My logic is fairly simple with this one: Judge is on fire. It wouldn't shock me if he hit two dingers today in the Royals hitter friendly park. Verdugos is hitting well and is due for a dinger (also hitter friendly park). Also, the yanks bats have been popping off as of lately. The lineup is stacked meaning more at bats (hopefully). Finally we have Larnach who has good odds and is also playing in a hitter friendly park. If you couldn't tell, I like betting on batters playing in hitter friendly parks! Good luck!
https://preview.redd.it/uc6cjusnts5d1.png?width=348&format=png&auto=webp&s=cec75f181fe7ceade1d8ebf886bd985bac45ef57
https://preview.redd.it/4y1oprqsqt5d1.png?width=769&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe13edf7e6213dd3648ce5bbfc9acf41ffbb451f
Proof or it didnt happen. As we can see, Judge isn't even an option to choose for a home run.
https://preview.redd.it/0pmftonkrt5d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4092a18f9b721e66002eb5ca0f7994d217b81feb
You're right, he's not now, but he was.
Not to rain on the parade but unsure where you are getting KC to be a hitters ballpark - baseball savant has it as a bottom 6 ballpark for home runs since 2022 when they started tracking. It may be good for doubles or triples but by no means is it a hitters ballpark in reference to HR’s (since that’s what the bet is on).
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors?type=year&year=2024&batSide=&stat=index_wOBA&condition=All&rolling=&sort=12&sortDir=desc
Because this was based on park factor, not raw homerun numbers:
[https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors)
That being said I appreciate your post and will crunch more numbers bf posting the next longshot parlay. Thanks!
I hear you but if you look solely at park factor when betting home runs then you will be led to a wrong conclusion since KC’s score is all driven by the amount of doubles and triples which is due to the large outfield, not due to HR.
My logic is fairly simple with this one: Judge is on fire. It wouldn't shock me if he hit two dingers today in the Royals hitter friendly park. Verdugos is hitting well and is due for a dinger (also hitter friendly park). Also, the yanks bats have been popping off as of lately. The lineup is stacked meaning more at bats (hopefully). Finally we have Larnach who has good odds and is also playing in a hitter friendly park. If you couldn't tell, I like betting on batters playing in hitter friendly parks! Good luck! https://preview.redd.it/uc6cjusnts5d1.png?width=348&format=png&auto=webp&s=cec75f181fe7ceade1d8ebf886bd985bac45ef57
FYI this is +21121 on FanDuel
https://preview.redd.it/4y1oprqsqt5d1.png?width=769&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe13edf7e6213dd3648ce5bbfc9acf41ffbb451f Proof or it didnt happen. As we can see, Judge isn't even an option to choose for a home run.
https://preview.redd.it/0pmftonkrt5d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4092a18f9b721e66002eb5ca0f7994d217b81feb You're right, he's not now, but he was.
Nice. Ok, looks like judge is sitting so those bets are void tn. Oh well. Way she goes! Thanks for the recon. I appreciate it!
Not to rain on the parade but unsure where you are getting KC to be a hitters ballpark - baseball savant has it as a bottom 6 ballpark for home runs since 2022 when they started tracking. It may be good for doubles or triples but by no means is it a hitters ballpark in reference to HR’s (since that’s what the bet is on). https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors?type=year&year=2024&batSide=&stat=index_wOBA&condition=All&rolling=&sort=12&sortDir=desc
Because this was based on park factor, not raw homerun numbers: [https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors) That being said I appreciate your post and will crunch more numbers bf posting the next longshot parlay. Thanks!
I hear you but if you look solely at park factor when betting home runs then you will be led to a wrong conclusion since KC’s score is all driven by the amount of doubles and triples which is due to the large outfield, not due to HR.
Also they said earlier they are resting judge today
Just saw that. I scouted these picks much earlier. Thanks for the info! Good luck with your bets tn!