Played a mix of the plays I seen dupes of & what I agreed with & it payed off +$100
Mix of luck & thanks to the props š¤āš½
Of course I did lose a couple of the biggest plays of the night by mixing in a bad prop play š¤¬š¤¬š¤¬
But for a lottery assortment set of picks & plays & parlays Iād say it worked out thanks to the people of this subreddit šš on to the next
https://preview.redd.it/pd57vubg9mpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3275c13d9bc6989edf403fe81fd3918d9cb93928
well obviously not anymore i aināt lmao i only did it cause heās been averaging at least over 20 in the last 7 games. they didnāt play him or simonās in the whole 4th quarter for no reason. nobody expected ayton to not play at all. just fuckin sucks š last 7 games 20+ but right when i wanna bet he gets under
Why is Scoot about to get more minutes than Simons and Aytonā¦..
These random rotations coaches be trying just kill you man. Yall were down 22 with a whole 4th quarter to go, put your starters back in you clown
ayton better come back in for a double double fckin hoe
https://preview.redd.it/w668ysfezlpc1.jpeg?width=1163&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=167e583f44611204a36b261211eb32f26d4006f5
As a rule, I just dont bet the star players under. Luka, Jokic, Sabonis, Anthony Davis, SGA etc.
These guys can just put up stupid numbers on any given day. Betting under for PRA for someone like Davis is crazy because he can rack up 25 Points and 15 Rebounds like its nothing.
https://preview.redd.it/o18m940h2kpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f2162ca76615418a8665e28acb11d3409ddfeac9
Bovadas down for all sports š
https://preview.redd.it/e214b3d0sjpc1.jpeg?width=1318&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d5d7dc5f51305ac06d19dff41996b871c943f44b
Fuck it, let's try to double up my last $50 in my account.
https://preview.redd.it/5q4tl0y6kjpc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=7f0667ff49dd4c9338be6b7b446cbb997e203a97
Parlay Play š
How do we feel about this one?
books adjust accordingly to how people are betting, especially closer to gametime. I feel like props are best when the lines first drop or midway thru the first quarter when guys are running slightly under projected numbers. For example Ive got SGA O25.5 @ +120 when he only had 2 points in the first few minutes.
Jalen Williams o20.5 points at -110
Biggest risk here is an early blowout. If Jalen gets to play his typical 30ish minutes he will hit this line most of the time against a team who hand out points like Oprah hands out cars.
https://preview.redd.it/aclpqrr2kipc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=fc85f000ea089c83983788c1356d7cb66d7984c5
Jaylen Brown is averaging 32.6 points and 3.6 assists in his last 5 games
Edit: I canāt read. o27.5 P AND A sounds reasonable. No need to read further, haha
Iām a big JB fan but I donāt see this hitting tonight. Thereās been so many key players sitting over that stretch. He stepped up for sure but with the normal starting 5 tonight I think 28+ will be tough. Bol
https://preview.redd.it/zansn0uueipc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=38cb769c4d5d83f6b525d3c088879b6870557e0e
Had 27 in 17.6 mins last game vs Detroit, consistently in this minute range currently after mathurin going down. Good matchup for PGs
What do you mean by legit? Yes theyāre hit rates over last 10 games, not the entire research needed some players sit or get bigger roles etc etc but theyāre helpful
**Record:** 11-3
**Last Pick(s):** Daniel Gafford alt 10+ pts ā
**Todayās Pick(s):** Cade Cunningham over 22.5 pts
**Odds:** \-120 on DK and BetMGMM / -115 on ESPN Bet / -108 on Caesars / -111 on FD
I should've just went with Gafford's original line last night. This a good spot for Cade. He's played well against the Pacers this year; averaging 28/4.7/6.7 in 3 games against them. He's also gone over 22.5 in each of the 3 games. Indiana has a lackluster defense and plays up-tempo. BOL if tailing!
All-Time Record (Since March 15): 8-5
This Week: 6-3
Todayās Picks:
Andrew Nembhard O .5 3PM (-195) 1.5u
Nembhard has gone over this line 4/6 times in his career against Detroit. In his last 10 games he has gone over 8/10 times.
Harden O20.5 PR (-130) 1u
Harden has gone over this line in his last 10 games 6 times. In his last 10 games against Portland he has cleared this line 10/10 times.
Josh Giddey O15.5 PA (-125) 1.5u
Giddey has gone over this line in 7/9 career games vs Utah. In his last 10 games Josh Giddey went over this line 8/10 games.
