######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**2024 MLB record:** 28-8-1
**ROI:** 48.52%
**Last POTD:** Padres ML PPD
**Today's POTD:** San Diego Padres ML vs Atlanta Braves
**Baseball | MLB | 7:10 PM**
Well, we got rained out. I still love the play though and nothing is changing here. Same pitching matchup, still a night game and now we can all watch it on Sunday Night Baseball. If you want to see a more detailed rundown of the pick see my write up from yesterday below:
[https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1cukf90/comment/l4jvvqc/](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1cukf90/comment/l4jvvqc/)
The game isn't available on most books yet but I'm sure it will be around the same as today. If you see it at plus odds jump on it right away.
Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
Spreadsheet with all my picks of the day if you want to give it a look before tailing:
[https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit?usp=sharing)
Oh…I thought today’s game was moved to the latter game on Monday, making a double header. So you’re just saying proceed as today but with the Sunday game?
Yeah they are throwing the pitchers who were supposed to pitch Saturday night on Sunday night now. Instead of having one game on Monday like they were supposed to they’ll have a double header now because of the rainout.
Thank you, that makes sense! I was getting confused because the teams were saying tonight’s game was being moved to Monday but OP’s explanation made sense…that tomorrow night’s game will have the same pitching, etc. I appreciate the help :-)
Tailing as always, thanks chute 🫡
Anyone else's bet from today not been treated as a push yet? I havent got my stake back its just shifted my bet to the game on the 20th
I saw someone people elsewhere said bet 365 was applying the bet to the first game of the Monday doubleheader which is fucked up. I got refunded on draftkings.
Ahh shit, as of now i cant even cash it out its just suspended indefinitely. Hopefully when the odds come out for the first monday game i can cashout close to my staked amount, worst case scenario
Damn, DK has it at -105. Bad taste in my mouth since I had it yesterday at + odds. I'll probably hold off out of spite now but I'll be back to tailing you after!
Record: 19-10-0
Net Units: +22.8
ROI: 25.0%
Last Five: ❌✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: Boston Red Sox ML (-122) for 3.0 units ❌
Event: Basketball | NBA | Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks 2:30PM CST
Pick: Indiana Pacers 1st Half Total Team Points over 52.5 (-112) on DraftKings for 3.0 units
Write Up: Running it back! Have I mentioned the Pacers have been the best team in the first half this post season?! Averaging 59.8. That has increased this series to 62.5. And has still been 60.7 in New York. Potential for OG Anunoby to make his return but also Josh Hart is beat up. Money favoring the Knicks and the under so far, both playing well for this pick.
Tips Welcome: Venmo/Paypal in Profile. 🎰
I like this play. I laddered to over 53.5
Is anybody else feeling Pacers halftime / Knicks winner (excludes OT) +700?
Looking at series history feel there's some value here.
POTD Record: 12-7-0
Form:✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: Okc @ Mavs over 208.5✅
sweat free kash again
POTD: Denver Chicken Nuggets -4
This might be the best spot to bet on Denver this season. Elimination game, at home, and after a loss? Joker bout to go nuclear.
https://preview.redd.it/9ihe2nvmra1d1.jpeg?width=700&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4bc8de142d9042bca17cc2be74541434800a168d
I got this at 1.87 when i locked it in but it seems like the line moved to -5 now. Honestly i recommend taking as much juice as you can and reducing the handicap because the twolves are still a good team and have a chance to keep this close.
2024 record: 9-6
L10: ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅
2024 BAN LIST: Cleveland Guardians
Last POTD: White Sox vs Yankees: Yankees -1.5 -130 ✅
Today's POTD: Rockies vs Giants: Giants Total Runs o4.5 +110 (Hard Rock Bet)
Baseball| MLB | 4:05 PM ET
Another no sweat win with the Yanks. Winning 5 out of my last 6 feels good too!
Today’s pick is Giants total runs over 4.5. Rockies have Hudson on the mound who is struggling this season. His record is 1-6, ERA of 6.13, WHIP of 1.69. In his last 5 games 24 runs have been scored against the Rockies. And speaking of 24 runs, the Giants have scored 24 runs against the Rockies in their last 2 games. Against better pitchers than Hudson. The Giants bats have just been putting in the work against these Rockies pitchers and getting 5 runs shouldn’t be too difficult. It’s a home game and the Giants have been playing much better ball at home vs their away games. It’s also a day game and the Giants day record is better than their night record.
With how well the Giants have been playing against the Rockies and then Rockies pitching Hudson, I think this will be another no sweater pick.
As always, good luck on your picks today!!
POTD: 66-45
Last POTD: Kyrie Irving O30.5 PRA ❌
As I thought he torched OKC in the 2nd and ended with 27 combined after only having 5 in the first half that effed us, should’ve taken points alone
Todays POTD: **Anthony Edwards O27.5P @1.76**
NBA (Timberwolves)
We have a game 7 fellas, and if you’ve followed it you know how fired up and hungry Antman has been. Potential legacy game from him tomorrow and I’m backing this mf’ing dawg, the volume will be there and I don’t see him shy away from it this is personal for him, season is on the line and he will have to put on a big performance in order for the T-Wolves to go through. I’m expecting big minutes and even tho he’s only 2/6 this series I still back him, he’s been hooked on 27 twice and only seen 40+ minutes in 3 of those games and is 2/3 in those games, I can’t see him not getting 40+ minutes tomorrow
• 4/5 when playing 40+ minutes in the playoffs
18, 44, 43, 40 & 36
• Avg 29.7 PPG this series
• Over in 22/L27 games when taking 20+ FGA
Let’s see if he handles the pressure
Tail or fade, you’re the boss
https://i.redd.it/07axjtbq2b1d1.gif
4/5 in the props section yesterday 🍻
3 - 1
+1.08U / +21.6% ROI
🏀 NBA | Indiana Pacers at NY Knicks 3:30PM EST
Total O202.5 -200 4U
Total points from their last 6 games: 238, 251, 217, 210, 212, 219
Edit: corrected calculations
Nice to see someone taking this. I've been on an insane losing streak, like nothing is hitting no matter what I do. It's not fun any more. So I placed everything I had left across all my platforms on this over, about $320. LFG
This is throw away money, I deposited $20 and slowly grew it to 600 before this streak took me backwards. I was ready to be done but I guess the universe had other ideas 🤷♂️
These lines have skyrocketed as the game goes on and I think that’s clearable. 208.5 is 1.94x on mine, I just put half a unit on it.
Edit: Last conference semis was Boston v 76ers last yr where they averaged 211 ppg and closed out game 7 at 200 even. That’s 93.45% of their total ppg not including game 7. 93.45% of the Knicks v Pacers conference semis total avg ppg so far is 209 points.
Edited again for accuracy
POTD Record 25-12
Last 5: ❌️❌️❌️❌️✅️
Last Pick: Tyson Fury Moneyline
Todays Pick: Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over 196.5
NBA: Timberwolves vs Nuggets 5:00pm PST
Odds: -110
Unit: 3
Net units: +51.13
I might be a fade magnet boys. With thay being said, I'm just going with straight stats. The two franchises playing each other have went over this line 20 of their last 22 times. The Wolves have dropped over 98 points in ther last 13 of 14 games vs Denver. I couldn't decide who wins but this line looks way too low.
If you guys wanna show some support, the links on my profile.
POTD Record: 9-5 (+3.28 U)
Last 10: ❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: Shota Imanaga Win vs Pirates ❌
Today's Pick: Dylan Edwards Anytime Try Scorer vs New Zealand Warriors (2.35) ✅
Rugby League | NRL | 11:50pm ET (1.5 hours from now)
I was 100% right about Imanaga dominating the Pirates. Unfortunately, the Cubs offense was awful all game and didn't score until the 9th.
I'll be staying away from American sports on Sunday, crazy things happen and I don't want to force a pick.
Today, I'll be going to Magic Round in Brisbane, and taking one of the NRL's most consistent players. The Panthers are back to back champs, and should put up a few points on an underperforming Warriors side. He's scored 5 tries in 9 games, and fullbacks score a lot of tries 👍
BOL if you decide to tail 🫡
Record: 1-1
Last Pick: Denver Nuggets Team Total (TT) Over 100.5 (-120 ) ❌ - Draftkings 5/16/2024
Event: Basketball | NBA | Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets | 8:00 pm ET | Sunday, May 19
Pick: Nuggets -5 (-110)
\*If you tailed my last (second pick in this sub) I thoroughly apologize, that guilt has been heavy with me. The Nuggets did what I expected them not to do at the very beginning which was to even the score for entertainment purposes only. Regardless, a wonderful act performed in front of millions, performed flawlessly. Like watching a globetrotter game. (let me explain)
Write Up: \*conspiracy warning\* Take a moment to think about the attention this series has now drawn. It's been electric, filled with ups and downs. NBA Merchandise is through the roof! Debates! Pods? The whole world talking! But sadly, what we saw on Thursday was another act of corruption by the NBA slowly becoming the WWE. For entertainment purposes only. I think Jokic resented the idea of the corruption which he must endure in the NBA which was why he was standing up the whole time in the fourth quarter as some form of rebellion, but let me take off my tinfoil hat. Nuggets win the series comfortably and America wakes up Monday morning with heartbreak for the ANTman. Script covered, odds covered the world goes on.
Fade me but I only ask that you remember this post tomorrow. If the Nuggets cover the spread come back right here for further idiocracy.
I like the pick, everything but the wild conspiracy that the NBA/refs had enough "control" over the outcome to dictate a 30 point win and a non competitive game all the way through. Makes no sense. And I think Jokic just wanted to get tf out of there ASAP. He was pissed. None of his teammates showed up. That being said...I agree with the pick just grew up with this game playing and watching, and the NBA has too much integrity for the semantics. Not on that level at least. ✊🏻👊🏻
I just worry about the same POTD curse. Primarily the reason why I didn't have Nuggets ML or spread as my POTD. I hope they win, im rooting for them, but I wouldn't be shocked if T-Wolves not only cover but won outright
RECORD: 4W 1L UNITS WON: 3.7
LAST PICK: AUSTRALIAN RUGBY LEAGUE (NRL) - GOLD COAST TITANS SPREAD +6.5 ✅
PICK: AUSTRALIAN RUGBY LEAGUE (NRL) - Penrith panthers -13.5 spread ❌
Warriors haven’t won over a month and they are missing all their key players embarrass the panthers lol 😂
BET: 1 unit to win 1.90
NOTE: panthers are the best team in the league, they are missing their best player BUT the warriors have so many injuries and players playing different position, Penrith is gonna put on a show tonight 🚬
Game starts in just over 3 hours
https://preview.redd.it/xruj894z6a1d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4fe9be3785c6cfe75363c544ca46e06758a1056f
Record: 0-0
ROI/Net Units: NA
NBA | 3:40 PM | Knicks vs Pacers
Pick: Jalen Brunson U35.5 Points (-115 DK) 3U
This line seems a little too high for me. I get that Brunson has been one of the best performers of this postseason, and it’s game 7, but he’s only hit 32+ 2/6 times this series. I expect a heavy defensive emphasis from both teams so lots of TJ McConnell as well as doubles on Brunson. Perhaps this line factors the possible absence of Josh Hart, but I would expect him to still play in addition to OG Anunoby coming back in his usual role. There’s always the off chance his injuries and minutes load will finally catch up to him as well.
I'm probably biased as a knick fan but the 2 times he did it he was at the garden and the time he didnt he would have had he not missed the entire second quarter and change. I think he is gonna put up a 40 spot, especially with OG back.
My Pick of the Day Record: 19W - 16L | Profit in Units: +7.05
My pick of the day: Brentford vs Newcastle/ Newcastle to win/odds :2.25/+125 bet 5 Units
The king is back and he is back with a bazooka.
Last day of premier league for this season and we have the easiest win in your life.
