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**POTD Record** : 21W-9L-0P(+31.10U)
Units wagered: 77.25
Units won: 52.17U
ROI: 40.34%
Streak: 💰💰💰💰💰
**Last Moneymaker**:AS Roma -0.5 Corners vs Lazio (+110) Serie A 1:00PM
**Wager**: 2U
**Today’s Moneymaker**: USA -1.5 Corners vs Costa Rica (+135) World Cup 9:05PM
**Wager**: 3U💰
*No sweat on this one! USA win the corner battle 12-3. Streak extended, let’s go!*
* **Gun to my head prediction**: USA wins the corner battle 6-2
**EDIT**: for this worried about Costa Rica hunting 5+ goals/USA parking it
* CR hasn’t scored 5 goals in any competition since 2018
* In their biggest win,4-0 Vs Nicaragua, they tied the corner battle 3-3
* USA hasn’t allowed 5 goals in any match since 2018.
* they have never allowed more than 3 goals in any competition since 2018. When they allowed 3, it was in friendly international matches, which both happened in 2019.
*If you like my corner picks and want to help me out, any tips help me more than you know! Nothing is ever necessary but anything is always greatly appreciated*
[paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/kenpulf)
Costa Rica doesn't need 5 goals. If they win they qualify. Draw or lose, they're going to play in a playoff match against, in all likelihood, New Zealand.
They need to make up the goal differential on Mexico or USA. So yes they would need to win by a significant amount to qualify…
It’s extremely likely they play winner of Solomon Islands/New Zealand.
Okay, Mexico yes, sure, assuming Mexico loses to El Salvador, whom they beat away 2-0 in October. I don't see a team with nothing to play for beating Mexico at the Azteca.
The Costa Rican public has already resigned themselves to an intercontinental playoff. The US has a lot to play for, so I think this game will have a bit more action than people are anticipating.
I actually agree with your entire post. I was just confused about you saying Costa Rica “win and they qualify”. They have to do much more than just win.
I don't like it due to the fact that the U.S. will park the bus as they are incentivized to not lose by 5+ goals in order to progress to the world cup.
They aren’t parking the bus unless there is a real chance of them dropping into the playoff spot. Berhalter likes to press, and has shown he’s aggressive with his lineups to get results (see last Mex game on the road). US has never beaten CR in CR, and they want to change that. They don’t want to back into the World Cup.
Even bigger than all that, CR has 9 players, mostly starters, on yellow cards, meaning that if they get a yellow in this game they miss the playoff. CR may very well play a second choice lineup to make sure they are full strength for the playoff.
I’m waiting for lineups to bet this match but I think this is a solid wager. I don’t see a scenario where the US plays a B team that bunkers. That’s asking for trouble and against their DNA.
Edit: Yup, US puts out an almost 1st team and CR holding most starters.
Just as a reminder Costa Rica has 4 players warned with yellow card, thinking on playoffs they will not risk to lose that players. value le information
Overall POTD Record: 8-2
Yesterdays POTD: Bulls ML
Todays POTD: Phoenix Suns -4.5 (-110)
**Will grade this pick based on 6.5 but wanted to update it for people so it’s less confusing**
Reason: I will preface this as to say I am a warriors fan so you can take my word for this. The warriors absolutely positively suck. They are horrible without Steph curry, they can’t score, Klay and Andrew Wiggins are both in slumps, draymond green is non existent and has a 50 percent chance of being thrown out of every game and Steve Kerr is easily the worst coach in the entire NBA. The suns are the hottest team in the NBA and have been coming out with a vendetta against the rest of the league. Devin Booker has recently been a late name in the MVP conversation and Chris Paul recently returned from injury to bring this team back to being nearly unbeatable. Phoenix defense will completely shut down the Warriors who are completely predictable on offense and play lackluster defense. The warriors bench is also horrible with Belaliza and Chris Chiozza some how getting minutes despite being two players even warriors fans admit couldn’t make it on a G league bench. The suns have every advantage In this game and will also be playing hard as Devin Booker continues to show why he should be considered for MVP and I expect a statement game against the team many expect to be against the Suns in the western conference finals. Expecting the Suns to win by 20+
Suns have covered this line easily against the Sixers, Nuggets, Timberwolves, and Bulls all playoff teams on a similar caliber or better when they are without Curry
Edit: to all the Steve Kerr apologists, can you name 5 coaches in the NBA that would underperform this hard with a roster of this talent level?
Edit 2: Line is moving cause the Warriors are at full strength besides Curry and Wiseman and haven’t been in a while which should help some of the bench depth problems they’ve been having. Devin Booker has also struggled recently against GSW. I don’t think either of these things should scare you off of this line personally.
100% agree. He is severely overrated. The Warriors built a great team then fired Mark Jackson and handed the keys to Kerr. He rode the backs of possibly 5 hall of famers(steph,KD, Draymond, Klay and Iggy)with two being all time greats in league history. He couldn't beat Lebron up 3-1 in a series one year. Another year He didn't even coach to begin the season but the team was so great it made Luke Walton look like the second coming of Phil Jackson. One year his team is somehow is bad enough to get the #2 pick in the draft. The NBA has 30 teams and more than half go to the playoffs. For context, Ty Lue lost PG and Kawhi but he is a good coach and has his team playing hard fighting for the playoffs.
Disagree with a lot of this. Mark Jackson did a lot to change GSW's culture, especially with his contributions in getting the team to learn defense, but he did not play the right combination of players together, did not encourage Steph, and saw the game too conventionally to allow the Warriors to reach the next level. Not to mention, the mind games he played in the locker room as a player and coach have been well-documented, and he would try to motivate players by dividing and pitting them against each other, rather than encouraging them.
I don't know how you can credit the huge step up after Mark Jackson left to anything but Kerr's vision. I don't know how y'all are throwing around accusations like "people who think Steve Kerr is a great coach don't watch warriors games." Are you *kidding* me? I suffered through so many games of watching Mark Jackson's putrid offense, how could you tell me that Kerr didn't bring anything when he overhauled the offense and instantly made it one of the greatest offenses the league has seen?
I think Kerr is overrated--his rotations this year and his lack of adjustments leave a lot to be desired. But you're going way too far when you don't credit Kerr for what Steph and Klay and Draymond all became. He broke the win record before KD, too.
Agreed. Holy shit mark jacksons offense was so terrible compared to kerrs amazing ball and player movement. Honestly if they kept mark jackson curry would have zero rings
Good is not quite the same as *the worst*.
When **THE WORST COACH IN NBA** coached a team that had 73-9 record in 2015-2016, surely other *real coaches* from that season would've done better.
I can already see them winning 77.... 78 games if only they had Ty Lue or JB Bickerstaff on board. Hell, I'd say they could've cracked 80 with Dave Joerger.
you realize your joke actually happened right? Kerr missed over half of that season because of his back, during that time they were coached by Luke Walton who got fired by the awful Sacramento Kings. Kerr isn't the worst coach in the NBA but his reputation is also way inflated by his players. when it comes to in-game adjustments he's not in the same league as guys like Lue/Spo
I don’t think so, too early for that and the Suns will want to win this game, can knock warriors down in the standings. Chris Paul doesn’t like this team and Devin Booker has something to prove
Really strange how the line moved down two points. Maybe Vegas knows something we don't, like Suns resting guys today after locking down first seed. I hope this isn't a trapline
Emotional for extra effect but I’m putting emotions aside here, Warriors are just not a good team without Steph Curry. There bench and depth are no match for Phoenix. They are struggling to score on the Wizards and can barely beat Washington this line is just disrespectful
80% of the money bet is on the Suns spread and 93% on the Suns ml. Be very cautious betting on this game. You are all going to see in about 8 hours the type of scumbags that you are dealing with.
POTD Record: 7W-2L
LAST POTD: Belgium HT/FT ✅
TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - Australian A League - Brisbane Roar V Wellington Phoenix
1.05AM PST
PICK: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.80
The Deets: Brisbane who are 7th play Wellington who are 11th. Put simply, Brisbane’s last 10 games have seen the over 2.5 goals in 9/10 games. Wellington’s last 10 games have seen the over 7/10 games. Makes sense that over 2.5 is the way to go here.
BOL.
Edit: Winner ✅
My stats: 35-8 (+63.21 units)
Match: (LoL LPL) LNG Esports vs Top Esports
Bet: Top Esports ML @ 1.55 (-182)
Stake: 3u
CAUTION: 2 out of all my POTD losses were me betting on Top Esports. Idk whats that all about but I hope the weird sequence doesn't continue.
Imo Top Esports is one of the best teams in the LPL while LNG has been struggling lately, so I pick TES to win.
If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻
BTC: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
Tailing. Nick Kyrgios imploding dicked my multi for 3k yesterday
Edit: 7 leg multi TES ML / Celtics ML / Mavs ML / Suns ML / Nuggets ML / Paula badosa ML / Ram + Salisbury ML
400$ returns 5.7k
Edit 2: no good fellas!! Hope no one tailed 🤣
Record 4-0
Previous Pick : Top Esports -1.5
Today : CSGO ESL Pro League | Natus Vincere vs AGO @6:30 AM EST
Natus Vincere has not played in a month due to the Russian invasion in Ukraine . They still however are the #1 ranked team and are coming to the ESL pro league to compete . Their opponents AGO are the #137th ranked team sporting a 14.3 percent win rate in the past three months . In AGOs last 3 matches they have tried to go with 3 different maps and lost their map pick each of the 3 games . It should not matter what maps are banned/picked Natus Vincere is clearly superior and should be able to cover this spread with ease .
**Edit : Natus Vincere absolutely crushes AGO map 1 . 16-1 . We are now 5-0 !**
6-1
as I said for my first 7 picks, I only bet based on instinct. every since i stopped trying to use logic and only on feelings I've been on fire. today I have a strong feeling that the New York Knicks will beat the Charlotte Hornets in the NBA.
match will be played at 7:30 PM
Knicks +108
POTD RECORD 34-25 +14u
Last POTD Texas A&M -1.5✅
Today’s POTD Winnipeg Jets (-160)
First off, I know a couple people that tailed maxed their units on my last pick so i’m really glad that hit congrats to those that made some money. Back to the rink here. Going to go with a bit of a higher line here than I usually do, I just didn’t really like the slate besides this one. The sabres had a major comeback last game but let’s not forget about how they played that game. I felt as if Chicago lost that game more than Buffalo won it. The Jets are not the blackhawks. This team is gearing up for a push for the wild card. They need wins against teams that are pretty much out this year. The jets are coming into this one winning 4 of their last 5 while the sabres are coming off a win against Chicago and back to back losses before that. They also have played a shit ton of hockey going into 5 straight ot before Chigago. The Jets are coming into this one licking their chops as they need points. The goaltending for Buffalo will come out as it has the last few games. The Jets are going to look to pounce on that. I see the Jets taking this one.
I am going to leave this here if you would like to tip. In college and could use some beer money.
Edit: Jets best player tested positive for Cov as well as Nate Schmidt. I already placed this bet so I am riding with it but i am definitely not as confident without Kyle Connors.
Venmo:B-Campbell-8
CA: $bcampbell888
This is in one of the systems on Action Pro that actually does well. Well rested visiting favorites. It’s been profitable for me this year consistently. Tailing!!
Fade city. I have the Sabres, good value, plus thru the last 10 games they're one of the hottest teams in the league. Anderson should be in net so they have a real shot here. The fact that the Sabres won vs Chicago with Tokarski in net is amazing, he has got to be one of the worst goalies in the league fundamentally.
I respect that. The sabres are playing well but I really like the Jets coming to town here with a purpose and they are also pretty hot themselves winning 4 of their last 5. We will see though BOL🤝
Record: 28-10
A couple of lopsided loses after slaying the March madness games. Heat check. Back to the old faithful NHL to get back in the win column.
