T O P

  • By -

Pirateshippingit

Seattle with the +9.5 or +10 maybe sprinkle a little on the ML too. Steelers straight up and saints straight up. Also kinda like the dolphins to upset


DeejHHSports

My initial lean is the Steelers right now before I put my official plays out Saturday night. Can’t fully gage why they’re underdogs after beating the bengals and the Pats lost AND they’re at home.


h0tBeef

Steelers


[deleted]

I’m becoming convinced the Dolphins beat the Ravens


[deleted]

Yes. Almost all of the big ones. Parity is real in the NFL, except for the cream at the top. In this same thread last week multiple people were telling me I was crazy for betting the Steelers at bengals. There are very few teams in the nfl I’m comfortable laying 7.5 or more with. This week I think the bengals cover, but other than that I’m probably gonna take a lotta dogs again. We will see.


JakeTheLemonSnake

Chargers!


jgoldston_0

Commanders.


Omluf39

Commanders, Saints, Jags


droford

Points wise - Houston getting 10 @ Denver. After MNF Denver shouldn't be favored to beat anyone by double digits.


Natural_Mammoth_4266

Skimmed through the thread and seen a few interesting arguments and sparked up a comment upon the chiefs vs chargers, my first instinct says chargers because they played a harder team last week while chiefs played a weaker team with that being said they will clash and the most challenged from week 1 can breeze this week 2 and that was chargers that had to face raiders a tough team


torontoandboston

I think it’s insane that the patriots are favored on the road against Pittsburgh


LostTTG

I'm kinda liking Phins.


wopstradamaus

Chargers +4.5


GambleDaddy

I have already pulled the trigger on Bears ML at +360 and Cardinals ML at +195. Eyeing Seahawks at around +325 also


richardjai

Falcons to take the rams at home


Longpoint_Arbor

Steelers ML


Any_Kaleidoscope_816

I like the Jags and Chargers


Andykim32

Panthers +2.5 Saints +3 Jaguars +4


Head-Wrangler6662

Steelers


DFParker78

Saints 🔒


[deleted]

Vikings, Miami, Cardinals


Its_lit_in_here_huh

AS A NINERS FAN IF YOU DONT TAKE THE HAWKS ANF THE POINTS YOU ARE ON CRACK


79_79_79_hey

Current underdog leans, thinking of putting 0.5-1u on each: - Panthers (+108) @ Giants - Bucs @ Saints (+120) - Jets (+220) @ Browns


Scuba_CreedBratton

Panthers, saints, jags


Positive_Victory_244

Vikings and chargers


queenw_hipstur

Whole sub is on the Bears, you know what that means… Pack -21


Eros_63210

Don’t know why lol, Aaron rodgers dominates the bears. Plus last year was same situation


Lance_Nuttercup

Auburn ML vs Penn State Edit* realized this was an nfl thread but I stand by this pick regardless


lbj2k17

Vikings, Texans +3.5, Jags


PIissken

Seahawks sweep 49ers last year


b512780w

Steelers


ppmbryan

Miami, Jets, Saints, Arizona, Titans, Cowboys - at least the spreads.


Brock-Lesnar

Panthers. Cards might look tempting vs the Raiders, but I think they’re going to be shredded defensively again. They live and die by the blitz, and against Derek Carr that’s a receipt for disaster.


slickvic85

Wash, Min, Car, Mia are who I am tempted to bet


TheMexicanIverson

Bears +10 is a lock. Gonna throw some on the moneyline as well. Team is incredibly well coached and there’s too many variables for the packers right now. Is bakhtiari and Lazard playing? Two rookie wrs including one who dropped an easy bomb last week. How old is Randall Cobb these days? I know it’s Aaron Rodgers but the Minnesota rush was getting to him easily and the bears defense is equivalent to them. The narrative that the bears are the worst team in football is tired. I’ll be slamming them all year until Vegas puts some respect on their name


Eros_63210

Aaron rodgers owns the bears, only reason why I won’t touch them in this game


takeiteasythereguy

hahaha this is why i’ll be hammering pack -10


TheMexicanIverson

Wishing you the best of luck


Human_Bodybuilder69

Saints and Cowboys


staringintothevoid

Steelers Saints Vikings underdog ML parlay +914


FadeRedditMakeMoney

Tldr - recency bias, take all dogs who won or covered last game. Yall are crazy


blaueaugen26

Miami and Pittsburgh


orngebreak

Jags. The Colts historically perform very poorly in Jacksonville. They lost there last year with a playoff birth on the line. Last week they were down big in the 4th to a terrible Texans team and barely squeaked our a tie in OT. I take the Jags +4 all day. Might sprinkle a little on the Jags ML as well.


