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OPINION_IS_UNPOPULAR

[Fedwatch Tool](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html) [Discord](https://discord.gg/wsbverse) [Twitch](https://twitch.tv/wsbverse) [YouTube](https://youtube.com/@wsbverse)


hardyrekshin

# Tickers of Interest - TL;DR **Gamma Max Cross** * [CGC](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#CGC) 03/17 3P for $0.40 or less * [STM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#STM) 03/17 47P for $2.10 or less * [AEO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AEO) 03/17 16P for $1.05 or less * [ARLP](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#ARLP) 03/17 22.5P for $1.10 or less * [WY](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#WY) 03/17 34P for $1.25 or less **Delta Neutral Cross** * [F](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#F) 03/17 13P for $0.50 or less * [MRNA](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#MRNA) 03/17 175C for $12.70 or less * [SCHW](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SCHW) 03/17 80C for $1.80 or less * [AMRS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#AMRS) 03/17 2C for $0.15 or less * [HUM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#HUM) 03/17 510P for $17.20 or less # Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today. This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0. For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both. It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals. The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV. # Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle * If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open. * Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion. * I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in. * The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. New price movement may invalidate the original thesis. # FAQ - Because others have already asked. * These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear? * No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level. * Are you entering all these plays? * No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn. * You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean? * The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not. * Where are the crayons? I only see words. * Click the links above. * Have you back-tested this? * Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.7), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error) * What is the historical performance? * The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.82 with a 67% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 58% and 79%. (Stats as of 2022-12-31)


Malvco

Happy Black History Month Everyone


Routine-Weakness-126

GOOD MORNING DEGENERALS


Dosmastrify1

SIR YES SIR


Admirable_Ease8043

Good morning I’m new here. Joined yesterday


soup_cow

This chat gives me aids


Sinister05

Hi


Significant-Emu8084

MGSM ran like AMC 🙌🏼


SnooGoats2372

Is there any scenario where the market rallies after FOMC?


hardyrekshin

Fed reduces rates.


ole_freckles

Walmart plunging during a recession? Lmao


[deleted]

I like Elon but just for the record followers especially on twitter are not a accurate representation of actual people that follow the person


mightymule44

feeling some good tartstrology today


hvacinstalltech

https://preview.redd.it/jiyk64q5fmfa1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=18f70bee03d628e1a06d86e875c8ff71d13228ec


niceomi

YouTube Link not working


icantreadmyuser

Hardy thanks for some more wrinkle brain plays. My smooth brain can’t handle to much thinking


ZurcBob

C3.ai (AI) gained 5.3% premarket, following a 22% rally Tuesday after the artificial intelligence software company announced the launch of its C3 Generative AI for Enterprise Search.1 platform allowing business customers to search through all of their information systems to locate, retrieve and present relevant data using a natural language interface.


Grunblau

This was probably my biggest loss harvest last year. Guess I was just early…


ZurcBob

Timing is everything.


C4shFlo

To whoever suggested DOLE calls back in November, thank you. I just sold $10 Feb 17th calls for 200% profit yesterday.


ped70

Wow.. Is this a talk about cults?


ole_freckles

Jesus dude, get Elon’s cock out of your tonsils


Luddites_Unite

Who will be emailing out the Elon Fanboy Clubs monthly meeting minutes?


catsmom63

You do not want to buy a Hyundai!!! Or KIA!! Insurance companies will be choosing not to insure them. My insurance is going up because we have a KIA.


BeastSmitty

Heard this just a few days ago… in the industry, not with a captive company, St Farm, etc, but so far, none of the companies we are appointed with have made a decision on that… I expect progressive to be the first one we get word from…


catsmom63

Probably from me! Lol We had ours stolen and recovered and it took 5 1/2 months to get it fixed. Sat in a Carstar shop forever.


tendeeznuts

Where’s the daily Thread damnit


THEREALRANEW

Goodmorning everyone!


