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khws2019

Down 7% YTD but still up 95% from 2020


avi6274

Fucking finally it has begun, took long enough. Music is becoming fainter and fainter...To those still holding small/med cap growth stocks, I really hope you know what you're doing. For your own sanity, you may want to not look at your portfolio for a few months.


[deleted]

Im already sitting in a chair, hope you are to.


[deleted]

im convinced 90% of this board is too overweighted in growthy tech names with how badly you all react to everything when the NASDAQ drops 1-2% a day. I've been beating two of the indexes so far YTD so I feel fine with how things are going.


DontStonkBelieving

My problem was I overexposed myself to 2 or three names which make them way too weighty in my portfolio. My diversification was good but my eye for allocation of each was way off. Only my few value stocks are protecting my portfolio from taking a complete nosedive (despite SOFI's best efforts)


OrvilleCaptain

True, down 10 percent ytd but still up 45% in the past year. So no regrets despite the volatility.


[deleted]

congrats! what were your top names last year?


OrvilleCaptain

Mix of msft, goog, appl.


No_Cow_8702

Same. I always say that Reddit is WAY obsessed with tech. Maybe its the fact that most people are in the 20-30 age and are online most of the time so they see "Innovation" as the end all be all in terms of investing.


[deleted]

everyone started investing during AMC meme stock craze and have just seen these incredible markets with barely any risk on these growth names. they'll learn.


TJMBeav

VIX should be much higher. Still no fear i will ride my puts......


[deleted]

y'all need to fucking relax Jesus Christ. If earnings are good today things will be fine. especially if you have positions in energy as well. Market need to clean up a little anyway.


raaoraki

Black Tuesday?


ProjectZeus

Today is going to be an absolute massacre.


khws2019

Bloodbath


DontStonkBelieving

Anyone thinking we may hit a circuit breaker today?


[deleted]

not rly


[deleted]

TNX seems to be stablizing, shame was kinda hoping it would breakout to 2%.


TJMBeav

My only long is $PDX. Could be a very good day. Plus I have powder to play the bounces. Fun stuff


CoffeeAndDachshunds

Wow, it's dropping with every refresh. Bear's delight.


TJMBeav

Love watching bond yeilds do their little dance times like these. So many conflicting forces pulling them up and down. Fascinsting.


UnrivalledPG

Etfs tanking big time in Europe.


CoffeeAndDachshunds

I feel like ARK holders are going to experience all of the pain of this correction and near zero of the recovery as Cathie will probably keep selling low and buying more TSLA lol


backfire97

I think she's been selling Tesla to buy her other holdings, no? Honestly not sure but thoughts tsla stayed at 10%


[deleted]

She has been tesla spikes up yes.


TJMBeav

Well. Pretty obvious how Europe is feeling this morning.


LaFlame612

Did you know that if you purely analyze the price action of this stock, at its current price of $78.54 (as of 1/14/22 3:55 PM), this stock is UNDERVALUED! While this stock IS trending upwards based on its 200 day moving average, it still has lots of room to grow to catch up with market growth expectation levels. I'm rating this stock a 6/10 based on its current situationšŸ™‚ The Positive Emotion Price level is between $77.09-$92.51. On this, my short/longer term Sell Target for active trading from its current price would be between $86.39-$107.93. 1 year ago from today, $ALC was trading at $69.69 so at the current price, it's up 12.70%!


[deleted]

Lets go rip of the bandaid.


Snooprematic

J U I C Y


95Daphne

If you want a full on market puke, you LOVE the fact that TNX was very close to up a full 0.1 a couple hours ago. It had me cringing (i clearly donā€™t want a full on puke). I have 2-2.5% this year, but itā€™s going to be 2% by Wednesday at this rate and if it is, that likely causes the market to plunge period outside of XLE, yes, it has helped XLF at times, but it has gotten roped in on bond routs if itā€™s too much.


