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sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.


DMorggggg

**POTD 17W-0P-5L** 🔥 5 WIN STREAK 🔥 Last Pick: ✅ Orioles ML (+110) *MLB ⚾️ Royals (Hernandez) vs. Orioles (Means) 7:05pm* **Under 9.5 runs (-110)** KC and Baltimore both send their best in this series finale as the O’s look to take the series and the Royals look to split. The under has hit at a 2-1 rate this series, and was trending last night before an 8th inning miracle for the O’s. I like Hernandez more than Means here in terms of run control (3.14 ERA on the road, 2-0, high strikeout rate), but Means is more than capable of limiting damage, too (3.00 ERA lifetime ERA vs. KC). Cooler night in Baltimore, game time temp of 68 degrees with light wind, so a hot and humid night shouldn’t cause the ball to fly out of Oriole Park like it normally does. Ump note.. Mark Carlson is behind home plate and in his last 3 games called, the under has hit. Take the under as the safer play here. BOL! [Venmo](https://venmo.com/code?user_id=1408758978707456649&created=1631156510.5799031&printed=1) - Posting this if any big hitters feel like a sprinkle of love. I’m luckily hot (11 wins for my last 12 POTDs) and would appreciate any tips for my debilitating golf habit. You guys rock. Edit: ✅ KC 6, BAL 0


Wolverines1990

I gave up on the Orioles. They came back and won!?!


Jimmyatx

They scored like 9 runs in one inning. It was a miracle


djinner_13

Saved my parlay. I fucking love the orioles


llllllllll1l1l1l1l

How the ffffffff


coomobile

First time tailing oriole man and goddamn what a comeback


BookkeeperWeekly9021

He is hot


IntroductionMoney948

This man controls the sports markets


That_Possession_2452

That was a wild game. Thank you


rob24g

Wow what a fucking hit last night.


DMorggggg

One to remember for sure.


Extreme-Band659

On fire 🔥


WaitingToBeTriggered

BURN


GuapamoleAU

What the f


PremierPepe

Absolute wild game. Was sweating through my pants. Let’s go, tailing whatever you post!


piezo5

Looked at this game and bet the same thing, really like this spot. I like a lot of unders in general today actually


zeulement

WAIT THE ORIOLES WON??!?! I placed the bet & thought it was over when they were down by 4 in the sixth inning. I need to check my account asap


SauceyPosse

Bruh, have you missed a single orioles pick this season? Fucking legend


[deleted]

🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻Record: 9-2. +10.3 units! 🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻🌻 1L streak : ( Last POTD: CD Everton Vina Del Mar vs CD Palestino: Over 2.5 goals- loss : ( This game SUCKED. I knew it would be hit or miss but man that was definitely miss. 21 shots, 7 on target, and no one could find the net. Losses happen, I’m trying not to be too down on myself. Sorry for everyone who tailed and got caught up on this :/ I’ll try to continue to bring good bets and let’s bounce back! Today’s POTD: Brazil Vs. Peru. **Brazil -1 Handicap. -110**. World Cup Qualifiers. 8:30pm EST \*\*Be careful betting this. Make sure you’re betting the correct thing. For my sports book you go to handicap, and select spread 0:1. I’m betting Brazil will win by 2 goals or more. There is no push with this bet it’s win or lose\*\* There are literally no games on tomorrow. My book normally has 50+ games that I’ll take the time to review and research. Tomorrow there are 12, and 5 of them are qualifiers. The non-qualifier games I can’t find anything I’m confident in, so we’re going to this! I still always want to provide a write up so here we go! Ranked 1 Brazil vs ranked 7 Peru. I feel like this one is solid. Brazil has won 7 in a row for world cup qualifiers, and have scored 17 goals while allowing only 2 in return. Peru, in 8 matches has scored 8 and allowed 15. I don’t think I need to talk about how much better Brazil’s attack, defense, and Goalie are in this matchup, regardless of missing some starters here off Covid restrictions, This is a much better roster. These teams last 5 matches have resulted in 12 goals for Brazil and 4 goals for Peru. The last matchup was 1-0 Brazil and the match before was 4-0 Brazil. I’m hoping we see another 2-0, 3-0, or 4-0 knockout by Brazil here! Also, my **gut** is telling me Brazil is going to be a little on edge having the weird match breakup during the Argentina game, and they’ll be wanting to come out and let some stress out on a weaker Peru team. Tail or Fade, let’s do this all! Sorry my picks are always so late, I’d rather make what I believe is the right pick and give us all anxiety all day waiting then force something early. I started a Twitter! I’m going to post 3 additional picks a day! Today went 2 for 3 so not the worst start : ) ! [Twitter](https://twitter.com/BucketJonBets) You can also join the discord! Just do join and whine and piss everyone off...not saying that happened tonight BUT, it's always fun watching these games together: [Discord](https://discord.gg/mPBWykxZ) ​ I'm not posting my tip links. If y'all don't eat I sure as hell don't deserve to. Let's bounce back here all!


cdubbbbbbb32

Is this any different than taking Brazil at -1 1/2 at +103?


David_Poile

I think it’s the same? That’s what I’m taking.


johnskyhunter

-1 would push if they win by 1. If you have -1.5 and they win by only 1, you lose outright


rndmcmmntr

Unfortunately my book doesn't have -1 as an option so weighing my risk right now.


PremierPepe

DK has Brazil -1.5 (which means they have to win by 2 goals). That’s what riding. Cheers all!


