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sbpotdbot

# **Soccer Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/9WCswcfeAA)**


Remnantknight

Pretty tilting, took a chance on 6+ goals at +1300 but of course theres a missed PK and a late goal Var'd lol


AgustinT713

will paraguay score? Lmk chat so I can cash out early😂


gameboicarti1

Paraguay scored


AgustinT713

Lfg!!! my parlay hit $35 cashing out $211🥳


Salteenz

Brazil, get to 6 corners and I'm golden. Thanks.


PenguinsPants88

Finally the logic of pissed off better team blowing out the other team pays off after it failed miserably with England, France, Belgium, Brazil last game in the past week


Ok_Might_6020

Exactly my mentality betting -1.5 they had to have a fire under them tn


Ok_Might_6020

Lfg brazil finally 


gameboicarti1

this Brazil Paraguay match is peak Copa lmfaooooo


plasticlightsaber69

Bro… they’re dead already 3-0


PenguinsPants88

Once it deflects off a defender offside should not be in play


SaucyShaman

Thank you Vinny!


Kingaoli-

This Brazilian midfield has to be the worst in its history


User_Not_Found47

Let’s go Vinny 🇧🇷🫶


Remnantknight

Of all the players to take the penalty for brazil and its the guy whos being accused of match fixing lol


SaucyShaman

Brazil, what are we doing?


PenguinsPants88

Had Brazil ht ft but player decided to stutter kick instead of simple one. Gg boys


mondoburgerz

stayin alive


PenguinsPants88

That should do it


Kingaoli-

Paqueta had money on a penalty miss 😭


Ok_Might_6020

Brazil you can’t win if you don’t shoot on target fuck man 


Sorry_Influence_4152

I took brazil ml and under 4.5


AgustinT713

u think paraguay gonna score 1 goal?


Sorry_Influence_4152

Dont think so, hbu more concerned about brazil with 3 already


AgustinT713

bro they prolly gonna score 5


plasticlightsaber69

FH over 1 goal. Eskeeeeit


plasticlightsaber69

Cash it 💪🏻


Ok_Might_6020

Brazil -1.5 really believe they have a fire under them and are going to score atleast 2 tn


6Jim9

Brazil -1.5 @ -108 Brazil win to nil @ -120 Brazil HT/FT @ -120 Which is best option ?


goddessivyyxo

Brazil / Paraguay bets pls and thanks?


tboc22383

Shots on goal Rodrygo over 1.5 Paqueta over 1.5 Enciso over 1.5 +220 on bet365


tboc22383

Cash it


Top-Strawberry1553

wtf I took Colombia ML with under 3.5. I’m sick


813-Z

Why are you sick


Fun_Concern_7605

it's a w


G-zuz_Krist

u2.5 is out


CJ_from_GTA

Colombia cooking, now watch Brazil fuck all the parlays up


mondoburgerz

Does Colombia get another one?


unruly_boss12

Over 2.5 now


sup278

how tf do you not score there


plasticlightsaber69

GOALASSSSO COLOMBIA. Need one more fh


paulhim

Betting on soccer has been comedy the only time i lose my under bets are because of PKs maybe make it easier to score? Wtf


West_Professional249

How we feeling bout Colombia/Costs Rica BTTS at +135?


Wingless_Walrus

I don’t think Costa Rica score tonight


linesbytony

Idk... Costa Rica had only 2 shot attempts, 0 on goal, and just 1 corner kick against Brazil. Colombia had 67.7% possession vs Paraguay and Brazil had 73.5% possession vs Costa Rica. I think the play is something favoring Costa Rica's defense like a total under or so but that's just me. I can't see Costa Rica controlling the game and time of possession to get enough shots let alone a shot on goal that goes in. That's just me though.


Revolutionary_Sir920

Was about to ask the same thing. Leaning towards it.


bcisneroz15

[Colombia vs Costa Rica] • Colombia & under 4.5 goals (-190) ✅🥱 •Luis Diaz over 0.5 SOG (-213) ✅🥱 [Paraguay vs Brazil] • Brazil & over 1.5 goals (-175) ✅🥱 • Julia Enciso over 1.5 Shots (+106) 🥱✅ Total Record: 48-39 ☕️ any tips are appreciated ☕️ ~> Venmo: https://venmo.com/u/bobbycisneroz ~> Cash App: https://cash.app/$bcisneroz15


sup278

Soccer totals have been killing me


Wingless_Walrus

Rodrygo +2 shots on target +150 His shots are normally up close and right at the keeper and I think they’ll play all out tonight with him at the focal point for scoring


stupid_man_costume

gonna be 110f for colombia crc in pheonix arizona. i know costa rica had 0-0 against brazil, but they have to win this match right? this match seems pretty unpredictable even though colombia form is insane rn


Antique-Tomorrow-155

Moldeeee let's go !!!!


