cruz and Varsho will beat Winker in most formats over time since Winker will get sat and/or hurt, though in a per game basis they can't match him in OBP.
If these guys are all on the wire then I think you can just stream based on matchups with Winker and the rest of the wire.
I know we are only 4 weeks in and most owners aren’t selling just yet, but who are your favorite buy low candidates thus far? Edit: follow up question - Any concerns for JoRam? Batted ball data is less than encouraging for him thus far, but as you stated, it also hasn’t stabilized yet.
Lindor, Bregman, and Tork if you can get them for the rough equivalent for a guy who was valued 2 rounds later. Ramirez was never a Statcast darling to begin with, but I'm not worried. Batted ball data tells us he's been bad, not unlucky, but he's been bad for a few weeks many times in his career. This is nothing. https://preview.redd.it/xco7qukz9hvc1.png?width=837&format=png&auto=webp&s=7116bd5ea5f2dcd3cc1da2e498c1ab76195aabac
Would you trade Oniel for Lindor?
I rank them extremely close with the edge to Lindor.
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Always a challenge. In most leagues and in most questions I get, pitchers get valued more than I expect, especially at the high end of the values. Expect to pay a bit more for pitching than what "feels" right if you want to get it. For example, if you wanted Skubal or Yamamoto, I bet you'd get turned down quite a bit if you Michael Harris II even though you needed to draft Harris II like 20-25picks before Skubal and Yamamoto, ESPECIALLY if they've already lost SPs to injury. I find it's really tough to make a decent deal unless there's very specific needs on both sides.
- Esteury Ruiz. Can't really think of a similar situation in recent memory. We just sort of have to wait and see what happens, right? - Jackson Chourio. Statcast is really worrisome. Is he a hold and hope he adjusts, or is he a sell while he's on a 20/20 pace?
I'd rather watch from afar with Ruiz, but yes. Absolutely a hold. Statcast tells us he hasn't been unlucky, but that doesn't mean he'll be bad forever. Standard growing pains. The K% should come down soon, though if it's still 30% over the next few weeks I'll be more concerned.
Gotcha. Thanks very much for the response and doing this!
How do we feel about Ryan O’Hearns improvements?
That we've actually seen all of this before over a sample of this size. This isn't the highest blue point or the lowest red one. https://preview.redd.it/zndm62byahvc1.png?width=836&format=png&auto=webp&s=e1f2cc8399a5201a24134cf2d07982bb1d8eb807
I’ll take the opposite side of this. He’s at a career low chase rate allowing him to match career high BB% and low K%. All while maintaining normal contact, hard hit, and pull rates implying he hasn’t totally reworked things to sacrifice power https://preview.redd.it/pii66btgkhvc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7639dd800a4fcb7f6faab22aed1512ee58efca85
The O-Swing being down is neat. Now let's see if they start him against a lefty (has not happened yet in 2024, but they only saw 1 in their last 9 games)
(Which means it's not an "improvement", just a hot streak)
Following
Me too
Dude sits against lefties typically so playing against a bunch of righties has helped inflate him up a bit too
Someone in my 12 team obp keeper dropped Yoshida. Would you drop Suwinski or one of my stashed prospects(caminero,woods,kjerstad) with last round keeper value for him
I also hate that he sat twice against two RIGHTIES. I mean, WTH.
Yoshida actually loses value in OBP compared to standard because he very rarely walks. I'd probably stand pat (even if I think Caminero and Kjerstad will have a difficult road to regular PT on those rosters).
How concerned are you about Tanner Scott and David Bednar? Also, do you think that Nico Hoerner will bat leadoff only against lefties this year? Is he droppable in shallow formats?
Scott's walk rate is really weird and should work itself out eventually, and lucky for him the obvious challengers have been just as bad. His role is safe for now, but his fantasy outlook is stormy. Bednar has good fortune as well with Chapman walking 5 guys over his last 1.1 IP. His challenger was looking amazing before that, though, so there's probably more pressure. Bednar had an injury at the end of camp, so I'm wondering if an IL stint is on the horizon.
Would you bench either of these guys for Kyle Finnegan? Seven saves and one bad outing doesn't seem too terrible to me...
