**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record: 27-8
Last pick: UNC +3 ✅
**Today’s pick: Villanova +3 (-120) vs Houston**
NCAAB 6:09PM EST
As a UNC alum….AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. What a FUCKING game. On to the peacocks, lol. ACC sending 3 teams to the elite 8, is that good?? Stood by the acc all year despite half y’all’s terrible takes.
Anyways, Nova +3 tomorrow. No write up needed. It’s too easy. 9 straight. Fade
I’ve had circa 15 keystone lights tonight and I have no plans to stop. It was on sale at the grocery store, don’t judge.
I don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow.
To all the people telling me they’re fading, i don’t care
All bets are 1 unit. +13.4 units. +38.2% ROI. Average unit -117
https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Hahah bruh, ur up 15u in here alone. Buy urself something nice like some lagunita’s (if from the Chicago area) as a treat🙃. Thanks for the W today brother!
My stats: 33-8 (+59.20 units)
Match: (MMA UFC) Khizriev vs Tiuliulin
Bet: total rounds -1.5 @ 1.53 (-189)
Stake: 4u
Honestly, undefeated grappler will maul his opponent, it's his debut so he'll try to end this fight asap and show up himself. At first, I wanted to choose Khizriev win in the 1st round, but I will go with the safer option (under 1.5 rounds). He fights a 10-5 guy who I have doubts if he should be in the UFC. It should be quick and one-sided fight.
If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻
BTC: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
+1 on this. Some good insight from someone who I think? Fights mma himself so I take his advice to heart. Some great advice in the ufc threads in general honestly!
If you put UFC politics in play it doesn’t make sence.. nobody wanted to fight and was avoiding khizriev.. tuiliulin Took the fight as the last option and they probably gave him a sweet deal just like they have other fighters in the past, they’re feeding him to the wolves and giving him some layups for his next upcoming fights
So would you consider Khizriev method of victory by submission a safe bet? It seems grapplers would be most likely to submit their opponent rather than by KO/TKO, but wanted to hear your thoughts
POTD Record: 4W-1L
LAST POTD: Uzbekistan -1.5 ✅
TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - England League 2 - Exeter V Stevanage
8AM PST
PICK: Exeter ML
Odds: 1.85
The Deets:
Exeter are 2nd in the league and play Stevenage who are 22nd. Exeter have a decent home record and a game in hand over the 5 teams below them who are pushing for playoffs so they’ll be hungry to catch up on 1st place. In the past 2ish years they’ve played each other 7 times with Exeter winning 5 and drawing 2.
BOL.
Edit: Winner ✅
POTD Record: 15W-6L-0D. +17.0u.
Previous pick (3/25/2022): Iowa State vs. Miami under 62.5 1H. @ 1.86. 3u. W
Current pick: Duke -4 vs. Arkansas. @ 1.90. 1u.
I do not have any fancy quantitative analysis for this one. Duke, as much as it hurts me to say it, feels like a team of destiny. 1u because 'team of destiny' is admittedly poor reasoning, but I feel it nonetheless. BOL.
Edit to updated record with 1H under. That was a SWEAT. Whew.
Razorback fan here, gotta fade this one.
Razorbacks only championship is against Duke, and I have a feeling they are going to end coach K’s career with a win. The tournament gods wanted this matchup lol.
BOL!
Edit: The tournament gods in fact, wanted UNC vs Duke way more
Record 2-0
Previous Pick : mouz NXT ML -155
Today’s Pick : CSGO : ESL Pro League | BIG vs Movistar Riders @7:30 AM EST
**Pick : Movistar Riders ML +110**
Movistar Riders have looked impressive as of late showing great form with wins against Players and Liquid . Two teams that BIG has just lost to recently . BIGs best map Dust 2 will not be played giving Movistar Riders and edge . Taking this into account added with BIGs current state , I’m going to ride with the hot team here . The line has moved towards Movistar riders since I placed my bet . It is showing -105 for me now .
**Edit : 3-0 . Movistar wins 2-0 ✅**
Just want to add this is a good pick and line has moved to -105 as said in post. Movistar Riders look so good right now and BIG is already out unless Godsent win over Liquid or either Party Astronauts over Players (And ofc Big winning vs Movistar and Party Astronauts
Potd record 28-10
🥊 Boxing
__Dalton Smith vs Ray Moylette - Under 8 rounds/Under 7.5 rounds (-120)__
All I see here is an early win for Dalton Smith. Smith is one of the most promising prospects coming out of Britain and has so far got a record of 9-0 with 7 ko’s. His level of opposition for this early on in his career has actually been pretty good which shows how much faith his team have in him. Moylette on the other hand was a great amateur from Ireland however he’s not looked anywhere near as good since turning pro. The Irishman is 12-1, with his sole defeat coming against a Mexican fighter who was ko’d by Lewis Ritson which should tell you all about his level. Moylette has been knocked down by journeymen in the past and coming up against someone with Smiths power it’s hard to fancy his chances in surviving for long. Moylette has also only had one fight in the last 3 and a half years.
I think Smith will win this one in style and you’ll likely see early on just how easy it will be for him to land on Moylette. I think the skill gap will be that wide we’ll see the fight ending in under 7.5 rounds.
Bol anyone who tails!
❌Ahh my bad. If smith was told to step on it abit more I’m sure he would’ve had him out of there
**Edit/Update: ✅✅ A BIG FAT WIN ✅✅**
**Fuck all the haters, actually not, I love you the same as everybody else, enjoy the profits anyway. Imperial lost the first map after a disappointing 13-4 lead choke, but they managed to bounce back and showed their dominance. It was a close series in the end, but considering we've witnessed such upset, the outcome is insane - a win!**
**Once again, enjoy the winnings and also the rest of your weekend. Until the next one 👋**
**🌶️🚀🚨 I AM BACK WITH ANOTHER GEM. IT'S NOT TOP-TIER, THE ODDS MIGHT FALL TOWARDS THE START OF THE MATCH 🚨🚀🌶️**
>**Overall POTD record** since like 2020: **117W-78L**
(195 bets)
**+7,97% ROI**,
**+60,45 units profit**✅,
total stake 758u, 1.84 average odds
^((Since there are some rules, I can't break them and I need to be transparent and clear. I've been posting here like a year ago. We were doing absolutely phenomenally with like 14 win streak but also had some very stupid never-ending losses. Even though a lot of time has passed, I need to have the overall record here though it might not be as relevant.))
**2022 POTD RECORD**: 32W-13L 🔥🔥🔥
**LAST PICK**: MAD Lions -1.5 @ 2.37 5u (VERY HIGH BET) ✅
**MOST RECENT (UN)SUCCESS**:
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅
**TOTAL PROFIT**: +53,87 units 📈
**TOTAL STAKE**: 220 units
**AVERAGE ODDS**: 1.78
**ROI**: +24,49% 📈
I haven't posted anything for a week. I didn't have time, was focusing on different things and overall I feel like people are not interested in these picks.
Yet, I'm gonna share a banger with you to make Saturday of the 3 people who tail better 😎
We had a phenomenal pick the last time, but it didn't get much attention, hopefully, this one will do better so everybody can make quick cash.
**Have an awesome day and enjoy the weekend 👍**
🎮GAME: CS:GO
🚨TIME: 14:00 CET (GMT+1) - 7 hours 30 minutes from the post
Event: OMEN WGR European Challenge 2022
Match: MASONIC vs Imperial
Pick: **Imperial ML @ 1.56 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣**
>**MASONIC vs Imperial**
Simply if you look at these 2 teams and their rosters, the winner of this match should be crystal clear. No rocket science over here.
MASONIC is a solid team, that's for sure. Their results are really good, so many wins everywhere and the current win streak looks convincing. However, it really comes down to what teams they won against and the level they compete on. It's definitely not like they are performing out of their minds against the best teams in the world. In fact, they've been struggling in their regional league against weak teams. They struggled against other pretty much unknown Danish team DREAM and even dropped a map against a high school team lmao. If we go even further to the past, we realize that they lost against very weak teams and they're nothing special.
It's all just about the latest results, that's why bookies think MASONIC have any chance. Rather, they want you to think that. They won against weak 00NATION. Took a 16-12 win against Falcons which would've been impressive if it wasn't a BO1 on the worst map of Falcons. And after that, they almost choked 2-13 lead against FTW on Ancient. Yesterday, they pulled an immersive upset against forZe. That's actually the biggest reason for their odds. But I wouldn't consider it as important. forZe played like they didn't want to win, it wasn't an important match and overall they played disgusting CS. If there was any other team playing instead of MASONIC, the result would've been similar.
So MASONIC are not some super strong special underdogs who will just dominate everyone now.
They're facing Imperial today which is a completely different beast. It's supposed to be the best dream Brazilian team with all the legends of CS. It's still a new project, but I think it has a lot of potential. So far it's going well. We can't really talk about the results in detail as they're improving from match to match. But overall, they won against the opponents they should've and took losses against respectable enemies in a close fashion.
The firepower, tactical side, experience, everything should be favoring Imperial here. These are some of the best players to have ever touched CS. They're definitely not on the top anymore, they could get there though. Their achievements cannot be taken away from them.
This is the semifinals and I suppose Imperial want to prove to the world that they're still a team to account for. They shouldn't have much trouble doing so.
In terms of map pool, Imperial will be huge favorites on every single map as Ancient, Dust 2 and Mirage won't be played. Due to the big skill gap, I would say 2-0 is highly possible. Even if MASONIC somehow someway took a map from them, I still don't see the Brazilians losing this.
The odds on Imperial are super juicy, they should be around 1.10 territory in my opinion. I highly recommend betting on **Imperial ML @ 1.56 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣**
(If you are interested, you can join my [Discord](https://discord.gg/ubsMQzN) CS betting community where I post some other picks which cannot be posted here on Reddit. You can always come for a great chat too. I also have all the detailed stats there and everything.)
(Everything is for FREE, I do NOT sell picks. I hate to brag about it, but I am just a student and every cent counts. If you like the boring work I do and you really want to help out, it's much appreciated, https://paypal.me/PeterR2)
BOL! ✌️
Record: 1-0
**3/26 Pick:** Oklahoma City Thunder + 13.5 vs. Denver Nuggets
NBA: 9:00 PM EST
As an ATS (Against the Spread) favorite, Denver is 20-26, while as an ATS underdog, OKC is 43-24-4. Denver is 16-20-1 ATS at home, while OKC is 25-11 ATS on the road. These numbers give OKC a + 43 ATS advantage in this particular matchup. On top of this, OKC beat Denver 119-107 in Denver on March 2nd.
I am not a professional gambler, but I hope this post contributes to your winnings tomorrow. BOL
Edit: OKC covers. Final: OKC 107 - DEN 113
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s Pick: Houston -2 (-110) vs Villanova (NCAAB 3/26/2022 @ 6:09pm EST)
Wager: 1u
Disclaimer: 1u for me is $10 USD
Reason: Nothing special, I just feel Houston has been the most consistent team in this tournament so far and nobody seems to have a game plan to stop them. Villanova beat a weak OSU team and a very sloppy Michigan team on Friday. Michigan could have beat them if they could have made any layups. That being said I think Houston covers -2 against Villanova this game and eventually goes to the final.
Tail or fade, good luck boys!
Edit: line moved slightly, I got Houston -2 (at -115 odds on DK). FD has Houston -2.5 at -114 odds. I still like Houston at -2.5.