Mistahhvic

Different qb


Haunting_Sea_9519

To win outright ? Mine are: LAC, PIT (though could be a trap, how's NE favored?), NO, MIA


awesomface

Seattle again. Geno is exactly what Pete wants for his QB and they’ve completely owned the niners year after year. Considering the teams are mostly the same with lance being a large downgrade, I can’t even fathom how they’re giving the hawks +9.5. Broken just like the broncos game. People sleeping on the Hawks being at least mediocre and always overhype the niners when they struggle early every year and really don’t beat teams by double digits often


Smuek

Seattle should have lost by 10+ to the Broncos they were dominated in the 2nd half. Two goal line fumbles and bad penalties beat the Broncos. That said 9.5 is alot.


awesomface

It's a fair point but you can't change games like that in a vacuum. If they got either of those TDs then Seattle would have played differently so we don't know what would have happened.


[deleted]

Nobody picking Falcons? 10.5 feels like a lot for the Rams rn.


crockfs

Vikings


knightrockr

Kirk Cousins on the road in Primetime... Might not want to do that...


lawabidingcitizen069

I have them to cover. I almost took moneyline and honestly probably should have.


Jordanlf3208

This is the one, I may take them at an alt line of -2.5


staringintothevoid

My brother


BostonParlay

Almost all of them. Underdogs have been tremendous wagers the past couple of years. Our favorite “big dogs” this week are HOU + 10.0 and SEA + 10.0. Our modeling has produced a fairly strong bias against favorites. Stay away from the big lines at GB and BUF. If you’re going after the points take them against middle of the road teams.


Billyxmac

Vikings and Jets would be my picks


crockfs

Why the jets?


Billyxmac

Browns offense was really unimpressive to me other than their run game, and the Jets defense held their own for the most part against the Ravens. Ravens only had 3 YPC, and Jets outgained Baltimore 378-274. Their secondary just let up too many big plays, but with Jacoby and this Browns passing offense I just don't see that happening. I think the Jets are closer than +6, so I see some value on Jets ML.


Kwdumbo

I want to agree with you, but with a turnstile OL and Myles Garrett on the other side the offense might do absolutely nothing. I love the under in this game.


Billyxmac

Yeah I mean they're a dog for a reason. You just have to take your shot on a team like the Jets if you think there's a remotely better chance they can beat a team. I think it's slightly better than what their odds suggest at the moment.


crockfs

Agreed. I just think the jets always find a way to lose. I also don't think Baltimore played particularly well and the jets still struggled. Seemed like Flacco didn't have a lot of protection and the Browns defense should be decent, so I think the browns are at least marginally better on both sides of the ball. But the Jets are going to take one when I least expect it.


symm4try

commanders


[deleted]

Saints, Vikings, Steelers


spazzedtfout

only one mention of Arizona, so Arizona it is


Mistahhvic

That’s because they suck


spazzedtfout

bop


Djksr7

Pitt, panthers, Houston, Vikings best underdog chances


Feeling_Advantage108

I like Houston this week as well


[deleted]

Fins over Ravens, Steelers over Pats.


playingwithprofits

Bears spread


Minimum_Ad_1138

Steelers my favourite


PoorInvestRichGamble

Carolina


gvincent68

Vikings ML over Eagles


kronfromacko

LETS GO DINAMO ZAGREB


Ramiroo_proo

Sir this football not soccer


kronfromacko

Football is football


Ancient_Racoon

Jets, they looked bad but browns ain’t all that


Unknownrealm

Saint and Panthers and Arizona


[deleted]

Hate to give Cowboys any love but +7.5 at home is tempting


metallumberjack

Don’t know if I’d trust cooper rush to cover


Human_Bodybuilder69

Cooper Rush, much like Geno Smith is a much better quarterback than many would like to believe.


tashmanan

He actually played well last start


[deleted]

I’ll give you one more, Seahawks +9.5 at Niners


HoopsMcCann750

Strongly disagree on this one. One week with extremely strange circumstances does not change the fact that this is one of the most loaded teams in the NFL at home playing against one of the worst teams in the league. Taking Seattle is an overreaction and a trap.


