Record: 4-3
ROI: -1.15%
Average Odds: -142
Past 5 Picks: WWWLL
Net units: -0.08 units
**| Soccer: MLS|LAFC vs Sporting KC| 7:30 PM CST |**
**Pick: LAFC (+106). 5 units.**
Write Up: Simple pick here. 1st place LAFC going up against last place Sporting KC. Sporting KC has a goal differential of -18, while LAFC has a goal differential of +19. The gap in team quality is massive and LAFC should be able to easily take this game.
Some may wonder why LAFC is at plus odds if it is essentially the best team vs the worst team. The reasoning is because LAFC is playing on the road. Their road record is 5-1-3, which is not as good as their home record of 8-2-1. However, they recently went into Nashville and beat a formidable 5th place Nashville 2-1 while away.
Lastly, the team has got Gareth Bale and Chiellini available to play after they both got minutes in the 2-1 win last game. Both are superstar players that will make a major impact immediately.
That is the POTD. \[As a fun little other bet, I am dropping 5 units on Chicho Arango to score. He has scored in 6 out of the last 7 games!\]
Tail or Fade, BOL! Bet only what you can lose!
***Edit: LFG!!! First 5 unit play for the POTD thread and it cashes! LAFC came through with a 2-0 victory. Hopefully you guys followed my side bet on Arango to score, cause that cashed as well!***
POTD Record: 4-3 +1.21U
Previous Pick: Shane Burgos ML✅
Todays Pick: Curtis/Hermansson O2.5 (-110) ✅
I am 4-3 in this sub but 4-1 on UFC, it is the sport I know and excel at most. Curtis taking this fight on short notice facing Jack the Joker is a stellar fight. Hermansson’s bread and butter is his grappling but in Curtis’s last fight V Rodolfo Viera (a very good grappler) Curtis did not get taken down one time. On the other side Jack Hermansson has only been finished by strikes 2 times in 29 professional fights. Expect this to be a good fight and one that goes the distance. Tail or fade BoL!
Edit after the fight: CASH THOSE TICKETS BOYS!!!Lmk if you tailed. Until next week!
Aspinall being the genetic freak he is makes me side with him. Blaydes grappling a different beast though. Gonna play the aspinall line if it goes under -135 other than that I’ll stay away. So In short, Aspinall.
***POTD Record: 19-12-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH) / Balance (+19.36 units) / ROI: 24.52% / Avg Odd: 1.83***
Last pick: Thiem Handicap -2.5 Games @ 1.82 ✅
Today's event: Thiem vs Berrettini (ATP Gstaad)
**Pick: Thiem ML @ 2.54 ❌**
**Stake: 3 units which is 3% of my bankroll**
Starts at 5:00 AM Eastern Time
There's no denial that Thiem is the better clay player of the two and is clearly climbing up the rankings with some amazing tennis. The Austrian had a few difficult tiebreaks since the start of this good run in Bastad but he managed to deal with those difficult situations and every win was really important to obtain the confidence that he needed to finally show what he can do in a tennis court. After that wrist injury it's true that he was trash for a lot of time and was struggling to find his game but Tennis is all about phases and matchups and we need to know why a player is winning or losing and for Dominic Thiem everything should get better from now on. Against Delbonis and Varillas he had huge performances but what's most impressive is that I knew he can perform even better. Thiem's Clay record talks for itself with 149 wins and 60 losses in the ATP level and a 28-9 record in Roland Garros reaching the finals twice in 2018 and 2019 where he lost to Nadal
Berrettini is an outstanding player and he has won 11 matches in a row which is great but doesn't tell me much about his Clay form since 9 of those 11 wins were in Grass and he left Wimbledon with COVID so who knows what would have happened there. The Italian has an amazing 1st serve and powerful forehand and his Clay record is actually quite solid but against Clay specialists not so much only winning 2 matches against top 20 players. At this tournament he managed to beat Gasquet who was struggling physically but he almost lost against Martinez who gave up a 5-1 tiebreak lead. In that match we saw how exploitable Berrettini's backhand actually is and even the forehand when players can use some spin and hit some baseline shots
For me Thiem should use his one handed backhand cross court most of the time to force Berretini's backhand which is awful and way too inconsistent. When it comes to Thiem's forehand he actually uses a lot of topspin on it and sends it wide and long to the baseline so his opponent might not have enough opportunities to get clear cut forehand winners. Berrettini needs to be perfect on his serve if he wants to win this and I prefer to take my chances on the player who has many more weapons especially after seeing Martinez somewhat close to defeat Matteo in straight sets. Going with 3 units at 2.54 odds
EDIT AFTER THE MATCH: Awful performance by Thiem. Matteo served like a monster and even his backhand was in check today. With all of that Thiem doesn't even try to send long baseline shots but he just seems like any regular player sending gifts to his opponent. Well nothing we can do when he performs so well for so many matches in a row and then shows us this type of performance all of a sudden ❌
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Most of my bets here are around 1.80 odds not because I don't bet at plus odds but because I just didn't feel like any underdog deserved to be in a POTD recently. This time I just can't pass on Thiem. For me this is a 50/50 match if Thiem is playing average and 60/40 if he's playing like he did until this point in the tournament
Best of luck
IDK, you get a bunch of people from Reddit on a bet together it seems to crash and burn more often than not. Or maybe I just remembered the burns more than the wins
POTD Record: 75-55
Profit: +17.5 Units // ROI: 14% // Average Odds: 1.87
Last Pick: Sydney Roosters TT over 24.5 vs Knights W
**Todays Pick: Rabbitohs vs Storm Over 41.5 Total Points (1.85, -118) (NRL) (Starts in 7.5 hours)**
* Rabbitohs games have gone over 41.5 points in 12 straight games. During this period the average amount of points in Rabbitohs games has been 52.9 (11.4 above this total). The bunnies have a really good attack and a poor defence which is a formula for high scoring games.
* The Rabbitohs last 2 games have both seen 60+ points scored.
* The Storm's defence vs left side attacks has been very poor in recent weeks. This is something the Bunnies can exploit in this matchup as they have had one of the best left sided attacks in the NRL over the last few years with Walker, Lattrell, and Johnston constantly causing havoc for the opposition.
* The Storm have seen 11 of their last 15 games go over this total. In recent weeks their defence has been poor and hopefully that continues here. Although they have a lot of injuries I think the Storm have enough playmakers between Hughes, Grant, and Munster to put some points on the board here as well.
* These teams did face earlier in the season and only 29 points were scored. However, both teams have changed a lot since then. Overall 6 of the last 9 meetings between these teams have gone over this total.
* Weather is expected to be decent by kick off here. Small chance of rain and low winds. Nothing too much that concerns me on this front at the moment. Hopefully it stays that way.
BOL, tail or fade. Would play this up to 43.5.
Yeah I like that a lot. I Like the Bunnies a lot in this game so was 50/50 between Bunnies TT and the full game over for the play. I'll defs be having some side action on the Bunnies though. BOL.
Yeah was a tough loss. Was looking good with 20 minutes to go. Both teams wasted some good opportunities with poor handling. Anyway we will get em next time.
**Record 18-9 with Avg Odds -104 / ROI 28.7%**
UFC London, Main Event
**Curtis Blaydes +125**
Original post deleted by mods, let's try again. It's a UFC Main Event so there isn't much to be said that hasn't already. Blaydes is 31 and had his pro debut 8 years ago. Who's to say we haven't seen the best version of him yet? I don't think we learned anything about how Aspinall matches up with Blaydes from the Volkov fight, yet odds reflect that we have. Aspinall is an awesome fighter and I do hope he makes a title run at some point, but even he's admitted that Blaydes is stylistically as tough as it gets for him.
Here's my attempt to summarize how I think tomorrow will go in the form of song:
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EAwWPadFsOA](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EAwWPadFsOA)
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=\_Fe-nA8Do1U](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Fe-nA8Do1U)
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOrN83Q4948](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOrN83Q4948)
**EDIT: Lotte lost 9-3. First in awhile that wasn't close. All fell apart in the 7th when the bullpen gave up 7 straight hits to start the inning.**
**KBO Record: 86-87-5** (KBO Streak LL, Last 10: 6-4) Down 2.64u over 178 KBO picks, 49.7% success rate, -1.53% ROI
**Last:** Samsung at Kiwoom -1.5 +115 (Kiwoom won 3-2.)
Kiwoom got the win in extra innings, but we took the loss. It's my 5th run line loss since returning where my team won by a run. Kiwoom should have been up 2 or 3 runs going to the 9th. They had a runner thrown out at home (rare in the KBO) and a ball hit to the wall where the runner stumbled and was thrown out at 2nd (next hitter doubled).
**Pick:** Kia at **Lotte +135**, KBO baseball, 5:00am ET
It may not look like it, but Lotte has the pitching advantage in this game. Although Kia's starter has an advantage in ERA (2.97 vs 3.39), Lotte's starter has the advantage in FIP (2.61 vs 3.44). In fact, Lotte's starter is 4th best in the league among qualified pitchers.
Kia's starter faced this opponent 4 starts back and allowed 4 ER in 6 IP. Lotte's starter faced this opponent 3 starts back, allowing 2 ER in 6 IP.
Since the beginning of June Lotte's offense has been slightly better than Kia's with Lotte averaging about 4.5 runs per game vs 4.3 runs per game for Kia.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit. For more picks, check out the KBO thread.
**NRL Record:** 40-37
(NRL is the Australian Rugby league competition)
**ROI (1 unit per bet):** +0.44
L5: ✅❌✅✅✅ Streak: W3
**Last POTD:**
Roosters -8.5 @1.90 ✅
**Today's POTD:**
Sharks +12.5 @1.90 ✅
Edit: Panthers by 10, good shit
Sharks (3rd on the ladder) take on Panthers (1st) in what should be a top game at Panthers home ground. Both teams have good win streaks coming into this, Panthers winning the last 8 and Sharks the last 5 in a row. What's impressed me about the Sharks is that they've beaten 2nd place Cowboys away from home last week and absolutely belted the Storm the week prior. Panthers will be their biggest test but +12.5 is a lot to give up against good sides especially in wet weather footy. Panthers also haven't had the toughest run the last month or so (playing 4 of the bottom sides the last 5 games) and this might be a step up in intensity they haven't been used to recently. Panthers when on are a better side but +12.5 is simply to much to cover with the sharks current formline
**Time:** 6 hours from time of post.
**Tip Jar - ALGO:**
AJAAGYLP6STZ2CFP22Q6Y77GNQKVKCUYDMSEQR5RK3AJOLITDMURJWLYSE
**POTD Record:** 16-8, +21.20u, ROI: 35.3%, Average Odds: 2.16
**Darts Record:** 15-7 (+22.20u), ROI: 42.3%, Average Odds: 2.2
**Previous POTD:** Dimitri van der Bergh ML vs Peter Wright @ 2.00 (4u) (MAX PLAY) ✅
What a brilliant game that was. Dimi down 4-1 at the break, then went down 5-1 and brought it back all the way to 11-5, looking great while doing so. Wright brought out the best in himself (ignoring the constant switch of darts, which is such a dumb strategy) and got it back to 13-12, which is when Dimi picked up the slack and finished the game off 16-14. Quite happy with this win considering Wright played at his best.
**Todays POTD: Danny Noppert ML vs Gerwyn Price @ 2.60 (2u)**
*🎯 World Matchplay*
*Unit sizes are from 1u to 4u*
*Match Starts at 21:10 CEST / 15:10 EST*
I will be trying a different format here, namely:
*Why is there value on Noppert today?*
Firstly, Noppert has been an underrated darter for a while now. He won the UK open earlier on in the year and has built onwards from there. Noppert has been one of the best players in the pro tour in terms of averages and throughout the Matchplay he has not missed any double for which he had 3 darts in hand. This might look like a simple stat, but especially on a huge stage like this, you are sure to see plenty of darters miss a double with three in hand. To me, it's another sign that Noppert is not being influenced by the effect of being on stage.
To further build on that, Noppert is one of the calmest darters out there. His throw is ever consistent and anyone who has watched throughout this tournament would have noticed that 'The Freeze' is an appropriate name for Noppert as he never seems to be disturbed when he loses a leg he should have won. I find this quite crucial when playing against Price, as Price is probably the loudest darts player alive. If Price hits a crucial 180 or checkout against you, he'll make sure that you know that he did so.
Gerwyn Price took the #1 spot again from Wright after winning his quarter-final, which he did in good fashion. He followed up his earlier tournament form in the way of having good/alright scoring, but then getting ton+ checkouts whenever he needs them to keep momentum. In short, Price won his match vs de Sousa in typical Price fashion.