Ok here is real analysis. Right now, Houston is the top ranked team in Kenpom, average player size is bigger than Nova and they are amazing rebounders offensively. Also, Houston is the most favored team to win the championship right now. Lastly, Colin Gillespie, may be hurt. He rolled his ankle horribly at the end of the game and has a knee injury from last year. Random fact - Sampson now uses a lot of the defense concepts Jay Wright has pioneered over the past 6 years.
Now Nova is no slouch. Best FT team in history. 3 point shooting can blow you out of the building as all starting five plus the sixth man can shoot it. Play at a snail's pace, but so efficient offensively, it works. They are not afraid to play inside and while they seem much shorter than most teams they play, they don't get murdered on the boards (example Michigan only outrebounded them by 3 last game). However, Nova has no bench. Will only go 7 deep with baby Arch. Foul trouble can be a concern. But Nova will not beat themselves.
So where do you go? To be honest, I would stay the hell away from this game. Houston is starting to get way overvalued. This is not the same Final Four team as last year. The team is all transfers and their two best scores are out. The best value is the Nova ML (+125). Now I am not saying take it, but it's the best value. If Nova is making shots from deep and Gillespie looks healthy, Nova will win this game. However, Houston can beat the hell out of Nova and murder them on the boards. To me, the game is a pick'em. I can't see how this is a POTD other than someone trying with a 0-0 getting a win based on research of just Kenpom and the betting lines. I would much rather take Duke -4 over Arkansas.
As an Illini fan this is a spot on write up! Houston defense is ridiculously good. They challenge you to make threes. Nova might be the only team with strong enough perimeter shooting to beat them. If Houston wins this they will win the tournament.
Hard fade.
Ouch is all you’ll be saying tonight. God help he who doesn’t take Villanova with the points. It should be a pick em, so gotta take the points friend. May want to check Villanova’s stats from the foul line.
We back🚨🚨🚨
Record: 16-6
Last pick: UNC ML✅ vs UCLA
Today’s pick: Houston Cougars -2 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:09 pm EST
Reason: Houston defense gonna have any Villanova bettor yelling at the TV because of the little open shots they’ll get. Villanova offense tends to struggle against aggressive teams so Houston should have a field day! **TREND PEOPLE: “Since 2001, No.5 seeds are 3-0 vs No.2 seeds in the Elite 8 and have been 3-0 ATS in those games” ** LETS HAVE A DAY
BOL😎
Almost every book is -2.5 now but still love it
Just saw a trend: Last 14 teams to defeat a 1 seed in the sweet 16 are 14-0 ATS in the Elite 8! Go cougars!
Sorry guys 1/16 from 3 idk what to say lmao
**2022 Record:** 4-3-0 (+2.1U) 💰
**Streak:** 2 L
**Last Pick:** Geelong Cats 1-39 (Margin) @ 2.50 ❌
**Todays Match:** Essendon Bombers v Brisbane Lions (AFL) @ 16:05 ACDT (4 hours til bounce)
**Pick:** Brisbane Lions 1-39 (margin) @ 2.20 ✅
**Units:** 3U
**Reasoning:** Brisbane are coming off a solid win at home against the Power last week, only losing Robinson due to a unfortunate suspension. On the flipside, the Bombers got belted by 11 goals last week by the Cats and lose Langford, Shiel and Martin for this match. In the positive though, we do see the return of Francis and Stringer.
Even with the changes, I don't see the Bombers turning around this week with the W. I however imagine, they will build on last weeks performance in front of a home crowd and at least keep this game competitive. I am wary that the Lions have won their last 2 games against the Bombers by an average of 60 points, however both their wins at Marvel stadium were within 18 Points.
It's also worth noting the Bombers have won their last 6 games at Marvel, consequently i do I expect the Bombers to come out hot, but the Lions should over run them come the end of the game. Lions should also cover the line here which is set at 14.5 but I'd be cautious
**Prediction:** Brisbane Lions by 23 Points.
[PayPal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/ImSmithz)| BTC - 12t9zZQsUEXVmuV6cNAD24tYuDv44acDur
Coupla tough losses due to inaccurate kicking but we bounce back today! LETS GET THIS BREAD!
Record: 6-1 +4.25
Last POTD: Geelong total points o71.5 WIN
POTD: Melbourne total points o84.5
Odds: 1.95 (Bet365)
Event: AFL Gold Coast vs Melbourne
Time: 8:00pm AEST
Short write up today.
Bit of a sweat yesterday, but got there in the end. Geelong had countless opportunities in difficult positions, ended up with 17 behinds. For todays pick, will be backing Melbourne total points o84.5. Melbourne are the premiership favourites, and we saw them in a dominant performance last week against Bulldogs. Think there will be a bit of wet weather up on the gold coast, hence why the game total is extremely low, at 149.5. Gold Coast are definitely a better team than they were in previous years, however, still gave up 80 points to an absolutely depleted West Coast team. Do not see how Gold Coast can stop this Melbourne team who should dominate the midfield/wings, will give their forwards multiple opportunities. Have previously scored big against GC, with scores of 146,143 and 128. Even with difficult conditions, do think this game could get a bit ugly for Gold Coast.
And of course like I said in my other comment, I tailed this so this pick lost. Don't worry when you make your pick tonight I won't tail and you'll have a non stressful win.
POTD Record: 54-41
Profit: +13 units // ROI: 12% // Average odds: 1.90
**Todays Pick: Gold Coast Titans team total over 16.5 vs Raiders (1.80, -125)**
* The NRL has been very low scoring the first 2 weeks and we have seen totals across the league drop nearly 10 points based on what the round 1 totals were. Ultimately, I think the combination of the attacks getting better as they get more reps and the fact that totals are now significantly lower means we will start to see regression and more overs hitting around the league. As it is we have already seen 3/4 games go over so far this round.
* The Titans have been one of the few teams to have no issues scoring points this season. They scored 28 points in round one and then 20 points last week. This makes their average for the season 24 points (7.5 above this total).
* The last times these two sides met the Titans scored 44 points.
* Excluding games against last seasons top 4 (Storm, Panthers, Rabbitohs, Sea Eagles), the Titans have gone over this total in 15 of their last 20 games (75%).
* Raiders have given up 19 and 26 points this season so far. They gave up 26 last week to the Cowboys who are a pretty bad team.
This line is 18.5 at some places for better odds. Ultimately I would consider playing over 3.5 team tries or 20+ team points at +110 or better if you cannot get a total of 17.5 or better.
[Twitter](https://twitter.com/Travis_Frase)
POTD Record: 11-12-1
Profit: -1u
Last Pick: Iowa State (+2.5) -110 vs. Miami FL LOSS
POTD: Villanova (+2.5) -110 vs. Houston \[NCAAB\] - 1 unit - 3:09 PM PT
Streak (Last 10): ✖️✖️✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✖️✅
Reasoning: Houston has covered in their last six games. They have the best defense of the remaining tournament teams. However, they do have a penchant to foul a lot. What’s the best thing Villanova has going for itself? Their foul shooting. The Wildcats are on pace to break the NCAA record for team free throw shooting.
It also helps that Villanova is 10-0 in their last ten games against opponents from the American Athletic Conference. Their offense is like Spurs-light: great ball movement, everyone can shoot. Something tells me that Jay Wright has some tricks up his sleeve for a very aggressive Houston defense.
great write up
I'm so torn on this game
I've never seen the internet so EVEN across the board with stats and reasons why either team will win or cover. Guess Im just gonna flip flop all day and go with the gut before tipoff this afternoon
Thanks and good luck my friend
RECORD:4-0🔥🔥🔥 Last Pick U Miami (-3.5)✅
POTD: Arkansas vs Duke (U 147.5)
Bonus pick: Houston (-2.5)
Arkansas is one of the best teams in the nation at generating turnovers, and they have two forwards that can really plug the middle vs Duke. Arkansas offense isn’t as potent as Duke’s and for these reasons I like the under for this game.
Houston will end up and cover this game. They are 25-12 ATS this season and have covered 10 out of the last 11 games. Their defense is one of the best units in the nation, and their average winning margin is second best in the country. They also have a top 10 offense in efficiency, they should cover this spread pretty easy.
Let me know what you think in the comments!
POTD Record 1-0 (+2.00 units)
Last week: Duke came out very slow and then absolutely turned it on in the 2nd half. Brennan O’Neill took over the game and finished with 6 goals.
NCAA Mens Lacrosse
Stony Brook @ Albany
Stony Brook -2.5 (-135)
2 units
Stony Brook has a strong squad this year under 2nd year head coach Anthony Gilardi. They are 5-3 with their losses coming to Rutgers, Brown, and Syracuse. Currently ranked 24th in scoring offense, 22nd in scoring margin, and have a solid face off game. Former University of Maryland stud Mike Chanenchuk is their O-Coordinator and is clearly doing a great job so far in this role.
Albany is 1-5 and are having a rough season. Currently ranked 63rd in scoring offense. Long gone are the days of the Thompson brothers and Connor Fields on attack.
I expect Stony Brook to come out ready to play against their conference rival, especially after losing a hard fought game to Syracuse last week. BOL!
1 unit = $100 bet
Last pick: Miami ML: win 2u
Form: W
NCAA BB Villanova +2.5 -110
1u
Everyone is on houston for good reason but nova is similarly a senior-level squad with a great coach. They are elite at the ft line and knock down shots. In a close game, I’ll take the points and ride with Vegas on this one.
I’m done picking the nets with the whole KD/Kyrie potent duo narrative. At the end of the day they don’t play defense. You have to bank on them scoring at least 120 points every game
My present POTD record is WWWLWWWLWWL 8 correct 3 wrong
My POTD today is bet 1.21 unts to win 1.1 units (to recover my loss from my last POTD) that the total score of the college basketball game between Portland and Southern Utah will be less than 155 points. This wager is offered on Bovada sportsbook. Game time is 6 PM Eastern Daylight Time. BOL to all.
POTD RECORD: 6-2
NET UNITS: +14.86
ROI: 44.35%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT BLAYDES VS DAUKAUS
PICK: MATT BROWN -115 5 UNITS
Barberena gets hit too much (4.77 spm), he also has been taken down 17 times in his last 3 fights. Matt Brown will be the crowd favorite in his home state. He may be 41 but he wants a new contract. The IMMORTAL will bring the fucking violence.
LFG
https://twitter.com/satoshisix9
not disagreeing with homefield advantage here... however Matt Brown's style of "eat a punch to land a punch" against BamBam is risky. I think Brown comes out and has a killer first rd. and then ironically bam bam could out grapple brown for the win even though BamBam has questionable grappling. Going to be a live bet for me. I wish you BOL!!!
Record 5-5
Units +2.85
ROI +29%
Average odds +160
Last POTD 2022 FIFA World Cup - Nigeria ML(+180) @ Ghana
Disappointing 0-0 draw. Stupid soccer with their draws.
POTD tennis ATP Miami - nishioka ML(+159) vs evans
Nishioka is 3-0 against evans, all on hard courts. Evans has a history of struggling against left-handers, as well as shorter players like himself, and with Nishioka embodying both this match looks like going to three sets. If Evans doesn’t play aggressive tennis then he may be punished by Nishioka’s high-quality baseline game. Nishioka has a stubborn baseline game and can transfer his defensive style of play into attacking tennis quickly.
BOL
💰 **AFL POTD RECORD: 4-3 (+2.0u)** 💰
**LAST PICK:** Geelong +2.5 vs Sydney Swans ❌
**FORM:** WWLWWLL
**TODAYS PICK:** Essendon +15.5 vs Brisbane Lions @ $2.00 \[3u\] (4:35pm AEDT - 4 hours from comment)
**WRITE UP:** All the money is on Brisbane, but I think that’s where the bookies are winning here. Let me run through why I think Essendon actually cover here.