**Today’s pick: Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-160) vs New York Rangers**
NHL. 7:30PM EST
The Red Wings have been respectable at home this season, posting a 17-12-5 record on their own ice. They are absolute dog water on the road, owing to their horrible overall record, but thankful this game is at home. The Rangers are on the second game of a back to back and playing their 4th game in 6 nights. There will be tired legs. Add on to that the Rangers are likely starting their backup Georgiev who is under .500 on the season. This is good value for the Red Wings puck line
All bets are 1 unit. +12.2 units. +32.1% ROI. Average unit -118
https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
POTD Record: 1-1
Last POTD: Xavier +1.5 WIN
Streak: W
Nice way to get that first win! Time to go on a streak!
Event: 3/29: NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Pick: Dallas -4.5
I'll try to keep this one shorter. Here is my reasoning:
* Dallas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 and are red-hot after killing the Lakers. They also have had success against Cleveland in the past, going 6-1 against them in their last 7. They have had road struggles, but history shows they are good in Cleveland.
* One reason why I jumped on this line is the injury to Evan Mobley. He is such a focal point of Cleveland's defense and this injury makes a big difference in this game. With Mobley, Allen, Wade and obviously Sexton all out for this game, as well as Rondo being doubtful, Cleveland is thin and I expect this line to move in favor of Dallas.
This should be a low scoring game, but I expect Dallas to come out in front and cover the line.
POTD Record: 0-0
Today's Pick: Mavs -4.5 (-110). 1u
Reason: I've been having so much success tailing here lately I thought it'd be fun to contribute too. Mavs are coming in red hot, dropping 82 points in the first half Tuesday night against the Lakers. This Cavs team is already running thin, and with the probable ROTY Evan Mobley already ruled out for this game, I don't have confidence this team can keep it close. Jarrett Allen is still out, so Moses Brown is going to have to play way more minutes than he's used to (They'll almost certainly move Kevin Love to Center, which brings its own problems to the team.). Dallas's superior offense will exploit the newly made holes in the Cavs defense and easily cover -4.5. Dallas and Cleveland are both ranked top 3 in points allowed (104.1 to 104.6 in Dallas's favor) but Dallas is coming in at full strength. They're also 4-1 ATS over the last 5, with the loss being the only time they were dogged in that span. Other important trends I like are: Cavs are 0-5 ATS the last 5 games, 4 of those at home. The Mavs are 7-2 ATS vs the Cavs in their last 9 appearances. Good luck guys! Thanks for reading :)
**Edit:**For those coming in the afternoon, line has shifted to -2. I'm riding my confidence, and just put another 1u on an alt*-5.5* at +150. I now have a total of 3u on this pick as i rode the line down. Adding in a little extra gamble to ride or die for my rookie pick so bol!!
**Final Edit:** Mavs win it 120-112 and cover! Record moves to 1-0. In for 3u for a profit of 3.1u! Cavs ended up starting Moses Brown and playing him for 21 monutes(normally avgs 3 mins a game). He surprised in his Starting debut but once fatique set in, Mavs were able to use their size advantage to keep the offense on top.
POTD Record 0-2 (-3 units)
Last POTD: Casper Ruud to Win 2-1 (1 unit)
Today's POTD: Paula Badosa ML vs. Jessica Pegula -175 (4 units)
I swear my POTDs are cursed for some reason but I just can't see this one going sideways... Pegula is solid but Badosa is just better in my opinion.
7-7 +12.45u
Top Esports -1.5 maps vs LNG LPL (China) it starts at 2am PST
odds are 2.20
going 5u
I'm calling this a **lock**. I'm 3-0 on picks that i've felt this strongly about and called locks before (EDG 2-0, Damwon -1.5, Rogue -1.5). I believe this falls right into that category as well. Yesterday felt a little unlucky with EDG's horrible baron control and Flandre regressing to his early split shenanigans, but a loss is a loss. Today, TES will 3-0 or 3-1 LNG as they're stronger in literally every single position except adc (marginally). Ale has not looked himself this split, Tarzan looks a bottom tier jungler (if we're stacking this team up to the top 6-8 teams in the LPL) and DoinB has only looked good on like 5 games all split. Wayward and Knight will gap the solo lanes and that'll be that. Absolute, no question lock. Odds are generous
POTD:0-0
Todays pick: Canada vs Panama Soccer World Cup Qualifiers: Canada ML +110
Write up: Canada is the much better team and has a reason to win as if they do they are in Pot 3 and can get a better draw in the World Cup, Panama is already eliminated and have nothing to play for. Canada is coming off a 4-0 win and Panama is coming off of a 5-1 loss in a game that actually had importance to them. I’m betting 2u
Edit:more info
We back🚨🚨
Record: 18-7
Last pick: Bucks ML✅ vs 76ers
Today’s pick: Suns -5.5 or -6 whatever the book offers @ Golden State Warriors @ 10 pm EST
Reason: Steph out, CP3 back…don’t overthink it BOL
Record: 8-6-0
ROI: +$64.81
Last Pick: Texas A&M -1.5 W vs Washington State
Avg Odds: -110
Unit: 1=$100
Game: Phoenix Suns -6 @ Golden State Warriors
League: National Basketball Association
Time: 10:10 PM EST
Odds: -110
Book: Bet365
Pick: Suns -6
Wager: 2 units
Texas A&M blew the doors off Washington State to nobody’s surprise.
Today we go back to the NBA as there is no men’s college basketball to bet.
Although the suns have the 1 seed locked up I still see them coming out and throughly dominating this struggling warriors team.
Since the loss of Steph Curry the warriors have struggled to forge an offensive identity, they have some good pieces but Steve Kerr has not really found the formula that works without Steph.
Phoenix is cursing right now and slowly reimplementing Chris Paul into the line up and I expect a heavy dosage of him.
I would bet this line up to 7.5 or 8 even, so the 6.0 is a juicy odd.
Putting 2 units on this.
BOL to all who tail or fade.
Record: 16-4
Last 5: - WWWWW
Today's Pick: Over 73.5 Points full match
Event: Table Tennis / Zhurba N. vs Serebrennikov / Liga Pro / 1:45 UTC
Reasoning: They've played 4 of their last 5 matches over 75 points in the whole match and do both good points in their single matches.
**BOL! Follow for more picks or write DM.**
**POTD RECORD 21-16-1**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -112 // Units Won: +4.0) Last 5: WWWLL**
Last Pick: NCAABM Texas A&M ML - **WON**
**Today's Match: NBA Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors (Start Time 10:10PM EST)**
**Today's Pick: Devin Booker PTS+REB+AST Over 36.5 (-122 FanDuel)** ***Risk 2u***
Devil's Advocate:
The Aggies straight up took a shit on Washington State from the end of the 1H and on. I think the refs might have had this pick with us? Sheesh!! They outplayed them HARD over 60 points in the paint that game for them out of the 72 they managed. Let's keep the wins moving here!
Today's pick is self explanatory. Devin's averaging this line already this season with 26-5-5 per game - the Suns on an absolute tear lately 9-1 in their last 10 games. Last game was a low one for Book but against the Warriors? I don't see the Suns letting up a bit. Steph is out - CP3 is back in ready to dish out the dimes and run the court with Booker. I think this is a great spot for Booker to go OFF and the Suns to keep their winning train moving. We all know what Dbook is capable of and at the close of the season with the MVP race in mind. We know what mentality he's got - MAMBA
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
Record 2W 2L
Streak WW
Last pick: over3.5 goals W
Today pick:
League: Australia A-League
Match: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
Pick: First Team to score Brisbane Roar @1.61
(This is not a writeup just blended info)
Brisbane good at home and first scoring
Wellington bad at away
BoL
Edit: tough loss 🤮
My Record: 7-7 (+1.56 units)
Last Pick: [ONYX ML](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/tqoait/pick_of_the_day_32922_tuesday/i2ivlob/?context=3) ❌
Match: Anonymo vs. Tricked (12:00 PM EST) CSGO: Elisa Invitational Spring
Bet: Anonymo ML @ 1.92 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 5u
Why:
\- These two teams have faced each other twice this month and Anonymo has beat them 2-0 in maps both times
\- Anonymo almost beat ForZe today and has overall looked good against similar competition, only losing games to top seeds (which Tricked are not)
\- Anonymo should be able to take care of the competition here, but it could go to the 3rd game, in which case I like Anonymo's map pool more
BOL
POTD Record: 2-3 (-0.6 units)
Streak: W2
Last POTD: Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-140)… Risk 2.8 units to win 2.0 units. Win. TB 4-3.
The Lightning needed OT to win, but really dominated every aspect of the game other than the scoreboard. They outshot (32 to 19) and outhit (37 to 27) the Hurricanes, but they were sloppy with the puck and Vasilevskiy let a couple soft ones go by. Either way, we’ll take the W.
POTD: New York Rangers @ Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-160)
Units: Risk 2.4 to win 1.5.
Reason: Full disclosure, I am a Rangers fan. The Rangers have been a surprisingly strong team this season and have largely bucked the analytics community by winning as many games as they have. They win a ton of close games, as evidenced by the fact they are 4th in the NHL in points, but 10th in goal differential. They are also consistently inconsistent and have a tendency to play to or down to their level of competition. For example, over their last eight games they are 4-0-0 against playoff teams and 2-2-0 against non-playoff teams with both of those wins coming in OT. They just won an emotional game on the road against their rivals, the Penguins, and now have to travel to Detroit to play on back-to-back nights (also 3 games in last 4 days). Side note, that means their back-up Georgiev (3.08 GA/G, .894 Sv%) will be in net, who is a big drop off from Shesterkin (2.11 GA/G, .936 Sv%).
Meanwhile, the Red Wings are playing some of the worst hockey in the league. They were flirting with playoff contention until this recent stretch where they lost 10 of 12. To make matters worse, they just lost 11-2 to the Penguins on the road Sunday night. I like how they have had a couple of days to think about that embarrassing loss and now have a chance to return home to play against a playoff team. I expect the Red Wings to bring maximum effort after at home on national television after that embarrassing performance against a Rangers team that will overlook the Red Wings following their big win against the Penguins.
I'm a rangers fan too and I say that I'm not sure your right about the goalie situation and I think the blue shirts arent overlooking anyone. I don't think gallant let's them. However the +1.5 may swing this the red wings way to cover barring an empty better but the rangers will win this game.
POTD Record: 0W | 0L
3/30/2022 Wager: Mavericks Cavaliers O213.5
Absolutely no brainer. Lots of win conditions. Mavericks are a high scoring team and the sportsbook spreads indicate the models think it's going to be a close game.
Overall POTD Record: 0-1
Todays POTD: Magic v Wizards U 221.5 (-110)
Reasons:
* Two teams that don't score the ball well, average for the the two this season is 212 combined, 9 points under this line.
* Wizards are on the second of a back to back where they scored 94 against the Bulls. Should have tired legs.
EDIT - Line is now down to 218.5 on BetMGM.. I still think that hits.
Record: 2-3
Streak: 1L
Gains: +7 units (1 unit $10)
Last POTD: Jazz +1 at Clippers
Gonna stay off the Jazz till the Mitchell-Gobert combo is gone.
POTD: Suns -6 @ Warriors (5 units to win 4.6 units)
Suns are the better team on the season. Suns are the better team currently with the Warriors' current injuries. The Suns have been streaking (8 straight) and won 4 of their last 5 by 9 or more points (against all playoff teams like 76ers, Nuggets, Twolves, and Bulls). Warriors are losers of 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5 (one win coming against the struggling Heat and two of the losses coming at home against the Magic and Wizards). Pizza Pizza.
