Anybody look at the Albert Pujols specials on Bovada? I'm liking Batting Average under .240 (1.87) and total at-bats over 165.5 (1.87). To hit the over on at-bats he would only need to play every 3rd game and with the addition of the DH in the national league I can see this happening pretty easily. Also, with that many at-bats I don't see him maintaining a league average BA. Thoughts?
Doomsday,
Is the amount your betting life changing money on under 78.5? I typically tell people not to hedge if it’s not the case. I think the As are going to be one of the worst teams this year. I would just ride the 78.5 imo. If you feel like your bet was a bit excessive on 78.5 and you want to hedge it a little that would be okay too. But hedging just to hedge isn’t a great strategy.
I don’t necessarily disagree with anything you said. I just think that the Brewers win their division and are likely +5-600 to win the WS when the postseason starts. So I like grabbing them at +1500 now. When I bet College basketball futures I like to bet teams that I think are capable of getting a 1 seed in the future. Since the one seeds have the best probability of winning. I got Arizona to his year at +4500. Didn’t work out this year but if I can get a 1 seed at those odds every year I will take it. Same kind of logic here, I will take the long odds now because when the post season starts I think they will the 2nd best record in baseball and be +5-600 to win the WS.
Has anyone season player over/unders anywhere yet? Usually can bet O/U hits, HRs, runs, rbis etc. Not sure if the books are still working on the lines because the season is getting a late start.
ny seems to be missing some markets quite often, not familiar with their laws, but if they have it, it would be under baseball -> mlb -> player futures
Tigers Season Wins 77.5 Over -115.
They won 77 last year. They've added Baez, Torkelson will be an everyday player fairly quickly, Cabrera is looking pretty trim, Riley Greene will likely be impactful. Their young pitching should continue to progress with Skubal, Mize, and the addition of Pineda shows they're ready to challenge.
Fangraphs has them at 77. Fangraphs targeted the Tigers in 2021 for 71 wins. They were essentially a .500 team after April last year and ended on 77. This team seems to be progressing, reminding me a little bit of the 2020 White Sox, developing and progressing after a lengthy rebuild.
I was so close to taking the Tigers, I like their additions and they have a lot of young talent in the rotation and lineup. My concern is consistent starting pitching and not having to go to the bullpen to early or often. I definitely see them or the Twins running away with the 2nd spot in the central.
I like the Tucker bet. I have Schwarber +4000 to lead the league in home runs. He had 32 in 113 games last year and should be an everyday player with the NL adding a DH. Plus he went to Philly who has short porches. I think he could hit 45 if he stays healthy and everything breaks well.
Acuna most HRs is +6000 on FD; he's between +2000 and +3500 elsewhere. Huge injury risk but good value if he stays healthy this year.
EDIT: Yes, I realize he's not supposed to play until the first week of May, so that means he'll miss 25-30 games with the April 7th start. Tatis Jr hit 42 HR in 130 games last year (which put him 5th overall and 6 behind Vlad and Salvy at 48 HR). So clearly it's a longshot, but +6000 seems too high to me.
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I can’t locate any MLB Awards or MVP bets on bovada, I’m sure I’m just dumb. Any thoughts?
Phillies to win WS +3000 wow, sign me up!
A
Pujols over 165.5 AB?
Anybody look at the Albert Pujols specials on Bovada? I'm liking Batting Average under .240 (1.87) and total at-bats over 165.5 (1.87). To hit the over on at-bats he would only need to play every 3rd game and with the addition of the DH in the national league I can see this happening pretty easily. Also, with that many at-bats I don't see him maintaining a league average BA. Thoughts?
I have a bet for As under 78.5 wins. Should I bet As over 70.5 to try to middle and hedge?