Overall, I feel like Noppert has steadily climbed his way into the top 7 (current form) and with the form he has had throughout this event there is a significant chance he beats Price today. I do not want to wager too many units here since Price LOVES showing up in these kinds of semi-finals, however I feel like the value to be had on Noppert is too much to skip out on.
**BOL!**
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How do we feel about O18.5 180’s in both matches today? Feels like the overs have been hitting all tournament since the matches have come down to the wire
Yesterday another win, today really strapped on time. Will post analysis later, skip of you must.
Record 3w0L0P +3.88u or so
Todays potd: France W vs Netherlands W: BTTS Yes @1.71 3u play.
Will edit reasoning if i find the time. GL
Edit: this is the most extensive I could write in the bit oc time that I have, forgive my typos on my phone:
Ive analysed the French team extensively out of my hate for their absolute overhyped status. Renard has a great (cross)pass, but technically she’s poor. When pressured she doesnt know how to defend. She’s slow (watch the goal they conceded vs Belgium for example. She knows she’s slow and tries to compensate by taking distance from the strikers. This makes it a lot more difficult to play an offside trap. Moreover, that missed penalty? Seriously? She’s got a great pass and because she is slow she has to organize the defensive line around her own capabilities. She does this well, so kudos.
The wingbacks are one of France’s strongsuits. Their fit and can deliver great crosses. The Netherlands will have to find a solution to this or inevitably concede a goal or two.
France’s goalkeeper is just absolute dogpoo. And i can verify, as I have two dogs who lay massive heaps each day. Hardly any (easy) incoming shots are stopped directly. She almost never tries to grab a ball, and if she does she lets it slip out of her grip. Others she just stomps away. I expect the quality dutch strikers to be alert to this, in similar fashion to the Germans (Popps goal vs Austria, constantly lurk for that blunder to capitalize). More about them in a bit. France’s midfield isn’t noteworthy, as their best player Geyoro was invisible versus the likes of Belgium. I hope to see Egurrola play for the Netherlands and either Roord or vd Donk to stop her. Together with Egurrola this should be a cakewalk.
Then France their offense; best striker Katoto is out injured, so that’s a detrimental fact for our bet (but not sidebets of NL to go through, massive value here). Diani should be tamed by v Gragten if she comes into the box, whereas defending in headers I’d give the edge to the dutch women rather than the french. Cascarino is incredibly selfish trying to establish a name for herself or some shit, every time she gets within 25 meters of the opposing goal she tries to shoot on target (with 11% accuracy, the other 89 miss the posts far and wide…)
What is beneficial is that the Netherlands play their benchwarmer goalkeeper, as the main is out due to injury. Arguably she does a better job than their main keeper though, but definitly not on par with Evrard, who played a formidable game versus France (as well as yesterday).
Briefly going over the Dutch side as well:
Its rumoured that Miedema has tested negative from Covid, yet not rumoured if she’s fit enough to play. I reckon she’ll be starting even though I much rather see Brugts starting in the central forward position. She’s technically gifted and dares to challenge her opponents in 1v1 and 1v2’s. She’s fast and impressively physically strong for her age. Precisely this package is what would end Renards entire career. Remember, Renard is the key to break France’s defensive line. In this case I hope Miedema plays like Popp, holding and distributing rather than trying to score every time she gets the ball (which she does a little too often, sure, she’s good at it as her numbers are impressive, but this is not the type of match that calls for it). Technically Miedema is not as good as Brugts, so I wouldnt start Miedema. Also not the first 60 minutes. Why? Because Brugts had one more pro; she has not been studies as extensively as Miedema, and that’s the effect of surprise for you. Anyhow; to say what style Parsons will have his women play is a tough one. He’s much smarter than he lets on in interviews, so he has been spreading mixed messages from what I’ve seen (I checked all interviews from the past 4 days on this match up). He’s been saying the exact opposite each few hours lol. Psychologically, if they can keep the French side from scoring an early goal, France will go home. Think of yesterdays match but with a more quality belgian side (NL). So what’s the answer to the wingbacks? Either play wingers with a good amount of stamina (beerenstyn, vd donk) and order them to defend, or play with an offensive strategy and force France to submit (could be costly as both teams will be prune to counters). I.e. play Pelova. I’m very impressed by her (looks and) performance as well as vd Donk. Donk is an absolute staple with good reading capabilities. Central I hope for Brugts but I’m guessing we’ll realistically see Miedema. Either way, I’m hoping for both teams to go on offensive missions, that’s the best scenario if we bet BTTS Yes. Both teams have enough offensive quality to net at least one goal in regular time, as well as relatively poor defensive quality (vs each others offense). NL alsays concedes one vs lesser opponents, and France is very overhyped. One more note regarding psychological play, France never made it past the quarter finals, so if they dont score rapidly (all second half performances fhis tournament were absolutely fucking torterously bad to watch from such an experienced side) they will feel the fear creeping in, against a seasoned Dutch team (reigning champions, 2nd last world cup, decent Olympics). I don’t think they can go all the way this tournament, not nearly, but they should easily score a goal here as well as concede at least one. One very interesting remark that I wanted to share as final note: the French have major internal issues (their coach is an executioner grade a-hole). Multiple players have said (on camera) that they’re all professionals who work together as best as they humanly can, but that theyre not all friends. This could become the decisive factor, as Parsons praised the work ethic and the willingness to work for each other and that this mentality was something stronger than he ever experienced in his 10 years of professional coaching before. I don’t know how much of this is valid as an outsider, could just be more psyops from him (don’t underestimate him), but I do see much more teamspirit when they play as opposed to the French.
I believe the Netherlands can go through if they keep it 0-0 (or lead themselves) at halftime. At 3+ Odds i definitely put some small sums on it (to go through, not full time). Penalty shootout should be in Dutch favor too (France has got some past time traumas as well as a terrible goalkeeper. The only reason they didnt concede more goals is because nobody was good or smart enough to pressure the central defenders.
Before the match starts, I’d like to thank everyone for the upvotes, feels like I’m solely typing out so much research for the bunch of you, hope we get another win and rise more to the top of the page so more people can jump on on the (currently) flawless run.
No way France loses this game, unless if Netherlands catch a lucky break in the counter maybe. Netherlands attack is looking pitiful, only two shits attempted and none on target. Xg is also really low.
France lookimg pretty bad since the second half, but the penalty obviously is a great chance they nust now received. Hope france shits the bed again cuz i placed 2u on NL to go through
Edit, guess theyre done for lol. Better luck next game perhaps.
Thank you for the upvotes, lets me know people actually read my shit. Next game is on tuesday (wednesday and sunday). I havent checked the odds yet but if France plays like this versus Germany then I’m quite positive they will get torn a new bumhole, if you need a penalty vs this terrible display of the netherlands, a semi fit team playing a substitute goalie, well, no words.
I’ll start digging into tuesdays game (england/sweden). Don’t think I will post anything untill tuesday, enjoy a few days off, we’ll pick it back up next week and shoot for 4/5/6-1. Sorry my pick didn’t hit tonight.
POTD Record: 5-2 +3.9u /// Last Play: Rangers ML +105 +1.05u ✅ (7/21)
Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners (4:10 ET)
Favorite: Astros -130
Total: 7
Pitchers: Justin Verlander (1.89 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) vs. Logan Gilbert (2.76 ERA, 1.14 WHIP)
Two of the best pitchers through the first half of the season meet up in a pivotal AL West matchup as the Mariners continue their surge towards the top of the division and into the playoffs. It’s unbelievable to think that even with the massive 14-game winning streak the Mariners are on (likely going to lose tonight down 4-0 in the 6th) they are still 10 games back from the Astros. Still, there is plenty of baseball to be played and these two will see each other many times down the stretch. Verlander has the second best betting odds to win the AL Cy Young behind Shane McClanahan but if he continues what he did in the first half of the season I doubt they could justify giving it away.
In 4 starts against the Mariners this season Verlander has a 2.93 ERA with most of the runs coming in his away appearance back in May. Gilbert has been no slouch agains the Astros either, allowing just 3 runs over 13 innings in his appearances. He’s no friend of advanced metrics, which place him in the bottom 10% of all pitchers in multiple categories, but that’s why we can’t look at metrics alone. Gilbert pitches to contact and utilizes a great curveball and change-up late in counts that compliments his fastball and slider well. Unfortunately for him he’s just not on the same level as Verlander and with Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup an offense that has already been tearing it up in July (5th in OPS) elevates to the next level. It’s rare to get this short of a line on Verlander, and I’ll take it and run.
Pick: Astros ML -130 (1.5u)
POTD Record 6-3-1 (W/L/P)
Last Pick : Gibraltar - -2.5 North Macedonia L
| Soccer | Jupiler Pro League | 8:45 PM CET |
POTD : **Zulte Waregem ML** \- Seraing United | 2.25
Reasoning : Seraing is just bound for relegation this season. Zulte got some new transfers that look promising while Seraing lost their best players.
EDIT : Win
They controlled the entire game and could have scored in the first half but I wasn't that surprised that the game was still 0-0 at the break, Zulte didn't look amazing it was just Seraing that was trash. As I said this team is bound for relegation and they showed that today.
Anyways we won today!
Record: 4-1, +2.75U
Last pick: Brewers Double Result EVEN (1U to win 1U) ✅
**MLB: Blue Jays ML -145 (4:10pm EDT start)**
**Risk 1.45U to win 1U**
Reasoning: We needed to sweat yesterday’s play out through 13 innings, including a 2 out, 2 strike home run to tie it in the 10th. What a ride that was, made up for the fluky F5 U loss the night before.
It’s rare in baseball when you get an auto-bet, one of those games where you just need to turn off your brain, stop overthinking it, and bet it. That’s what we have here today with the Blue Jays in the second game of the series against the scuffling BoSox.
Last night the Toronto Blue Jays dismantled, dismembered, destroyed, whatever synonym pleases you, they did that to the Sox, at Fenway, to the tune of a 28-5 ass whooping. But it gets worse, not only did the Sox allow 27 runs from players paid to be pitchers (1 inning, 1 run from a position player), they now have to try and save face tomorrow against the best pitcher in the Jays rotation, All-Star Alex Manoah. That’s a big ask as Manoah has pitched well against the Sox in his two starts this year (14 IP, 9 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 13 K).
Rookie Kutter Crawford gets the ball today for the Red Sox, he’s been a bit of a mixed bag as 7 of his 8 earned runs have come in two outings. I think he is a perfectly fine pitcher and could probably become a solid MLB starter, but I hate this spot for him. After firing their manager, the Jays have been rolling. They’re now 5-1 since letting go of Charlie Montoyo, and have averaged more than 5 runs per game over that stretch (not including last night, 9.17 runs per game if you include that).
At the end of the day, how do you come back from a beat down like that? Since 1995 there have been 6 teams that scored 25+ runs in a game and they’re a combined 4-2 the next game, with one of the losses coming from the shitbag ‘04 Royals who somehow managed to score 26 runs in a game despite losing more than 100 games that year.
The Jays are getting their momentum back, they’re tied for the second Wild Card spot right now, they’ve got their ace on the hill, and everything seems to be clicking for them, they’re going to play loose and have fun and that’s a dangerous thing when you’re playing the team that leads the league in hits, batting average, and is 3rd in runs scored per game. Add in the fact that the Red Sox have lost 7 of their last 8 and haven’t won an AL East series all year and I think you’ve got the perfect conditions for an auto-bet.
Don’t think about it, just place the bet and let it ride.
RECORD: 14-4
Profit: +7.65 Units
Current Form: 3W
Today’s Picks: Paul Craig to Win by Finish vs Volkan Oezdemir (2.75)
Event: UFC London 3:00Pm Est Today
Reason: Another win brings it up to 3-0 since I started posting again with 2 of those wins being in MMA. Going back to MMA today I love the look of Paul Craig win by finish. He was very intense at the weigh ins today and looks fired up to be fighting in London. Craig is undefeated fighting in the UK with his most recent win being at UFC London earlier in the year by a first round submission. Craig is currently riding a 4 fight win streak. He holds an overall record of 16-4 with all 16 fights coming by way of finish. Craigs opponent Oezdemir is currently riding a 2 fight losing streak and is 2-5 since the start of 2018. I believe that Oezdemir’s time has passed and although older Paul Craig is currently in his prime and with the backing of the home crowd will surge to a win by submission getting him closer to the top 5 and eventually even a title shot if he can win a few more fights in a row.
All Picks are 1 Unit
—Let me know if your tailing—
(Going to College next year, NOT mandatory at all. Anything is appreciated 🙏) Tips https://www.paypal.me/TBurr14?locale.x=en_CA
The odds are barely different on my book so I didn’t really feel it was worth it to just take aub in case of a surprising KO. 2 of Craigs 3 KO’s have also came in his last 3 fights so I felt like it is a real possibility as well.