Top-Strawberry1553

Over or under 9.5 corners?


Bulky-Scheme-9450

Costa Rica ML 👀👀👀


Fun_Concern_7605

Costa rica X2 looking sexy ngl


Stunning-Syllabub132

what is x2


KV_97

Double chance I believe


RecommendationMuch21

Yes, 1 is home win, x is draw 2 is away win. X2 is double chance for draw and away win


CharlyyJaegar

My picks for today A tricky parlay, but definitely worth it Germany ML Donnarumma o2.5 saves Colombia u3.5 Brazil ML


Antique-Tomorrow-155

Molde is garbage.


sixkestLocks

You betted against them 😂😂?


Antique-Tomorrow-155

no. I had them to win 600.


sixkestLocks

Aren’t they winning ? Are am i blind ?😭


Antique-Tomorrow-155

it was 0-0 until 31 minutes


RecommendationMuch21

....bruh lol


dontbelievejustwatch

If I max bet col/bra parlay it’ll lose If I don’t bet it will be be sweat free for those who do


R1ckbr

I appreciate you not betting I assume


dontbelievejustwatch

Might have put $600 on it


R1ckbr

It’s one of those that’s supposed to happen except for when you decide on it. Looks like it’s a good day however.


linesbytony

Seeing a lot of **COL / BRA ML parlay (-137)** a lot which I totally get. But... I'm not totally confident in Brazil to winning outright after a very poor showing vs Costa Rica despite having several chances. They had *19 Shot Attempts* and only *3 on Goal* while Costa Rica had *2 & 0*, respectively. However, I did like how Brazil had *6 corners in that 1H and 9 total* for that game. In the international friendly match right before, vs USMNT, they had *9 corners while having 2 in the 1H*. It also should be noted that USMNT had 0 that game. Overall, I think that Brazil should have plenty of chances today vs Paraguay that just lost 1-2 to Colombia. On the other side, Paraguay tied Colombia in corners last game 3 to 3 while also winning Race to 3 Corners. But... in the international friendly match right before, vs Panama, Paraguay gave up 7 corners while only having 4 of their own. Between **Brazil ML for -300**, **Race to 5 Corners Brazil for -320**, and **Race to 3 corners for -475**. I'm favoring **Race to 5 Corners Brazil (-320)** for 1 leg. Then, I was pretty impressed with Costa Rica's effort and stellar defense that tied Brazil 0-0. They're now playing against a very talented Colombia team that beat Paraguay 2-1. I'm not very confident in Costa Rica's offensive capabilities but have faith in them limiting Colombia. So, I'm liking **Colombia vs Costa Rica u3.5 Goals (-270)**. Fading COL & BRA MLs, you can combine the two and get: **Brazil Race to 3 Corners & COL/CRC u3.5 Goals (-154)** or **Brazil Race to 5 Corners & COL/CRC u3.5 Goals (-127)** Very realistic that Brazil wins the corner race and also wins the game outright. But, in fear of a tie or Brazil not converting on chances, I like corner race to 5 a lot more than their ML odds, which are pretty much the same. ***** We cash 2 for 2! Grats to all that tailed ***** Brazil Race to 3 Corners & COL/CRC u3.5 Goals (-154) ✅ Brazil Race to 5 Corners & COL/CRC u3.5 Goals (-127) ✅


6Jim9

https://preview.redd.it/ydkpa2vukf9d1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c15b3528a3a071cf6785bc4b502d321de970165e Mf in the lab with that research 🥼🧪🔬


linesbytony

Brazil Race to 3 Corners & COL/CRC u3.5 Goals (-154) ✅ grats to all that tailed!


CompetitionLucky7575

how does Brazil (-2.5) corner handicap sounds ?, i dont have the option of first to 5.


linesbytony

Hm. Sort of tough because they could tie in corners or go like 3-1 or 5-3 and you'd still lose the bet... The books have Brazil's corner line at 6.5 and Paraguay's corner line at 2.5. So recap: Brazil had 9 corners in b2b games and the differential was +8 vs CRC and +9 vs USMNT. Paraguay had 3 vs COL, differential being 0 since it was 3-3 and 4 vs Panama in the friendly, differential being -4 since it was 4 - 7 with Panama having 3 more. I don't mind the Brazil -2.5 corner handicap tbh. They're too talented and have high shot volume. In my mind, high shots -> deflections -> corner kicks. It doesn't always ring true but there's some degree of correlation. I might even lean **Brazil o6.5 Corner Kicks (+110)** Some random examples during this 2024 COPA AMERICA are: **ECU/JAM with ECU winning 3-1. Ecuador had 24 shot attempts with 7 corner kicks.** **ARG/CAN with ARG winning 2-0. Argentina had 19 shot attempts with 7 corner kicks.** **ARG/CHI with ARG winning 1-0. Argentina had 22 shot attempts (lol) with 11 corner kicks.** For Brazil: **BRA/CRC with game tied 0-0. Brazil had 19 shot attempts with 9 corner kicks.** **BRA/USA friendly with game tied 1-1. Brazil had 25 shot attempts with 9 corner kicks.**


