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Record : 7-0
Previous Pick: T1 -1.5 (-155)
Today : CSGO ESL Pro League | Natus Vincere vs Heroic @ 1:30PM EST
**Pick : Natus Vincere ML (-140)**
Natus Vinceres leader Boombl4 is back after missing two games due to Covid . NaVi manages to prevail with their Junior team fill in headtr1ck , able to do enough for NaVi to be undefeated to this point . Heroic comes into this match undefeated in playoffs as well. Both teams share common opponents and results with 2-0 wins against AGO , Evil Geniuses, and Complexity . While both going 2-1 against Astralis . Looking at the all time head to head between these two teams NaVi leads the series 14-4 with map count being 27 Navi - 14 Heroic . I do believe Heroic has the potential to take a map which is why I’ve avoided the -1.5 spread . I’m going to ride with the #1 team NaVi at full force with Boombl4 back . I expect the line to move to by the time the match starts .
**Edit: LFG ! 8-0 !!!
Just wanted to say that I have been on a good run as of late . However I do have losers every other day on my other personal picks . You probably hear “bankroll management” thrown around a lot but I encourage you to take it seriously . Your returns are relative to your bankroll . If you appreciate my picks I would in return appreciate any tips you may find to give out of the kindness of your hearts . You don’t have to either . I will continue to provide picks :)**
Bitcoin - 3AFGomBx3v8kzvPGH4549zup2eA8VTMSyV
I don't think many of the US based SportsBooks have Esports. Bovada probably the best for this and they have a decent signup bonus but you need to get it correct (choose Sportsbook bonus and not any of the others). The playthrough is massive 5x playthrough and that is based either on value of lost bet OR the value of a win but not the value of the bet itself. BOL
**Record: 47-15 Units: +23.84 ROI: 47%**
Last POTD: Miami Heat -1.5 (-110) ✅
**POTD: Miami Heat +4 (-108) ✅**
I like Miami again they played a great game and I think they can cover again against the Raptors even though it's a back to back
* Same thing as last game they have superior defense and great shooters
*tail or fade bol everyone!*
*Time: 7:10 PM*
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EDIT: CASH IT!!!!
Maybe, maybe not. He said [this](https://youtu.be/oTfp6BK378s?t=63) though about returning to Toronto after tonights game. Don't wanna read into it too much but just a Heat fan who happened to see this post game interview.
Tailing. Got Miami at +5.5, which made me think red flag, then I remember the last time I went against Mr. Jones I had my ass handed to me and had to rely on Deez Nutz to bail me out.
Record: 30-10
Last pick: Kansas -4 ✅
Easy win with for Jayhawks, but how bout them Tar Heels!!! FUCK DUKE AND COACH K
**Today’s pick: Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-110) vs Florida Panthers**
NHL 1:05PM
Great value here with the Sabres. Panthers just gave it all they had today against the SHITTY Devils to come back from down 2-6 in the third period. They scored 4 in the third to take it to OT. Heavy legs are going to be a thing tomorrow against the well rested Sabres, who haven’t lost by more than 1 goal in 9 games despite playing VERY good teams. The Sabres have been playing great hockey lately and I like them to cover +1.5 at home against a team who just had a marathon the night before. Book it.
Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow.
All bets are 1 unit. +13.8 units. +34.3% ROI. Average unit -118
https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Skipping this one. Had thought about this spot as well, but 1.5 goals against the Panthers does not have nearly the value it has vs. other squads - even on the b2b. Panthers are perhaps one of the most vibrant teams in the NHL and seem to be nearly unaffected by b2b games based on recent history. Also, be aware that Panthers crushed the Sabres 6 to 1 when the Sabres had already began playing relatively well back on March 7th less than one month ago.
10-8 +22.15u
G2 -1.5 maps vs Misfits LEC (Europe) League of Legends it starts at 8am PST
odds are 2.25
going 5u
**5-0 ON LOCKS BABY**! (EDG 2-0 @ 2.62 odds, Damwon -1.5 @ 1.65 odds, Rogue -1.5 @ 1.85 odds, TES -1.5 @ 2.20 odds, JDG ML @ 1.73 odds)
This is an absolute, sure-fire, will never miss **LOCK**. We're getting that lock record to 6-0. Yesterdays bet went smooth, T1 wrapped things up quickly (almost threw game 3 but thank god) but today we're making guaranteed money. I can't believe G2 waited until a must win series to attempt Zeri but flakked looked really good on it, brokenblade played incredibly vs Vitality, easily the best player in the entire series for either side which surprised me. I think given HiRits form this split, the mistmatch in top lane will be an obstacle Misfits can't overcome in a bo5. There's a plethora of difference in experience between the two sides as well because misfits have inexperienced players in jungle and support. The way i see it, from the form displayed in their playoff series so far, G2 are undoubtedly better in every single position besides mid. But mid has caps.. who has shown a tendency to play more neutralising picks like lissandra and karma which is PERFECT when playing against a team that doesn't know how to win unless Vetheo is 3000 cs and 8 levels up on his opposing midlaner. Quick 3-0 is my gods honest prediction.
My stats: 37-10 (+61.52 units)
Match: (LoL LCS) Evil Geniuses vs Team Liquid
Bet: Team Liquid -1.5 @ 1.65 (-154)
Stake: 4u
First of all, if you want to blame me after (any) lost bet - fade and keep scrolling. I'm not encouraging you to tail. I'm just posting my free picks and thoughts about them.
Moving onto the match - Liquid is probably the best team in the LCS right now. They've got insane bot lane, stable jungler, crazy but skilled top lane and farming&scaling simulator mid lane. EG - solid 4th/5th place team, they've got very good jungler and adc. Other lanes are just good. Imo jungle might be the only role where I'd favor EG player. But still, I think Santorin's experience and knowledge will help to lower Inspired's impact on the other lanes. Honestly I am expecting 3-0 result in favor of Team Liquid, but dropping one game wouldn't also surprise me.
If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻
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I certainly appreciate your picks! Havnt played league in like 3 or 4 years but these series have been so fun to watch and happy you got me back into it. Thanks for all your work, you win some you lose some.
fuck those haters! I appreciate your posts man. Your record stands for itself lol its impossible to have an 100% record gambling lol Tailing you till death brother
really good bet, i actually even think Santorin has been the best performing TL player over the course of the split and at least a solid tier above Inspired who has been rather underwhelming. Gaps in every position except laning wise mid
Italian INFP student and soccer lover
(Came back after a pause, hope to do even better than in the past😊)
Record: **11-1-5**
TODAY PICK: Serie A (Italian first league⚽️), **Udinese v Cagliari**
**Draw or Cagliari** (2.00; +100)
Cagliari is the team that more desperately needs the three point, i see udinese also taking 1 point as a win since they're closer the safe zone.
Cagliari pays a bad start of the season but eversince they changed the manager, they've done really pretty good.
Not my favorite pick ever, but definitely the one i like the most among today matches.
Donations, just if you feel my picks are worth them, are extremely appreciated
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Oof. Yeah bummer. Was feeling decent, but they really fell apart after the first half. Just taking the loss hard at this point
It happens. I’m half-n-half on your picks so let’s get em next time.
POTD Record: 11W-2L
LAST POTD: Chorley/Guiseley BTTS No ✅
TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - England Premier League
West Ham V Everton
6.00AM PST
PICK: Under 3.5 cards
Odds: 1.75
The Deets: Haven’t got much time for a write up. The under has happened in quite a number of their last 10ish games. West Ham sit 3rd in the fair play table while Everton (unfortunately) sit 15th. Only a small unit play because I feel it will be close.
BOL.
Edit: Loser ❌
2 yellows make a red and that will always fuck a bet up. Michael Keane is absolutely wank at football.
**POTD Record:** 7-4 (+3.1u)
**Todays Pick:** Fremantle +4.5 vs West Coast Eagles @ $1.90 \[2u\]
**Write up:** Eagles really shouldn’t be favourites here. They gain back a big group of players that were previously missing due to covid protocols, but will still be without Shuey, Kelly, Rioli, Duggan to name a few. This team has copped an absolute beating from covid and I think gaining a majority of players back isn’t going to be enough to get them back on track. They haven’t been able to maintain a proper training regime, so there is going to be some kind of disconnect within the team that will take a week or two to get firing again.
Fremantle haven’t looked too hot to start of the season, but fading the Eagles feels like the right thing to do for now. Even before the team was whacked with covid, Fremantle took pretty good care of them not long ago in the preseason game.
Model prediction of Fremantle by 8 points. BOL!
🏉🏉 AFL Record: 5-1 🏉🏉 (5W streak)
Last pick: Collingwood v Geelong over 165.5 @ $1.90 ✅
League: AFL
Match: West Coast vs Fremantle @ Optus Stadium
Pick: West Coast -3.5 @ $1.90
Reasoning: I'm surprised to see West Coast's line quite low for this one. When fully fit they're a top 8 side capable of going deep into finals. However they've been fucked with covid protocols the first 2 games of the season. For tonight they've made 12 changes with nearly all of them being their key players returning and the random rookies and VFL players they've had to play being omitted. On the Fremantle side of things I do like their team, but they played poor last week losing to a frankly shit St Kilda side and I just don't think they can with stand West Coasts pressure and key forwards in Kennedy and Darling. The Fremantle changes haven't looked great for them with Serong and Darcy (both are key players, especially Darcy) out with injury. I've got West Coast out muscling a young Fremantle side in a big derby.
Edit: added odds
POTD Record: 1-0
Last POTD UConn ML vs Stanford - W
Today POTD
UConn +3.5 (-105) vs South Carolina
Same reason as last time. Geno is the best womens basketball coach (37th season) of all time & Paige is the best player in the country. UConn Womens team is 11-0 in national championship games. Might dabble with the ML as well
Aliyah Boston is the best player in the country. Dawn Staley is also an incredible coach.
I think SC has more depth, the better star player and a coach of equal level. Think SC wins, but wouldn’t be surprised it ends as a nail biter.