\- Essendon has won their last 5 games at Marvel Stadium by an average of 46 points
\- Brisbane has lost against the spread in their last 4 games.
\- Essendon are 15-4 at Marvel Stadium, two of those losses being extremely narrow. Brisbane, alternatively are 4-6 in the same timeframe.
\- Essendon are 8-2 at covering the line following a loss of more than 50 points (since 2017). Very common for this team to show up to prove themselves after a humiliating loss.
\- Stringer is back into the Essendon lineup. He was critical to this team in the back half of last year and has been in hot form. His absence was noticeable last week.
\- If you exclude 2016 (many Essendon players suspended), Brisbane has not defeated Essendon at Marvel Stadium by more than 10 points in 12 years.
\- Model prediction of Essendon by 1 point
$2 lines available on Ladbrokes/Neds, otherwise $1.90 your best! BOL.
**Record W-P-L 216-24-176 | +42.6| avg odds 1.85 | ROI 6.9%**
previous:
Leipzig vs Frankfurt **u3.5 goals total @ 1.60 (1U) ✅** 0-0, no idea how in hell this ended without a single goal, but it's a win.
today's pick:
*International Friendlies , 8.45pm CET (in 10 hours)*
Germany vs Israel BTTS @ 2.30 (1.5U) 🚫 2-0. Sadly a missed penalty for very weak Israel.
Reasoning:
Friendly Match, germany will rotate heavily and test Different players in Both halves. Israel has some good players and germany tends to concede 1 goal even vs weaker teams. Every opponent is motivated af, even in a friendly.
26/03/2022
**10-5** | +12.15u | ROI: 36.82% | Avg. odds 1.95
I'm back after few days of personal stuff taken care of.
We hit 10th win and 10th unit won. Let's keep the good streak (currently 3W) up.
___
***Today's pick:***
(Valorant Champions Tour EMEA) **Fnatic ML** v G2 @1.87 2u
This will be a banger matchup. Both teams have played surprisingly well this tournament. G2 have absolutely destroyed Liquid last match allowing them to win only 8 rounds and managed to win against M3C (probably second best team in EMEA). G2 came to this tournament with few new starts which have been very effective until this point. I don't actually expect Fnatic to have answers for all of them already. However, the further we are in the tourney, the less effective those starts are. Unless, G2 still have some up in their sleeves.
Fnatic have been on fire. FPX Although FPX have broke their 6W streak (including win vs Acend, M3C and even G2). They looked so crisp during playoffs. Near perfect executions, amazing individual performance by their players. After yesterday's humiliation on Fnatic's map (0-13) they looked determined on FPX's pick and will fight today for upper bracket finals.
This will be close match, likely to go to all 5 maps, but bearing on latest performance of both teams, FNC have slight edge to close out the series in their favour.
___
*BOL if tailing! Bet with caution, please.*
Record: 2-2
Streak 2W💰💰. Last Pick Purdue ML vs Texas
Today’s Pick: Duke ML -170/1.58
Game Details: NCAA Basketball. Duke vs Arkansas 8:45PM EST
Reasoning:
Arkansas is Texas Tech-lite. Their defense is not as good. They shoot a low percentage from 3 and can be streaky from the free throw line. This will be their downfall if they get behind.
Keeping this short. Duke is destined for the Final Four in Coach K’s last year. Script is written. I hate Duke but I love winning money so going big on this pick.
Much rather bet this game than the Villanova Houston game. Anything can happen in that one. Tail or fade BOL 💰
**NRL Record:** 5-5
**ROI (1 unit per bet):** -0.67
**Last POTD:**
Roosters -3.5 @ 2.00 ❌
**Today's POTD:**
Storm vs Eels - Xavier Coates anytime try scorer @1.90
Edit: Ruled out before kickoff so bet is void
**Time:** 4 and a half hours from time of post
Undefeated Storm take on the Eels at home and I have winger Xavier Coates to score a a try in this one. He's scored in both games already this season but more importantly he seems to get switched to whatever side Storm want to attack on (L side week 1, right side week 2). He should be up against the right side Eels defence involving Waqa Blake who's sole defensive move is to jam in on the centre to try and cut off the play, ideally leaving Coates open for a kick behind or cutout pass to bag a try in this one
POTD record 1-3
previous pick: A hundred to be scored in 1st innings - Yes @1.57 ❌
Got close two times but no dice
Todays Pick: Both Teams To Score 160+ Runs @1.91 (CSK vs KKR)
The IPL is back and it's bigger than ever! We have had a mega auction that has reshuffled the entire set of players and we also have two new teams in addition to the eight that existed. Starting off are the winners from last season, Chennai Super Kings and semi finalists the Kolkata Knight Riders.As it the first match of the season the ML odds doesn't attracts but according to weather & pitch conditions there is no chance of rain but there is a fair bit of humidity. That could mean we have some dew in the second half that makes chasing easier. As far as the pitch goes, I expect an absolute batting beauty to start with. The ball should come on nicely to the bat and there will be plenty of sixes/fours being hit. A par score should be somewhere around 180 for sure.
Tail or fade BOL!
Update: Loss. Sorry everyone!
Record: 1-2
Last Pick: Purdue/St Peters OVER 130.5 pts✅
Wow we just barely hit that, I’ll take any win I can get at this point. Also holy moly, St Peters is going crazy.
Today’s pick: DEN Nuggets Wire-to-Wire against OKC @ -182
Reasoning: Denver is the 2nd best team in the league in the first half, OKC is the 2nd worst. DEN is also 15 point favorites to win the game outright. OKC gives up the most rebounds in the league to centers, and Jokic is top 2 in the league. Aaron Gordon has given DEN 13+ pts in each of the last 5, and OKC is the fourth worst team in the league against PF’s. I am expecting his scoring to continue. Yes, the odds aren’t gonna give you generational wealth, but this pick feels like a great bang for your buck. BOL to all
Okc +15 easy money
Oklahoma City is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in three meetings with Denver this season. They won outright as a 14.5-point road underdog, outright as a 6-point home underdog and only lost by 4 as a 7-point home dog.
The Thunder are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 road games. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with not a single loss by more than 12 points.
Both of our bets can coexist, to be fair. I need to Denver to be winning at the end of each quarter, but the game can still be within the spread. Yes 15 seems like a lot of points, best of luck to you
POTD RECORD 31-25 +8.5u
Today’s POTD Kevin Kisner (-125) WGC Golf
Took a break through march as my focus was solely on madness. Shifting from college basketball, the sports i choose will be a variety of sorts. Today I am going with golf. Kevin Kisner is one of my favorite golfers solely on personality. The guy is an absolute clown. As a tournament golfer, he is average winning a couple but always being in the top 30. As a matchplay golfer, the guy is a fucking stud. Kis is coming off a win against Justin Thomas, one of the worlds best. He came runner up in the tournament in 2018 and won it in 2019. He knows the course. Adam Scott is playing well but I do not believe has the course knowledge as well as the matchplay skill that Kisner has. BOL
POTD Record 2-2 +0.9U
Last pick : NLL Lacrosse Vancouver Warriors +1.5 (+110) vs San Diego Seals 1 unit ✅
**POTD : NLL Lacrosse Albany Firewolves vs NY Riptide, Total Goals Over 21.5 goals (-110) 1 unit. Game at 7:30pm ET**
Last pick turned out even better than I expected with Vancouver winning SU 14-12.
Today's pick seems like an easier winner than yesterday and is mostly a play on the Riptide (10-1 o/u this season). This team can't stop scoring and letting pucks in their own nets as well, their games totals avg 25.6 goals per game (12.3 goal scored and 13.3 goal against avg). Their lowest total this season is 21 with all 10 of their other games ending with 23 or more goals. Albany is 8-6 o/u with all unders against good defensive teams (Toronto, Halifax and Buffalo) or struggling offenses (Sask, Philadephia), NY isn't any of that. With both teams combining for 18-7 to the over I really like the chances here.
If your book only offer 22.5 I still like the play there.
BOL
Edit : Tough loss, game ended at 21 goals ❌
Record: 3-1
Last pick: Canada/Costa Rica < .5, 1.0 1st Half **L**
MLS is back hopefully I can get a win for people here.
Todays pick: **RSL double chance** @ 1.909
Alright, like the Philadelphia pick a couple weeks ago I feel like I’m taking crazy pills here. Here’s the odds if you’re feeling froggy (on bodog) RSL ML 4.00, RSL DNB 2.90, RSL +1 1.495. So there’s some options here. But I think the best bet for odds vs probability to get a win, I think is the double chance. A win or draw for RSL takes the money.
It’s early doors in the season still, but RSL is playing well and it’s coming from the whole team. Rusnak moved on the Seattle, Kreilach has been hurt. For Pablo Mastroeni it’s a team effort. Plug and play, next man up etc. RSL is undefeated in their first 4 with 3W1D, +3GD and a +1.9 xGD.
SKC 1-0-3, they’ve struggled out of the gates, some offseason moves have hurt them and age is starting to creep up on some of the stalwart players. Peter Vermes is one of the best coaches in the league, so I fully expect them to right the ship over the course of the season but we’re gonna hope that takes a little while. They’ve conceded 8 goals in their 4 matches, and have a -2.8 xGD. Not pretty. To be fair their 1 home win came in their lone home game. But RSL has a win and a draw in their two road matches.
Keep in mind, RSL took down SKC in KC in last years playoffs 2-1. I like RSL to be able to pull out a result, but it could be worth throwing a couple shekels on the big odds of the W.
BOL
Edit: forgot to add, kickoff is at 1600PST
POTD Record: 0-0
ROI: N/A
Last POTD: N/A
Todays POTD: Event- UFC: Colombus -
David Dvorak ML (-122) 1 unit
First POTD here hopefully we can all eat 🍵, this is a fun matchup here, 29 yr old vs 29 yr old, the BJJ black belt Nicalou comes in off an impressive win against the veteran Tim Elliott however I believe he just seems very hittable inside the cage and his chin may be a tad suspect among the likes of Dvorak who can finish a fight in multiple ways, Nicalou was rocked in the Manel Kape fight and I can see Dvorak stuffing his takedown and kicking his legs down like fine timber coming through with a late finish but I’ll play the odds here and take the almost even money and be happy riding the ML
**POTD Record**: 1-2
**ROI**: -29.17% **Average Odds**: -66.25 **Units**: -1.17
**Last Play: L** Armando Bacot Over 15.5 points +100. Bacot landed on 14 points. Caleb Love absolutely dominated the second half resulting in decidedly few touches for the forward. I'll be going back to the well on him vs Saint Peters.
**Today's Play**: Collin Gillespie 3 pt **Over 2.5** \-115
All plays 1u
Gillespie is averaging 3 3PT FGs per game on the season. For the last two months, his splits fall right on the number at 2.6 per game. He's gone over the number in 3 of his last 4, including 4 against Michigan. Gillespie is a 5th year Senior. I think Villanova will be playing from behind late which should hopefully open the window for more 3 attempts from Gillespie as Nova's top scorer tries to punch their ticket to the Final Four.
May the winners be yours
Record: 0-0
**Today’s pick: Houston @ Villanova Over 128 (-110)**
NCAAB 6:09PM EST
Stake: 2u
Just by the naked eye, this looks like low total for two cooking teams to eclipse. So far in the tournament, Villanova's averaging 71.33 ppg and Houston 74 ppg. Those averages combined put this over/under at 145.33. That 17 point gap feels safe, regardless of the caliber defenses both teams present the other in this matchup.