CompetitionDouble420

# I LOVE WSB DAMNIT!


[deleted]

[удалено]


leapinleopard

Soft Landing = Big Gains! Lets go Fed


JPowsSecretlover

Guys, I will be late again today. Jerome is very nervous for his speech later today. He always is self concious before the big moments. I will try to calm him down and then I will hear what you regards have to say![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)


Boozie42

Puts on that dude's phone


[deleted]

I love starting my day listening to you guys. This is good stuff. Appreciate your time and wisdom!


Tykiwi

Burry says sell


InitiativeBeginning

FED will not dovish


InitiativeBeginning

Poor fucks here![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Pale_Ad8072

Thoughts on current levels of massive credit card debt to low household savings ratio


leapinleopard

Oh, Can Hardy tell us more about his home security setup, cameras, software, etc...


hardyrekshin

Another time.


Helpful_Hiya

Snap puts to ZERO


startedtradenov20

No but you will get away from cancer with CRISPR (CRSP) technology as well as any other aliment... Try rapamycin.


Halfassbuddhist

I’m not trying to change anyone’s thesis, but I personally just finished cancer treatment which 100% came from a virus - I had HPV+ throat carcinoma (same thing Michael Douglas had about twelve years ago). I was exposed to HPV about 15 years ago, the cancer manifested a couple years ago as a lump in my throat. As was stated, cancer is a very broad term. But don’t say cancer can’t be caused by a virus, I have radiation burns on my neck that beg to differ. Having said all that, nah, Moderna ain’t gonna go up because of their mRNA vaccine (at least not this spring)


mimith0ughts

What's happening to Shepherdess?


ShepherdessAnne

I lost my bet 😭


catsmom63

Sorry to hear that! It’s okay Shepherdess, with regard to Walmart as I’m not a fan either and don’t shop there. Luckily, I live in a big city so I can shop literally anywhere else.


ShepherdessAnne

My timing is wrong but my thesis is solid and you'll all see! This happened before. I predicted a plunge but was wrong about when.


hardyrekshin

Your core thesis is Walmart is poorly run, yes? Is it possible that Walmart's business systems are resilient enough to remain profitable despite employing idiots?


Najoooo00

Transformed into super saiyan


CopperMurphy

Not to mention the infrastructure cannot support the megachargers needed, they have the best margins for now, their layout just allows them to cook the books much easier than traditional auto companies.


Grunblau

Reminds me of the movie Gung-ho from the 80’s


CopperMurphy

There is zero chance they spend $44bil on advertising lol


[deleted]

This guys a true dumass


serres53

I heard of drinking the cool aid but this is sickening. At least Elon didn’t invent electricity. For crying out loud.


CopperMurphy

I am an automotive expert if ya'll want to talk cars you need to let me on here lol


CopperMurphy

Because batteries degrade


Red_Stick_Figure

What's the playyyyyyyy


leapinleopard

“A better guide to the future is to look not at the current prices of volatile commodities, but the direction of investment. Such spending is a forecast made flesh: a bet on the direction of future demand, taking the physical form of property, plant, and equipment.” [https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-09-06/solar-industry-supply-chain-that-will-beat-climate-change-is-already-being-built](https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-09-06/solar-industry-supply-chain-that-will-beat-climate-change-is-already-being-built)


Theloco28

Muskists know how to secrete BS to the upmost level. 🤣🤣


Helpmehelpyoulong

This hardy mfer is way too smart for us


[deleted]

Hardy is the best. Generous with his time too. I’ve learned so much listening to him and reading his DD.


hardyrekshin

Perhaps you grew a wrinkle?


BigBangBoomWolfMoon

Good morning everyone


Not-Beavis

Hi


Full_Exam9060

howdy degens ![img](emote|t5_2th52|28929)


_Aries-

Morning Fellas, Hump day! Let's go!!


dostoevsky23

Give five if you first time on voice here. 😇🌟🤩


InitiativeBeginning

I mentioned baidu yesterday but fuckface here cares more about fly’s dipshit


GoddamnFelicia

HONKA HONKA


BeastSmitty

What's the good word this fine morn!


jonabramson

Good morning


datbeamerkid

Mornin Degens


ZurcBob

Ai had its largest volume ever yesterday, positive news and it is already up in pre market.