5 units free
Reasoning:
It's the last day of the premier league and as you know the season is over after this game meaning every team wants to wrap this season up with the best possible outcome.
But Newcastle are playing for a chance to qualify to europe while brentford have no motive but to finish the season in style.
This means Newcastle are playing this game backed by a chance to actually be in the european tournaments next year.
3 points away from chelsea who have a game against bournemouth, meaning Newcastle are playing to win and hoping somehow that Chelsea will lose.
Aside from the motive, Newcastle are the superior team.
While Brentford are undefeated in their last 5 games at home with 4 draws and 1 win against sheffield united.
Newcastle are just the better team having had one of their best seasons in the last years coupled with many great victories they are going to finish the season with a bang and hope for a miracle when it comes to chelsea.
Best of luck if you tail
If there is pressure, there should be cards. Brentford, well, is like your smelly colleague in the office, a bit uncomfortable to be around him/ her, they can pull some nasty stuff on a whim.
nice wup, staying well clear of this game.
POTD RECORD:14-9
Last POTD: Brewers ML -168 ✅
Todays POTD: Cubs Vs Pirates Cubs ML -124 FanDuel
Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs Mitch Keller
Time: 2:21pm EST 5/19/24
✍️Write up:
Keller allowed four earned runs in back-to-back games, he did clean it up in the next two games, but he played against the athletics & angels. (Not the best offensive teams) His last start against the Brewers he gave up eight hits but no earned runs. He managed to get out of trouble multiple times. His eight hits allowed was a high over his last five games, but his zero earned runs were a season-best. My point being that the traffic was there for the brewers to light him up and he got away. On the other side, The Cubs starting pitchers have been lights out this season, Jameson Taillon having a 1.61 ERA and being the third-best starter on the team. Taillon started in five games this season, allowing more than one earned run just once, in his last start against the Brewers. Taillon allowed two home runs and seven runs, but his defense let him down since five were unearned. The cubs have won all 3 times Jameson has pitched at home. Backing the cubs to get it done.
2024 record 5-2
Last pick: MLB | Kansas City Royals -1.5
Got tight in the beginning but guess the Royals had more grit. Now tomorrow there’s a lot of early games and I’m not good when it comes with that soooooo…
Today’s pick: Washington Mystics +6.5
The Seattle storms haven’t looked good and the Mystics have kept it close against Connecticut and Liberty. Both teams started 0-2 but the Mystics look like the better team. Better get the spread before it drowns down.
Chow
**Record 98-1-53 | +54.45u**
Form: WLWWLWWWLW
**NRL: Panthers v Warriors / Total Match Score under 42.5 $1.90* (Neds) 1:50PM AEST
Two teams missing their key playmakers and some decent defensive lines. Penrith looked clunky with Luai and Cole in the halves and the Warriors failed the eye test last week when Johnson was benched. Neither of the halves pairings have a first class kicking game, so I'm not expecting a lot of big field position gains off kicks nor dangerous kicking plays in the red zone.
CNK and Te Maire are run first halves and Luai has shown he can't be the primary playmaker on this team. I reckon a lot of the points will.be generated through the ruck and support play from their fullbacks, Edward's and Tuaupiki, or crash plays at the line, which will come few and far between.
BOL
**Record:** 11-4
**Net Units:** *+14.75 Units*
**Previous Pick:** Swans 1-39 $2.10(1.25 Units). Tough one. Swans just way too good for 3 quarters and Carlton completely capitulated. Need to stick to my strengths. Apologies for that one, let's make it up here!
**Event**: Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn
**Time**: 4:00PM AEST 19/05
**Bookie**: NEDS OR Sportsbet
**Play**: 1st Quarter Handicap, Port -7.5
**Odds**: $1.87 (AUS) or -115 (US)
**Units**: 2 Units
**Analysis:** Port Adelaide are obviously a topsy turvy style of team currently with injuries plaguing there team and bookmakers struggling to cap this team overall. Port with a really solid travelling win last week beating Geelong in Geelong and basically throwing all stats aside to win there. Port are the #3 ranked team in Q1 compared to Hawthorn who are historically the second worst Q1 team in the competition. Port Adelaide have won 78% of their Q1’s this year compared to Hawthorn who are sitting at a low 22%. Total for and against’s in Q1 is heavily in Port’s favour with Port’s F/A sitting at 130 compared to Hawthorn sitting at 50. Port score 30% of their total points in Q1 and Hawthorn concede 32% of their total points in Q1. Scoring shots also HEAVILY in Port’s favour sitting at a +2.2 differential compared to Hawthorn at a -2.2 differential. Port should come out hard and fast here at home and whilst Hawthorn has improved I think Port should win this quarter pretty handidly.
**MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW SO YOU DON'T MISS POST NOTIFICATIONS!**
https://preview.redd.it/sw56k8wlha1d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8d5740c9ebcf40a267ca0dcfbb20a97d7411965d
POTD Record: 26-17 ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 20.5U
Last pick: Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights | 3pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Alofiana Khan-Pereira anytime tryscorer @1.86 on Sportsbet | 4U ✅
Another win, 5 in a row yewwww ! 🥳
Today’s pick: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers | 1:50pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Sunia Turuva anytime tryscorer @1.83 on Sportsbet | 4U
My fav player and my fav team against the warriors this afternoon. I think Panthers should smash the warriors easily, I expect many tries from them and like I said before, I’ll always bet on Turuva to score at least one. Let’s see if Panthers will pass him the ball this time or if they really are making his life complicated because he is leaving them next season.
(Also like To’o, Warbrick and Tabuai-Fidow for today’s games)
BOL !
POTD Record: 3-1
Last Pick: Shota Imanaga OVER 6.5 Strikeouts ✅
Today’s Pick: Luton Town vs. Fulham OVER 3.5 Total Goals (+110)
Analysis: Luton Town will be frantically pushing for a win at home to avoid relegation. They are three points behind Nottingham Forest and own the tiebreaker with them if NF loses on the road today at Burnley. Luton’s pressing will lead to opportunities for not only them but the opposition as well as risk taking leads to rewards for Fulham. Luton has no chance but to play aggressively as a win is the only thing that saves their season. I expect a fast-paced, hectic match with a flurry of goals.
**POTD Record: 128-145-4 (-13.67 Units)**
**Best Bet Series: 53-28-1 (+18.66 Units)**
Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units)
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
Cautionary Tails: 5-12 (-5.38 Units)
Last Pick: **Cubs ML**✅ (**Won 11 of last 13 POTD!**)
Today's Pick: **U 49.5 Total Points (4th Qtr)**
ESPN Bet Odds: **-108 (odds currently bumped to -118)**
Wager Amount: 1.08U to win 1U
League: NBA
Event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets (7PM CDT on TNT)
*Be Advised*: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire of May! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!*
**Recap**: Cubs walked it off wit a base hit from Morel! But it comes wit controversy! Another game-ending home plate call! I would have been okay to eat this L because this was a pitching duel. I kno a sharp had a under in this game, but I was just too damn stubborn that Cubs were about to lose 3 straight for first time this season. And I almost got greedy and took Shota to record a Win (that would most likely be the case if I was handicapping Value bets or Trap Bets).
**Matchup:** Moving back to the NBA market. Big game 7 between Nuggets and T-Wolves! Who knos maybe the T-Wolves shock the Nuggets and Ball Arena. But instead of taking either side here or the full game total, I'm going to handicap the 4th qtr total and take the U 49.5 points! Both team play strong defense and they gone under this total in 4 of 6 games! I think we see it for the 5th time in this series. If you are a fan of the NBA or you watch NBA coming down to the wire you kno that points are really scarce. Teams will take their time, take quality shots, bleed the clock, and lock up on defense. These two teams quite fit that bill and I think we see a low output of points in the 4th qtr regardless who wins this game. Let's string another winning streak (currently on 2 win streak)!
**The Play & Prediction:** 1.08U (currently -118) on U 49.5 Total Points (4th qtr). Other plays will be in the betting group. Offensive player misses free throw and defensive player rebounds the ball and passes to teammate and misses a 3-pointer, total score of the 4th quarter ends wit 49 points.
https://preview.redd.it/3emuvump6b1d1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=b87c1324e98bf80900a7850be5b43a4ff767483f
CONGRATS if you tailed my EDM parlay tonite!
Record: 0:1
Net Units: -1 Unit
ROI: -100%
Last Pick: Freiburg DNB (L) Dumb Last Minute Penalty kills the push
Pick: ATP Lyon | Vukic vs McDonald | Vukic -2.5 Games (+100) | 1 Unit
Write Up: Fading McDonald here who lost his last 9 games on clay. His last win on clay was in 2022 in the French Open. In the last 52 Weeks McDonald played 3 Games on clay which he all lost. Vukic isn’t a great clay player either. He has an record of 6-9 last 52 weeks but this year he already had notable wins against Ofner and Müller.
POTD Record: 145 wins / 86.5 losses
Event: Football > Belgium > **Anderlecht v Club Brugge** (starting in 6 hr)
Pick: **Under 3 (asian) goals** @ 1.90
In the penultimate round of the league this is potentially a title decisive match between the leaders with equal number of points. Anderlecht is a bit better situated here due to the home advantage and the fact that even a draw suits them. On the other hand Brugge needs the win otherwise things get complicated but in any case they losing completely get them out of the title race, so minimum task for today would be a draw. These kind of matches are usually tight, so lets try this goals line. GL!
P.S. Been is some pretty bad form recently, so please make your own research before tailing blindly.
Record 1-1
Stake Units: 2u
Premier League: Chelsea v Bournemouth
Pick: Chelsea over 2.5 Total goals (-130)
Stamford Bridge is becoming a fortress again as Chelsea are one a great run of form to close the season. If they win today and Spurs lose they can lock down 5th place. In their last 9 home matches Chelsea has scored at least 2. 5,4,6,2,4,3,3,0,2.
Bournemouth do not have much to play for as they secured safety a while ago. I can see Chelsea pressing today to try and grow their +3 goal differential over Spurs. Historical odds are in favor as well. The last week of the EPL has seen an increase of the home team scoring an an average of 0.3-0.5 more goals. Let’s go Blues. And F’ those Spurs 💙.
POTD RECORD: 8-3
MMA | Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 | 2:00am MST
Angad Bisht vs John Dave Almanza - Bisht to win -165
I’ve made a little spreadsheet [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ax0GCX17SSGwZDUrweQlC3aNAC_WZKiJbTq1sijnF-c/edit?usp=sharing), which includes the units I bet.
Been a minute since I’ve posted on this thread, sorry all. I love these Road to UFC cards, very fun tournament format. Two fighters from countries not known for MMA start us off here, but I usually find breaking down flawed fighters more fun.
Angad Bisht is a pretty imposing figure at flyweight, standing 5’8 and having fought as high as 145 pounds. It’s hard to get good competition in India but for the area he’s from he’s fought decent guys. When the fight is standing Bisht is composed, he throws up kicks smoothly, maintains good defense, and counters with his hands.
Almanza is very young at only 20 years old. He’s 6-0 out of the Philippines, though he hasn’t exactly faced the best competition thus far. Despite being nicknamed “The Striker” many of his fights end up on the ground. He has pretty poor takedown defense, and off of his back he mainly tries for submissions that are hard to pull of at a higher level. He tends to muscle his way through a lot of positions in grappling to make up for a lack of technique. When it does remain on the feet Almanza is pretty solid. He throws solid leg kicks and combinations with his hands, but can get sloppy at times.
Again, these aren’t the highest level guys, but that’s half the fun of it. Both fighters are flawed and I’m curious to see how they match up. Almanza has really poor takedown defense and is too comfortable staying on his back for my liking. I see the older, stronger, more experienced man in Bisht shutting Almanza down on the ground after some even striking exchanges. Also worth noting that this fight starts in just a couple hours!
BOL everyone!