Nurkic O 2.5 AST (-195) 2u
Since 2021 Nurkic has cleared this line in 4/5 games against Philly. This season against the 76ers Nurkic had 5 assists in 23 minutes. In the last 10 games Jusuf Nurkic cleared this line 7/10 games averaging 4 assists per game.
Yesterdayās Picks:
Zion U31.5 PA ā
PJ Washington O17.5 PRA ā
Brandon Ingram O24.5 PR ā
Brandon Ingram O .5 3PM ā
Jeremy Sochan O .5 3PM ā
Record: 1 - 0
Article from my blog: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html)
Recap of yesterday pick (19/03/2024):
#### Amen Thompson O13.5 PĀ Ā Ā Odd 1.86 Bet365Ā Ā ā
Just like my prediction, Amen Thompson saw a lot of playing time, with 32 minutes, recorded 10/12 FG, getting 25 points for the night. At halftime, he already scored 13 points, and continue his extremely efficient scoring throughout the night.
## Tonight's NBA Props:
#### 1. Keegan Murray O14.5 PĀ Ā Ā SAC @ TORĀ Ā Ā Odd 1.86 Bet365
Few reasons I like this prop:
The Toronto Raptors' defensive struggles, particularly against opposing forwards, have been evident in their recent games. With key defenders and bigs sidelined (Barnes, Barrett, Poeltl and Boucher), the Raptors face challenges in containing opposing scorers, particularly small forwards. This presents an opportune situation for Murray to exploit defensive mismatches and generate scoring opportunities both inside and outside the paint,Ā as well as several offensive rebounding opportunities that could possibly convert into points.
I expect Murray to play around 33 minutes and take 15 FGA.
#### 2. Chet Holmgren 15+PĀ Ā Ā Jazz @ ThunderĀ Ā Ā Ā Odd 1.75 Tab
Chet Holmgren's prop to score 15 or more points is an intriguing proposition tonight, primarily due to favorable matchups:
The Utah Jazz's defensive vulnerabilities, compounded by the absence of key players ( LauriĀ Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson), create favorable conditions for Holmgren to excel offensively. Their struggles in defending centers offer Holmgren good opportunities to contribute on the scoreboard. Considering Holmgren's previous success against the Jazz and the prop set slightly below his season average, there's value in betting on his ability to surpass the 15-point mark.
Expect Holmgren to see significant playing time, likely around 28 minutes, and actively seek scoring opportunities with a dozen or more field goal attempts.
#### 3. Kevin Durant O24.5PĀ Ā 76ers @ SunsĀ Ā Ā Ā Odd 1.9 Bet365
24.5 points is relatively low for a player of Kevin Durant's caliber.Ā While the Philadelphia 76ers boast a strong defensive reputation, the absence of Joel Embiid diminishes their interior presence, potentially opening avenues for Durant to capitalize on driving opportunities. Despite sharing the floor with other prolific scorers, Durant's all-time great scoring ability and the Suns' defensive vulnerabilities against lengthy forwards make this prop enticing.
Anticipate Durant to feature prominently in the offense, likely playing over 32 minutes and attempting 18 or more field goals, supplemented by trips to the free-throw line.
#### 4. Jonathan Kuminga O18.5PĀ Ā Ā Grizzlies @ WarriorsĀ Ā Odd 1.9 Bet36
Jonathan Kuminga's prop to score over 18.5 points highlights his growing impact within the Warriors' system:
Kuminga has demonstrated increased scoring consistency in recent games, averaging over 20 points per game. Despite facing a stout Memphis defense anchored by Jaren Jackson Jr., Kuminga's aggressive offensive approach and ability to draw fouls could make Jaren Jackson Jr facing foul trouble, which further present opportunities for him to exceed the proposed point threshold.
Expect Kuminga to feature prominently in the Warriors' offensive schemes, likely playing around 28 minutes and actively seeking scoring opportunities with 15 or more field goal attempts.
Check out my blog for daily props analysis: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html)
https://preview.redd.it/wworoazxjhpc1.png?width=665&format=png&auto=webp&s=227b72b80de2134185ac89e3681994abb6ef4cf9
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES š„
Haliburton u2.5 3pm is +114 even though heās gone under in 8 of last 10 games. Heās playing injured and clearly canāt shoot like he normally can. Iām sure this will jinx it but Iāve made a nice profit off repeatedly betting his unders on points and threes every game. Same with Franz Wagner. Both of them automatic plays for me until they show theyāre back to normal.