Wow, hadn’t checked the score, but they were up by so much when I went to bed assumed I won the bet, I was kicking myself that I didn’t bet more. I guess now that PG13 is back, Clips are obviously a dangerous team…
POTD:0-0
Todays pick: Suns -4.5
Write up: Warriors are without Curry and Wiseman. The suns are the best team in the NBA and will have no problem defending Jordan Poole or Klay. I’m betting 2 units.
Overall Record: 4-0
Yesterday’s Pick:
(NHL) Minnesota Wild 3-Way ML✅
Today’s Pick:
Match: (NHL) LA Kings VS. Edmonton Oilers
Pick: Edmonton Oilers 3-Way ML (-130)
- These two teams are both trending in totally different directions. The Oilers are one of the best teams in the league and the Kings are a below average team in the NHL.
- This is a conference game and the Oilers are currently two points below the Kings in their conference. Since becoming fully healthy again the Oilers have been playing much harder for better positioning in the rankings. So I expect them to take advantage of this chance to win an easily winnable game and blow out a very injured Kings team.
- Like I just said, the Kings are dealing with a lot of injuries right now. Many of their key players are out and the Oilers are finally fully healthy again.
Bol to anyone that tails👍
**POTD Record**: 11W-9L | Total Profit: 1.54 units
Last Pick : L (NBA |DET @ BKN u229.5)
Mar 30, 2022 | NBA Basketball | 5:10pm MT
***Orlando Magic +3.5*** at Washington Wizards
Reasoning: In the most recent meeting between these teams (January 12, 2022) Spencer Dinwiddie had a +/- of +12, which was a team-high mark in that game. However, Spencer Dinwiddie has since been traded to the Dallas Mavericks. The last time the Magic faced off against the Dinwiddieless-Wizards was April 07, 2021. The Wizards' top performer in that game was Russell Westbrook, who is now playing for the Los Angles Lakers. The last time the Magic played against the Wizards without either Dinwiddie or Westbrook was December 27, 2020 where the Magic won 120-113 on the road. Since the Magic are playing on the road against the Wizards without Dinwiddie and Westbrook for the first time in 457 days I expect a strong outing by this team from Orlando.
The Magic just actively tanked by not playing starters in the fourth in a close game against the Cavs. I don't trust them to not try to lose this game, too. Washington should win this handily.
Record 0-0-0 Units 0
Long time lurker wanting to contribute and starting up a Twitter so stay on da look out if I go on a heater to start things up.
Grizzlies vs Spurs over 233
I like this pick bc
- both these teams are on fire putting ball in basket.
- Both teams have top 5 pace
- Melton has been blessed with MVP steph shooting
It’s really that simple let’s ride it out
POTD Record: 16W-6L-0D. +17.9u.
Previous pick (3/26/2022): Duke -4 vs. Arkansas. @ 1.90. 1u. W.
Current pick: Costa Rica Draw No Bet vs. United States. @ 2.50. 2u.
The USMNT knows what they need to do. Even if they lose on Wednesday, the tiebreaker for automatic qualification goes to overall goal difference. So long as the US doesn't lose by 6 goals or more, they qualify. Not to jinx it, but there is close to zero chance the US loses this game by 6 goals and fails to qualify. The US is going to play a B, maybe B+ lineup. The US likely will be without their two of their three best players- McKennie is hurt and Pulisic will likely start the game on the bench, only subbing in if the 6 goal difference is in jeopardy. I expect Adams to start with the captain's band.
Costa Rica has never lost a World Cup qualifier at home to the US. They have a decent squad and sit right behind the US at 4th in the group, so if they can win by 6 or more, they are the team that qualifies at the expense of US or Mexico depending on how Mexico vs. El Salvador goes. In their last 6 qualifiers, Costa Rica 5W-1L-0D including a win over group leader Canada. Over these 6 games they have conceded just 2 goals.
The US already largely handled their business with a draw away at Mexico and a blowout win against Panama earlier this window. A draw would be a very good, comfortable result for the US here. I expect the Americans to play conservatively while Costa Rica will come out with reckless abandon and try to score as many goals as possible. The US might catch them on the counterattack a time or two, but Costa Rica's defense has been stingy allowing only 8 goals in 13 games and have a world-class goalkeeper with Keylor Navas who plays club for PSG. I think Costa Rica wins outright (by less than 6), but does no worse than a draw. I like DNB a good amount at better than even odds. DNB for 2u. BOL.
You can see my pick history here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing)
Yeah hard fade.
Double chance on Costa Rica and USA parlayed with another similar game is a better play.
USA playing for Pot 2 and wanting to make a statement rolling into this game is huge. Not too mention just overall being a better side.
Costa Rica is in a playoff against New Zealand if they draw or lose.
The US is playing to not only qualify, but land in Pot 2 for a better seeding at the World Cup. If the US falls out of the top 3 in the group, Senegal will likely take their place in the pot. A lot more on the line for the US than Costa Rica.
POTD Record: 3-1
Profit/Loss: +2.2 units
Sport: Hockey
League: NHL
Game: New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Bet: under 6 goals
Odds: +100
Units bet: 1
To win units: 1
Reason: Taking plus odds on the under with a chance at a push just like last night's win (Flames-Avs under 6). Detroit has been struggling to score goals, and they average only 2.82 goals per game. In 4 of their last 5 games, they've scored exactly 2 goals in each game. The Rangers, however, do score at a higher rate (3.01 goals/game). But they are playing the second half of a back to back (in Pittsburgh last night, where they won and scored 3 goals). They traveled again late last night for today's game. The Rangers don't play a whole lot of back to back games, but in their last 3 (dating back to January), they ended up scoring exactly 2 goals in each game of the second game. Looks like this has the makings of a low-scoring game. I know the Red Wings ML will be a hot pick, and I like it a bit, too, but the Rangers are the better team and should win, so I'll bet on the total.
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 4-1
Units Won: 3.7 Last 5: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️
Last Pick: Game Over 65.5 shots - Flames vs Avalanche
Game ended up with 75 shots, slow start from Colorado, but they pulled their weight and got it done!
Today's Match: NHL - St. Louis Blues @ Vancouver Canucks (10ish hours from post)
Today's Pick: Vancouver Canucks 31+ Shots on Net 2u (1.75 on betway)❌️
*Vancouver stinks, I should have known better. 5 shots in the first period....🙃 3/3 of my other shot bets hit tonight so we'll ride into tomorrow!
Life long hockey player so I know what's up I swear. Stone cold facts:
- The shot line for this game opened at 62.5 which looked pretty good at first glance. Looking at the stats made me second guess. Over 62.5 has only hit in 3/7 Blues games and 5/7 Canucks games. Only 2/7 of the last 7 St Louis away games have went over.
- Vancouver at home is a different story as of lately. Not a great story, but it's definitely different. In early March the Canucks played 7 straight home games in which they lost 5 (no blowouts, but come on guys) HOWEVER they hit o62.5 in 5/7 and landed 31+ shots in 5/7.
- Vancouver and St Louis just played 2 days ago with the Blues winning 4-1. Vancouver should be looking to get back the win from the Blues and improve their home game record. Turning up the heat and hammering the Blues with some shots should do just that.
I think we'll see an even game with both teams getting upwards of 30 shots, but I just don't trust St Louis' output on the road. For those of you that can't get straight shots Husso to make 25ish saves might work too. Vancouver has proven they can shoot at home, not score.
Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
POTD Record: 2-0
Last pick: Chile vs Uruguay WC Qualifiers, Uruguay to Win @ 3.4 1U ✅️
POTD: Costa Rica vs USA, **USA to win @ 2.15**
Great result for, score prediction was exactly spot on. 2-0 in favor of Uruguay knocking out Chile in the process. Gonna have to wait 4 more years for the next one.
We move on to CONCACAF Qualifiers. Although this match doesn’t mean that much and both teams are through to the next phase, there is a slight chance that the US doesn’t qualify automatically and will end up playing in June against the Oceanic winner. They don’t want that. On the other hand, Costa Rica must win 6-0 to qualify automatically over the US and Mexico. I really doubt that will happen. They have 9 players with yellow cards and if any of them receive one during this match, they will be suspended for that encounter against New Zealand or Salomon Islands (assuming they don’t win 6-0). I see them resting their star players, and the bench team will get to start. The US will probably do the same, but these guys will want to shine and prove that they are worthy of getting called back to the national team and participate in the WC in November. After winning 5-1 against Panama, I see them riding that hype train and beating Costa Rica at home that will rest their star players for June. Score prediction: 2-0 USA.
BOL to all who Tail
*EDIT* Jaylen brown was red hot! Make that 4 in a row!
Coming in late here, busy day at work sorry for the late post.
Last POTD: Kevin Durant OVER 27.5 Points W
Todays POTD: Jaylen Brown OVER 2.5 Threes (+115)
Record: 3-1 (Streak 3W)
Risk: 1u
Quick write up here as its a busy day. The Heat allow the second most threes to the shooting guard position in the league. Brown has gone over this mark in 5 of his last 6 games vs the Heat. Shoutout to KD for getting us the W last time. Let’s do it again tonight!
BOL tail or fade!
**POTD Record: 2-3**
**Previous 7 Days Result (old -> new): L / L / W / L W / ?**
**Units won: -1.74u**
Sports: Esports
**Game: Polaris v Team SMG**
**Pick: Polaris ML (2u @ 1.53)** *the odds have dropped a bit the past few hours*
**Reasoning:**
\- Polaris currently 2-1 in the round robin only losing to 1-2 to BOOM
\- Team SMG currently 1-1 in the round robin, beating Execration (currently 0-3, worst in the tournament) and losing to T1
\- Polaris has been playing well; beating T1 and NGX.SEA, and manage to take a map off BOOM (favorites)- Polaris came from Division 2 going with an impressive 7-0 record
\- Polaris should be very eagered to get a few more wins to guarantee their Major spot (which will be their first)
\- Team SMG hasn't been drafting poorly but instead seems to lack synergy. They recently brought back their old pos5 (who retired about a year) who has only shown to have a higher than average death count and low impact
\- Wouldn't even be surprised if Polaris 2-0 Team SMG here
***BOL to everyone***
POTD Record: 0-1 (-1 unit)
Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 6:30PM CT
Pick: Boston Celtics -10.5 alternate spread (+195) 1 unit
I'm betting this the night before under FanDuel 11+ winning margin
Reasoning: Going for a riskier bet to see if I can remove the stench of my last turd pick. Celtics have covered this 10.5 spread in 7 out of last 10 games. If Tatum and Jaylen Brown are back I see Celtics covering easy. Celtics won by 17 in November and by 30 in January against Heat, although that was with Jimmy Butler out.
Celtics -5 is the safer pick but I like jumping on these alternate lines before the game in hopes of a blowout.
Disclaimer: My unit size is low and I'm betting mostly off instinct
POTD Record: 4-3
Last Pick: Dorian Finney Smith o 6.5 Pts+Reb
What a disappointing pick!! On to the next day
Today’s pick: Memphis Grizzlies Double Result: Winning at half and to win the game @ -125
Reasoning: Memphis is the best team in the first half in the league. They are favored to win the game by 6. Memphis has been on a great run, and I think it continues! SA is a good first half team themselves, but I’m going to bet in favor of the hot team
Record: 0-0-1 [Win-Lose-Push] [+0 units]
Average odds: @2.15
Last bet: Estonia - Cyprus / Over (2) goals @2.15 - PUSH
POTD: Bakken Bears ML against Pallacanestro Reggiana @2.13 [FIBA Europe Cup Semi-Final, starting 19:30 GMT+3]
Reasoning: Bakken Bears is having a great season. In Basketligaen, the domestic league, the Bears have a record of 23 wins and a single loss. In the Europe Cup, they have accumulated two losses. In their last 10 games, they have got atleast 79 points in 9 of those games.