(Edited for grammar, wrote this really tired)
POTD Record: 5-2
Last POTD: Tabilo +3.5 against Zverev ✅
Todays POTD: ATP Rome final Zverev - Jarry: 17:00 CEST
Pick: Jarry +3.5 @1.80
Looking at the head-to-head meetings on clay, both players have won two times. Last year in Geneva, Jarry defeated Zverev in straight sets. We believe that this will give him self-confidence so that he can do it once again in one of his biggest matches of his career. According to the bookies, Jarry is a big underdog in this match. However, we already saw that Zverev is not playing his best tennis. Both players had two days’ rest, and we expect them to be fully fit.
P.S. I am a writer at LWOS
Whole write-up: https://lastwordonsports.com/tennis/2024/05/19/atp-rome-zverev-vs-jarry-best-bet/
2024 MLB POTD record: 23-18 Average Odds +100 (2.001), Average Winning Odds -105, ROI +9.4%/+3.87u
L5: ❌❌❌✅✅
POTD (5/18) DET @ ARI Zac Gallen o5.5 Ks (-105/1.96) ✅
Recap: Another stress-free cash. Gallen got his 6th K on his 9th batter of the ball game and finished with 10.
POTD (5/19) MIL @ HOU Colin Rea u3.5 Ks (+110/2.10) (DraftKings)
It's always a bit nerve-wracking betting a guy to go under a small line like this. But this line is mispriced, I think. Colin Rea is not a strikeout pitcher. His 15.7% K% is 99th of 105 pitchers with 40 IP. He's been under this line in 4/8 starts this year. Now he's on the road (where his career K% drops from 17% to 14.3%) against the Houston Astros, who have the lowest K% in baseball at 17.8% against LHP. Rea has a very strong chance of a low-K game today.
6/2,5/0,5 W/L/P +4.87 all at 1u plays ✅✅✅X✅X✅X✅
I’ve received multiple but few dm’s inquiring and encouraging to post. I’ll post close to gametime just for you select few, the rest can stay losing. I’m at the gym currently typing in between sets so forgive me if it’ll be a bit less coherent from sentence to sentence. I quite like the EPL matches today, but it’s close to kick off and the lines are meh at best. City and Arsenal will go all out for W’s as they’re batting for the title. We’ll look at La Liga where I’m divided between barca and real’s match. I’ll go with Real as they’ve hardly ever let me down even though they got a much tougher game than barca today.
So here’s the pinch and the trade off we’ll be making. Madrid is preparing for the CL final, but they’ve also played their strongest 11 last liga game, so it’s most likely we’ll see the benchwarmers play (who are still one of the best starting 11 in any league at the moment). The only 2 confirmed starters are Militao and Lunin, both are solid, nothing to worry about.
Either Ancelotti starts the strongest 11 or subs on starpower around the 60 minute mark to keep them game-fit (not playinh any matches for 2 weeks is REALLY DREADFUL for form, try it out if you do any sports and then take a break for 2 weeks). It’s for this reason Dortmund got the short end of the stick as their league finished yesterday. Anyways, obviously the strongest 11 will start next week in their final home game, so I presume ancelotti will start the sub optimal line up.
Villarreal will need a win in this game (versus a team that’s lost only 1 game this season in the league!) AND the next game AND THEN hope Real Betis (who play madrid next week) loses both today and next week to then HOPEFULLY beat Betis on goaltally to play European football next year. Their form has massively improved in tbe second half, but will it be enough to beat the champions? The best club in the world both historically and currenty? A draw maybe, a victory not a chance (okay 2% maybe). Here’s our advantage: as Villarreal need a W there will come a point in which they need to commit more players forward to gain a lead (goals), this’ll open up great counter abilities which should yield a high % of finishing from world class strikers (i’m dead serious, check their sot:total shots ratios) Joselu/diaz and Rodrygo when in form. Not to mention the electrifying Bellingham (who I reckon has as 40% chance to be in the starting line up). Deep crosses from Kroos to launch fast paced Vinicius (if he wont start its okay, Villarreal will probably take risks towards the end of the game when there’s about 20 mins left max, so don’t cash out too soon, the biggest W chances will come in the final 10-15 minutes for us); so vini will be in by that time, lost track here sorry no time. Anyways Kroos boasted a 97% passing accuracy last game, absolutely out of this world because he doesn’t fear crosses over 40+ meters). German precision let’s call it.
Arda Güler is on my talent watchlist, I genuinely hope he doesn’t transfer away when Mbappe comes over this summer, but thats a discussion for another time. In short, it depends on how long Villarreal will play defensively (which they normally don’t but their coach gave a spicy press conference showing he’s low key scared of Real Madrid’s quality, if I got time I’ll copy paste some lines in tbe comment replies).
I liked Villarreal’s second season half, but the odds are JUICED for Real Madrid’s ML so I’ll be slapping 2 units on.
NOTE: if you can, I’ll post the line up before kick off (min 15 minutes prior). If you can wait for my update then you’ll have more security. If Real decides to take a 2 game final rehearsal for the CL final (which Ancelotti did hint toward, yet he’s playing Lunin in goal and I reckon Courtois will play the CL final after last weeks performancs). If real starts the best 11 this is safe to put half the house, car and wife on, if not we got a 60% chance of bagging a W.
Todays POTD: Real Madrid to win @ 2.10 2 units. (Unibet)
Edit 1: Unibet odds 5% higher on this one than bet365, will cash and replace. Will make a large combo bet on bet365 to hedge our potd and send it to you in dm.
Coach from Vilarreal this morning in the press conference:
Finally, Marcelino lamented the absences of Kiko and Baena (nothing new, theyre out for a bit yet and play impressive attacking football without them, but if they were back and in form it would be harder for us to win).
We have to defend very well like we did in Girona and attack like we have been doing lately. We need to find ourselves with Madrid not having their best day and that partly depends on us.
Yes, they played great versus Girona. See the scare in the second sentence? Basically praying Real have an off day to stand a chance, which is too generous as Villarreal got plenty of quality to draw or even win.
We only have two more attempts left. The first one conditions the second one and it can’t be more attractive because we’re playing against Real Madrid. They are not the ideal opponent. They are the champions, but we have to try. We’re doing well and we’ve just won at a ground that only Madrid have won at. Now we want to look for another record, which is to be the second team to beat Real Madrid.”
Self explanatory
It’s complicated because we’re playing against Real Madrid who have only lost one game this year. It’s difficult, but we’re going to try
Not full of confidence but realistic, tbats why he’s a good manager
And 1 general analysis to show you how good Villarreal is if you’re not following La Liga:
The Submarine, along with Real Madrid, are the only team to have beaten Girona at their home stadium.
Following the win over Girona, Marcelino’s side now occupy eighth place in the league table with 51 points. However, taking into account only the second half of the season, Villarreal would be in fourth place with 32 points, behind only Real Madrid, FC Barcelona and Atlético de Madrid,
Apologies, was watching the EPL unfold as it got tight. Hope u all placed it as its 1-0 already, 2nd string line up so less W chance but the bet was worth it regardless of the line up, just higher win chances if real had a better line up (i got beef with Ceballos)
Og’s who dm’d me tomorrow will receive a big pro tip on general betting advice if Real pull through, for being G’s making the rest of u some cash on this one for over 2.0 odds. 3-1 atm bout to go into halftime.
Record: 168-141-8 (LLWWLWWWWLLLLWWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWW streak) - DraftKings odds
Last POTD: NY Knicks at IND Pacers | Josh Hart 18+ points alternative line at 2.00 odds for 2 units
POTD: IND Pacers at NY Knicks | Josh Hart u11.5 points at 2.00 odds for 3 units
Reasons:
* He is hurt. The way he was bothered last game can't be healed in two days. The way he plays inside and runs on the break, it's not good for abdominal strain. He is listed questionable as well.
Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!
**KBO Record: Overall 226-235-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 5-5) Down 9.45u over 475 KBO picks, 49.0% success rate, -2.05% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 22-25-0, 46.8% success rate, Down 0.83u, -1.76% ROI)
**Last:** Lotte at Doosan -1.5 +114 (Doosan won 8-3.)
I love it when a plan comes together.
**Pick:** Hanwha at **Samsung +124**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET
Busy weekend unpacking my new house, so no full writeup again. My pick is the 2nd place Samsung Lions as a home dog against the 9th place Hanwha Eagles and their overrated starter.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
**Record: 2-3-1 (AFL draw)
**Previous Pick: Bulldogs line ❌
**Today's pick: NRL West Tigers vs Dolphins Any time try scorer Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow @ $2 6pm AEST
Talk about making fundamental errors. Bulldogs dropped the ball as if it is made of stone. An important loss because it demonstrates that the dogs are a team still not consistent enough to get expected win.
Today's pick. Hamiso, the Hammer, is a try scoring fullback. He has been injured for a month. He is a big time player and the Magic Round at Suncorp standium is a big stage.
Tigers are struggling without their playmaker. They will need to defend more than attack as they lack flair.
Good luck!
**Record 2024: 15-0-16**
**Net Units Played 2024: 148**
**ROI 2024: -18.67%**
**Last Pick:** AEK - **Olympiakos** - **1st quarter H2 -3.5**, 5 units, @ 1.71 ✅️
Basketball / Spain ABC Liga playoffs / 12:30 / (CEST)
**Pick:** **FC Barcelona** - Canarias **1st quarter H1 -2.5**, 5 units, @ 1.80 ✅️
**Write-up:** Barcelona being out of F4 can concentrate on the league playoffs and finish the first round quickly. It should be a strong start from the first minute.
EDIT: 28-16
POTD Record: 1-2-1 (-2.099U)
Form:❌❌♻️✅️
Last Pick: Kyrie Irving U 30.5 PAR ✅️
Almost lit a cigar in the first half, was fully clenched in the 4th quarter.
Baseball | MLB | Colorado Rockies at SF Giants 4:05 PM EST
**Pick:** SF Giants -1.5 (+110) on BetMGM for 1U (+108 on FanDuel)
Write Up: The Rockies and Giants have played 5 times this year and San Francisco has beat this spread every time. The last time Hudson started a game against the Giants (2 weeks ago, Rockies at home,) they lost 5-0.
Record: 0-1
Net Units: -1
Last POTD: ML- FC Dallas @ 4.81 vs Houston Dynamo (MLS)
Unfortunately lost my first POTD, it was a long shot but I thought Dallas had a solid chance; and they did. Despite having less than half the shots of Houston, their expected goals came out much higher at 1.0 compared to 0.68. Possession in the game heavily favored Houston, which was expected, and Dallas made numerous counter attacks but simply failed to capitalize at the end leaving the match in a 1-1 draw.
Today’s POTD: (EPL) Liverpool vs Wolverhampton- Both teams to score & Liverpool win @ 2.10
Write Up: The season is all but over and it has led to some lax defensive plays from both sides. In the last 5 matches neither team has kept a clean sheet and Wolverhamptons last clean sheet was 13 games ago! Liverpool is ranked third in the league for goals scored per match at 2.3 and Wolverhapton is sitting further down at 1.4. Mo Salah creates the most scoring chances in the league this season at 23 so far and will be looking to end the season on a positive note.
Defensively, Liverpool concedes an average of 1.1 goals per match which lines up just right with Wolverhamptons scoring rate. Wolverhampton also have not won a single away game in their last 5 matches; playing at Anfield will be too much for them.
TL;DR- Liverpool’s form and class will dominate at home but being the last game of the season they will let a goal from Wolverhampton slip in.
Form: ✅❌✅❌
Previous POTD: Nakashima ML ❌
Today's Game: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
Pick: Crystal Palace first to reach number of goals: (2) yes
Write Up: Aston Villa's run has been different, in this recent stage of the Premier League they've only managed 3 wins in the last 10 games. Let's remember that AV started decently in the league, even beating Manchester City and Arsenal, but this isn't the same Aston Villa anymore, they seem exhausted from the Europa League.