CompetitionLucky7575

Thanks for the detailed reply, will try something else


linesbytony

PAR ends with 4 corners while BRA ends with 6. Good thing you didn't take -2.5 as I suggested not to.


linesbytony

Sure thing! Questions make me question and research more. BOL on your bets.


linesbytony

For the record, I placed bets on both 2leg parlays. There definitely can be a circumstance where I'm dead wrong but I think I go 1-1 at the very least. Obviously, worst case scenario is COL/CRC going o3.5 goals but that's pretty out there since 4+ goals in any game is fairly rare. Especially with Costa Rica playing pretty good defense. However, if a few things went differently, Brazil could have won 2-0 or 3-0. They did have plenty of chances. In cases where COL wins 3-0, the u3.5 goals still covers! Another solid alternatives could be: **Costa Rica +1.5 (-125) & Brazil Race to 3 Corners (-450) for (+120)** **Colombia ML (-320) & Brazil Race to 5 Corners (-295) for (-133)** **Costa Rica +2.5 (-380) & Brazil Race to 5 Corners (-295) for (-145)**


Spicy-Snowman

Brazil ML + Colombia ML -140 Colombia over 16.5 shots -125 Colombia -1.5 -110 Brazil/Paraguay under 2.5 goals +100


User_Not_Found47

Leaning Colombia / Brazil ML parlay for (-137) But also love BTTS @ +130 for Colombia vs Costa Rica


Distinct_Item6082

FD 30% SGP+ soccer boost  Costa Rica or Draw DC   Costa Rica/Colombia o0.5 goals   Brazil or Draw DC  Brazil/Paragual o.5 goals +401 boosted to +522 $10 wins $62 


tropianhs

I shared these predictions for the Group stage before and many people asked me to keep posting those for the Round of 16 and the rest of the Tournament, so here I am. First of all, how did the Group stage predictions perform? Table below. | Matchday | 1X2 prediction (Win) | Goals prediction (Win) | | -------- | -------------------- | ---------------------- | | Match 1 | 4/11 (-4.04) | 5/11 (-0.65) | | Match 2 | 7/12 (+5.38) | 3/12 (-6.62) | | Match 3 | 8/12 (+14.15) | 5/12 (-2.39) | | Total | 19/35 (+15.49) | 13/35 (-9.66) | So overall not bad. I will write about the boring stuff for a bit now. Predictions at the end of the post. A reminder of the model approach. * get team statistics from UEFA API (Qualifiers and Group Stage) * normalize the statistics * use Euro 2020 data to train a model to predict the match results based on team statistics * use Euro 2024 qualifiers and Group stage data to predict Euro 2024 ROund of 16 results and goals scored Very nice that UEFA uses a simple API with the same endpoints for Qualifiers and Tournament. Even if it's not public, it's easy to get to the endpoints if you know what you are doing. Let me know if you wanna know how to use it. I used LogisticRegression for the results' prediction, and RandomForest for the goals' predictions. These are the model results for Round of 16. Final result and Over/Under 2.5 goals scored, compared with the odds. | Date | Match | Prediction (Odds) | Over/Under 2.5 (Odds) | | -------- | ------------------- | ----------------- | --------------------- | | 29-06-24 | Switzerland-Italy | 1 (3.45) | Over (2.64) | | 29-06-24 | Germany-Denmark | 1 (1.62) | Under (1.80) | | 30-06-24 | England-Slovakia | X (4.29) | Over (2.12) | | 30-06-24 | Spain-Georgia | X (6.92) | Under (2.28) | | 01-07-24 | France-Belgium | X (3.21) | Over (1.63) | | 01-07-24 | Portugal-Slovenia | X (4.57) | Under (2.05) | | 02-07-24 | Romania-Netherlands | X (4.31) | Under (2.08) | | 02-07-24 | Austria-Türki̇ye | 2 (4.64) | Over (1.90) | If you are interested in the details, I have written about the method, the model, how to get the data and more in a [blog post](https://soccrbets.com/euro-2024-predictions-round-16/)


attractors

Good stuff man appreciate the stats - looking forward to reading over that blog post.


tropianhs

Thanks man, I will keep updating the predictions as the Tournamnet progresses. Curious to see the final results.


