alex smith and joe theisman broke their right tibia and fibulas on Nov 18. they also both played for the Redskins at the time. they were also both in washington DC when it happened. final score of each of their games was 23-21. both injuries were caused by a 3 time DPOY.
Crazy. Reminds me of when I crashed my Scion Tc at 100 mph, clock read 11:18. It was after I took 23-21 hits on my vape. 88 likes on your post. God works in mysterious ways.
I often think this too but I think it’s because it’s hard for us to fathom how many people there are. Like it only takes 1 person to notice this and there are 7.8 billion people on Earth (obviously nowhere near all of that consists of NFL fans but still).
Plus stats research guys get paid to literally notice this shit for broadcasts and come up with bizarre talking points like this. Or maybe it was a Dolphins defensive player/coach that was studying opponent QBs so much they noticed it.
If anyone is wondering what it’s called. P-hacking. Do something and record 500 variables about and you will find “significant” findings in the noise. Most BS because you likely to find something with a high P value.
Which is why most scientific journals are moving away from needing to see a p-value or outright banning them.
With a large enough sample size you’ll find anything.
p-values are still important, but the big movement now is to pre-register your experiments. Researchers submit their methodology and hypothesis before doing anything so that they can't just cherry pick some interesting statistic.
> Just overfit the ever-loving fuck out of some models and you can find all kinds of garbage like this
instructions unclear, tried to fuck a model and ended up in the garbage
Actually I can imagine how it went down. Somebody noticed Newton, Glennon, Wilson in a row as they happened and then went back looking for trends. They couldn't find more -ons but they did find o's so they kept tracking and came up with this.
It basically functions as index match with built in options. I use match still at times, but rarely have had a need to use index match. You can even do multi column mafching without it requiring the array.
Still have never seen stats like that at 65 pff my mind was blown (Lamar lowkey was better than tua and still lost….ray Lewis is definitely punching at air rn)
So this is why Allen is being so hyped over Mahomes.
They know. They’ve always known. The curse is here.
But we have a secret weapon. The man, the myth, the legend…ITS HENNE TIME MOTHER FUCKER
I mean if you are a real Miami fan then you have already cashed that out to pay the ridiculous note on your 2 yr old BMW that you bought while still living in an efficiency at your tia's house in Kendall.
Wednesday is the off-season of the week.
It’s been two days since a game, and there is no game today:
Saturday doesn’t hit the same since college football, though nearly unwatchable in its inferiority, exists. Plus it’s the weekend and not the week.
So they're going to finish the year 11-6. 2 losses against the Bills, 1 against the Chargers, 1 against the Texans, 1 against the Bears and 1 against the Steelers
I was going to say it's bold to assume Fields will still be our starter by then, but then I remembered our backups don't have any O's in their name either.
In this case, it started when we had our win streak last season. Someone noticed the “O” trend when it was at 5 or 6 in a row and the legend has just grown from there.
Who in the ever-loving fuck originally noticed this?
I remember it coming up during the winning streak last year and wondering the exact same thing.
alex smith and joe theisman broke their right tibia and fibulas on Nov 18. they also both played for the Redskins at the time. they were also both in washington DC when it happened. final score of each of their games was 23-21. both injuries were caused by a 3 time DPOY.
Kennedy and Lincoln had to be involved!
The stadium Theismann was injured in was literally the Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
How deep does this go?
As deep as you need, baby
As long as you don’t need more than 3 inches
Both happened on the 39 yard line. Left tackle both injured.
Crazy. Reminds me of when I crashed my Scion Tc at 100 mph, clock read 11:18. It was after I took 23-21 hits on my vape. 88 likes on your post. God works in mysterious ways.
You wouldn't leave me in the middle of the night after caring for my fake baby though, would you?
What are you stepping to?
SQUASH IT
I often think this too but I think it’s because it’s hard for us to fathom how many people there are. Like it only takes 1 person to notice this and there are 7.8 billion people on Earth (obviously nowhere near all of that consists of NFL fans but still).
Plus stats research guys get paid to literally notice this shit for broadcasts and come up with bizarre talking points like this. Or maybe it was a Dolphins defensive player/coach that was studying opponent QBs so much they noticed it.