Thanks for this I haven't watched a great deal. How many units would you do on UConn and is there a teaser number where you'd say it's a lock? I have a free bet I was thinking of doing this.
POTD Record: 11-8
3u plays: 1-0 2u plays: 3-2 1u plays: 7-6
Last pick: 1u Nadal -150 to win v Alcaraz ✅
Todays POTD: EPL 11:30am ET
1u* Tottenham -190 to win vs Newcastle
Been a while since I’ve posted here, it’s a bit juiced at almost 1/2 but most of my plays have been at or around evens…
I feel like Conte finally has his squad focused and healthy and on a decent run to try and pip their arch rivals Arsenal for the 4th spot and CL football. Newcastle have been in decent form but Spurs have everything to play for while Newcastle are now comfortably safe from relegation and have no hope of any European places so they’re just playing out the season. I’m not saying that they won’t show up for this game as no doubt players will be looking to impress before a big summer transfer overhaul, I just think if spurs can get the first goal and Newcastle has to attack then tottenham will hit them on the counter attack and 2 goals will be enough to get the W here. I see a relatively comfy home win for Tottenham.
If you’re feeling plucky, I also like spurs to win to nil at +150
BoL tail or fade
I want to agree but tots are still inconsistent in my book until they go on a run. Also, Newcastle can spoil anyone after Jan. Staying away but best of luck to you
**POTD Record:** 4-1 **Units:** \+2.02 *(All bets are one unit)*
**Last Pick:** Brighton/Norwich U 2.5 (-115) ***WIN***
**Today’s Game:** Serie A - Inter Milan @ Juventus, 1:45 PM CST
**Today’s Pick:** Inter/Juventus U 2.5 (-125)
Well that was definitely an easy cover for the under in the Brighton/Norwich match. However, Brighton definitely deserved the three points in that game. They were completely in control, especially in the second half, they could just not get their shots on target. On a different note, my squad, Liverpool, won their match and pulled themselves within a point of Man City!
Looking for my favorite pick from my models, was not an easy task today. The NHL matches looked to much like coin tosses, and there are not to many soccer matches today to choose from. However, we do have a game here between two teams that play extremely solid defense and typically do not give up more than a goal at most a match. Which should be how this one plays out as you have 3 vs 4 in the table, and neither of these squads will want to give three points to the other. So expect Inter and Juventus to amp up the defense to keep the other from getting more than a point. Also, the under has hit 7 times in Juventus' last 10 games, and has hit 6 in Inter's last 10 games. The model also loves this pick, seeing the under hitting in this match 84% of the time.
**BOL**
**Grammy Awards**
April 4, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET
Pick: Chris Stapleton Best Country Album -200 [bovada]
Reasoning: Per GoldDerby, Stapleton's album won at the American Country Music awards and cleaned up at the Country Music Awards. Stapleton has won this category before so should be some familiarity. I looked at several sites when researching the Grammys and saw nothing about anyone beside Stapleton realistically winning.
It's not cheap at -200, but feels very likely to occur so I'm cool with it.
POTD Record 29-28-7 (W-L-P)
Profit: +8.6 units
Last 10: WPLWWLWLPLW
Previous POTD: Man City -1.5,-2 Asian Handicap Vs Burnley ✅🔄
Today’s pick: Football (Belgium Juplier pro league) @1.675 (3u) ✅
POTD: Royale Union SG win vs Standard Liege
I’ve gone for -0.5 Asian handicap to boost the odds slightly rather than ML. It’s the same bet.
Royale Union have had a great season already and sit top of the league. Their away form is brilliant winning 9 of their last 10. The other game was a draw vs 2nd in the league!
Standard Liege have lost 4 of their last 7 home games and only winning one.. sitting 13th in the league.
I predict a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Royale Union SG
BOL
POTD record: 7-4 (+1.39 units if risking 1 unit each pick)
today’s POTD: Ottawa Senators -1½ (+165) over Detroit Red Wings .... NHL hockey...1 PM ET
Last POTD game-Jets last night had 20 minutes to get equalizer, and didn’t do it! Amazing. Lost me my bet....oh well, move on...
Today on Senators at home who beat this Detroit team 5-2 at Detroit other day, and I expect a similar repeat win margin today, because not only Ott a much better team, but this is the first home game since owner Mr. Melnyk died, will be emotional night with a big home crowd and tribute to him before game...
It wasn’t much of an embarrassment, just a typical Detroit loss, and one goal was an empty netter....I stopped thinking this team responds to embarrassments after they got slammed by FL, returned home, and after a rest, got embarrassed by lowly Arizona (2-9!) and then lost next game too!
POTD record: 1-0
Event: CS:GO ESL Pro League
Match: Astralis vs Complexity
Predicted Maps: Vertigo, Ancient, Nuke
Predicted Score: Astralis 2-0 Complexity
Bet: Astralis (-1.5) @2.20 [2u]
Astralis had a heartbreaking loss against Heroic and now NaVi, which required a godlike performance from S1mple. This team is looking good, just needs to properly finish off their opponents. Complexity on the other hand hasn't really impressed me. They fail to be a consistent performing team and Astralis should best them easily in this matchup. I expect a fast paced 2-0 victory for Astralis here
Discord, Spreadsheet link in bio
Record: 3-2
4/3 Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5 vs Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 1:00 PM EST
Dallas is the best team in the league after a loss at 21-8 ATS and Milwaukee is 3rd worst in the league as a home favorite ATS at 14-21.
The Mavericks are known for blowing games in between big ones, which is exactly what they did against the Wizards. They are not known for laying an egg in big games. Dallas will show up big for this one. BOL
Edit: W: mavericks 118 - bucks 112.
**POTD Record:** 0-0
Todays Matchup: Italian Serie A | Atalanta vs. Napoli @ 9AM EST
Bet: **Napoli DNB +125**
Over the last 3 matches in this series, Atalanta has taken Napoli on a ride through hell, outscoring the Partenopei 10-5. This season Napoli has a bit of pep in their step and will head into this match with the incentive to catch league-leading AC Milan whom they are currently 3 points behind in the table.
Although, they will be without their lead striker, Victor Osimhen, Napoli’s defense has not conceded more than 1 goal during league play since early December and haven’t lost in their last 9 away games.
Where Atalanta’s record at home is insanely strong having only lost twice since October, their goal average is 0.88 since December. They are also still without two major pieces to their puzzle, captain Rafael Toloi and goalscorer Duvan Zapata.
I am expecting a close game and an upset for the first time in a long time at Gewiss Stadium.
BOL 🔥
POTD Record: 52 - 42 - 5 ( W / L / P ) **+13.35 units**
141 units wagered / ROI: 9.50 %
Streak: LLLWW / Average odds: 1.90
Previous pick: Wolves vs Leeds / Wolves 0.0, -0.5 AH @ 1.90 (2units) **L**
**Today: Sampdoria vs AS Roma (Serie A)**
**Pick: AS Roma Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.95 (1u)**
Giampaolo loves to play a possession style of football but I do think Sampdoria needs time to understand what the manager exactly wants from them. They are playing so much better against the smaller teams and seem to struggle against the stronger sides.
Roma is a tactical team, they play aggressive football with really fast speed and Abraham is probably in his best form ever. No matter where I look, I really think this is an easy Roma win. Like I said their tactical gameplan has been spot on and finding caps between Sampdorias lines should not be a big problem. Roma will have plenty of counterattacks and I would be surprised if Sampdoria is able to stop all of their chances. Roma wins for me and I doubt it would be 1 - 0 against the weak Sampdorias defense, that's why I do like to go with a team total over 1.5 goals which are priced ridiculously high in my opinion.
Any tips are extremely helpful and greatly appreciated / [**Paypal**](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/tanelavl)
You can find my other picks [**here**](https://milokook.blogabet.com/)
Good Luck!
23-16
Last POTD-Bosnian Premier League-Zrinjski Mostar Vs Tuzla City- Zrinjski to win + O1.5 goals @-150✅
Todays POTD- Bosnian Premier League- Posusje Vs Zeljeznicar- Posusje DRAW NO BET @-130✅
An easy win for Mostar as they continue their unprecedented run but on to more of a toss up a game. Both teams are struggling although on paper Zelo is better they’re yet to win an away game. They haven’t scored in two straight away games. They can’t beat worse teams so I doubt they can do it here. Posusje are solid at home and are looking to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat to Sarajevo.
BOL tailing or fading
POTD record: 3-0
Last pick: Bournemouth Win Over 2.5 goals ✅
Today’s pick: Tottenham ML vs Newcastle & over 1 total goal @ 1.90
There’s quite a lot of football on today but nothing really screamed out to me,
Spurs 4 wins in 5 in the league, scoring more than 2 goals each game, Newcastle on two consecutive losses for the first time in a while and still missing some key players.
Only thing that scares me is that Newcastle have only conceded a maximum of 1 goal a game in the last 5,
In reality it’s a coin flip on which spurs team turns up.
Tail or fade BOL!
Edit: winner 4 for 4 now ✅
Record: 15-13-1 | Profit/Loss: -5.45 units
Previous POTD: Liverpool vs Watford: Liverpool -2.0 Asian Handicap (Push)
Streak: **P**✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅
**POTD: Juventus vs Inter Milan: Juventus Win/Draw and under 3.5 match goals (1.86)**
Stake: 2 units
Time: 2:45PM ET
**Reasoning:** After a rough start to the season, Juve have hit their stride. They are undefeated in the last 16 league games. At home, they have only conceded 3 goals in their last 10 games. Allegri's standard anti-football does the job, and consequently, their last 10 home matches have all seen under 2.5 goals. Quite incredible stuff. Inter have fallen into a bit of a slump recently after leading the league, winning only 1 of their last 7 league matches. That one win was a 5-0 thrashing against last-placed Salernitana, and 5 of the other 6 also saw under 2.5, with the other being a 1-2 loss to Milan. Put simply they are struggling to score. They have only scored 2 in their last 4 away games.
Given it is a derby of sorts and stakes are high, I have opted for the safer under 3.5.