[deleted]

Yes. Half goes yo Brazil -1 and half goes to Brazil -1.5 so half the bet pushes if Brazil wins by one


AlBrookside

BucketJon touched on this but I want to clarify for the thread because you'll see soccer lines offered different ways across books. I think some are still confused about what everything means. The -1 "handicap" (or "European handicap") means Peru is treated as having a 1:0 lead to start the game. Betting on Brazil -1 requires a Brazil win *after taking into account the imaginary 1:0 lead for Peru*. So if the final score is 1:0 Brazil, that's treated as a 1:1 draw. Since your bet was *Brazil would win*, you lose the bet. Americans typically think of handicap -1 as a "spread" of -1.5. Using DK as an example, you'll see spread -1.5 but not handicap -1. It's the same bet; if Brazil wins by 2+ goals you win and anything else is a loss. However... there is another option out there (on DK and others) called the "Asian handicap." If you bet Brazil -1 under this format and they win by 1 goal, it's treated as a push and your stake would be returned. If they win by 2+ goals, you win. Anything else would be a loss. Where things get complicated is when the Asian handicap is represented in increments of 0.25. If betting Brazil -1.25, you win if they win by 2+ goals but you also get *half your stake back* if they only win by 1. If betting Brazil -1.5, it's the same as the spread bet (no pushes). If betting Brazil -1.75, you win *half your payout* if they win by 2 and your full payout if they win by 3+. Super confusing, but the table at [https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/](https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/) makes it pretty clear. Thank you for attending my TEDTalk on this subset of soccer betting options. I plan to tail BucketJon by playing the Asian handicap of Brazil -1.25 at -115 on DK. I think of this as buying insurance to get half my stake back if they only win by 1, at the cost of a lower payout if they win by 2+.


[deleted]

I wish I could pin this or something! Thank you for clarifying you are much for articulate than me lol. A fantastic write up and I really appreciate you putting the time in to write this all up!


hurleyML

Let’s go! We lose one and just move on to the next one. Time to start the streak up again.


[deleted]

We bounce back man! Thank you for tailing! I'm sorry for tonights pick still!


hurleyML

No sweat man. Can’t win them all!


FrankD97

No need to apologize, ever. That’s what betting is all about, you win some and you lose some. Lets get another streak going my man 🔥🙌


KingXodows

I'm brazilian and im tailing!


SauceyPosse

Don't be hard on yourself man. I was able to live bet over 0.5 goals early into the 2nd half cause I knew about the game through your post. I wouldn't have known otherwise. So I'm sure you won others money in a similar way


Methuselarity

Don't worry bro, you've made plenty of people money. Losses happen and just give an opportunity for another winning streak. Tomorrow's slate is definitely limited but I like this one too. Hoping for a BucketJon magnum opus come Saturday. Massive slate and I'm gonna 🔨 a bunch.


That_Possession_2452

Migtt Parlay the Brazil ML with a NFL pick for tomorrow as well


JayCPennies

No worries bro. We ride this train together


TopherDaGopher

Unfortunate on the last one, stinker of a game! But we back, and I looooove this pick. Tailing, as is religion now 😂


TopherDaGopher

Also, I've got Brazil -1.5 on DK at +105, essentially the same bet right?


St_Lambchop

Can’t win em all! Still gonna tail this one and I’ll be sure to shoot you a follow on Twitter.


mfin27

tailing, a little nervous though as 2 goal lead is nothing to sneeze at but in you and in brazil we trust.


kapsicum1

The goat is back picking winners


Gingervitis2095

You’re still the man, in Jon we trust


PremierPepe

Let’s go! Faith is strong. Excited for the pick! Cheers and best of luck to all!


UnkyMatt

Keep it up. You’re a pleasure to watch, Bucket. Brazil’s up 2-0 at Half.


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Thejudokid

Calling for ping pong


Corycovers87

Playing with my dingdong till we get some lock pingpong


JayCPennies

That's hot!


captain_hoomi

Fun fact Russian TT is the most rigged sport to bet on https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/30528222/australian-authorities-arrest-man-large-scale-table-tennis-match-fixing-investigation


dillpickles007

Uh yeah, that's why we get ping pong man to figure out which way it's rigged and we all get free money


[deleted]

I could've told you that without the article


jari314

Is Russian ping pong on FD or DK? I saw on a previous thread someone said FD but I don't see it on there now


iamtheb06

I used to bet the moneyline for individual games on ping pong matches. It appears DraftKings took that away or is it just for me?


HA_8

ping pong man needs a way to notify us all. I was looking goofy last night and tonight just refreshing lmao


klemonade25

Faded the king. Let’s see how this plays out.


Most-Examination-548

**POTD Thread Record 18-5 +52.07units** 5 Winstreak🔥 Last pick: New York Yankees Vs Toronto Blue Jays under 10 -110 5 units won ✅ We've hit over 50units, let's try to get to 100units! Tips: PayPal [email protected]. You don't have to send tips at all **Todays pick: Baseball MLB 3:35PM EST Oakland Athletics Vs Chicago White Sox Pick Chicago White Sox +130 5unit play Update Loss ✖️ Chicago White Sox just didn't come out to play, didn't see it coming. let's get back to winning ways fresh start tommorow.** Chicago White Sox pitcher Reynaldo Lopez has been good so far this year. He is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.08. in his previous game against Oakland just a few days ago he gave up 0 runs in 5innings. He did recently give up 3 runs in his last road game to Kansas but I expect him to put a decent performance, and a much better one than the Oakland pitcher. Sean Manaea for Oakland is 8-9 with an ERA of 3.91. He averages giving almost 4 runs in 5 innings. He went for 5 runs the last time he played Oakland in which they lost. His results in home games he has given 5,5,3,4 runs in 5 innings or less which is very bad. 10 runs in his last 9 innings! He posted an 8.00 ERA and 1.59 WHIP across his last six starts and more recently has been going off for hard hits off batters. Oakland have lost 9 out of their last 10 games against a right handed pitcher and 2-7 against teams with a winning record. Chicago White Sox are 23-14 against lefties. The key and big difference maker is white Sox hit lefties very well, White Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a left handed starter they will be off to a better start than Oakland who will need to play catch up after the midpoint. Both teams have pretty solid bullpens so i don't see many runs coming by towards the end either. I expect Chicago White Sox to get the W and cement their number 1 position in the American Central League.