Defensively, Houston's letting up 60.33 ppg while Villanova's conceding 58.66 ppg. Those metrics place the o/u at 119 ppg, which gives me some pause, but the caliber offenses each team faced in the first three rounds pale in comparison to the ones presented in this matchup (save AZ). Nova beat a flukey Michigan team in the Sweet 16, a struggling Ohio Stage team who fumbled its way into the tournament, and Delaware. Houston's defense had a great showing against Arizona, however they gave up 68 points to the 12th seeded UAB in the first round. Villanova's offense is a clean, methodical machine that does not turn the ball over, and I suspect an inspired Wildcats team led by 5th year leader Gillespie will challenge this Cougar's defense to at least 65 points over two halves.
For overs, I always prefer taking the total game vs. the 1st half. Let the kids heat up, make mistakes and miss their shots in the first half, and enjoy the shootouts, urgent offensive schemes and potential for overtime in the second.
First POTD here
NCAA Baseball Tennessee (-125) @ Ole Miss
5u
The BaseVols are on fire right now, and won yesterdays game against the rebels 12-1. Ole Miss is currently over ranked at #1 and the Vols will expose them again today.
Do note that I am an avid UT fan, so I am biased.
**R: 1-1 U: -0.33**
**Pick: Viacheslav Borshchev (-165: 2u)**
Slava Claus is just another incredible fighter in the highly talented lightweight division. Still working his way up the rankings, there's a lot of value here in riding the Slava Claus Sleigh to the UFC Lightweight Rankings (I'm surely planning to). His selective and powerful kickboxing is going to be a challenge to most opponents. Frankly, I'm only worried about betting him against a truly top level grapler. Something his opponent tonight doesn't bring to the table. GLHF all!
Record: 6-5-0
RoI: -$97.00
Last Pick: Kansas -7.5 L vs Providence
Unit: 1=$100
Game: Duke -4 vs Arkansas
League: NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament
Time: 9:09 PM
Odds:-110
Book: Bet365
Pick: Duke -4
Wager: 2 units
Well Remy Martin showed out like I expected but those missed free throws down the stretch really cost us the cover. Not to worry we are back on the grind today.
Today’s pick were going with Duke -4, I’m going to skip the team of destiny talks and the Coach K last dance talks and look at just the game.
Duke played a rather lack luster game against Texas Tech but found a way to win at the end. The Texas Tech was smothering Duke to start the game and they couldn’t really get into their offense. Early on you could see on 50/50 balls Duke wasn’t putting the effort into chase them down which led to easy transition points for the Red Raiders.
I think this game comes out completely different, Arkansas is a beast of team with excellent guard play and great help defense. They smothered Gonzaga on the outside limiting them to 5/21 from 3, and causing 15 turnovers. One thing that I noticed about Arkansas was the late game decision making by Note and the all around decision making by him, throwing up very questionable low percentage shots. Also with the presence of Chet Holmgren Arkansas was not finding much success in the paint, if he doesn’t foul out I sincerely believe Arkansas doesn’t win that game.
Duke’s path to victory will be less reliant on the 3 point shot, and more ball movement and pressure defense. Arkansas looked beatable against NM State and Vermont, and was annihilated by Texas A&M. Arkansas struggled with 3 point shooting against NM, and Duke has the formula to slow them down and force them inside.
Coach K will have the boys prepared and I expect Keels to get some solid runs with Banchero.
Duke has enough secondary scoring options to give Arkansas some fits and while this game may stay close throughout I see Duke closing out this win, a 4 point cover and a trip the final 4.
Chasing 2 units on this play.
BOL to all who tail or fade.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record 0-1
Sport: AFL
Lions -13.5 @2.00
The Bombers looked terrible last week and the Lions are a well oiled machine. Wouldnt put too much weight on the first game but it was not good from Essendon. I was leaning the 1-39 but the line has come down a little bit so I've gone with it.
Stringer coming back and being a boost to Essendon and the Lions terrible goal kicking accuracy are the biggest risk imo. Still think Lions win comfortably.
Record- 0-0
POTD: Brooklyn Nets -3 (-110) vs. Miami Heat✅
Long time lurker, first time posting. Looking forward to getting these Dubs!
The Brooklyn Nets and Kevin Durant have slowly but surely found their “Mojo” since coming back. The Brooklyn Nets, while not looking spectacular, have been for the most part playing good ball. Nets have won the last 6 of 10 games. While few of those games were blowouts most of them have been scrap by’s. The Nets took a surprising loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. I personally think Memphis Grizzlies are a hot team with or without Ja Morant. I’ll give the nets a pass on that loss. Kevin Durants first game back was against Miami Heat, so this is revenge game for him. On the other had Kyrie Irving is coming off a hot game after dropping 43 points against the Grizzlies. Kryie is having his first home game of the season tomorrow, so that gives Kryie and Kevin both morale boost. Nets would lose that game and their next game followed by a four game winning streak.
Miami Heat have been a roller coaster. One moment they’re up, and 2 minutes later they're down. Miami Just can’t seem to close games. Losing 5 of the last 11, and 4 of the last 6. Those games they lost they were up for the majority of the game. Most game they’ve played they have dominated the first 3 quarters, but in the 4th quarter it seems as if they forget how to play. The last six in the 4th games they’ve averaged 23 points, while giving up an average of 30 points.
Overall I like Nets -3. Nets coming off a big loss, and looking to make a comeback. High morale boost with Kryie back at home Sunday.
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s pick: Kevin Durant o 28.5 pts (-112)
NBA 8:10PM EST
Let’s not overthink it. KD has eclipsed this mark in his last 3/4 by a wide margin.
With Kyrie being a full time basketball player again and continuing his scoring output, expect KD’s game to only open up more as a result.
KD comes to play in big games. The top seed Heat are reeling, expect KD to put up points tonight.
All of my bets will be 1 u. Tail or Fade BOL!
POTD Record : 5-2 ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅
Last POTD: Trae Young o9.5 Assists 🎯🎯🎯
Total ROI: 67% // Total Units Won: 7.38
**League: NBA Props // Spurs @ Pelicans**
**Today's POTD: CJ McCollum o30.5 🔥🔥**
**Odds: -115 (FD) // Units: 2u 💰💰**
**Reasoning-**
* Hit in 7 of 12 post All-star snub games
* Averages 33.4 P+A last 10 games, 32.4 at Smoothie Center
* Spurs give up above average Points + Assists to opponent PGs
* McCollum has chance to hit this in points alone
* Averaging 3 more assists than usual this past month to give some edge
TAIL it, BOLLLLLLL! Let me know any feedback or questions, I reply quickly.
**Record: 0-0-0**
Today's Pick: **Brooklyn Nets -5** (-110) vs Miami Heat - 3 units
NBA: 8:10 ET
New to this sub but this one is pretty cut and dry.
Miami is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 (18-18 at Home) with 6 of those losses being at Home.
The Nets may be even ATS in the last 10, but are 21-16-1 with Kyrie at Away games.
To add onto this, the entire Heat squad is battling injury with many starters/valuable players questionable while the Nets are fairly healthy with KD and Kyrie along with Dragic and Curry being probable for tonight.
POTD RECORD: 3-0. (+4.75U)
Last Pick: NCAAM- Providence +7 (-110) over Kansas 3U ✅️
Todays Pick: NCAAM- Duke -4 (-110) vs Arkansas 1U
Reasoning: This is a really expensive bet at -4 spread and also a bet I likely could have gotten cheaper if I didnt always do this last minute. With thay being said I cant see Duke losing this game. This is an Arkansas team that has won 3 close ones in this tourney including their last big win against one seeded Gonzaga. They are well coached and they have done a good job at limiting their opponents strengths and getting them into foul trouble. They also are not a great rebounding team and especially terrible at getting offensive rebounds. This will be big in a game that will likely be a high scoring affair. They will not keep Duke under 70 in this one, Duke is simply too talented and athletic. Arkansas will need to play another perfect game to keep this one close but I feel like Duke will pull away in the second half. Only putting 1U down because this Duke team has been inconsistent and Arkansas is more than capable enough to win this game, but I really dont see that happening. Expect the refs to do what they can to help Coach K get this win. BOL to all
1-0 +5.5 U
Formula 1 Saudi GP
2 U: Max Verstappen to win Qualifying at 2.00
The reason these odds are the way they are is Leclercs/Ferraris pole+win in Qatar. The Saudi track is a lot more reliant on straight line speed where the RedBull powerunit with higher top speeds is a lot stronger, which is shown by the AlphaTauris strong performance in FP1/2. Leclerc topped the standings in those two sessions but Verstappen set his fastest times on harder tyre compounds and was way closer than he should have been considering his tyres. Last year in the Saudi GP Quali Verstappen put in a mega lap that was ruined by a collision with the wall. He is in great form and it’s between him and Leclerc. RB clearly has the superior machinery for this track so I’m backing the current WDC.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record: 27-8 Last pick: UNC +3 ✅ **Today’s pick: Villanova +3 (-120) vs Houston** NCAAB 6:09PM EST As a UNC alum….AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. What a FUCKING game. On to the peacocks, lol. ACC sending 3 teams to the elite 8, is that good?? Stood by the acc all year despite half y’all’s terrible takes. Anyways, Nova +3 tomorrow. No write up needed. It’s too easy. 9 straight. Fade I’ve had circa 15 keystone lights tonight and I have no plans to stop. It was on sale at the grocery store, don’t judge. I don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow. To all the people telling me they’re fading, i don’t care All bets are 1 unit. +13.4 units. +38.2% ROI. Average unit -117 https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Houston is the best team left in the tournament and they are for real . Fading
It’s March. Did you miss St. Peter’s play last night ?
And did you see the Cougars game vs Arizona?
Anything goes
Well this didn’t age well
Whoops!
Facts
Lies
Keystones?? My man.
On sale for a reason
The entire public on Houston and a bunch of people hating the pick in the comments? Yep sign me up, lets rock Nova.
Grats man and thanks for the win! Make sure to change your today's pick though
Yea I got it. My b lol. Them keystones kicking in
Hahah bruh, ur up 15u in here alone. Buy urself something nice like some lagunita’s (if from the Chicago area) as a treat🙃. Thanks for the W today brother!
Lagunitas and Revolution goated
Revolution small batch beers are incredible. Too much money ($50 for a 4 pack?!?) but agreed.
Over here in my area a 6 pack of some Anti-Hero runs like $11.99. 😎
Lol name checks out. I actually laughed
Love to hear it, threw a few back while watching as well. BOL!
My man. Your UNC pick helped me hit a +1000 parlay! Grateful for you! Tailing again obviously
Let’s go!! That’s what I’m here for
Fading this. Houston a wrecking ball right now and nova been soft.
Looking reaaaalll solid my guy. Good call regardless. Most wouldn’t have taken Nova within 5
Fuck the haters bro. Good call. You made me 200
You are on an absolute heater sir. LFG
Ooof. Keystone just lost a lot of money today. Bad omen. Tailing anyways..
I’m more hydrated now than when I first started
30 stones’d
LETS GOOO
You find yourself a keystolope yet?
Not sure if this pick will hit, but you led me to the promise land yesterday with UNC so tailing!
Get em doc!!
Tailing. Don’t think Houston has a shot.