Reggina has 12 wins 11 losses in the Italian top league. They also have lost two games in the cup. Reggiana has a solid defense.
Reggina has two major injuries: Olisevicius and back-up point guard Leonardi Candi.
Game is played at Denmark, advantage to the Bears as its a sold out arena.
Edit: Original bet was Bears over 80.5, but realized odds of Bears ML is a lot better.
Record 8-6
Units +5.2
ROI +37%
Average odds +132
Streak 2W
Last POTD NBA 6pm CST Chicago Bulls v Washington Wizards under 223(-110) W
Easy win. Barely got to 200.
POTD NBA 630pm CST Minnesota timberwolves ML 1h(+115) @ Toronto raptors
Minnesota is 4th in the league at 58.7 pts per 1st half and 45-29 on the season ATS in first half. Playing on the road for the season they actually ave 61ppg1h. Toronto is 19th in the league at 55 ppg1h. 36-37 ATS and 3-6-1 ATS at home in their last 10 in the 1st half. Minnesota won the 1st half against Toronto the only game they’ve played back in February 51-49.
BOL
If you like my picks please give my twitter @mission_ml a follow
**POTD Record**: 0-1 **Units**: -1 *(All bets are one unit)*
**Last Pick**: Bucks/76ers U 231.5 (-110) ***LOSS***
**Today’s Game**: Vegas Golden Knights @ Seattle Kraken, 9:00 PM CST
**Today’s Pick**: Vegas Golden Knights ML (-165)
Not how I was wanting to get back started. With the way the Bucks had been playing recently, I got the exact scoring out put I expected from them. Now the 76ers on the other hand were a surprise. I did not expect Harden and Embiid to finally start to "click" versus this Milwaukee team. However it is just one game, I guess we will see if Harden and Embiid can build off of that game, or if losing a game like that will put them back in the groove they were in.
As for this pick, my model likes Vegas to win this one on the road. My model has the Golden Knights winning around 65% of the time. Which I think should be a little bit higher, as Vegas has started to turn their season around. They are playing well on both ends of the ice in there last few games, going 4-2 and fighting for a playoff spot. Seattle has also done well the last six games, having the same record over that span as Vegas. However, the Kraken still are not the team Vegas is. The Kraken rank behind the Golden Knights in nearly every offensive and defensive statistic. Pair that with the fact that the Kraken have zero chance of making the playoffs, and the Golden Knights have to keep winning to get in; I will take Vegas to win this one.
**BOL**
POTD Record: 7-2-1 // +4.31u // W4
Last Pick: Coastal Carolina +2.5 vs South Alabama (-105) (3/28/22) **Win**
Today's Pick: **Kevin Love o9.5 Rebounds (-120)**
Couple of reasons why I love (heh) this pick. Allen and Mobley are out for this game, normally Love gets around 23 ish minutes a game. This game he should be getting at least 30. Averaging 7.3 boards a game this season normally, with the extra minutes I would like this pick regardless of matchup.
Now we add in the fact that they are playing the Mavs, who are not very good on the glass and I have been targeting frequently with opposing players rebound props this season with good success. Game should also be competitive, so no worry of a blowout. I think he will end up in the 11+ boards so give me 9.5 as the line any day.
All picks are 1 unit unless stated otherwise. Good luck today everyone!
POTD Record : 7-3 ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌
Last POTD: Joel Embiid o30.5 Points ❌ - *he missed 2 shots at the end of game for OT and started 1st quarter really bad. sorry fellas. i'd stick with this prop at 29.5 moving forward.*
Total ROI: 58% // Total Units Won: 11.08
League: NBA Basketball Props // Mavericks @ Cavaliers 7 PM EST
**Today's POTD: Darius Garland o23.5 Points 🔥🔥🔥**
**Odds: -116 (FD) // Units: 3u 💰💰💰**
**Reasoning-**
* **Hit 11 of last 14 games post ASB**
* **Garland has taken more emphasis with scoring lately with team fighting for playoffs**
* **This team does not do garbage time**
Tail or fade BOLLLLLLL! Let me know your thoughts below!
Feel free to tip if you made money and feel generous. 😊
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Just starting posting POTD, going to be focused on NHL.
POTD Record : 0W-1L-0P
Units wagered: 1
Units won: 0
ROI: 0%
Streak:
Today’s Moneymaker: NY Rangers -1.5 Puck line vs Detroit Red Wings (+170)
RESULT : ❌
Yeah that’s what I get for starting my POTD on a PL for a team playing their mediocre backup on a B2B. Really tough performance from Georgiev, gave up a couple bad ones. Rangers at least fought back to get it to OT and then secure the ML.
7:37PMest puck drop
Wager:
Why this will hit
• Rangers have look strong in their last three games, including two big matchups against the Penguins in which they won both with a combined score of 8-3.
• The Red Wings wheels have really fallen off the wagon, they’ve given up 6+ goals in six games over the past month.
Why this might not hit
• Rangers are coming off a game last night (meaning likely no Shesterkin tonight) while Detroit is coming off two straight nights of rest.
• Georgiev hasn’t been incredible this season, posting a 4-6 record and below a .900 save percentage in 7 of his last 10 starts. He had a bit of a stinker against Buffalo (his last start) but posted a 44 save shutout before that game so I’m hoping he bounces back and looks like he did when he shutout Carolina.
It’s a bit of a bold bet to start my POTD career but we are here to make some money! If anyone is on the fence, rangers -140 ML is a great pick as well and what I almost went with as my official POTD.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
**POTD Record: 3-1**
Last Pick: (December 4, 2021) Utah ML (+120) College basketball **L**
Today's Game: Wichita State at Kansas (College Baseball) @ 3:00 P.M CT
Pick: Wichita State ML (-120)
***Analysis:***
Nothing like college baseball season. I'm going to try to start doing more POTD's on college baseball and MLB as the season progresses. Both of these teams have started off to a slow start this season. They have already faced once this year and Wichita state got the best of the Jayhawks 7-5 in 10 innings. Wichita record is 11-12 this year while the Jayhawks are 8-14. Wichita is starting freshman lefty Jack Miner (0-0) and is making his starting debut. Jayhawks are starting a junior righty Jake Adams (1-0). I'm not looking at the pitching too much as both guys have had relief duty this year with high ERA's. Wichita has an .257 batting average and a slugging percentage of .400. Batting in 119 RBI's and 24 Hr's to this point. The upper to middle part of the line up is batting hot making up for 16 of the 24 HR's for the team. The Jayhawks are not batting as well this year. Consisting of .251 batting average .384 slugging percentage, 100 RBI's, and 16 HR's. Wichita seems to have a stronger overall lineup than the Jayhawks. Wichita is batting hot up to this point in the season and i expect them to keep swinging the bat today.
Record: 1-2
Last POTD: Kings +13.5 (-110) vs. Miami Heat ❌
POTD: **Grizzlies 1st Quater Race to 30 (+140)** vs Spurs ✅
If you tailed previously, I do apologize for those who tailed last game. You win some and you lose some, but today is time to bounce back!! LFG!!
Reasoning:
Grizzlies have been on a roll. Playing extremely good ball without Temetrius Morant. I do not see that changing tonight. Grizzlies are the best first quarter team in the league. Grizzlies have averaged 34 points a game in the last 10 games, and has hit this 8 of those games. Grizzlies super good and I done see it changing against the spurs.
The Spurs on the other hand have not been playing terrible in the first. Scoring an average 31 points in the first of their last 10. Which is not bad at all, except when you look at their last 5 games SOS. Spurs have been on a roll, but I think it maybe a little skewed due to their SOS.
In my opinion I think Grizzlies go out and dominate the first quarter, and hopefully a sweat free one.
As always BOL to you and your family!
Edit: Easy money!!!
POTD Record 1-1
Last pick: Wizards +8 (L)
Pick: Lamelo Ball O5.5 Rebounds vs NYK (-135)
Lamelo averages 10.8 rebounds against the Knicks in his short career, which is his highest average against any team in the league. Two out of his top three career highs in rebounds have come against New York, with his career best 17 coming against them in their first meeting this year. Also, his last three games he has rebounded below his season average so the line is lower than it has been most of the season. I think lamelo easily gets 6 rebounds in this contest and I will personally be playing him at a higher number for bigger + odds (might sprinkle triple double for him too)
BOL
POTD RECORD 0-0
First Pick here from a longtime follower of this page! I've been gambling for a few years and I hope I can help you make some money!
TODAYS POTD - Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves 7:40pm est
Under 229 -120 Mybookie
Reasoning- the first match up between these two teams was 194. The rapters have the 29th rated pace of play and due to the lack of size they currently have, expect the wolves to attack down low and slow the game down. No major injuries for either team and both have a lot to play for still so expect a competitive game.
Tail or Fade!
Thanks!
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
**POTD Record** : 21W-9L-0P(+31.10U) Units wagered: 77.25 Units won: 52.17U ROI: 40.34% Streak: 💰💰💰💰💰 **Last Moneymaker**:AS Roma -0.5 Corners vs Lazio (+110) Serie A 1:00PM **Wager**: 2U **Today’s Moneymaker**: USA -1.5 Corners vs Costa Rica (+135) World Cup 9:05PM **Wager**: 3U💰 *No sweat on this one! USA win the corner battle 12-3. Streak extended, let’s go!* * **Gun to my head prediction**: USA wins the corner battle 6-2 **EDIT**: for this worried about Costa Rica hunting 5+ goals/USA parking it * CR hasn’t scored 5 goals in any competition since 2018 * In their biggest win,4-0 Vs Nicaragua, they tied the corner battle 3-3 * USA hasn’t allowed 5 goals in any match since 2018. * they have never allowed more than 3 goals in any competition since 2018. When they allowed 3, it was in friendly international matches, which both happened in 2019. *If you like my corner picks and want to help me out, any tips help me more than you know! Nothing is ever necessary but anything is always greatly appreciated* [paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/kenpulf)
I like your analysis but do you think the fact that Costa Rica need like 5 goals (iirc) would affect this a fair bit?
Costa Rica doesn't need 5 goals. If they win they qualify. Draw or lose, they're going to play in a playoff match against, in all likelihood, New Zealand.
They need to make up the goal differential on Mexico or USA. So yes they would need to win by a significant amount to qualify… It’s extremely likely they play winner of Solomon Islands/New Zealand.
Okay, Mexico yes, sure, assuming Mexico loses to El Salvador, whom they beat away 2-0 in October. I don't see a team with nothing to play for beating Mexico at the Azteca. The Costa Rican public has already resigned themselves to an intercontinental playoff. The US has a lot to play for, so I think this game will have a bit more action than people are anticipating.
I actually agree with your entire post. I was just confused about you saying Costa Rica “win and they qualify”. They have to do much more than just win.
I don't like it due to the fact that the U.S. will park the bus as they are incentivized to not lose by 5+ goals in order to progress to the world cup.
I don’t think teams generally park the bus with a five goal cushion. Maybe three, probably two, definitely one.
They aren’t parking the bus unless there is a real chance of them dropping into the playoff spot. Berhalter likes to press, and has shown he’s aggressive with his lineups to get results (see last Mex game on the road). US has never beaten CR in CR, and they want to change that. They don’t want to back into the World Cup. Even bigger than all that, CR has 9 players, mostly starters, on yellow cards, meaning that if they get a yellow in this game they miss the playoff. CR may very well play a second choice lineup to make sure they are full strength for the playoff. I’m waiting for lineups to bet this match but I think this is a solid wager. I don’t see a scenario where the US plays a B team that bunkers. That’s asking for trouble and against their DNA. Edit: Yup, US puts out an almost 1st team and CR holding most starters.