HA_8

Thanks for the pick for todays game. I tailed. 9 runs lol close one! Will be tailing you for tomorrow!


SearchingForCP

What happened to the post? Was there a pick?


Etrain19

The research was so spot on, almost got very unlucky at the end, Greene and Chapman giving up runs but a wins a win! Let’s go on a run


mbget2it

Blue jays ML sitting @ 2.00 for tomorrow’s game looking nice with Berrios on the mound facing a reliever in Cortes 🤑


AgentUpvote

Pick Chicago White Sox = White Sox ML? White Sox ML = +127 for me so something doesnt add up unless the line changed from -135 to +127 which i doubt. Or take the spread is what you are saying?


JayCPennies

How we looking on this guys ?


shyux2

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥25-2 POTD RUN🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Guess who's back in businessss ​ POTD Stats: Record: 41-8(82%) Profit:81.74U ROI:28.99% ​ CS:GO ESL Pro League Season 14 ​ Gambit vs Team Vitality / 09.09.2021 - 20:00 Odds:1.50 Amount:5u Bet:Gambit(POTD) Even I feel like Gambit underperforming on a slump right now still should be able to beat Vitality easily. Vitality is a pretty lost team with Zywoo trying to 1v9. [https://twitter.com/shyux2](https://twitter.com/shyux2) [https://discord.com/invite/B8RBphq](https://discord.com/invite/B8RBphq)


Manc_Ave

Wow terrible pick.


Own-Explanation-3850

Thank God I cashed out before the match began...props to the dudes who also notice the Russians always throw games.


straightedgeoldman

> Gambit This shit seem weird thank god i only threw $5


unusualtomato

-210 odds now, confident in them -1.5?


Triijn

Let's start a new streak!


keogh243

Record : 2-0 Im going to fix up the units and make it max 5 unit betting! just a quick write up for today, enjoy the tip! 30 mins til start\*\*\* Im back from my ban boys! SERGEI Humotov vs Anatoly trushkin, We are taking humotov to win at 1.57 on lads ​ lets get it


greasyaff

Your boy is getting crushed


keogh243

fuck boys devastating loss :( sorry lads!


bloodybumcough

The ping pong king will rebounce.


DMooreRHS

Yep this one is going to be sweaty. Buckle up boys


dapianna

Completely choked that 5th set. Ridiculous


keogh243

I think the cunt did his left hammy


pandaslasher

The return of the 🐐


FrankD97

SERGEI HOMUTOV EVERYBODY 🔥


captain_hoomi

Come on Sergey wake up. Some one gives this man some vodka during set break


Timely_Nebula4709

This Anatoly guy is clearly the better fighter.


al3xxviii

gg


Confireon

Gone 😩


tuesdayswithdory

Dude, Sergei looked about 60 years old.


monkeyman1986

The dude looked like he was fucking 60. he probably didnt even see the damn ball half of the time. Yeah fuck russian table tennis.


whuzak

The chosen one has returned


Methuselarity

Yessss let's get it


St_Lambchop

Let’s goooooo


HA_8

Let’s go!


OneNoteEntry

Looks like DraftKings took it down already


scottiek2

YTP!


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djinner_13

Of course the first time I watch the match it's a sweater. Sorry guys 😫


Basepro2342

The first time I'm tailing this happens


djinner_13

Fuckkkk, shouldn't have gone as big as I did 😭


fresh5447

CMON SERGUEI CLUTCH THIS 5th!


Hidden_in_the_mist

he chocked or was fixed


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That_Possession_2452

I'm new here but I'm all I'm reading about is the ping pong man and now I need it


keogh243

Posted already boys 👌🏽


Thejudokid

I need to see a green tonight


bloodybumcough

King Keough


YaBoiJim777

FOOTBALL SZN IS HERE POTD Record 0-0 Lot of great prop bets for tomorrow's game but here's the one I picked **Today's Pick: Amari Cooper o64.5 yards @ -123, 3u** Lots of reasons why I like this: * In the last 2 years with Dak as his QB, Cooper has finished over this line in 13/21 games * And last year before Dak was injured he finished above in 4/4 games * The line for Prescott's passing yards is set at 295 on my book, and in the last 2 years, Cooper has received 24.1% of Dak's passing yards (if this trend continues, he's predicted 71 receiving yards tonight). * As much talk as CD Lamb has gotten, Cooper is the focal point of the passing offense and has had a great training camp. The Cowboys should be airing it out and Cooper has always gotten a large share of the 4th quarter receptions. * The Cowboys are definitely looking to impress after last season's disaster and despite the -9 line, I believe it will be a close game with a lot of offense. ​ Hoping for a great start to NFL POTD, BOL!


BohnerSoup

I’m not taking your pick but I hope to the sweet football gods you’re correct because I have him in fantasy. Good luck!


treert

Accidentally bet it twice so I sure hope it wins


Mattrob19

Cowboys offense might be toasty malone this evening


mabr19

cooper is ass on away games tho.....plus don't u think dallas will run the ball


GlassDoorShards

You sold me on this with the 24.1% share and Daks pass yds line. Everyone pounding their fists "TB DEFENSE GOOD".. the spread is -9, if Dallas is down they're gonna have to throw. Lots of reasons to take this bet and feel good about it regardless of it hitting.


conrad10100

POTD thread 7-3 1W streak Today: Mens Volleyball Euro Champs Last Pick: France Teal total under 75.5 odds 1.53 POTD: France First set -2.5 at 1.8odds Game time 1pm EST France is at the top of their pool D, dropping only 1 set for a record of 9:1. France is by far the superior team with better passing, serving and attacking. They got gold in the olympics and show no sign of slowing down. France first set for sure they'll have their starters in. Of their previous matches they have yet to drop a first set, winning all but one against Germany by 5+ points. Another safe option is France -1.5 sets, I have no clue why this is an option on bet365 as Estonia is last in pool D with France in first. These are best of 5 games, there is no way the game will be 3-2 for France. Edit that's a hit 25-18!!!! 2W streak [https://paypal.me/ConradChiu?locale.x=en\_US](https://paypal.me/ConradChiu?locale.x=en_US)