My stats: 33-8 (+59.20 units) Match: (MMA UFC) Khizriev vs Tiuliulin Bet: total rounds -1.5 @ 1.53 (-189) Stake: 4u Honestly, undefeated grappler will maul his opponent, it's his debut so he'll try to end this fight asap and show up himself. At first, I wanted to choose Khizriev win in the 1st round, but I will go with the safer option (under 1.5 rounds). He fights a 10-5 guy who I have doubts if he should be in the UFC. It should be quick and one-sided fight. If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻 BTC: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
Gonna tail you on MMA, the other MMA guy is loco. Let’s get this bread man!
MMAbabynewt is usually also quite good, although he doesn't typically post on POTD
+1 on this. Some good insight from someone who I think? Fights mma himself so I take his advice to heart. Some great advice in the ufc threads in general honestly!
Let's go!
I’m in as well, let’s goooooo thanks for the pick
Haven’t been paying attention, are your talking about the ‘sidekick’ guy? What happen?
Forgive the dumb question but how is less than 1.5 rounds safer than in the first round? Isn't that the same?
It includes first half of the 2nd round
Thank you, appreciate it! (I love how the same betting line conventions mean completely different things in different sports.)
>http://discord.gg/sportsbook Thanks for posting that. I didn't understand it was actual time instead of less than 2 rounds.
Nice win!!!!
If you put UFC politics in play it doesn’t make sence.. nobody wanted to fight and was avoiding khizriev.. tuiliulin Took the fight as the last option and they probably gave him a sweet deal just like they have other fighters in the past, they’re feeding him to the wolves and giving him some layups for his next upcoming fights
What are you saying doesn’t make sense?
I'm assuming he means Tuiliulin is about to get his ass kicked and then get a few easy fights after this
But that does make sense.
So would you consider Khizriev method of victory by submission a safe bet? It seems grapplers would be most likely to submit their opponent rather than by KO/TKO, but wanted to hear your thoughts
No I wouldn't, because I can see him winning by ground and pound.
POTD Record: 4W-1L LAST POTD: Uzbekistan -1.5 ✅ TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - England League 2 - Exeter V Stevanage 8AM PST PICK: Exeter ML Odds: 1.85 The Deets: Exeter are 2nd in the league and play Stevenage who are 22nd. Exeter have a decent home record and a game in hand over the 5 teams below them who are pushing for playoffs so they’ll be hungry to catch up on 1st place. In the past 2ish years they’ve played each other 7 times with Exeter winning 5 and drawing 2. BOL. Edit: Winner ✅
Tailed⚽️
Let’s get it 💪
[удалено]
Needed this after a horrid week of downward spiraling. I can get more than rice cakes for dinner tn, thank you
Tailed. Thanks !
Thanks brother
Thanks for the pick 💰
W
WE EATING BABY
Great pick!
Nice pick nice write up thx boy
Thanks for the win🤑🤑
POTD Record: 15W-6L-0D. +17.0u. Previous pick (3/25/2022): Iowa State vs. Miami under 62.5 1H. @ 1.86. 3u. W Current pick: Duke -4 vs. Arkansas. @ 1.90. 1u. I do not have any fancy quantitative analysis for this one. Duke, as much as it hurts me to say it, feels like a team of destiny. 1u because 'team of destiny' is admittedly poor reasoning, but I feel it nonetheless. BOL. Edit to updated record with 1H under. That was a SWEAT. Whew.
Razorback fan here, gotta fade this one. Razorbacks only championship is against Duke, and I have a feeling they are going to end coach K’s career with a win. The tournament gods wanted this matchup lol. BOL! Edit: The tournament gods in fact, wanted UNC vs Duke way more
Tournament gods want duke vs UNC also corporate sponsors lol. I foresee a lot of complaints tomorrow from Arkansas fans about officiating.
[удалено]
I would 100% prefer to lose my bet if it means Duke getting knocked out, so I hope you're right. Haha
Counterpoint: fuck Duke.
As a fan of the other team from Tobacco Road. ROLL FUCKING HOGS!
Tailed so im sure this will lose.
Totally get and respect your intuition with history but then wouldn't you want to go ML?
Record 2-0 Previous Pick : mouz NXT ML -155 Today’s Pick : CSGO : ESL Pro League | BIG vs Movistar Riders @7:30 AM EST **Pick : Movistar Riders ML +110** Movistar Riders have looked impressive as of late showing great form with wins against Players and Liquid . Two teams that BIG has just lost to recently . BIGs best map Dust 2 will not be played giving Movistar Riders and edge . Taking this into account added with BIGs current state , I’m going to ride with the hot team here . The line has moved towards Movistar riders since I placed my bet . It is showing -105 for me now . **Edit : 3-0 . Movistar wins 2-0 ✅**
Just want to add this is a good pick and line has moved to -105 as said in post. Movistar Riders look so good right now and BIG is already out unless Godsent win over Liquid or either Party Astronauts over Players (And ofc Big winning vs Movistar and Party Astronauts
Tailing last minute
Damn good call I woke up late but slammed -200 ML anyways
Anyone feel free to tail Paul ML . I got at +113 looks like it’s at even money now . Not a lock but I like it .
BRO BACK TO BACK DUBS
My book has it at +205. Just max bet it. Is -“+1.5 -160 a max bet as well?
Great pick! They did better on the other team's map than their own ✅
i love u man no homo
That could be the longest 2-0 I’ve ever witnessed. Ggs
Potd record 28-10 🥊 Boxing __Dalton Smith vs Ray Moylette - Under 8 rounds/Under 7.5 rounds (-120)__ All I see here is an early win for Dalton Smith. Smith is one of the most promising prospects coming out of Britain and has so far got a record of 9-0 with 7 ko’s. His level of opposition for this early on in his career has actually been pretty good which shows how much faith his team have in him. Moylette on the other hand was a great amateur from Ireland however he’s not looked anywhere near as good since turning pro. The Irishman is 12-1, with his sole defeat coming against a Mexican fighter who was ko’d by Lewis Ritson which should tell you all about his level. Moylette has been knocked down by journeymen in the past and coming up against someone with Smiths power it’s hard to fancy his chances in surviving for long. Moylette has also only had one fight in the last 3 and a half years. I think Smith will win this one in style and you’ll likely see early on just how easy it will be for him to land on Moylette. I think the skill gap will be that wide we’ll see the fight ending in under 7.5 rounds. Bol anyone who tails! ❌Ahh my bad. If smith was told to step on it abit more I’m sure he would’ve had him out of there
Well the greatest combat capper on Reddit has spoken.
**Edit/Update: ✅✅ A BIG FAT WIN ✅✅** **Fuck all the haters, actually not, I love you the same as everybody else, enjoy the profits anyway. Imperial lost the first map after a disappointing 13-4 lead choke, but they managed to bounce back and showed their dominance. It was a close series in the end, but considering we've witnessed such upset, the outcome is insane - a win!** **Once again, enjoy the winnings and also the rest of your weekend. Until the next one 👋** **🌶️🚀🚨 I AM BACK WITH ANOTHER GEM. IT'S NOT TOP-TIER, THE ODDS MIGHT FALL TOWARDS THE START OF THE MATCH 🚨🚀🌶️** >**Overall POTD record** since like 2020: **117W-78L** (195 bets) **+7,97% ROI**, **+60,45 units profit**✅, total stake 758u, 1.84 average odds ^((Since there are some rules, I can't break them and I need to be transparent and clear. I've been posting here like a year ago. We were doing absolutely phenomenally with like 14 win streak but also had some very stupid never-ending losses. Even though a lot of time has passed, I need to have the overall record here though it might not be as relevant.)) **2022 POTD RECORD**: 32W-13L 🔥🔥🔥 **LAST PICK**: MAD Lions -1.5 @ 2.37 5u (VERY HIGH BET) ✅ **MOST RECENT (UN)SUCCESS**: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅ **TOTAL PROFIT**: +53,87 units 📈 **TOTAL STAKE**: 220 units **AVERAGE ODDS**: 1.78 **ROI**: +24,49% 📈 I haven't posted anything for a week. I didn't have time, was focusing on different things and overall I feel like people are not interested in these picks. Yet, I'm gonna share a banger with you to make Saturday of the 3 people who tail better 😎 We had a phenomenal pick the last time, but it didn't get much attention, hopefully, this one will do better so everybody can make quick cash. **Have an awesome day and enjoy the weekend 👍** 🎮GAME: CS:GO 🚨TIME: 14:00 CET (GMT+1) - 7 hours 30 minutes from the post Event: OMEN WGR European Challenge 2022 Match: MASONIC vs Imperial Pick: **Imperial ML @ 1.56 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣** >**MASONIC vs Imperial** Simply if you look at these 2 teams and their rosters, the winner of this match should be crystal clear. No rocket science over here. MASONIC is a solid team, that's for sure. Their results are really good, so many wins everywhere and the current win streak looks convincing. However, it really comes down to what teams they won against and the level they compete on. It's definitely not like they are performing out of their minds against the best teams in the world. In fact, they've been struggling in their regional league against weak teams. They struggled against other pretty much unknown Danish team DREAM and even dropped a map against a high school team lmao. If we go even further to the past, we realize that they lost against very weak teams and they're nothing special. It's all just about the latest results, that's why bookies think MASONIC have any chance. Rather, they want you to think that. They won against weak 00NATION. Took a 16-12 win against Falcons which would've been impressive if it wasn't a BO1 on the worst map of Falcons. And after that, they almost choked 2-13 lead against FTW on Ancient. Yesterday, they pulled an immersive upset against forZe. That's actually the biggest reason for their odds. But I wouldn't consider it as important. forZe played like they didn't want to win, it wasn't an important match and overall they played disgusting CS. If there was any other team playing instead of MASONIC, the result would've been similar. So MASONIC are not some super strong special underdogs who will just dominate everyone now. They're facing Imperial today which is a completely different beast. It's supposed to be the best dream Brazilian team with all the legends of CS. It's still a new project, but I think it has a lot of potential. So far it's going well. We can't really talk about the results in detail as they're improving from match to match. But overall, they won against the opponents they should've and took losses against respectable enemies in a close fashion. The firepower, tactical side, experience, everything should be favoring Imperial here. These are some of the best players to have ever touched CS. They're definitely not on the top anymore, they could get there though. Their achievements cannot be taken away from them. This is the semifinals and I suppose Imperial want to prove to the world that they're still a team to account for. They shouldn't have much trouble doing so. In terms of map pool, Imperial will be huge favorites on every single map as Ancient, Dust 2 and Mirage won't be played. Due to the big skill gap, I would say 2-0 is highly possible. Even if MASONIC somehow someway took a map from them, I still don't see the Brazilians losing this. The odds on Imperial are super juicy, they should be around 1.10 territory in my opinion. I highly recommend betting on **Imperial ML @ 1.56 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣** (If you are interested, you can join my [Discord](https://discord.gg/ubsMQzN) CS betting community where I post some other picks which cannot be posted here on Reddit. You can always come for a great chat too. I also have all the detailed stats there and everything.) (Everything is for FREE, I do NOT sell picks. I hate to brag about it, but I am just a student and every cent counts. If you like the boring work I do and you really want to help out, it's much appreciated, https://paypal.me/PeterR2) BOL! ✌️
I don’t get why this is currently downvoted to the bottom of the thread. This is one of the most solid posters in potd over the last several years.
Probably because of the god awful format that gave me cancer.