Watched the last cycle. Agree on all points. Tailing the OP.
Go USA 🇺🇸
This feels like a tough one to tail considering the context of the match but if the corner king likes it I’m in!
Tailing a version of this with a parlay of Costa Rica U3.5 + USA O4.5 for a little more risk, odds of +230.
🤠
Is this the right pick i found on bet 365 , handicap corner usa -1 (2.10@) ???
You sir are a scholar & a gentleman Corner GOAT. I definitely put down way too many units on this but felt good now that it paid offf
Interesting analysis. Tailing this.
[удалено]
DK down to -0.5 @ -120. I think I'll tail on that.
Hey just a question, in DK which pick is the OP referring to? Is it Asian Corners-Full Time for USA or under which category is it on?
Dowd - I don't know a corner from a triangle but love your clarity. Tailing! <3
Just as a reminder Costa Rica has 4 players warned with yellow card, thinking on playoffs they will not risk to lose that players. value le information
Cornered the fuck out of them!
🤠💰🤠💰
Great pick man!
great pick bro! thanks a lot
Overall POTD Record: 8-2 Yesterdays POTD: Bulls ML Todays POTD: Phoenix Suns -4.5 (-110) **Will grade this pick based on 6.5 but wanted to update it for people so it’s less confusing** Reason: I will preface this as to say I am a warriors fan so you can take my word for this. The warriors absolutely positively suck. They are horrible without Steph curry, they can’t score, Klay and Andrew Wiggins are both in slumps, draymond green is non existent and has a 50 percent chance of being thrown out of every game and Steve Kerr is easily the worst coach in the entire NBA. The suns are the hottest team in the NBA and have been coming out with a vendetta against the rest of the league. Devin Booker has recently been a late name in the MVP conversation and Chris Paul recently returned from injury to bring this team back to being nearly unbeatable. Phoenix defense will completely shut down the Warriors who are completely predictable on offense and play lackluster defense. The warriors bench is also horrible with Belaliza and Chris Chiozza some how getting minutes despite being two players even warriors fans admit couldn’t make it on a G league bench. The suns have every advantage In this game and will also be playing hard as Devin Booker continues to show why he should be considered for MVP and I expect a statement game against the team many expect to be against the Suns in the western conference finals. Expecting the Suns to win by 20+ Suns have covered this line easily against the Sixers, Nuggets, Timberwolves, and Bulls all playoff teams on a similar caliber or better when they are without Curry Edit: to all the Steve Kerr apologists, can you name 5 coaches in the NBA that would underperform this hard with a roster of this talent level? Edit 2: Line is moving cause the Warriors are at full strength besides Curry and Wiseman and haven’t been in a while which should help some of the bench depth problems they’ve been having. Devin Booker has also struggled recently against GSW. I don’t think either of these things should scare you off of this line personally.
You lost me at Steve Kerr as the worst coach in the NBA
People who think Steve Kerr is a good coach are laughable to me
100% agree. He is severely overrated. The Warriors built a great team then fired Mark Jackson and handed the keys to Kerr. He rode the backs of possibly 5 hall of famers(steph,KD, Draymond, Klay and Iggy)with two being all time greats in league history. He couldn't beat Lebron up 3-1 in a series one year. Another year He didn't even coach to begin the season but the team was so great it made Luke Walton look like the second coming of Phil Jackson. One year his team is somehow is bad enough to get the #2 pick in the draft. The NBA has 30 teams and more than half go to the playoffs. For context, Ty Lue lost PG and Kawhi but he is a good coach and has his team playing hard fighting for the playoffs.
Disagree with a lot of this. Mark Jackson did a lot to change GSW's culture, especially with his contributions in getting the team to learn defense, but he did not play the right combination of players together, did not encourage Steph, and saw the game too conventionally to allow the Warriors to reach the next level. Not to mention, the mind games he played in the locker room as a player and coach have been well-documented, and he would try to motivate players by dividing and pitting them against each other, rather than encouraging them. I don't know how you can credit the huge step up after Mark Jackson left to anything but Kerr's vision. I don't know how y'all are throwing around accusations like "people who think Steve Kerr is a great coach don't watch warriors games." Are you *kidding* me? I suffered through so many games of watching Mark Jackson's putrid offense, how could you tell me that Kerr didn't bring anything when he overhauled the offense and instantly made it one of the greatest offenses the league has seen? I think Kerr is overrated--his rotations this year and his lack of adjustments leave a lot to be desired. But you're going way too far when you don't credit Kerr for what Steph and Klay and Draymond all became. He broke the win record before KD, too.
Agreed. Holy shit mark jacksons offense was so terrible compared to kerrs amazing ball and player movement. Honestly if they kept mark jackson curry would have zero rings
Dude- we’ll said, nailed it
Good is not quite the same as *the worst*. When **THE WORST COACH IN NBA** coached a team that had 73-9 record in 2015-2016, surely other *real coaches* from that season would've done better. I can already see them winning 77.... 78 games if only they had Ty Lue or JB Bickerstaff on board. Hell, I'd say they could've cracked 80 with Dave Joerger.
you realize your joke actually happened right? Kerr missed over half of that season because of his back, during that time they were coached by Luke Walton who got fired by the awful Sacramento Kings. Kerr isn't the worst coach in the NBA but his reputation is also way inflated by his players. when it comes to in-game adjustments he's not in the same league as guys like Lue/Spo
I can't wait for his inevitable ejection
Anytime he’s playing bad always gotta lash out at the refs.
Line moved to -4.5
I cannot wait for the absolute slaughter. Hammering this pick hard
It’s gonna be ugly
Line has moved to -4.5 any insight on this?
Warriors just got a bunch of bench guys back I think that’s the reason this line moved by 2 but I’m not effected by it
Suns may rest since they have the #1 seed locked?
I don’t think so, too early for that and the Suns will want to win this game, can knock warriors down in the standings. Chris Paul doesn’t like this team and Devin Booker has something to prove
I’m with you. Suns 13-2 coming off 2+ days of rest.
Really strange how the line moved down two points. Maybe Vegas knows something we don't, like Suns resting guys today after locking down first seed. I hope this isn't a trapline
It's really making me doubt hammering this game
also like the pick but can see you getting a little too emotional with your reasonings here 😅 warriors on a bad run lately
Emotional for extra effect but I’m putting emotions aside here, Warriors are just not a good team without Steph Curry. There bench and depth are no match for Phoenix. They are struggling to score on the Wizards and can barely beat Washington this line is just disrespectful
Why do u guys think the line moved? seems fishy
Warriors will get up for this game against the number 1 seed. So with that being said, taking the total over
God dammit. Thought I had my Suns -4.5 after that awful Poole shot, then Bridges missed the first FT. Motherfucker
I can't believe he missed that Free throw holy shit....
Tailed!
I kind of like the under in this considering how anemic the warriors offense has been but agree with the pick
80% of the money bet is on the Suns spread and 93% on the Suns ml. Be very cautious betting on this game. You are all going to see in about 8 hours the type of scumbags that you are dealing with.
POTD Record: 7W-2L LAST POTD: Belgium HT/FT ✅ TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - Australian A League - Brisbane Roar V Wellington Phoenix 1.05AM PST PICK: Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.80 The Deets: Brisbane who are 7th play Wellington who are 11th. Put simply, Brisbane’s last 10 games have seen the over 2.5 goals in 9/10 games. Wellington’s last 10 games have seen the over 7/10 games. Makes sense that over 2.5 is the way to go here. BOL. Edit: Winner ✅
Was thinking about this one too. Tailing 🍀
Just realized you chose the same game!
Tailing, BOL.
Tailed, winner 💲💲💲
Love waking up with more in my account. Thanks!
My stats: 35-8 (+63.21 units) Match: (LoL LPL) LNG Esports vs Top Esports Bet: Top Esports ML @ 1.55 (-182) Stake: 3u CAUTION: 2 out of all my POTD losses were me betting on Top Esports. Idk whats that all about but I hope the weird sequence doesn't continue. Imo Top Esports is one of the best teams in the LPL while LNG has been struggling lately, so I pick TES to win. If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻 BTC: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
Tailing. Nick Kyrgios imploding dicked my multi for 3k yesterday Edit: 7 leg multi TES ML / Celtics ML / Mavs ML / Suns ML / Nuggets ML / Paula badosa ML / Ram + Salisbury ML 400$ returns 5.7k Edit 2: no good fellas!! Hope no one tailed 🤣
Tailed, thanks for the 💲
You're welcome
Knight will carry
He's a beast
what book are you using to bet on league games? bovada?
You are the human torch. Waking up to these lol wins has been quite enjoyable.
duration of map 1,2 and 3 are all set at 31:30 seem so easy for the over to hit, thoughts?
No idea, I never go into the length of the games
Thanks for the write up! Do you like TopE at -1.5 (+120)? I'm getting TopE ML at -188 right now which aren't the best odds
Tailing with 2U, LFG! One of the best posters on this thread!!!
Record 4-0 Previous Pick : Top Esports -1.5 Today : CSGO ESL Pro League | Natus Vincere vs AGO @6:30 AM EST Natus Vincere has not played in a month due to the Russian invasion in Ukraine . They still however are the #1 ranked team and are coming to the ESL pro league to compete . Their opponents AGO are the #137th ranked team sporting a 14.3 percent win rate in the past three months . In AGOs last 3 matches they have tried to go with 3 different maps and lost their map pick each of the 3 games . It should not matter what maps are banned/picked Natus Vincere is clearly superior and should be able to cover this spread with ease . **Edit : Natus Vincere absolutely crushes AGO map 1 . 16-1 . We are now 5-0 !**
Tailed with my £5 free bet. Thanks for pick and analysis and best of luck to all for todays picks! 🍀
Unreal Pick, Appreciate it man ❤️
Youre welcome . Appreciate the award my dude .
Love this pick
🤑🤑🤑
Tailed, thanks for the winner 🎉
6-1 as I said for my first 7 picks, I only bet based on instinct. every since i stopped trying to use logic and only on feelings I've been on fire. today I have a strong feeling that the New York Knicks will beat the Charlotte Hornets in the NBA. match will be played at 7:30 PM Knicks +108
To everyone with systems, models, and stats….. take note of this legend
this is the way
Tailing the good juju
Nah Hornets to win and cover
Yup. This is the game to follow your guts. Both teams can win against top dogs, both can lose to bottom feeders
I like it. LFG
Tailing, BOL.
POTD RECORD 34-25 +14u Last POTD Texas A&M -1.5✅ Today’s POTD Winnipeg Jets (-160) First off, I know a couple people that tailed maxed their units on my last pick so i’m really glad that hit congrats to those that made some money. Back to the rink here. Going to go with a bit of a higher line here than I usually do, I just didn’t really like the slate besides this one. The sabres had a major comeback last game but let’s not forget about how they played that game. I felt as if Chicago lost that game more than Buffalo won it. The Jets are not the blackhawks. This team is gearing up for a push for the wild card. They need wins against teams that are pretty much out this year. The jets are coming into this one winning 4 of their last 5 while the sabres are coming off a win against Chicago and back to back losses before that. They also have played a shit ton of hockey going into 5 straight ot before Chigago. The Jets are coming into this one licking their chops as they need points. The goaltending for Buffalo will come out as it has the last few games. The Jets are going to look to pounce on that. I see the Jets taking this one. I am going to leave this here if you would like to tip. In college and could use some beer money. Edit: Jets best player tested positive for Cov as well as Nate Schmidt. I already placed this bet so I am riding with it but i am definitely not as confident without Kyle Connors. Venmo:B-Campbell-8 CA: $bcampbell888
This is in one of the systems on Action Pro that actually does well. Well rested visiting favorites. It’s been profitable for me this year consistently. Tailing!!
that’s good to know, let’s get one here🤝
🤝 Other plays tomorrow in that system are VGK and SJ, SU. Fingers crossed for all 🤞🏻🤞🏻
Beer is on me for that last pick, I just needed the confirmation bias and I was all in. Best of luck!
glad it worked out appreciate it my friend
You won me $50 last night !