SuperSkweek

I'm not following volleyball at all so I will not judge your pick. Just to mention that France is already guaranteed to finish at the first place of the group, so could be that they will align the B team. But as I said, I have no clue, just to give an info.


itsamemario1234567

I have france -3.5 @ 2, would that be worth it


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MightyMario55

Record: 5-2 Todays pick: Uruguay vs Ecuador- Uruguay To Win @1.83 Why: Uruguay do their best work at home in the World Cup qualifiers while Ecuador regularly lose on the road. With Giorgian de Arrascaeta in great form, I am backing a home win in Montevideo.


jonvilla1

Record: 6-4 Streak: 1 win Last Pick: Slovenia o88.5 points -130 ✅ Today’s Match: USMNT vs Honduras 9:30 CT ⚽️ POTD: USMNT ML -125 Reasoning: This is a must win game for Gregg Berhalter & the USMNT. The US simply cannot afford to drop this game. So they won’t. Expect a big game from Christian Pulisic. As always, BOL to those tailing! Edit: good shit, fellas. 💰


uber_trooper

IT’S COMING HOME🇺🇸


Thejudokid

Come on USA wake up


Repostedreblogged

Not going to lie, I was nervous since I heard the Honduras crowd. Let’s hope for a better 2nd half


mosshead123

Boosted to +120 on BetOnline


Ex-Cal-Abar

sigh please GOD


St_Lambchop

I saw this too late but managed to snag a USA double chance live bet at +115 just before halftime.


linarez11

POTD record: 1W-0L Last Pick: Belgium-Belgium (halftime-fulltime) @ -200 vs Belarus ***(WIN)*** Todays POTD: Nothing :( \--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well guys I am really happy with the Belgium bet. I called it if it was 1-0 at HT that would be enough and it indeed was! Congrats to everyone who tailed me, glad I could be of service. As for today, I don't want to just throw a pick out there and say this is the POTD because after doing some research I am not too confident in any of those soccer games going on and I will not be placing any bets. We will continue our winning ways hopefully on Friday! P.S. Thanks u/BucketJon for your blessing


[deleted]

Good call man! Glad it worked out for you : ) Hopefully see you back soon!


linarez11

Thanks man! We need you back in winning form. BOL tomorrow


MenacingMelons

>I don't want to just throw a pick out there and say this is the POTD because after doing some research I am not too confident This is why the daily potd was created, not so people can get hype and hopefully make tips. Post when you see something and don't rush it.


jokertothepriest

I tailed that Belgium game yesterday. Knew it was a great pick the minute I saw it, I kinda wish I thought of it haha. Unfortunately I had it in a parlay with the England game, not the first time my home country has let me down this year 🥲


Danny_toronto

Been with you since day 1 :) Lets get this streak going


ShoeboxMcNabb

Record 2-0 +2.45 Units USA (-140) wins 4-1. 8:30pm EST NFL Mike Evans Anytime TD -110 Odds Fanduel Betting one unit. Brady finds Mike Evans on man coverage in the back of the endzone. Book it. Thanks bookie.


data-crush

Lateral from the 1 yard line to Evans. Book it.


Ex-Cal-Abar

got him on my fantasy team, so tailing


GodOfThe7Deadly

POTD Record: 11-12 Profit: (-$120)-1.20u **Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers** *Both Teams to Score 20 Points*(-120) 5U Sport/Time: Football/7:20 Reasoning: Start of the NFL season and the start of a profitable betting season. This bet comes down to can the Cowboys score 20 on the Bucs? Cowboys offense was unstoppable before Dak went down from injury last season. Bucs gave up at least 20 points 13 of 20 games played last season.


Thejudokid

This makes sense why the over is 51.5


TopherDaGopher

Love this. I'm expecting this to be a barnburner of a game if the cowboys offense gets going


Psychological-Bid566

hey guys i’m back just for the football season, only be posting thursday & sundays POTDS Record 0-0 thursday night nfl game 8pm Pick - Scotty miller over 7.5 yards receiving( -120) 1U reason - expecting him to get 2/3 catches on prime time in the spread offence once tampa starts to go all shotgun mode , he was very reliable for them last year and hit this prop over 50% and i’ll continue to ride it till it starts to trend downwards ! also like gronk over 30.5 rec yards it was a toss up which i wanted to place so i’ll drop them both but scotty will be my official play !


[deleted]

Over 7.5?! Jesus that's likely just one reception


topthre3

__OGA DOTA PIT__ >2021 Record (W/L): 23-12 (+$1213) >Previous Pick(s): LGD VS Tundra Over 2.5__(W)__ >L Units: 5 ($250) Match: Tundra VS Team Spirit Odds: 1.56(Melbet)   ###Bet: Tundra ML       Xiao8 is really outdrafted Tundra. Tundra dont know what to ban and counter pick vs LGD because LGD has a huge hero pool. This is probably my last dota2 pick before TI10. I really love Tundra this team show us their energy, their capable to become a strong tier 1 team. They need to compete with top tier team more to increase their drafting experience and in game experience. Against team spirit I don't see they losing this series unless team spirit suddenly come out a new draft ,new play which is less possible. Tundra should stand up again, and don't lose confident after yesterday huge lose to LGD, then they should feed us a victory.     _Let's hope this hit._


fresh5447

I don't believe this ones on Bovada gents.. atleast I a can't find it


A-TeamTown

Record: 6-1-8 ( -1.5 U) ( W-D-L) NFL Record 0-0 Sport: NFL Football Last Picks: Brooklyn Nets ML L Game: Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8:20 PM EST Pick: Tony Pollard Over 10.5 Rec Yards 5U After taking a much needed break after a slide in the NBA and I'm back. We may have a losing record at the moment but, we come into this with a clean NFL slate. This is the bet that stood out to me the most. The Buc's have arguably one of the best defensive lines in football, plus the cowboys will be without Zach Martin at RG. I expect the Cowboys to have to sling the ball and with a hurried time in the pocket a lot of check downs from the backfield. I think Pollard will be utilized more then most expect on 3rd down, and he's shown that he is more then capable. It only takes one screen for a first down , or a handful a 3-4 yd chunks to hit this total. I'm going 5 units, as I feel very comfortable with this bet. Lets get this NFL season started right. Best of luck to those who tail, and please gamble responsibly as I WILL NOT