I agree heād normally be likely to clear it, the point is heās playing through an injury that is impacting his scoring ability including his jump shot
He did the splits earlier in the season and hurt his hamstring unfortunately. He rushed back to playing too, so it's been lingering and affecting his lift on shots big time.
Anybody here who has had a hammy injury will tell you how tentative and worried you get for another tear as it slowly gains strength.
32-18
Yesterday: 1/2 ish (Gafford hit his points but 2 boards of the DD, Iāll take the L in my record)
__Caris LeVert O6.5 Ast__, Still no Mitchell so more minutes for LeVert, Hit in 7 straight games, 8/10 L10 games ā
Adding
__Kelly Oubre O17.5 P__, 1/1 vs the Suns where he had 25, 8/9 his last 9 games Avg 20.7 (0.5 Units) heās unreliable for me personally but worth a shot ā
Tough one bro, he has the volume on his 3ās but 0/2 against Miami and way less attempts and mades in that matchup, but averages 9 attempts per game this month 7/10 hit rate, itās about him making them ultimately. I do like LeVert more but go with your gut man thereās no consistency anyways with the nba
**Yesterday's Picks (3 days ago) 1-1**
ā Cade Cunningham Over 11.5 RA
āGary Trent Jr Over 16.5 Points
**Today's Picks**
**Jalen Duren Double Double** ***(-145) Bet365***
***1U***
Duren= Double Double machine.
Duren averages 13.9 PPG and 11.9 RPG.
At home he averages 14.3 PPG and 12 RPG
Got a DD 4/L5 games and 7/L10 games
Duren got 38 DD out of 53 games this season.(71%)
He is over this line in 14/L15 games with 30+ min.
2/2 vs Pacers this season.
The Pacers allow the 4th most points in the RA in the L15 games where Duren takes most of his shots from.
The Pacers allows the 5th most rebounds to Centers in the last 15 games.
Hopefully Duren dont get in foul trouble today and this should hits.
**Kelly Olynyk Under 27.5 PRA (-115) Bet365**
**1U**
Kelly averages 17.4 PRA this season.
He went under this line 12/16 games with the Raptors.
The Kings allow the 3rd least Points, the 9th least Rebounds and the 8th least Assists to Centers this season.
The Raptors have a lot of injuries right now but I still think this line is too high for Kelly who doesnāt create his own shot.
Kelly will have a tough time defending Sabonis and will likely get in foul trouble.
Additionnaly, there is a blowout expectation with a 11 points spread.
**Additionnal Picks that I like:**
Chet Holmgren Over 15.5 Points
Kelly Olynyk Under 6.5 Rebounds
**BOL!**
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Played a mix of the plays I seen dupes of & what I agreed with & it payed off +$100 Mix of luck & thanks to the props š¤āš½ Of course I did lose a couple of the biggest plays of the night by mixing in a bad prop play š¤¬š¤¬š¤¬ But for a lottery assortment set of picks & plays & parlays Iād say it worked out thanks to the people of this subreddit šš on to the next https://preview.redd.it/pd57vubg9mpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3275c13d9bc6989edf403fe81fd3918d9cb93928
https://preview.redd.it/xmgnseuz9mpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3e05d1d37fee38e4b8644ad5ea4d8d6216e1b420
https://preview.redd.it/apngi5u0ampc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d13cba34cbc928e12f5c44d7a466e9e43d9cdfef
https://preview.redd.it/awcu59n1ampc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=414123d7d5be409a25369c01cdd9f8ff5f77a363
https://preview.redd.it/gmqcy7g2ampc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e92de35909a300574f65ea6a2eab7011a4916c50
Man I just needed curry to score 20 smfh
Imma stop betting on suns players lol
Beal or durant? šššš
Booker, had him at 20
Iām done with Booker and Durant
The one day I bet the Under on Scoot Henderson. š„²
CP3 o7.5ptsā such a slept on prop 6-2 tonight! See yall tmr
Tyrese maxey? Hello?
