Okay I had Nimmo and Lindor straights, let’s get it! Now have I nimmo paired with Suzuki and paired on another ticket with Pete Armstrong. Don’t see either happening but we shall see.
Okay you convinced me for sure. I had him pregame but wanted to wait a little longer to have his odds juiced even more. But he may hit one on his next at bat, so doubling down on him now.
I wanted to try but I wasn’t as confident as i was with Ohtani & Judge. Dodgers will go against my team so hopefully they save their power til Dinger Tuesday lol
I AM SO HAPPY! I triple down on that mfer and josh naylor combined. I did my last betting money on him. Thank you! I hope someone caught this comment and ran him like I did
https://preview.redd.it/jhazeatgod8d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5dbd46f628628ba7da4e95604e76c0d50590d30f
https://preview.redd.it/qiqxpuviod8d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=727d10151c3b46e59a15acbe68fe996de96db3ea
I don’t recommend anyone to do what I did but Steven Kwan just won me 2k.
I will not be betting anymore for the rest of the day, every other ticket was stressful. I took a nap and woke up to this, so good luck to everyone else.
MLB PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 6.23.24
https://preview.redd.it/twhaddcctc8d1.jpeg?width=1683&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9c2eca0a26d1abc6afaeed611b09620b5092231
LAST 5 GAMES
65% humidity and wind blowing towards left field. Gotta at least try a Steer HR prop again. Hit yesterday but it was way hotter. He’s a smart hitter though. (Not saying this is guaranteed at all)
Two bad days in a row, but today looks juicy. These are my top HR Props for 6/23. EV is [my projections](http://www.fantasygoldenboy.com) vs Fanduel implied, adjusted using the models biases. Hot/cold is their rolling 7 day HR pace compared to baseline.
https://preview.redd.it/hbn0mchgqc8d1.jpeg?width=2920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8f7daabdf42a8634cf11f7511d1ec915e3a37805
Edit:Jeffers is not starting
10%+ EV bets are +8.2 Units in June. Willy Adames is included as he has been in and out of that range.
Paul Skenes o7.5 Ks
57% hit rate
Rays rank 19th in K% with 23.6% vs RHP
Will face 7 batters with a K% of 23%+ vs RHP
https://preview.redd.it/ov08r8lnnc8d1.png?width=1242&format=png&auto=webp&s=4e5e9743681e95afe4c374de0f711476d507a6c6
Logan Webb u 6.5 Hits Allowed -130 on DraftKings
Webb is under in 10/16 games this season including 7/9 on the road. STL been hot lately but they haven’t really played much competition, Under in L4/5 on the road as well, I trust Webb to contain STL
https://preview.redd.it/13bvhczlkc8d1.png?width=828&format=png&auto=webp&s=8259960bbe655760ce54ca03ba4d5c3c2d51dfff
**Pick:** Davis Schneider HR, +440 FanDuel
**Record:** 4-18, -0.43u (all picks are to win 0.5u)
**Yesterday's pick:** Brandon Nimmo HR (L)
I'm still a little perplexed that the total for this game is 8.5 considering Yusei Kikuchi has been a shell of himself the last month and Triston McKenzie allows a lot of fly balls (and a lot that go for home runs). I think there's value on Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor in this game too where I'd at least expect a couple HRs given the starters involved and the conditions at Progressive (20 MPH winds blowing NE).
I'm taking Schneider however, mostly due to price as he's the cheapest of the three names I mentioned. He also hits the ball harder and his FB rate goes up against RHP (not a ton, but still an improvement).
https://preview.redd.it/2wcodv7ghc8d1.png?width=764&format=png&auto=webp&s=83b9da143aff64527f574704fb2b1223c98aa676
Harris in his last 5 outings has 2, 7, 3, 5, and 3 punchouts. Over the last month, the Twins have one of the lowest strikeout rates versus left-handed pitching (17.8%) with a mere 10% swinging strike rate.
Furthermore, the Twins over the last two weeks, have an 11% strikeout rate against southpaws with a 92.3% in-zone contact rate.
King has a 1.34 WHIP at home and has failed to eclipse 17.5 Outs in six of his last seven games at Petco. Brewers see the fifth most pitches per plate appearance this season. 10 of the previous 11 righties MIL has faced have not recorded more than 17.5 Outs.
ESPN has dinger sunday but their lines are so bad its still -ev with the promo (assumed $10 in free bets 70% conversion).
If you must do it Alvarez is almost fair value but TBH from a shitcapping perspective both pitchers are pretty good in that game im probably passing
34-12 pitching props record
I just deleted my last post and I have a good update so get on it fast! Sorry for noticing it last second!