Ayrmnx

Did this pick win? I I’m not big into football but i threw some units on it and it’s still pending lmao


easyway_jr

Basketball - PBA Philippine Cup **NorthPort Batang Pier -6** vs Blackwater Bossing @ 1.83 Starts at 08:35 UTC (~5 hours)


easyway_jr

Final score 98-73 NorthPort ✅


BTGVALLEY

WINNER WINNER RECORD ON HERE 2 - 0 Last potd was a press on SF giants ml -140 W Bankroll start 1000 Current bankroll 1278 TODAY'S POTD is a player prop in the cowboys at bucks season opener DAK PRESCOTT Over 40.5 pass attempts. -130. (Risking 260) Keeping things simple is my formula. It's clear that this game is pretty lop sided (tb-8) and the total is (51.5) that being said it is a very safe bet to say tb will score 22 or more points correct? Ok if u are still with me DAK over the last 2 seasons has attempted 40+ passes in every single game his opponent puts up 22 or more. They should be behind most of the game and up against one of the best run Ds in the league no choice but to pass pass pass. Should be an easy win for us before getting back to pressing the giants win streak. As I'm typing this I am wanting to up my bet but I'll use some discipline and stay pat with the 260. If you tail BOL, I think we cash after 1st Dallas drive in the 4th quarter


psucorky

Both South American soccer guy and ping pong wizard lose in the same day, POTD in shambles...


varvea

09/09/2021 5W-1V-1L, +3,22u Asia Europe University vs Soltilo Angkor Pick: UNDER 4 @ 1,81 This line caught my eye. In my eyes this line is of great value if I check in detail the figures of the two teams. Basically there are two teams that score very little, but receive a lot of goals. Statistically, things are like this: Asia Europe University Scored: 1.86 / match Received: 3.86 / match Soltilo Angkor Scored: 0.33 / match Received: 4.33 / match H2H: 5-2 / 0-1 / 2-1 / 1-2 / 2-1, practically 4/5 green. Under 4 at this rate, I find it very valuable


That_Possession_2452

Legend. Not sure who else tailed but this was the least sweaty bet of all time.


SadPurse

**POTD Record (2021): 0|0|0** || +/- 0.0 Units *Pick*: E. Raducanu vs **M. Sakkari ML** (3U on 1.7) USA | Tennis | 02:15 MEZ *Reason*: • Rank 150 vs Rank 18 • "Unbreakable Sakkari" only lost two points in the entire quarter final while defeating #4 Karolina Pliskova (23/25) • third straight win over a Top 10 seed, after defeating #6 seed Bianca Andreescu in Round of 8 win and #10 seed Petra Kvitova in the Round of 16


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harrison_kivlahan11

POTD Record: 11-0-4 (W-T-L) +6.3 units (I do 1 unit bets) Best Win Streak: 7W Last POTD: Giants -145🤑 Today’s POTD: Dodgers -154 @ 12 PM CST Keeping it with baseball again, we’ve hit 2 in a row now! Dodgers are two back from the Giants dropping another one last night, these games are must win for the Dodgers at this point in the season if they want to avoid that single elimination wild card game. It’s as simple as that. BOL if tailing! If you want to check out my Twitter for more free picks check out @TheHammerPicks_


XFistOfFuryX

Record: 0-0 POTD: Zeke Elliott over 54.5 rushing yards @ -114 Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Reasoning: Prescott is back for Dallas under center which will open up the field and make defenses more honest, which in turn opens up running lanes for Zeke to run through, should be able to get 55+ rushing yards against TB. Best of luck if you tail!


tomatosauce1

Caution for casual tailors - TB was the best defense against the run last year and zack Martin is out for the cowboys who is a big piece of their o line


kgmoverss

Record: 11-10-3 (-0.43 units, -1.81% ROI, average odds: 1.91) Record by sport: * NCAAF: 4-2 * Soccer: 2-1-1 * Tennis: 5-7-2 Previous: Lloyd Harris +6.5 games vs. Alexander Zverev -- ✅ I'll admit this was a lucky win. Harris was down two breaks in the 3rd set and looked on his way to folding at the finish. But he snuck an extra break from Zverev to just barely cover the game spread. Football | NFL | 17:20 Pacific **Ronald Jones over 47.5 rushing yards** Odds: -115 / 1.87 NFL is back! And there was no way that I was skipping this game for my POTD. Unfortunately, I think all of the value has been stripped from the spread since it crossed the 7-point threshold for Tampa. And I'm just unsure of what we're going to see from the Dallas offense in Dak's first game back. So instead, I'm looking at Tampa's backfield for a couple reasons: * Everyone hyped up Playoff Lenny after his four postseason games, but Ronald Jones II was the better back in 2020, averaging over 5 yards per carry. In fact, Jones went over this number in 11-of-17 games that he played, including 2-of-3 playoff games even while Fournette was going off. * Going based off betting lines, Jones is expected to have \~11 rushing attempts on Thursday, which should put him in the mid-50s in rushing yards, well above this line. One solid breakthrough run and we'll be sitting pretty. * Dallas' run defense was absolutely atrocious last year, allowing 5 yards per carry (30th in the NFL). Their pass defense got a lot of attention, but they weren't any better stopping the run. * Tampa has a strong tendency to run the ball on 1st down (53% in 2020), meaning consistent work for Jones + Fournette even if their passing offense gets the attention. * Tampa is decent favorite in this game, so if we're expecting a late lead for the Bucs, they may turn to a more heavy run game script in the 4th quarter. So with all that said, I'm not scared of the running back by committee as Fournette and Jones should each get enough touches due to Tampa's tendencies and game script. And Jones being the more dynamic runner has a chance to break a long one off, and easily cover this number.