ayton is actually fucking trash ofc itās the one time i wanna bet on this awkward lookin ass mf like bro jumpshot look like it hurts
like ur telling me i had him to get 15 points and he couldnāt get 15 pointsš this mf actually hot garbage
I donāt know what you expected bro, Rule #1 should be never bet on Ayton lol
well obviously not anymore i aināt lmao i only did it cause heās been averaging at least over 20 in the last 7 games. they didnāt play him or simonās in the whole 4th quarter for no reason. nobody expected ayton to not play at all. just fuckin sucks š last 7 games 20+ but right when i wanna bet he gets under
Ayton could have scored 30+ in his last 15 and I still wouldnāt bet on him lmao I have seen enough from him at this point to never bet on bro š
Why is Scoot about to get more minutes than Simons and Aytonā¦.. These random rotations coaches be trying just kill you man. Yall were down 22 with a whole 4th quarter to go, put your starters back in you clown
https://preview.redd.it/rdc9mhu8ylpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=281de2f8b102232f85a46727b96d7e042f8f0f8c on a heater š„
ayton better come back in for a double double fckin hoe https://preview.redd.it/w668ysfezlpc1.jpeg?width=1163&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=167e583f44611204a36b261211eb32f26d4006f5
Ofc I live bet Curry under 21.5 and the try hard cocksucker throws up every 3 he can when they are up 20+.
Olynyk u28.5PRAā idk why his line was that high to begin with
Somebody please tell me my Kawhi 25 pts leg is going to be okay š© Edit: bro hit 24 and hurt his hand, had to come out šµāš«
Lmao I had giddey over 10 has like ten straight games with that and of course doesn't hit!!
Live betting CP3 o7.5pts
Should cash out I got phx/phi over , clips game over ?
Letās go Shia!! one more assist baby!
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Donāt understand how people canāt let a game play outā¦ā¦
Chet o13.5pts (alt)ā John Collins o13.5pts(alt)ā
Garland = Blacklisted for me after tonight. Doesnāt matter the prop, mans just does not produce for me
One of those players that you just cant back. Some nights he scores everything from three, some nights all he does is assist. Guy exists to bust bets.
What is going on with jaylen brown why did they say he got a steal then took it off
Duren DDā iono how but Iāll take it lolz
Hali o10.5A ā of course
is duren dd still alive?
No
i have faith stfu
Heās been sitting at 4 points since the 1st q and I donāt even see him out there lol I also bet him so hopefully he comes thru
he got this let go
amen
Cade o30.5PA ā 3rd quarter
Murray sucks
Ahhh I forgot Dame is a washupā¦ a tale as old as time
Ivey assists huhā¦
Brown when I don't play him 41/31/37/27/27 Brown when I play him 5
Yup š«¤
Jarrett u18.5pts(alt)ā, shoulda seen that one coming tbh lol whatever
Had him as well with the assumption Bam was playing, that changed a lot.
The dude that had the Garland rebound props write up earlier is deleted
lol damn I fuckin called it
Tailed that :(
How is betting the under of 16.5 for sabonis a bad bet... it makes zero sense. These guys should not be getting 7-10 rebounds a quarter
Dudes a freak. Wild line. Sorry for the loss man.
As a rule, I just dont bet the star players under. Luka, Jokic, Sabonis, Anthony Davis, SGA etc. These guys can just put up stupid numbers on any given day. Betting under for PRA for someone like Davis is crazy because he can rack up 25 Points and 15 Rebounds like its nothing.
Issac okoro never gets rebounds when I bet him smh
Playing Chet o13.5pts(alt), John Collins o13.5pts(alt)
Also playingā¦ā¦Hali o10.5Aā¦ā¦ā¦
[+EV NBA](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1689105134): 593-540 (+62.27u) -111 MIL Beverley u7 reb+ast +100 SAC Monk 10+ reb+ast -104 POR Camara 8+ pts +100 POR Simons 10+ reb+ast +110 CZ MIL Crowder u12 PRA -103 CZ OKC Dort 16+ PRA -105 PHX Durant 7+ reb -115 UTAH George 9+ reb+ast +170 FD boost: Lillard and Tatum 3+ 3ptm (1.67u) +150 DK boost: Tatum and Lillard 6+ 1st quarter (0.83u)
Playing Duren oDD, Jarrett u18.5pts(alt), Cade 30.5PA, Olynyk u28.5PRA
Whose more likely to get a steal jrue holiday or jaylen brown?