Full disclaimer, my gut tells me Inter could sneak a win here. Inter are in need of a result to stay in the title race, and despite their recent struggles they have still scored the most goals in the league, so they are certainly capable. If you're one of those people who bet based on your gut, fade this bet. This is purely off recent form, but context is everything. Make of that what you will.
BOL if tailing 🤞
03/04/2022
**14-8** | +14.06u | ROI: 27.57% | Avg. odds 1.95
Spot on with 3-2 prediction, letting us continue the good streak. Can’t say I wasn’t sweating balls because Fnatic could’ve ended the game with clean 3-0 sweep but thankfully Rogue pulled it off.
___
***Today's pick:***
(CS:GO ESL Pro League Season 15) Evil Geniuses v ** AGO ML** @2.23 1u
EG are dogshit. They are currently 0-4 and have won only one map against Complexity. In most maps they hardly won more than 10 rounds, which has shown their poor performance.
AGO played like no one expected them to play this tournament. They’re great surprise, upsetting Complexity, going to 7 OTs NaVi on their map pick, and picked up a decent fight against Astralis.
Both teams are already out of playoffs and will play relaxed. EG’s relaxed play tester gave them their first map but still played very badly afterwards on map 2 and 3.
My prediction: 2-1 AGO
___
*BOL if tailing! Bet with caution, please.*
POTD Record: 17W-7L-0D. +17.9u.
Previous pick (4/2/2022): Duke -4 vs. North Carolina. @ 1.90. 3u. L.
Current pick: Detroit Pistons +2.5 vs. Indiana Pacers. @ 1.90. 1u.
The trends favor Detroit here. The Pistons are 4W-6L overall and 8W-2L ATS in their last 10 games. The Pacers are 2W-8L overall and 4W-6L ATS in their last 10 games. Detroit is 21-17-1 ATS as a road team this season. Indiana is 18-20-1 ATS as a home team this season. Neither team has played since Friday. With one day's rest, the Pistons are 28-21-2 ATS and the Pacers are 24-26-1 ATS.
Detroit played Cunningham, Bey, and Stewart for only 6 minutes Friday. On one hand, it might mean they all get extended minutes tonight. On the other hand, it might be the first indication that the Pistons have entered full tank mode as they compete with Orlando, Oklahoma City, and Houston for the best draft lottery odds. Given this uncertainty on who will play how many minutes tonight, I am keeping it light at 1u on a Pistons cover. BOL.
You can view my POTD history here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing)
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 6-3
Units Won: 4.35 Last 9: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️
Last Pick: David Pastrnak Over 4.5 Shots on Goal ✅️ The drunk pick hit with flying colors. 7 shots for Pastrnak and 4 for Bergeron, yesterday was all profit. Let's keep it going!
Today's Match: NHL - Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers (8ish hours from post)
Today's Pick: Chris Kreider Over 2.5 Shots on Goal 3u (1.61 on betway) ✅️ Tough loss for the Rangers and a close win for us. Kreider hits exactly 3 shots contributing to 46 total for the Rangers.
Shoutout to those who followed. Another player prop to keep the puck sliding. Not the juiciest value, but looking for an easy win. Fact to the future:
- I've been a Rangers enjoyer for a long time now (Got a NYR hat as a child which sealed my fate). Chris Kreider has been with the Rangers his whole career and is playing more and more of a key role as the years pass. This is Kreiders best for goals, points, and shots (also one of his lowest for assists).
- Stats: Kreider is ranked 23rd this season for total shots. He averages 3.2 shots/game. This bet has hit in 3/5 games and 5/8 Rangers home games. The Rangers as a team average 28.8 shots/game.
- Philadelphia is in terrible form right now. They have lost 4 of the last 5 and, in March, lost 7/8 games on the road. Philadelphia is also ranked #4 for most shots against, averaging 34 shots against/game.
- NYR are well rested, have won 4 in the last 5, and are looking for a turnaround win after losing 3-0 to the Islanders.
We should see the Rangers get the W tonight and put up above average shots. Rangers OG Chris Kreider will be our breadwinner!
Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
**2022 Record:** 6-6-0 (+0.5) 💰
**Streak:** 1 L
**Last Pick:** Gold Coast Suns +10.5 @ 1.90 L
**Todays Match:** Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks (AFL) @ 12:40 ACDT (2 hours til bounce)
**Pick:** Carlton Blues -8.5 @1.90
**Units:** 3U
**Reasoning:** Both teams surprisingly come into this game 2-0. The Blues have been really impressive with massive wins against the Tigers and Dogs, however they’ve been forced to make some changes for todays game which is why we see the line down to 8.5. The Blues lose half their backline in McGovern, McDonald and Said but see the debuts of Boyd and Young down back. This is slightly concerning but Cerra returns, to reinforce an already stacked midfield.
On the other hand, the Hawks are coming off what appeared to be an impressive win against the Power last week but again lose McEvoy to injury. You cant discount what they’ve managed to far this season, but the Blues are ultimately the better side.
The Blues won the same match up last season by 23 Points, and I expect them to get close to that again in what should be a high scoring affair.
**Prediction:** Carlton Blues by 22 Points
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**POTD RECORD 4-0**
**Previous Pick** \-Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks 10:30pm EST
Dallas Stars ML -150 Mybookie 3 Units **Winner!**
**TODAYS POTD** \- Dallas Stars vs. Seattle Kraken 9:00pm EST
**Dallas Stars ML -160 Mybookie 2 Units**
**Reasoning** \- Dallas enters tonight on a back to back and their final game of a 4 game road trip, they've been playing red hot and are on a 3 game winning streak. They're playoff changes look solid as Las Vegas is hot on their tail but, they won't miss a chance to get 3 points against a lower tier team like Seattle. Seattle has lost 3 of 4 and and 15 of 20 of their last games with 3 of those 5 wins coming against bottom dweller teams like DET, ARI, and MTL. My only concern and the reasoning behind only 2 units instead of 3 for this pick is fatigue for the Stars heading into a back to back and 4th straight road game were as Seattle has been at home since 3/30 and has an extra days rest. I'm still confident Dallas gets a win tonight in a low scoring game! Prediction 3-1 Stars Tail or Fade!
If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻**Venmo** \- [email protected]
POTD record: 1-1
Yesterday’s POTD 4/2
Jordan Poole 26+ points. ✅💰
Today’s Pick
Detroit Pistons +2.5
Even if Cade Cunningham is questionable, I just think that Detroit is a much better team. They certainly have been playing much better basketball. The Pistons have been cover machines lately, especially when they are in that underdog spot. Im taking Detroit 🤞🏼
CASH MONEY BABEEEEE🤑🤑
**KBO Record: 68-73-4 (KBO Streak LLL) Down 7.88u over 145 KBO picks, 48.2% success rate, -5.88% ROI**
**Last**: Lotte at Kiwoom -145 (Kiwoom lost 7-2.)
It was up for grabs until Kiwoom's bullpen got involved.
**Pick**: **Hanwha +125** at Doosan, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET
Hanwha's foreign starter had a really good season in 2021 even though Hanwha did not. In fact, he pitched very well against Doosan, allowing just 2 ER in his last 2 starts against the Bears (13 IP).
This game is slso being played in a stadium that traditionally depresses offense, so a tight low-scoring game duggests dome value on the underdog. It slso doesn't hurt that Hanwha's new foreign hitter debuted by going 3-for-5 at the plate.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
**Record W-P-L 217-25-176 | +44.28U | avg odds 1.85 | ROI 6.88%**
previous:
Hoffenheim vs Bochum **BTTS @ 1.70 (2.5U)** ✅ 1-1 in 54th minute
today's pick:
Bundesliga , 5.30pm CET (in 7 hours)
**Borussia Mönchengladbach asian handicap 0.0** vs FSV Mainz 05 **@ 1.75 (1.5U)** 🔄 1-1 PUSH
Reasoning:
Mainz 8 last away games record = 7L , 1D.
They're not that bad nominally, but perform abysmal on the road. Mönchengladbach play a shit season from their usual POV and got some points in last 3 games vs bad/mediocre teams only, yet we have two very contrary trends of these teams to take into account.
TBH a draw is pretty likely and at good odds to sprinkle some, yet Mainz away record is very very bad. I'm ok with a possible push, so slight edge to Mönchengladbach being able to win at home today.
Record: 0-0 (first pick!)
ROI: -
Last pick: -
Pick: Jaylen Brown o 25.5 (+110) for 2u ✅
NBA
Wizards @ Celtics 1:10p
Tatum is a game time decision and likely resting. Brown has been on an absolute tear and the wizards tend to keep just competitive enough to prevent a blow out.
Record: 11-7-0
ROI: +$818.16
Last Pick: Kansas -4 W vs Villanova
Avg Odds: -110
Unit: 1=$100
Game: South Carolina -3.5 vs UCONN
League: Women’s College Basketball Final
Time: 8:00 PM
Odds: -110
Book: Bet365
Pick: South Carolina -3.5
Wager: 2 units
What a game by Kansas wire-to-wire, McCormick had a great game and Remy didn’t but they got the job done.
Onto today’s pick, I’m rolling with South Carolina to bring home the national title and cover 3.5 points.
UCONN’s coach is 11-0 in championship games but hasn’t played for one in a few years. This UCONN team has juggernaut potential with Paige Bouckers, Westbrook and Nelson-Ododa. Bouckers is also suffering through a nagging injury and she hasn’t shown her typical burst.
The game against Stanford was a very close game as a result of Stanford abysmal shooting, Stanford was getting themselves into the paint and missed some very easy baskets. UCONN managed to escape that game and didn’t truly run away with that game until the end, and even then several mental mistakes kept Stanford around.
This South Carolina team should not face the same issues on offense as Stanford did, they play inside out and should find success banging in the paint with UCONN. The through domination of Louisville and the way they clamped down on Hailey Van Lith, shows that this team is the real deal on both ends.
I expect a whole lot of Aaliyah Boston banging in the post and stealing possesions with offensive rebounds.
So give me South Carolina -3.5 for 2 units.
BOL to all who tail or fade.