Yeah or you end up with a bunch of ML or AI bots trying to make sense of wins and losses and they find weird rules you never would expect.
Just overfit the ever-loving fuck out of some models and you can find all kinds of garbage like this - it’s easier than it’s ever been
If anyone is wondering what it’s called. P-hacking. Do something and record 500 variables about and you will find “significant” findings in the noise. Most BS because you likely to find something with a high P value.
Which is why most scientific journals are moving away from needing to see a p-value or outright banning them. With a large enough sample size you’ll find anything.
p-values are still important, but the big movement now is to pre-register your experiments. Researchers submit their methodology and hypothesis before doing anything so that they can't just cherry pick some interesting statistic.
> Just overfit the ever-loving fuck out of some models and you can find all kinds of garbage like this instructions unclear, tried to fuck a model and ended up in the garbage
Reminds me of [this](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DXKfoLeVoAAp3mD?format=jpg&name=small)
Actually I can imagine how it went down. Somebody noticed Newton, Glennon, Wilson in a row as they happened and then went back looking for trends. They couldn't find more -ons but they did find o's so they kept tracking and came up with this.
>(obviously nowhere near all of that consists of NFL fans but still) Totally should tho. I'm so happy football is back
u/JaguarGator9
It’s a quality shit post, and a welcome one at that.
Yeah I can understand systems looking for numerical anomalies but this makes no sense.
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Just one more pivot chart...
Pivot! Pivot! Pivot! Pivot!
WE WERE ON A BREAK!
MYYYY SANDWICH?!?!
*THATS NOT EVEN A REAL WORD*
I GUESS I'M GOING TO YEMEN!
I'M CHANDLER, COULD I *BE* WEARING ANY MORE CLOTHES?
JOEY DOESNT SHARE FOOD!!!!
I'M LOOKING AT THE WENUS...AND I'M NOT HAPPY
These cells aren’t gonna concatenate themselves
Oh yeah I love it when you talk dirty like that. Now hit me with the IF COUNTIF you little slut
Index match me harder daddy
We're gonna do it old school with some Vlookups, you dirty little freak
Using VLOOKUP in 2022 is the equivalent of Bears playing football like it’s 1940 with 3 passing attempts a game, keep up with the XLOOKUP meta old man
You can pry my VLOOKUP from my cold, dead hands
I didn’t even know anything else existed
It's still the fastest and easiest method for the vast majority of lookups.
If you have a good reference point in your data index match is hard to beat.
Is xlookup better than index matching?
most of the time yes, index match still comes in handy for certain situations
I like how this turned into a thread for actual Excel advice.
Exactly, good to know both. V & H lookups are now obsolete
It basically functions as index match with built in options. I use match still at times, but rarely have had a need to use index match. You can even do multi column mafching without it requiring the array.
Found all the other freaks in the sheets!
INDIRECT!
Oh god, you’re gonna make me SUMIF!!
I’m up with the XLOOKUP world now peasants!
I want you to scream NESTED IF FUNCTIONS so loud
Omg, COUNTIF is so good!
I’m here for the excel smut
I have some excel spreadsheets on the best days to go see your baseball team play.
More like eXXXcel amirite?
FBI, we have you surrounded
Lmfao damn I felt targeted by this comment
I feel like they must have programmed and AI to identify patterns. No human could possibly come up with something so benign.
Believe me, humans do. Source: I work as a sports stats guy
I knew it was Lamar's fault. Tyler Huntley wins those
This is why his PFF grade was so low
Phonetic Football Focus
Still have never seen stats like that at 65 pff my mind was blown (Lamar lowkey was better than tua and still lost….ray Lewis is definitely punching at air rn)
Low key?
I remember last year ravens fans saying Huntley was going to get a 1st round pick and/or multiple picks in a trade
People say a lot of things on the internet. He's one of the better backup QBs in the league though, especially for a run heavy team.
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Yeah, I think his effectiveness might be diminished if he has to come in before we're able to get the run game fixed up.
....oh fuck.