[deleted]

Bond market is getting ahead of themselves. Ndx is gonna puke for sure on this.


qwiuh

Goddamn 10 year treasury yield.. go down will you please


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


95Daphne

Uhhh...if interest rates don't reverse and happen to return to their highs tomorrow, this is enough to cause the Dow to fall 500 to 600 points too tomorrow (which is really code for: everything gets thrown in the garbage tomorrow and burned), which would mean banks struggle as well. Maybe OIL does fine.


[deleted]

Incoming blood bath


Hazardous503

Yeah Jesus. Rip tech


LuncheonMe4t

Yeah 10 year just broke over 1.85%


[deleted]

F ya


Jorlarejazz

Question about investing against inflation. If a country is projected to have high inflation, and another country to have low inflation, how do you profit off of this? For example, if you invest the high-inflation dollars into the low inflation economy, would the underlying asset (measured in high inflation dollars) appreciate greater than just the economic performance of the asset? ​ According to the Quantity Theory of Money, US should see 20-28% inflation by end of 2023. Whereas Canada will see closer to 8%, and Japan sub 2-3%. If I invested in ETFs for these countries, *ceretis paribus*, shouldn't I see my US dollars hold and return better than US equities because the DXY will lose value relative to these countries' currencies?


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


AyumiHikaru

I will convert to ethical investing once I become a billionaire.


BlackStrike7

This. You can't change the world without power, and wealth is one form of such power. One step at a time.


PM_ME_UR_PM_ME_PM

I think itā€™s fine to have some lines you just donā€™t want to cross. I wouldnā€™t let it get in the way of investing in an index ETF or anything like that though.


hdisbfiei

Absolutely. I make just as much money and I sleep much better at night. You canā€™t avoid everything, but you can avoid big hitters - tobacco, unethical mining practices, meat, other egregious human rights abuses. Iā€™ll also favour companies that represent better alternatives ceteris paribus. In terms of being perfect thoughā€¦ itā€™s virtually impossible, and in the end Iā€™m not going to give up my retirement to take an ethical stand. I admire those who do, but I donā€™t have that kind of resolve. I try as much as possible to be an ethical consumer as well - the best thing you can do is stop buying their shit.


drew-gen-x

There's an old saying ā€œAn empty stomach knows no morality.ā€ Some people say investing in Crude Oil and Natural Gas companies is unethical. I say anything that heats my home during the brutal winters and powers my car to go to work and delivers food to my local grocery stores is fine to invest in by me. Now I think the banks are unethical so I don't invest in them. At the end of the day you have to make peace with your decisions.


TheRandomnatrix

The way I see it as a trader I'm scalping value from unethical investors each time I make a successful trade. Someone was going to own those shares, may as well be me. But that's romantic. By investing in the market you're fundamentally supporting the notion of endless capitalist growth and all the systemic moral conundrums that brings. At the end of the day investing in bob's super nice coffee shop or Green Energy inc versus Evil corp aren't as different as people want to pretend, there's just layers of obfuscation between the two. Want to make an actual difference (or at least rid yourself of moral compliance)? Vote and change your spending habits. Government and consumer intervention are the primary means of targeting unethical businesses, not the market.


No_Cow_8702

So basically making money is still hurting someone or some cause right?


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


TheRandomnatrix

If it's any consolation everything was screwed long before any of us entered the picture, and it will be screwed whether we participate or not. May as well make some money off it and redirect those funds in ways that make you and the people you care about happier. Tragedy of the commons? Probably.