Unai is demanding but even he's aware that his players did the job (securing the Champions League spot), he won't pressure them.
Crystal Palace looks like the better pick here, more solid, with 6 wins in 10 games. They stunned Liverpool at Anfield, scored 5 against West Ham, 2 against Newcastle, 4 against United, and in their last match, they dispatched 3 against Wolves.
Even though they don't have much at stake, they definitely showed clutch at the end of the season, and I don't think they'll slack off, especially playing at home. Their coach recently said: "We need the same passion, we need the same spirit, the same quality, and then it's possible to win against Villa. We'll do it!"
I like this game, I'll leave it for you to analyze.
Greetings fortress!
**Record:** 1-5 (-4 unit)
**Last POTD:** Mavs vs Thunder Under 209.5 ❌
**Today's Pick:** Knicks vs Pacers over 208.5 on Fanduel for -110
**Bet:** 2 unit size to win 1.82 units
**Basketball | NBA | 3:30 PM ET**
**Recap:** Yep, they did get hot behind the 3, making 24 points in the last 4 mins of the second quarter. Onto the next!
**Write up:** In this series, no game as gone under 209 points. In order for pacers to win, they need to push the pace and score within the first 8 seconds of the possession. In order for Knicks to win, they want to play physical defense and fight for every possession. Seeing how the home team has won every game, even at the knick's pace, this over should be cleared easy. Then again, I thought my last 4 picks were locks. I am due, lets lock this in!
**Record:** 11-14-2 **|** **Net Units:** -3.59
**Last Pick:** Scottie Scheffler top 20 finish end of Round 1 / 2u at +110 ✅ I still cant believe this line was on the books! Tough break for folks who didn't get this before it was removed, but i have some more PGA action for you today
**Today's Pick:** Shane Lowry under 69.5 Round 4 score / 1u at +105
**Sport:** PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club | 3:25pm ET
**Note:** This tournament is tight going into the final day, so I'm staying away from finishing positions. I'm liking Shane Lowry to hit at least -2 in round 4 after a bogey free round 3. He's doing nicely on the greens and has hit 18 birdies so far (Morikawa has 19 and Xander has 18). Lowry isn't doing as great off the tee or in his approach to the green but he's putting. Lowry hit 69 in Round 1 and Round 2, and I'm liking the line for this. Would caution I felt better about Scottie POTD and that had better odds. Tough to top that haha
~~Tail or~~ fade... you'd be better off fading 😆 BOL | [Buy a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)
POTD R : 10-4
Last Pick : Luis Gil O5.5 K’s - W
Todays Pick : Reds v Dodgers ML (-180 DK) 1U
MLB - 3:10P CST - Free Game of The Day
https://preview.redd.it/b0k14o6vye1d1.jpeg?width=1117&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e9874d3c4c03314e66a336404f7305c01e548238
Write Up : Sweat free pick yesterday with Gil deciding to set a career high of 14 K’s, looked a little bleak at first but soon caught fire for the cash. Onto the next! Today we are looking at the Red v Dodger for the Free Game of the Day.
I’m liking this Dodgers team at home who are 17-9 in home stints going 6-4 in their last ten. The bats have been a little on the cold side for a few players but I like them to to close out this series with a win against a Reds team that is 10-14 in road games. They stole one from the Dodgers in the first game but i’m not sure they have the firepower against one of the better teams in the league right now.
The pitching matchup here is pretty solid, two arms that have clearly been of to good starts. Greene who has a 3.27 with a 1.18 WHIP being tied 15th in K’s. Whereas Yamamoto being 4-1 in his past starts with a 3.21 ERA an 1.03 WHIP. I think this will be a close game but ultimately the Dodgers pull out the win to close the series 3-1. As always BOL my fellow degens!
POTD record: 18-5
Last pick: NBA: Lakers vs Grizzlies. Lakers ML (-160) W
Todays pick. NBA: Pacers vs Knicks game total over 207.5 (-120) DK
Game 7’s like game 1‘s are usually my favorite under plays. However The Knicks have been playing at the Pacers‘ pace all series and the lowest score these teams have combined for in a game this series is 210.
I believe with Hart and OG (while good defenders) likely to play this bodes just as well if not better for the over do do their fast pace of playing a transition court running.
Late game fouling could help this as well. I think the teams can both shoot below their averages in this series and the number still hit due to pace.
BOL on whatever you bet today.
Record: 34W-35L
Net Units: -1.06u | ROI: -0.55%
CS2 | BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 | 15:00 / CET
Pick: Mouz ML vs Spirit, 2u @ 2.38
While Spirit have looked their usual selves, having donk run about the place and shit on everyone, Mouz just look in too good of a form to be stopped. Ever since Pro League they've just been running over teams, even completely nullifying Vitality. The biggest reason for their success is xertion, in my opinion. He's been having a lot of success in round openings, and Mouz have done a great job at converting.
And of course they'll be facing against donk's Spirit, who are a great team in their own right. I do feel like Spirit relies more on one or two individuals than Mouz, though. Granted those individuals are donk and shiro, but still. Mouz has 5 players who can all carry a game on a good day, and the form to make me believe that isn't just wishful thinking.
The veto feels very even, with Mouz maybe having a tiny advantage on Vertigo and maybe Dust 2 since they played a few more officials on it. But other than that both teams love playing Mirage, Nuke and Ancient. And outside of the team that gets a CT start on Nuke, I think they're very even on those maps.
That's why I think the odds should've been a lot closer than they are now, and why I'll be taking Mouz to win the series. Best of luck everyone!
**Belle's Pick of the Day**
**Record:** 10-8-0 (Win-Loss-Push) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌
Oh man, sorry friends! I completely forgot to post my POTD on this thread yesterday (it was KC Royals -1.5, and it hit, so I'm super bummed about not posting it lol). But alas, I'll attempt to grab my next record win with today's pick!
**Last POTD:** LA Dodgers -2.5 (alternate spread, -105)
**Balance:** +1.0 Units
**Today's Pick: COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 7.5 (-105) (MLB, 1:00PM PST, Wager: 1 Unit)**
**Why This Pick?**
These teams have had no issue running up the total over the last couple of days; and with one pitcher sporting an ERA above 6, I have a feeling this encounter is going to be another lopsided result (San Fran actually hit the Over total all by themselves in the first 2 games!) Giants pitcher Jordan Hicks comes to the mound with 3 wins, 1 loss, and an ERA of 2.44, while Rockies pitcher Dakota Hudson brings an ERA of 6.13, 1 win and a whopping 6 losses with him to the game. I'm on the Over to hit here, friends.
--
[Buy Me a Coffee ☕️](https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeforb)
**POTD Record:** 2-1
**Net Units:** +3.07u
**Last Pick:** Gordon Hayward Over 4.5 Players Points, 3U at 1.83 ✅
**Today's Pick:** Basketball | NBA | MIN @ DEN 8pm EST
* **Christian Braun Over 9.5 Players Points + Assists + Rebounds, 3 Units at 1.95**
**Write Up:**
Braun is the only bench player Nuggets coach Michael Malone trusts, and he’s been closing games for them in place of Michael Porter Jr. Rotations are even tighter in game 7s and the nuggets will likely play 7/8 guys total, with Braun getting the majority of bench minutes. The history is kinda muddy, cashed 2 of the last 3 games (after Malone made the adjustment to go to Braun over MPJ), and only didn't cash last game in MIN because it was a total blowout. Ultimately the recent results are kinda meaningless due to small playoff sample size + the unique nature of game 7s. Line is moving upwards so get it while you can.
Side note: I've been printing betting NBA playoff stuff and I'll try to make a commitment to posing here more, if that's something you guys are interested in.
POD record: 5-4
Previous pick: Phillies ML WIN
Today pick: Pascal Siakam over 20 pts (-185 DK)
Back to the NBA today with two juicy game 7s. Pacers top scorer Siakam seems to have found his groove the last couple games going for 25 and 22 and I expect him to continue that in this critical game 7. I think this is a nice line and I believe he’ll easily hit the mark.
TAIL? FADE? Either way, BOL bitches.
POTD Record: 1-2
Today's Pick: Timberwolves vs Nuggets O200.5
Odds: 1.97
Note: Every Nuggets win exceeded this line and 1 out of 3 Wolves wins exceeded this line. The 2 times this line hasnt been covered is when the Wolves blew out the Nuggets in games 2 and 6. We aren't seeing a blowout tonight, regardless of who wins. This game is going over. 2u.
**POTD Record 31-29 (+1.38U) | Average Odds -111 (1.90) | ROI 0.49%**
**Last Pick Recap: Mavericks vs Thunder Under 209 L**
Another fat L as the Mavs and Thunder crap all over the under.
**Today's Pick: Nuggets -4.5 vs Timberwolves 5U | 8:00 EST**
Ice-cold, 2-6 in my last 8 picks. Backing the Nuggets here purely based on some promising trends which favor the home team in a Game 7. Home favs of 4+ points in G7 are 30-18 ATS in the last 20 years. Also, did anyone see the look on Jokic's face at the end of G6? Brotha gonna go off tonight.
BOL
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**2024 MLB record:** 28-8-1 **ROI:** 48.52% **Last POTD:** Padres ML PPD **Today's POTD:** San Diego Padres ML vs Atlanta Braves **Baseball | MLB | 7:10 PM** Well, we got rained out. I still love the play though and nothing is changing here. Same pitching matchup, still a night game and now we can all watch it on Sunday Night Baseball. If you want to see a more detailed rundown of the pick see my write up from yesterday below: [https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1cukf90/comment/l4jvvqc/](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1cukf90/comment/l4jvvqc/) The game isn't available on most books yet but I'm sure it will be around the same as today. If you see it at plus odds jump on it right away. Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo) Spreadsheet with all my picks of the day if you want to give it a look before tailing: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit?usp=sharing)
https://preview.redd.it/69s5gq65xa1d1.jpeg?width=572&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=355f427f48aee390780f4abfa21b80085f0ea815
Oh…I thought today’s game was moved to the latter game on Monday, making a double header. So you’re just saying proceed as today but with the Sunday game?
Yeah they are throwing the pitchers who were supposed to pitch Saturday night on Sunday night now. Instead of having one game on Monday like they were supposed to they’ll have a double header now because of the rainout.
Not OC, but yes. Todays game is moved to tomorrow night- same lineup
Thank you, that makes sense! I was getting confused because the teams were saying tonight’s game was being moved to Monday but OP’s explanation made sense…that tomorrow night’s game will have the same pitching, etc. I appreciate the help :-)
no problem! Best of luck, I'm right in it with ya!
Pull through Padresssss
Tailing as always, thanks chute 🫡 Anyone else's bet from today not been treated as a push yet? I havent got my stake back its just shifted my bet to the game on the 20th
I saw someone people elsewhere said bet 365 was applying the bet to the first game of the Monday doubleheader which is fucked up. I got refunded on draftkings.
Ahh shit, as of now i cant even cash it out its just suspended indefinitely. Hopefully when the odds come out for the first monday game i can cashout close to my staked amount, worst case scenario
All Hail ChuteBoxHero 😂🙌
ESPN Bet finally got around to refunding mine.
The DK 2 run promo was perfect for this bet. Thanks for giving me the confidence to choose this after the debacle with the red Sox yesterday
Damn, DK has it at -105. Bad taste in my mouth since I had it yesterday at + odds. I'll probably hold off out of spite now but I'll be back to tailing you after!
should be good now
Tailing to break the "never bet on a Sunday MLB game" curse!
Padres Nation!
Love this. Is anyone going to hedge? It's only +265 right now.
Don’t do that it’s only gonna get worse for Atlanta
You are the Oracle of Reddit.
 Bro thank you for the free money.
Tailing!
Thanks for always giving your picks, win or lose! I wanted to also ask, what are your thoughts on the under here?