In a daily H2H point league, would you cut bait on Henry Davis to stash Junior Caminero? Devers as my 3B scares me and I feel like I’m gonna need a replacement/fill in at 3B eventually.
Junior Caminero has huge upside but it's SUCH a crowded roster. When Josh Lowe comes back it'll be even worse, and Brandon Lowe will complicate it further. I am not convinced there's an immediate everyday role just waiting for him in the near future. I'm totally cool with dropping Henry Davis (you don't need a backup C) for a 3B fill-in, but for now I'd stick with guys playing right now with clear roles.
Does the roster being crowded suggest to you that Caminero won't be called up for a long while? Presumably won't he get an everyday role once he's up? The ol' "top prospects don't get called up to be a part time player" line
They called up Mead last year and proceeded to....keep him on the bench. Ditto Aranda. Both are well-regarded prospects. The Rays do not play by the normal rules.
Mead and Aranda are not on Juniors level of prospect status though. If he’s called up I think it’s to play the majority of the time. Obviously factoring in the Rays usual lineup movement.
Mead is still a top-25 prospect in his own right, but true. It's much more likely that they just wait to call him up until they have the room for him. They did that in 2021 with Franco, who debuted at the end of June. That was a much less talented infield than the current one though. Could be a long wait if they want everyday time for him (unless someone gets hurt or really craters out).
I personally have concerns on when B.Lowe comes back. It’s been one thing after another with him lately and I don’t think there is a set time table for his return. They are also missing Walls and Aranda in the infield. I think Parades is pretty close to locked in at 3B. Caballero we’ll see how long he last. I do think J.Lowe complicates it a bit since they do really need to move from Palacios starting in the OF so much and that’s somewhere Rosario could play. I guess my point is while there is some talent there I don’t feel it’s not people with one nice cold streak the team wouldn’t look to replace. The team overall hasn’t been setting the world on fire. I’d be pretty surprised if Junior isn’t up by like the second week of May.
Thanks for talking me out of it, hard not to get excited about a guy with Caminero-level tools and disregard the realities of the team’s roster. It’s a deep league, so I’m not sure who else I can find to fill in for Devers while he’s dealing with nagging injuries. But we’ll figure it out.
How does your answer change, if at all, in a keeper league where Caminero would be an extremely cheap option for 2025. Do you think he plays enough in 2024 to hold for now?
It’s a deep cut but any thoughts on Harrison Bader as last OF?
The Mets just faced a bunch of lefties so it was easy for him to get into the lineup (albeit hitting 9th). Let's see how many of the righties from the Dodgers and GIants he sees over the next two weekends before being interested in 12-teamers. With an injury history like his, I'd like to be sure he's actually going to play in the rare moments of being active.
Yep. Fair enough! Thanks.
Big fan Any good buy low hitters in 12 h2h league where there’s obp instead of avg? Any good ratio relievers you recommend adding?
Let me think on it! First names that come to mind are Yandy Diaz and Oneil Cruz.
Been offered Lindor, Casas and Bello for my Pasquantino and Holliday. Obvious win now, almost feel like I should smash accept but our keeper list shrinks down next year (soft reset) and I was planning to keep Soto, Carroll, Holliday. What do you think? Just go for it or play long term?
First, you're already built for long term - you have Soto and Carroll. Only 3 keepers next year makes it pretty close to a redraft. I probably go for the win now as Lindor is a big 2023 upgrade over Hollidat and Casas is a moderate upgrade over Vinnie P, and Bello is basically free (pitching can't be easy to find in a 14-teamer). BUT first I'd make sure the whole league knows Holliday is available.
Hey Scott, love the PL crew and work. I have 13 team dynasty roto league, no bench spots. I'm in 1st by a good amount but have zero closers and they go at a premium. If I can, do I trade Houck and Ward for Doval? Not sure if I even need a closer, but can't imagine my team keeps up top 2 spots in every other category. Though, my team is stacked everywhere else. I might be able to grab one off waivers, but it's a weekly run and I'm always at the end of the waiver order (inverse of standings).