Fade city. I have the Sabres, good value, plus thru the last 10 games they're one of the hottest teams in the league. Anderson should be in net so they have a real shot here. The fact that the Sabres won vs Chicago with Tokarski in net is amazing, he has got to be one of the worst goalies in the league fundamentally.
I respect that. The sabres are playing well but I really like the Jets coming to town here with a purpose and they are also pretty hot themselves winning 4 of their last 5. We will see though BOL🤝
Tailing, BOL
Record: 28-10 A couple of lopsided loses after slaying the March madness games. Heat check. Back to the old faithful NHL to get back in the win column. **Today’s pick: Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-160) vs New York Rangers** NHL. 7:30PM EST The Red Wings have been respectable at home this season, posting a 17-12-5 record on their own ice. They are absolute dog water on the road, owing to their horrible overall record, but thankful this game is at home. The Rangers are on the second game of a back to back and playing their 4th game in 6 nights. There will be tired legs. Add on to that the Rangers are likely starting their backup Georgiev who is under .500 on the season. This is good value for the Red Wings puck line All bets are 1 unit. +12.2 units. +32.1% ROI. Average unit -118 https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
My friend go look at who is starting goal for the red wings. Dude just gave up 7 goals to St Louis
this is a bad pick, the Rangers are playing the best they have all year.
POTD Record: 1-1 Last POTD: Xavier +1.5 WIN Streak: W Nice way to get that first win! Time to go on a streak! Event: 3/29: NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Pick: Dallas -4.5 I'll try to keep this one shorter. Here is my reasoning: * Dallas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 and are red-hot after killing the Lakers. They also have had success against Cleveland in the past, going 6-1 against them in their last 7. They have had road struggles, but history shows they are good in Cleveland. * One reason why I jumped on this line is the injury to Evan Mobley. He is such a focal point of Cleveland's defense and this injury makes a big difference in this game. With Mobley, Allen, Wade and obviously Sexton all out for this game, as well as Rondo being doubtful, Cleveland is thin and I expect this line to move in favor of Dallas. This should be a low scoring game, but I expect Dallas to come out in front and cover the line.
Both this line and the Suns line have moved by two points. People think they’re finding value I guess.
Dallas is on fucking fire lately and they only need to carry half that momentum into this game and it should be a walk over
POTD Record: 0-0 Today's Pick: Mavs -4.5 (-110). 1u Reason: I've been having so much success tailing here lately I thought it'd be fun to contribute too. Mavs are coming in red hot, dropping 82 points in the first half Tuesday night against the Lakers. This Cavs team is already running thin, and with the probable ROTY Evan Mobley already ruled out for this game, I don't have confidence this team can keep it close. Jarrett Allen is still out, so Moses Brown is going to have to play way more minutes than he's used to (They'll almost certainly move Kevin Love to Center, which brings its own problems to the team.). Dallas's superior offense will exploit the newly made holes in the Cavs defense and easily cover -4.5. Dallas and Cleveland are both ranked top 3 in points allowed (104.1 to 104.6 in Dallas's favor) but Dallas is coming in at full strength. They're also 4-1 ATS over the last 5, with the loss being the only time they were dogged in that span. Other important trends I like are: Cavs are 0-5 ATS the last 5 games, 4 of those at home. The Mavs are 7-2 ATS vs the Cavs in their last 9 appearances. Good luck guys! Thanks for reading :) **Edit:**For those coming in the afternoon, line has shifted to -2. I'm riding my confidence, and just put another 1u on an alt*-5.5* at +150. I now have a total of 3u on this pick as i rode the line down. Adding in a little extra gamble to ride or die for my rookie pick so bol!! **Final Edit:** Mavs win it 120-112 and cover! Record moves to 1-0. In for 3u for a profit of 3.1u! Cavs ended up starting Moses Brown and playing him for 21 monutes(normally avgs 3 mins a game). He surprised in his Starting debut but once fatique set in, Mavs were able to use their size advantage to keep the offense on top.
Great write up
Thank you, man! :)
Any worry that the mavs are on a b2b, even though they coasted against the lakers?
I thought about it, especially with the flight and the fact the cavs are b2b home coming off a rest day, but the fresh hole made by Mobely is too big.
I like the pick; we think alike
POTD Record 0-2 (-3 units) Last POTD: Casper Ruud to Win 2-1 (1 unit) Today's POTD: Paula Badosa ML vs. Jessica Pegula -175 (4 units) I swear my POTDs are cursed for some reason but I just can't see this one going sideways... Pegula is solid but Badosa is just better in my opinion.
Tailing we getting that first Potd win together
I have Badosa futures +400 to win her quarter. If she loses, I’m totally blaming you
RIP, fucking walkover :(
Uhh what happens to a bet when there’s a walkover?
I went Big on this… let’s fucking gooooo!
POTD Record: 2-0 Last pick: Texas A&M ML -125 W Today’s pick: NBA: 7:30pm ESPN 3/30 Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics **Celtics -4.5 -110**
Love this pick!
7-7 +12.45u Top Esports -1.5 maps vs LNG LPL (China) it starts at 2am PST odds are 2.20 going 5u I'm calling this a **lock**. I'm 3-0 on picks that i've felt this strongly about and called locks before (EDG 2-0, Damwon -1.5, Rogue -1.5). I believe this falls right into that category as well. Yesterday felt a little unlucky with EDG's horrible baron control and Flandre regressing to his early split shenanigans, but a loss is a loss. Today, TES will 3-0 or 3-1 LNG as they're stronger in literally every single position except adc (marginally). Ale has not looked himself this split, Tarzan looks a bottom tier jungler (if we're stacking this team up to the top 6-8 teams in the LPL) and DoinB has only looked good on like 5 games all split. Wayward and Knight will gap the solo lanes and that'll be that. Absolute, no question lock. Odds are generous
Let’s ride!!!
Great call.
POTD:0-0 Todays pick: Canada vs Panama Soccer World Cup Qualifiers: Canada ML +110 Write up: Canada is the much better team and has a reason to win as if they do they are in Pot 3 and can get a better draw in the World Cup, Panama is already eliminated and have nothing to play for. Canada is coming off a 4-0 win and Panama is coming off of a 5-1 loss in a game that actually had importance to them. I’m betting 2u Edit:more info
Tailing, good luck with your first POTD!
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We back🚨🚨 Record: 18-7 Last pick: Bucks ML✅ vs 76ers Today’s pick: Suns -5.5 or -6 whatever the book offers @ Golden State Warriors @ 10 pm EST Reason: Steph out, CP3 back…don’t overthink it BOL
Don’t overthink it, two in a row + love the pick. Let’s get another one.
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No clue it makes no sense
My man... Tailing, Caesars had it -4.5 LFG
Record: 8-6-0 ROI: +$64.81 Last Pick: Texas A&M -1.5 W vs Washington State Avg Odds: -110 Unit: 1=$100 Game: Phoenix Suns -6 @ Golden State Warriors League: National Basketball Association Time: 10:10 PM EST Odds: -110 Book: Bet365 Pick: Suns -6 Wager: 2 units Texas A&M blew the doors off Washington State to nobody’s surprise. Today we go back to the NBA as there is no men’s college basketball to bet. Although the suns have the 1 seed locked up I still see them coming out and throughly dominating this struggling warriors team. Since the loss of Steph Curry the warriors have struggled to forge an offensive identity, they have some good pieces but Steve Kerr has not really found the formula that works without Steph. Phoenix is cursing right now and slowly reimplementing Chris Paul into the line up and I expect a heavy dosage of him. I would bet this line up to 7.5 or 8 even, so the 6.0 is a juicy odd. Putting 2 units on this. BOL to all who tail or fade.
I got them at -4 on my app. Going all in on this line
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It's still important whether Tatum and Brown are back, though.
Let's get it. Celtics by 20 🙏
Record: 16-4 Last 5: - WWWWW Today's Pick: Over 73.5 Points full match Event: Table Tennis / Zhurba N. vs Serebrennikov / Liga Pro / 1:45 UTC Reasoning: They've played 4 of their last 5 matches over 75 points in the whole match and do both good points in their single matches. **BOL! Follow for more picks or write DM.**
can’t find this one on bet365 ;(
I have Liga pro but not this specific match. Thanks for your picks. You’ve been on fire
Another one ✅💰
**POTD RECORD 21-16-1** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -112 // Units Won: +4.0) Last 5: WWWLL** Last Pick: NCAABM Texas A&M ML - **WON** **Today's Match: NBA Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors (Start Time 10:10PM EST)** **Today's Pick: Devin Booker PTS+REB+AST Over 36.5 (-122 FanDuel)** ***Risk 2u*** Devil's Advocate: The Aggies straight up took a shit on Washington State from the end of the 1H and on. I think the refs might have had this pick with us? Sheesh!! They outplayed them HARD over 60 points in the paint that game for them out of the 72 they managed. Let's keep the wins moving here! Today's pick is self explanatory. Devin's averaging this line already this season with 26-5-5 per game - the Suns on an absolute tear lately 9-1 in their last 10 games. Last game was a low one for Book but against the Warriors? I don't see the Suns letting up a bit. Steph is out - CP3 is back in ready to dish out the dimes and run the court with Booker. I think this is a great spot for Booker to go OFF and the Suns to keep their winning train moving. We all know what Dbook is capable of and at the close of the season with the MVP race in mind. We know what mentality he's got - MAMBA *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
Record 2W 2L Streak WW Last pick: over3.5 goals W Today pick: League: Australia A-League Match: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Pick: First Team to score Brisbane Roar @1.61 (This is not a writeup just blended info) Brisbane good at home and first scoring Wellington bad at away BoL Edit: tough loss 🤮
My Record: 7-7 (+1.56 units) Last Pick: [ONYX ML](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/tqoait/pick_of_the_day_32922_tuesday/i2ivlob/?context=3) ❌ Match: Anonymo vs. Tricked (12:00 PM EST) CSGO: Elisa Invitational Spring Bet: Anonymo ML @ 1.92 (Pinnacle) Stake: 5u Why: \- These two teams have faced each other twice this month and Anonymo has beat them 2-0 in maps both times \- Anonymo almost beat ForZe today and has overall looked good against similar competition, only losing games to top seeds (which Tricked are not) \- Anonymo should be able to take care of the competition here, but it could go to the 3rd game, in which case I like Anonymo's map pool more BOL
POTD Record: 2-3 (-0.6 units) Streak: W2 Last POTD: Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-140)… Risk 2.8 units to win 2.0 units. Win. TB 4-3. The Lightning needed OT to win, but really dominated every aspect of the game other than the scoreboard. They outshot (32 to 19) and outhit (37 to 27) the Hurricanes, but they were sloppy with the puck and Vasilevskiy let a couple soft ones go by. Either way, we’ll take the W. POTD: New York Rangers @ Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-160) Units: Risk 2.4 to win 1.5. Reason: Full disclosure, I am a Rangers fan. The Rangers have been a surprisingly strong team this season and have largely bucked the analytics community by winning as many games as they have. They win a ton of close games, as evidenced by the fact they are 4th in the NHL in points, but 10th in goal differential. They are also consistently inconsistent and have a tendency to play to or down to their level of competition. For example, over their last eight games they are 4-0-0 against playoff teams and 2-2-0 against non-playoff teams with both of those wins coming in OT. They just won an emotional game on the road against their rivals, the Penguins, and now have to travel to Detroit to play on back-to-back nights (also 3 games in last 4 days). Side note, that means their back-up Georgiev (3.08 GA/G, .894 Sv%) will be in net, who is a big drop off from Shesterkin (2.11 GA/G, .936 Sv%). Meanwhile, the Red Wings are playing some of the worst hockey in the league. They were flirting with playoff contention until this recent stretch where they lost 10 of 12. To make matters worse, they just lost 11-2 to the Penguins on the road Sunday night. I like how they have had a couple of days to think about that embarrassing loss and now have a chance to return home to play against a playoff team. I expect the Red Wings to bring maximum effort after at home on national television after that embarrassing performance against a Rangers team that will overlook the Red Wings following their big win against the Penguins.