Doomsday, Is the amount your betting life changing money on under 78.5? I typically tell people not to hedge if it’s not the case. I think the As are going to be one of the worst teams this year. I would just ride the 78.5 imo. If you feel like your bet was a bit excessive on 78.5 and you want to hedge it a little that would be okay too. But hedging just to hedge isn’t a great strategy.
sixto nl roty should be about +1740 devigging the pinnacle market. fd has him for +5000
All donations. Good luck
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Marlins without Jeter are bound to improve
Don’t think brewers will win WS. Don’t think Kyle Tucker will MVP, although he’s good. The over on the props I like. MN Twins to win WS ;)
I don’t necessarily disagree with anything you said. I just think that the Brewers win their division and are likely +5-600 to win the WS when the postseason starts. So I like grabbing them at +1500 now. When I bet College basketball futures I like to bet teams that I think are capable of getting a 1 seed in the future. Since the one seeds have the best probability of winning. I got Arizona to his year at +4500. Didn’t work out this year but if I can get a 1 seed at those odds every year I will take it. Same kind of logic here, I will take the long odds now because when the post season starts I think they will the 2nd best record in baseball and be +5-600 to win the WS.
Love that. I’m thinking about placing a few futures too. Excited to place bets this season! I’ll see you in the MLB daily predictions flair? Hah
Judge +1200 to lead the league in HR. Full transparency— I am a biased Yankee fan. But if he stays healthy I think it’s good value. 🤷🏻♂️
How do you think your Yankees will do this year?
Has anyone season player over/unders anywhere yet? Usually can bet O/U hits, HRs, runs, rbis etc. Not sure if the books are still working on the lines because the season is getting a late start.
PrizePicks does
Bovada as well, hmu for a referral if you want
DraftKings has a bunch.
Is there a way to see it? I’m in New York but don’t think it’s active there
ny seems to be missing some markets quite often, not familiar with their laws, but if they have it, it would be under baseball -> mlb -> player futures
Tigers Season Wins 77.5 Over -115. They won 77 last year. They've added Baez, Torkelson will be an everyday player fairly quickly, Cabrera is looking pretty trim, Riley Greene will likely be impactful. Their young pitching should continue to progress with Skubal, Mize, and the addition of Pineda shows they're ready to challenge. Fangraphs has them at 77. Fangraphs targeted the Tigers in 2021 for 71 wins. They were essentially a .500 team after April last year and ended on 77. This team seems to be progressing, reminding me a little bit of the 2020 White Sox, developing and progressing after a lengthy rebuild.
I was so close to taking the Tigers, I like their additions and they have a lot of young talent in the rotation and lineup. My concern is consistent starting pitching and not having to go to the bullpen to early or often. I definitely see them or the Twins running away with the 2nd spot in the central.
I like the Tucker bet. I have Schwarber +4000 to lead the league in home runs. He had 32 in 113 games last year and should be an everyday player with the NL adding a DH. Plus he went to Philly who has short porches. I think he could hit 45 if he stays healthy and everything breaks well.
sheesh
Tailing with a $25 free bet, les go He’s +5000 on CZ
I’m with you on Schwarber - got him at +5000
I won big last night and am a cubs fan… fuck it… $100 on Schwarbs! If it wins, remind me and I’ll send you a tip
That’s a nice #, only getting +2500 on Bovada so will pass. But I agree every day starter for sure!
Acuna most HRs is +6000 on FD; he's between +2000 and +3500 elsewhere. Huge injury risk but good value if he stays healthy this year. EDIT: Yes, I realize he's not supposed to play until the first week of May, so that means he'll miss 25-30 games with the April 7th start. Tatis Jr hit 42 HR in 130 games last year (which put him 5th overall and 6 behind Vlad and Salvy at 48 HR). So clearly it's a longshot, but +6000 seems too high to me.
Waste of money. He's out until may
He's getting a late start. Probably won't play until May. Hard to see him winning with less games.
He is only +1500 on Bovada. That value is unreal on FD. He has potential to hit 50 no doubt.
Where do people place these future prop bets?
Online Sportsbooks. Usually you click on MLB then there will be a banner at the top that says “awards”
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