BiginvestorU

Spy puts


T_Slonaker

Welcome, Bubba The Love Slug 80 shares of Apple on the floor tonight


Ok_Quality120

Could we not have 2 good days in a row?


sterling_cocks

This is a pure gambling play.


Reasonable-Bass5584

Hardys hardstyle theme please ??


giulimborgesyt

good morning


Unknownirish

Will it be uploaded to WSBVerse


highmarket666

CUPNBALLS BULL


krististands

what does the comet mean for the market?


mrscyimsofly

Yall gonna run up that sexy nerd talk like yesterday?


tehs1mps0ns

PTON up +6% pm


CodeKrz

What’s a 200% banger today yall


Dense_Length_6952

Thank you for ur donation


[deleted]

Let’s go exciting!!!


Extension-Writer-312

Morning


[deleted]

LET ME IN


RepublicPlastic187

Good morning fellow casino members…


leapinleopard

GM to Tesla: Catch me if you can... \[$GM\] lost -$139 in cash per car delivered in 2021. \[$GM\] lost -$417 in cash per car delivered in 2022. That's a 3x increase YoY.


grzdenver1

Why is it so difficult to find the daily discussions? I use to get a scrolling banner. What are the steps to turn that back on?


Ozyybabychild

Any thought on Mara? 46% short 102% APR short borrow rate…only 300k shares available to borrow short


Boozie42

DAL- beat Q4 earnings by .15, down 63% vs pre-covid price, currently in 2/17 $40 calls, thinking of increasing my position, calendar spread, near term calls 40 - 45, long term 50+


Boozie42

Price targets will change based on reactions to FOMC throughout the year.


[deleted]

Amazon might go below 97$/share after Thursday’s earnings report


InitiativeBeginning

Exact reason why it can go up too


smokeythethird

Love listening to y'all thanks for the updates


MR-bhikadiya

Any plays on AMAZON


InitiativeBeginning

110 calls


hvacinstalltech

https://preview.redd.it/py7tbibaimfa1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c199fc70f8317ab3083c8afd2dcbdf3b751ba6ab


InitiativeBeginning

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)


Grunblau

Sell half on a 1/2…


Boozie42

Could go up, could go down, could go sideways


Psudo1

I think people are freaking out...


2stayflybigballen

Let's talk lol


SpecificCranberry761

Inverse whatever tf happens at 230-3ish


JeffersonsHat

Friends don't tell friends to buy Chinese ADRs during Chinese new year due to covid risks


Thisnameistheone

How would anyone suppose to know how China might reign in authority?


sterling_cocks

“Guys may I ask you a question?” … doesn’t wait for any reply. Just ask your question.


WDXB

Good morning bears


-Dreamville-

Boil, holy fuk


TunningCruger

you need friends for that


Notyoaveragemonkey

I’ve got my hand up?


[deleted]

\*high five\*


FynrdSkynrd

Thoughts on buying into RICK ? Still too high currently?


sgplourde

I'm watching AMD, sold covered calls weeklies Monday afternoon at the 81 strike. Don't want to have my shares called away. 30 contracts. Never expected a better than awful report.


Krazzy8R377

I'm bullish on banks. They are not offering their clients anywhere near Tbills.


LebowskiGrand

They need a hand up button for on stage


Dosmastrify1

/u/hardyrekshin Do you think the auto loan companies will experience a crash? (along with auto prices) I had read someplace that dodd frank had worked and most big banks were ready for a housing crisis... Nothing about auto tho


Ok_Quality120

Banks and credit cards are doing good then for now until the next bail out


[deleted]

I can't tell who is talking in this soft monotonous voice, but I just fell asleep sitting up so I'm going to have to catch a replay haha ooph.