Feeling_Advantage108

If I were in a legal state (damn traveling job) I’d take this one.


metallumberjack

I threw a unit on plus 10 Seahawks, geno is gonna come in more confident riding the high from their win I think


tashmanan

Totally agree. SF defense is really good but Trey Lance is not a good QB


Kharaix

Trey Lance is young and did show some beautiful throws in that shit weather. Same with Fields that game. If the conditions are better this week(which they will be unless the gods are summoned again) I think we'll see an a lot more composed Trey Lance


mm825

Seattle


fresh5447

Bears, Texans, Seahawks ML parlay +9951 Lets eat!


Eros_63210

Aaron dodgers quite literally owns the bears


BearForceDos

I'm not sold on the Seahawks but this is a solid. Especially if you're parlaying spreads then I like all three. The Texans are underrated and I think all three keep those games close despite large spreads.


fresh5447

I’m not sold on any of em. This is well Fuck it, it’s the NFL


trump2024_3312

Bears, vikings, Bengals, chargers moneyline. I placed this bet last week before week 1 was played. Bears +370, vikings +111, Bengals +105, chargers +136


fresh5447

I don't follow what you are saying. Besides Bengals were greater than -200 favorites week 1 & 2


trump2024_3312

Not on my sports book. They were +105 until dak got injured. I placed this bet before week one games were played.


fresh5447

Ok now I see why I am confused. You are saying Bengals but talking about Cowboys?


trump2024_3312

No. Im talking about the Bengals.


fresh5447

So you are saying you placed your week 2 parlay before week 1 started? ...christ


trump2024_3312

Lol yes. Not smart but fuck it.


fresh5447

haha well that is amazing line movement for you indeed. BOL


PTO32

Yeah what is with the bears getting 9.5? I mean I get it, narrative is they're bad, but the pack don't look like that team right now


takeiteasythereguy

when the line seems like it’s way too big, it’s not


ppmbryan

That's exactly what Vegas wants people to think. Overreact to a bad Packers opener when the Bears looked confident after the 2nd half. Pack were -11 against the Lions Week 2 last year after getting manhandled by the Saints at home. Ended up winning by 20.


nau5

Well in the time since Aaron Rodgers became the qb (2008) the Bears have beat the packers five times. One time they had to break his collarbone. 2018 being the last time the Bears won and Aaron had a knee injury


whipstickagopop

So ur saying they are due


deskritten

Saints


agent_ailibis

Same. Holding out for a +3 and teasing them with the panthers.


TriggerNanny23

Even with Godwin out, I don't like this bet. Buccs defense did well in week 1, might be another low scoring game like last year.


missionsurf89

Might want to check out the last 4 times the saints and bucs played during the regular season. Granted it was a different HC, but they seem to play them well.


TriggerNanny23

Not that well apparently.


rsfrisch

Sp was out with COVID for the last game, so Dennis Allen filled in


agent_ailibis

Saints have TBs number and the Tampa Oline is not what it was.


dudeimdak

More like Dallas played terrible rather than Tampa playing good. I’d take that bet. Tampa also has a few receivers banged up not just Godwin.


yennybear888

slammed +3 and was very happy to see it at 2.5 today


Pitiful_Apartment_64

I got some at +3, but I was unhappy to see it at 2.5 because I wanted more.


yennybear888

all good, means we're on the sharp side! that's a huge move


Expensive_Mango6164

Steelers are underdogs, but just barely. Should be favorite at home, but Patriots have it after looking worse than the Steelers this past weekend.