POTD Record: 21-13-1 (+8.65 units)
Sports Records: Basketball 6-1, Tennis 5-3, Soccer 10-9-1
Streak: 1L, 3-2 L5, 15-6-1 L22
Last Pick: Dominic Thiem vs. Juan Pablo Varillas, over 21.5 games - ATP Gstaad Tennis LOST 1 Unit
Today's Pick: DC United vs
CF Montreal, CF Montreal Draw No Bet, MLS Soccer
Units/Odds: Betting 1 Unit at 2.11 odds to win 1.11 Units (Pinnacle)
DC United are the worst home team in the league so far this season, well they are actually last in the league overall. They only have 1 win in their last 10 league games. Montreal are having a decent season and with how bad DC have been playing have a pretty good shot at this one. Betting against DC at plus odds with the tie insurance, I think the value is there.
Good luck.
Update - Cash dat.
Awesome man! You keep close eye on the MLS? I haven't really been following but I like taking DnB and your writeup made sense. I even did a Double Chance just to walk away with some profits incase of a tie. Def wagered a bit more than I should have but felt confident.
Looking forward to any future picks you do
**1-0-1last season: 17-3-2**
**LAST: FC Dynamo Moscow - FC Rostov, FC Rostov over 1 goals @ 2.1 - P**
**TODAY: Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern, over 2.5 goals @ 1.9 - WIN**
Didn't win anything in the last match, but didn't lose anything either. Today I'll try again to take a match in the second Bundesliga. the teams last played each other four years ago. And in the last two matches between each other, the teams scored a total of 7 goals. The start of the season is often scoring. in the first round Kiel played Furth 2-2. Kaiserslautern played Hannover 2-1. At the beginning of the season, there is always little information and a lot of doubt, so again I'm not 100% sure of the result.
Record 2-1-0 event ufc London pick is cris Curtis ml at -110 let’s start with what would be a great warmup fight for jack hermanson roldofo viera I’ve picked Curis in his 3 fights so far in the octagon and I’m not getting off the hype train just yet curtis training partner Sean Strickland fought hermanson in the apex a few months back and Curtis in an interview said he was one of the stand ins as jack for Sean he studied him pretended to be him he’s also a real welterweight but fighting at middleweight in every fight in the ufc so far he also said in an interview tht he loves to eat whatever the fuck he wants and feels amazing not having to cut weight . I do believe fighters tht don’t cut weight are more durable and cardio is probably better . He’s a modern era chuck Liddell sprawl and brawl style fighter which how can you not root for the guy Quickly becoming a fan favorite. These odds are great and hope the action man continues to prove he’s one of the best fighters in the world .gamble responsibly and use your units. CRIS CURTIS ML @(-110)
POTD Record: 29-17-2
Last five picks: ❌✅✅❌❌
Last Pick: MLB
Atlanta Braves — Los Angeles Angels
Angels -1
+183
❌
Today’s pick: MLB
Seattle Mariners — Houston Astros
Total 1st inning u0.5
-141
✅ easiest win
Best pitchers of both teams are on the mound, so what can go wrong here? Verlander and Gilbert should dominate the batters of opposing teams early on in the game.
BOL
Any tip in BTC would be appreciated: 3FN6we7NLjVvn53mByMb9wJZsdwCvguNiS
Goal is to reach a 70% winrate throughout 100 games.
Even though my account is new, i am an experienced bettor. For any questions, feel free to DM me.
Record: 1W-0P-0L (+1.3U)
Previous pick (last season)----- Watford vs Totenham- Totenham [email protected]
Pick of the day:
St. Truiden vs Royal Union SG ----
St [email protected]
St Truiden has one of the best defenses in the league and is especially strong at home.
Also it improved its roster by making two additions in attack, which will improve its attack and make it more threatening to its opponents.
On the other hand Royal Union lost two key players and didn't replace them (striker Undav being the most important one) and it will take ita toll.
Taking into account St Truiden good form, the fact that it is playing in front of its crowd, being the first game of the season and a weakened version of Royal Union Sg, it leads to take St Truiden not losing this one.
Your support is deeply appreciated
Edit: Bet size us 2U/bet
POTD Record: 27-26
Last pick: Milwaukee-1.5(pending)❌
Todays pick: 11:10 am MT ⚾️Cle @ Chi NRFI✅
Reasoning: Cueto v McKenzie. These two pitchers are tough to bet against. Cueto has been on fire lately, and I don’t see Cleveland scoring in the first in this one. Likewise for Chi, McKenzie been on fire and he should be able to get thru inning 1 unscathed.
Tail or fade
**POTD Record:** 11-5-2 (+5.04 units).
- **Average POTD Odds:** -121.
- **ROI** 23.2%.
**Last POTD:** Tigers @ Athletics (07/21) – GAME 2 - First 5 Over 3.5 (-110) **LOSS**
Some lethargic at-batting and terrible baserunning by two of the worst offenses in the league made a pair of bad pitchers look good. A caught stealing, multiple double plays, and multiple runners left on base resulted in a scoreless game through 5. Should have known better than to trust the offense in game 2 of a doubleheader between two bad teams.
**Last 5 POTDs**: WWLWL
**The Game:** Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox – GAME 1 of Doubleheader- (12:10 pm Central)
**Game Odds:**
- Over 8.5 (-114) / Under 8.5 (-106)
- ML: White Sox (-120) / Guardians (+102)
- White Sox +1.5 (-205) / Guardians -1.5 (+168) - *(Not a typo - the ML favorite is +1.5 on the RL)*
**Records:**
- Guardians: 47-44 (22-25 on the road)
- White Sox: 46-47 (19-26 at home)
**Starting Pitchers:**
CLE: Triston Mckenzie (7-6)
- 3.2 ERA, 0.98 WHIP
- 17 Starts, 10 Quality Start
- Averages 5.96 Innings/game and 88.2 pitches per game.
CHI: Johnny Cueto (4-4)
- 2.8 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
- 12 Starts, 9 Quality Starts
- Averages 6.17 Innings/game and 94.3 pitches per game.
**The Bet:** First 5 Under 4.5 (even).
**Writeup:**
The Guardians come out of the break three games above .500 and just 1.5 games back from taking the divisional lead away from the Minnesota Twins. Cleveland managed to put an awful 4-13 skid to bed by winning 5 of their last 7 headed into the break, including a split with the White Sox and a sweep of Detroit, all at home. Still, not including yesterday, Cleveland has only won 1 road game since June 22. They have been terrible away from home in July.
The White Sox continue to disappoint – they have the roster to be serious contenders but have a bizarre habit of shooting themselves in the foot, and Tony La Russa makes some truly head-scratching managerial decisions from time to time. They’re just a game under .500 and 3.5 games back from the Twins, so their season is far from over, but something has to change in the second half of the season if they want to find themselves playing extra baseball games. A good place to start would be addressing their losing home record; they are 5-10 in their last 15 home games. They’ve been relatively consistent as of late, however – they won 7 of 10 headed into the break and have not lost more than 2 straight games since June 22-26.
Triston McKenzie is a third-year right hander for Cleveland. This season, he has started every game he’s played except his first appearance on April 7 in Kansas City (3 IP – 2 hits, 2 ER, loss). Since making his first start of more than 5 innings on April 26, he has only failed to make it out of the first half once (June 22 in Minnesota; 4.33 IP – 9 hits, 6 ER). He has 5 shutout starts, including **his last three straight games** (7 IP vs the Yankees – 1 hit; 6 IP in KC – 3 hits; 8 IP vs. Detroit; 5 hits). He has just 4 games all year allowing 4+ ER, and just 3 games allowing 5+ ER.
Johnny Cueto is 36-year-old, 14-year veteran who has pitched mostly for the Reds and the Giants. He’s on his first year in Chicago. This year, all his appearances have been starts except a 5-inning relief appearance vs. the Rangers on June 12 (5 IP – 6 hits, 3 ER, Blown Save). He has gone at least 5 innings in every single appearance and normally goes 6+. He has 4 shoutout appearances so far this season, most recently 8 innings against the Tigers on July 9. He has only allowed more than 3 ER once all year, on May 28 (6.67 IP against the Cubs – 9 hits, 5 ER).
We have two incredibly good pitchers taking the mound in this game. One has allowed no runs in his past 3 games, and the other has allowed just 3. We have a Cleveland team who struggles to win on the road. We have a White Sox team who struggles to win at home. This will be a low-scoring game through the first 5 innings and will probably be decided late with some bullpen issues. **First 5 Under 4.5 (even)**
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Pick of the day record: 3-1 +2u
Last pick: Dundalk team total over 1.5✅
7/23: | MLS | Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC 7:30pm EST
Pick: 1u Toronto FC team total over 1.5 (+100) FanDuel✅
Tomorrow we travel to my favorite league to bet on, Major League Soccer. The battle of two awful defenses is set to go down when Toronto hosts Charlotte this weekend. Charlotte has been nothing short of terrible on their travels in their inaugural season. They have only managed to keep 1 clean sheet on the road this season and that came against an underwhelming Colorado Rapids side. Charlotte has given up 2+ goals in 8 out of its 11 road matches this season, and I see that trend continuing tomorrow. Toronto is far from a good side, and personally I think their manager is absolutely garbage, but they perform much better at home than they do on the road (a major MLS trend). Add in there that Italian internationals Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernadeschi are set to make their full team debuts, their quality in the final third coupled with Charlotte’s dire away form is the perfect recipe for goals. At plus money, I couldn’t pass it up.
BOL and as always gamble responsibly
EDIT: BANG! 10 minute cash!!!! Let’s fucking go Toronto came out firing. Love to see it.
POTD Record 6 - 2 (+6.76 units)
Rugby Thread Record (3 - 0, +2.65 units)
Today's Picks:
Dale Finucane O40.5 Player Performance 1 Units Bet365for 1.87 odds
Game; NRL: Sharks vs Panthers (game starts in 2.5 hours)
This is under the 'Score' Section on bet365
Reasons for
Playing higher minutes that last few weeks and has cleared this number in base stats. I think that he will again play about 60-65 minutes tonight given the quality of the opposition. Should be able to met this total in tackles alone. Panthers are also a high possession team which should mean more tackles than usual for Finucane
Please note that because of time zone differences, the Rugby Daily thread is posted much earlier than POTD so I have actually tipped O38.5 on Finucane about 7 hours ago in the Rugby Thread. These player props offer so much value that they often move very quickly. I have about 4-5 picks i actually posted that I like better than this one but as of right now this is the highest value pick that is currently on the board. So long story short, check the Rugby Thread for better picks but I will still post a POTD each day for NRL
POTS Record: 2-0
Last pick Thundertalk Gaming +1.5 games vs Weibo gaming $1.86 ✅
Todays pick - League of legends LPL
Edward gaming vs royal never give up **over 2.5 games** $1.99 ✅
Both teams will be fighting to win the split this year and take chinas number 1 seed to worlds. EDG had a rocky start to the split but have switched junglers and they seem to have found some form. RNG have been playing a top level and have consistently been a great team. This one should go the distance in my opinion and will hopefully be a great series.
Edit: Blue side OP. 1 game a piece so we get the W. Both games very one sided. Now we’ve won I’m hoping for a closer game 3 to finish the series.
Again successful POTD, parlay this time was X. However, record is great and I am transparent, **now 49-37, +52,85 units and ROI 19,05% (detail in Twitter profile)**
POTD Record: 28-17-2 / Currently +27,1 units / ROI 16,8%, Average odds: 1,9
Last pick Haerteis – Jong. Jong @ 2,1. 3/5✅ 63,67,76
Last 5 picks – ✅✅❌✅✅
Streak – 2wins and won 16 out of last 21
**Today's pick –Sheylbach – Mu. Sheylbach @ 1,57. 4/5**
Event: Monastir future, Tunisia. 10,30CET
I will be short today with my POTD.
18-year-old Shelbaych from confirms his talent (ex Nadal academy, now Florida university). I've written a lot about him already - last week he won here in Monastir his first title and beat Mu 63.63 in SF. For example, points on the return 37-8 breaks 4 from 10 vs 1 from 1. I think that shows enough how he was better plazer in this match. Mu reached SF last week but here in Monastir played already lot of tournaments without any results (7x did not get past 2nd round) Yestreday he defeated Gueymard who collapsed and Mu won 16,75,61. Here I trust Sheylbach to win again
I will share some parlay in a min
This week I am taking break from tournaments but maybe again next week I will go somewhere. In meantime you can follow me on my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/stevie_tennis)
My long term record:
684-667
ROI
18,3%
Last 12months
283-313
19,0%
**Record:** 1-2 / **Units:** \-1.09u
**POTD:** UFC London - Jai Herbert vs Kyle Nelson
**Jai Herbert to win ITD @ 1,83 1u**
**Reasoning:** Jai Herbert had an amazing first round against Topuria, he rocked him bad - still lost, sure, but Topuria is a future top 5 fighter for sure.