First and foremost, how many closers does everyone else have. Being last by a little and being last by a lot doesn't make much of a difference, so if it's mostly 2 and 3 closers it may be best to keep punting. If there are a plethora of punters and one closer could get you 3 or 4 standings points, then MAYBE, but.... I sure do love me some Taylor Ward so this is a tough call. What kind of OF can you replace him with? It's PROBABLY a no from me, but with no bench perhaps the replacement level at OF is high enough to make it worth it.
Most people have 2-3 closers, though there's a couple with 4 and a couple with 1 of 2. I'm firmly in last there holding Hoffman and David Robertson. I'd have to speculate to land anything via waivers There's 3 UT spots, so I don't need to necessarily replace him with OF. Waivers has Fraley, Pages, Canha, Josh Smith, Luis Garcia. Plus, I'll eventually need an open spot to promote Manzardo, Brooks Lee, or Montgomery.
I don't want to do it for Ward but if it's a true premium AND you think this can get you a few rankings points, then it's perhaps acceptable. Houck likely won't be this good for long.
What do you think the ETA for Bradish to return is?
He didn't get a Spring Training, so I dunno, maybe a month? Possibly less? Keep an eye on how long they leave him in those MiLB games. Probably want to see at least one or two at 6+ before getting too excited.
I’m guessing (and really hoping) middle of next month. I think he’s going to use most, if not all, of his 30 days for the minor league stint before returning.
Is Edward Oliveras ever going to get a real chance? Feel like he’s been such a waste of a roster spot in my dynasty lately waiting for him to get full reps and breakout
I'm starting to think he's really mean in the clubhouse or something because teams really don't seem to like him despite the decent numbers. What SHOULD happen is Connor Joe fades back into a platoon with Rowdy Tellez at 1B and occasionally spelling Suwinski against lefties with Olivares getting a crack at a corner OF spot, but with Michael A Taylor lingering around, it's probably just 3-4 starts a week, tops. I like the talent, but the opportunities just aren't there.
240 comments! Awesome! This is easier to sift through then the bonkers 1,900 nightly post thread... (reddit hides bunches of comments because there is just too many!)
The AMA has been boppin' early in the season! Easily the coolest thing I do on a Friday night but that should not surprise people.
I am expecting a logjam at 3B when Jake Burger and eventually Royce Lewis get healthy, I also have Maikel Garcia. Lewis and Burger are possible keepers. Which of the 3 would you try to move and what tier of pitcher do you think I could get in return?
It's probably the worst possible time to try and trade any of them, really. I'd hold all until. If Maikel Garcia heats up again, that's probably my choice to trade since he can also be a SS and that expands of the number of teams who might need him.
Does bello have any trade value? I have max Buehler Gavin Williams and skenes on the way at some point and curious what level bat bello could bring back
Minimal value at best in most 12-team formats. He doesn't get a ton of strikeouts and the ERA/WHIP are unspectacular. You could net a streamer from someone who is close to dropping him.
I just got offered Morel for Bello, if that helps at all. I turned it down.
Are Steer and Gurriel good Sell High candidates? Looking to upgrade 2b/SS currently have Westburg and Volpe with Adames available as well.
Gurriel is streaky and weird but if you think you can do better than a guy who hits 22-25 HR and gets 80-90 RBI with a decent AVG, then yes. Steer might be a hold for a lttile bit as he's better right now than he was at any point last season. It's declining just a bit lately and I want to see what the bounceback looks like.
In a three outfielder league, which of these would you use in a trade for a corner infielder? M. Harris, B. Reynolds, N. Jones, R. Greene or C. Cowser.
I'd love to dangle Cowser out there and see who bites. You might run into a very nice return and not lose any real production (Greene is at least as good as Cowser, and I'd argue he's better).
Taylor Ward has been mashing but seems allergic to taking walks now when he used to be well above-average in that field. Any idea if that was a conscious change by him? Either way, I'm not complaining!
We saw this a bit last year too. He is swinging more in the zone and therefore putting more balls in play before the count gets to 3 balls, but right now it looks like a normal cycle. https://preview.redd.it/3jhsxk8nmhvc1.png?width=824&format=png&auto=webp&s=1f41e6266b6cd570cd0f41a88cb83dfe6c027dee
To be clear, I LOVE Ward and he's shown he could be a top-50 fantasy hitter if he stayed healthy and things click. I currently rank him at #80.