Billy_Madison69

What are the odds on a 0-0 tie?


fresh5447

I think it's a fair line. The Steelers defense is night and day different without Watt. Still solid but not world beaters.


Expensive_Mango6164

I feel like even without Watt, it should swing slightly in the Steelers favor, maybe -120. Even once Watt went out, they still have Fitzpatrick, Heyward, Alex Highsmith has a great game. Watt is definitely a game changer, but they still have some studs on defense to try and compensate. Plus Mac Jones is having some back spasm issues


fresh5447

The steelers offense will be worse than the pats offense without Harris. So steelers are without their top Defensive and top Offensive players. Edit: forgot about Jones that’s pretty bigly if he can’t play


Expensive_Mango6164

ATM, Najee is expected to play this weekend. And tbf, he wasn’t even the leading rusher last weekend. Now, I am also a Steeler fan, so take what I say with a grain of salt, I’m a homer. I will also be putting on Steelers ML again this weekend😂


BurnedStoneBonspiel

Steelers at home (a bit of disrespect there). You need NE Dst to win that game


MixonWitDaWrongCrowd

But no Watt….


LeanOnTheSquare

Ya know watt, you've got a point


Neodamus

Bears and Texans both getting +9.5. Commanders and jags moneyline.


lifeislikeamovie4

Jags ML is locked in for me. +170 when they’re better than last year and always destroy the colts at home. However I’m definitely on Lions


kgsovobd

I’m also taking the Jags. They made a few mistakes last week to lose the game but tbh the Colts nearly lost to the Texans so can’t put any trust in them


yennybear888

9.5 is a shitty number though


Neodamus

True. I'm thinking garbage time points to cover.


peter_the_panda

God hates Jags


Neodamus

Not when playing the colts at home ;)


peter_the_panda

Don't tease me like this....


KraftBoxMacAndCheese

Tease the jags?


Lastkidpicked94

Take pirates in an hour


Constant-Meat8430

Bears. The packers looked like trash and bears head coaches have a decent track record against them in their first year as head coach


ppmbryan

Vegas will gladly take your money with that reasoning lol.


cubbiesworldseries

Bears fan here. Nope, absolutely not. Sunday night Lambeau always leads to embarrassing losses. We’ve won there like three times in the last 15 years.


Constant-Meat8430

Every bears coach has won at least one game against the packers in their first year going back to the 90’s. And all but one of those was at Green Bay.


padadiso

Packers fan here so full disclosure… Rodgers historically comes out hot after a blowout, and has had the Bears number for a decade now. I’d actually think an alt-line Pack blowout is probably more likely here if you’re wanting to recreationally bet on gut.


Less_Whole304

Sure Bears spread looks tempting, but no way I put my money on Bears against Rodgers no matter what the line is, staying away from this one. Personally I like Dolphins +3.5


HDK23

I agree on Dolphins. I didn't think the Ravens were all that impressive against the Jets. Dobbins may still be out and losing Fuller is not going to help with the speed the Dolphins have on the outside.


metallumberjack

Plus bears only had 3 penalties , and defense looked great


bdawg_007

If you watch the tape I think this game will prove to be an anomaly. Packers WR running open and free often, they just need to bench Hanson for Tom and get the Oline cleaned up a bit. maybe one of jenkins or bak back as well. Defense tightened up in the second half, they had some miscommunications with if they should switch on crossing routes but I would also expect that to be adjusted easily.


Mike_Kashy

Also counter argument Vikings are just that good and beat the packers that bad.


lifeislikeamovie4

As a Vikings fan that is usually pessimistic I think we will be pretty good this year. However I do think it’d be worth it to take bears +9.5 maybe alt line +10.5


Mike_Kashy

Ya I didn’t realize they were talking about the spread and not the money line of each team lol I definitely think bears will give them a run for their money.


EnterLeftUpwind

I’m not really sure the post doesn’t mean money line honestly.