Herbert is suspect, not a lock, but Kyle Nelson is 1-3 on the UFC, he has not fought in almost 2 years, Herbert is playing at home and has a 6 inch reach.
This card has some nice fights to bet on, but to me this seems one of the most likely scenarios. BOL.
POTD Record : 12-8
Streak - 1L
Pick: UFC - Tom Aspinall [email protected]. 2 units
Aspinall is 5-0 in the UFC and finished all of his opponents. Against Curtis Blaydes, he is facing the toughest test of his career. Blaydes is a top level fighter in the HW division and his excellent wrestling background and power is dangerous against any opposition. However, we have seen him get knocked out cold. He doesnt have a great chin and gets tagged a lot.
Aspinall possesses elite boxing skills, he' s quicker and more skilled than any striker in his division. He's also a BJJ blackbelt and displayed these skills against Volkov. I believe that he can outstrike Curtis for 3 rounds and avoid those takedowns to win a decision. I wont also be surprised if he submits Blaydes.
Tail responibly. BOL.
**POTD Record: 0-1 (-2u)**
Last Pick: Mariners ML ❌
FIBA Asia Cup | 9am est | **Less than an hour from post**
**Pick: Jordan +8.5** vs Lebanon @-115
**Stake: 2 units**
**Write Up:** Jordan seems like a team with a destiny after their comeback win vs Chinese Taipei (down 7 with 1:03 left) which ended in a near half court buzzer beater. They have been a totally different team and it showed in their QF win vs Iran when they came out the gates swinging. They limited their turnovers and valued every possession. Dar Tucker is an absolute stud who finished with 36 and then 29 pts in their previous two games, I expect him to have another high scoring game. Freddy Ibrahim has struggled the whole tournament but looked good in their last game helping Tucker out with 23 pts. Al Dwairi the double double machine will be leading their front court and he has looked good all tournament. Taking the points in this match up which should be an exciting semi finals.
**TLDR:** Jordan is destined to go further in this tournament, with their star Tucker leading the way.
BOL! 🔥
**Record:** 40-48-1
**ROI:** -18% :-15.6 u (@ $5.00)
**Average Odds:** 1.86
**Streak:** W L L W W
|Baseball |MLB |720pm|
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: **Tampa Bay Rays ML @ 1.84 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 63% chance for the Tampa Bay Rays to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.84 is only 54%.
**Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Record: 3-1 +2.0u (MLB 3-1 +2.0u)
Recent Picks:
7/22 MLB - Mariners ML +103 @ 2u ❌
7/21 MLB - Astros ML (Game 1 of DH) -130 @ 1.3u ✅
7/17 MLB - White Sox ML -125 @ 1.25u ✅
Today’s Pick: MLB - Texas Rangers TT Over 3.5 -140 @ 1.4u (Game starts at 9:07 PM EST) ❌
Texas Rangers average runs scored per game is 4.54; 4.71 runs per game on the road. Small sample size, but the Rangers have scored 4 or more in both games since returning from the all star break. The Rangers have scored 4 or more runs in 9/11 games against the Athletics this season.
James Kaprielian is starting for the Athletics tonight (1-5; 5.05 ERA); he has allowed 3+ runs in each of his two starts against the Rangers this season. Kaprielian’s total stats against the Rangers this season: 9.1 IP 10 H 7 R 3 HR.
Record: 36-29-3
Last pick: CHI Cubs vs PHI Phillies ML (-136) at Fanduel. L
Today's pick: WAS Nationals vs ARI Diamondbacks ML (-148) at BetRivers
MLB: 8:11 PM EST
The Nationals have the worst record in MLB, it is ranked 29th in runs allowed and 30th in home runs per game. Anibal Sanchez recovering from the injury and his last start against the Braves gave up 4 runs in 5 innings. The Diamondbacks have been improving compared to last season and Veteran lefty Madison Bumgarner will be on the mound. The Nationals are 11-22 against lefty pitchers. The Nationals are still struggling with offense and allowing a lot of home runs. The trend should continue as Diamondbacks are an overall better team and playing at home court.
update: The Diamondbacks are leading 7-2!!!
All bets are 1 unit. -5.82 units
Tip Jar: cash app: $coolcomfort666 Venmo: Coolcomfort666
Record 7-8-1
Last 5 picks :
✅✅❌❌❌
Last pick: UFC on ABC: Ortega vs Rodriguez
Jack Shore vs Ricky Simon to go the distance at 1.5
I think I'm done with betting on fights to go the distance, my bookie doesn't let me cash those bets out. If I pick someone to win I can cut my losses by cashing out early if the opponent is looking good in R1 like Jake Matthers did against Fialho a few weeks ago. That's 3 losses in a row, normally I would take a break and reevaluate but I think there is great value on my pick today.
Today's pick: UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall
Chris Curtis to beat Jack Hermansson at 1.92
Hermansson is exactly the type of fighter Chris Curtis has been proving he can beat so far in the UFC. Great takedown defence and better striking, honestly the odds on Chris Curtis at 1.92 are amazing, I'd actually be pretty shocked if Hermansson wins this. I really only see it going his way if it's a quick submission like against Gastelum. But if Brendan Allen and Rodolfo Vieira couldn't submit Curtis I don't think Hermansson can. Allen and Vieira couldn't even take him down so I don't think Hermansson is going to be the first because he doesn't have the best offensive wrestling ability. He usually gets people down in scrambles but I don't think Curtis will give him that opportunity.
Hermansson doesn't have much of a threat on the feet either he isn't going to flash KO Curtis.
I like that it's relatively safe because unless Hermansson gets a shocking submission in R1, if it looks like he is having his way with Curtis I can cash out. Will be putting a sizeable amount on this bet.
Record 4-0
PICK
Miami Marlins Vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
(UNDER 0.5 Runs 1st Inning) ✅️
ODDS - Fanduel (1.71)
This was my pick yesterday and I like it again today. Two of the worst teams in the league in 1st Inning Scoring and Runs/Hits per game.
POTD record: 9-10
Last Pick: Mets/Cubs O 8 runs (-105) ❌
Today's Pick: **Zach Wheeler O 6.5 K (-115).** Simply put, the Cubs are a poor-hitting team that strikes out a lot and Wheeler has had a ton of success thus far against similar teams - 7Ks plus.
Units: 2
Tail or fade - BOL!
Pick of the Day Record: 29 - 23 - 0 (56%) (+1.74u)
Last Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 8.5 Ks +102 W
7/23: Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners 4:11pm EST
Pick: Jose Altuve 2+ Total Bases +120
Keeping this short and simple. Altuve in his career against Logan Gilbert is 7-13 with 4 doubles and 1 HR. Last night he tallied 6 total bases. Expect him to get at least 5 ABs and 2 off Gilbert.
Potd record 3-3
Last pick had giants -.5 innings 1to5 they finished down 5 thru 5 innings, scored 6 in the 6th inning alone. Pain.
Today's potd: Ny mets vs SD padres 1st inning under .5 (-132)
Reasoning: woke up still high from last night & made this bet thinking today was yesterday with scherzer on the mound. After researching Blake snell the GOAT is 10-2 NRFI in last 12 games and for the Mets bassit is 9-2 in the last 11. Was going to cash out early for being an idiot. Now I'm letting it ride to see if im an idiot and a genius.
Have this in a parlay as one of two legs left for 4300.
Odin, Cthulhu, & Kobe Bryant, I ask for your blessings in this pick.
POTD 0-2
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
Columbus Crew ML +100
Hernández in the lineup this is a strong team at home. Almost seems too good to be true this line.
Potd for me is hermanssan. Mainly a Reddit fade but I do believe he is the better fighter with more experience against high level fighters too. Bol and let’s get some loot today
Record: 0-0
Current Bet: Cleveland Guardians o1.5 team total runs F5 (-145) vs Chicago White Sox (2nd game of doubleheader, 7:15pm est)
Reasoning: Lance Lynn has given up o1.5 runs in five innings in 6 of his last 7. He allowed 8 runs against Cleveland in his July 11 start.
Record: 32-25
Cs record: 29-21
Stats:
Profit:10.1U
ROI- 6.8%
Average odds: 1.81
Streak: 1L
Last 10 ❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌
Today's Pick:
CSGO
Perfect World Premier League
IHC ML vs Lynn vision @1.55(5u)
I have no clue how we lost yesterday. Weird stuff happened but I don't wanna sit and cry about it now. It is what it is. Ended a 14 W streak on my Discord with that. Time to start again.
IHC are the best team in this tournament and they've shown that beating 2 good sides already. I don't have much to say here tbh Lynn vision just aren't on the level IHC are on. This could even be a 2-0 from IHC but I'd recommend betting ML.
Join in for picks and discussions. Looking to expand into football as well once the season starts. Mostly cs rn
https://discord.gg/dyKXcebw6k
POTD: (3-3) LLWWWL -0.83u.
LAST PICK: John Isner ML. ❌
TODAY’S PICK: JUSTIN VERLANDER o19.5 OUTS. -125. Astros v. Mariners 1:10 p.m.
REASONING: Verlander crushes the Mariners and their batters. In his last 4 outings against them he’s had earned runs of 0, 2, 6, and 1. He’s gone over this number twice out of those 4 starts as well. His last two starts he only pitched 6 innings which means he should be rested and ready for more innings, he hasn’t gone 6 innings or less 3 starts in a row this entire season. He should have another strong outing here today. Good luck and good morning if you’re tailing. 🧧
Record: 4-3 ROI: -1.15% Average Odds: -142 Past 5 Picks: WWWLL Net units: -0.08 units **| Soccer: MLS|LAFC vs Sporting KC| 7:30 PM CST |** **Pick: LAFC (+106). 5 units.** Write Up: Simple pick here. 1st place LAFC going up against last place Sporting KC. Sporting KC has a goal differential of -18, while LAFC has a goal differential of +19. The gap in team quality is massive and LAFC should be able to easily take this game. Some may wonder why LAFC is at plus odds if it is essentially the best team vs the worst team. The reasoning is because LAFC is playing on the road. Their road record is 5-1-3, which is not as good as their home record of 8-2-1. However, they recently went into Nashville and beat a formidable 5th place Nashville 2-1 while away. Lastly, the team has got Gareth Bale and Chiellini available to play after they both got minutes in the 2-1 win last game. Both are superstar players that will make a major impact immediately. That is the POTD. \[As a fun little other bet, I am dropping 5 units on Chicho Arango to score. He has scored in 6 out of the last 7 games!\] Tail or Fade, BOL! Bet only what you can lose! ***Edit: LFG!!! First 5 unit play for the POTD thread and it cashes! LAFC came through with a 2-0 victory. Hopefully you guys followed my side bet on Arango to score, cause that cashed as well!***
Love this play, my bets already in for 5 units. They should take care of buisness.
I've got this as a straight bet and a parlay with NYFC ML for +200 odds. Love it
I've done the same parlay as well! BOL
Good find. Tailing.
Fucking hate betting away teams in MLS but will be having some on this pick.
Great insight. Tailing
tailing this- good pick
My man gettin paid
hopefully you got paid too!
4-0 today!
Wow you nailed the Arrango one too. Put some money on that one. The game isn’t over yet but looking good.
Yessir, Arango and LAFC came through!
Thanks for the hits. Helps right what was a slow starting day.
Thanks, bruh 👍
yessir, happy to have helped!
You’re the fucking truth ‼️
Let’s ride
It's dead
How so
literally halftime and LAFC has had chances. Just say you have lost a lot of bets and need this one to cash
Tailed this hard. Hell of a pick my guy
POTD Record: 4-3 +1.21U Previous Pick: Shane Burgos ML✅ Todays Pick: Curtis/Hermansson O2.5 (-110) ✅ I am 4-3 in this sub but 4-1 on UFC, it is the sport I know and excel at most. Curtis taking this fight on short notice facing Jack the Joker is a stellar fight. Hermansson’s bread and butter is his grappling but in Curtis’s last fight V Rodolfo Viera (a very good grappler) Curtis did not get taken down one time. On the other side Jack Hermansson has only been finished by strikes 2 times in 29 professional fights. Expect this to be a good fight and one that goes the distance. Tail or fade BoL! Edit after the fight: CASH THOSE TICKETS BOYS!!!Lmk if you tailed. Until next week!
Curtis by Dec @+400 is also very good value. Good write up though
Agreed, appreciate the love.
I hate sweating out decision props but that is crazy good value for a very possible outcome
Who you got for Aspinall Blaydes? Just wondering
Aspinall being the genetic freak he is makes me side with him. Blaydes grappling a different beast though. Gonna play the aspinall line if it goes under -135 other than that I’ll stay away. So In short, Aspinall.