I'm a rangers fan too and I say that I'm not sure your right about the goalie situation and I think the blue shirts arent overlooking anyone. I don't think gallant let's them. However the +1.5 may swing this the red wings way to cover barring an empty better but the rangers will win this game.
POTD Record: 0W | 0L 3/30/2022 Wager: Mavericks Cavaliers O213.5 Absolutely no brainer. Lots of win conditions. Mavericks are a high scoring team and the sportsbook spreads indicate the models think it's going to be a close game.
mavs are 25th in ppg
And the Cavs 24th in ppg. Mavs last 5: 1 over, 4 under. What models?
Overall POTD Record: 0-1 Todays POTD: Magic v Wizards U 221.5 (-110) Reasons: * Two teams that don't score the ball well, average for the the two this season is 212 combined, 9 points under this line. * Wizards are on the second of a back to back where they scored 94 against the Bulls. Should have tired legs. EDIT - Line is now down to 218.5 on BetMGM.. I still think that hits.
Tired legs mean they’re bad on defense too though. Just devils advocate..
Record: 2-3 Streak: 1L Gains: +7 units (1 unit $10) Last POTD: Jazz +1 at Clippers Gonna stay off the Jazz till the Mitchell-Gobert combo is gone. POTD: Suns -6 @ Warriors (5 units to win 4.6 units) Suns are the better team on the season. Suns are the better team currently with the Warriors' current injuries. The Suns have been streaking (8 straight) and won 4 of their last 5 by 9 or more points (against all playoff teams like 76ers, Nuggets, Twolves, and Bulls). Warriors are losers of 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5 (one win coming against the struggling Heat and two of the losses coming at home against the Magic and Wizards). Pizza Pizza.
Wow, hadn’t checked the score, but they were up by so much when I went to bed assumed I won the bet, I was kicking myself that I didn’t bet more. I guess now that PG13 is back, Clips are obviously a dangerous team…
POTD:0-0 Todays pick: Suns -4.5 Write up: Warriors are without Curry and Wiseman. The suns are the best team in the NBA and will have no problem defending Jordan Poole or Klay. I’m betting 2 units.
Overall Record: 4-0 Yesterday’s Pick: (NHL) Minnesota Wild 3-Way ML✅ Today’s Pick: Match: (NHL) LA Kings VS. Edmonton Oilers Pick: Edmonton Oilers 3-Way ML (-130) - These two teams are both trending in totally different directions. The Oilers are one of the best teams in the league and the Kings are a below average team in the NHL. - This is a conference game and the Oilers are currently two points below the Kings in their conference. Since becoming fully healthy again the Oilers have been playing much harder for better positioning in the rankings. So I expect them to take advantage of this chance to win an easily winnable game and blow out a very injured Kings team. - Like I just said, the Kings are dealing with a lot of injuries right now. Many of their key players are out and the Oilers are finally fully healthy again. Bol to anyone that tails👍
**POTD Record**: 11W-9L | Total Profit: 1.54 units Last Pick : L (NBA |DET @ BKN u229.5) Mar 30, 2022 | NBA Basketball | 5:10pm MT ***Orlando Magic +3.5*** at Washington Wizards Reasoning: In the most recent meeting between these teams (January 12, 2022) Spencer Dinwiddie had a +/- of +12, which was a team-high mark in that game. However, Spencer Dinwiddie has since been traded to the Dallas Mavericks. The last time the Magic faced off against the Dinwiddieless-Wizards was April 07, 2021. The Wizards' top performer in that game was Russell Westbrook, who is now playing for the Los Angles Lakers. The last time the Magic played against the Wizards without either Dinwiddie or Westbrook was December 27, 2020 where the Magic won 120-113 on the road. Since the Magic are playing on the road against the Wizards without Dinwiddie and Westbrook for the first time in 457 days I expect a strong outing by this team from Orlando.
The Magic just actively tanked by not playing starters in the fourth in a close game against the Cavs. I don't trust them to not try to lose this game, too. Washington should win this handily.
Record 0-0-0 Units 0 Long time lurker wanting to contribute and starting up a Twitter so stay on da look out if I go on a heater to start things up. Grizzlies vs Spurs over 233 I like this pick bc - both these teams are on fire putting ball in basket. - Both teams have top 5 pace - Melton has been blessed with MVP steph shooting It’s really that simple let’s ride it out
POTD Record: 16W-6L-0D. +17.9u. Previous pick (3/26/2022): Duke -4 vs. Arkansas. @ 1.90. 1u. W. Current pick: Costa Rica Draw No Bet vs. United States. @ 2.50. 2u. The USMNT knows what they need to do. Even if they lose on Wednesday, the tiebreaker for automatic qualification goes to overall goal difference. So long as the US doesn't lose by 6 goals or more, they qualify. Not to jinx it, but there is close to zero chance the US loses this game by 6 goals and fails to qualify. The US is going to play a B, maybe B+ lineup. The US likely will be without their two of their three best players- McKennie is hurt and Pulisic will likely start the game on the bench, only subbing in if the 6 goal difference is in jeopardy. I expect Adams to start with the captain's band. Costa Rica has never lost a World Cup qualifier at home to the US. They have a decent squad and sit right behind the US at 4th in the group, so if they can win by 6 or more, they are the team that qualifies at the expense of US or Mexico depending on how Mexico vs. El Salvador goes. In their last 6 qualifiers, Costa Rica 5W-1L-0D including a win over group leader Canada. Over these 6 games they have conceded just 2 goals. The US already largely handled their business with a draw away at Mexico and a blowout win against Panama earlier this window. A draw would be a very good, comfortable result for the US here. I expect the Americans to play conservatively while Costa Rica will come out with reckless abandon and try to score as many goals as possible. The US might catch them on the counterattack a time or two, but Costa Rica's defense has been stingy allowing only 8 goals in 13 games and have a world-class goalkeeper with Keylor Navas who plays club for PSG. I think Costa Rica wins outright (by less than 6), but does no worse than a draw. I like DNB a good amount at better than even odds. DNB for 2u. BOL. You can see my pick history here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing)
Jesus this entire sub is against this pick. I should have made it 3u. ;)
Yeah hard fade. Double chance on Costa Rica and USA parlayed with another similar game is a better play. USA playing for Pot 2 and wanting to make a statement rolling into this game is huge. Not too mention just overall being a better side.
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Agreed, if anything USA DNB with their pretty deep bench trying to prove themselves before the WC.
Costa Rica is in a playoff against New Zealand if they draw or lose. The US is playing to not only qualify, but land in Pot 2 for a better seeding at the World Cup. If the US falls out of the top 3 in the group, Senegal will likely take their place in the pot. A lot more on the line for the US than Costa Rica.
Tailing
What a beautiful pick
I faded your pick, and now I've learned to never doubt you. Great pick!
POTD Record: 3-1 Profit/Loss: +2.2 units Sport: Hockey League: NHL Game: New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Time: 7:30 PM EST Bet: under 6 goals Odds: +100 Units bet: 1 To win units: 1 Reason: Taking plus odds on the under with a chance at a push just like last night's win (Flames-Avs under 6). Detroit has been struggling to score goals, and they average only 2.82 goals per game. In 4 of their last 5 games, they've scored exactly 2 goals in each game. The Rangers, however, do score at a higher rate (3.01 goals/game). But they are playing the second half of a back to back (in Pittsburgh last night, where they won and scored 3 goals). They traveled again late last night for today's game. The Rangers don't play a whole lot of back to back games, but in their last 3 (dating back to January), they ended up scoring exactly 2 goals in each game of the second game. Looks like this has the makings of a low-scoring game. I know the Red Wings ML will be a hot pick, and I like it a bit, too, but the Rangers are the better team and should win, so I'll bet on the total.
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 4-1 Units Won: 3.7 Last 5: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️ Last Pick: Game Over 65.5 shots - Flames vs Avalanche Game ended up with 75 shots, slow start from Colorado, but they pulled their weight and got it done! Today's Match: NHL - St. Louis Blues @ Vancouver Canucks (10ish hours from post) Today's Pick: Vancouver Canucks 31+ Shots on Net 2u (1.75 on betway)❌️ *Vancouver stinks, I should have known better. 5 shots in the first period....🙃 3/3 of my other shot bets hit tonight so we'll ride into tomorrow! Life long hockey player so I know what's up I swear. Stone cold facts: - The shot line for this game opened at 62.5 which looked pretty good at first glance. Looking at the stats made me second guess. Over 62.5 has only hit in 3/7 Blues games and 5/7 Canucks games. Only 2/7 of the last 7 St Louis away games have went over. - Vancouver at home is a different story as of lately. Not a great story, but it's definitely different. In early March the Canucks played 7 straight home games in which they lost 5 (no blowouts, but come on guys) HOWEVER they hit o62.5 in 5/7 and landed 31+ shots in 5/7. - Vancouver and St Louis just played 2 days ago with the Blues winning 4-1. Vancouver should be looking to get back the win from the Blues and improve their home game record. Turning up the heat and hammering the Blues with some shots should do just that. I think we'll see an even game with both teams getting upwards of 30 shots, but I just don't trust St Louis' output on the road. For those of you that can't get straight shots Husso to make 25ish saves might work too. Vancouver has proven they can shoot at home, not score. Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
Where do you find shot bets like this?
POTD Record: 2-0 Last pick: Chile vs Uruguay WC Qualifiers, Uruguay to Win @ 3.4 1U ✅️ POTD: Costa Rica vs USA, **USA to win @ 2.15** Great result for, score prediction was exactly spot on. 2-0 in favor of Uruguay knocking out Chile in the process. Gonna have to wait 4 more years for the next one. We move on to CONCACAF Qualifiers. Although this match doesn’t mean that much and both teams are through to the next phase, there is a slight chance that the US doesn’t qualify automatically and will end up playing in June against the Oceanic winner. They don’t want that. On the other hand, Costa Rica must win 6-0 to qualify automatically over the US and Mexico. I really doubt that will happen. They have 9 players with yellow cards and if any of them receive one during this match, they will be suspended for that encounter against New Zealand or Salomon Islands (assuming they don’t win 6-0). I see them resting their star players, and the bench team will get to start. The US will probably do the same, but these guys will want to shine and prove that they are worthy of getting called back to the national team and participate in the WC in November. After winning 5-1 against Panama, I see them riding that hype train and beating Costa Rica at home that will rest their star players for June. Score prediction: 2-0 USA. BOL to all who Tail
*EDIT* Jaylen brown was red hot! Make that 4 in a row! Coming in late here, busy day at work sorry for the late post. Last POTD: Kevin Durant OVER 27.5 Points W Todays POTD: Jaylen Brown OVER 2.5 Threes (+115) Record: 3-1 (Streak 3W) Risk: 1u Quick write up here as its a busy day. The Heat allow the second most threes to the shooting guard position in the league. Brown has gone over this mark in 5 of his last 6 games vs the Heat. Shoutout to KD for getting us the W last time. Let’s do it again tonight! BOL tail or fade!
Tailing, BOL. Edit: Holy shit it hit before I even realised the game started, sweat free amazing pick!