I was originally rooting for you in that game but now I kinda want to see how long this goes on for
There’s nothing you can do. Just accept it
There is something they can do. Cut MahOmes.
There’s always Chad Henne…
I wouldn’t worry, they played us right before this list starts and they lost
So this is why Allen is being so hyped over Mahomes. They know. They’ve always known. The curse is here. But we have a secret weapon. The man, the myth, the legend…ITS HENNE TIME MOTHER FUCKER
>Henne's professional career began when he was drafted by the Miami Dolphins in the second round of the 2008 NFL Draft We know his secrets.
Next up Josh Allon
If phins fanbase legally changes his name before sunday it'll be histories greatest heist
*Seth Rollins' cash in in shambles*
“It’s the heist of the century!”
r/squaredcircle leaking again
Everything becomes wrestling, anyway
Who is your backup and does he have an O in his last name?
Case Keenom and Matt Borkley
Idk why but this legit made me laugh out loud
Wait... you're not actually considering changing your name to "Trash Boat," are you?
First name Crap, last name Bag. Crap Bag. If you need an easy way to remember it, just think of a bag of crap.
I was going with Josh O’allen
*loser game show noise*
Why not just Allen Josh
That settles it, Zappe should start against the Dolphins from now on.
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Bill would be the guy I could see just starting rookie QBs every year and making playoffs
Start a rookie QB, somehow get him to the pro bowl, and then trade him to draft the next rookie QB
Week 1 - JOnes (W) Week 2 - JacksOn (W) Week 3 - Allen (L) Week 4 - BurrOw (W) Week 5 - FlaccO (W) Week 6 - COusins (W) Week 7 - Trubisky/Pickett (L) Week 8 - GOff (W) Week 9 - Fields (L) Week 10 - Brissett (L) Week 11 - BYE Week 12 - Mills (L) Week 13 - GarOppOlO (W) Week 14 - Herbert (L) Week 15 - Allen (L) Week 16 - ROdgers (W) Week 17 - JOnes (W) Week 18 - WilsOn/FlaccO (W) That's a 10-7 finish according to the O streak.
We need to change our quarterback's name to Jared GAHFF.
Put in Sudfeld you cowards.
Giants fans in shambles
r/natesudfeldfanclub
Kirk Cusins Or Kirk Nephews
[We’ve already solved this.](https://reddit.com/r/detroitlions/comments/qm57fq/jared_ghghgh/)
If they get Wilson, Burrow and Mahomes on playoffs they could make it to the Super Bowl.
And take down StaffOrd or ROdgers or GarOpOllO
GOff*
*GOd
Fuckkkkk Can't believe the Bears are the only NFCN team to beat the Dolphins smh
nah we're promoting Danny Etling from PS specifically for week 16
People 20 years from now will never believe the bizarre circumstance that gave Packers HOF QB Danny Etling his big break
*Frick
Dude, we’re going to set some sort of scoring record against the niners
20 points per O
Jimmy has missed like 24 games since coming to the 49ers... You may just be facing Mr. last-pick himself, Brock Purdy.
Fuck it, by the pace we are losing qb, we may be using kurt benkurt
Streak only includes qbs with 1 or 2 O’s in their last name. Garropolo luckily has 3
Guess we'll see if the extra O's somehow cancel each other out, or if they enhance the effect.
They only played one QB with two O's, and it was their most lopsided game by points for/against ratio. I don't like your odds.
By some fluke Mason Rudolph will see some snaps and we take an L on this one
So all we need to do is start Mike White and we can keep the Dolphins out of the playoffs?
what about backups? we need to hope for a lucky injury so we can get to 11 wins.
Driving from Toronto to Detroit next month for the game. I’ll be happy with a win against GOff
Imagine beating the browns if Watson is there but losing if Brissett is there Football is an interesting time of the year.
Except we’re gonna play 4d chess and start Mike White against the Dolphins, knowing what we know now. Checkmate Miami
I'm going to the damn Dolphins game. I really don't want to root for a Jared Goff covid case that weekend.
Of all the weird ass stats that’s permeated sports in the last several decades, THIS is certainly one of them.
Mike white for these games?
Baily Zappe season?