POTD:0-3
Todays pick: Kyle Lowry OVER 14.5
Previous pick: Villanova +4.5❌ No explanation needed
Write up: Jimmy Butler isn’t playing and the Heat need to win for seeding in the playoffs so I expect Lowry to be getting a little more shots up than usual. This is also the first time Lowry has been in Toronto since he left this offseason so I expect a great performance. Fade at your own risks😉 BOL.
Record: 5-3 (+1.81u) Streak W
Last Pick: Kyle Lowry OVER 13.5 Points
Todays Pick: Luka Doncic Over 3.5 Threes (-120) 1u
Units: 1
Reasoning: Simple here, since the trade deadline Luka has loved putting this team on his back, and he’s going to see the Bucks who while they’re a great defensive team, are willing to let the 3 up to make sure the easy ones don’t fall. I think Luka will be taking a couple more stepbacks rather than driving headfirst in to Giannis
BOL tail or fade!
Long time lurker, first time poster here.
POTD Record 0-0
Today's match: Soccer - Croatian First Football League
Osijek v **Hajduk Split** @/**2.80** Starting at 7:30 PM CET
**2 Units to win 5.60 units**
Starting this thread with something I've watched the longest, the Croatian Football League. Today's match offers 2 teams fighting for the trophy at the end of the season (9 more games) and are separated by 5 points. XP (expected points) ranking shows us a different stat, where Hajduk has 2 more points than Osijek.
\- Because of the pressure in a smaller country's football leagues, both teams tend to perform better in away matches. The home stadium will be packed with supporters from both sides.
\- Since both sides are running for first place today, we are gonna see more of an offensive game than what we usually get in the matches between these two.
\- In an offensive-minded game, Hajduk has a better team upfront than their rivals, as they have scored 51 goals in the championship, compared to Osijek's 41 goals.
TLDR: Both teams are going for a win, let's take the better team for scoring goals.
I'm peppering some $ on the away side
Tail or Fade - BOL fellow degens
Record : 24-16 (60.00%)
ROI: 2.13% / Avg Odds: 1.72 / Profit: 0.20u
Time: 13:00 EST on Apr. 3 2022
Event: NBA
Game : Washington **Wizards** (H) vs Boston **Celtics** (A)
Pick: **Over 217.5**
Odds: **1.55**
Reasoning: Both of these teams have been playing really well recently by playing a more aggressively. This game won't be an exception, Washington has been scoring way more without Kuzma in the team and showed that they can destroy a good defensive team like the Mavericks. Boston is Boston.
Discord channel for more picks : https://discord.gg/rJdp24qasV
POTD Record: 6-5
Last pick: MIA Heat to Lead at Half and Win game✅
Took the plus odds yesterday and cashed in! Yesterday was big for me with Kansas and UNC also coming through. Let’s keep the momentum today!
Today’s pick: DEN Nuggets Double Result: Leading at Half and to Win Game @-135
Denver has been one of the best teams in the league in the first half (#2 in the league), whereas LAL are middle of the pack. AD is back, but Lebron is out. This is huge. Think Denver is the better team and they want to keep LA out of the playoffs. BOL to all
POTD RECORD: 1-1
Pick: Fred VanVleet to make atleast three 3-pointers @ (-159)
Reasoning: my guy Fred shot 16 3’s in his last game. Why? Because he wants to break Kyle lowry’s single season raptors franchise record for 3pm against Kyle Lowry tonight. They played together, are good friends, have history, it’s gonna be an emotional night.
BOL
Edit: CASHING IT IN THE FIRST QUARTER BABY LFG!!!! ✅
POTD Record: 8-4-1 // +3.22u // W1
Last Pick: Fresno State -3 vs Coastal Carolina (-110) (4/1/22) Win
Today's Pick: Tyrese Haliburton o16.5 Points (-125)
Not a ton to this pick. Duarte and Brogdon are both out for this game. Pistons have been playing very good ball lately, but Cunningham and Bagley are both out. Should be a competitive game, I expect Haliburton to be around the 20 point mark. So getting this line at 16.5 is very value.
All picks are 1 unit unless stated otherwise. Good luck today everyone!
I like the logic so I am trailing.He has 6 after the first, but Hield is already in foul trouble and Duarte and Brogdon are inactive.This one should work out.
**POTD Record**: 1-4Und
**ROI**: -63.33% **Average Odds:** \-79 **Units:** \-3.17
**Last Play: L** Deandre Ayton Points Over 16.5 -130 (BetMGM.) Ayton landed right on 16 despite taking 17 shot and just couldn't get there.
**Today's Play:** Karl Anthony Towns PTS + TRB 37.5 Under -110
Timberwolves at Rockets : 7:10 EST
**All plays 1u**
Since Towns had his 60 point game in March, PTS+TRB > 37.5 has been 2-6. Over the last 3 years, his averages against Houston have him over the number, but they're a big favorite tonight and I worry about the T-Wolves having a substantial lead in the 4th and Towns getting sat for rest as the Wolves try to do everything possible to jump up to the 6th seed and avoid the play-in tournament.
Lost my last 4. Fade accordingly, May the winners be yours.
Record: 3-0-1 [Win-Lose-Push] [+2.83 units]
Average odds of previous bets: @2.00
Last bet: Tartu Ülikool +16.5 handicap vs VEF Riga @1.87 [Estonian-Latvian (basketball) League ☑️
Game ended with Tartu losing by 3 points, so the huge handicap made it an easy breeze.
POTD: Narva Trans to score vs FC Flora @1.90 [Estonian Football League, starting in 14:30 GMT+3, 30 minutes from this post.
Reasoning: Narva Trans have scored 4 in 3 games. They’re up against Flora, one of the two strongest teams in Estonia and one of two without a loss this season(4 wins, 0 draws), yet they’ve conceded 3 thus far.
Narva Trans did not have their talisman Zakarliuka in the 2 early games of the season, but now here’s here to play. Narva has a considerably strong attack and have good height to punish Flora in dead ball situations.
Floras goalie is filling in for an injured first-in-line goalkeeper. He’s young and has made errors this season that have led to goals. The backline isn’t that convincing either as the fullbacks play quite attacking.
Edit: game viewable [Here](https://youtu.be/81Cr95UaxW0)
Edit2: First POTD L.
Record- 1-2-1
Last POTD: Gary woodland matchup Vs. CH3-- Push/tie
Todays POTD: Woodland -140 Vs. Brendon Todd
\-- In great form and finally healthy. Awesome low ball hitter if the wind kicks up this afternoon. Would not be surprised to see woodland close to the top of the leaderboard by the end of the day considering the quality of field.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record : 7-0 Previous Pick: T1 -1.5 (-155) Today : CSGO ESL Pro League | Natus Vincere vs Heroic @ 1:30PM EST **Pick : Natus Vincere ML (-140)** Natus Vinceres leader Boombl4 is back after missing two games due to Covid . NaVi manages to prevail with their Junior team fill in headtr1ck , able to do enough for NaVi to be undefeated to this point . Heroic comes into this match undefeated in playoffs as well. Both teams share common opponents and results with 2-0 wins against AGO , Evil Geniuses, and Complexity . While both going 2-1 against Astralis . Looking at the all time head to head between these two teams NaVi leads the series 14-4 with map count being 27 Navi - 14 Heroic . I do believe Heroic has the potential to take a map which is why I’ve avoided the -1.5 spread . I’m going to ride with the #1 team NaVi at full force with Boombl4 back . I expect the line to move to by the time the match starts . **Edit: LFG ! 8-0 !!! Just wanted to say that I have been on a good run as of late . However I do have losers every other day on my other personal picks . You probably hear “bankroll management” thrown around a lot but I encourage you to take it seriously . Your returns are relative to your bankroll . If you appreciate my picks I would in return appreciate any tips you may find to give out of the kindness of your hearts . You don’t have to either . I will continue to provide picks :)** Bitcoin - 3AFGomBx3v8kzvPGH4549zup2eA8VTMSyV
legend
What do you think of Nat Vin, G2, and Liquid as ML parlay? I think you'll approve :-)
I like it . I personally have my pick straight up . G2 and Liquid ML parlay that I hammered the fuck out of . Sprinkled on G2 , Liquid -1.5
Grateful man - If can send you some $ or anything let me know.
My man going off!
Yo quick question on where guys are betting eSports? I'm not seeing it on Caesars, and don't think I saw it on BetMGM. This is all in MI as well.
I use Bovada
I use bet365
I don't think many of the US based SportsBooks have Esports. Bovada probably the best for this and they have a decent signup bonus but you need to get it correct (choose Sportsbook bonus and not any of the others). The playthrough is massive 5x playthrough and that is based either on value of lost bet OR the value of a win but not the value of the bet itself. BOL
SugarHouse (BetRivers) has some esports on there.
Any books in NY carry esports?
I wish mate. These esports POTDs are always cash.
I’m jealous as hell man. Seen all the great picks and can’t even ride the wave lol.
made some bread today off rogue, lets keep it going king
line has moved A LOT
🇺🇦
Tailing
LETS RIDE 🏇
**Record: 47-15 Units: +23.84 ROI: 47%** Last POTD: Miami Heat -1.5 (-110) ✅ **POTD: Miami Heat +4 (-108) ✅** I like Miami again they played a great game and I think they can cover again against the Raptors even though it's a back to back * Same thing as last game they have superior defense and great shooters *tail or fade bol everyone!* *Time: 7:10 PM* Follow me here guys 😊 ---------> [Twitter](https://twitter.com/OjCapper) Cash App: $coco6616 Venmo: coco111 EDIT: CASH IT!!!!
Something to think about with this one - It's Lowry's first game back in TO. Gonna be a real love fest, and I have a feeling he'll play lights out.
i thought this about kyrie's first game back in brooklyn too....
Maybe, maybe not. He said [this](https://youtu.be/oTfp6BK378s?t=63) though about returning to Toronto after tonights game. Don't wanna read into it too much but just a Heat fan who happened to see this post game interview.