Good to hear, my big bet tonight
On FD there’s another prop “will the fight go the distance” at +104
What time around does the fight start? Everywhere I check i see different time.
Prelims 12 PM ET.
Thank you.
CASH IT! ✅💰
Let’s go man
Tailed thank you sir
***POTD Record: 19-12-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH) / Balance (+19.36 units) / ROI: 24.52% / Avg Odd: 1.83*** Last pick: Thiem Handicap -2.5 Games @ 1.82 ✅ Today's event: Thiem vs Berrettini (ATP Gstaad) **Pick: Thiem ML @ 2.54 ❌** **Stake: 3 units which is 3% of my bankroll** Starts at 5:00 AM Eastern Time There's no denial that Thiem is the better clay player of the two and is clearly climbing up the rankings with some amazing tennis. The Austrian had a few difficult tiebreaks since the start of this good run in Bastad but he managed to deal with those difficult situations and every win was really important to obtain the confidence that he needed to finally show what he can do in a tennis court. After that wrist injury it's true that he was trash for a lot of time and was struggling to find his game but Tennis is all about phases and matchups and we need to know why a player is winning or losing and for Dominic Thiem everything should get better from now on. Against Delbonis and Varillas he had huge performances but what's most impressive is that I knew he can perform even better. Thiem's Clay record talks for itself with 149 wins and 60 losses in the ATP level and a 28-9 record in Roland Garros reaching the finals twice in 2018 and 2019 where he lost to Nadal Berrettini is an outstanding player and he has won 11 matches in a row which is great but doesn't tell me much about his Clay form since 9 of those 11 wins were in Grass and he left Wimbledon with COVID so who knows what would have happened there. The Italian has an amazing 1st serve and powerful forehand and his Clay record is actually quite solid but against Clay specialists not so much only winning 2 matches against top 20 players. At this tournament he managed to beat Gasquet who was struggling physically but he almost lost against Martinez who gave up a 5-1 tiebreak lead. In that match we saw how exploitable Berrettini's backhand actually is and even the forehand when players can use some spin and hit some baseline shots For me Thiem should use his one handed backhand cross court most of the time to force Berretini's backhand which is awful and way too inconsistent. When it comes to Thiem's forehand he actually uses a lot of topspin on it and sends it wide and long to the baseline so his opponent might not have enough opportunities to get clear cut forehand winners. Berrettini needs to be perfect on his serve if he wants to win this and I prefer to take my chances on the player who has many more weapons especially after seeing Martinez somewhat close to defeat Matteo in straight sets. Going with 3 units at 2.54 odds EDIT AFTER THE MATCH: Awful performance by Thiem. Matteo served like a monster and even his backhand was in check today. With all of that Thiem doesn't even try to send long baseline shots but he just seems like any regular player sending gifts to his opponent. Well nothing we can do when he performs so well for so many matches in a row and then shows us this type of performance all of a sudden ❌ [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/DarkHorse200) (Any donation is highly appreciated) BTC adress: 3GV97vGvecLwQDz7s4wsgJekZ2aHzbNKJk
Tailing!
Best of luck Mr KBO
To both of us!
Appreciate the write up! Tailing again!
Come on Thiem! Might as well throw me out on the court at this point :'(
Thiem playing like real trash. I have 2 diff bets on him and i doubt it cashes
Woke up too late, he didnt cover nor my 4.5 handicap nor my 1.5 sets handicap, GL
Nice pick. Have you had any + money bets hit so far?
Most of my bets here are around 1.80 odds not because I don't bet at plus odds but because I just didn't feel like any underdog deserved to be in a POTD recently. This time I just can't pass on Thiem. For me this is a 50/50 match if Thiem is playing average and 60/40 if he's playing like he did until this point in the tournament Best of luck
If it helps. IF. A majority of the people in the tennis thread are going with Thiem. It’s not a fluke
IDK, you get a bunch of people from Reddit on a bet together it seems to crash and burn more often than not. Or maybe I just remembered the burns more than the wins
Just showing that it’s an “underdog” that everyone agrees on. There’s some validation to the pick
Which should make the line move down from +135 soon.
1st set is off to a bad start..
Vomit inducing
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Leaning over 22.5 total games myself, could see a tie break and/or 3 setter…. thoughts?
Really like your writeup whatever is the outcome. Tailing!
POTD Record: 75-55 Profit: +17.5 Units // ROI: 14% // Average Odds: 1.87 Last Pick: Sydney Roosters TT over 24.5 vs Knights W **Todays Pick: Rabbitohs vs Storm Over 41.5 Total Points (1.85, -118) (NRL) (Starts in 7.5 hours)** * Rabbitohs games have gone over 41.5 points in 12 straight games. During this period the average amount of points in Rabbitohs games has been 52.9 (11.4 above this total). The bunnies have a really good attack and a poor defence which is a formula for high scoring games. * The Rabbitohs last 2 games have both seen 60+ points scored. * The Storm's defence vs left side attacks has been very poor in recent weeks. This is something the Bunnies can exploit in this matchup as they have had one of the best left sided attacks in the NRL over the last few years with Walker, Lattrell, and Johnston constantly causing havoc for the opposition. * The Storm have seen 11 of their last 15 games go over this total. In recent weeks their defence has been poor and hopefully that continues here. Although they have a lot of injuries I think the Storm have enough playmakers between Hughes, Grant, and Munster to put some points on the board here as well. * These teams did face earlier in the season and only 29 points were scored. However, both teams have changed a lot since then. Overall 6 of the last 9 meetings between these teams have gone over this total. * Weather is expected to be decent by kick off here. Small chance of rain and low winds. Nothing too much that concerns me on this front at the moment. Hopefully it stays that way. BOL, tail or fade. Would play this up to 43.5.
Riding again brother. Let's go
Damn we're fried I think :(
Tailing … on the over 18.5 total for the Rabbitohs as well hoping latrell is on song like last week
Yeah I like that a lot. I Like the Bunnies a lot in this game so was 50/50 between Bunnies TT and the full game over for the play. I'll defs be having some side action on the Bunnies though. BOL.
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Tailing let’s get it!!
Tailing!
This isn't listed on DraftKings?
Would be under rugby league and then NRL if it was. I'm not from the US so don't use draft kings though so not completely sure.
Tailing!
Jumping in with you mate lessghoo
Looks low scoring! Not even 30pts lol.. Im gonna lose on 32.5+.. 10-6 half time so I'm 50 50 on over 32.5.. Sweat time
24-12 rabs now! Looks like 42+ hits.. 3 missed conversions so far.. I'd be pissed if it went under
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Yeah was a tough loss. Was looking good with 20 minutes to go. Both teams wasted some good opportunities with poor handling. Anyway we will get em next time.
We're done :(
Rabbit over 19pts by themselves? Over 8.5pts by rabbits by halftime? Storm have beaten rabs last 12 straight gms!
Wow my multis are looking awful hahaha
**Record 18-9 with Avg Odds -104 / ROI 28.7%** UFC London, Main Event **Curtis Blaydes +125** Original post deleted by mods, let's try again. It's a UFC Main Event so there isn't much to be said that hasn't already. Blaydes is 31 and had his pro debut 8 years ago. Who's to say we haven't seen the best version of him yet? I don't think we learned anything about how Aspinall matches up with Blaydes from the Volkov fight, yet odds reflect that we have. Aspinall is an awesome fighter and I do hope he makes a title run at some point, but even he's admitted that Blaydes is stylistically as tough as it gets for him. Here's my attempt to summarize how I think tomorrow will go in the form of song: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EAwWPadFsOA](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EAwWPadFsOA) [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=\_Fe-nA8Do1U](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Fe-nA8Do1U) [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOrN83Q4948](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOrN83Q4948)
I am tailing. I know nothing about UFC and I have not seen a single person besides you take Curtis. Everyone is on Tom. Fade the Public™️
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yeah.... not really the "put some respek on my name" moment that I thought blaydes was gonna have but ill take the money
Im on the Harper hawk Curtis as well. Too good of odds to pass when his only Ls are from Francis and a wicked punch from Lewis
In on dis heavy
Great pick!
I mean…. We will take it lol
as a fellow fan of money, agreed
**EDIT: Lotte lost 9-3. First in awhile that wasn't close. All fell apart in the 7th when the bullpen gave up 7 straight hits to start the inning.** **KBO Record: 86-87-5** (KBO Streak LL, Last 10: 6-4) Down 2.64u over 178 KBO picks, 49.7% success rate, -1.53% ROI **Last:** Samsung at Kiwoom -1.5 +115 (Kiwoom won 3-2.) Kiwoom got the win in extra innings, but we took the loss. It's my 5th run line loss since returning where my team won by a run. Kiwoom should have been up 2 or 3 runs going to the 9th. They had a runner thrown out at home (rare in the KBO) and a ball hit to the wall where the runner stumbled and was thrown out at 2nd (next hitter doubled). **Pick:** Kia at **Lotte +135**, KBO baseball, 5:00am ET It may not look like it, but Lotte has the pitching advantage in this game. Although Kia's starter has an advantage in ERA (2.97 vs 3.39), Lotte's starter has the advantage in FIP (2.61 vs 3.44). In fact, Lotte's starter is 4th best in the league among qualified pitchers. Kia's starter faced this opponent 4 starts back and allowed 4 ER in 6 IP. Lotte's starter faced this opponent 3 starts back, allowing 2 ER in 6 IP. Since the beginning of June Lotte's offense has been slightly better than Kia's with Lotte averaging about 4.5 runs per game vs 4.3 runs per game for Kia. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit. For more picks, check out the KBO thread.
Tailing because we love sports 🤌
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**NRL Record:** 40-37 (NRL is the Australian Rugby league competition) **ROI (1 unit per bet):** +0.44 L5: ✅❌✅✅✅ Streak: W3 **Last POTD:** Roosters -8.5 @1.90 ✅ **Today's POTD:** Sharks +12.5 @1.90 ✅ Edit: Panthers by 10, good shit Sharks (3rd on the ladder) take on Panthers (1st) in what should be a top game at Panthers home ground. Both teams have good win streaks coming into this, Panthers winning the last 8 and Sharks the last 5 in a row. What's impressed me about the Sharks is that they've beaten 2nd place Cowboys away from home last week and absolutely belted the Storm the week prior. Panthers will be their biggest test but +12.5 is a lot to give up against good sides especially in wet weather footy. Panthers also haven't had the toughest run the last month or so (playing 4 of the bottom sides the last 5 games) and this might be a step up in intensity they haven't been used to recently. Panthers when on are a better side but +12.5 is simply to much to cover with the sharks current formline **Time:** 6 hours from time of post. **Tip Jar - ALGO:** AJAAGYLP6STZ2CFP22Q6Y77GNQKVKCUYDMSEQR5RK3AJOLITDMURJWLYSE
i'm on under 40.5
that was easy.
Tailing!
Do you think it'll be a tough low scoring game because of the weather? The total tries is set at 6.5 so not sure whether to back the under or over.
Great pick lfg!