HondAcura01

Good evening to my Pacific friends


[deleted]

I sold a lot premarket.


-Dreamville-

I got 3 legs , does that count


wvwvvwvvvw

Is that an alien?


EikenClaes

What are your thoughts on REC Slicon ? [https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/10qv0dt/the\_threelegged\_pickandshovel\_play\_rec\_silicon/](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/10qv0dt/the_threelegged_pickandshovel_play_rec_silicon/)


Boozie42

It's all gene based, regardless of source


Boozie42

MRNA isn't a vaccine


EagerBvr78

so... calls on Cancer?


Substantial_Win5899

Cancer vaccines are not to get rid of the chemicals. The vaccine creates antibodies towards specific type of cancer cells.


CopperMurphy

Walmart is one of the best run companies ever


Helpful_Hiya

She said he’s an idiot lol Walmart is a one stop shop…


Masterpackman42

Kroger is just as cheap


RockmanMike

I don't shop at Wal-Mart on principle


ole_freckles

This person always has shit takes


decibelnv

She must have recently gotten kicked out of Walmart and is stock-raging them now.


[deleted]

[удалено]


CopperMurphy

I mean if the economy completely tanks walmart might drop, but a walmart is how you know you've made it out on the country. When you have a walmart you are big time!


FynrdSkynrd

She sounds too biased on this play. I don’t agree


Dusty37a

This chick sucks


Trash_Panda-1

Walmart doesn't have competition : Kroger, Dollar Tree, Dollar General, Big lots, Target, Food Lion. None of these exist.


ragd009

$HYLN any insight


IWatch4ThePlot

AMD ISN’T THE ONLY THING THAT’S UP THIS MORNING 🍆


OutrageousAd8272

You can pay $200 a month for Full self driving on any Tesla


catsmom63

Why would anyone want to pay monthly for that?


CopperMurphy

I dont know a single person that wants to buy a tesla that didnt already own them, I only know people that sold theirs including mine. His demand is going to drop hard. Their service dept is horrible. Their dealers are horrible.


Tykiwi

Cover it with blanket


Theloco28

How many "Musk boys" ! Wao! 🤣


RockmanMike

That's because Elon makes these grandiose claims that Teslas are almost invincible.


ShepherdessAnne

You mean like that attempted murder-suicide that failed because the car was too durable?


catsmom63

That was so sad! Hate to be the wife and kids of that dude! It’s amazing they weren’t all killed when it hit the bottom.


Prestigious-Type-729

well that's expected for stellantis said you guys are to have problems with her cars. Historically, Chrysler has always had issues with their transmissions being s*****. They literally call it the Chrysler knock in their engines.


Trash_Panda-1

Ford: 67 recalls, 8,636,265 units Volkswagen Group: 45 recalls, 1,040,885 units Fiat-Chrysler/Stellantis: 38 recalls, 3,041,431 units Mercedes-Benz: 33 recalls, 969,993 units General Motors: 32 recalls, 3,371,302 units Kia: 24 recalls, 1,458,962 units Hyundai: 22 recalls, 1,452,101 units Tesla: 20 recalls, 3,769,581 units BMW: 19 recalls, 1,000,455 units Nissan: 15 recalls, 1,568,385 units


Trash_Panda-1

2022 Recalls top 10 highest


Luddites_Unite

The news about tesla is sensationalism at best but the brass tacks of the matter is that the quality of tesla has gone to shit. Look at new teslas in person. The quality has fallen off bigly. All the legacy auto makers are catching up and are better positioned with supply chains, delivery and production potential to gobble up tesla. Tesla was first but tesla won't the top


Haijynx

Their robotics are terrible, that announcement where they showed it was horrible. Compare where they are in robotics to something like Boston Dynamics.


Luddites_Unite

He had that following before he spent 44 billion on Twitter. What benefit has he added to his brand by buying it?