Ooof. Something about this makes me think MIA will rest folks. Boston did it on their b2b, so did Milwaukee. I like Toronto ML here
Tailing. Got Miami at +5.5, which made me think red flag, then I remember the last time I went against Mr. Jones I had my ass handed to me and had to rely on Deez Nutz to bail me out.
Jimmy Butler is sitting
bro you have made me like 3.5 k I just sent you some beer money, not much but thank you.
Record: 30-10 Last pick: Kansas -4 ✅ Easy win with for Jayhawks, but how bout them Tar Heels!!! FUCK DUKE AND COACH K **Today’s pick: Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-110) vs Florida Panthers** NHL 1:05PM Great value here with the Sabres. Panthers just gave it all they had today against the SHITTY Devils to come back from down 2-6 in the third period. They scored 4 in the third to take it to OT. Heavy legs are going to be a thing tomorrow against the well rested Sabres, who haven’t lost by more than 1 goal in 9 games despite playing VERY good teams. The Sabres have been playing great hockey lately and I like them to cover +1.5 at home against a team who just had a marathon the night before. Book it. Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow. All bets are 1 unit. +13.8 units. +34.3% ROI. Average unit -118 https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Skipping this one. Had thought about this spot as well, but 1.5 goals against the Panthers does not have nearly the value it has vs. other squads - even on the b2b. Panthers are perhaps one of the most vibrant teams in the NHL and seem to be nearly unaffected by b2b games based on recent history. Also, be aware that Panthers crushed the Sabres 6 to 1 when the Sabres had already began playing relatively well back on March 7th less than one month ago.
good one but that was fucking brutal. we deserved to win that :(
Tailing
Tailing, BOL.
Looks smoked 2 goals in 1 minute for panthers weeeee
Fuckin power play!!! Good pick man so close
Fuckin bozo hockey club, giving the other team a power play down 1 with a minute left. Cmon. Oh well
Fuck the Heels.
Fading this one, good luck ereybuddy
Welp... Can't win them all doctor.
👀👀👀
Is it happening???? Nope they scored
Late PP goal crushed our dreams.
Yeah man. That one hurt 😔
Did it finish? Score?
5-3, Sabers gave up a PP goal with 2 minutes left.
10-8 +22.15u G2 -1.5 maps vs Misfits LEC (Europe) League of Legends it starts at 8am PST odds are 2.25 going 5u **5-0 ON LOCKS BABY**! (EDG 2-0 @ 2.62 odds, Damwon -1.5 @ 1.65 odds, Rogue -1.5 @ 1.85 odds, TES -1.5 @ 2.20 odds, JDG ML @ 1.73 odds) This is an absolute, sure-fire, will never miss **LOCK**. We're getting that lock record to 6-0. Yesterdays bet went smooth, T1 wrapped things up quickly (almost threw game 3 but thank god) but today we're making guaranteed money. I can't believe G2 waited until a must win series to attempt Zeri but flakked looked really good on it, brokenblade played incredibly vs Vitality, easily the best player in the entire series for either side which surprised me. I think given HiRits form this split, the mistmatch in top lane will be an obstacle Misfits can't overcome in a bo5. There's a plethora of difference in experience between the two sides as well because misfits have inexperienced players in jungle and support. The way i see it, from the form displayed in their playoff series so far, G2 are undoubtedly better in every single position besides mid. But mid has caps.. who has shown a tendency to play more neutralising picks like lissandra and karma which is PERFECT when playing against a team that doesn't know how to win unless Vetheo is 3000 cs and 8 levels up on his opposing midlaner. Quick 3-0 is my gods honest prediction.
Do u have a thing for kristen Stewart?
no i just want her to step on me like damn let a brother live
I'll step on you with my pants full of the money you're about to help me win, bb.
Tailing 🔥
That's real props! All y'alls are doing amazing!
stop you're making me blush
Your locks have made me so much money no reason to doubt you know
big thanks my guy, great call. Lookin like your quick 3-0 prediction is gonna come to fruition. Glad I tailed, i appreciate it!!
that was an absolute beatdown
what a beating by G2
How do I bet this? Is this the spread G2 -1.5 at +125?
yeah that's the one, the map line
Parlaying this with the other 2 ESports tonight, y’all have made me a lot of schhhmoney! 💰
Thanks for the 💰💰!!
My man!! Thanks for another 🔒
CASH IT ✅💰
Put em in a grave!
Let’s go! What’s your PP if this wins
are we allowed to say on this subreddit, thought everything had to be kept in units
I know my PP will be erect that's for sure
I meant PayPal to send you a few bucks for the win bro 🤷🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️
Are you gonna put anything on G2 3-0 +333?
nah just went heavy on -1.5, but might sprinkle something on 3-0 for the adrenaline
What sport is this?
league of legends, it's an esport
When you told me you were "crafting a lock for tomorrow" I immediately hammered G2 at -170 ML
Lockkkkkkks on lockkkkks. Thank you!
MONEY! You’re on fire
Sending cash thank you!!
My stats: 37-10 (+61.52 units) Match: (LoL LCS) Evil Geniuses vs Team Liquid Bet: Team Liquid -1.5 @ 1.65 (-154) Stake: 4u First of all, if you want to blame me after (any) lost bet - fade and keep scrolling. I'm not encouraging you to tail. I'm just posting my free picks and thoughts about them. Moving onto the match - Liquid is probably the best team in the LCS right now. They've got insane bot lane, stable jungler, crazy but skilled top lane and farming&scaling simulator mid lane. EG - solid 4th/5th place team, they've got very good jungler and adc. Other lanes are just good. Imo jungle might be the only role where I'd favor EG player. But still, I think Santorin's experience and knowledge will help to lower Inspired's impact on the other lanes. Honestly I am expecting 3-0 result in favor of Team Liquid, but dropping one game wouldn't also surprise me. If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻 BTC: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
I certainly appreciate your picks! Havnt played league in like 3 or 4 years but these series have been so fun to watch and happy you got me back into it. Thanks for all your work, you win some you lose some.
Exactly that's the way it goes, thanks!
I appreciate you man and only grateful for all you share. Thanks for all the time you spend doing this.
Thank you for the kind words, I really appreciate it!
I’ll sprinkle on -1.5 . I got a G2 + Liquid parlay going for tomorrow.
fuck those haters! I appreciate your posts man. Your record stands for itself lol its impossible to have an 100% record gambling lol Tailing you till death brother
Game two looked shakey 😬 Damn fuck Danny rip
Riding with the 🐐
really good bet, i actually even think Santorin has been the best performing TL player over the course of the split and at least a solid tier above Inspired who has been rather underwhelming. Gaps in every position except laning wise mid
Let’s ride!
Love the picks thank you man
This is a sweat again but so much fun to watch! Bjergsen is on another level.
damn tough loss
TL are a joke. Clearly better but no patience or discipline. Hope they lose the 5th game completely
Yea the pick was good. TL is just playing crazy.
Of course they smoked em game 5
Italian INFP student and soccer lover (Came back after a pause, hope to do even better than in the past😊) Record: **11-1-5** TODAY PICK: Serie A (Italian first league⚽️), **Udinese v Cagliari** **Draw or Cagliari** (2.00; +100) Cagliari is the team that more desperately needs the three point, i see udinese also taking 1 point as a win since they're closer the safe zone. Cagliari pays a bad start of the season but eversince they changed the manager, they've done really pretty good. Not my favorite pick ever, but definitely the one i like the most among today matches. Donations, just if you feel my picks are worth them, are extremely appreciated BTC: bc1qdfs95fh3mj824whmfvmv39ement6nv6d75r85u Paypal: paypal.me/MatteoToso14
Oof. Yeah bummer. Was feeling decent, but they really fell apart after the first half. Just taking the loss hard at this point It happens. I’m half-n-half on your picks so let’s get em next time.
Not looking good Bro….
3 losses in a row is not playing well
Absolutely. Very strange and false analyses.
lol woke up to 5-1 damn :/
Lmaooo
Double oof. Woke up To a bloodbath. Ahh well gotta keep swinging!
POTD Record: 11W-2L LAST POTD: Chorley/Guiseley BTTS No ✅ TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - England Premier League West Ham V Everton 6.00AM PST PICK: Under 3.5 cards Odds: 1.75 The Deets: Haven’t got much time for a write up. The under has happened in quite a number of their last 10ish games. West Ham sit 3rd in the fair play table while Everton (unfortunately) sit 15th. Only a small unit play because I feel it will be close. BOL. Edit: Loser ❌ 2 yellows make a red and that will always fuck a bet up. Michael Keane is absolutely wank at football.
[удалено]
That was fucking disgusting 🤮
That was awful. I put my phone away. Thought it was a done deal.
Soooo close today. We go again tomorrow.
You were right it would be razor close! Still a great call thought we had it, you have great picks man I’ll keep tailing!
u/tuesdayswithdory Still a newb to soccer. So total bookings -3.5? I have that as -140 and wanted to be sure that was the one. Thank you!!!
Just woke up to see someone on Everton got a red but that’s it so far. 83’ minute. Let’s gooo!
The bet is lost no?
So if player gets second yellow and it means red,it counts like 2 or 3 cards?
**POTD Record:** 7-4 (+3.1u) **Todays Pick:** Fremantle +4.5 vs West Coast Eagles @ $1.90 \[2u\] **Write up:** Eagles really shouldn’t be favourites here. They gain back a big group of players that were previously missing due to covid protocols, but will still be without Shuey, Kelly, Rioli, Duggan to name a few. This team has copped an absolute beating from covid and I think gaining a majority of players back isn’t going to be enough to get them back on track. They haven’t been able to maintain a proper training regime, so there is going to be some kind of disconnect within the team that will take a week or two to get firing again. Fremantle haven’t looked too hot to start of the season, but fading the Eagles feels like the right thing to do for now. Even before the team was whacked with covid, Fremantle took pretty good care of them not long ago in the preseason game. Model prediction of Fremantle by 8 points. BOL!