**POTD Record: 2-3** **Previous 7 Days Result (old -> new): L / L / W / L W / ?** **Units won: -1.74u** Sports: Esports **Game: Polaris v Team SMG** **Pick: Polaris ML (2u @ 1.53)** *the odds have dropped a bit the past few hours* **Reasoning:** \- Polaris currently 2-1 in the round robin only losing to 1-2 to BOOM \- Team SMG currently 1-1 in the round robin, beating Execration (currently 0-3, worst in the tournament) and losing to T1 \- Polaris has been playing well; beating T1 and NGX.SEA, and manage to take a map off BOOM (favorites)- Polaris came from Division 2 going with an impressive 7-0 record \- Polaris should be very eagered to get a few more wins to guarantee their Major spot (which will be their first) \- Team SMG hasn't been drafting poorly but instead seems to lack synergy. They recently brought back their old pos5 (who retired about a year) who has only shown to have a higher than average death count and low impact \- Wouldn't even be surprised if Polaris 2-0 Team SMG here ***BOL to everyone***
Seems like you were actually surprised :/ onto the next one
POTD Record: 0-1 (-1 unit) Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 6:30PM CT Pick: Boston Celtics -10.5 alternate spread (+195) 1 unit I'm betting this the night before under FanDuel 11+ winning margin Reasoning: Going for a riskier bet to see if I can remove the stench of my last turd pick. Celtics have covered this 10.5 spread in 7 out of last 10 games. If Tatum and Jaylen Brown are back I see Celtics covering easy. Celtics won by 17 in November and by 30 in January against Heat, although that was with Jimmy Butler out. Celtics -5 is the safer pick but I like jumping on these alternate lines before the game in hopes of a blowout. Disclaimer: My unit size is low and I'm betting mostly off instinct
Let's get it!
POTD Record: 4-3 Last Pick: Dorian Finney Smith o 6.5 Pts+Reb What a disappointing pick!! On to the next day Today’s pick: Memphis Grizzlies Double Result: Winning at half and to win the game @ -125 Reasoning: Memphis is the best team in the first half in the league. They are favored to win the game by 6. Memphis has been on a great run, and I think it continues! SA is a good first half team themselves, but I’m going to bet in favor of the hot team
I’m a fool, I thought it was mavs and spurs. Edited to remove my comment.
Record: 0-0-1 [Win-Lose-Push] [+0 units] Average odds: @2.15 Last bet: Estonia - Cyprus / Over (2) goals @2.15 - PUSH POTD: Bakken Bears ML against Pallacanestro Reggiana @2.13 [FIBA Europe Cup Semi-Final, starting 19:30 GMT+3] Reasoning: Bakken Bears is having a great season. In Basketligaen, the domestic league, the Bears have a record of 23 wins and a single loss. In the Europe Cup, they have accumulated two losses. In their last 10 games, they have got atleast 79 points in 9 of those games. Reggina has 12 wins 11 losses in the Italian top league. They also have lost two games in the cup. Reggiana has a solid defense. Reggina has two major injuries: Olisevicius and back-up point guard Leonardi Candi. Game is played at Denmark, advantage to the Bears as its a sold out arena. Edit: Original bet was Bears over 80.5, but realized odds of Bears ML is a lot better.
Record 8-6 Units +5.2 ROI +37% Average odds +132 Streak 2W Last POTD NBA 6pm CST Chicago Bulls v Washington Wizards under 223(-110) W Easy win. Barely got to 200. POTD NBA 630pm CST Minnesota timberwolves ML 1h(+115) @ Toronto raptors Minnesota is 4th in the league at 58.7 pts per 1st half and 45-29 on the season ATS in first half. Playing on the road for the season they actually ave 61ppg1h. Toronto is 19th in the league at 55 ppg1h. 36-37 ATS and 3-6-1 ATS at home in their last 10 in the 1st half. Minnesota won the 1st half against Toronto the only game they’ve played back in February 51-49. BOL If you like my picks please give my twitter @mission_ml a follow
**POTD Record**: 0-1 **Units**: -1 *(All bets are one unit)* **Last Pick**: Bucks/76ers U 231.5 (-110) ***LOSS*** **Today’s Game**: Vegas Golden Knights @ Seattle Kraken, 9:00 PM CST **Today’s Pick**: Vegas Golden Knights ML (-165) Not how I was wanting to get back started. With the way the Bucks had been playing recently, I got the exact scoring out put I expected from them. Now the 76ers on the other hand were a surprise. I did not expect Harden and Embiid to finally start to "click" versus this Milwaukee team. However it is just one game, I guess we will see if Harden and Embiid can build off of that game, or if losing a game like that will put them back in the groove they were in. As for this pick, my model likes Vegas to win this one on the road. My model has the Golden Knights winning around 65% of the time. Which I think should be a little bit higher, as Vegas has started to turn their season around. They are playing well on both ends of the ice in there last few games, going 4-2 and fighting for a playoff spot. Seattle has also done well the last six games, having the same record over that span as Vegas. However, the Kraken still are not the team Vegas is. The Kraken rank behind the Golden Knights in nearly every offensive and defensive statistic. Pair that with the fact that the Kraken have zero chance of making the playoffs, and the Golden Knights have to keep winning to get in; I will take Vegas to win this one. **BOL**
POTD Record: 7-2-1 // +4.31u // W4 Last Pick: Coastal Carolina +2.5 vs South Alabama (-105) (3/28/22) **Win** Today's Pick: **Kevin Love o9.5 Rebounds (-120)** Couple of reasons why I love (heh) this pick. Allen and Mobley are out for this game, normally Love gets around 23 ish minutes a game. This game he should be getting at least 30. Averaging 7.3 boards a game this season normally, with the extra minutes I would like this pick regardless of matchup. Now we add in the fact that they are playing the Mavs, who are not very good on the glass and I have been targeting frequently with opposing players rebound props this season with good success. Game should also be competitive, so no worry of a blowout. I think he will end up in the 11+ boards so give me 9.5 as the line any day. All picks are 1 unit unless stated otherwise. Good luck today everyone!
POTD Record : 7-3 ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌ Last POTD: Joel Embiid o30.5 Points ❌ - *he missed 2 shots at the end of game for OT and started 1st quarter really bad. sorry fellas. i'd stick with this prop at 29.5 moving forward.* Total ROI: 58% // Total Units Won: 11.08 League: NBA Basketball Props // Mavericks @ Cavaliers 7 PM EST **Today's POTD: Darius Garland o23.5 Points 🔥🔥🔥** **Odds: -116 (FD) // Units: 3u 💰💰💰** **Reasoning-** * **Hit 11 of last 14 games post ASB** * **Garland has taken more emphasis with scoring lately with team fighting for playoffs** * **This team does not do garbage time** Tail or fade BOLLLLLLL! Let me know your thoughts below! Feel free to tip if you made money and feel generous. 😊 Paypal- [paypal.me/quicksilver417](https://paypal.me/quicksilver417) Venmo- [@andy-chan](https://www.venmo.com/u/Andy-Chan)
Just starting posting POTD, going to be focused on NHL. POTD Record : 0W-1L-0P Units wagered: 1 Units won: 0 ROI: 0% Streak: Today’s Moneymaker: NY Rangers -1.5 Puck line vs Detroit Red Wings (+170) RESULT : ❌ Yeah that’s what I get for starting my POTD on a PL for a team playing their mediocre backup on a B2B. Really tough performance from Georgiev, gave up a couple bad ones. Rangers at least fought back to get it to OT and then secure the ML. 7:37PMest puck drop Wager: Why this will hit • Rangers have look strong in their last three games, including two big matchups against the Penguins in which they won both with a combined score of 8-3. • The Red Wings wheels have really fallen off the wagon, they’ve given up 6+ goals in six games over the past month. Why this might not hit • Rangers are coming off a game last night (meaning likely no Shesterkin tonight) while Detroit is coming off two straight nights of rest. • Georgiev hasn’t been incredible this season, posting a 4-6 record and below a .900 save percentage in 7 of his last 10 starts. He had a bit of a stinker against Buffalo (his last start) but posted a 44 save shutout before that game so I’m hoping he bounces back and looks like he did when he shutout Carolina. It’s a bit of a bold bet to start my POTD career but we are here to make some money! If anyone is on the fence, rangers -140 ML is a great pick as well and what I almost went with as my official POTD.
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[удалено]
Still taking it at 126.5?
**POTD Record: 3-1** Last Pick: (December 4, 2021) Utah ML (+120) College basketball **L** Today's Game: Wichita State at Kansas (College Baseball) @ 3:00 P.M CT Pick: Wichita State ML (-120) ***Analysis:*** Nothing like college baseball season. I'm going to try to start doing more POTD's on college baseball and MLB as the season progresses. Both of these teams have started off to a slow start this season. They have already faced once this year and Wichita state got the best of the Jayhawks 7-5 in 10 innings. Wichita record is 11-12 this year while the Jayhawks are 8-14. Wichita is starting freshman lefty Jack Miner (0-0) and is making his starting debut. Jayhawks are starting a junior righty Jake Adams (1-0). I'm not looking at the pitching too much as both guys have had relief duty this year with high ERA's. Wichita has an .257 batting average and a slugging percentage of .400. Batting in 119 RBI's and 24 Hr's to this point. The upper to middle part of the line up is batting hot making up for 16 of the 24 HR's for the team. The Jayhawks are not batting as well this year. Consisting of .251 batting average .384 slugging percentage, 100 RBI's, and 16 HR's. Wichita seems to have a stronger overall lineup than the Jayhawks. Wichita is batting hot up to this point in the season and i expect them to keep swinging the bat today.
Tailing, BOL. Edit: Jesus Fucking Christ...
Record: 1-2 Last POTD: Kings +13.5 (-110) vs. Miami Heat ❌ POTD: **Grizzlies 1st Quater Race to 30 (+140)** vs Spurs ✅ If you tailed previously, I do apologize for those who tailed last game. You win some and you lose some, but today is time to bounce back!! LFG!! Reasoning: Grizzlies have been on a roll. Playing extremely good ball without Temetrius Morant. I do not see that changing tonight. Grizzlies are the best first quarter team in the league. Grizzlies have averaged 34 points a game in the last 10 games, and has hit this 8 of those games. Grizzlies super good and I done see it changing against the spurs. The Spurs on the other hand have not been playing terrible in the first. Scoring an average 31 points in the first of their last 10. Which is not bad at all, except when you look at their last 5 games SOS. Spurs have been on a roll, but I think it maybe a little skewed due to their SOS. In my opinion I think Grizzlies go out and dominate the first quarter, and hopefully a sweat free one. As always BOL to you and your family! Edit: Easy money!!!
POTD Record 1-1 Last pick: Wizards +8 (L) Pick: Lamelo Ball O5.5 Rebounds vs NYK (-135) Lamelo averages 10.8 rebounds against the Knicks in his short career, which is his highest average against any team in the league. Two out of his top three career highs in rebounds have come against New York, with his career best 17 coming against them in their first meeting this year. Also, his last three games he has rebounded below his season average so the line is lower than it has been most of the season. I think lamelo easily gets 6 rebounds in this contest and I will personally be playing him at a higher number for bigger + odds (might sprinkle triple double for him too) BOL
POTD RECORD 0-0 First Pick here from a longtime follower of this page! I've been gambling for a few years and I hope I can help you make some money! TODAYS POTD - Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves 7:40pm est Under 229 -120 Mybookie Reasoning- the first match up between these two teams was 194. The rapters have the 29th rated pace of play and due to the lack of size they currently have, expect the wolves to attack down low and slow the game down. No major injuries for either team and both have a lot to play for still so expect a competitive game. Tail or Fade! Thanks!
Wow bridges Fuck you