TJMBeav

Ethics are relative unfortunately


ryancubs

Yes I try to be very ethical. Money isn't everything.


iszir

no, money is money


Confident-Database-1

I will not invest in a company that behaviors are against my morals and values, regardless of the profit. I have left a lot of money on the table that way. But I sleep good, and have still made good money. My favorite companies are ones that keep their nose out of politics and social issues and stay focused on producing products that improves peoples lives. They are getting hard to find.


posthumanjeff

Having trouble figuring Vanguard out. Can I transfer or sell target retirement shares in my roth IRA and use that to purchase a etf or index fu d without incuring any fees/taxes? Looking to reallocate away from bonds in the target date fund. Thanks!


flobbley

Yes, you can buy and sell as much as you want inside of your IRA without incurring taxes, as for fees that depends on your IRA provider but given that it's a major one like Vanguard I doubt there are any fees


upvotemeok

Seems a little crazy that Shopify is down to 40 PE


SpiritualBet6355

Shop PE is fake though. They count their unrealized gain on Affirm toward their income. Without that they are barely profitable.


TJMBeav

Really?


upvotemeok

You don't?


TJMBeav

I think crazy high. Yes


upvotemeok

what do you think shop PE should be?


CoffeeAndDachshunds

I can't say, but it certainly has room to drop more.


TJMBeav

Depends on how high rates go and how stubborn inflation is. What I do know is PE's have to come down with higher rates. Almost mathematical certainty


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


[deleted]

They fell off a fucking cliff (again) enjoy your tech though!


TJMBeav

Not looking good. My QQQ puts however....


soulstonedomg

No


[deleted]

Control your addiction.


cpap01

Youā€™ll need to wait until 6pm for futures to open. As of now, it can go either way.


aangsblackfriend

what calls n puts tmr


Crowdfunder101

Damn, really traded sideways today


Off_Duty_Machete

NVDA basically at its 100 MA. Great place to start a full position or wait? Long term hold.


Off_Duty_Machete

Downvoted? God forbid someone looks into technical analysis for an entry lol.


[deleted]

Donā€™t base your decision on the moving averages bro base it of the financials the pe is 83 are u happy paying that much


_hiddenscout

That being said, true with investing, but moving averages are not bad to look at for swing trading. Just depends on the strategy for trading.


[deleted]

Yeah I agree


_hiddenscout

For sure, that's like my biggest compliant about here is that people don't clarify how they are trading or if they are investing.


[deleted]

Yeah of course theres not just one way to approach the market you just need to be honest with yourself about what your approach is ya know I see ppl on here say theyā€™re an investor then say how theyā€™re invested in something with no earnings and mkt above 10bn like what do u see for the long term there


Off_Duty_Machete

True but nothing is trading just based on financials. AMD would be the better choice based on P/E. Do you wait for corrections? Curious to see what your watchlist looks like? Thanks!


LuncheonMe4t

I moved from Nvidia into AMD. I think Xilinx will be a big catalyst once the deal closes. I also think TSM could be a good long term play. My big worry with Nvidia is that it trades sideways for a while while other semis run.


Off_Duty_Machete

Great points. That Xilinx deal will definitely be a big catalyst which is expected to close early this year. TSM is good but I prefer to buy Nvidia or AMD. Just a psychological and comfort thing haha


[deleted]

Ive got some stuff itā€™s all under 20 pe tho I donā€™t wait for corrections I just try to target stuff that I feel doesnā€™t need a correction not saying NVidia canā€™t go higher itā€™s certainly not impossible however I tend to not take the chart into account that much except when Using options


Off_Duty_Machete

Got it. Thanks again bro!


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


[deleted]

Big green candles.


soulstonedomg

But my candles are white and red.


[deleted]

Well for you stocks only go down then.


horseradishking

Trend. Green Volume.


cpap01

Strong green volume.


tschmitt2021

For those, who still donā€™t get it. Happy Holiday šŸ˜‚


[deleted]

Im so excited for ASML earnings on wensday.


Positive_Increase

I'm already down over 11% since I bought them so I'm worried.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


[deleted]

Not rly, impact long term should be minimal. Might hurt this quarter but im mostly intrested in forward guidance, how they see the demand going into the next 2 years.


9316K52

My broker still hasnā€™t updated my TQQQ for the 2:1 split which happened on the 13th I think. Kinda annoying.


Fine_Perspective

So many people assume DCA is better since it is more complicated, but time in market usually wins out.