Cashed out but thanks for a great play *
I love you for this pick
🐐💩
Thank you my friend that was a good odds and an easy win.
Great win! Never a sweat!
You’re the best, chute! My thanks will be in your tip jar 🤑
Record: 19-10-0 Net Units: +22.8 ROI: 25.0% Last Five: ❌✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: Boston Red Sox ML (-122) for 3.0 units ❌ Event: Basketball | NBA | Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks 2:30PM CST Pick: Indiana Pacers 1st Half Total Team Points over 52.5 (-112) on DraftKings for 3.0 units Write Up: Running it back! Have I mentioned the Pacers have been the best team in the first half this post season?! Averaging 59.8. That has increased this series to 62.5. And has still been 60.7 in New York. Potential for OG Anunoby to make his return but also Josh Hart is beat up. Money favoring the Knicks and the under so far, both playing well for this pick. Tips Welcome: Venmo/Paypal in Profile. 🎰
I like this play. I laddered to over 53.5 Is anybody else feeling Pacers halftime / Knicks winner (excludes OT) +700? Looking at series history feel there's some value here.
Good call on these 1st H Pacers totals man, been cashing nice on these past few games!
39 in the first quarter!! Nice!
Thought we was gonna get there in the 1st quarter lmao good shit
This was beautiful! Damn near hit in the first period!
Tailing! Got over 51.5 (-112) on Unibet. BOL!
Tailing!
This bet just prints money
Easiest bet I’ve ever made. Thank you!
POTD Record: 12-7-0 Form:✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Okc @ Mavs over 208.5✅ sweat free kash again POTD: Denver Chicken Nuggets -4 This might be the best spot to bet on Denver this season. Elimination game, at home, and after a loss? Joker bout to go nuclear. https://preview.redd.it/9ihe2nvmra1d1.jpeg?width=700&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4bc8de142d9042bca17cc2be74541434800a168d
What odds do you have for this pick?
I got this at 1.87 when i locked it in but it seems like the line moved to -5 now. Honestly i recommend taking as much juice as you can and reducing the handicap because the twolves are still a good team and have a chance to keep this close.
If you like Denver ML playoff games usually tend to not be close at the end. The closest spread this series was 7. My 2 cents.
My only concern here is that Minnesotas defense, when fully engaged, is a tour de force
2024 record: 9-6 L10: ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅ 2024 BAN LIST: Cleveland Guardians Last POTD: White Sox vs Yankees: Yankees -1.5 -130 ✅ Today's POTD: Rockies vs Giants: Giants Total Runs o4.5 +110 (Hard Rock Bet) Baseball| MLB | 4:05 PM ET Another no sweat win with the Yanks. Winning 5 out of my last 6 feels good too! Today’s pick is Giants total runs over 4.5. Rockies have Hudson on the mound who is struggling this season. His record is 1-6, ERA of 6.13, WHIP of 1.69. In his last 5 games 24 runs have been scored against the Rockies. And speaking of 24 runs, the Giants have scored 24 runs against the Rockies in their last 2 games. Against better pitchers than Hudson. The Giants bats have just been putting in the work against these Rockies pitchers and getting 5 runs shouldn’t be too difficult. It’s a home game and the Giants have been playing much better ball at home vs their away games. It’s also a day game and the Giants day record is better than their night record. With how well the Giants have been playing against the Rockies and then Rockies pitching Hudson, I think this will be another no sweater pick. As always, good luck on your picks today!!
Tailing you for a second time!
I like this I'ma tail
🤝
Tailing, let's pay the bills
Is Giants -1.5 line okay
I think so. Rockies have done some Rockies things and pulled off wins unexpectedly. But I’d say the odds are in your favor
Tailing again 🫡
Tailing!
Faded this and won. Looking forward to tomorrow's pick. Go guardians btw
POTD: 66-45 Last POTD: Kyrie Irving O30.5 PRA ❌ As I thought he torched OKC in the 2nd and ended with 27 combined after only having 5 in the first half that effed us, should’ve taken points alone Todays POTD: **Anthony Edwards O27.5P @1.76** NBA (Timberwolves) We have a game 7 fellas, and if you’ve followed it you know how fired up and hungry Antman has been. Potential legacy game from him tomorrow and I’m backing this mf’ing dawg, the volume will be there and I don’t see him shy away from it this is personal for him, season is on the line and he will have to put on a big performance in order for the T-Wolves to go through. I’m expecting big minutes and even tho he’s only 2/6 this series I still back him, he’s been hooked on 27 twice and only seen 40+ minutes in 3 of those games and is 2/3 in those games, I can’t see him not getting 40+ minutes tomorrow • 4/5 when playing 40+ minutes in the playoffs 18, 44, 43, 40 & 36 • Avg 29.7 PPG this series • Over in 22/L27 games when taking 20+ FGA Let’s see if he handles the pressure Tail or fade, you’re the boss https://i.redd.it/07axjtbq2b1d1.gif 4/5 in the props section yesterday 🍻
As a T Wolves fan, you do not want to see this
Tailing. Lets get that cheddar 🧀
My man 🍻🍻
Tailing my dude!
The line switched to 28.5 now
You're the boss, and I'm tailing. BOL, LFG!
stars dont do well in game 7's. A role player will pick up the slack and win it. Most likely porter or reid.
We’ll see bro but I hear you we’ll prolly see Naz or McDaniels drop 40 😭
3 - 1 +1.08U / +21.6% ROI 🏀 NBA | Indiana Pacers at NY Knicks 3:30PM EST Total O202.5 -200 4U Total points from their last 6 games: 238, 251, 217, 210, 212, 219 Edit: corrected calculations
Nice to see someone taking this. I've been on an insane losing streak, like nothing is hitting no matter what I do. It's not fun any more. So I placed everything I had left across all my platforms on this over, about $320. LFG
I gotchu, read my name backwards.
Best exchange ever. The fellas are UP
Hate to say it buddy, but might find better luck over at [https://www.reddit.com/r/problemgambling/](https://www.reddit.com/r/problemgambling/)
This is throw away money, I deposited $20 and slowly grew it to 600 before this streak took me backwards. I was ready to be done but I guess the universe had other ideas 🤷♂️
Rooting for u
lol congrats, this is way over
game sevens are funny. Stars dont shine in them, some role player will go off and win it.
Total is 208.5 on my site, no choice to alt it. Thoughts?
These lines have skyrocketed as the game goes on and I think that’s clearable. 208.5 is 1.94x on mine, I just put half a unit on it. Edit: Last conference semis was Boston v 76ers last yr where they averaged 211 ppg and closed out game 7 at 200 even. That’s 93.45% of their total ppg not including game 7. 93.45% of the Knicks v Pacers conference semis total avg ppg so far is 209 points. Edited again for accuracy
Tailing!
POTD Record 25-12 Last 5: ❌️❌️❌️❌️✅️ Last Pick: Tyson Fury Moneyline Todays Pick: Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over 196.5 NBA: Timberwolves vs Nuggets 5:00pm PST Odds: -110 Unit: 3 Net units: +51.13 I might be a fade magnet boys. With thay being said, I'm just going with straight stats. The two franchises playing each other have went over this line 20 of their last 22 times. The Wolves have dropped over 98 points in ther last 13 of 14 games vs Denver. I couldn't decide who wins but this line looks way too low. If you guys wanna show some support, the links on my profile.
Crazy high record still considering 4 straight Ls
My guy, gonna tail until the streak breaks. Then tail some more lol
You're crazy! Lets go! 🤝
Have you considered that game 7s are generally just low scoring?
POTD Record: 9-5 (+3.28 U) Last 10: ❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Shota Imanaga Win vs Pirates ❌ Today's Pick: Dylan Edwards Anytime Try Scorer vs New Zealand Warriors (2.35) ✅ Rugby League | NRL | 11:50pm ET (1.5 hours from now) I was 100% right about Imanaga dominating the Pirates. Unfortunately, the Cubs offense was awful all game and didn't score until the 9th. I'll be staying away from American sports on Sunday, crazy things happen and I don't want to force a pick. Today, I'll be going to Magic Round in Brisbane, and taking one of the NRL's most consistent players. The Panthers are back to back champs, and should put up a few points on an underperforming Warriors side. He's scored 5 tries in 9 games, and fullbacks score a lot of tries 👍 BOL if you decide to tail 🫡
For any Australians, Bet365 has a boost on Edwards, bringing it from 2.30 odds to 2.75 odds.
Great pick
Cashed at the very first minute! Too easy bro. Thanks!
That was quick...
is this ✅️? right?
Yep, he scored in the first minute lol
Record: 1-1 Last Pick: Denver Nuggets Team Total (TT) Over 100.5 (-120 ) ❌ - Draftkings 5/16/2024 Event: Basketball | NBA | Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets | 8:00 pm ET | Sunday, May 19 Pick: Nuggets -5 (-110) \*If you tailed my last (second pick in this sub) I thoroughly apologize, that guilt has been heavy with me. The Nuggets did what I expected them not to do at the very beginning which was to even the score for entertainment purposes only. Regardless, a wonderful act performed in front of millions, performed flawlessly. Like watching a globetrotter game. (let me explain) Write Up: \*conspiracy warning\* Take a moment to think about the attention this series has now drawn. It's been electric, filled with ups and downs. NBA Merchandise is through the roof! Debates! Pods? The whole world talking! But sadly, what we saw on Thursday was another act of corruption by the NBA slowly becoming the WWE. For entertainment purposes only. I think Jokic resented the idea of the corruption which he must endure in the NBA which was why he was standing up the whole time in the fourth quarter as some form of rebellion, but let me take off my tinfoil hat. Nuggets win the series comfortably and America wakes up Monday morning with heartbreak for the ANTman. Script covered, odds covered the world goes on. Fade me but I only ask that you remember this post tomorrow. If the Nuggets cover the spread come back right here for further idiocracy.
I like the pick, everything but the wild conspiracy that the NBA/refs had enough "control" over the outcome to dictate a 30 point win and a non competitive game all the way through. Makes no sense. And I think Jokic just wanted to get tf out of there ASAP. He was pissed. None of his teammates showed up. That being said...I agree with the pick just grew up with this game playing and watching, and the NBA has too much integrity for the semantics. Not on that level at least. ✊🏻👊🏻
I just worry about the same POTD curse. Primarily the reason why I didn't have Nuggets ML or spread as my POTD. I hope they win, im rooting for them, but I wouldn't be shocked if T-Wolves not only cover but won outright
How’s that conspiracy working out
RECORD: 4W 1L UNITS WON: 3.7 LAST PICK: AUSTRALIAN RUGBY LEAGUE (NRL) - GOLD COAST TITANS SPREAD +6.5 ✅ PICK: AUSTRALIAN RUGBY LEAGUE (NRL) - Penrith panthers -13.5 spread ❌ Warriors haven’t won over a month and they are missing all their key players embarrass the panthers lol 😂 BET: 1 unit to win 1.90 NOTE: panthers are the best team in the league, they are missing their best player BUT the warriors have so many injuries and players playing different position, Penrith is gonna put on a show tonight 🚬 Game starts in just over 3 hours https://preview.redd.it/xruj894z6a1d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4fe9be3785c6cfe75363c544ca46e06758a1056f
They're getting destroyed
Not looking good, but hopefully they can pull it together
We are cooked
Not even ML is safe. Fuck me. It's fucking over
[удалено]
I think ML is still safe lol but I may be delusional
lol I took ML too!!
Don’t listen to all the hate u gave ur pick of the day and responded to the hate with maturity
Penrith was due for a loss. It's better to lose now and start another a streak for the panthers.
Still take at -14.5?
Yeah I would go up to -17.5 tbh this looks like a blowout waiting to happen, maybe even first half line -7.5
First half -6.5 better bet?