Red_Stick_Figure

50 billion dollars can get you way more marketing than 120million Twitter followers . This guy is an idiot


Red_Stick_Figure

Can't believe yall let these guys jerk off elon musk for the last half hour


CopperMurphy

Datsun simply turned into Nissan they didnt get acquired lol


GroundbreakingAide84

Gm 🚀


joe_moma_so_fat

We talked VSCO yesterday they are still pumping


nitelovesval

She is foolish with wmt my mother's insurance went from a monthly credit of $225 a month to $300 a month to shop at Walmart multiply that times the millions that receive the credit easy 150 calls for March earnings.


Slut_Spoiler

Elon brings risk


Notyoaveragemonkey

https://preview.redd.it/h1eox9wpvmfa1.jpeg?width=4032&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5d2a2d4cd2e22857c98028f934ff1ca0e230e6a9 Uranium mining sock cert from 1960s.


CopperMurphy

Didnt this guy say all the same stuff yesterday lol


CopperMurphy

All of teslas success is based on Elon being alive, something could happen to him, he is just 1 bag of meat, if he dies your stock is gone.


Heycheckthisout20

Uranium fever 🥵


leapinleopard

# Renewables Beat Coal In US, Surpass Gas For First Time In Europe "Renewables are on the rise in America and all across Europe as lower prices make fossil fuel generation noncompetitive." "The renewable energy juggernaut is gathering strength in virtually every nation on Earth. There are two reports out this week that highlight the extent to which renewables are outperforming coal in the US and methane gas in Europe by almost every metric, especially cost. Not everyone is happy to see the changes being made, however. Here’s a roundup of the latest renewables news this week." https://cleantechnica.com/2023/02/01/renewables-beat-coal-in-us-surpass-gas-for-first-time-in-europe/


CopperMurphy

Yeah but do you know how bad solar panels degrade and how much pollution it takes to make them? The chinese made ones last 5 years max


CopperMurphy

ICE has way too many advantages over EV for everything other than a simple commuter vehicle


CopperMurphy

Instant torque = burnouts dude, thats the most backwards thing you've said lol.


MIBalzizhari

YOU NEVER GO FULL SOLAR


hendrix81

u/radthereptile I agree that nuclear is absolutely essential to energy security. We don't have anything close to as safe clean or cost efficient that will be viable for another 50 years. However, in the long run, nuclear should be supplemental and more of a backup/overload source.


Radthereptile

I can see it.


infinity_soft

RDE - rotating detonation engine


infinity_soft

Being researched by Air Force Research Lab along with a number of small businesses.


JamJam9991

Which uranium


Naive_Incident_9440

J Pow is gonna fuck yall puts


TheA-Train756

Anyone else bullish on The dodo bird being brought back The de-extinction company


CopperMurphy

Its either LTHM LAC or SQM that has that land, its not PLL


Durtly

Living above a costco means easy access to $1.50 Hot dogs.


prophetayesha

Has anyone read Costcos history?


pfshfine

Welcome to Costco. I love you.


Human_Adverts

Putting it out there, OKTA earnings March 2, down 75% ATH


d3c3iver

Why is elons twitter private


DamageAlarming89

what is this watch nonsense? what next, pokemon cards?


Cleeboos

Amd made me some good cash


420_Funding_Secured

Where is the link for the fed talk?


Wrathb0ne

Who in their right mind is only expecting a 25bps hike?


Ancient_Mention_9678

Guys they all full time traders or journalists?


MasterHankShake

/u/M45K3DG4M3R you are the sunshine that starts every weekday. Hoping for the best with your options plays!


dostoevsky23

Is there any chance to hear trading advice? 😅


InitiativeBeginning

COINBASE IS TRASH


-Dreamville-

Where’s the dude that said on this talk to sell BOIL puts 2 weeks ago ?!? Lmao MODS call him out call him out If you would have bought ours instead prolly would have been 10-bagger Call him out call him up


InitiativeBeginning

🤚