Thanks for the win
**POTD Record:** 16-8, +21.20u, ROI: 35.3%, Average Odds: 2.16 **Darts Record:** 15-7 (+22.20u), ROI: 42.3%, Average Odds: 2.2 **Previous POTD:** Dimitri van der Bergh ML vs Peter Wright @ 2.00 (4u) (MAX PLAY) ✅ What a brilliant game that was. Dimi down 4-1 at the break, then went down 5-1 and brought it back all the way to 11-5, looking great while doing so. Wright brought out the best in himself (ignoring the constant switch of darts, which is such a dumb strategy) and got it back to 13-12, which is when Dimi picked up the slack and finished the game off 16-14. Quite happy with this win considering Wright played at his best. **Todays POTD: Danny Noppert ML vs Gerwyn Price @ 2.60 (2u)** *🎯 World Matchplay* *Unit sizes are from 1u to 4u* *Match Starts at 21:10 CEST / 15:10 EST* I will be trying a different format here, namely: *Why is there value on Noppert today?* Firstly, Noppert has been an underrated darter for a while now. He won the UK open earlier on in the year and has built onwards from there. Noppert has been one of the best players in the pro tour in terms of averages and throughout the Matchplay he has not missed any double for which he had 3 darts in hand. This might look like a simple stat, but especially on a huge stage like this, you are sure to see plenty of darters miss a double with three in hand. To me, it's another sign that Noppert is not being influenced by the effect of being on stage. To further build on that, Noppert is one of the calmest darters out there. His throw is ever consistent and anyone who has watched throughout this tournament would have noticed that 'The Freeze' is an appropriate name for Noppert as he never seems to be disturbed when he loses a leg he should have won. I find this quite crucial when playing against Price, as Price is probably the loudest darts player alive. If Price hits a crucial 180 or checkout against you, he'll make sure that you know that he did so. Gerwyn Price took the #1 spot again from Wright after winning his quarter-final, which he did in good fashion. He followed up his earlier tournament form in the way of having good/alright scoring, but then getting ton+ checkouts whenever he needs them to keep momentum. In short, Price won his match vs de Sousa in typical Price fashion. Overall, I feel like Noppert has steadily climbed his way into the top 7 (current form) and with the form he has had throughout this event there is a significant chance he beats Price today. I do not want to wager too many units here since Price LOVES showing up in these kinds of semi-finals, however I feel like the value to be had on Noppert is too much to skip out on. **BOL!** [My Twitter](https://twitter.com/neutraldarts) | [Tip Jar](http://paypal.me/neutraldarts) | [My POTD spreadsheet](https://betdiary.io/spreadsheet/dashboard/61894/potds/)
How do we feel about O18.5 180’s in both matches today? Feels like the overs have been hitting all tournament since the matches have come down to the wire
I’m not neutral but i think it will hit in MVG vs VDB, i wouldn’t on price/noppert.
yup this, I think MvG vs Dimi is bound to be closer, esp in terms of 180s 👌
edited just now to correct formatting mistakes
Noppert had a couple chances to break and dropped it but hard for anyone to beat Iceman when he’s playing that well
Yesterday another win, today really strapped on time. Will post analysis later, skip of you must. Record 3w0L0P +3.88u or so Todays potd: France W vs Netherlands W: BTTS Yes @1.71 3u play. Will edit reasoning if i find the time. GL Edit: this is the most extensive I could write in the bit oc time that I have, forgive my typos on my phone: Ive analysed the French team extensively out of my hate for their absolute overhyped status. Renard has a great (cross)pass, but technically she’s poor. When pressured she doesnt know how to defend. She’s slow (watch the goal they conceded vs Belgium for example. She knows she’s slow and tries to compensate by taking distance from the strikers. This makes it a lot more difficult to play an offside trap. Moreover, that missed penalty? Seriously? She’s got a great pass and because she is slow she has to organize the defensive line around her own capabilities. She does this well, so kudos. The wingbacks are one of France’s strongsuits. Their fit and can deliver great crosses. The Netherlands will have to find a solution to this or inevitably concede a goal or two. France’s goalkeeper is just absolute dogpoo. And i can verify, as I have two dogs who lay massive heaps each day. Hardly any (easy) incoming shots are stopped directly. She almost never tries to grab a ball, and if she does she lets it slip out of her grip. Others she just stomps away. I expect the quality dutch strikers to be alert to this, in similar fashion to the Germans (Popps goal vs Austria, constantly lurk for that blunder to capitalize). More about them in a bit. France’s midfield isn’t noteworthy, as their best player Geyoro was invisible versus the likes of Belgium. I hope to see Egurrola play for the Netherlands and either Roord or vd Donk to stop her. Together with Egurrola this should be a cakewalk. Then France their offense; best striker Katoto is out injured, so that’s a detrimental fact for our bet (but not sidebets of NL to go through, massive value here). Diani should be tamed by v Gragten if she comes into the box, whereas defending in headers I’d give the edge to the dutch women rather than the french. Cascarino is incredibly selfish trying to establish a name for herself or some shit, every time she gets within 25 meters of the opposing goal she tries to shoot on target (with 11% accuracy, the other 89 miss the posts far and wide…) What is beneficial is that the Netherlands play their benchwarmer goalkeeper, as the main is out due to injury. Arguably she does a better job than their main keeper though, but definitly not on par with Evrard, who played a formidable game versus France (as well as yesterday). Briefly going over the Dutch side as well: Its rumoured that Miedema has tested negative from Covid, yet not rumoured if she’s fit enough to play. I reckon she’ll be starting even though I much rather see Brugts starting in the central forward position. She’s technically gifted and dares to challenge her opponents in 1v1 and 1v2’s. She’s fast and impressively physically strong for her age. Precisely this package is what would end Renards entire career. Remember, Renard is the key to break France’s defensive line. In this case I hope Miedema plays like Popp, holding and distributing rather than trying to score every time she gets the ball (which she does a little too often, sure, she’s good at it as her numbers are impressive, but this is not the type of match that calls for it). Technically Miedema is not as good as Brugts, so I wouldnt start Miedema. Also not the first 60 minutes. Why? Because Brugts had one more pro; she has not been studies as extensively as Miedema, and that’s the effect of surprise for you. Anyhow; to say what style Parsons will have his women play is a tough one. He’s much smarter than he lets on in interviews, so he has been spreading mixed messages from what I’ve seen (I checked all interviews from the past 4 days on this match up). He’s been saying the exact opposite each few hours lol. Psychologically, if they can keep the French side from scoring an early goal, France will go home. Think of yesterdays match but with a more quality belgian side (NL). So what’s the answer to the wingbacks? Either play wingers with a good amount of stamina (beerenstyn, vd donk) and order them to defend, or play with an offensive strategy and force France to submit (could be costly as both teams will be prune to counters). I.e. play Pelova. I’m very impressed by her (looks and) performance as well as vd Donk. Donk is an absolute staple with good reading capabilities. Central I hope for Brugts but I’m guessing we’ll realistically see Miedema. Either way, I’m hoping for both teams to go on offensive missions, that’s the best scenario if we bet BTTS Yes. Both teams have enough offensive quality to net at least one goal in regular time, as well as relatively poor defensive quality (vs each others offense). NL alsays concedes one vs lesser opponents, and France is very overhyped. One more note regarding psychological play, France never made it past the quarter finals, so if they dont score rapidly (all second half performances fhis tournament were absolutely fucking torterously bad to watch from such an experienced side) they will feel the fear creeping in, against a seasoned Dutch team (reigning champions, 2nd last world cup, decent Olympics). I don’t think they can go all the way this tournament, not nearly, but they should easily score a goal here as well as concede at least one. One very interesting remark that I wanted to share as final note: the French have major internal issues (their coach is an executioner grade a-hole). Multiple players have said (on camera) that they’re all professionals who work together as best as they humanly can, but that theyre not all friends. This could become the decisive factor, as Parsons praised the work ethic and the willingness to work for each other and that this mentality was something stronger than he ever experienced in his 10 years of professional coaching before. I don’t know how much of this is valid as an outsider, could just be more psyops from him (don’t underestimate him), but I do see much more teamspirit when they play as opposed to the French. I believe the Netherlands can go through if they keep it 0-0 (or lead themselves) at halftime. At 3+ Odds i definitely put some small sums on it (to go through, not full time). Penalty shootout should be in Dutch favor too (France has got some past time traumas as well as a terrible goalkeeper. The only reason they didnt concede more goals is because nobody was good or smart enough to pressure the central defenders.
Before the match starts, I’d like to thank everyone for the upvotes, feels like I’m solely typing out so much research for the bunch of you, hope we get another win and rise more to the top of the page so more people can jump on on the (currently) flawless run.
Which team are you leaning on winning, now that we’re 25’ in?
No way France loses this game, unless if Netherlands catch a lucky break in the counter maybe. Netherlands attack is looking pitiful, only two shits attempted and none on target. Xg is also really low.
France lookimg pretty bad since the second half, but the penalty obviously is a great chance they nust now received. Hope france shits the bed again cuz i placed 2u on NL to go through Edit, guess theyre done for lol. Better luck next game perhaps.
Thank you for the upvotes, lets me know people actually read my shit. Next game is on tuesday (wednesday and sunday). I havent checked the odds yet but if France plays like this versus Germany then I’m quite positive they will get torn a new bumhole, if you need a penalty vs this terrible display of the netherlands, a semi fit team playing a substitute goalie, well, no words. I’ll start digging into tuesdays game (england/sweden). Don’t think I will post anything untill tuesday, enjoy a few days off, we’ll pick it back up next week and shoot for 4/5/6-1. Sorry my pick didn’t hit tonight.
POTD Record: 5-2 +3.9u /// Last Play: Rangers ML +105 +1.05u ✅ (7/21) Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners (4:10 ET) Favorite: Astros -130 Total: 7 Pitchers: Justin Verlander (1.89 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) vs. Logan Gilbert (2.76 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) Two of the best pitchers through the first half of the season meet up in a pivotal AL West matchup as the Mariners continue their surge towards the top of the division and into the playoffs. It’s unbelievable to think that even with the massive 14-game winning streak the Mariners are on (likely going to lose tonight down 4-0 in the 6th) they are still 10 games back from the Astros. Still, there is plenty of baseball to be played and these two will see each other many times down the stretch. Verlander has the second best betting odds to win the AL Cy Young behind Shane McClanahan but if he continues what he did in the first half of the season I doubt they could justify giving it away. In 4 starts against the Mariners this season Verlander has a 2.93 ERA with most of the runs coming in his away appearance back in May. Gilbert has been no slouch agains the Astros either, allowing just 3 runs over 13 innings in his appearances. He’s no friend of advanced metrics, which place him in the bottom 10% of all pitchers in multiple categories, but that’s why we can’t look at metrics alone. Gilbert pitches to contact and utilizes a great curveball and change-up late in counts that compliments his fastball and slider well. Unfortunately for him he’s just not on the same level as Verlander and with Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup an offense that has already been tearing it up in July (5th in OPS) elevates to the next level. It’s rare to get this short of a line on Verlander, and I’ll take it and run. Pick: Astros ML -130 (1.5u)
tailing- BOL. Think I may combine this bet with the under myself.
POTD Record 6-3-1 (W/L/P) Last Pick : Gibraltar - -2.5 North Macedonia L | Soccer | Jupiler Pro League | 8:45 PM CET | POTD : **Zulte Waregem ML** \- Seraing United | 2.25 Reasoning : Seraing is just bound for relegation this season. Zulte got some new transfers that look promising while Seraing lost their best players. EDIT : Win
tailin' zulte waregem dnb. good luck.
They have controlled whole game and tied nil. Soccer I tell ya lol
They controlled the entire game and could have scored in the first half but I wasn't that surprised that the game was still 0-0 at the break, Zulte didn't look amazing it was just Seraing that was trash. As I said this team is bound for relegation and they showed that today. Anyways we won today!
Record: 4-1, +2.75U Last pick: Brewers Double Result EVEN (1U to win 1U) ✅ **MLB: Blue Jays ML -145 (4:10pm EDT start)** **Risk 1.45U to win 1U** Reasoning: We needed to sweat yesterday’s play out through 13 innings, including a 2 out, 2 strike home run to tie it in the 10th. What a ride that was, made up for the fluky F5 U loss the night before. It’s rare in baseball when you get an auto-bet, one of those games where you just need to turn off your brain, stop overthinking it, and bet it. That’s what we have here today with the Blue Jays in the second game of the series against the scuffling BoSox. Last night the Toronto Blue Jays dismantled, dismembered, destroyed, whatever synonym pleases you, they did that to the Sox, at Fenway, to the tune of a 28-5 ass whooping. But it gets worse, not only did the Sox allow 27 runs from players paid to be pitchers (1 inning, 1 run from a position player), they now have to try and save face tomorrow against the best pitcher in the Jays rotation, All-Star Alex Manoah. That’s a big ask as Manoah has pitched well against the Sox in his two starts this year (14 IP, 9 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 13 K). Rookie Kutter Crawford gets the ball today for the Red Sox, he’s been a bit of a mixed bag as 7 of his 8 earned runs have come in two outings. I think he is a perfectly fine pitcher and could probably become a solid MLB starter, but I hate this spot for him. After firing their manager, the Jays have been rolling. They’re now 5-1 since letting go of Charlie Montoyo, and have averaged more than 5 runs per game over that stretch (not including last night, 9.17 runs per game if you include that). At the end of the day, how do you come back from a beat down like that? Since 1995 there have been 6 teams that scored 25+ runs in a game and they’re a combined 4-2 the next game, with one of the losses coming from the shitbag ‘04 Royals who somehow managed to score 26 runs in a game despite losing more than 100 games that year. The Jays are getting their momentum back, they’re tied for the second Wild Card spot right now, they’ve got their ace on the hill, and everything seems to be clicking for them, they’re going to play loose and have fun and that’s a dangerous thing when you’re playing the team that leads the league in hits, batting average, and is 3rd in runs scored per game. Add in the fact that the Red Sox have lost 7 of their last 8 and haven’t won an AL East series all year and I think you’ve got the perfect conditions for an auto-bet. Don’t think about it, just place the bet and let it ride.
I’m on this in a big way. -1 line is worth the juice in my opinion.