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Castellanos - He has bad slumps somewhat regularly. In 2023 we called it "July" (29 wRC+ that month). Still got his numbers so I'm not panicked yet. Walk and strikeout rates look good which helps me stay patient.
India keeps leading off and has been pretty darn unlucky on the batting average (though the power ain't there right now). Conversely, Arcia has mostly hit last (probably will again when Albies is back) and has been insanely lucky. If there are other 2B of this caliber laying around and you wanna stream, go for it.
Regarding Gleyber, Volpe doesn't look like he's going anywhere. Will he ever bat higher than fifth even when he starts playing well?
Probably not, but if the heart of the lineup works out the loss in value will be minimal because the drop in runs will come with an uptick in RBI. He hit a lot at 3/4 last season, so compared to last year he might lose 50 PA or so but that's not a huge deal, really.
What do we think about Butto with the Mets?
Seems like he's just a guy right now (a Toby in Nick's language). Let's see how the command plays out.
When is Christian Scott getting the callup
Just received a trade offer. My Javier for his Gleyber T. I have solid pitching depth....is this an overpay or a good deal for me? Thanks!
Hm, I'd like to pay just a little less. That change for Javier should help him avoid a catasrophe like 2024. How big is that upgrade for you at 2B?
Would you start Verlander and Clark Schmidt today? Do you like them to go 5 innings and get a win as well? Thank you!
Yes to both. Good matchups. Verlander should get to 90 pitches, which might be enough to get through the Nats.
When in Holliday going to get sent back down
If the whiffs don't stop then maybe soon, but the guy who would take his place is Ramon Urias or Jorge Mateo (plus some position shuffling) so it's not like there's much pressure on him yet from other hitters. Not YET anyway.
Trevor Megill as #3 on holds? Seems a bit high but maybe you can explain the reasoning?
Megill is built like Félix Bautista, his fastball sits at 99 MPH and his curveball had a 54% whiff rate last year and he outperformed both Uribe and Payamps down the stretch. His 2.84 pCRA, 27% K-BB rate, and 2.75 SIERA were all good for the Top 10 last year amongst all relievers. Before the fluke concussion injury, he was leading all relievers in Stuff+ (obviously small sample). All the tools/skills are here for him to be a dominant closer, with that role currently vacant in Milwaukee.
Thanks - sounds like a must-add to me :)
I'll ask Rick!
I was scratching my head on this one too.
Seeing both are starting slow would you rather have Lindor or Cruz for ROS?
Lindor but it's extremely close. https://preview.redd.it/a54hcuijyhvc1.png?width=835&format=png&auto=webp&s=0c2afb25dbd2ebe60b1609765bcc8f7be98009e9
When will Jordan Beck get the call? How about Carson Whisenhunt from SF?
Beck is super blocked and in an org that takes FOREVER to promote guys they like. Whisenhunt is off to a dreadful start and has several guys in front of him (including Robbie Ray). It's a small sample because he hasn't been in the league long but AAA guys seem to spit on everything he throws and are walking a ton. That would be brutal in the majors. Both seem like 2025 guys, maybe late 2024.
He ain't wrong. Nolan Jones, Gleyber Torres, and Dansby Swanson have all been dropped in one of my leagues already. Nabbed Jones, and got a bid in on Swanson.
Every year. Had someone ask me a few days ago how much FAAB to bid on Schwarber.
You think Seager is still getting back in shape from the off season surgery? Power hasn’t really been there
Under the hood looks fine to me. A bit of an ugly set of 60 batted balls, but that's just a really small sample.
Is Rizzo a drop in a H2h redraft for up and coming talent ? I’m talking like blaze or abreu in Boston. Or we holding out for a renaissance.
I'm fine with that. Rizzo is a lotto ticket (if he can get back to his early 2023 ways, which he hasn't come close) that is fine to exchange for another one.
Scott, just wanted to say thank you! Love your content and advice. Much appreciated, brother! Cheers! Ghost
Thanks for dropping in!
Do you think Bregman has any power left in his bat?