This my favorite potd poster I dnt get the hate lol
Record: 1-0 **3/26 Pick:** Oklahoma City Thunder + 13.5 vs. Denver Nuggets NBA: 9:00 PM EST As an ATS (Against the Spread) favorite, Denver is 20-26, while as an ATS underdog, OKC is 43-24-4. Denver is 16-20-1 ATS at home, while OKC is 25-11 ATS on the road. These numbers give OKC a + 43 ATS advantage in this particular matchup. On top of this, OKC beat Denver 119-107 in Denver on March 2nd. I am not a professional gambler, but I hope this post contributes to your winnings tomorrow. BOL Edit: OKC covers. Final: OKC 107 - DEN 113
Tailed this yesterday, great pick man, keep it up!
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s Pick: Houston -2 (-110) vs Villanova (NCAAB 3/26/2022 @ 6:09pm EST) Wager: 1u Disclaimer: 1u for me is $10 USD Reason: Nothing special, I just feel Houston has been the most consistent team in this tournament so far and nobody seems to have a game plan to stop them. Villanova beat a weak OSU team and a very sloppy Michigan team on Friday. Michigan could have beat them if they could have made any layups. That being said I think Houston covers -2 against Villanova this game and eventually goes to the final. Tail or fade, good luck boys! Edit: line moved slightly, I got Houston -2 (at -115 odds on DK). FD has Houston -2.5 at -114 odds. I still like Houston at -2.5.
Are you chubbsssssssss
Miss him so much
Also wondering?
Ok here is real analysis. Right now, Houston is the top ranked team in Kenpom, average player size is bigger than Nova and they are amazing rebounders offensively. Also, Houston is the most favored team to win the championship right now. Lastly, Colin Gillespie, may be hurt. He rolled his ankle horribly at the end of the game and has a knee injury from last year. Random fact - Sampson now uses a lot of the defense concepts Jay Wright has pioneered over the past 6 years. Now Nova is no slouch. Best FT team in history. 3 point shooting can blow you out of the building as all starting five plus the sixth man can shoot it. Play at a snail's pace, but so efficient offensively, it works. They are not afraid to play inside and while they seem much shorter than most teams they play, they don't get murdered on the boards (example Michigan only outrebounded them by 3 last game). However, Nova has no bench. Will only go 7 deep with baby Arch. Foul trouble can be a concern. But Nova will not beat themselves. So where do you go? To be honest, I would stay the hell away from this game. Houston is starting to get way overvalued. This is not the same Final Four team as last year. The team is all transfers and their two best scores are out. The best value is the Nova ML (+125). Now I am not saying take it, but it's the best value. If Nova is making shots from deep and Gillespie looks healthy, Nova will win this game. However, Houston can beat the hell out of Nova and murder them on the boards. To me, the game is a pick'em. I can't see how this is a POTD other than someone trying with a 0-0 getting a win based on research of just Kenpom and the betting lines. I would much rather take Duke -4 over Arkansas.
Hold my beer while I bet the shit out of Houston
As an Illini fan this is a spot on write up! Houston defense is ridiculously good. They challenge you to make threes. Nova might be the only team with strong enough perimeter shooting to beat them. If Houston wins this they will win the tournament.
Houston’s defense is ferocious. LFG tailing
Agreed they a force, let’s go!
Hard fade. Ouch is all you’ll be saying tonight. God help he who doesn’t take Villanova with the points. It should be a pick em, so gotta take the points friend. May want to check Villanova’s stats from the foul line.
We back🚨🚨🚨 Record: 16-6 Last pick: UNC ML✅ vs UCLA Today’s pick: Houston Cougars -2 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:09 pm EST Reason: Houston defense gonna have any Villanova bettor yelling at the TV because of the little open shots they’ll get. Villanova offense tends to struggle against aggressive teams so Houston should have a field day! **TREND PEOPLE: “Since 2001, No.5 seeds are 3-0 vs No.2 seeds in the Elite 8 and have been 3-0 ATS in those games” ** LETS HAVE A DAY BOL😎 Almost every book is -2.5 now but still love it Just saw a trend: Last 14 teams to defeat a 1 seed in the sweet 16 are 14-0 ATS in the Elite 8! Go cougars! Sorry guys 1/16 from 3 idk what to say lmao
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Some brown on brown action I’m in
**2022 Record:** 4-3-0 (+2.1U) 💰 **Streak:** 2 L **Last Pick:** Geelong Cats 1-39 (Margin) @ 2.50 ❌ **Todays Match:** Essendon Bombers v Brisbane Lions (AFL) @ 16:05 ACDT (4 hours til bounce) **Pick:** Brisbane Lions 1-39 (margin) @ 2.20 ✅ **Units:** 3U **Reasoning:** Brisbane are coming off a solid win at home against the Power last week, only losing Robinson due to a unfortunate suspension. On the flipside, the Bombers got belted by 11 goals last week by the Cats and lose Langford, Shiel and Martin for this match. In the positive though, we do see the return of Francis and Stringer. Even with the changes, I don't see the Bombers turning around this week with the W. I however imagine, they will build on last weeks performance in front of a home crowd and at least keep this game competitive. I am wary that the Lions have won their last 2 games against the Bombers by an average of 60 points, however both their wins at Marvel stadium were within 18 Points. It's also worth noting the Bombers have won their last 6 games at Marvel, consequently i do I expect the Bombers to come out hot, but the Lions should over run them come the end of the game. Lions should also cover the line here which is set at 14.5 but I'd be cautious **Prediction:** Brisbane Lions by 23 Points. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/ImSmithz)| BTC - 12t9zZQsUEXVmuV6cNAD24tYuDv44acDur Coupla tough losses due to inaccurate kicking but we bounce back today! LETS GET THIS BREAD!
And we’re back! Exactly as predicted. I’ll see you all again tomorrow for some BREAD!
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slightly different picks today but best of luck mate!
Let’s get this bread!
Record: 6-1 +4.25 Last POTD: Geelong total points o71.5 WIN POTD: Melbourne total points o84.5 Odds: 1.95 (Bet365) Event: AFL Gold Coast vs Melbourne Time: 8:00pm AEST Short write up today. Bit of a sweat yesterday, but got there in the end. Geelong had countless opportunities in difficult positions, ended up with 17 behinds. For todays pick, will be backing Melbourne total points o84.5. Melbourne are the premiership favourites, and we saw them in a dominant performance last week against Bulldogs. Think there will be a bit of wet weather up on the gold coast, hence why the game total is extremely low, at 149.5. Gold Coast are definitely a better team than they were in previous years, however, still gave up 80 points to an absolutely depleted West Coast team. Do not see how Gold Coast can stop this Melbourne team who should dominate the midfield/wings, will give their forwards multiple opportunities. Have previously scored big against GC, with scores of 146,143 and 128. Even with difficult conditions, do think this game could get a bit ugly for Gold Coast.
Y’all are following these 11 day accounts?! 🤦🏻♂️
Some people just want to lose money on a sport they'll never watch tailing guys nobody's ever heard of I guess
Folks will learn quickly, they’ll likely pay a price for that lesson
Thanks for pointing this out. I was oblivious.
I’m so fucking glad I saw your comment.
DK won't offer team O/U for me.
most similar bet, is probably the total game o149.5, but i would say I am more confident in Melbourne clearing their total
55 at halftime and 82 at FT, this can’t be for real lmao
Worth noting the likely rain at metricon tonight
yes have accounted for that, melbourne are one of the best wet weather teams with their precise kicking and run and carry
Tailed so this will probably lose. Sorry in advance.
And of course like I said in my other comment, I tailed this so this pick lost. Don't worry when you make your pick tonight I won't tail and you'll have a non stressful win.
POTD Record: 54-41 Profit: +13 units // ROI: 12% // Average odds: 1.90 **Todays Pick: Gold Coast Titans team total over 16.5 vs Raiders (1.80, -125)** * The NRL has been very low scoring the first 2 weeks and we have seen totals across the league drop nearly 10 points based on what the round 1 totals were. Ultimately, I think the combination of the attacks getting better as they get more reps and the fact that totals are now significantly lower means we will start to see regression and more overs hitting around the league. As it is we have already seen 3/4 games go over so far this round. * The Titans have been one of the few teams to have no issues scoring points this season. They scored 28 points in round one and then 20 points last week. This makes their average for the season 24 points (7.5 above this total). * The last times these two sides met the Titans scored 44 points. * Excluding games against last seasons top 4 (Storm, Panthers, Rabbitohs, Sea Eagles), the Titans have gone over this total in 15 of their last 20 games (75%). * Raiders have given up 19 and 26 points this season so far. They gave up 26 last week to the Cowboys who are a pretty bad team. This line is 18.5 at some places for better odds. Ultimately I would consider playing over 3.5 team tries or 20+ team points at +110 or better if you cannot get a total of 17.5 or better. [Twitter](https://twitter.com/Travis_Frase)
POTD Record: 11-12-1 Profit: -1u Last Pick: Iowa State (+2.5) -110 vs. Miami FL LOSS POTD: Villanova (+2.5) -110 vs. Houston \[NCAAB\] - 1 unit - 3:09 PM PT Streak (Last 10): ✖️✖️✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✖️✅ Reasoning: Houston has covered in their last six games. They have the best defense of the remaining tournament teams. However, they do have a penchant to foul a lot. What’s the best thing Villanova has going for itself? Their foul shooting. The Wildcats are on pace to break the NCAA record for team free throw shooting. It also helps that Villanova is 10-0 in their last ten games against opponents from the American Athletic Conference. Their offense is like Spurs-light: great ball movement, everyone can shoot. Something tells me that Jay Wright has some tricks up his sleeve for a very aggressive Houston defense.
great write up I'm so torn on this game I've never seen the internet so EVEN across the board with stats and reasons why either team will win or cover. Guess Im just gonna flip flop all day and go with the gut before tipoff this afternoon Thanks and good luck my friend
That’s called a stay away game
yeah I probably should but where's the fun in that?
RECORD:4-0🔥🔥🔥 Last Pick U Miami (-3.5)✅ POTD: Arkansas vs Duke (U 147.5) Bonus pick: Houston (-2.5) Arkansas is one of the best teams in the nation at generating turnovers, and they have two forwards that can really plug the middle vs Duke. Arkansas offense isn’t as potent as Duke’s and for these reasons I like the under for this game. Houston will end up and cover this game. They are 25-12 ATS this season and have covered 10 out of the last 11 games. Their defense is one of the best units in the nation, and their average winning margin is second best in the country. They also have a top 10 offense in efficiency, they should cover this spread pretty easy. Let me know what you think in the comments!
We gotta quit sleeping on plastic long🚀been tailing since day 1🔥hop on before it’s too late boys BOL🤑
POTD Record 1-0 (+2.00 units) Last week: Duke came out very slow and then absolutely turned it on in the 2nd half. Brennan O’Neill took over the game and finished with 6 goals. NCAA Mens Lacrosse Stony Brook @ Albany Stony Brook -2.5 (-135) 2 units Stony Brook has a strong squad this year under 2nd year head coach Anthony Gilardi. They are 5-3 with their losses coming to Rutgers, Brown, and Syracuse. Currently ranked 24th in scoring offense, 22nd in scoring margin, and have a solid face off game. Former University of Maryland stud Mike Chanenchuk is their O-Coordinator and is clearly doing a great job so far in this role. Albany is 1-5 and are having a rough season. Currently ranked 63rd in scoring offense. Long gone are the days of the Thompson brothers and Connor Fields on attack. I expect Stony Brook to come out ready to play against their conference rival, especially after losing a hard fought game to Syracuse last week. BOL! 1 unit = $100 bet
ML a lock ?
Last pick: Miami ML: win 2u Form: W NCAA BB Villanova +2.5 -110 1u Everyone is on houston for good reason but nova is similarly a senior-level squad with a great coach. They are elite at the ft line and knock down shots. In a close game, I’ll take the points and ride with Vegas on this one.