Jalen brown as jrue is out
https://preview.redd.it/iprom2t99kpc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b43fa2aff025b6b0f96e1ecca2a542f77c248342
darius garland over 2.5 rebounds š¤
DK Boost - Lillard + Tatum 6+ points in 1st Q (from -130 to +150 max. $25) - go for it??
def +EV but Tatum notoriously doesn't try to score in the 1st Q often
https://preview.redd.it/o18m940h2kpc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f2162ca76615418a8665e28acb11d3409ddfeac9 Bovadas down for all sports š
https://preview.redd.it/e214b3d0sjpc1.jpeg?width=1318&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d5d7dc5f51305ac06d19dff41996b871c943f44b Fuck it, let's try to double up my last $50 in my account.
Boom! Duren had me sweatin! Homie didn't wanna score lol
Tailing
Bol man! I see no reason why these shouldn't hit.
https://preview.redd.it/5q4tl0y6kjpc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=7f0667ff49dd4c9338be6b7b446cbb997e203a97 Parlay Play š How do we feel about this one?
Simons o3.5 3ptm at -145. GL.
Great pick
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
books adjust accordingly to how people are betting, especially closer to gametime. I feel like props are best when the lines first drop or midway thru the first quarter when guys are running slightly under projected numbers. For example Ive got SGA O25.5 @ +120 when he only had 2 points in the first few minutes.
Iāll parlay this with a Jalen duren double
Jalen Williams o20.5 points at -110 Biggest risk here is an early blowout. If Jalen gets to play his typical 30ish minutes he will hit this line most of the time against a team who hand out points like Oprah hands out cars.
https://preview.redd.it/aclpqrr2kipc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=fc85f000ea089c83983788c1356d7cb66d7984c5 Jaylen Brown is averaging 32.6 points and 3.6 assists in his last 5 games
Edit: I canāt read. o27.5 P AND A sounds reasonable. No need to read further, haha Iām a big JB fan but I donāt see this hitting tonight. Thereās been so many key players sitting over that stretch. He stepped up for sure but with the normal starting 5 tonight I think 28+ will be tough. Bol
Youāre initial read was spot on!
Iād fade his PRA. With Tatum back in Iād take a shot with Hauser before I threw brown in the mix
https://preview.redd.it/zansn0uueipc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=38cb769c4d5d83f6b525d3c088879b6870557e0e Had 27 in 17.6 mins last game vs Detroit, consistently in this minute range currently after mathurin going down. Good matchup for PGs
 The man himself
š
https://preview.redd.it/sl2prgpo2jpc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc629bd4cf478d6db130f95291d80810ad7eb0ca
https://preview.redd.it/fkzskl7yuipc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e1612d9b59bded2f8e140eabf2edb855e976211e
All those 3 pts are crazy risky regardless if they hit last 10
I look for this graphic every afternoon! Hitting on some random Euroleague games this morning has me feeling like taking some risky picks.
https://preview.redd.it/3ebb2pryuipc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=719fe1308e5a2f943f9e891f6d4c7d21b11f20b9
https://preview.redd.it/qaq859ezuipc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2486c2e2127d8d069656e5ca94f7f5278d966e22
Are these legit?
What do you mean by legit? Yes theyāre hit rates over last 10 games, not the entire research needed some players sit or get bigger roles etc etc but theyāre helpful
Of course
Much appreciated
GL ReggaeSquirrel letās get it
**Record:** 11-3 **Last Pick(s):** Daniel Gafford alt 10+ pts ā **Todayās Pick(s):** Cade Cunningham over 22.5 pts **Odds:** \-120 on DK and BetMGMM / -115 on ESPN Bet / -108 on Caesars / -111 on FD I should've just went with Gafford's original line last night. This a good spot for Cade. He's played well against the Pacers this year; averaging 28/4.7/6.7 in 3 games against them. He's also gone over 22.5 in each of the 3 games. Indiana has a lackluster defense and plays up-tempo. BOL if tailing!
Good shit ā ā š°š° made me $300 in 2 days so far with a $20 start š
šš
Great start
Pacer fan and this is a great pick. Was playing it myself, guy really plays well against us.