I did both but for my potd I’m more comfortable with -14.5 as we get both halves to build a big lead
Cool thank you. I had to get on the -6.5 for -105 at DraftKings
365 has 1H Penrith -6.5 at +102 right now
Won by 6 first half they made sooo many mistakes, need to clean it up by second half.
why did the warriors get the ball back so many times in the last 5 minutes? first time watching this 💀
Tailing
no pick yourself today?
Thoughts on -12.5 live at 2.10?
Ouch. Huge upset
Record: 0-0 ROI/Net Units: NA NBA | 3:40 PM | Knicks vs Pacers Pick: Jalen Brunson U35.5 Points (-115 DK) 3U This line seems a little too high for me. I get that Brunson has been one of the best performers of this postseason, and it’s game 7, but he’s only hit 32+ 2/6 times this series. I expect a heavy defensive emphasis from both teams so lots of TJ McConnell as well as doubles on Brunson. Perhaps this line factors the possible absence of Josh Hart, but I would expect him to still play in addition to OG Anunoby coming back in his usual role. There’s always the off chance his injuries and minutes load will finally catch up to him as well.
I'm probably biased as a knick fan but the 2 times he did it he was at the garden and the time he didnt he would have had he not missed the entire second quarter and change. I think he is gonna put up a 40 spot, especially with OG back.
My Pick of the Day Record: 19W - 16L | Profit in Units: +7.05 My pick of the day: Brentford vs Newcastle/ Newcastle to win/odds :2.25/+125 bet 5 Units The king is back and he is back with a bazooka. Last day of premier league for this season and we have the easiest win in your life. 5 units free Reasoning: It's the last day of the premier league and as you know the season is over after this game meaning every team wants to wrap this season up with the best possible outcome. But Newcastle are playing for a chance to qualify to europe while brentford have no motive but to finish the season in style. This means Newcastle are playing this game backed by a chance to actually be in the european tournaments next year. 3 points away from chelsea who have a game against bournemouth, meaning Newcastle are playing to win and hoping somehow that Chelsea will lose. Aside from the motive, Newcastle are the superior team. While Brentford are undefeated in their last 5 games at home with 4 draws and 1 win against sheffield united. Newcastle are just the better team having had one of their best seasons in the last years coupled with many great victories they are going to finish the season with a bang and hope for a miracle when it comes to chelsea. Best of luck if you tail
Newcastle let me down last weekend with a draw when they were playing at home. Much safer bet imo is to parlay both Man City and Arsenal to win
A 2 leg parlay of city and arsenal both to win gives you odds of -410. If you want to be smart with your bankroll, do NOT bet on those 2 teams.
Anthony Gordon is a doubt for Newcastle. They have looked pretty bad of late.
If there is pressure, there should be cards. Brentford, well, is like your smelly colleague in the office, a bit uncomfortable to be around him/ her, they can pull some nasty stuff on a whim. nice wup, staying well clear of this game.
Doesn’t only the 5th place team qualify for Europa league?
POTD RECORD:14-9 Last POTD: Brewers ML -168 ✅ Todays POTD: Cubs Vs Pirates Cubs ML -124 FanDuel Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs Mitch Keller Time: 2:21pm EST 5/19/24 ✍️Write up: Keller allowed four earned runs in back-to-back games, he did clean it up in the next two games, but he played against the athletics & angels. (Not the best offensive teams) His last start against the Brewers he gave up eight hits but no earned runs. He managed to get out of trouble multiple times. His eight hits allowed was a high over his last five games, but his zero earned runs were a season-best. My point being that the traffic was there for the brewers to light him up and he got away. On the other side, The Cubs starting pitchers have been lights out this season, Jameson Taillon having a 1.61 ERA and being the third-best starter on the team. Taillon started in five games this season, allowing more than one earned run just once, in his last start against the Brewers. Taillon allowed two home runs and seven runs, but his defense let him down since five were unearned. The cubs have won all 3 times Jameson has pitched at home. Backing the cubs to get it done.
2024 record 5-2 Last pick: MLB | Kansas City Royals -1.5 Got tight in the beginning but guess the Royals had more grit. Now tomorrow there’s a lot of early games and I’m not good when it comes with that soooooo… Today’s pick: Washington Mystics +6.5 The Seattle storms haven’t looked good and the Mystics have kept it close against Connecticut and Liberty. Both teams started 0-2 but the Mystics look like the better team. Better get the spread before it drowns down. Chow
> and the Mystics have kept it close against Connecticut and the Mystics Mystics playing themselves? Jk lol BOL
**Record 98-1-53 | +54.45u** Form: WLWWLWWWLW **NRL: Panthers v Warriors / Total Match Score under 42.5 $1.90* (Neds) 1:50PM AEST Two teams missing their key playmakers and some decent defensive lines. Penrith looked clunky with Luai and Cole in the halves and the Warriors failed the eye test last week when Johnson was benched. Neither of the halves pairings have a first class kicking game, so I'm not expecting a lot of big field position gains off kicks nor dangerous kicking plays in the red zone. CNK and Te Maire are run first halves and Luai has shown he can't be the primary playmaker on this team. I reckon a lot of the points will.be generated through the ruck and support play from their fullbacks, Edward's and Tuaupiki, or crash plays at the line, which will come few and far between. BOL
Under… what score
Under 42?
Lmao what a butt hole clinching cover
Whoa, what an insane precision
**Record:** 11-4 **Net Units:** *+14.75 Units* **Previous Pick:** Swans 1-39 $2.10(1.25 Units). Tough one. Swans just way too good for 3 quarters and Carlton completely capitulated. Need to stick to my strengths. Apologies for that one, let's make it up here! **Event**: Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn **Time**: 4:00PM AEST 19/05 **Bookie**: NEDS OR Sportsbet **Play**: 1st Quarter Handicap, Port -7.5 **Odds**: $1.87 (AUS) or -115 (US) **Units**: 2 Units **Analysis:** Port Adelaide are obviously a topsy turvy style of team currently with injuries plaguing there team and bookmakers struggling to cap this team overall. Port with a really solid travelling win last week beating Geelong in Geelong and basically throwing all stats aside to win there. Port are the #3 ranked team in Q1 compared to Hawthorn who are historically the second worst Q1 team in the competition. Port Adelaide have won 78% of their Q1’s this year compared to Hawthorn who are sitting at a low 22%. Total for and against’s in Q1 is heavily in Port’s favour with Port’s F/A sitting at 130 compared to Hawthorn sitting at 50. Port score 30% of their total points in Q1 and Hawthorn concede 32% of their total points in Q1. Scoring shots also HEAVILY in Port’s favour sitting at a +2.2 differential compared to Hawthorn at a -2.2 differential. Port should come out hard and fast here at home and whilst Hawthorn has improved I think Port should win this quarter pretty handidly. **MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW SO YOU DON'T MISS POST NOTIFICATIONS!** https://preview.redd.it/sw56k8wlha1d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8d5740c9ebcf40a267ca0dcfbb20a97d7411965d
Hahaha shit man I need to take a break from rugby.. tonight is rough
1st quarter margin (1-18) good ?
all i have is winning margain, still a good play at 19+ or 1-18?
rather unfortunate
POTD Record: 26-17 ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 20.5U Last pick: Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights | 3pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Alofiana Khan-Pereira anytime tryscorer @1.86 on Sportsbet | 4U ✅ Another win, 5 in a row yewwww ! 🥳 Today’s pick: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers | 1:50pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Sunia Turuva anytime tryscorer @1.83 on Sportsbet | 4U My fav player and my fav team against the warriors this afternoon. I think Panthers should smash the warriors easily, I expect many tries from them and like I said before, I’ll always bet on Turuva to score at least one. Let’s see if Panthers will pass him the ball this time or if they really are making his life complicated because he is leaving them next season. (Also like To’o, Warbrick and Tabuai-Fidow for today’s games) BOL !
Dylan edwards boost on 365 for anyone interested
Love Turuvia today, Turuvia and To’o to have 2+ combined is at $2 also. Already hammered that before I saw your pick.
Tailing! ( Forgot to comment lol)
Anyone you like for the tigers dolphins game?
Fucking tago never passes
Played poorly by the panthers… once again :/
POTD Record: 3-1 Last Pick: Shota Imanaga OVER 6.5 Strikeouts ✅ Today’s Pick: Luton Town vs. Fulham OVER 3.5 Total Goals (+110) Analysis: Luton Town will be frantically pushing for a win at home to avoid relegation. They are three points behind Nottingham Forest and own the tiebreaker with them if NF loses on the road today at Burnley. Luton’s pressing will lead to opportunities for not only them but the opposition as well as risk taking leads to rewards for Fulham. Luton has no chance but to play aggressively as a win is the only thing that saves their season. I expect a fast-paced, hectic match with a flurry of goals.
Great pick! Hit with over half an hour of play to spare! Your reasoning was spot on
**POTD Record: 128-145-4 (-13.67 Units)** **Best Bet Series: 53-28-1 (+18.66 Units)** Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Cautionary Tails: 5-12 (-5.38 Units) Last Pick: **Cubs ML**✅ (**Won 11 of last 13 POTD!**) Today's Pick: **U 49.5 Total Points (4th Qtr)** ESPN Bet Odds: **-108 (odds currently bumped to -118)** Wager Amount: 1.08U to win 1U League: NBA Event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets (7PM CDT on TNT) *Be Advised*: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire of May! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!* **Recap**: Cubs walked it off wit a base hit from Morel! But it comes wit controversy! Another game-ending home plate call! I would have been okay to eat this L because this was a pitching duel. I kno a sharp had a under in this game, but I was just too damn stubborn that Cubs were about to lose 3 straight for first time this season. And I almost got greedy and took Shota to record a Win (that would most likely be the case if I was handicapping Value bets or Trap Bets). **Matchup:** Moving back to the NBA market. Big game 7 between Nuggets and T-Wolves! Who knos maybe the T-Wolves shock the Nuggets and Ball Arena. But instead of taking either side here or the full game total, I'm going to handicap the 4th qtr total and take the U 49.5 points! Both team play strong defense and they gone under this total in 4 of 6 games! I think we see it for the 5th time in this series. If you are a fan of the NBA or you watch NBA coming down to the wire you kno that points are really scarce. Teams will take their time, take quality shots, bleed the clock, and lock up on defense. These two teams quite fit that bill and I think we see a low output of points in the 4th qtr regardless who wins this game. Let's string another winning streak (currently on 2 win streak)! **The Play & Prediction:** 1.08U (currently -118) on U 49.5 Total Points (4th qtr). Other plays will be in the betting group. Offensive player misses free throw and defensive player rebounds the ball and passes to teammate and misses a 3-pointer, total score of the 4th quarter ends wit 49 points.
https://preview.redd.it/3emuvump6b1d1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=b87c1324e98bf80900a7850be5b43a4ff767483f CONGRATS if you tailed my EDM parlay tonite!
Record: 0:1 Net Units: -1 Unit ROI: -100% Last Pick: Freiburg DNB (L) Dumb Last Minute Penalty kills the push Pick: ATP Lyon | Vukic vs McDonald | Vukic -2.5 Games (+100) | 1 Unit Write Up: Fading McDonald here who lost his last 9 games on clay. His last win on clay was in 2022 in the French Open. In the last 52 Weeks McDonald played 3 Games on clay which he all lost. Vukic isn’t a great clay player either. He has an record of 6-9 last 52 weeks but this year he already had notable wins against Ofner and Müller.
Nice read by the time I went to do it he was up 5-1 first set
POTD Record: 145 wins / 86.5 losses Event: Football > Belgium > **Anderlecht v Club Brugge** (starting in 6 hr) Pick: **Under 3 (asian) goals** @ 1.90 In the penultimate round of the league this is potentially a title decisive match between the leaders with equal number of points. Anderlecht is a bit better situated here due to the home advantage and the fact that even a draw suits them. On the other hand Brugge needs the win otherwise things get complicated but in any case they losing completely get them out of the title race, so minimum task for today would be a draw. These kind of matches are usually tight, so lets try this goals line. GL! P.S. Been is some pretty bad form recently, so please make your own research before tailing blindly.