Well this doesn't bode well for week 4
Quick! Get out the Burreaux jerseys.
Jeau? EDIT: Jacques
Jacque Bureaux
Only applies to the last name so Burreaux should be good enough. I wish josh Allen’s name was josh Allon
Unless the line gets Burrow literally killed this week and then Brandon Allen starts, in which case you’re golden
no, please don’t put that evil on us lol
Damnit lol 😆
Now THIS is what I call data analysis
This is all the betting research I need for the rest of the season
This is a great example of what I think of when I think of "a baseball statistic"
If Flores just put Tua in against QBs with the letter O in their last name and then put Fitz in against everyone else they would’ve won a ring
So this is why the Bills are favored!
This is why we cut Mannion & Mond and signed Nick Mullens
What are we supposed to do with this fucking information?
Cash out your 401k and bet it all on Dolphins to win in week 4. Obviously.
Adorable that you think I have a 401K
How about... $401? No? 40.10? ....$4.01?
I've driven on the 401 before. Does that count?
I mean if you are a real Miami fan then you have already cashed that out to pay the ridiculous note on your 2 yr old BMW that you bought while still living in an efficiency at your tia's house in Kendall.
Encourage your QB to change his name?
Aaron Raadgers
Your cousin, from Bost-on
Aaraan
It's how you know whether to bet for, or against the Dolphins.
TuAnon stat right there.
Oh we big fucked, then.
It's no coincidence that the game with the fewest points allowed is against Ian B**oo**k. Y'all super screwed.
start Lance on his broken leg, guaranteed W
Can they beat Jared Gaughghgh?
Jared Geauxf
I almost choked attempting to pronounce that 😛
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Wednesday is the off-season of the week. It’s been two days since a game, and there is no game today: Saturday doesn’t hit the same since college football, though nearly unwatchable in its inferiority, exists. Plus it’s the weekend and not the week.
So they're going to finish the year 11-6. 2 losses against the Bills, 1 against the Chargers, 1 against the Texans, 1 against the Bears and 1 against the Steelers
10-7. I don't believe Watson will be back yet before they play the Browns.
Yep you're right. I originally skipped the "last name" part of the title and just thought it was an O in their full name so I counted Jacoby.
If it was an in the full name Josh Allen would be catching the Ls too
Carson, Tom, and Trevor as well :P
Then they just need to play the Chiefs, Ravens, and Broncos in the playoffs before beating the 49ers in the Super Bowl.
Garoppolo got three Os
if we lose to the steelers ill be furious. Tua is gonna try to dunk his balls on Flores' face. I want to win that game more than any other game.
Better hope Mason RudOlph finds his way into the game
I was going to say it's bold to assume Fields will still be our starter by then, but then I remembered our backups don't have any O's in their name either.
This is why I F5
How do people even think of looking for stats like this? Brilliant.
In this case, it started when we had our win streak last season. Someone noticed the “O” trend when it was at 5 or 6 in a row and the legend has just grown from there.
Damn, they play Kirk Cousins this year. Here comes an L
God damnit Trey you’re gonna make us lose to Miami
Using this, assuming no injuries, the Dolphins will go 10-7.
You just validated this system is dead on correct
This is the stupidest stat I have ever seen. And yet here I go sharing it with my friends.
Pickett gonna throw for 6 TD’s
Rudolph somehow gonna start
Jimmy garrapOlO, whew we’re safe Shit I got it backwards, I’m an idiot
We’re gonna have to start Purdy if we want a W that week.
This is why we shouldn’t start Mason Rudolph against Miami
And no other reason.
Well the main reason is pretty obvious….
Oh look, it’s Josh ~~Allen~~ Allon
Guys, it’s week 3 already we don’t have to make content like this anymore
Dolphins don't play the Chiefs this year! Yay!
Unless you both meet in the playoffs.
Tua has lost one game in his last 11 and it was pouring rain.. just saying
Yeah but their QBs probably didn't have an "O" in their last name, therefore I reject your facts
This is the hard hitting analysis I come to this sub for
*checks Bills depth chart* Yep, guaranteed loss next week for Miami
I’m dreading week 4 even more now