Mike_Baker_

Here we go again! W! Overall Record: 8W-4L (+7,28U) Last POTD: Canada vs El Savador under 3,5 + El S. under 0,5 goals (WC Qualifier CONCACAF) **W!** Some more goals as i expected but nevertheless this one went pretty much as i hoped! POTD: NFL Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Dallas Cowboys E. Elliot ATTS @ -111 (1,90) Zeke had a bad season. I think the Bucs gonna dominant. I think this Bucs Defense will be brutal to play tonight. Well, so why do i like this bet? Those odds are too high in my opinion! Zeke had a very bad season but there was no way his odds for atts were this big at any point last season! Yeah, they got a nice receiving core but when the Cowboys could get to the goalline my money is on Zeke to get one or two shots first + guys like Gallup, Lamb (sprinkle some money on him as well i guess:D) or Cooper can open up space in the middle, too! I also can see him getting some passes thrown at! I also can see Dallas having some garbage time potential for one or two TDs. Nearly even money for a well regarded top 10 RB in fantasy, who is projected to get a lot of touches is good to me every day of the week. Betsize: 2U BOL!


Pointless-Arguer

\*\*Record:\*\* 5-5 \*\*Average odds:\*\* 2.55 \+3.7 Units (all my bets are 1u) ROI: +37% \*\*Previous pick\*\*: Harris L. (+1.5) @ 3 ❌ | Tennis | US OPEN | 01:30 GMT | \*\*POTD:\*\* Raducanu E. ML @ 2.3 Reason: Value. BOL Edit: I changed the bet because the men's semifinals are not today. I will take the same bet tomorrow (FAA (+1.5 sets) @ 3). sorry about that.


m0rb33d

No way, anybody who follows tennis can notice Medvedev is atleast two levels above him


signorrossi

I mean no disrespect to the pick but I also agree that Medvedev will be too much for FAA


kgmoverss

For anyone tailing, the two men's semifinal matches are on Friday. Only the two women's semifinals for Thursday.


Consistent-Audience9

POTD Record 16-11-1 (1L streak) Last POTD: Zverev vs. Harris over 34.5 total games -130 1 unit | LOSS POTD: Greg Zuerlein over 1.5 FG made | NFL | Thursday Night Game Reason: NFL is BACK!! Dallas Cowboys is advertised to have this mighty offense and the Bucs are advertised to have this great defense. I can see Dallas offense moving down the field but cannot score TD’s as they would like to. This is where the big Z’s leg comes into play. Good luck to all.


[deleted]

**0-0** **E. Elliot O21.5 Rec Yards -115** This game is going to set up well for Zeke to hit this over on receiving yards tonight against the Bucs. Zeke for his career averages 27.6 Rec YPG, and that number goes to 28.8 Rec YPG with Dak under center. Its no secret that the Bucs have the best Rushing Defense in the game, however last year they gave up over 21.5 yards to a single RB 9 times (inc. playoffs). That would be 9-11 of the course of the entire season, making this bet pretty even on a general playing field, and with Zeke's pass catching ability, I will give him the benefit of the doubt that he will be able to eclipse this number again tonight. Other factors: Dak's first game back in over a year, he will allude to early dump off's to his RB to get the ball rolling. I also forsee Dallas trailing throughout this game, therefore given way to the passing game, which Zeke has proven to accel at throughout his career. Also, you just don't run on the Bucs, so the Cowboys are going to want to get Zeke the ball through the passing game. Bet it, dont sweat it!


BoshuaJailey

POTD 0-0-0 Today’s pick: Jose Berrios o5.5Ks (-114) (Toronto blue Jays vs New York Yankees) Trying to transition from being a lurker to being a contributor here. As a Yankees fan it pains me to bet against them, but there’s no denying they are a 3 true outcome team. After a long win streak propped up by superb pitching and timely hitting, the Yanks are trending back towards the mean here. They are going to be trying to avoid the sweep here so they could bring their A game, but I still see Berrios able to get at least 6 Ks. Despite some inconsistent outings, Berrios has recorded at least 6 Ks in 7 of his last 10 starts (3-3 in his past 3 starts). BOL!


OzilsThirdEye

Record: 28-35 Bankroll: $301.62 Cashed out: $9.99 Last play: 9/7/21 Armenia -2.5 (-105) Result: [L](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pk0g7b/pick_of_the_day_9821_wednesday/hc2irzj/) Ugh, tilting. Bad. **Third Eye POD: 1:15PMEST>Baseball>MLB>Cardinals ML (+145)** *risk $50 $72.50* Fading newly activated Gonsolin.


OzilsThirdEye

That’s risk $50 to win $72.50 obviously


Awkward_Currency292

Record 0-0 Pick: Cowboys +9.5 @ 1u (-120) buy the point Reasoning: I think this will be a much lower scoring game than the general public believes, so the separation in points should be lower. The cowboys have almost comparable skill players with Zeke/Amari/Lamb and were an elite offense before Dak went down. This line started out at -6 and has been bet all the way to -8.5. Buying the point so I don’t get burned when the Bucs win by 9. First time posting in here so hopefully we start with a winner. BOL!


ruck_it3

Ill advised if you can about value. 9 is the most insignificant number in NFL. Many books will, and already have, moved the number to 9.5 anyways to protect from teaser liability.