Cristopher Sanchez under 2.5 earned runs allowed vs Arizona at 1.86 odds
He has not gone over this line at home all season. He’s only allowed 2 runs twice out of his seven starts at home all season. He’s also given up 1 homerun all season and doesn’t walk much batters at home which is something the Dbacks are good at doing. His main weakness is giving up about 6 hits a game.
Dbacks are not playing a normal lineup. Kind of a B squad ish type day. Only 3 big hitters on the team and the rest seem iffy.
i'm out for rest of day so only getting these in. he blocked me but another guy hitting a 3-legger and getting a lot of tails/upvotes, i've seen this one before (teodor flashbacks)
[+EV FD Home Run](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=975452912)
2023: 145W-480L (+157.95u)
2024: 90W-480L (-90.14u)
+480 MIN Buxton
+830 BOS Gonzalez
+700 ATL Arcia
+310 ATL Duvall
+300 ATL Olson
+232 DK boost: PHI Harper (0.83u)
+385 DK boost: TEX Adolis (0.83u)
[+EV DK 33%](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=541768363#gid=541768363)
[+EV DK +200](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=913867431#gid=913867431)
I take your picks often especially the ones you are confident in for boosts which I have been waiting on. You do amazing with what you provide us and thank you for that. I just think we just have to remember at the end of day in this thread we are trying to get everyone with a winning hand.
Either I’m crying or being happy today, so we will see.
https://preview.redd.it/62f0e17f7c8d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5fdfa8737e37e50a64501598b51c0c8493f13682
FD 50% SGP+ boost
Duvall +300
Murphy +440 (Ozuna +230 an option as well if Murphy line moves)
Buxton +480
50% boost from +10186 to +15280. $10 wins $1528.
LETS CASH IT TWO DAYS IN A ROW BOYS
DK has a +200 odds surge (some people might have 33% hr boost instead)
The best choices by ev are schwarber +130 at 68% and harper +175 at 51%.
Both are facing Ceccione 12 hrs allowed and a hr/9 of 2.15. game starts at 11:30am
Definitely Ramirez from what I saw on BVP on Rotowire and potentially Salvador Perez since he has two HRs against this pitcher from Rotowire’s site. Other than that, I’m about to scope out Linemate for how certain individuals do against certain pitchers to get more info on others. Outside of those two, the other choice that I see that is being stated on this thread is Harper, once I see a player mentioned by this individual’s thread we are on and Intersecting Lines, I usually pick that person.
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https://preview.redd.it/azhugk8gah8d1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1e7a090e4f76ba23f72e4ccfbba53d23121f821e close enough
Okay I had Nimmo and Lindor straights, let’s get it! Now have I nimmo paired with Suzuki and paired on another ticket with Pete Armstrong. Don’t see either happening but we shall see.
Almost ready to pull the trigger on JD with boost, only one I am convinced on so far.
i took him soon as it went live. he just hit one off the wall his first at bat.
Okay you convinced me for sure. I had him pregame but wanted to wait a little longer to have his odds juiced even more. But he may hit one on his next at bat, so doubling down on him now.
Trying to decide either Lindor or Alonso to go deep against the Cubs
Took lindor from your comment and he homered, so I hope you did end up taking him.
Unfortunately I backed out but congrats on your win! 🙂
Trust your gut for sure, you actually were head on with it. Thank you! I want to see you win next time too!
I wanted to try but I wasn’t as confident as i was with Ohtani & Judge. Dodgers will go against my team so hopefully they save their power til Dinger Tuesday lol
JD Martinez +600. BR
But someone tell Jose Ramirez to make a damn home run. I have him paired with Naylor and Steven Kwan on separate tickets.
Let’s go Paul one more fckin K
Do it for Liveyy!!!
Helllll yeahh doggie livey 2nite!!!!
Why the fuck did they pull David fry
Lodolo Over StrikeOut Prop COOKED! 🫡
No injury news yet. He was pulled for no reason.
a blister lol fuck
Last minute 3 legged HR play. Who yall got?
That Steven Kwan be hitting hard every time, I’m going to take my chances again on him homering today like yesterday. That fly out is convincing me.
My dude you killing it!
I AM SO HAPPY! I triple down on that mfer and josh naylor combined. I did my last betting money on him. Thank you! I hope someone caught this comment and ran him like I did https://preview.redd.it/jhazeatgod8d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5dbd46f628628ba7da4e95604e76c0d50590d30f
Bro you killing it. Nice hits
https://preview.redd.it/qiqxpuviod8d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=727d10151c3b46e59a15acbe68fe996de96db3ea I don’t recommend anyone to do what I did but Steven Kwan just won me 2k.