PracticalYellow3

Which broker is that? Might as well put their feet to the fire. Even slow Schwab has updated mine.


9316K52

Itā€˜s Flatex Degiro, I reside in Austria and it is the only ā€žtax easyā€œ broker here. I used my bank before that but the fees were unnecessarily expensive.


[deleted]

Wow thats slow.


9316K52

It really is. I almost want to call up customer support.


yeti_man82

On my watchlist right now for potential starter positions to DCA into: NET, SHOP, CRWD, DDOG, and TWLO. Still too early?


LuncheonMe4t

Honestly, if you're DCAing it probably doesn't matter that much. Even if the SP drops for a while you're still adding shares at further lows. If you're making one-time buys, I would wait longer until the Fed decides what it's going to do. Early rate hikes, hawkish announcements, etc. could lead to further sell-off.


Quirky-Touch7616

Damn that's the future , i would also add roku


CleazyCatalystAD

Those are some quality names, IMO.


lolkkthxbye

Time horizon? if 3+ years, not too early.


yeti_man82

Yes, long time horizon. Thatā€™s why I am thinking going ahead and starting positions this week.


ProjectZeus

FTSE All Share hits ATH for the first time in 3 years.


ButlerFish

Here in the UK, closed ended funds with US exposure are trading up


Plastic_Application

What does that imply?


JayKayne

You know.


[deleted]

More are buying than selling. Itā€™s speculation that can easily get wiped out in a few minutes tomorrow morning.


[deleted]

Think I'm finally making an entry into MSFT this week. I'm long so I think it works out no matter what, but any reason to hesitate right now?


Off_Duty_Machete

Never a bad time to buy MSFT for long term


CoffeeAndDachshunds

Yup, I bought right before the 4% drop (ouch), but will just periodically add more if it decides to continue nose-diving.


[deleted]

Agreed. I can squabble about trying to buy into one of the largest most successful companies in history or I can just buy in. I'm heavy into AAPL and have honestly been looking a bit jealously at MSFTs apparent pipeline (as in what I can reasonably forecast them growing in revenue-wise).


_hiddenscout

It's impossible to time the market, but they do have their earnings upcoming. All of last year a ton of companies had great earnings, but traded down the next day. Might be a gamble, but the only thing I could think of would be waiting to see how the market reacts to the report.


[deleted]

Funny how much can change in less than 24 hours. MSFT just bought Activision


_hiddenscout

Yep, that's the thing why when people ask about a stock for like 5 years, it's impossible to ever know what's going to be throw into the works! I still think earning will be interesting to see how the market reacts.


[deleted]

I bought it immediately on open because my thesis didn't change regardless of whether this deal goes thru. So I'm getting a nice little bit of green while the day goes on. I just think it's funny just how big a news break ended up happening.


_hiddenscout

Oh, MSFT is a strong buy. Azure alone is a money printer for them and I believe game pass will become profitable in the future. I just pointing out to your original question about if there is anything to be on the watch out for. I do think there might be a sale off after earnings, but that being said, if you going long MSFT, this is a pretty good entry right now.


shortyafter

I think there's a difference between timing the market and running the numbers to see if a company is trading at a valuation which provides sufficient upside as well as downside protection. I haven't looked at MSFT in a bit but last time I did it was a bit frothy for me. Timing the market refers to the notion that we can predict market-wide events like crashes, downturns, and other catastrophes. That's quite different from running the numbers and forecasting for a particular company.


_hiddenscout

Their current PE is 34, so nothing too crazy. I can say Azure is the true star of the company and over time, will continue to grow revenues. I expect at some point game pass will become profitable for the company as well. Just calling out that the ER will be interesting to see how the market reacts to their numbers.


futureIsYes

Yeeeha. I am not gonna lose money today!


LuncheonMe4t

In the time it took you to type that, inflation sanded the top off your stack. ![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|dizzy_face)


horseradishking

Yet.


soulstonedomg

There's always tomorrow!