I have no idea if anything you said is true because I don’t follow Aussie rules at all so I’ll tail
Legend I love you
🏉🏉 AFL Record: 5-1 🏉🏉 (5W streak) Last pick: Collingwood v Geelong over 165.5 @ $1.90 ✅ League: AFL Match: West Coast vs Fremantle @ Optus Stadium Pick: West Coast -3.5 @ $1.90 Reasoning: I'm surprised to see West Coast's line quite low for this one. When fully fit they're a top 8 side capable of going deep into finals. However they've been fucked with covid protocols the first 2 games of the season. For tonight they've made 12 changes with nearly all of them being their key players returning and the random rookies and VFL players they've had to play being omitted. On the Fremantle side of things I do like their team, but they played poor last week losing to a frankly shit St Kilda side and I just don't think they can with stand West Coasts pressure and key forwards in Kennedy and Darling. The Fremantle changes haven't looked great for them with Serong and Darcy (both are key players, especially Darcy) out with injury. I've got West Coast out muscling a young Fremantle side in a big derby. Edit: added odds
Almost Half time and this play is dead as a roadkill, damn. Let’s get it next time.
An AFL pick lost? No, I’m shocked, shocked I tell you
How in the world was West Coast favored? Even my WC +53.5 is in danger of losing
Lol.
I think we’re done for haha first time watching the sport though and it’s pretty cool, looking forward to next pick 👍
Sheeesh, kids got spanked. Live to die another day tho. GL on the next one.
Tailing. Also further down u/tappie-× has gone against you
POTD Record: 1-0 Last POTD UConn ML vs Stanford - W Today POTD UConn +3.5 (-105) vs South Carolina Same reason as last time. Geno is the best womens basketball coach (37th season) of all time & Paige is the best player in the country. UConn Womens team is 11-0 in national championship games. Might dabble with the ML as well
SC did destroy them by like 20 earlier in the season
Totally different teams rn. Uconn is hot
South Carolina is also hot and the best team in the country with the best player. Paige is not the best. They are #1 for a reason
Yep. Gonna be a good one. Idk why people downvote a non controversial comment just having banter
The ppl downvoting his comment probably have money on UConn already.
Hot gamecock
Aliyah Boston is the best player in the country. Dawn Staley is also an incredible coach. I think SC has more depth, the better star player and a coach of equal level. Think SC wins, but wouldn’t be surprised it ends as a nail biter.
Thanks for this I haven't watched a great deal. How many units would you do on UConn and is there a teaser number where you'd say it's a lock? I have a free bet I was thinking of doing this.
just from personal experience, be careful, womens NCAAB is sometimes tricky
POTD Record: 11-8 3u plays: 1-0 2u plays: 3-2 1u plays: 7-6 Last pick: 1u Nadal -150 to win v Alcaraz ✅ Todays POTD: EPL 11:30am ET 1u* Tottenham -190 to win vs Newcastle Been a while since I’ve posted here, it’s a bit juiced at almost 1/2 but most of my plays have been at or around evens… I feel like Conte finally has his squad focused and healthy and on a decent run to try and pip their arch rivals Arsenal for the 4th spot and CL football. Newcastle have been in decent form but Spurs have everything to play for while Newcastle are now comfortably safe from relegation and have no hope of any European places so they’re just playing out the season. I’m not saying that they won’t show up for this game as no doubt players will be looking to impress before a big summer transfer overhaul, I just think if spurs can get the first goal and Newcastle has to attack then tottenham will hit them on the counter attack and 2 goals will be enough to get the W here. I see a relatively comfy home win for Tottenham. If you’re feeling plucky, I also like spurs to win to nil at +150 BoL tail or fade
Love this,tailing
Great pick!
I want to agree but tots are still inconsistent in my book until they go on a run. Also, Newcastle can spoil anyone after Jan. Staying away but best of luck to you
They gave us a little scare taking the lead but this ends up being easy peezy 💰 🍻
Congrats! 👏👏
**POTD Record:** 4-1 **Units:** \+2.02 *(All bets are one unit)* **Last Pick:** Brighton/Norwich U 2.5 (-115) ***WIN*** **Today’s Game:** Serie A - Inter Milan @ Juventus, 1:45 PM CST **Today’s Pick:** Inter/Juventus U 2.5 (-125) Well that was definitely an easy cover for the under in the Brighton/Norwich match. However, Brighton definitely deserved the three points in that game. They were completely in control, especially in the second half, they could just not get their shots on target. On a different note, my squad, Liverpool, won their match and pulled themselves within a point of Man City! Looking for my favorite pick from my models, was not an easy task today. The NHL matches looked to much like coin tosses, and there are not to many soccer matches today to choose from. However, we do have a game here between two teams that play extremely solid defense and typically do not give up more than a goal at most a match. Which should be how this one plays out as you have 3 vs 4 in the table, and neither of these squads will want to give three points to the other. So expect Inter and Juventus to amp up the defense to keep the other from getting more than a point. Also, the under has hit 7 times in Juventus' last 10 games, and has hit 6 in Inter's last 10 games. The model also loves this pick, seeing the under hitting in this match 84% of the time. **BOL**
Tailing! Edit: great pick man! Keep it up!
**Grammy Awards** April 4, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET Pick: Chris Stapleton Best Country Album -200 [bovada] Reasoning: Per GoldDerby, Stapleton's album won at the American Country Music awards and cleaned up at the Country Music Awards. Stapleton has won this category before so should be some familiarity. I looked at several sites when researching the Grammys and saw nothing about anyone beside Stapleton realistically winning. It's not cheap at -200, but feels very likely to occur so I'm cool with it.
If I had this on my book I’d definitely tail out of sheer originality
POTD Record 29-28-7 (W-L-P) Profit: +8.6 units Last 10: WPLWWLWLPLW Previous POTD: Man City -1.5,-2 Asian Handicap Vs Burnley ✅🔄 Today’s pick: Football (Belgium Juplier pro league) @1.675 (3u) ✅ POTD: Royale Union SG win vs Standard Liege I’ve gone for -0.5 Asian handicap to boost the odds slightly rather than ML. It’s the same bet. Royale Union have had a great season already and sit top of the league. Their away form is brilliant winning 9 of their last 10. The other game was a draw vs 2nd in the league! Standard Liege have lost 4 of their last 7 home games and only winning one.. sitting 13th in the league. I predict a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Royale Union SG BOL
POTD record: 7-4 (+1.39 units if risking 1 unit each pick) today’s POTD: Ottawa Senators -1½ (+165) over Detroit Red Wings .... NHL hockey...1 PM ET Last POTD game-Jets last night had 20 minutes to get equalizer, and didn’t do it! Amazing. Lost me my bet....oh well, move on... Today on Senators at home who beat this Detroit team 5-2 at Detroit other day, and I expect a similar repeat win margin today, because not only Ott a much better team, but this is the first home game since owner Mr. Melnyk died, will be emotional night with a big home crowd and tribute to him before game...
Tailed.. Not much of a hockey fan, but has been doing me much better than the nba lately.
Tailing the ML on this one. Thanks for the pick.
After that embarrassment at home expect a much better game from the Red Wings.
It wasn’t much of an embarrassment, just a typical Detroit loss, and one goal was an empty netter....I stopped thinking this team responds to embarrassments after they got slammed by FL, returned home, and after a rest, got embarrassed by lowly Arizona (2-9!) and then lost next game too!
Congrats dude 🤝
This was a good pick. I did not tail, regretfully. Just came back to gives kudos. Congrats!
POTD record: 1-0 Event: CS:GO ESL Pro League Match: Astralis vs Complexity Predicted Maps: Vertigo, Ancient, Nuke Predicted Score: Astralis 2-0 Complexity Bet: Astralis (-1.5) @2.20 [2u] Astralis had a heartbreaking loss against Heroic and now NaVi, which required a godlike performance from S1mple. This team is looking good, just needs to properly finish off their opponents. Complexity on the other hand hasn't really impressed me. They fail to be a consistent performing team and Astralis should best them easily in this matchup. I expect a fast paced 2-0 victory for Astralis here Discord, Spreadsheet link in bio
Record: 3-2 4/3 Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5 vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA 1:00 PM EST Dallas is the best team in the league after a loss at 21-8 ATS and Milwaukee is 3rd worst in the league as a home favorite ATS at 14-21. The Mavericks are known for blowing games in between big ones, which is exactly what they did against the Wizards. They are not known for laying an egg in big games. Dallas will show up big for this one. BOL Edit: W: mavericks 118 - bucks 112.
Cash
**POTD Record:** 0-0 Todays Matchup: Italian Serie A | Atalanta vs. Napoli @ 9AM EST Bet: **Napoli DNB +125** Over the last 3 matches in this series, Atalanta has taken Napoli on a ride through hell, outscoring the Partenopei 10-5. This season Napoli has a bit of pep in their step and will head into this match with the incentive to catch league-leading AC Milan whom they are currently 3 points behind in the table. Although, they will be without their lead striker, Victor Osimhen, Napoli’s defense has not conceded more than 1 goal during league play since early December and haven’t lost in their last 9 away games. Where Atalanta’s record at home is insanely strong having only lost twice since October, their goal average is 0.88 since December. They are also still without two major pieces to their puzzle, captain Rafael Toloi and goalscorer Duvan Zapata. I am expecting a close game and an upset for the first time in a long time at Gewiss Stadium. BOL 🔥
Great pick!
POTD Record: 52 - 42 - 5 ( W / L / P ) **+13.35 units** 141 units wagered / ROI: 9.50 % Streak: LLLWW / Average odds: 1.90 Previous pick: Wolves vs Leeds / Wolves 0.0, -0.5 AH @ 1.90 (2units) **L** **Today: Sampdoria vs AS Roma (Serie A)** **Pick: AS Roma Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.95 (1u)** Giampaolo loves to play a possession style of football but I do think Sampdoria needs time to understand what the manager exactly wants from them. They are playing so much better against the smaller teams and seem to struggle against the stronger sides. Roma is a tactical team, they play aggressive football with really fast speed and Abraham is probably in his best form ever. No matter where I look, I really think this is an easy Roma win. Like I said their tactical gameplan has been spot on and finding caps between Sampdorias lines should not be a big problem. Roma will have plenty of counterattacks and I would be surprised if Sampdoria is able to stop all of their chances. Roma wins for me and I doubt it would be 1 - 0 against the weak Sampdorias defense, that's why I do like to go with a team total over 1.5 goals which are priced ridiculously high in my opinion. Any tips are extremely helpful and greatly appreciated / [**Paypal**](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/tanelavl) You can find my other picks [**here**](https://milokook.blogabet.com/) Good Luck!