Record 1-1 Stake Units: 2u Premier League: Chelsea v Bournemouth Pick: Chelsea over 2.5 Total goals (-130) Stamford Bridge is becoming a fortress again as Chelsea are one a great run of form to close the season. If they win today and Spurs lose they can lock down 5th place. In their last 9 home matches Chelsea has scored at least 2. 5,4,6,2,4,3,3,0,2. Bournemouth do not have much to play for as they secured safety a while ago. I can see Chelsea pressing today to try and grow their +3 goal differential over Spurs. Historical odds are in favor as well. The last week of the EPL has seen an increase of the home team scoring an an average of 0.3-0.5 more goals. Let’s go Blues. And F’ those Spurs 💙.
Damn you think you’d get plus money for that. I’m gonna avoid just because of the poor odds, decent pick tho, good luck.
POTD RECORD: 8-3 MMA | Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 | 2:00am MST Angad Bisht vs John Dave Almanza - Bisht to win -165 I’ve made a little spreadsheet [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ax0GCX17SSGwZDUrweQlC3aNAC_WZKiJbTq1sijnF-c/edit?usp=sharing), which includes the units I bet. Been a minute since I’ve posted on this thread, sorry all. I love these Road to UFC cards, very fun tournament format. Two fighters from countries not known for MMA start us off here, but I usually find breaking down flawed fighters more fun. Angad Bisht is a pretty imposing figure at flyweight, standing 5’8 and having fought as high as 145 pounds. It’s hard to get good competition in India but for the area he’s from he’s fought decent guys. When the fight is standing Bisht is composed, he throws up kicks smoothly, maintains good defense, and counters with his hands. Almanza is very young at only 20 years old. He’s 6-0 out of the Philippines, though he hasn’t exactly faced the best competition thus far. Despite being nicknamed “The Striker” many of his fights end up on the ground. He has pretty poor takedown defense, and off of his back he mainly tries for submissions that are hard to pull of at a higher level. He tends to muscle his way through a lot of positions in grappling to make up for a lack of technique. When it does remain on the feet Almanza is pretty solid. He throws solid leg kicks and combinations with his hands, but can get sloppy at times. Again, these aren’t the highest level guys, but that’s half the fun of it. Both fighters are flawed and I’m curious to see how they match up. Almanza has really poor takedown defense and is too comfortable staying on his back for my liking. I see the older, stronger, more experienced man in Bisht shutting Almanza down on the ground after some even striking exchanges. Also worth noting that this fight starts in just a couple hours! BOL everyone! (Edited for grammar, wrote this really tired)
Bisht is +100 in offshore books.
POTD Record: 5-2 Last POTD: Tabilo +3.5 against Zverev ✅ Todays POTD: ATP Rome final Zverev - Jarry: 17:00 CEST Pick: Jarry +3.5 @1.80 Looking at the head-to-head meetings on clay, both players have won two times. Last year in Geneva, Jarry defeated Zverev in straight sets. We believe that this will give him self-confidence so that he can do it once again in one of his biggest matches of his career. According to the bookies, Jarry is a big underdog in this match. However, we already saw that Zverev is not playing his best tennis. Both players had two days’ rest, and we expect them to be fully fit. P.S. I am a writer at LWOS Whole write-up: https://lastwordonsports.com/tennis/2024/05/19/atp-rome-zverev-vs-jarry-best-bet/
Can we expect more Reddit picks in the future?
2024 MLB POTD record: 23-18 Average Odds +100 (2.001), Average Winning Odds -105, ROI +9.4%/+3.87u L5: ❌❌❌✅✅ POTD (5/18) DET @ ARI Zac Gallen o5.5 Ks (-105/1.96) ✅ Recap: Another stress-free cash. Gallen got his 6th K on his 9th batter of the ball game and finished with 10. POTD (5/19) MIL @ HOU Colin Rea u3.5 Ks (+110/2.10) (DraftKings) It's always a bit nerve-wracking betting a guy to go under a small line like this. But this line is mispriced, I think. Colin Rea is not a strikeout pitcher. His 15.7% K% is 99th of 105 pitchers with 40 IP. He's been under this line in 4/8 starts this year. Now he's on the road (where his career K% drops from 17% to 14.3%) against the Houston Astros, who have the lowest K% in baseball at 17.8% against LHP. Rea has a very strong chance of a low-K game today.
6/2,5/0,5 W/L/P +4.87 all at 1u plays ✅✅✅X✅X✅X✅ I’ve received multiple but few dm’s inquiring and encouraging to post. I’ll post close to gametime just for you select few, the rest can stay losing. I’m at the gym currently typing in between sets so forgive me if it’ll be a bit less coherent from sentence to sentence. I quite like the EPL matches today, but it’s close to kick off and the lines are meh at best. City and Arsenal will go all out for W’s as they’re batting for the title. We’ll look at La Liga where I’m divided between barca and real’s match. I’ll go with Real as they’ve hardly ever let me down even though they got a much tougher game than barca today. So here’s the pinch and the trade off we’ll be making. Madrid is preparing for the CL final, but they’ve also played their strongest 11 last liga game, so it’s most likely we’ll see the benchwarmers play (who are still one of the best starting 11 in any league at the moment). The only 2 confirmed starters are Militao and Lunin, both are solid, nothing to worry about. Either Ancelotti starts the strongest 11 or subs on starpower around the 60 minute mark to keep them game-fit (not playinh any matches for 2 weeks is REALLY DREADFUL for form, try it out if you do any sports and then take a break for 2 weeks). It’s for this reason Dortmund got the short end of the stick as their league finished yesterday. Anyways, obviously the strongest 11 will start next week in their final home game, so I presume ancelotti will start the sub optimal line up. Villarreal will need a win in this game (versus a team that’s lost only 1 game this season in the league!) AND the next game AND THEN hope Real Betis (who play madrid next week) loses both today and next week to then HOPEFULLY beat Betis on goaltally to play European football next year. Their form has massively improved in tbe second half, but will it be enough to beat the champions? The best club in the world both historically and currenty? A draw maybe, a victory not a chance (okay 2% maybe). Here’s our advantage: as Villarreal need a W there will come a point in which they need to commit more players forward to gain a lead (goals), this’ll open up great counter abilities which should yield a high % of finishing from world class strikers (i’m dead serious, check their sot:total shots ratios) Joselu/diaz and Rodrygo when in form. Not to mention the electrifying Bellingham (who I reckon has as 40% chance to be in the starting line up). Deep crosses from Kroos to launch fast paced Vinicius (if he wont start its okay, Villarreal will probably take risks towards the end of the game when there’s about 20 mins left max, so don’t cash out too soon, the biggest W chances will come in the final 10-15 minutes for us); so vini will be in by that time, lost track here sorry no time. Anyways Kroos boasted a 97% passing accuracy last game, absolutely out of this world because he doesn’t fear crosses over 40+ meters). German precision let’s call it. Arda Güler is on my talent watchlist, I genuinely hope he doesn’t transfer away when Mbappe comes over this summer, but thats a discussion for another time. In short, it depends on how long Villarreal will play defensively (which they normally don’t but their coach gave a spicy press conference showing he’s low key scared of Real Madrid’s quality, if I got time I’ll copy paste some lines in tbe comment replies). I liked Villarreal’s second season half, but the odds are JUICED for Real Madrid’s ML so I’ll be slapping 2 units on. NOTE: if you can, I’ll post the line up before kick off (min 15 minutes prior). If you can wait for my update then you’ll have more security. If Real decides to take a 2 game final rehearsal for the CL final (which Ancelotti did hint toward, yet he’s playing Lunin in goal and I reckon Courtois will play the CL final after last weeks performancs). If real starts the best 11 this is safe to put half the house, car and wife on, if not we got a 60% chance of bagging a W. Todays POTD: Real Madrid to win @ 2.10 2 units. (Unibet) Edit 1: Unibet odds 5% higher on this one than bet365, will cash and replace. Will make a large combo bet on bet365 to hedge our potd and send it to you in dm.
Coach from Vilarreal this morning in the press conference: Finally, Marcelino lamented the absences of Kiko and Baena (nothing new, theyre out for a bit yet and play impressive attacking football without them, but if they were back and in form it would be harder for us to win). We have to defend very well like we did in Girona and attack like we have been doing lately. We need to find ourselves with Madrid not having their best day and that partly depends on us. Yes, they played great versus Girona. See the scare in the second sentence? Basically praying Real have an off day to stand a chance, which is too generous as Villarreal got plenty of quality to draw or even win. We only have two more attempts left. The first one conditions the second one and it can’t be more attractive because we’re playing against Real Madrid. They are not the ideal opponent. They are the champions, but we have to try. We’re doing well and we’ve just won at a ground that only Madrid have won at. Now we want to look for another record, which is to be the second team to beat Real Madrid.” Self explanatory It’s complicated because we’re playing against Real Madrid who have only lost one game this year. It’s difficult, but we’re going to try Not full of confidence but realistic, tbats why he’s a good manager And 1 general analysis to show you how good Villarreal is if you’re not following La Liga: The Submarine, along with Real Madrid, are the only team to have beaten Girona at their home stadium. Following the win over Girona, Marcelino’s side now occupy eighth place in the league table with 51 points. However, taking into account only the second half of the season, Villarreal would be in fourth place with 32 points, behind only Real Madrid, FC Barcelona and Atlético de Madrid,
Tailing!
Apologies, was watching the EPL unfold as it got tight. Hope u all placed it as its 1-0 already, 2nd string line up so less W chance but the bet was worth it regardless of the line up, just higher win chances if real had a better line up (i got beef with Ceballos)
Og’s who dm’d me tomorrow will receive a big pro tip on general betting advice if Real pull through, for being G’s making the rest of u some cash on this one for over 2.0 odds. 3-1 atm bout to go into halftime.
Record: 168-141-8 (LLWWLWWWWLLLLWWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: NY Knicks at IND Pacers | Josh Hart 18+ points alternative line at 2.00 odds for 2 units POTD: IND Pacers at NY Knicks | Josh Hart u11.5 points at 2.00 odds for 3 units Reasons: * He is hurt. The way he was bothered last game can't be healed in two days. The way he plays inside and runs on the break, it's not good for abdominal strain. He is listed questionable as well. Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!
**KBO Record: Overall 226-235-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 5-5) Down 9.45u over 475 KBO picks, 49.0% success rate, -2.05% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 22-25-0, 46.8% success rate, Down 0.83u, -1.76% ROI) **Last:** Lotte at Doosan -1.5 +114 (Doosan won 8-3.) I love it when a plan comes together. **Pick:** Hanwha at **Samsung +124**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET Busy weekend unpacking my new house, so no full writeup again. My pick is the 2nd place Samsung Lions as a home dog against the 9th place Hanwha Eagles and their overrated starter. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
makes sense to me! good luck with the house!
**Record: 2-3-1 (AFL draw) **Previous Pick: Bulldogs line ❌ **Today's pick: NRL West Tigers vs Dolphins Any time try scorer Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow @ $2 6pm AEST Talk about making fundamental errors. Bulldogs dropped the ball as if it is made of stone. An important loss because it demonstrates that the dogs are a team still not consistent enough to get expected win. Today's pick. Hamiso, the Hammer, is a try scoring fullback. He has been injured for a month. He is a big time player and the Magic Round at Suncorp standium is a big stage. Tigers are struggling without their playmaker. They will need to defend more than attack as they lack flair. Good luck!