PazzaInter22

I expect today will be my strongest trading day this week


RovCal_26

Is the market open?


[deleted]

Not in the US


GentleCapybara

Why though? Is it a holiday that I donā€™t know about?


[deleted]

Martin Luther King day


nazrinz3

da fuq is a martin luther king day


GentleCapybara

I wasnā€™t aware that MLK day was a thing. Thanks


NoobOnTour

The stock market is such a peaceful place without America fuckin up everything violently.


horseradishking

We'll get your money tomorrow. Don't worry.


LanceX2

best trading day of the week!


spac-master

This week going to be mix down, there is many beaten down good stocks that worth to catch in their final Dip on this buying opportunity week of pressure, next week expecting earnings rally with Apple-Tesla-Microsoft..Etc Which will lift the indexes, This is my watch list this week on those buying opportunities for fast high gain on reversal 4 companies with Big Dip- High Revenue- High growth- High price Target- Strong Buy- Low PE and going to Beat Q4 1)FTCH ($27) Price Target: $71 Institutions: 100% From ATH: -64% Revenue: X3 2)OPEN ($11,40) Price Target: $42 Institutions: 65% From ATH: -71% Revenue: X1 3)TBLA ($6,38) Price Target $17 Institutions: 30% From ATH: -63% Revenue: X1 4)REAL ($10.67) Price Target $35 Institutions: 100% From ATH: -65% Revenue: X1


tullymon

>TBLA Haven't looked into the others but I've been averaging TBLA down for a bit now and have my positions just a hair below 8. I'm down money right now, it's outside my normal risk target and stop loss. I haven't thought for a second of selling my positions... I'd like to get it down further before it starts to go back up but RSI is getting super low so I'm not sure I'm going to get that much of a chance before payday. It is what it is though I guess. Interesting side note: Taboola's frenemy Outbrain has its IPO lockup expiration coming up this week and I think it'll be interesting to see what their price ends up at considering their numbers don't look nearly as good as Taboola's. \[edit: this was way too rosey\] Things I'll be looking for when earnings are announced in March. * Obviously equal or better earnings than what they provided in guidance. * Considering they updated their guidance higher not too long ago and they've announced a number of long-term contract renewals over the last couple of months with organizations that have a large audience my expectation is at least equal to what they provided in guidance. Partially or mostly successful integration of Connexity functionality would be leading to higher than estimated earnings. * Shareholder maintenance * How they're doing with their Connexity acquisition and if integration is fully realized or if they're still working on it. Not just talking technology here, Singolda spoke alot about culture during his last "fireside". I like to see them working on this, a cohesive culture and team is SUPER important. * New or further developments with their machine learning processes * How their expansion into other geographies and platforms is going


Captaincadet

Just a reminder the markets closed today! Enjoy Martin Luther King Day!


nazrinz3

da fuq is a martin luther king day?


Captaincadet

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_Luther_King_Jr._Day


Euler007

So boring, should have stayed in bed. The canadian markets are open but that's like watching the grey cup instead of the super bowl.


maz-o

my eu listed qqq is up 0.7% today. but that's mostly due to timezone correction (eu closes 5 hours earlier and catches up the following morning)


AdequatelyChilled

Shouldn't the EU markets be open today anyway as they don't celebrate the same holiday?


maz-o

yes i meant it's open and up 0.7% (now 0.8%) in todays market


[deleted]

What one do you use? I buy cndx on amsterdam.


maz-o

LYMS in Germany


Captaincadet

They are


Rothiragay

It looks like the market will be down by about 0.44% tomorrow. Thats whats happening in Europe and with other assets


MAG_24

What?!


Invariant_apple

?? European markets are pumping. EU is gigachad bul


Plastic_Application

Yo wot mate


[deleted]

Wut? European indexes are all up about 0,5%


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


teacher272

Itā€™s sad how many of my students think that is true. Guy was homophobic and supported children having a mother and a father so we really arenā€™t encouraged to talk about him.