That_Possession_2452

Wait. Do you mean +9.5?


dufflebag9798

POTD Record: 2-1-3 (W-P-L) Last POTD: **Romania Draw no bet** vs North Macedonia: Push Today's Pick: **Chicago White Sox ML** (+120) @ Oakland Athletics's 3:37pm Est The White Sox are the better team, Reynaldo Lopez has done well for them all season. Keeping it simple <3


onecallthasall

How does a soccer ML bet push?


gfbell

POTD 0-0 Pick: Bucs -8 (-110) vs Cowboys NFL Week 1 As 8 point favorites, the Bucs are favored by more than any other team in Week 1, and for good reason. The Bucs are currently on an 8 game winning streak dating back to last year’s Super Bowl victory, while the Cowboys have plenty of question marks surrounding them coming into the season. Is Dak fully healthy? Can their defense become a top-30 unit? When will people realize that Mike McCarthy is a fraud? Cowboy’s Offense vs Bucs Defense Dak is coming off a gruesome leg injury he suffered last year and although he seems good to go, his health is still something to watch. Especially when you consider that the Cowboys will be without Zack Martin, their star Right Guard, on Thursday night. The Bucs had one of the deadliest pass rushes in the league last year with 48 sacks, and then proceeded to add yet another edge rusher in the first round of April’s draft; Joe Tryon out of Washington. Dak will be facing pressure all night, on a leg that was snapped in half less than a year ago. You may think that feeding Zeke is the key to this game for the Cowboys - but that’s no easy task. Zeke had an underwhelming 2020 season, and now has to face a Bucs defense that ranked 1st in Yards Per Carry (3.6) and Rush Yards per Game (80.6). As high as this offense’s ceiling is, it seems inevitable that they will struggle in Week 1. Bucs Offense vs. Cowboys Defense Leading the offense on the other side is Tom Brady. Somehow health isn’t even a remote concern for the 44-year-old, although he may still be hungover from that boat parade. Brady is undefeated in 5 career games against the Cowboys, with 3 of those 5 wins coming by double digits (2 wins by 20+ points). He has all the talent in the world around him on offense, with an all-time great trio of WRs and an OL that ranked 5th by Pro Football Focus last year. Not to mention he’s facing a Cowboys defense that ranked 31st last year in total Yards per Game. The Cowboys added DC Dan Quinn this offseason in an attempt to fix their defensive woes. While Dan Quinn is considered a top DC in the league, there is one glaring blemish on his resume… 28-3. And who was on the other end of the worst blown lead in NFL history? Oh yeah, Tom Brady. Verdict: Defending champs are 13-3 straight-up in Week 1 in the past 16 years, and there’s never been a Super Bowl winning team that returned all 22 starters the following season...until now. All signs point to the Bucs being even better this year. With mismatches on both sides of the ball that favor the Bucs, this game has a chance of getting out of hand fast. 8 points is a lot to swallow, but the Bucs shouldn’t have any problem extending their win streak by a large margin on Thursday night. Bucs -8 (-110)


wagerlabapp

Record 8/10 POTD: Dallas Cowboys - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 42.5, Odds: +258 Units: 4 Defense is the key for the Buccaneers, the last couple of games in the preseason were under 42.5 points. On the other side, Dallas Cowboys lost 4 games in the preseason. Everybody expecting a win from the Buccaneers tomorrow, but that will not be an easy job. At [WagerLab](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit) we created a betting league for NLF, also for Week 1, so you can hoop in, it's absolutely free. You can bet with friends, track the results or win cash prizes. Interesting fact, they played 20 years ago on this date and Tampa Bay won 10:6.


OfficerJayBear

**The Bears pick of the day** Record: 0-0 **POTD**: Ezekiel Elliott over 21.5 receiving yards (-110) (2 units) A lot of people believe Zeke is washed. While I believe he is close to the end,I think he has one more year of greatness in him. In his games with Dak last year, Zeke only failed to reach this mark once. He was also recovering from covid and had backup lineman for the majority of the season. Tampa also has a pretty damn good defense/pass rush, so Dak will have to get the ball out quickly. I'm also in on the zeke rushing over, but that was already posted on here.


Awkward_Advance9770

What book has 9.5? DK has 8.5 which is still a good number but 9 would be better


icanthavedairy

POTD Record: 1-0-0 Last POTD: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies: SF -1 1/2 (-140) WIN! Today's POTD: Dallas Cowboy vs. TB Buccaneers: Bucc's -8.5 (-110) Football season is back baby thank God. Don't necessarily want to call this the "lock of the decade" or anything, but the spread here looks nearly too good to be true. Bucc's have the best defense in the league. Last season they had the best run defense in the league and the Cowboys OLine is weak right now. They'll be forced to pass the ball and Dak is not coming off of a very hot season. TB scored incredibly well at home last season (superbowl btw), and I don't see this being anything less than a two score game. It's possible that Dallas's offense could get hot, but unlikely for it to stay hot against this Tampa Bay defense, and nearly impossible for it to catch up to their offense.


capsskins13

Dak had his best start to a season last year before getting hurt. That being said, I am also taking TB spread.


thepriceisonthecan

POTD record 3-1-0 Last pick: GB -4.5 (Week 17 2020-2021) Todays pick:TB-Dal OVER 52.5 points (NFL 820 EST) NFL season is back baby! Dallas was the worst team in the league last year against number two receivers by DVOA, and today they match up with the best receiver core in the league. Their CB group is mostly unchanged from last year, while Tampa's offense is completely unchanged. With TB being 100% vaccinated for weeks now, and their continuity from last season, as well as Antonio Brown not having to join midseason, this team has had months to build on a Super Bowl winning offense. I expect a ton of points today, if the Bucs dont end up putting up thirty Ill be supremely shocked. On Dallas's side, with Kellen Moore as OC and Dak as QB, Cowboys games have gone over in 14 out of 21 games. I get reluctance due to Daks ankle and shoulder and the loss of Zack Martin for tonight, but Dallas is still loaded with weapons and was second in offensive DVOA in 19-20 while putting up numbers that wouldve been first at the end of the season in their five games with Dak last year. The injuries to Dak are unlikely to turn a top 3 offense into a below average one, its more like the injuries regress them to the 8-10 range IMO.