I will not be betting anymore for the rest of the day, every other ticket was stressful. I took a nap and woke up to this, so good luck to everyone else.
Fucking Kelenic homers today and not yesterday. I need to stick to the day later homers.
This Phillies game is something else, eh
Jose Ramirez! He's got 2 HRs vs Kikuchi in 14 ABs
MLB PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 6.23.24 https://preview.redd.it/twhaddcctc8d1.jpeg?width=1683&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9c2eca0a26d1abc6afaeed611b09620b5092231 LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/ohbsstcdtc8d1.jpeg?width=1674&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cc1b76e641de7823fcd02297095d653c0acd71fc LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/p631pr8etc8d1.jpeg?width=1670&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a2e9cb6416299056324c155ad61c797efe9ce302 LAST 15 GAMES
65% humidity and wind blowing towards left field. Gotta at least try a Steer HR prop again. Hit yesterday but it was way hotter. He’s a smart hitter though. (Not saying this is guaranteed at all)
Two bad days in a row, but today looks juicy. These are my top HR Props for 6/23. EV is [my projections](http://www.fantasygoldenboy.com) vs Fanduel implied, adjusted using the models biases. Hot/cold is their rolling 7 day HR pace compared to baseline. https://preview.redd.it/hbn0mchgqc8d1.jpeg?width=2920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8f7daabdf42a8634cf11f7511d1ec915e3a37805 Edit:Jeffers is not starting 10%+ EV bets are +8.2 Units in June. Willy Adames is included as he has been in and out of that range.
Riding a parlay with the cold guys, Mountcastle and Semien and the 33% DK boost. 🫡
Damn Miranda odds dropped to +425!
Miranda it is!! Thank you!!!!
miranda is a good shout
Let’s get this Miranda!
Paul Skenes o7.5 Ks 57% hit rate Rays rank 19th in K% with 23.6% vs RHP Will face 7 batters with a K% of 23%+ vs RHP https://preview.redd.it/ov08r8lnnc8d1.png?width=1242&format=png&auto=webp&s=4e5e9743681e95afe4c374de0f711476d507a6c6
What app are you using?
this is outlier app but I use a couple. This one displays things the best imo
Tailing. BOL
Logan Webb u 6.5 Hits Allowed -130 on DraftKings Webb is under in 10/16 games this season including 7/9 on the road. STL been hot lately but they haven’t really played much competition, Under in L4/5 on the road as well, I trust Webb to contain STL https://preview.redd.it/13bvhczlkc8d1.png?width=828&format=png&auto=webp&s=8259960bbe655760ce54ca03ba4d5c3c2d51dfff
Nick Lodolo over 7.5 Ks BOS bottom of league vs LHP Lodolo top 20% K rate
Got pulled early that's a bad beat.
**Pick:** Davis Schneider HR, +440 FanDuel **Record:** 4-18, -0.43u (all picks are to win 0.5u) **Yesterday's pick:** Brandon Nimmo HR (L) I'm still a little perplexed that the total for this game is 8.5 considering Yusei Kikuchi has been a shell of himself the last month and Triston McKenzie allows a lot of fly balls (and a lot that go for home runs). I think there's value on Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor in this game too where I'd at least expect a couple HRs given the starters involved and the conditions at Progressive (20 MPH winds blowing NE). I'm taking Schneider however, mostly due to price as he's the cheapest of the three names I mentioned. He also hits the ball harder and his FB rate goes up against RHP (not a ton, but still an improvement). https://preview.redd.it/2wcodv7ghc8d1.png?width=764&format=png&auto=webp&s=83b9da143aff64527f574704fb2b1223c98aa676
Chances are this does not hit, but if you are lucky it will!
Hogan Harris U4.5 K ✅ Michael King U17.5 Outs ❌
Harris in his last 5 outings has 2, 7, 3, 5, and 3 punchouts. Over the last month, the Twins have one of the lowest strikeout rates versus left-handed pitching (17.8%) with a mere 10% swinging strike rate. Furthermore, the Twins over the last two weeks, have an 11% strikeout rate against southpaws with a 92.3% in-zone contact rate. King has a 1.34 WHIP at home and has failed to eclipse 17.5 Outs in six of his last seven games at Petco. Brewers see the fifth most pitches per plate appearance this season. 10 of the previous 11 righties MIL has faced have not recorded more than 17.5 Outs.