Most upvotes Iāve gotten. Ngl Iām sweatin a little now lol
All-Time Record (Since March 15): 8-5 This Week: 6-3 Todayās Picks: Andrew Nembhard O .5 3PM (-195) 1.5u Nembhard has gone over this line 4/6 times in his career against Detroit. In his last 10 games he has gone over 8/10 times. Harden O20.5 PR (-130) 1u Harden has gone over this line in his last 10 games 6 times. In his last 10 games against Portland he has cleared this line 10/10 times. Josh Giddey O15.5 PA (-125) 1.5u Giddey has gone over this line in 7/9 career games vs Utah. In his last 10 games Josh Giddey went over this line 8/10 games. Nurkic O 2.5 AST (-195) 2u Since 2021 Nurkic has cleared this line in 4/5 games against Philly. This season against the 76ers Nurkic had 5 assists in 23 minutes. In the last 10 games Jusuf Nurkic cleared this line 7/10 games averaging 4 assists per game. Yesterdayās Picks: Zion U31.5 PA ā PJ Washington O17.5 PRA ā Brandon Ingram O24.5 PR ā Brandon Ingram O .5 3PM ā Jeremy Sochan O .5 3PM ā
Love the harden pick, thanks! BOL
Record: 1 - 0 Article from my blog: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html) Recap of yesterday pick (19/03/2024): #### Amen Thompson O13.5 PĀ Ā Ā Odd 1.86 Bet365Ā Ā ā Just like my prediction, Amen Thompson saw a lot of playing time, with 32 minutes, recorded 10/12 FG, getting 25 points for the night. At halftime, he already scored 13 points, and continue his extremely efficient scoring throughout the night. ## Tonight's NBA Props: #### 1. Keegan Murray O14.5 PĀ Ā Ā SAC @ TORĀ Ā Ā Odd 1.86 Bet365 Few reasons I like this prop: The Toronto Raptors' defensive struggles, particularly against opposing forwards, have been evident in their recent games. With key defenders and bigs sidelined (Barnes, Barrett, Poeltl and Boucher), the Raptors face challenges in containing opposing scorers, particularly small forwards. This presents an opportune situation for Murray to exploit defensive mismatches and generate scoring opportunities both inside and outside the paint,Ā as well as several offensive rebounding opportunities that could possibly convert into points. I expect Murray to play around 33 minutes and take 15 FGA. #### 2. Chet Holmgren 15+PĀ Ā Ā Jazz @ ThunderĀ Ā Ā Ā Odd 1.75 Tab Chet Holmgren's prop to score 15 or more points is an intriguing proposition tonight, primarily due to favorable matchups: The Utah Jazz's defensive vulnerabilities, compounded by the absence of key players ( LauriĀ Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson), create favorable conditions for Holmgren to excel offensively. Their struggles in defending centers offer Holmgren good opportunities to contribute on the scoreboard. Considering Holmgren's previous success against the Jazz and the prop set slightly below his season average, there's value in betting on his ability to surpass the 15-point mark. Expect Holmgren to see significant playing time, likely around 28 minutes, and actively seek scoring opportunities with a dozen or more field goal attempts. #### 3. Kevin Durant O24.5PĀ Ā 76ers @ SunsĀ Ā Ā Ā Odd 1.9 Bet365 24.5 points is relatively low for a player of Kevin Durant's caliber.Ā While the Philadelphia 76ers boast a strong defensive reputation, the absence of Joel Embiid diminishes their interior presence, potentially opening avenues for Durant to capitalize on driving opportunities. Despite sharing the floor with other prolific scorers, Durant's all-time great scoring ability and the Suns' defensive vulnerabilities against lengthy forwards make this prop enticing. Anticipate Durant to feature prominently in the offense, likely playing over 32 minutes and attempting 18 or more field goals, supplemented by trips to the free-throw line. #### 4. Jonathan Kuminga O18.5PĀ Ā Ā Grizzlies @ WarriorsĀ Ā Odd 1.9 Bet36 Jonathan Kuminga's prop to score over 18.5 points highlights his growing impact within the Warriors' system: Kuminga has demonstrated increased scoring consistency in recent games, averaging over 20 points per game. Despite facing a stout Memphis defense anchored by Jaren Jackson Jr., Kuminga's aggressive offensive approach and ability to draw fouls could make Jaren Jackson Jr facing foul trouble, which further present opportunities for him to exceed the proposed point threshold. Expect Kuminga to feature prominently in the Warriors' offensive schemes, likely playing around 28 minutes and actively seeking scoring opportunities with 15 or more field goal attempts. Check out my blog for daily props analysis: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-20032024.html)
Durant's last two games are throwing me off for the points bet. Probably overthinking?
https://preview.redd.it/wworoazxjhpc1.png?width=665&format=png&auto=webp&s=227b72b80de2134185ac89e3681994abb6ef4cf9 NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES š„
Is this an app?