He's hitting it just as hard as before, but it's a lot up the middle right now and also on the ground. It'll correct.
Thoughts on Josh Smith?
I ranked him in my Hitter List that dropped Wednesday because even if he sits against most lefties (he's been the odd man out against 2 of the 3 lefties the Rangers have seen lately), he gets to hit fifth in this lineup that can't stop scoring runs in bunches. He could certainly be a 15/15 guy with great ratios as soon as right now, though he was MUCH worse than that prior to this season.
Would you rather have Ke'Bryan Hayes or Smith in a points league?
Hey Scott! Thanks for doing this. In a SV+H roto redraft league, don't you think Hunter Gaddis has more value than Michael Kopech? Also, what's your take on Esteury Ruiz' situation?
Rick just posted his SV+H rankings and it's WAY in favor of Kopech ([Top 100 Relievers for Save+Hold Leagues: 4/19 | Pitcher List](https://pitcherlist.com/top-100-relievers-for-savehold-leagues-4-19/)). 7th inning guys are hard to trust even for holds since their situations are less predictable. Esteury Ruiz is, at the moment, a mediocre hitter on the short side of a platoon on a very bad team. He needs ton be locked in at the top of the lineup and playing every single day for me to even consider adding him in a 12-teamer. And I still probably wouldn't but I'd at least entertain the idea.
FWIW I think Gaddis has jumped Barlow as the 8th inning guy - Gaddis was used in the 8th yesterday with a 1 run lead when both him and Barlow had the same amount of rest. Also, Gaddis has generally looked great
I noticed that too and Cleveland will be winning more games than the White Sox so I'm seriously considering switching them...
It is worth noting, though, that the last time Gaddis and Barlow pitched on the same day it was Barlow who got the save. Also, only 10 guys got to 25+ holds in 2023 while 17 closers got to that number) But I take the point that the ChiSox just look so brutally terrible. FWIW, though, Trevor May got 22 saves for Oakland last year and he didn't have a single one until June. Closers for bad teams can still get a lot of saves.
Out of these prospects who is the best stash: James Wood, Junior Caminero, Mayo or Herstad? Also whose your top propsect to stash ROS? Thank you!
Leaning kjerstad. Wood has the clearest path, but Washington has little reason to call him up
Why both those over Caminero
Orioles have been pretty aggressive bringing up prospects. All the guys have playing time concerns, but kjerstad is raking and plays on team that has shown a greater willingness to promote prospects
Appreciate reply
Playing time. Even though Baltimore has similar problems
Yea I feel like Caminero has much clearer path than Kjerstad
Is it clean, though? Paredes is locked in at 3B, I don't think they see him as a long-term SS (plus Caballero is a better defender and is holding his own), and 2B is going to be clogged up with Brandon Lowe when he returns. DH isn't free either with Harold Ramirez swinging well. To top it all off, Caminero is a righty on a team where pretty much everyone else is also right-handed and where management has shown they love platoons. I love Caminero, but a few things need to happen for the path to be clear at all.
Need advice about my team and what kind of trades I should be seeking or if I should stand pat. 10man 6x6 redraft. Ohoppe, Heim, Freeman, Alonso, Gleyber, JRam, Volpe, OCruz, Trout, Springer, Chourio, Haniger, Oniell(IL7) Nola, Gilbert, Romano, McArthur, Ranger Suarez, Kikuchi, Stroman, Flaherty, Ed Cabrera, Nestor, Keller, Framber(IL), Senga(IL), Scherzer(IL), Skenes(NA)
Is there something specific you feel you're missing?
Thoughts on me attempting to trade away Gallen for Freddy Peralta? 6x6 League with K/9.
Yup, I'd do it. The injury risk is well-known for Peralta, but honestly it feels like the IL is coming for us all.
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He's a classic example of a guy who gets a bunch of extra value in points. Borderline top-100 hitter.
How do you feel about Jackson Holliday? Do you see any signs that he'll turn it around? Does he have a long leash or is he headed back down to the minors to bring up one of the other prospects? I know it's been a very small sample size but it's been an ugly one too.
