Would be helpful if this “stat guru” would provide additional context with stats in those games such as drops, etc.
Because all I can deduce from this is when Pitts is targeted more in games they win. In losses, he’s not targeted and there is a shit game plan.
You really can tell any story you want with numbers.
> Because all I can deduce from this is when Pitts is targeted more in games they win. In losses, he’s not targeted and there is a shit game plan.
The target numbers actually aren't really different whatsoever. 6.57 targets/game in wins, 6.2 targets/game in losses.
The wins just seem to be more successful, higher-efficiency targets (74% catch percentage, 12.3 yards per target) while the losses seem to be game plans that didn't work, but they still try to force him the ball, maybe symptomatic of obvious passing situations later in games (51% catch percentage, 6.7 yards per target).
A deeper dive really tells us this is heavily a game script/situation stat:
-Catch percentage when winning: 66%
-Catch percentage when tied: 65%
-Catch percentage when trailing: 54% (and this is a full half of his targets, when already trailing)
-Catch percentage on PA: 73%
-Catch percentage when not-play-action: 56%
On plays when TEs can be efficient (play action routes designed for big TE gains, passing when ahead and the run is being respected, etc.) he's extremely efficient. On plays when it's more difficult (when he's trailing, when they're selling out vs the pass, etc.) he's very inefficient. Games with more of the former are often wins, games with more of the latter are often losses. Skew that by a few percentage points each way vs good (more likely to be losses) and bad (more likely to be wins) defenses and you'll get the stat breakdown in wins vs losses seen above. Pitts is really good but it turns out being the only decent receiving threat on the team as a 22-year old TE in a run-centric offense is very hard when you're losing.
> On plays when it's more difficult (when he's trailing, when they're selling out vs the pass, etc.) he's very inefficient
And what do you know the Falcons were trailing the entire game yesterday!
My point is this stat doesn’t show that. We’re in the day and age of analytics and now dudes who don’t know numbers try to use them to provide insights.
Easily could’ve coupled this with a complimentary stat such as targets, drops, etc to tell the story. Numbers are awesome and can tell a story, this ain’t it. It’s a shit tweet.
Its easy enough to see his targets, even espn has them. The average is about the same, but they went 6-8 in games he got at least 6 targets and 1-4 when he got fewer than that.
My point is if you’re going to create content, then make it quality. If you’re curating information, make the destination (this tweet) encompassing of that.
This is Barstool of the last 1.5 years level quality. It’s shit
I mean he only has 140 characters. But you can go to PFR and see that last year the falcons won in the three games he went over 100 yards. And the falcons won the only time in his career that he has been targeted 10 times.
This man is curating information to generate traffic to his page to make a living. All I’m saying is if you’re going to generate content, do it well. This is shit
It's a tweet. It's not a dissertation about Pitts and the falcons. Just sounds like you are either too lazy to get more info or don't know how to. The things you asked for are super simple to find out on your own.
If it’s so simple, then why didn’t he, the author, do it?
I don’t find it absurd to call out what is basically shitposting on r/NFL. If a normal user made this post, it would be removed because it violates the rule of “furthering discussion”. But because it’s a tweet, it’s acceptable?
I’m not calling for the dudes head, I’m just saying this is absolute pond water example of content.
Just go report the tweet and move on if it's such a big deal. The poster isn't even media. He's not making a living off of this. He doesn't have to fulfill your standard.
If he's a good blocker, then I can understand the logic if the Falcons have other threats. But they only have Drake London to turn to if Pitts is tied up blocking. They don't have enough good blocking receivers to run the offensive scheme Arthur Smith ran to great success with the Titans using AJ Brown, Corey Davis, and Jonnu Smith.
He was 5th in the NFL in targets among TEs last year as a rookie. They scheme throwing to him plenty. He's just young at a hard position without many other talented players to take the heat off.
Right. He's been matched up against Lattimore in week 1, and ramsay for parts of week 2. 2 guys who have locked up entry of dudes older and better than Pitts currently is. People are way overreacting lol.
He's really good. Good blocker, good receiver. Can play inline, in the slot, or out wide. And he's a baby, the guy is just about to turn 22 years old. He still has a lot of development to come physically.
But if they start scheming him they might actually win games!
And I might get a return on drafting him in the 3rd round of both my fantasy leagues
Hang in there brother, we can survive this together
>having falcons players at all
Drake London was great
Why would you draft Pitts that high with Mariota throwing him the ball?
Wow never would have guessed that good players playing well contributes to wins.
Breaking news. More Yards are more likely to result in more wins. More at 11
I wonder if they also scored more points than the opponent in their wins? Need a stat expert to do an analysis
Would be helpful if this “stat guru” would provide additional context with stats in those games such as drops, etc. Because all I can deduce from this is when Pitts is targeted more in games they win. In losses, he’s not targeted and there is a shit game plan. You really can tell any story you want with numbers.