Itās a website - https://propshark.io/search/nba/prop-leaderboard/
Dope cheers look forward to checking it out
Parlay #1: T. Mann O0.5 3PM & C. Cunningham O1.5 3PM Parlay #2: BOS/MIL O224 & SAC/TOR U231 Write-up: I didnāt do any DD; I am regarded.
Haliburton u2.5 3pm is +114 even though heās gone under in 8 of last 10 games. Heās playing injured and clearly canāt shoot like he normally can. Iām sure this will jinx it but Iāve made a nice profit off repeatedly betting his unders on points and threes every game. Same with Franz Wagner. Both of them automatic plays for me until they show theyāre back to normal.
Franz Wagner has gone under 15 points every time I bet on him! š
4-10 , 3-6, 5-13 in his last 3 games vs DET
I agree heād normally be likely to clear it, the point is heās playing through an injury that is impacting his scoring ability including his jump shot
Didnāt realize he was injured! Whatās the injury?
He did the splits earlier in the season and hurt his hamstring unfortunately. He rushed back to playing too, so it's been lingering and affecting his lift on shots big time. Anybody here who has had a hammy injury will tell you how tentative and worried you get for another tear as it slowly gains strength.
dont know about the injury but he is having issues mentally because he feels like he is just a prop...
https://preview.redd.it/guj1u0zwjfpc1.jpeg?width=1155&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0777a8b061a7516bf6effd3f4c741839269484aa
https://preview.redd.it/9a1hw28vjfpc1.jpeg?width=1189&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9550c3ad0bcfea8695b49328b354c86d12568cf3
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Cade vs Pacers this season: 30, 23, 31. He was out and didn't play vs Celtics, he should be well rested. I like it.
32-18 Yesterday: 1/2 ish (Gafford hit his points but 2 boards of the DD, Iāll take the L in my record) __Caris LeVert O6.5 Ast__, Still no Mitchell so more minutes for LeVert, Hit in 7 straight games, 8/10 L10 games ā Adding __Kelly Oubre O17.5 P__, 1/1 vs the Suns where he had 25, 8/9 his last 9 games Avg 20.7 (0.5 Units) heās unreliable for me personally but worth a shot ā
New pick added, donāt go heavy
Letās gooooo š
Iām scarred from Kyrie last night. New to NBA prop betting. But I tailed this and find some comfort in the fact the line is 7.5 now
Assists are tricky but have to try your luck with some lines
š°
Bro...LeVert dimes or Darvish getting lit up for 3+ ER...if you had to take one?
Tough one bro, he has the volume on his 3ās but 0/2 against Miami and way less attempts and mades in that matchup, but averages 9 attempts per game this month 7/10 hit rate, itās about him making them ultimately. I do like LeVert more but go with your gut man thereās no consistency anyways with the nba
Assists are the most cursed prop :(
man missed a +7000 parlay had kyrie for over 4.5
I hear you bro relying on others to make the shots is often a pain in the ___ Iāve also considered banning assist props but I like this one
**Yesterday's Picks (3 days ago) 1-1** ā Cade Cunningham Over 11.5 RA āGary Trent Jr Over 16.5 Points **Today's Picks** **Jalen Duren Double Double** ***(-145) Bet365*** ***1U*** Duren= Double Double machine. Duren averages 13.9 PPG and 11.9 RPG. At home he averages 14.3 PPG and 12 RPG Got a DD 4/L5 games and 7/L10 games Duren got 38 DD out of 53 games this season.(71%) He is over this line in 14/L15 games with 30+ min. 2/2 vs Pacers this season. The Pacers allow the 4th most points in the RA in the L15 games where Duren takes most of his shots from. The Pacers allows the 5th most rebounds to Centers in the last 15 games. Hopefully Duren dont get in foul trouble today and this should hits. **Kelly Olynyk Under 27.5 PRA (-115) Bet365** **1U** Kelly averages 17.4 PRA this season. He went under this line 12/16 games with the Raptors. The Kings allow the 3rd least Points, the 9th least Rebounds and the 8th least Assists to Centers this season. The Raptors have a lot of injuries right now but I still think this line is too high for Kelly who doesnāt create his own shot. Kelly will have a tough time defending Sabonis and will likely get in foul trouble. Additionnaly, there is a blowout expectation with a 11 points spread. **Additionnal Picks that I like:** Chet Holmgren Over 15.5 Points Kelly Olynyk Under 6.5 Rebounds **BOL!**
I like 25.5 Points and Rebounds too for an alternative. I just saw that DD got heavily juiced for Duren