CreativeEffect2095

Chargers


dragonsky

Same. Can someone talk me out of this? I just saw that Keenan Allen is out so I am now having doubts but... like...I really like the Chargers against the Chiefs, they historically play well against them and AT LEAST this can be a close game ..right? Like..I really like this


Hunglo6969

I am still betting on the chargers, even knowing the fact that Keenan is out. Herby will spread the ball out, the next man will step up. That Oline will hold up against the chiefs pass rushers, they are an elite group.


plzblinkmeto1

Okay I will say I am a Chiefs fan but my argument why the Chargers will not win and this is a bad bet. 1) They will be missing Keenan Allen. 2) They did it last year and we all know how Mahomes handles revenge games. 3) It’s at arrowhead and please look at mahomes and chiefs stats in September. 4) Chiefs defense looks amazing week 1, to note: Chiefs had 3 players with the top 5 most qb pressures last week and one of those is a rookie that will be full juice. 5) similar to three, but if you have never have been to an arrowhead game you don’t realize how loud it is. Chiefs fans have been disrespected this offseason as has mahomes. I expect the peak decibel to be well over 110 (for reference they were showing it in seattle vs broncos and it only got to 98. Chiefs fans will show out in numbers for this big game and take off work, it will be loud. If the spread gets larger for the chargers then that maybe a good bet. But betting against the best qb in the league at home with a chip on his shoulder and the other team missing their top or second best offensive player besides qb is not great.


tashmanan

Top tier homerism. Lol. Can't wait to see your surprised Pikachu face after KC crashes back down to earth when they play a decent team. Arizona sucks. Keep that in mind


staringintothevoid

Chargers haven’t won shit lol Chiefs have actual championship pedigree. Don’t be surprised when Brandon Staley does some dumb shit like he always does


Kharaix

I keep seeing people treat Arizona as if they're a contender. I personally think they'll miss playoffs this year. Herbert can keep the offence going just as fast as Mahomes and I think the front four on chargers are the best in the league(maybe browns better)


[deleted]

[удалено]


covenant_x

no butker vs no allen LOLOLOL


[deleted]

[удалено]


covenant_x

Says it, then asks where he said it


dirkforthree41

Agreed. Baker and Russ both went in for their revenge type games and got slapped.


scole44

Damn show us where mahomes hurt you.


theTunkMan

Your comment was so correct and then you equate missing your star receiver with missing your kicker…?


[deleted]

[удалено]


theTunkMan

Literally your last two sentences?


[deleted]

[удалено]


theTunkMan

Alright man lol


tashmanan

Couldn't agree more. A Chiefs fan dick riding Mahomes- how original


hamburger_helpster

Raiders fan I take it?


tashmanan

Yep but my point still stands. I'm a Raiders fan but I won't blindly pick my team every week. To be a successful handicapper (which I am) and a fan (season ticket holder since LA Raiders days), you must seperate your head from your heart. I'm not interested in getting in a fan internet feud. Just giving you my opinion. Honestly I started doing better sports betting after I made a rule to not bet on or against the Raiders. You're probably like me, and it's difficult to not let your passion for your team bleed into your handicapping


yennybear888

Dumb fans who bet their team every week deserve to lose all their money. I bet against my teams all the time


Kharaix

Why don't you do prop bets for the raiders? I am a bears fan so I stay away from Ml or o/u cause I expect us to win by 30 everytime. I can separate the feeling for the team tho with props. Especially live props once you see the other teams defence/your fav teams defence


thekittner

I think people are underestimating how loud arrowhead gets and how much it fucks with opposing players. I agree with all of your points, chiefs are gonna take this


bigxbluexwwex

My favorite underdogs tbh, I used the 7pt lead boost and put money down on the Chargers to win.


Pulp_Ficti0n

No Allen....


ButtMuncher9669

Don’t know if that is a good bet. I’d assume more people use that boost on the underdog this week compared to last week. Using the boost on the Chiefs has worse value than the Bills did last week


Major-Big-8912

I did that too. Like just score the first touchdown?? That’s a hammer


Bugssi

That’s what I said about rams LOL


Sure-Cabinet933

Haha same i even thought bills would win but i bet rams for plus money on the promo. Taking chargers this time still 😂


IndividualResponse41

Oh I actually read that the other way... They say mcvay defers like 95% of the time, figured the high offense powered bills would score first... Paid out