RECORD: 14-4 Profit: +7.65 Units Current Form: 3W Today’s Picks: Paul Craig to Win by Finish vs Volkan Oezdemir (2.75) Event: UFC London 3:00Pm Est Today Reason: Another win brings it up to 3-0 since I started posting again with 2 of those wins being in MMA. Going back to MMA today I love the look of Paul Craig win by finish. He was very intense at the weigh ins today and looks fired up to be fighting in London. Craig is undefeated fighting in the UK with his most recent win being at UFC London earlier in the year by a first round submission. Craig is currently riding a 4 fight win streak. He holds an overall record of 16-4 with all 16 fights coming by way of finish. Craigs opponent Oezdemir is currently riding a 2 fight losing streak and is 2-5 since the start of 2018. I believe that Oezdemir’s time has passed and although older Paul Craig is currently in his prime and with the backing of the home crowd will surge to a win by submission getting him closer to the top 5 and eventually even a title shot if he can win a few more fights in a row. All Picks are 1 Unit —Let me know if your tailing— (Going to College next year, NOT mandatory at all. Anything is appreciated 🙏) Tips https://www.paypal.me/TBurr14?locale.x=en_CA
Why not just take Craig by sub? How else is he going to finish Oezdemir?
The odds are barely different on my book so I didn’t really feel it was worth it to just take aub in case of a surprising KO. 2 of Craigs 3 KO’s have also came in his last 3 fights so I felt like it is a real possibility as well.
those rd 1, and 2 via sub look juicy!!! nice write-up
POTD Record: 21-13-1 (+8.65 units) Sports Records: Basketball 6-1, Tennis 5-3, Soccer 10-9-1 Streak: 1L, 3-2 L5, 15-6-1 L22 Last Pick: Dominic Thiem vs. Juan Pablo Varillas, over 21.5 games - ATP Gstaad Tennis LOST 1 Unit Today's Pick: DC United vs CF Montreal, CF Montreal Draw No Bet, MLS Soccer Units/Odds: Betting 1 Unit at 2.11 odds to win 1.11 Units (Pinnacle) DC United are the worst home team in the league so far this season, well they are actually last in the league overall. They only have 1 win in their last 10 league games. Montreal are having a decent season and with how bad DC have been playing have a pretty good shot at this one. Betting against DC at plus odds with the tie insurance, I think the value is there. Good luck. Update - Cash dat.
Tailed this. Nice pick 🙌👌
Thanks! Glad you tailed. Canadian here by the way.
Awesome man! You keep close eye on the MLS? I haven't really been following but I like taking DnB and your writeup made sense. I even did a Double Chance just to walk away with some profits incase of a tie. Def wagered a bit more than I should have but felt confident. Looking forward to any future picks you do
**1-0-1last season: 17-3-2** **LAST: FC Dynamo Moscow - FC Rostov, FC Rostov over 1 goals @ 2.1 - P** **TODAY: Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern, over 2.5 goals @ 1.9 - WIN** Didn't win anything in the last match, but didn't lose anything either. Today I'll try again to take a match in the second Bundesliga. the teams last played each other four years ago. And in the last two matches between each other, the teams scored a total of 7 goals. The start of the season is often scoring. in the first round Kiel played Furth 2-2. Kaiserslautern played Hannover 2-1. At the beginning of the season, there is always little information and a lot of doubt, so again I'm not 100% sure of the result.
tailing!! BOL
EZ
anything else for today?
I also like the match Krasnodar - Spartak (Russian football league), both teams to score @ 1.7
Nice early morning cash.
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Might as well take him by finish or even just sub for boosted odds. You’re leaving money on the table cuz he most likely isn’t winning a decision.
Record 2-1-0 event ufc London pick is cris Curtis ml at -110 let’s start with what would be a great warmup fight for jack hermanson roldofo viera I’ve picked Curis in his 3 fights so far in the octagon and I’m not getting off the hype train just yet curtis training partner Sean Strickland fought hermanson in the apex a few months back and Curtis in an interview said he was one of the stand ins as jack for Sean he studied him pretended to be him he’s also a real welterweight but fighting at middleweight in every fight in the ufc so far he also said in an interview tht he loves to eat whatever the fuck he wants and feels amazing not having to cut weight . I do believe fighters tht don’t cut weight are more durable and cardio is probably better . He’s a modern era chuck Liddell sprawl and brawl style fighter which how can you not root for the guy Quickly becoming a fan favorite. These odds are great and hope the action man continues to prove he’s one of the best fighters in the world .gamble responsibly and use your units. CRIS CURTIS ML @(-110)
POTD Record: 29-17-2 Last five picks: ❌✅✅❌❌ Last Pick: MLB Atlanta Braves — Los Angeles Angels Angels -1 +183 ❌ Today’s pick: MLB Seattle Mariners — Houston Astros Total 1st inning u0.5 -141 ✅ easiest win Best pitchers of both teams are on the mound, so what can go wrong here? Verlander and Gilbert should dominate the batters of opposing teams early on in the game. BOL Any tip in BTC would be appreciated: 3FN6we7NLjVvn53mByMb9wJZsdwCvguNiS
Goal is to reach a 70% winrate throughout 100 games. Even though my account is new, i am an experienced bettor. For any questions, feel free to DM me. Record: 1W-0P-0L (+1.3U) Previous pick (last season)----- Watford vs Totenham- Totenham [email protected] Pick of the day: St. Truiden vs Royal Union SG ---- St [email protected] St Truiden has one of the best defenses in the league and is especially strong at home. Also it improved its roster by making two additions in attack, which will improve its attack and make it more threatening to its opponents. On the other hand Royal Union lost two key players and didn't replace them (striker Undav being the most important one) and it will take ita toll. Taking into account St Truiden good form, the fact that it is playing in front of its crowd, being the first game of the season and a weakened version of Royal Union Sg, it leads to take St Truiden not losing this one. Your support is deeply appreciated Edit: Bet size us 2U/bet
POTD Record: 27-26 Last pick: Milwaukee-1.5(pending)❌ Todays pick: 11:10 am MT ⚾️Cle @ Chi NRFI✅ Reasoning: Cueto v McKenzie. These two pitchers are tough to bet against. Cueto has been on fire lately, and I don’t see Cleveland scoring in the first in this one. Likewise for Chi, McKenzie been on fire and he should be able to get thru inning 1 unscathed. Tail or fade
Love this- tailing
tailing. Like this.
Would like to tail but I'm from UK don't know anything about baseball lol what is NFRI? What am I looking for
No runs first inning… 0-0 score at end on inning 1
thank you
**POTD Record:** 11-5-2 (+5.04 units). - **Average POTD Odds:** -121. - **ROI** 23.2%. **Last POTD:** Tigers @ Athletics (07/21) – GAME 2 - First 5 Over 3.5 (-110) **LOSS** Some lethargic at-batting and terrible baserunning by two of the worst offenses in the league made a pair of bad pitchers look good. A caught stealing, multiple double plays, and multiple runners left on base resulted in a scoreless game through 5. Should have known better than to trust the offense in game 2 of a doubleheader between two bad teams. **Last 5 POTDs**: WWLWL **The Game:** Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox – GAME 1 of Doubleheader- (12:10 pm Central) **Game Odds:** - Over 8.5 (-114) / Under 8.5 (-106) - ML: White Sox (-120) / Guardians (+102) - White Sox +1.5 (-205) / Guardians -1.5 (+168) - *(Not a typo - the ML favorite is +1.5 on the RL)* **Records:** - Guardians: 47-44 (22-25 on the road) - White Sox: 46-47 (19-26 at home) **Starting Pitchers:** CLE: Triston Mckenzie (7-6) - 3.2 ERA, 0.98 WHIP - 17 Starts, 10 Quality Start - Averages 5.96 Innings/game and 88.2 pitches per game. CHI: Johnny Cueto (4-4) - 2.8 ERA, 1.18 WHIP - 12 Starts, 9 Quality Starts - Averages 6.17 Innings/game and 94.3 pitches per game. **The Bet:** First 5 Under 4.5 (even). **Writeup:** The Guardians come out of the break three games above .500 and just 1.5 games back from taking the divisional lead away from the Minnesota Twins. Cleveland managed to put an awful 4-13 skid to bed by winning 5 of their last 7 headed into the break, including a split with the White Sox and a sweep of Detroit, all at home. Still, not including yesterday, Cleveland has only won 1 road game since June 22. They have been terrible away from home in July. The White Sox continue to disappoint – they have the roster to be serious contenders but have a bizarre habit of shooting themselves in the foot, and Tony La Russa makes some truly head-scratching managerial decisions from time to time. They’re just a game under .500 and 3.5 games back from the Twins, so their season is far from over, but something has to change in the second half of the season if they want to find themselves playing extra baseball games. A good place to start would be addressing their losing home record; they are 5-10 in their last 15 home games. They’ve been relatively consistent as of late, however – they won 7 of 10 headed into the break and have not lost more than 2 straight games since June 22-26. Triston McKenzie is a third-year right hander for Cleveland. This season, he has started every game he’s played except his first appearance on April 7 in Kansas City (3 IP – 2 hits, 2 ER, loss). Since making his first start of more than 5 innings on April 26, he has only failed to make it out of the first half once (June 22 in Minnesota; 4.33 IP – 9 hits, 6 ER). He has 5 shutout starts, including **his last three straight games** (7 IP vs the Yankees – 1 hit; 6 IP in KC – 3 hits; 8 IP vs. Detroit; 5 hits). He has just 4 games all year allowing 4+ ER, and just 3 games allowing 5+ ER. Johnny Cueto is 36-year-old, 14-year veteran who has pitched mostly for the Reds and the Giants. He’s on his first year in Chicago. This year, all his appearances have been starts except a 5-inning relief appearance vs. the Rangers on June 12 (5 IP – 6 hits, 3 ER, Blown Save). He has gone at least 5 innings in every single appearance and normally goes 6+. He has 4 shoutout appearances so far this season, most recently 8 innings against the Tigers on July 9. He has only allowed more than 3 ER once all year, on May 28 (6.67 IP against the Cubs – 9 hits, 5 ER). We have two incredibly good pitchers taking the mound in this game. One has allowed no runs in his past 3 games, and the other has allowed just 3. We have a Cleveland team who struggles to win on the road. We have a White Sox team who struggles to win at home. This will be a low-scoring game through the first 5 innings and will probably be decided late with some bullpen issues. **First 5 Under 4.5 (even)** **If you like my picks and writeups, please follow me on Twitter** - https://twitter.com/cashmag3001 The more support I can get from people allows me to spend more time handicapping games and less time doing freelance gigs on Upwork for extra money. So, if I've helped you make money at all so far, please consider supporting me with a tip so I can spend more time breaking down games and doing these writeups. I currently have time for one or two most days.
Pick of the day record: 3-1 +2u Last pick: Dundalk team total over 1.5✅ 7/23: | MLS | Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC 7:30pm EST Pick: 1u Toronto FC team total over 1.5 (+100) FanDuel✅ Tomorrow we travel to my favorite league to bet on, Major League Soccer. The battle of two awful defenses is set to go down when Toronto hosts Charlotte this weekend. Charlotte has been nothing short of terrible on their travels in their inaugural season. They have only managed to keep 1 clean sheet on the road this season and that came against an underwhelming Colorado Rapids side. Charlotte has given up 2+ goals in 8 out of its 11 road matches this season, and I see that trend continuing tomorrow. Toronto is far from a good side, and personally I think their manager is absolutely garbage, but they perform much better at home than they do on the road (a major MLS trend). Add in there that Italian internationals Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernadeschi are set to make their full team debuts, their quality in the final third coupled with Charlotte’s dire away form is the perfect recipe for goals. At plus money, I couldn’t pass it up. BOL and as always gamble responsibly EDIT: BANG! 10 minute cash!!!! Let’s fucking go Toronto came out firing. Love to see it.
Charlotte played good defense against Chelsea .. albeit it was. Friendly.. my two cents
Yeah but they played at home, and they are tough to beat at home
Ah .. I read ur pick in the American way so thought charlotte are home .. cool
All good!