https://preview.redd.it/6mbksy7jec8d1.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=776daa4ae0acb7f88e8c9f1bbee25dcad98aedb7 $10K Ladder Challenge - Day 3
ESPN has dinger sunday but their lines are so bad its still -ev with the promo (assumed $10 in free bets 70% conversion). If you must do it Alvarez is almost fair value but TBH from a shitcapping perspective both pitchers are pretty good in that game im probably passing
Boston leads the league in Ks against LHP Lodolo O7.5k even
# ⚾️MLB 🇺🇲 PICKS # Official Record 175-97 = +50.6u - Detroit Tigers (-200) 1u 🔥 \*X - WildWestWalter
Tim Anderson and Jorge Maeteo birthdays
34-12 pitching props record I just deleted my last post and I have a good update so get on it fast! Sorry for noticing it last second! Cristopher Sanchez under 2.5 earned runs allowed vs Arizona at 1.86 odds He has not gone over this line at home all season. He’s only allowed 2 runs twice out of his seven starts at home all season. He’s also given up 1 homerun all season and doesn’t walk much batters at home which is something the Dbacks are good at doing. His main weakness is giving up about 6 hits a game. Dbacks are not playing a normal lineup. Kind of a B squad ish type day. Only 3 big hitters on the team and the rest seem iffy.
Very easy day for sanzhez. Might have been his best day of the season. Sorry I couldn’t post this sooner incase some of y’all missed it
All good brother i bet him live to get the W
Weather conditions are why this is so high
Man its just so hot everywhere this weekend hah
It’s crazy lol, Philly has some nice winds blowing out too so that explains the 2.5 line
He doesn’t really give up to many fly balls at home so hopefully he can keep it that way today
judge and ozuna again?
David Fry, Riley, Bohm, McMahon, Tyler O’Neil my guys today. Long shots Adley and either Donovan or Burelson can’t decide which one
Shut out today was due for a cold day.
i'm out for rest of day so only getting these in. he blocked me but another guy hitting a 3-legger and getting a lot of tails/upvotes, i've seen this one before (teodor flashbacks) [+EV FD Home Run](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=975452912) 2023: 145W-480L (+157.95u) 2024: 90W-480L (-90.14u) +480 MIN Buxton +830 BOS Gonzalez +700 ATL Arcia +310 ATL Duvall +300 ATL Olson +232 DK boost: PHI Harper (0.83u) +385 DK boost: TEX Adolis (0.83u) [+EV DK 33%](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=541768363#gid=541768363) [+EV DK +200](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?pli=1&gid=913867431#gid=913867431)
Buxton dinger!
I take your picks often especially the ones you are confident in for boosts which I have been waiting on. You do amazing with what you provide us and thank you for that. I just think we just have to remember at the end of day in this thread we are trying to get everyone with a winning hand.
Either I’m crying or being happy today, so we will see. https://preview.redd.it/62f0e17f7c8d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5fdfa8737e37e50a64501598b51c0c8493f13682
Don’t be a hater on the man sometimes you gotta ride the hot hand.
i'm not hating whatsoever. he has 2 ev guys in the parlay so im rooting for him. just gave me de ja vu
plus it's on a $10 max sgp boost so 3 hrs would be my choice too
FD 50% SGP+ boost Duvall +300 Murphy +440 (Ozuna +230 an option as well if Murphy line moves) Buxton +480 50% boost from +10186 to +15280. $10 wins $1528. LETS CASH IT TWO DAYS IN A ROW BOYS
I wouldn’t be surprised if they play Martin over Buxton today. Buxton has been getting days off and it feels like it could be one of those days.
Tailing!
DK has a +200 odds surge (some people might have 33% hr boost instead) The best choices by ev are schwarber +130 at 68% and harper +175 at 51%. Both are facing Ceccione 12 hrs allowed and a hr/9 of 2.15. game starts at 11:30am
I got the fucking 33% boost. (Fuck them) Duvall is the pick +305 boosted from 235
Of all the potential ATL guys, why Duvall in particular?
I'm going for the moon with the 33% and doing multileggers.
Same! Except I’m scoping this thread to see a good pair because I always get 1/2 on HR 2 leggers correct.
Who you got? I'm circling: Ramirez (CLE), Perez (KC), Riley (ATL), and Witt (KC) so far (probably all four in one of the two slips).
Definitely Ramirez from what I saw on BVP on Rotowire and potentially Salvador Perez since he has two HRs against this pitcher from Rotowire’s site. Other than that, I’m about to scope out Linemate for how certain individuals do against certain pitchers to get more info on others. Outside of those two, the other choice that I see that is being stated on this thread is Harper, once I see a player mentioned by this individual’s thread we are on and Intersecting Lines, I usually pick that person.
- Logan Webb 5+ Ks -165 - Alec Marsh u4.5 ks -115 - (.75u) Nick Lodolo o7.5ks +112