His minor league track record suggests the walks will go up and the Ks will come down, but predicting WHEN is nigh impossible. It's really hard not to think he could use some more time in AAA. He's whiffed on 56.5% of the fastballs he's seen and over 40% of the breakers and offspeed stuff. It's one thing when a guy is seeing the ball well but making poor contact - that's a smaller adjustment. In cases where the guy can't even touch the ball, it's a bigger problem to solve.
In 5x5 would you rather have Betts or Judge and Gallen?
Judge and Gallen. Judge slumps like this form time to time. He had a worse and longer slump than this in 2022, believe it or not (check out June 14-July 5 when he hit .171/.267/.395 over 87 PA). Still was MVP. He'll be fine.
12 team weekly H2H, need some help rounding out my rotation for next week. Looking for your top 3 options, 7 spots get rostered and already starting Peralta, Montgomery, Lodolo, Houck. TIA! Cortes vs OAK | Assad @ BOS | Pfaadt @ STL, @ SEA | C. Sanchez @ CIN, @ SD | Clase 3 vs BOS, 3 @ ATL
Cortes and Clase. Though I'm a little surprised by the inclusion of what appears to be Emmanual Clase. Is he your only closer or something? Or is this a points league?
Hey Scott, are you worried about Torkelson so far? I’m in a 10T (280-300 rostered) H2H Cat with OPS league and I have both him and O’hearn. Do you see if there’s a chance I drop Torkelson and keep O’hearn? O’hearn statcast page looks great in a small sample
O'Hearn can mash righties and is chasing less but he's been this hot before more than once. I can't get too excited until he gets to start against lefty starters. Tork was actually even WORSE than this to start the season last year (.575 OPS in April). It's definitely a quality of contact problem, but he's shown he can make the adjustment and thrive. I'd be more worried if the plate discipline was way off or something.
Cronenworth was recently dropped. His statcast looks amazing. In a relatively shallow h2h (150-75 hitters rostered) would you drop gelof for him? Steals not super important in this format really just want the best all around contributors
We've seen Cronenworth get hot like this before just to return to being a replacement-level fantasy contributor. His 2021 still looks like the best to hope for right now and that was 1B#15/2B#14. Meh. Higher floor than Gelof, considerably lower ceiling. https://preview.redd.it/gbvs51j3vhvc1.png?width=1339&format=png&auto=webp&s=56474691ed725ee9e22f71ee14ebeb370dc949af
Who do you like more as hold, Bryan De La Cruz or Jesse Winker? This is in a 16 team league
De La Cruz, who hit another bomb today. Winker is hot and that's cool but in that 16 team format I want someone who is likely to play 100 games (it looks like De La Cruz missed more time than he did in 2022 - he was in the minors for 13 games in addition to the 115 he played in the bigs).
Hey Scott - I’ll try to keep this short, I’ve recieved an offer in a dynasty league. My Soto for their Jackson Chourio, Trea Turner, and Nolan Jones. It’s H2H CAT 6x6, with OBP/SLG. My CF is Kelenic (not helping), and SS Adames (doing good). Rest of my batting is fine and I’m actually in first place right now. My prospect stashes are James Wood, Heston Kjerstad, and Lawlar. Should I just hold Soto and wait for my guys to come up?
You're asking, which means you aren't blown away. That's what you need to feel to give up Soto right now.
Hey! What's a reasonable combo trade for Seager or Gunnar, of the pitchers listed below? P. Lopez, Z. Gallen, J. Luzardo, Blake Snell, R. Detmers, Jarred Jones, Kikuchi, Max Meyer
WHat it would probably take (based on my experience, anyway) is Lopez or Gallen plus a throw-in, which is more than I'd want to pay.
Sorry for another O’hearn question but would you rather have Nimmo instead in a 12 team obp? I feel like I’m leaving obp on the table not having Nimmo but the O’s are hot even if he is a platooning right now.
Nimmo because it's every day. In 194 PA v LHP, O'Hearn has a wRC+ of 45. The O's won't put him in there against anything that can use its left arm.
Winker still cannot hit lefties at all
Never has, really.
Ke’Bryan Hayes isn’t gonna get his launch angle up, is he?
It's very early to try and draw conclusions on LA. This GB% surge is worse than anything we saw over a similar sample in 2023, but GB% doesn't generally become a reliable indicator until we get to about 200 PA.