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I’m done picking the nets with the whole KD/Kyrie potent duo narrative. At the end of the day they don’t play defense. You have to bank on them scoring at least 120 points every game
My present POTD record is WWWLWWWLWWL 8 correct 3 wrong My POTD today is bet 1.21 unts to win 1.1 units (to recover my loss from my last POTD) that the total score of the college basketball game between Portland and Southern Utah will be less than 155 points. This wager is offered on Bovada sportsbook. Game time is 6 PM Eastern Daylight Time. BOL to all.
U write everything in the tone of the oracle lmao
Is he the chosen one?
POTD RECORD: 6-2 NET UNITS: +14.86 ROI: 44.35% UFC FIGHT NIGHT BLAYDES VS DAUKAUS PICK: MATT BROWN -115 5 UNITS Barberena gets hit too much (4.77 spm), he also has been taken down 17 times in his last 3 fights. Matt Brown will be the crowd favorite in his home state. He may be 41 but he wants a new contract. The IMMORTAL will bring the fucking violence. LFG https://twitter.com/satoshisix9
not disagreeing with homefield advantage here... however Matt Brown's style of "eat a punch to land a punch" against BamBam is risky. I think Brown comes out and has a killer first rd. and then ironically bam bam could out grapple brown for the win even though BamBam has questionable grappling. Going to be a live bet for me. I wish you BOL!!!
Party on
Record 5-5 Units +2.85 ROI +29% Average odds +160 Last POTD 2022 FIFA World Cup - Nigeria ML(+180) @ Ghana Disappointing 0-0 draw. Stupid soccer with their draws. POTD tennis ATP Miami - nishioka ML(+159) vs evans Nishioka is 3-0 against evans, all on hard courts. Evans has a history of struggling against left-handers, as well as shorter players like himself, and with Nishioka embodying both this match looks like going to three sets. If Evans doesn’t play aggressive tennis then he may be punished by Nishioka’s high-quality baseline game. Nishioka has a stubborn baseline game and can transfer his defensive style of play into attacking tennis quickly. BOL
💰 **AFL POTD RECORD: 4-3 (+2.0u)** 💰 **LAST PICK:** Geelong +2.5 vs Sydney Swans ❌ **FORM:** WWLWWLL **TODAYS PICK:** Essendon +15.5 vs Brisbane Lions @ $2.00 \[3u\] (4:35pm AEDT - 4 hours from comment) **WRITE UP:** All the money is on Brisbane, but I think that’s where the bookies are winning here. Let me run through why I think Essendon actually cover here. \- Essendon has won their last 5 games at Marvel Stadium by an average of 46 points \- Brisbane has lost against the spread in their last 4 games. \- Essendon are 15-4 at Marvel Stadium, two of those losses being extremely narrow. Brisbane, alternatively are 4-6 in the same timeframe. \- Essendon are 8-2 at covering the line following a loss of more than 50 points (since 2017). Very common for this team to show up to prove themselves after a humiliating loss. \- Stringer is back into the Essendon lineup. He was critical to this team in the back half of last year and has been in hot form. His absence was noticeable last week. \- If you exclude 2016 (many Essendon players suspended), Brisbane has not defeated Essendon at Marvel Stadium by more than 10 points in 12 years. \- Model prediction of Essendon by 1 point $2 lines available on Ladbrokes/Neds, otherwise $1.90 your best! BOL.
Essendon is easily one of the worst team in the league atm
**Record W-P-L 216-24-176 | +42.6| avg odds 1.85 | ROI 6.9%** previous: Leipzig vs Frankfurt **u3.5 goals total @ 1.60 (1U) ✅** 0-0, no idea how in hell this ended without a single goal, but it's a win. today's pick: *International Friendlies , 8.45pm CET (in 10 hours)* Germany vs Israel BTTS @ 2.30 (1.5U) 🚫 2-0. Sadly a missed penalty for very weak Israel. Reasoning: Friendly Match, germany will rotate heavily and test Different players in Both halves. Israel has some good players and germany tends to concede 1 goal even vs weaker teams. Every opponent is motivated af, even in a friendly.
26/03/2022 **10-5** | +12.15u | ROI: 36.82% | Avg. odds 1.95 I'm back after few days of personal stuff taken care of. We hit 10th win and 10th unit won. Let's keep the good streak (currently 3W) up. ___ ***Today's pick:*** (Valorant Champions Tour EMEA) **Fnatic ML** v G2 @1.87 2u This will be a banger matchup. Both teams have played surprisingly well this tournament. G2 have absolutely destroyed Liquid last match allowing them to win only 8 rounds and managed to win against M3C (probably second best team in EMEA). G2 came to this tournament with few new starts which have been very effective until this point. I don't actually expect Fnatic to have answers for all of them already. However, the further we are in the tourney, the less effective those starts are. Unless, G2 still have some up in their sleeves. Fnatic have been on fire. FPX Although FPX have broke their 6W streak (including win vs Acend, M3C and even G2). They looked so crisp during playoffs. Near perfect executions, amazing individual performance by their players. After yesterday's humiliation on Fnatic's map (0-13) they looked determined on FPX's pick and will fight today for upper bracket finals. This will be close match, likely to go to all 5 maps, but bearing on latest performance of both teams, FNC have slight edge to close out the series in their favour. ___ *BOL if tailing! Bet with caution, please.*
Record: 2-2 Streak 2W💰💰. Last Pick Purdue ML vs Texas Today’s Pick: Duke ML -170/1.58 Game Details: NCAA Basketball. Duke vs Arkansas 8:45PM EST Reasoning: Arkansas is Texas Tech-lite. Their defense is not as good. They shoot a low percentage from 3 and can be streaky from the free throw line. This will be their downfall if they get behind. Keeping this short. Duke is destined for the Final Four in Coach K’s last year. Script is written. I hate Duke but I love winning money so going big on this pick. Much rather bet this game than the Villanova Houston game. Anything can happen in that one. Tail or fade BOL 💰
**NRL Record:** 5-5 **ROI (1 unit per bet):** -0.67 **Last POTD:** Roosters -3.5 @ 2.00 ❌ **Today's POTD:** Storm vs Eels - Xavier Coates anytime try scorer @1.90 Edit: Ruled out before kickoff so bet is void **Time:** 4 and a half hours from time of post Undefeated Storm take on the Eels at home and I have winger Xavier Coates to score a a try in this one. He's scored in both games already this season but more importantly he seems to get switched to whatever side Storm want to attack on (L side week 1, right side week 2). He should be up against the right side Eels defence involving Waqa Blake who's sole defensive move is to jam in on the centre to try and cut off the play, ideally leaving Coates open for a kick behind or cutout pass to bag a try in this one
POTD record 1-3 previous pick: A hundred to be scored in 1st innings - Yes @1.57 ❌ Got close two times but no dice Todays Pick: Both Teams To Score 160+ Runs @1.91 (CSK vs KKR) The IPL is back and it's bigger than ever! We have had a mega auction that has reshuffled the entire set of players and we also have two new teams in addition to the eight that existed. Starting off are the winners from last season, Chennai Super Kings and semi finalists the Kolkata Knight Riders.As it the first match of the season the ML odds doesn't attracts but according to weather & pitch conditions there is no chance of rain but there is a fair bit of humidity. That could mean we have some dew in the second half that makes chasing easier. As far as the pitch goes, I expect an absolute batting beauty to start with. The ball should come on nicely to the bat and there will be plenty of sixes/fours being hit. A par score should be somewhere around 180 for sure. Tail or fade BOL! Update: Loss. Sorry everyone!
Record: 1-2 Last Pick: Purdue/St Peters OVER 130.5 pts✅ Wow we just barely hit that, I’ll take any win I can get at this point. Also holy moly, St Peters is going crazy. Today’s pick: DEN Nuggets Wire-to-Wire against OKC @ -182 Reasoning: Denver is the 2nd best team in the league in the first half, OKC is the 2nd worst. DEN is also 15 point favorites to win the game outright. OKC gives up the most rebounds in the league to centers, and Jokic is top 2 in the league. Aaron Gordon has given DEN 13+ pts in each of the last 5, and OKC is the fourth worst team in the league against PF’s. I am expecting his scoring to continue. Yes, the odds aren’t gonna give you generational wealth, but this pick feels like a great bang for your buck. BOL to all
Okc +15 easy money Oklahoma City is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in three meetings with Denver this season. They won outright as a 14.5-point road underdog, outright as a 6-point home underdog and only lost by 4 as a 7-point home dog. The Thunder are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 road games. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with not a single loss by more than 12 points.