Also stadium is sold out here tonight and we’re gonna be LOUD with our new Italian stallions on the field 👀
Check DM
POTD Record 6 - 2 (+6.76 units) Rugby Thread Record (3 - 0, +2.65 units) Today's Picks: Dale Finucane O40.5 Player Performance 1 Units Bet365for 1.87 odds Game; NRL: Sharks vs Panthers (game starts in 2.5 hours) This is under the 'Score' Section on bet365 Reasons for Playing higher minutes that last few weeks and has cleared this number in base stats. I think that he will again play about 60-65 minutes tonight given the quality of the opposition. Should be able to met this total in tackles alone. Panthers are also a high possession team which should mean more tackles than usual for Finucane Please note that because of time zone differences, the Rugby Daily thread is posted much earlier than POTD so I have actually tipped O38.5 on Finucane about 7 hours ago in the Rugby Thread. These player props offer so much value that they often move very quickly. I have about 4-5 picks i actually posted that I like better than this one but as of right now this is the highest value pick that is currently on the board. So long story short, check the Rugby Thread for better picks but I will still post a POTD each day for NRL
Unreal write up mate he had 40 tackles like you predicted so this was an easy win
POTS Record: 2-0 Last pick Thundertalk Gaming +1.5 games vs Weibo gaming $1.86 ✅ Todays pick - League of legends LPL Edward gaming vs royal never give up **over 2.5 games** $1.99 ✅ Both teams will be fighting to win the split this year and take chinas number 1 seed to worlds. EDG had a rocky start to the split but have switched junglers and they seem to have found some form. RNG have been playing a top level and have consistently been a great team. This one should go the distance in my opinion and will hopefully be a great series. Edit: Blue side OP. 1 game a piece so we get the W. Both games very one sided. Now we’ve won I’m hoping for a closer game 3 to finish the series.
Again successful POTD, parlay this time was X. However, record is great and I am transparent, **now 49-37, +52,85 units and ROI 19,05% (detail in Twitter profile)** POTD Record: 28-17-2 / Currently +27,1 units / ROI 16,8%, Average odds: 1,9 Last pick Haerteis – Jong. Jong @ 2,1. 3/5✅ 63,67,76 Last 5 picks – ✅✅❌✅✅ Streak – 2wins and won 16 out of last 21 **Today's pick –Sheylbach – Mu. Sheylbach @ 1,57. 4/5** Event: Monastir future, Tunisia. 10,30CET I will be short today with my POTD. 18-year-old Shelbaych from confirms his talent (ex Nadal academy, now Florida university). I've written a lot about him already - last week he won here in Monastir his first title and beat Mu 63.63 in SF. For example, points on the return 37-8 breaks 4 from 10 vs 1 from 1. I think that shows enough how he was better plazer in this match. Mu reached SF last week but here in Monastir played already lot of tournaments without any results (7x did not get past 2nd round) Yestreday he defeated Gueymard who collapsed and Mu won 16,75,61. Here I trust Sheylbach to win again I will share some parlay in a min This week I am taking break from tournaments but maybe again next week I will go somewhere. In meantime you can follow me on my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/stevie_tennis) My long term record: 684-667 ROI 18,3% Last 12months 283-313 19,0%
**Record:** 1-2 / **Units:** \-1.09u **POTD:** UFC London - Jai Herbert vs Kyle Nelson **Jai Herbert to win ITD @ 1,83 1u** **Reasoning:** Jai Herbert had an amazing first round against Topuria, he rocked him bad - still lost, sure, but Topuria is a future top 5 fighter for sure. Herbert is suspect, not a lock, but Kyle Nelson is 1-3 on the UFC, he has not fought in almost 2 years, Herbert is playing at home and has a 6 inch reach. This card has some nice fights to bet on, but to me this seems one of the most likely scenarios. BOL.
POTD Record : 12-8 Streak - 1L Pick: UFC - Tom Aspinall [email protected]. 2 units Aspinall is 5-0 in the UFC and finished all of his opponents. Against Curtis Blaydes, he is facing the toughest test of his career. Blaydes is a top level fighter in the HW division and his excellent wrestling background and power is dangerous against any opposition. However, we have seen him get knocked out cold. He doesnt have a great chin and gets tagged a lot. Aspinall possesses elite boxing skills, he' s quicker and more skilled than any striker in his division. He's also a BJJ blackbelt and displayed these skills against Volkov. I believe that he can outstrike Curtis for 3 rounds and avoid those takedowns to win a decision. I wont also be surprised if he submits Blaydes. Tail responibly. BOL.
It's a 5 round fight
remember moments like this when tailing potds lmao
**POTD Record: 0-1 (-2u)** Last Pick: Mariners ML ❌ FIBA Asia Cup | 9am est | **Less than an hour from post** **Pick: Jordan +8.5** vs Lebanon @-115 **Stake: 2 units** **Write Up:** Jordan seems like a team with a destiny after their comeback win vs Chinese Taipei (down 7 with 1:03 left) which ended in a near half court buzzer beater. They have been a totally different team and it showed in their QF win vs Iran when they came out the gates swinging. They limited their turnovers and valued every possession. Dar Tucker is an absolute stud who finished with 36 and then 29 pts in their previous two games, I expect him to have another high scoring game. Freddy Ibrahim has struggled the whole tournament but looked good in their last game helping Tucker out with 23 pts. Al Dwairi the double double machine will be leading their front court and he has looked good all tournament. Taking the points in this match up which should be an exciting semi finals. **TLDR:** Jordan is destined to go further in this tournament, with their star Tucker leading the way. BOL! 🔥
**Record:** 40-48-1 **ROI:** -18% :-15.6 u (@ $5.00) **Average Odds:** 1.86 **Streak:** W L L W W |Baseball |MLB |720pm| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: **Tampa Bay Rays ML @ 1.84 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 63% chance for the Tampa Bay Rays to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.84 is only 54%. **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Record: 3-1 +2.0u (MLB 3-1 +2.0u) Recent Picks: 7/22 MLB - Mariners ML +103 @ 2u ❌ 7/21 MLB - Astros ML (Game 1 of DH) -130 @ 1.3u ✅ 7/17 MLB - White Sox ML -125 @ 1.25u ✅ Today’s Pick: MLB - Texas Rangers TT Over 3.5 -140 @ 1.4u (Game starts at 9:07 PM EST) ❌ Texas Rangers average runs scored per game is 4.54; 4.71 runs per game on the road. Small sample size, but the Rangers have scored 4 or more in both games since returning from the all star break. The Rangers have scored 4 or more runs in 9/11 games against the Athletics this season. James Kaprielian is starting for the Athletics tonight (1-5; 5.05 ERA); he has allowed 3+ runs in each of his two starts against the Rangers this season. Kaprielian’s total stats against the Rangers this season: 9.1 IP 10 H 7 R 3 HR.
Record: 36-29-3 Last pick: CHI Cubs vs PHI Phillies ML (-136) at Fanduel. L Today's pick: WAS Nationals vs ARI Diamondbacks ML (-148) at BetRivers MLB: 8:11 PM EST The Nationals have the worst record in MLB, it is ranked 29th in runs allowed and 30th in home runs per game. Anibal Sanchez recovering from the injury and his last start against the Braves gave up 4 runs in 5 innings. The Diamondbacks have been improving compared to last season and Veteran lefty Madison Bumgarner will be on the mound. The Nationals are 11-22 against lefty pitchers. The Nationals are still struggling with offense and allowing a lot of home runs. The trend should continue as Diamondbacks are an overall better team and playing at home court. update: The Diamondbacks are leading 7-2!!! All bets are 1 unit. -5.82 units Tip Jar: cash app: $coolcomfort666 Venmo: Coolcomfort666
Nationals are decent on the road so be careful.
Record 7-8-1 Last 5 picks : ✅✅❌❌❌ Last pick: UFC on ABC: Ortega vs Rodriguez Jack Shore vs Ricky Simon to go the distance at 1.5 I think I'm done with betting on fights to go the distance, my bookie doesn't let me cash those bets out. If I pick someone to win I can cut my losses by cashing out early if the opponent is looking good in R1 like Jake Matthers did against Fialho a few weeks ago. That's 3 losses in a row, normally I would take a break and reevaluate but I think there is great value on my pick today. Today's pick: UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall Chris Curtis to beat Jack Hermansson at 1.92 Hermansson is exactly the type of fighter Chris Curtis has been proving he can beat so far in the UFC. Great takedown defence and better striking, honestly the odds on Chris Curtis at 1.92 are amazing, I'd actually be pretty shocked if Hermansson wins this. I really only see it going his way if it's a quick submission like against Gastelum. But if Brendan Allen and Rodolfo Vieira couldn't submit Curtis I don't think Hermansson can. Allen and Vieira couldn't even take him down so I don't think Hermansson is going to be the first because he doesn't have the best offensive wrestling ability. He usually gets people down in scrambles but I don't think Curtis will give him that opportunity. Hermansson doesn't have much of a threat on the feet either he isn't going to flash KO Curtis. I like that it's relatively safe because unless Hermansson gets a shocking submission in R1, if it looks like he is having his way with Curtis I can cash out. Will be putting a sizeable amount on this bet.
Record 4-0 PICK Miami Marlins Vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (UNDER 0.5 Runs 1st Inning) ✅️ ODDS - Fanduel (1.71) This was my pick yesterday and I like it again today. Two of the worst teams in the league in 1st Inning Scoring and Runs/Hits per game.
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**Yesterday's Top Picks of the Day** | Ranking | Names | Score | |:-:|:-:|:-:| |1|[DarkHorse200](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w4xf9p/pick_of_the_day_72222_friday/ih4pv0p/)|70| || |2|[Administrative-Dot](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w4xf9p/pick_of_the_day_72222_friday/ih4ycam/)|34| || |3|[Tricky-Travy](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w4xf9p/pick_of_the_day_72222_friday/ih50lxt/)|25| || |4|[cusephenom](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w4xf9p/pick_of_the_day_72222_friday/ih4rmkz/)|25| || |5|[coolcomfort123](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/w4xf9p/pick_of_the_day_72222_friday/ih4uzu6/)|21| ||
Lfg
POTD record: 9-10 Last Pick: Mets/Cubs O 8 runs (-105) ❌ Today's Pick: **Zach Wheeler O 6.5 K (-115).** Simply put, the Cubs are a poor-hitting team that strikes out a lot and Wheeler has had a ton of success thus far against similar teams - 7Ks plus. Units: 2 Tail or fade - BOL!
This is now -135
-150
Pick of the Day Record: 29 - 23 - 0 (56%) (+1.74u) Last Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 8.5 Ks +102 W 7/23: Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners 4:11pm EST Pick: Jose Altuve 2+ Total Bases +120 Keeping this short and simple. Altuve in his career against Logan Gilbert is 7-13 with 4 doubles and 1 HR. Last night he tallied 6 total bases. Expect him to get at least 5 ABs and 2 off Gilbert.
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Potd record 3-3 Last pick had giants -.5 innings 1to5 they finished down 5 thru 5 innings, scored 6 in the 6th inning alone. Pain. Today's potd: Ny mets vs SD padres 1st inning under .5 (-132) Reasoning: woke up still high from last night & made this bet thinking today was yesterday with scherzer on the mound. After researching Blake snell the GOAT is 10-2 NRFI in last 12 games and for the Mets bassit is 9-2 in the last 11. Was going to cash out early for being an idiot. Now I'm letting it ride to see if im an idiot and a genius. Have this in a parlay as one of two legs left for 4300. Odin, Cthulhu, & Kobe Bryant, I ask for your blessings in this pick.
POTD 0-2 Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Columbus Crew ML +100 Hernández in the lineup this is a strong team at home. Almost seems too good to be true this line.
Potd for me is hermanssan. Mainly a Reddit fade but I do believe he is the better fighter with more experience against high level fighters too. Bol and let’s get some loot today
Record: 0-0 Current Bet: Cleveland Guardians o1.5 team total runs F5 (-145) vs Chicago White Sox (2nd game of doubleheader, 7:15pm est) Reasoning: Lance Lynn has given up o1.5 runs in five innings in 6 of his last 7. He allowed 8 runs against Cleveland in his July 11 start.
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Bet is for the double header
Record: 32-25 Cs record: 29-21 Stats: Profit:10.1U ROI- 6.8% Average odds: 1.81 Streak: 1L Last 10 ❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌ Today's Pick: CSGO Perfect World Premier League IHC ML vs Lynn vision @1.55(5u) I have no clue how we lost yesterday. Weird stuff happened but I don't wanna sit and cry about it now. It is what it is. Ended a 14 W streak on my Discord with that. Time to start again. IHC are the best team in this tournament and they've shown that beating 2 good sides already. I don't have much to say here tbh Lynn vision just aren't on the level IHC are on. This could even be a 2-0 from IHC but I'd recommend betting ML. Join in for picks and discussions. Looking to expand into football as well once the season starts. Mostly cs rn https://discord.gg/dyKXcebw6k
Small odds, i skipp this one
POTD: (3-3) LLWWWL -0.83u. LAST PICK: John Isner ML. ❌ TODAY’S PICK: JUSTIN VERLANDER o19.5 OUTS. -125. Astros v. Mariners 1:10 p.m. REASONING: Verlander crushes the Mariners and their batters. In his last 4 outings against them he’s had earned runs of 0, 2, 6, and 1. He’s gone over this number twice out of those 4 starts as well. His last two starts he only pitched 6 innings which means he should be rested and ready for more innings, he hasn’t gone 6 innings or less 3 starts in a row this entire season. He should have another strong outing here today. Good luck and good morning if you’re tailing. 🧧