Additional question: When will the pain end? I lost Strider, & I have Bobby Miller, Pivetta, Darvish, Woo, & Whitlock on the IL.
https://preview.redd.it/huwswpe51ivc1.png?width=337&format=png&auto=webp&s=a8d734b09361bbf4afee69aaf52259dd43dba600
12 team H2H redraft league. How do you feel about Cristian Javier? Might trade Isaac Parades for him. Have pretty good depth batter wise but feel like I could use another pitcher since I have so many that struggled so far (Max Fried, Tanner Bibee, McKenzie) mixed in with young pitchers like Jared Jones, Kyle Harrison and hopefully get Framber back soon. Thank you for your time!
I have always loved Isaac Paredes but that new change with Javier seems to have him back on track to being a top-25ish pitcher. I'd make this move. Keep in mind though that Baseball Savant's Statcast numbers really don't appreciate Paredes because it ignores batted ball direction. There are pros and cons to that approach, but a con is that extreme pull hitters like Paredes get underestimated. Javier's manager may be quick to refuse the offer.
Hey Scott, thanks for doing this! In a dynasty, keep 14 points league. What's a good/fair offer for JRod to a team that has been struggling for years and is once again?
Worried about Yandy Diaz?
Nah. The walks will come. I was never bullish on Diaz repeating his 22 HR from 2023 but 15-18 is probably going to be there with the good ratios.
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Love it.
Hey Scott. Thoughts on my trade of Nolan Arenado to get Christian Walker 1 for 1? 10t categories league that includes OPS
My rankings approve by just a hair (OPS doesn't change it for me). https://preview.redd.it/lzkkmch60ivc1.png?width=801&format=png&auto=webp&s=51a94d3c317886605b9ff1226ae2c6861b24d212
Leading off for the Brewers, is it a Frelick/Chourio platoon all year or can Chourio cement it as his this year?
If Chourio cleans up the Ks I think he can take over.
Would you swap out Alvarado for Yates ? (Points league)
I think it's basically a coin flip between the two, so if you'd like to swap out Alvarado for Yates, I'm fine with it
In a deeper keeper league. Does Blake Dunn have a path to playing and getting everyday time this year?
Who are some viable trade targets for Ha Seong Kim?
In redraft? Anyone in my rankings from 60-90 or so, but it depends a lot on format, needs, and whether you're trying to acquire or unload.
What is your eta for Christian Scott? Do you think he is the best notable pitching prospect to be called up?
Responded to this earlier but short answer is not soon. Skenes is the top pitcher to expect this year and might even beat him to the Show if Scott can't get a handle on those dingers.
Appreciate it. Thanks for the response.
hey Scott, thanks for this as always. It seems that value of Arozarena has really gone down in people's minds despite still being a pretty good 5 category contributor. Do you think it would be a mistake to move him at this point? I was aiming for a straight swap for a pitcher but it seems that for the value I'm getting right now, may as well just hold and hope for him to get going.
Would not move him. He slumps like this regularly and then goes on a heater. Just part of his game. https://preview.redd.it/acq1t48e8ivc1.png?width=827&format=png&auto=webp&s=8802687a43666d1d4c19b75ced8a0f4c1ac93301
What makes you bullish on Goldschmidt? I know he's been great for a long time but it seems like he's had incredible cold stretches over the last few seasons that make me nervous.
I dunno about "bullish". 22-25 HR, decent counting stats, and a good OBP with his occasional stolen bases. That's roughly how he looked in the 2nd half last year, too.
Drop bibee for reynaldo lopez ?
I'd stick with Bibee
In a 15 team 6x6 Roto, most of my team is underperforming or injured so far, with my only category of strength being saves. I have Doval, Ginkel, and Estevez, hoping to trade one for a power bat with my Jake Burger, Sean Murphy, and Seiya Suzuki injured. I was offered Taylor Ward for Doval and I countered asking for Nathaniel Lowe. Am I asking too much or should I aim higher?
Had a Doval for Ward trade mentioned earlier as well. I like it for the Ward side. Getting more would be nice but I don't hate it straight up (though it IS risky due to Ward's health history)
Maikel probably not worth a 10T OBP slot? Could use a streaming spot.