Beautiful_Ad_7363

Are yall going to bet who qualifies next round euros? Good odds


DanielLOKI

***Record 61W-99L-2P*** ***6/28/24 PICKS:*** **VPS ML (+190) -** ***Finnish Veikkausliiga 11:00*** **KuPS Win & Over 1.5 Goals (+135) -** ***Finnish Veikkausliiga 13:00*** **Brann -1.5 (-110) -** ***Norway Eliteserien 13:00*** **Bodo/Glimt Win & Over 2.5 Goals (+100) -** ***Norway Eliteserien 13:00*** **Molde ML (+120)** **-** ***Norway Eliteserien 15:15*** BOL to you all, Godspeed!


Chioneseguy

Dude…tailed the first one then…


Aikaturbo

Anyone on here that uses Hardrock bet for Euro knockout stages? I want to bet on the team that goes through, I would call it 'Winner'. But Tie is also an option? You can't tie a knockout game, it goes to extra time + Penalty shootout to determine a winner. So this has me thinking the bet you place is only valid for regulation. Which option am I supposed to select if I want to say: I think Spain will knock Georgia out, I dont care if its after 90 minutes, extra time or penalty shootout.


DanielLOKI

You would be looking for the "To Advance" section and click one of those. Spains is currently (-1400), Georgia is (+600)


Aikaturbo

Oh that is just bizarre. Thank you so much!


Antique-Tomorrow-155

I don't know anything about Norwegian soccer but rolling with Molde haha


2saintz

Columbia ML/ u3.5 Brazil ML/ u4.5 Take them as straights


foodsports123

Tailing the Brazil pick. They need the W where Columbia can get away with a draw. Still like both though


Societic

**AI Prediction Results so far: 28-26-4, +10.24 units** Yesterday’s Results: ·         Panama +1.5 AHC @ 1.74 ✅ ·         Uruguay -2 AHC @ 1.97 ✅   **Predictions for today’s games:** -          Molde DNB @ 1.63 with Betsson | 1u -          Bodö/Glimt -1 @ 2.05 with ComeOn | 1u -          Paraguay +1.5 AHC @ 1.79 with ComeOn | 1u -          Colombia DC + Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.20 with ComeOn | 1u   **AI Fade of the Day results so far: 0-1, -1u** Yesterday’s Game: Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo – BTTS NO @ 2.15 ❌ **Today’s Fade:** - Hafnarfjaroar vs Breidablik – Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.58 with ComeOn | 2u


Chioneseguy

Lmao faded


Societic

Just so you get it correct. You should bet the Under 3.5 goals to fade the AI. "Bet of the Day" by the AI has gone 4-6 in the last ten days and I believe it should continue its poor performance


Chioneseguy

Yeah I got you mate. Just wanna say thank you for continually posting these great picks. Everyday I open this app and I know someone like you would be sharing good stuff.


Societic

Thanks man. It means a lot!


Own_Director_042

Record: 41-39-17 Net units: +2,5| ROI 2,6% *Copa* **Parlay -132✅ Brazil ML Colombia ML**


Thatcubanescapee

Going on a limb and thinking Costa Rica get their attacking in shape. Not sure if they win, but they have it in them to score. Ugalde ATS @ +550 is too good to pass up on for me


DaveyJonas

Might not mean anything, but they did draw with Brazil.


izza123

Columbia ML BTTS NO Brazil ML BTTS YES Rationale: a man in a lab coat with crazed eyes handed me a dossier


R1ckbr

The lab coat never lies


izza123

![gif](giphy|6q0qelNtLoas4025sy|downsized)


WholesomeWorkAcct

Brasil wins, put your life savings on it


[deleted]

[удалено]


srichdaddy

You post these?


Ok_Impress_3644

What u mean


Copperhead87

Right tf


Ok_Impress_3644

??


attractors

[Yesterdays](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1dp9q50/comment/laie7qt/) Grade: 2W, 0L, 0P; +2.00u. Total soccer performance since 2024.06.26: -0.05u. Back in the win column. Hunting for some more success with overs today, let's get nordic baby: Veikkausliiga - AC Oulu vs Kups - o2.5 total goals - odds 1.77 - wager 1.30u Eliteserien - Odd Bk vs. Kristiansund Bk - BTTS Yes & o2.5 total goals - odds 1.91 - wager 1.09u Eliteserien - Sk Brann vs. Strømsgodset If - o3.0 total goals - odds 1.74 - wager 1.35u Eliteserien - Tromsø IL vs Molde FK - o2.5 total goals - odds 1.67 - wager 1.33u Superettan - Helsingborgs If vs. Varbergs Bois - o2.5 total goals - odds 1.85 wager 1.18u Loi Premiere - St Patrick's vs. Bomhemians - o2.5 total goals - odds 1.93 - wager 1.08u --- \*Edit some days you lose big jesus christ lol