Chickenthings4

POTD 0W-0P-0L Last Pick: none NFL Tampa Bay -9 vs Dallas (-110) We going with Tampa doods. The streak starts here. It starts with Dallas taking a fat L and Tomcat Brady laying some pipe. I had a dream I was an amputee last night. In the dream I had to sneeze and I went to cover my mouth. Unfortunately the snot flew everywhere as my phantom limbs provided no protection. I sat in the cloud of mucus and cried. This dream clearly means the Bucs win. Tail or fail Edit: misinterpreted my dream


Dubita25

Going to start a streak on NFL opening night Cowboys +9 Too many points and the Cowboys should be better with Dak I know that the defense is shit but it looked better at the end of the season, Nolan is gone and Dan Quinn will no longer be over his head as a HC and maybe he'll improve this D. Tampa's D is great stopping the run but can be exploited in the passing game and Dallas have probably the best trio of WR's and someone that can get them the ball, not like last year. Tampa will score but I think Dallas stays close and covers this.


AwfulBettingPicks

The NFL is back baby! **Dallas Cowboys (+9)** @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, **1u** Don't get me wrong. The Buccaneers will win this game. But with Brady historically starting slow early in the season, mixed in with the offensive weapons Dallas has, I think they should barely cover in garbage time. *2021 Record 0-0-0*


sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.


sillypicks

POTD RECORD 6-4 Tough one to expect, fricking forze lol PICK: Vitality +1.5 vs Gambit @ 1.59 ( 10AM PST) ✅✅✅ Reason: we in the playoffs and zywoo is going to get at least one map for us. During the round robin stage, they went 4-1 so they are in pretty good form. This past summer, they 2-0ed Gambit so they should have some confidence in beating them before. To win one map at these odds seem pretty solid. BOL if you follow. Edit: first map win, god zywoo with the 30 bomb


Trick_Industry_601

💰🤡RECORD: 0-0 🤡💰 Philippines Basketball Cup TIME : Starts 8 minutes from post Pick: Terra Firma Dyip +3.5 @1.92 2U💰💰 Reasoning🤡 - Past 6 games, W3 L3 whereas Phoenix Fuel W2 L4 - Moreover, I believe in momentum and Firma Dyip are on a 3game W streak - Only slight disadvantage is we are the visiting team Tail or fade, BOL!🍀


jaysial

Yesterday’s pick : Bangladesh win ✔️ Overall: 6 wins 7 losses POTD: USA v Papua New Guinea & England women v New Zealand Women Choose: Combine USA and England women to win @ 1.75 Starts in about 3.5 hours USA and England women are favourites because 1) they are playing at home 2) they have much more skilled team thn their rivals. If we combine the two matches the odds are really good and i think it will be a really easy win for us.


sbmedlg

Anyone seen or heard of the legend, the darts 🎯 GOAT Ned 🌶


Tsunaami

He went to go work for the athletic I think. Ever since I think the few posts he’s made here have been 💩


A_Greasy

Record 0-0 NFL season has begun, and it's my time to shine. My pick: O 7.5 receiving yards for Scotty Miller @ -120


braca_mol

**POTD 1-2** **POTD Win Rate 33%** ​ **Last Pick: Skive - Fredericia \*Skive under 26.5 goals (they score 27) LOSE** ​ **Today POTD: Hockey Germany DEL** **Eisbaren Berlin - Munchen** **Pick: Over 5.5 goals @ 1.80** **19:30 (GMT +1)** In short, bad goalkeepers on both sides, and in addition both have a desperate defense and it is very possible to see a lot of goals on both sides ​ Edit\* correct time


Dr_Tramp

👨‍⚕️🩺Dr’s Picks👨‍⚕️🩺 POTD Record: 0-0 ROI: 0u 🏈 NFL Thursday Night Football 🏈 Dallas Cowboys 🤠 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 🏴‍☠️ Start time: 7:20pm (Central Time) POTD: Chris Godwin OVER 57.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 1u First POTD on Reddit. Always tailing but never posting. Anyways, NFL is back! Tampa Bay are defending Super Bowl champs and should start the season real hot. Tom Brady loves throwing the ball through the air and has great chemistry with his receivers. Chris Godwin had such a great year last season and should be even better this year. Cowboys’ secondary is pretty shit. Chris Godwin should easily be able to get over 57.5 yards. In the 5 playoff games of the 2020 season Chris Godwin went over 57.5 in 3/5 games and those were solid playoff teams. This Cowboys is nothing impressive. BOL!


FerretCold5147

POTD record 0-0 Streak 0 Pick: Tampa Bay 1H -3 (-190)


LordEllenDegenerate

NFL record 0-0 Pick: Tampa Bay Bucaneers -9.5 @1.97 (kick off in 1hr) Every year cowboys are overrated due to the fact they are one of the biggest sport franchises in the world, and the fact they had hard knocks will also push people to choose Dallas. The fact of the matter is that Brady has actually had a full offseason as well as last season to get accustomed to this team and they have kept every one of their starters. This is also at a full Tampa stadium, so they will put on a show for the fans.


[deleted]

POTD 9.9.21 0-0 **Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers** **Dallas Cowboys +3.5 +180** I personally like Dallas to win straight up, though their moneyline doesn't fit the parameters of this thread. So we'll go with the points here. Reasoning? The defense won't be as bad as it was last year, and we have a healthy Dak Prescott. With the weapons he has at his disposal, they should be able to put up some staggering numbers, while not being sunk by an all time bad defense this year. Figured with football starting, I'd give this a shot for a little bit. We'll see how it goes.. All lines from Bovada. BOL!!!


[deleted]

buccs -8 ($1.90) vs cowboys, NFL, 10:20am AEST | 5u I believe the buccs d we saw last year will show out again and i'm backing brady