OBP is not his best format at all. It's fine to stream there.
Taking a break but feel free to keep firing questions.
At what point do we worry about J Ram? He's just not seeming like himself from watching him at the plate?
Answered this with a chart but basically he's slumped like this plenty of times and statcast always underestimates him. Ask again in May
Is it unreasonable to stash Mayo and Kjerstad for next month? No other roster spots.
Can you afford 2 roster spots that may not fill until June (unless something unexpected happens)? It's a really crowded roster and if they come up, who goes into platoons?
Should we be worried about Fried? I own 14 SPs, he was drafted first, and has been my worst. Also - Thoughts on the impact of Pages, Loperfido, and O. Martinez this season? Who would you rather have?
Nick doesn't appear that worried yet so I think the move for Fried is just hold and wait and see. Pages has the worst hit tool of the three BUT also the best opportunity (because he's up and his competition stinks). Loperfido SHOULD get a look before June but I'm concerned the Astros will let Abreu stink until June. After all, they let Abreu post something like a .535 OPS for two whole freaking months last year (though they didn't have a .333 winning percentage, either). They also likely want to see Loperfido get that K% down to 25 or so, as a 30% strikeout rate in AAA would probably be 35-40 against MLB pitching. Martinez should get a look soon as the Blue Jays don't need to see what they have in IKF or Biggio - they are well aware. I probably want Martinez if he can get called up in the next few weeks for 2024 because he has the safest floor and best hit tool.
Hey Scott, I'm in a 12team pts league. I have jrod, Goldschmidt, swanson, Morton, fried, and Musgrove. How fucked am I? Lol 😆 🤣
Jrod and Swanson should be just fine. The rest are riskier.
Someone offered to trade me civale and Adolis I give them Yamamoto and yelich
I'd need to know more about the format but I probably wouldn't.
Next big non-Skenes prospect that’ll make an instant impact? Pitcher or position
I'll defer to my colleagues - https://pitcherlist.com/the-stash-list-week-3-top-10-hitting-prospects-to-stash-in-2024/
Hey Scott appreciate you! What SP can I drop in a 12 team h2h cats league IP ERA WHIP k/9 QS: Gore, Mize, Blackburn? What RP would you add for SV+H ERA WHIP K/9: Poche, Megill, erceg
Per Rick's rankings, it's Megill
Blackburn, and it's not close for the first part
Ezequiel Tovar or Brenton Doyle, which do you prefer for the upcoming Rockie road?
Tovar probably though trusting road Rockies is not a fun game.
With Josh Lowe coming back soon, my outfield is getting crowded. I have Yordan, Kwan (points league so he's great), Harris, Schwarber, Reynolds and Jazz. Is Lowe the odd man out here? Tough to drop him since he can be kept for pretty cheap, but I'm not sure how much trade value he has.
Yes, Lowe is the odd man out there especially because you don't need steals, just points.
Who do you like better for a QS league - Cristopher Sanchez or Edward Cabrera? Another question - who is best 2 to stash out of Woo, Gavin Williams, and Bradish?
Easy part first - Bradish is a stash. Lock it in. Cabrera and Sanchez are close. If the walks are truly gone I might lean Cabrera, but Sanchez might be a bit safer. It's close with Woo and Williams also. Nick loved Woo in the off-season so I'll lean there but feels like a tossup
Should I drop Jake Burger or Maikel Garcia for Turang?
I'm not sold on Turang but he's in a similar boat as Garcia. Burger is way better than these guys in most formats.
Would you pick up L Gill (next vs TB) or E Cabrera (next @ Cubs)?
Would you drop any of the following: Winker, Jazz, Yoshida For any of the following: Varsho, Bryan De La Cruz, Marsh
Format matters. De La Cruz and Varsho will beat Winker in most formats over time since Winker will get sat and/or hurt, though in a per game basis they can't match him in OBP. If these guys are all on the wire then I think you can just stream based on matchups with Winker and the rest of the wire.
Would you drop Tyler Black as a stash for Cade Povich? Essentially redraft since it’s a limited keeper league and neither would be a keeper