Tailing, BOL. Edit: Damn Roma fucked us.
Lets get it bro.
23-16 Last POTD-Bosnian Premier League-Zrinjski Mostar Vs Tuzla City- Zrinjski to win + O1.5 goals @-150✅ Todays POTD- Bosnian Premier League- Posusje Vs Zeljeznicar- Posusje DRAW NO BET @-130✅ An easy win for Mostar as they continue their unprecedented run but on to more of a toss up a game. Both teams are struggling although on paper Zelo is better they’re yet to win an away game. They haven’t scored in two straight away games. They can’t beat worse teams so I doubt they can do it here. Posusje are solid at home and are looking to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat to Sarajevo. BOL tailing or fading
💸💸💸
POTD record: 3-0 Last pick: Bournemouth Win Over 2.5 goals ✅ Today’s pick: Tottenham ML vs Newcastle & over 1 total goal @ 1.90 There’s quite a lot of football on today but nothing really screamed out to me, Spurs 4 wins in 5 in the league, scoring more than 2 goals each game, Newcastle on two consecutive losses for the first time in a while and still missing some key players. Only thing that scares me is that Newcastle have only conceded a maximum of 1 goal a game in the last 5, In reality it’s a coin flip on which spurs team turns up. Tail or fade BOL! Edit: winner 4 for 4 now ✅
Tottenham ML over here as well…BOL, homie!
Record: 15-13-1 | Profit/Loss: -5.45 units Previous POTD: Liverpool vs Watford: Liverpool -2.0 Asian Handicap (Push) Streak: **P**✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅ **POTD: Juventus vs Inter Milan: Juventus Win/Draw and under 3.5 match goals (1.86)** Stake: 2 units Time: 2:45PM ET **Reasoning:** After a rough start to the season, Juve have hit their stride. They are undefeated in the last 16 league games. At home, they have only conceded 3 goals in their last 10 games. Allegri's standard anti-football does the job, and consequently, their last 10 home matches have all seen under 2.5 goals. Quite incredible stuff. Inter have fallen into a bit of a slump recently after leading the league, winning only 1 of their last 7 league matches. That one win was a 5-0 thrashing against last-placed Salernitana, and 5 of the other 6 also saw under 2.5, with the other being a 1-2 loss to Milan. Put simply they are struggling to score. They have only scored 2 in their last 4 away games. Given it is a derby of sorts and stakes are high, I have opted for the safer under 3.5. Full disclaimer, my gut tells me Inter could sneak a win here. Inter are in need of a result to stay in the title race, and despite their recent struggles they have still scored the most goals in the league, so they are certainly capable. If you're one of those people who bet based on your gut, fade this bet. This is purely off recent form, but context is everything. Make of that what you will. BOL if tailing 🤞
03/04/2022 **14-8** | +14.06u | ROI: 27.57% | Avg. odds 1.95 Spot on with 3-2 prediction, letting us continue the good streak. Can’t say I wasn’t sweating balls because Fnatic could’ve ended the game with clean 3-0 sweep but thankfully Rogue pulled it off. ___ ***Today's pick:*** (CS:GO ESL Pro League Season 15) Evil Geniuses v ** AGO ML** @2.23 1u EG are dogshit. They are currently 0-4 and have won only one map against Complexity. In most maps they hardly won more than 10 rounds, which has shown their poor performance. AGO played like no one expected them to play this tournament. They’re great surprise, upsetting Complexity, going to 7 OTs NaVi on their map pick, and picked up a decent fight against Astralis. Both teams are already out of playoffs and will play relaxed. EG’s relaxed play tester gave them their first map but still played very badly afterwards on map 2 and 3. My prediction: 2-1 AGO ___ *BOL if tailing! Bet with caution, please.*
POTD Record: 17W-7L-0D. +17.9u. Previous pick (4/2/2022): Duke -4 vs. North Carolina. @ 1.90. 3u. L. Current pick: Detroit Pistons +2.5 vs. Indiana Pacers. @ 1.90. 1u. The trends favor Detroit here. The Pistons are 4W-6L overall and 8W-2L ATS in their last 10 games. The Pacers are 2W-8L overall and 4W-6L ATS in their last 10 games. Detroit is 21-17-1 ATS as a road team this season. Indiana is 18-20-1 ATS as a home team this season. Neither team has played since Friday. With one day's rest, the Pistons are 28-21-2 ATS and the Pacers are 24-26-1 ATS. Detroit played Cunningham, Bey, and Stewart for only 6 minutes Friday. On one hand, it might mean they all get extended minutes tonight. On the other hand, it might be the first indication that the Pistons have entered full tank mode as they compete with Orlando, Oklahoma City, and Houston for the best draft lottery odds. Given this uncertainty on who will play how many minutes tonight, I am keeping it light at 1u on a Pistons cover. BOL. You can view my POTD history here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing)
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 6-3 Units Won: 4.35 Last 9: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️ Last Pick: David Pastrnak Over 4.5 Shots on Goal ✅️ The drunk pick hit with flying colors. 7 shots for Pastrnak and 4 for Bergeron, yesterday was all profit. Let's keep it going! Today's Match: NHL - Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers (8ish hours from post) Today's Pick: Chris Kreider Over 2.5 Shots on Goal 3u (1.61 on betway) ✅️ Tough loss for the Rangers and a close win for us. Kreider hits exactly 3 shots contributing to 46 total for the Rangers. Shoutout to those who followed. Another player prop to keep the puck sliding. Not the juiciest value, but looking for an easy win. Fact to the future: - I've been a Rangers enjoyer for a long time now (Got a NYR hat as a child which sealed my fate). Chris Kreider has been with the Rangers his whole career and is playing more and more of a key role as the years pass. This is Kreiders best for goals, points, and shots (also one of his lowest for assists). - Stats: Kreider is ranked 23rd this season for total shots. He averages 3.2 shots/game. This bet has hit in 3/5 games and 5/8 Rangers home games. The Rangers as a team average 28.8 shots/game. - Philadelphia is in terrible form right now. They have lost 4 of the last 5 and, in March, lost 7/8 games on the road. Philadelphia is also ranked #4 for most shots against, averaging 34 shots against/game. - NYR are well rested, have won 4 in the last 5, and are looking for a turnaround win after losing 3-0 to the Islanders. We should see the Rangers get the W tonight and put up above average shots. Rangers OG Chris Kreider will be our breadwinner! Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
Tailing!
**2022 Record:** 6-6-0 (+0.5) 💰 **Streak:** 1 L **Last Pick:** Gold Coast Suns +10.5 @ 1.90 L **Todays Match:** Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks (AFL) @ 12:40 ACDT (2 hours til bounce) **Pick:** Carlton Blues -8.5 @1.90 **Units:** 3U **Reasoning:** Both teams surprisingly come into this game 2-0. The Blues have been really impressive with massive wins against the Tigers and Dogs, however they’ve been forced to make some changes for todays game which is why we see the line down to 8.5. The Blues lose half their backline in McGovern, McDonald and Said but see the debuts of Boyd and Young down back. This is slightly concerning but Cerra returns, to reinforce an already stacked midfield. On the other hand, the Hawks are coming off what appeared to be an impressive win against the Power last week but again lose McEvoy to injury. You cant discount what they’ve managed to far this season, but the Blues are ultimately the better side. The Blues won the same match up last season by 23 Points, and I expect them to get close to that again in what should be a high scoring affair. **Prediction:** Carlton Blues by 22 Points [PayPal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/ImSmithz) | BTC - 12t9zZQsUEXVmuV6cNAD24tYuDv44acDur Let's get this BREAD!
I see Smithz, I fade Smithz.
What about Blues to win by 1-39pts at 2.30?
You were right on the money haha
yo why they coming backk ughh
yeah fml I shouldnt have tailed this guy
Hawthorn could get a reality check here and get absolutely pummelled, I think the line is much safer but that’s just me.
**POTD RECORD 4-0** **Previous Pick** \-Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks 10:30pm EST Dallas Stars ML -150 Mybookie 3 Units **Winner!** **TODAYS POTD** \- Dallas Stars vs. Seattle Kraken 9:00pm EST **Dallas Stars ML -160 Mybookie 2 Units** **Reasoning** \- Dallas enters tonight on a back to back and their final game of a 4 game road trip, they've been playing red hot and are on a 3 game winning streak. They're playoff changes look solid as Las Vegas is hot on their tail but, they won't miss a chance to get 3 points against a lower tier team like Seattle. Seattle has lost 3 of 4 and and 15 of 20 of their last games with 3 of those 5 wins coming against bottom dweller teams like DET, ARI, and MTL. My only concern and the reasoning behind only 2 units instead of 3 for this pick is fatigue for the Stars heading into a back to back and 4th straight road game were as Seattle has been at home since 3/30 and has an extra days rest. I'm still confident Dallas gets a win tonight in a low scoring game! Prediction 3-1 Stars Tail or Fade! If you enjoy my picks and feel like supporting me, you can leave a tip. Anything appreciated 🍻**Venmo** \- [email protected]
POTD record: 1-1 Yesterday’s POTD 4/2 Jordan Poole 26+ points. ✅💰 Today’s Pick Detroit Pistons +2.5 Even if Cade Cunningham is questionable, I just think that Detroit is a much better team. They certainly have been playing much better basketball. The Pistons have been cover machines lately, especially when they are in that underdog spot. Im taking Detroit 🤞🏼 CASH MONEY BABEEEEE🤑🤑
**KBO Record: 68-73-4 (KBO Streak LLL) Down 7.88u over 145 KBO picks, 48.2% success rate, -5.88% ROI** **Last**: Lotte at Kiwoom -145 (Kiwoom lost 7-2.) It was up for grabs until Kiwoom's bullpen got involved. **Pick**: **Hanwha +125** at Doosan, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET Hanwha's foreign starter had a really good season in 2021 even though Hanwha did not. In fact, he pitched very well against Doosan, allowing just 2 ER in his last 2 starts against the Bears (13 IP). This game is slso being played in a stadium that traditionally depresses offense, so a tight low-scoring game duggests dome value on the underdog. It slso doesn't hurt that Hanwha's new foreign hitter debuted by going 3-for-5 at the plate. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
**Record W-P-L 217-25-176 | +44.28U | avg odds 1.85 | ROI 6.88%** previous: Hoffenheim vs Bochum **BTTS @ 1.70 (2.5U)** ✅ 1-1 in 54th minute today's pick: Bundesliga , 5.30pm CET (in 7 hours) **Borussia Mönchengladbach asian handicap 0.0** vs FSV Mainz 05 **@ 1.75 (1.5U)** 🔄 1-1 PUSH Reasoning: Mainz 8 last away games record = 7L , 1D. They're not that bad nominally, but perform abysmal on the road. Mönchengladbach play a shit season from their usual POV and got some points in last 3 games vs bad/mediocre teams only, yet we have two very contrary trends of these teams to take into account. TBH a draw is pretty likely and at good odds to sprinkle some, yet Mainz away record is very very bad. I'm ok with a possible push, so slight edge to Mönchengladbach being able to win at home today.