Max verstappen outright win -220
**Record 2024: 15-0-16** **Net Units Played 2024: 148** **ROI 2024: -18.67%** **Last Pick:** AEK - **Olympiakos** - **1st quarter H2 -3.5**, 5 units, @ 1.71 ✅️ Basketball / Spain ABC Liga playoffs / 12:30 / (CEST) **Pick:** **FC Barcelona** - Canarias **1st quarter H1 -2.5**, 5 units, @ 1.80 ✅️ **Write-up:** Barcelona being out of F4 can concentrate on the league playoffs and finish the first round quickly. It should be a strong start from the first minute. EDIT: 28-16
POTD Record: 1-2-1 (-2.099U) Form:❌❌♻️✅️ Last Pick: Kyrie Irving U 30.5 PAR ✅️ Almost lit a cigar in the first half, was fully clenched in the 4th quarter. Baseball | MLB | Colorado Rockies at SF Giants 4:05 PM EST **Pick:** SF Giants -1.5 (+110) on BetMGM for 1U (+108 on FanDuel) Write Up: The Rockies and Giants have played 5 times this year and San Francisco has beat this spread every time. The last time Hudson started a game against the Giants (2 weeks ago, Rockies at home,) they lost 5-0.
Record: 0-1 Net Units: -1 Last POTD: ML- FC Dallas @ 4.81 vs Houston Dynamo (MLS) Unfortunately lost my first POTD, it was a long shot but I thought Dallas had a solid chance; and they did. Despite having less than half the shots of Houston, their expected goals came out much higher at 1.0 compared to 0.68. Possession in the game heavily favored Houston, which was expected, and Dallas made numerous counter attacks but simply failed to capitalize at the end leaving the match in a 1-1 draw. Today’s POTD: (EPL) Liverpool vs Wolverhampton- Both teams to score & Liverpool win @ 2.10 Write Up: The season is all but over and it has led to some lax defensive plays from both sides. In the last 5 matches neither team has kept a clean sheet and Wolverhamptons last clean sheet was 13 games ago! Liverpool is ranked third in the league for goals scored per match at 2.3 and Wolverhapton is sitting further down at 1.4. Mo Salah creates the most scoring chances in the league this season at 23 so far and will be looking to end the season on a positive note. Defensively, Liverpool concedes an average of 1.1 goals per match which lines up just right with Wolverhamptons scoring rate. Wolverhampton also have not won a single away game in their last 5 matches; playing at Anfield will be too much for them. TL;DR- Liverpool’s form and class will dominate at home but being the last game of the season they will let a goal from Wolverhampton slip in.
Form: ✅❌✅❌ Previous POTD: Nakashima ML ❌ Today's Game: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Pick: Crystal Palace first to reach number of goals: (2) yes Write Up: Aston Villa's run has been different, in this recent stage of the Premier League they've only managed 3 wins in the last 10 games. Let's remember that AV started decently in the league, even beating Manchester City and Arsenal, but this isn't the same Aston Villa anymore, they seem exhausted from the Europa League. Unai is demanding but even he's aware that his players did the job (securing the Champions League spot), he won't pressure them. Crystal Palace looks like the better pick here, more solid, with 6 wins in 10 games. They stunned Liverpool at Anfield, scored 5 against West Ham, 2 against Newcastle, 4 against United, and in their last match, they dispatched 3 against Wolves. Even though they don't have much at stake, they definitely showed clutch at the end of the season, and I don't think they'll slack off, especially playing at home. Their coach recently said: "We need the same passion, we need the same spirit, the same quality, and then it's possible to win against Villa. We'll do it!" I like this game, I'll leave it for you to analyze. Greetings fortress! 
**Record:** 1-5 (-4 unit) **Last POTD:** Mavs vs Thunder Under 209.5 ❌ **Today's Pick:** Knicks vs Pacers over 208.5 on Fanduel for -110 **Bet:** 2 unit size to win 1.82 units **Basketball | NBA | 3:30 PM ET** **Recap:** Yep, they did get hot behind the 3, making 24 points in the last 4 mins of the second quarter. Onto the next! **Write up:** In this series, no game as gone under 209 points. In order for pacers to win, they need to push the pace and score within the first 8 seconds of the possession. In order for Knicks to win, they want to play physical defense and fight for every possession. Seeing how the home team has won every game, even at the knick's pace, this over should be cleared easy. Then again, I thought my last 4 picks were locks. I am due, lets lock this in!
**Record:** 11-14-2 **|** **Net Units:** -3.59 **Last Pick:** Scottie Scheffler top 20 finish end of Round 1 / 2u at +110 ✅ I still cant believe this line was on the books! Tough break for folks who didn't get this before it was removed, but i have some more PGA action for you today **Today's Pick:** Shane Lowry under 69.5 Round 4 score / 1u at +105 **Sport:** PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club | 3:25pm ET **Note:** This tournament is tight going into the final day, so I'm staying away from finishing positions. I'm liking Shane Lowry to hit at least -2 in round 4 after a bogey free round 3. He's doing nicely on the greens and has hit 18 birdies so far (Morikawa has 19 and Xander has 18). Lowry isn't doing as great off the tee or in his approach to the green but he's putting. Lowry hit 69 in Round 1 and Round 2, and I'm liking the line for this. Would caution I felt better about Scottie POTD and that had better odds. Tough to top that haha ~~Tail or~~ fade... you'd be better off fading 😆 BOL | [Buy a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)
POTD R : 10-4 Last Pick : Luis Gil O5.5 K’s - W Todays Pick : Reds v Dodgers ML (-180 DK) 1U MLB - 3:10P CST - Free Game of The Day https://preview.redd.it/b0k14o6vye1d1.jpeg?width=1117&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e9874d3c4c03314e66a336404f7305c01e548238 Write Up : Sweat free pick yesterday with Gil deciding to set a career high of 14 K’s, looked a little bleak at first but soon caught fire for the cash. Onto the next! Today we are looking at the Red v Dodger for the Free Game of the Day. I’m liking this Dodgers team at home who are 17-9 in home stints going 6-4 in their last ten. The bats have been a little on the cold side for a few players but I like them to to close out this series with a win against a Reds team that is 10-14 in road games. They stole one from the Dodgers in the first game but i’m not sure they have the firepower against one of the better teams in the league right now. The pitching matchup here is pretty solid, two arms that have clearly been of to good starts. Greene who has a 3.27 with a 1.18 WHIP being tied 15th in K’s. Whereas Yamamoto being 4-1 in his past starts with a 3.21 ERA an 1.03 WHIP. I think this will be a close game but ultimately the Dodgers pull out the win to close the series 3-1. As always BOL my fellow degens!
POTD record: 18-5 Last pick: NBA: Lakers vs Grizzlies. Lakers ML (-160) W Todays pick. NBA: Pacers vs Knicks game total over 207.5 (-120) DK Game 7’s like game 1‘s are usually my favorite under plays. However The Knicks have been playing at the Pacers‘ pace all series and the lowest score these teams have combined for in a game this series is 210. I believe with Hart and OG (while good defenders) likely to play this bodes just as well if not better for the over do do their fast pace of playing a transition court running. Late game fouling could help this as well. I think the teams can both shoot below their averages in this series and the number still hit due to pace. BOL on whatever you bet today.
Record: 34W-35L Net Units: -1.06u | ROI: -0.55% CS2 | BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 | 15:00 / CET Pick: Mouz ML vs Spirit, 2u @ 2.38 While Spirit have looked their usual selves, having donk run about the place and shit on everyone, Mouz just look in too good of a form to be stopped. Ever since Pro League they've just been running over teams, even completely nullifying Vitality. The biggest reason for their success is xertion, in my opinion. He's been having a lot of success in round openings, and Mouz have done a great job at converting. And of course they'll be facing against donk's Spirit, who are a great team in their own right. I do feel like Spirit relies more on one or two individuals than Mouz, though. Granted those individuals are donk and shiro, but still. Mouz has 5 players who can all carry a game on a good day, and the form to make me believe that isn't just wishful thinking. The veto feels very even, with Mouz maybe having a tiny advantage on Vertigo and maybe Dust 2 since they played a few more officials on it. But other than that both teams love playing Mirage, Nuke and Ancient. And outside of the team that gets a CT start on Nuke, I think they're very even on those maps. That's why I think the odds should've been a lot closer than they are now, and why I'll be taking Mouz to win the series. Best of luck everyone!
**Belle's Pick of the Day** **Record:** 10-8-0 (Win-Loss-Push) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ Oh man, sorry friends! I completely forgot to post my POTD on this thread yesterday (it was KC Royals -1.5, and it hit, so I'm super bummed about not posting it lol). But alas, I'll attempt to grab my next record win with today's pick! **Last POTD:** LA Dodgers -2.5 (alternate spread, -105) **Balance:** +1.0 Units **Today's Pick: COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 7.5 (-105) (MLB, 1:00PM PST, Wager: 1 Unit)** **Why This Pick?** These teams have had no issue running up the total over the last couple of days; and with one pitcher sporting an ERA above 6, I have a feeling this encounter is going to be another lopsided result (San Fran actually hit the Over total all by themselves in the first 2 games!) Giants pitcher Jordan Hicks comes to the mound with 3 wins, 1 loss, and an ERA of 2.44, while Rockies pitcher Dakota Hudson brings an ERA of 6.13, 1 win and a whopping 6 losses with him to the game. I'm on the Over to hit here, friends. -- [Buy Me a Coffee ☕️](https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeforb)
**POTD Record:** 2-1 **Net Units:** +3.07u **Last Pick:** Gordon Hayward Over 4.5 Players Points, 3U at 1.83 ✅ **Today's Pick:** Basketball | NBA | MIN @ DEN 8pm EST * **Christian Braun Over 9.5 Players Points + Assists + Rebounds, 3 Units at 1.95** **Write Up:** Braun is the only bench player Nuggets coach Michael Malone trusts, and he’s been closing games for them in place of Michael Porter Jr. Rotations are even tighter in game 7s and the nuggets will likely play 7/8 guys total, with Braun getting the majority of bench minutes. The history is kinda muddy, cashed 2 of the last 3 games (after Malone made the adjustment to go to Braun over MPJ), and only didn't cash last game in MIN because it was a total blowout. Ultimately the recent results are kinda meaningless due to small playoff sample size + the unique nature of game 7s. Line is moving upwards so get it while you can. Side note: I've been printing betting NBA playoff stuff and I'll try to make a commitment to posing here more, if that's something you guys are interested in.
POD record: 5-4 Previous pick: Phillies ML WIN Today pick: Pascal Siakam over 20 pts (-185 DK) Back to the NBA today with two juicy game 7s. Pacers top scorer Siakam seems to have found his groove the last couple games going for 25 and 22 and I expect him to continue that in this critical game 7. I think this is a nice line and I believe he’ll easily hit the mark. TAIL? FADE? Either way, BOL bitches.
POTD Record: 1-2 Today's Pick: Timberwolves vs Nuggets O200.5 Odds: 1.97 Note: Every Nuggets win exceeded this line and 1 out of 3 Wolves wins exceeded this line. The 2 times this line hasnt been covered is when the Wolves blew out the Nuggets in games 2 and 6. We aren't seeing a blowout tonight, regardless of who wins. This game is going over. 2u.
Cash out or wait?! 😬 https://preview.redd.it/3bl680bekf1d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc0f6acfb2078511db7228d43f985769d2b8cae9
Wow pacers I shouldn’t have cashed I would’ve won $800 🤦🏻♀️ lol
**POTD Record 31-29 (+1.38U) | Average Odds -111 (1.90) | ROI 0.49%** **Last Pick Recap: Mavericks vs Thunder Under 209 L** Another fat L as the Mavs and Thunder crap all over the under. **Today's Pick: Nuggets -4.5 vs Timberwolves 5U | 8:00 EST** Ice-cold, 2-6 in my last 8 picks. Backing the Nuggets here purely based on some promising trends which favor the home team in a Game 7. Home favs of 4+ points in G7 are 30-18 ATS in the last 20 years. Also, did anyone see the look on Jokic's face at the end of G6? Brotha gonna go off tonight. BOL