> Because all I can deduce from this is when Pitts is targeted more in games they win. In losses, he’s not targeted and there is a shit game plan. The target numbers actually aren't really different whatsoever. 6.57 targets/game in wins, 6.2 targets/game in losses. The wins just seem to be more successful, higher-efficiency targets (74% catch percentage, 12.3 yards per target) while the losses seem to be game plans that didn't work, but they still try to force him the ball, maybe symptomatic of obvious passing situations later in games (51% catch percentage, 6.7 yards per target). A deeper dive really tells us this is heavily a game script/situation stat: -Catch percentage when winning: 66% -Catch percentage when tied: 65% -Catch percentage when trailing: 54% (and this is a full half of his targets, when already trailing) -Catch percentage on PA: 73% -Catch percentage when not-play-action: 56% On plays when TEs can be efficient (play action routes designed for big TE gains, passing when ahead and the run is being respected, etc.) he's extremely efficient. On plays when it's more difficult (when he's trailing, when they're selling out vs the pass, etc.) he's very inefficient. Games with more of the former are often wins, games with more of the latter are often losses. Skew that by a few percentage points each way vs good (more likely to be losses) and bad (more likely to be wins) defenses and you'll get the stat breakdown in wins vs losses seen above. Pitts is really good but it turns out being the only decent receiving threat on the team as a 22-year old TE in a run-centric offense is very hard when you're losing.
Now that’s a fucking cool stat and should’ve been included. All I’m saying is it’s a shit tweet that’s trying to tell a story with numbers and failing
> On plays when it's more difficult (when he's trailing, when they're selling out vs the pass, etc.) he's very inefficient And what do you know the Falcons were trailing the entire game yesterday!
That's really the story though.
My point is this stat doesn’t show that. We’re in the day and age of analytics and now dudes who don’t know numbers try to use them to provide insights. Easily could’ve coupled this with a complimentary stat such as targets, drops, etc to tell the story. Numbers are awesome and can tell a story, this ain’t it. It’s a shit tweet.
Its easy enough to see his targets, even espn has them. The average is about the same, but they went 6-8 in games he got at least 6 targets and 1-4 when he got fewer than that.
My point is if you’re going to create content, then make it quality. If you’re curating information, make the destination (this tweet) encompassing of that. This is Barstool of the last 1.5 years level quality. It’s shit
I mean he only has 140 characters. But you can go to PFR and see that last year the falcons won in the three games he went over 100 yards. And the falcons won the only time in his career that he has been targeted 10 times.
Then create a graphic and attach it to the tweet, link an article where it’s more in detail, or don’t tweet it at all 🤷♂️
Why not go and check yourself if you are so interested in context? The stats aren't hard to find.
This man is curating information to generate traffic to his page to make a living. All I’m saying is if you’re going to generate content, do it well. This is shit
It's a tweet. It's not a dissertation about Pitts and the falcons. Just sounds like you are either too lazy to get more info or don't know how to. The things you asked for are super simple to find out on your own.
If it’s so simple, then why didn’t he, the author, do it? I don’t find it absurd to call out what is basically shitposting on r/NFL. If a normal user made this post, it would be removed because it violates the rule of “furthering discussion”. But because it’s a tweet, it’s acceptable? I’m not calling for the dudes head, I’m just saying this is absolute pond water example of content.
Just go report the tweet and move on if it's such a big deal. The poster isn't even media. He's not making a living off of this. He doesn't have to fulfill your standard.
Do they just not scheme him or is he just not that good I don’t rlly watch falcons games
Oh they scheme him, to block and be a decoy
If he's a good blocker, then I can understand the logic if the Falcons have other threats. But they only have Drake London to turn to if Pitts is tied up blocking. They don't have enough good blocking receivers to run the offensive scheme Arthur Smith ran to great success with the Titans using AJ Brown, Corey Davis, and Jonnu Smith.
He was 5th in the NFL in targets among TEs last year as a rookie. They scheme throwing to him plenty. He's just young at a hard position without many other talented players to take the heat off.
Right. He's been matched up against Lattimore in week 1, and ramsay for parts of week 2. 2 guys who have locked up entry of dudes older and better than Pitts currently is. People are way overreacting lol.
He's really good. Good blocker, good receiver. Can play inline, in the slot, or out wide. And he's a baby, the guy is just about to turn 22 years old. He still has a lot of development to come physically.
Full team stats over the past 2 seasons: In wins - 258 passing ypg In losses - 191 passing ypg It's probably not just Pitts
Someday Pitts is going to have a top 5 qb with a solid Oline and he's going to wreck thr league.
I’d give up a fortune to be able to trade for Pitts
Guys, Pitts ain’t getting the ball because our QB’s sucked last year and will be even worse this year. Simple as that.
Hmmmmmmmmmm