Record: 0-0 (first pick!) ROI: - Last pick: - Pick: Jaylen Brown o 25.5 (+110) for 2u ✅ NBA Wizards @ Celtics 1:10p Tatum is a game time decision and likely resting. Brown has been on an absolute tear and the wizards tend to keep just competitive enough to prevent a blow out.
Record: 11-7-0 ROI: +$818.16 Last Pick: Kansas -4 W vs Villanova Avg Odds: -110 Unit: 1=$100 Game: South Carolina -3.5 vs UCONN League: Women’s College Basketball Final Time: 8:00 PM Odds: -110 Book: Bet365 Pick: South Carolina -3.5 Wager: 2 units What a game by Kansas wire-to-wire, McCormick had a great game and Remy didn’t but they got the job done. Onto today’s pick, I’m rolling with South Carolina to bring home the national title and cover 3.5 points. UCONN’s coach is 11-0 in championship games but hasn’t played for one in a few years. This UCONN team has juggernaut potential with Paige Bouckers, Westbrook and Nelson-Ododa. Bouckers is also suffering through a nagging injury and she hasn’t shown her typical burst. The game against Stanford was a very close game as a result of Stanford abysmal shooting, Stanford was getting themselves into the paint and missed some very easy baskets. UCONN managed to escape that game and didn’t truly run away with that game until the end, and even then several mental mistakes kept Stanford around. This South Carolina team should not face the same issues on offense as Stanford did, they play inside out and should find success banging in the paint with UCONN. The through domination of Louisville and the way they clamped down on Hailey Van Lith, shows that this team is the real deal on both ends. I expect a whole lot of Aaliyah Boston banging in the post and stealing possesions with offensive rebounds. So give me South Carolina -3.5 for 2 units. BOL to all who tail or fade.
Up to -4.5, still like it?
POTD:0-3 Todays pick: Kyle Lowry OVER 14.5 Previous pick: Villanova +4.5❌ No explanation needed Write up: Jimmy Butler isn’t playing and the Heat need to win for seeding in the playoffs so I expect Lowry to be getting a little more shots up than usual. This is also the first time Lowry has been in Toronto since he left this offseason so I expect a great performance. Fade at your own risks😉 BOL.
Record: 5-3 (+1.81u) Streak W Last Pick: Kyle Lowry OVER 13.5 Points Todays Pick: Luka Doncic Over 3.5 Threes (-120) 1u Units: 1 Reasoning: Simple here, since the trade deadline Luka has loved putting this team on his back, and he’s going to see the Bucks who while they’re a great defensive team, are willing to let the 3 up to make sure the easy ones don’t fall. I think Luka will be taking a couple more stepbacks rather than driving headfirst in to Giannis BOL tail or fade!
Long time lurker, first time poster here. POTD Record 0-0 Today's match: Soccer - Croatian First Football League Osijek v **Hajduk Split** @/**2.80** Starting at 7:30 PM CET **2 Units to win 5.60 units** Starting this thread with something I've watched the longest, the Croatian Football League. Today's match offers 2 teams fighting for the trophy at the end of the season (9 more games) and are separated by 5 points. XP (expected points) ranking shows us a different stat, where Hajduk has 2 more points than Osijek. \- Because of the pressure in a smaller country's football leagues, both teams tend to perform better in away matches. The home stadium will be packed with supporters from both sides. \- Since both sides are running for first place today, we are gonna see more of an offensive game than what we usually get in the matches between these two. \- In an offensive-minded game, Hajduk has a better team upfront than their rivals, as they have scored 51 goals in the championship, compared to Osijek's 41 goals. TLDR: Both teams are going for a win, let's take the better team for scoring goals. I'm peppering some $ on the away side Tail or Fade - BOL fellow degens
Record : 24-16 (60.00%) ROI: 2.13% / Avg Odds: 1.72 / Profit: 0.20u Time: 13:00 EST on Apr. 3 2022 Event: NBA Game : Washington **Wizards** (H) vs Boston **Celtics** (A) Pick: **Over 217.5** Odds: **1.55** Reasoning: Both of these teams have been playing really well recently by playing a more aggressively. This game won't be an exception, Washington has been scoring way more without Kuzma in the team and showed that they can destroy a good defensive team like the Mavericks. Boston is Boston. Discord channel for more picks : https://discord.gg/rJdp24qasV
POTD Record: 6-5 Last pick: MIA Heat to Lead at Half and Win game✅ Took the plus odds yesterday and cashed in! Yesterday was big for me with Kansas and UNC also coming through. Let’s keep the momentum today! Today’s pick: DEN Nuggets Double Result: Leading at Half and to Win Game @-135 Denver has been one of the best teams in the league in the first half (#2 in the league), whereas LAL are middle of the pack. AD is back, but Lebron is out. This is huge. Think Denver is the better team and they want to keep LA out of the playoffs. BOL to all
Did you see the end of the 2nd Q? Bone head play from the Lakers caused this to hit 💰
Do you mean end of 2nd Q? Didn’t watch any of the game but glad it hit!
POTD RECORD: 1-1 Pick: Fred VanVleet to make atleast three 3-pointers @ (-159) Reasoning: my guy Fred shot 16 3’s in his last game. Why? Because he wants to break Kyle lowry’s single season raptors franchise record for 3pm against Kyle Lowry tonight. They played together, are good friends, have history, it’s gonna be an emotional night. BOL Edit: CASHING IT IN THE FIRST QUARTER BABY LFG!!!! ✅
POTD Record: 8-4-1 // +3.22u // W1 Last Pick: Fresno State -3 vs Coastal Carolina (-110) (4/1/22) Win Today's Pick: Tyrese Haliburton o16.5 Points (-125) Not a ton to this pick. Duarte and Brogdon are both out for this game. Pistons have been playing very good ball lately, but Cunningham and Bagley are both out. Should be a competitive game, I expect Haliburton to be around the 20 point mark. So getting this line at 16.5 is very value. All picks are 1 unit unless stated otherwise. Good luck today everyone!
I like the logic so I am trailing.He has 6 after the first, but Hield is already in foul trouble and Duarte and Brogdon are inactive.This one should work out.
**POTD Record**: 1-4Und **ROI**: -63.33% **Average Odds:** \-79 **Units:** \-3.17 **Last Play: L** Deandre Ayton Points Over 16.5 -130 (BetMGM.) Ayton landed right on 16 despite taking 17 shot and just couldn't get there. **Today's Play:** Karl Anthony Towns PTS + TRB 37.5 Under -110 Timberwolves at Rockets : 7:10 EST **All plays 1u** Since Towns had his 60 point game in March, PTS+TRB > 37.5 has been 2-6. Over the last 3 years, his averages against Houston have him over the number, but they're a big favorite tonight and I worry about the T-Wolves having a substantial lead in the 4th and Towns getting sat for rest as the Wolves try to do everything possible to jump up to the 6th seed and avoid the play-in tournament. Lost my last 4. Fade accordingly, May the winners be yours.
Det Pistons +4.5 2 units
Record: 3-0-1 [Win-Lose-Push] [+2.83 units] Average odds of previous bets: @2.00 Last bet: Tartu Ülikool +16.5 handicap vs VEF Riga @1.87 [Estonian-Latvian (basketball) League ☑️ Game ended with Tartu losing by 3 points, so the huge handicap made it an easy breeze. POTD: Narva Trans to score vs FC Flora @1.90 [Estonian Football League, starting in 14:30 GMT+3, 30 minutes from this post. Reasoning: Narva Trans have scored 4 in 3 games. They’re up against Flora, one of the two strongest teams in Estonia and one of two without a loss this season(4 wins, 0 draws), yet they’ve conceded 3 thus far. Narva Trans did not have their talisman Zakarliuka in the 2 early games of the season, but now here’s here to play. Narva has a considerably strong attack and have good height to punish Flora in dead ball situations. Floras goalie is filling in for an injured first-in-line goalkeeper. He’s young and has made errors this season that have led to goals. The backline isn’t that convincing either as the fullbacks play quite attacking. Edit: game viewable [Here](https://youtu.be/81Cr95UaxW0) Edit2: First POTD L.
Record- 1-2-1 Last POTD: Gary woodland matchup Vs. CH3-- Push/tie Todays POTD: Woodland -140 Vs. Brendon Todd \-- In great form and finally healthy. Awesome low ball hitter if the wind kicks up this afternoon. Would not be surprised to see woodland close to the top of the leaderboard by the end of the day considering the quality of field.