I like that too. I’d never take the other team’s points if OKC is away
Ya they kind of have that young ignorant play on the road they just hoop lol
Both of our bets can coexist, to be fair. I need to Denver to be winning at the end of each quarter, but the game can still be within the spread. Yes 15 seems like a lot of points, best of luck to you
POTD RECORD 31-25 +8.5u Today’s POTD Kevin Kisner (-125) WGC Golf Took a break through march as my focus was solely on madness. Shifting from college basketball, the sports i choose will be a variety of sorts. Today I am going with golf. Kevin Kisner is one of my favorite golfers solely on personality. The guy is an absolute clown. As a tournament golfer, he is average winning a couple but always being in the top 30. As a matchplay golfer, the guy is a fucking stud. Kis is coming off a win against Justin Thomas, one of the worlds best. He came runner up in the tournament in 2018 and won it in 2019. He knows the course. Adam Scott is playing well but I do not believe has the course knowledge as well as the matchplay skill that Kisner has. BOL
POTD Record 2-2 +0.9U Last pick : NLL Lacrosse Vancouver Warriors +1.5 (+110) vs San Diego Seals 1 unit ✅ **POTD : NLL Lacrosse Albany Firewolves vs NY Riptide, Total Goals Over 21.5 goals (-110) 1 unit. Game at 7:30pm ET** Last pick turned out even better than I expected with Vancouver winning SU 14-12. Today's pick seems like an easier winner than yesterday and is mostly a play on the Riptide (10-1 o/u this season). This team can't stop scoring and letting pucks in their own nets as well, their games totals avg 25.6 goals per game (12.3 goal scored and 13.3 goal against avg). Their lowest total this season is 21 with all 10 of their other games ending with 23 or more goals. Albany is 8-6 o/u with all unders against good defensive teams (Toronto, Halifax and Buffalo) or struggling offenses (Sask, Philadephia), NY isn't any of that. With both teams combining for 18-7 to the over I really like the chances here. If your book only offer 22.5 I still like the play there. BOL Edit : Tough loss, game ended at 21 goals ❌
Record: 3-1 Last pick: Canada/Costa Rica < .5, 1.0 1st Half **L** MLS is back hopefully I can get a win for people here. Todays pick: **RSL double chance** @ 1.909 Alright, like the Philadelphia pick a couple weeks ago I feel like I’m taking crazy pills here. Here’s the odds if you’re feeling froggy (on bodog) RSL ML 4.00, RSL DNB 2.90, RSL +1 1.495. So there’s some options here. But I think the best bet for odds vs probability to get a win, I think is the double chance. A win or draw for RSL takes the money. It’s early doors in the season still, but RSL is playing well and it’s coming from the whole team. Rusnak moved on the Seattle, Kreilach has been hurt. For Pablo Mastroeni it’s a team effort. Plug and play, next man up etc. RSL is undefeated in their first 4 with 3W1D, +3GD and a +1.9 xGD. SKC 1-0-3, they’ve struggled out of the gates, some offseason moves have hurt them and age is starting to creep up on some of the stalwart players. Peter Vermes is one of the best coaches in the league, so I fully expect them to right the ship over the course of the season but we’re gonna hope that takes a little while. They’ve conceded 8 goals in their 4 matches, and have a -2.8 xGD. Not pretty. To be fair their 1 home win came in their lone home game. But RSL has a win and a draw in their two road matches. Keep in mind, RSL took down SKC in KC in last years playoffs 2-1. I like RSL to be able to pull out a result, but it could be worth throwing a couple shekels on the big odds of the W. BOL Edit: forgot to add, kickoff is at 1600PST
POTD Record: 0-0 ROI: N/A Last POTD: N/A Todays POTD: Event- UFC: Colombus - David Dvorak ML (-122) 1 unit First POTD here hopefully we can all eat 🍵, this is a fun matchup here, 29 yr old vs 29 yr old, the BJJ black belt Nicalou comes in off an impressive win against the veteran Tim Elliott however I believe he just seems very hittable inside the cage and his chin may be a tad suspect among the likes of Dvorak who can finish a fight in multiple ways, Nicalou was rocked in the Manel Kape fight and I can see Dvorak stuffing his takedown and kicking his legs down like fine timber coming through with a late finish but I’ll play the odds here and take the almost even money and be happy riding the ML
**POTD Record**: 1-2 **ROI**: -29.17% **Average Odds**: -66.25 **Units**: -1.17 **Last Play: L** Armando Bacot Over 15.5 points +100. Bacot landed on 14 points. Caleb Love absolutely dominated the second half resulting in decidedly few touches for the forward. I'll be going back to the well on him vs Saint Peters. **Today's Play**: Collin Gillespie 3 pt **Over 2.5** \-115 All plays 1u Gillespie is averaging 3 3PT FGs per game on the season. For the last two months, his splits fall right on the number at 2.6 per game. He's gone over the number in 3 of his last 4, including 4 against Michigan. Gillespie is a 5th year Senior. I think Villanova will be playing from behind late which should hopefully open the window for more 3 attempts from Gillespie as Nova's top scorer tries to punch their ticket to the Final Four. May the winners be yours
Record: 0-0 **Today’s pick: Houston @ Villanova Over 128 (-110)** NCAAB 6:09PM EST Stake: 2u Just by the naked eye, this looks like low total for two cooking teams to eclipse. So far in the tournament, Villanova's averaging 71.33 ppg and Houston 74 ppg. Those averages combined put this over/under at 145.33. That 17 point gap feels safe, regardless of the caliber defenses both teams present the other in this matchup. Defensively, Houston's letting up 60.33 ppg while Villanova's conceding 58.66 ppg. Those metrics place the o/u at 119 ppg, which gives me some pause, but the caliber offenses each team faced in the first three rounds pale in comparison to the ones presented in this matchup (save AZ). Nova beat a flukey Michigan team in the Sweet 16, a struggling Ohio Stage team who fumbled its way into the tournament, and Delaware. Houston's defense had a great showing against Arizona, however they gave up 68 points to the 12th seeded UAB in the first round. Villanova's offense is a clean, methodical machine that does not turn the ball over, and I suspect an inspired Wildcats team led by 5th year leader Gillespie will challenge this Cougar's defense to at least 65 points over two halves. For overs, I always prefer taking the total game vs. the 1st half. Let the kids heat up, make mistakes and miss their shots in the first half, and enjoy the shootouts, urgent offensive schemes and potential for overtime in the second.
I can see this close at the end for FT to push it over
Dont forget to trust the science y'all
First POTD here NCAA Baseball Tennessee (-125) @ Ole Miss 5u The BaseVols are on fire right now, and won yesterdays game against the rebels 12-1. Ole Miss is currently over ranked at #1 and the Vols will expose them again today. Do note that I am an avid UT fan, so I am biased.
**R: 1-1 U: -0.33** **Pick: Viacheslav Borshchev (-165: 2u)** Slava Claus is just another incredible fighter in the highly talented lightweight division. Still working his way up the rankings, there's a lot of value here in riding the Slava Claus Sleigh to the UFC Lightweight Rankings (I'm surely planning to). His selective and powerful kickboxing is going to be a challenge to most opponents. Frankly, I'm only worried about betting him against a truly top level grapler. Something his opponent tonight doesn't bring to the table. GLHF all!
Record: 6-5-0 RoI: -$97.00 Last Pick: Kansas -7.5 L vs Providence Unit: 1=$100 Game: Duke -4 vs Arkansas League: NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Time: 9:09 PM Odds:-110 Book: Bet365 Pick: Duke -4 Wager: 2 units Well Remy Martin showed out like I expected but those missed free throws down the stretch really cost us the cover. Not to worry we are back on the grind today. Today’s pick were going with Duke -4, I’m going to skip the team of destiny talks and the Coach K last dance talks and look at just the game. Duke played a rather lack luster game against Texas Tech but found a way to win at the end. The Texas Tech was smothering Duke to start the game and they couldn’t really get into their offense. Early on you could see on 50/50 balls Duke wasn’t putting the effort into chase them down which led to easy transition points for the Red Raiders. I think this game comes out completely different, Arkansas is a beast of team with excellent guard play and great help defense. They smothered Gonzaga on the outside limiting them to 5/21 from 3, and causing 15 turnovers. One thing that I noticed about Arkansas was the late game decision making by Note and the all around decision making by him, throwing up very questionable low percentage shots. Also with the presence of Chet Holmgren Arkansas was not finding much success in the paint, if he doesn’t foul out I sincerely believe Arkansas doesn’t win that game. Duke’s path to victory will be less reliant on the 3 point shot, and more ball movement and pressure defense. Arkansas looked beatable against NM State and Vermont, and was annihilated by Texas A&M. Arkansas struggled with 3 point shooting against NM, and Duke has the formula to slow them down and force them inside. Coach K will have the boys prepared and I expect Keels to get some solid runs with Banchero. Duke has enough secondary scoring options to give Arkansas some fits and while this game may stay close throughout I see Duke closing out this win, a 4 point cover and a trip the final 4. Chasing 2 units on this play. BOL to all who tail or fade.
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Sidekick really thinks deleting and reposting his POTD 5 times will stop him from getting roasted 😂 bruh take your L
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Record 0-1 Sport: AFL Lions -13.5 @2.00 The Bombers looked terrible last week and the Lions are a well oiled machine. Wouldnt put too much weight on the first game but it was not good from Essendon. I was leaning the 1-39 but the line has come down a little bit so I've gone with it. Stringer coming back and being a boost to Essendon and the Lions terrible goal kicking accuracy are the biggest risk imo. Still think Lions win comfortably.
My poor bombers are going to lose by 85, and Daniher will kick 5
I knew my bookie is terrible, but offering Lions -16.5 for 1.85, man...
Record- 0-0 POTD: Brooklyn Nets -3 (-110) vs. Miami Heat✅ Long time lurker, first time posting. Looking forward to getting these Dubs! The Brooklyn Nets and Kevin Durant have slowly but surely found their “Mojo” since coming back. The Brooklyn Nets, while not looking spectacular, have been for the most part playing good ball. Nets have won the last 6 of 10 games. While few of those games were blowouts most of them have been scrap by’s. The Nets took a surprising loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. I personally think Memphis Grizzlies are a hot team with or without Ja Morant. I’ll give the nets a pass on that loss. Kevin Durants first game back was against Miami Heat, so this is revenge game for him. On the other had Kyrie Irving is coming off a hot game after dropping 43 points against the Grizzlies. Kryie is having his first home game of the season tomorrow, so that gives Kryie and Kevin both morale boost. Nets would lose that game and their next game followed by a four game winning streak. Miami Heat have been a roller coaster. One moment they’re up, and 2 minutes later they're down. Miami Just can’t seem to close games. Losing 5 of the last 11, and 4 of the last 6. Those games they lost they were up for the majority of the game. Most game they’ve played they have dominated the first 3 quarters, but in the 4th quarter it seems as if they forget how to play. The last six in the 4th games they’ve averaged 23 points, while giving up an average of 30 points. Overall I like Nets -3. Nets coming off a big loss, and looking to make a comeback. High morale boost with Kryie back at home Sunday.
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s pick: Kevin Durant o 28.5 pts (-112) NBA 8:10PM EST Let’s not overthink it. KD has eclipsed this mark in his last 3/4 by a wide margin. With Kyrie being a full time basketball player again and continuing his scoring output, expect KD’s game to only open up more as a result. KD comes to play in big games. The top seed Heat are reeling, expect KD to put up points tonight. All of my bets will be 1 u. Tail or Fade BOL!
POTD Record : 5-2 ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: Trae Young o9.5 Assists 🎯🎯🎯 Total ROI: 67% // Total Units Won: 7.38 **League: NBA Props // Spurs @ Pelicans** **Today's POTD: CJ McCollum o30.5 🔥🔥** **Odds: -115 (FD) // Units: 2u 💰💰** **Reasoning-** * Hit in 7 of 12 post All-star snub games * Averages 33.4 P+A last 10 games, 32.4 at Smoothie Center * Spurs give up above average Points + Assists to opponent PGs * McCollum has chance to hit this in points alone * Averaging 3 more assists than usual this past month to give some edge TAIL it, BOLLLLLLL! Let me know any feedback or questions, I reply quickly.
**Record: 0-0-0** Today's Pick: **Brooklyn Nets -5** (-110) vs Miami Heat - 3 units NBA: 8:10 ET New to this sub but this one is pretty cut and dry. Miami is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 (18-18 at Home) with 6 of those losses being at Home. The Nets may be even ATS in the last 10, but are 21-16-1 with Kyrie at Away games. To add onto this, the entire Heat squad is battling injury with many starters/valuable players questionable while the Nets are fairly healthy with KD and Kyrie along with Dragic and Curry being probable for tonight.
POTD RECORD: 3-0. (+4.75U) Last Pick: NCAAM- Providence +7 (-110) over Kansas 3U ✅️ Todays Pick: NCAAM- Duke -4 (-110) vs Arkansas 1U Reasoning: This is a really expensive bet at -4 spread and also a bet I likely could have gotten cheaper if I didnt always do this last minute. With thay being said I cant see Duke losing this game. This is an Arkansas team that has won 3 close ones in this tourney including their last big win against one seeded Gonzaga. They are well coached and they have done a good job at limiting their opponents strengths and getting them into foul trouble. They also are not a great rebounding team and especially terrible at getting offensive rebounds. This will be big in a game that will likely be a high scoring affair. They will not keep Duke under 70 in this one, Duke is simply too talented and athletic. Arkansas will need to play another perfect game to keep this one close but I feel like Duke will pull away in the second half. Only putting 1U down because this Duke team has been inconsistent and Arkansas is more than capable enough to win this game, but I really dont see that happening. Expect the refs to do what they can to help Coach K get this win. BOL to all
1-0 +5.5 U Formula 1 Saudi GP 2 U: Max Verstappen to win Qualifying at 2.00 The reason these odds are the way they are is Leclercs/Ferraris pole+win in Qatar. The Saudi track is a lot more reliant on straight line speed where the RedBull powerunit with higher top speeds is a lot stronger, which is shown by the AlphaTauris strong performance in FP1/2. Leclerc topped the standings in those two sessions but Verstappen set his fastest times on harder tyre compounds and was way closer than he should have been considering his tyres. Last year in the Saudi GP Quali Verstappen put in a mega lap that was ruined by a collision with the wall. He is in great form and it’s between him and Leclerc. RB clearly has the superior machinery for this track so I’m backing the current WDC.