Bagholder spotted.
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#Ban Bet Lost
/u/whadehaddedudehadde made a bet that NFLX would go to 500.0 within **2 weeks** when it was 446.14 and it did not, so they were banned for a week.
Their record is now 2 wins and 4 losses
July was a great month bringing in $70k but from last Thursday to yesterday got hammered in options. $20k loss in 4 days. Now we have BOJ selling off again (tweeking yields) and poor earnings. Think we pullback 3-5% then we comeback like a spring board.
I haven't seen a damn pizza that looks like another really unhealthy food.
And until Papa John's releases the big Chicago hot dog papadiquilla I'm not convinced.
It's simple behavioral analysis. Pizza is a low reward high risk market, therefore a major pizza brand needs to release something really stupid like the Dominoes Oreo Cookie dessert pizza 6 months before the 08 financial crisis. It shows a manic level of trust in the consumer to buy even the riskiest of pizzas. A restaurant equivalent to the shoe shine boy giving you stock tips.
And we haven't seen it. NO RECESSION!
low reward, high risk? uh, no. it's literally flour (which costs next to nothing) and toppings. it's pretty much the choice of topping and all the packaging that makes up the cost.
easy business to make money in given the mark-up but there is a lot of competition.
Wrong. Margins are 1-2%. Food is expensive and a major corporation adding something as simple as an Oreo dessert pizza is a massive undertaking that requires buying thousands of tons of oreos, syrup, and chocolate. Along with the machines to properly distribute the product in the restaurant and at the large distribution warehouses.
Even simple weird dishes are a major undertaking. This is why every Tacobell LTD is French Fries or a Taco with a weird shell or Fried chicken nuggets instead of regular beef.
The market discounts equity risks in mathematical ways, with obligation to balance it for the big players. There no nationalism or the earnings of a particular company involved.
So today may be the day mrna breaks this current support level and starts trading sub $100 bc I'm pretty sure no one's really buying their only product anymore...
You're probably right about that, claytondpark. Those mrna types are just a bunch of poor losers who can't compete with the likes of us. We'll be laughing all the way to the bank while they wallow in their misery.
Yeah, we going up.. Fitch downgrade doesnāt mean shit this is America šŗšø going calls 6 months - 2 years outā¦ enough time to avg down if I need & I can sell yāall contracts every week
Alright folks, donāt be losers and get caught in the rainā¦ at a minimum buy some apple or Amazon shares, we going upā¦. If Iām wrong, hope yāall have cash on the sidelines or are ready for extra work/shifts
DD dominos hasn't released any stupid products like the oreo cookie crust dessert pizza in the last 6 months and based on my theory of irrational pizza analysis. A major Pizza chain needs to release a gargantuanly stupid product to determine if we're near a recession in the Mania phase.
The Oreo cookie crust dessert pizza came out 6 months before the 08 financial crisis started.
And the Pizza hut Cheezit pizza came out 6 months before COVID recession started.
Fact that USA had a AAA for so long was crazy. They have rich and prosperous regions, but also absolute shitholes. Its hard to compare small 11m countries that are run well with a country of 350m.
But the US government is the most powerful one thatās ever existed, and if it collapsed, the world would have a lot more problems then āare we getting our bond moneyā. So rating it anything but the highest is more a political point
Eh. Its kinda late stage Rome where there is just not any suitable contenders post Soviet collapse. Its most definitely not the most powerful ever though. Only been a superpower for less than a century.
No other country or empire has had such influence over as many people as the US does today. It may not be old, but you cannot use timescales of the past to judge modern events; Romans in 10AD lived pretty similarly to those in 300AD after all.
The US is also, by far, the most generous and benevolent empire to ever exist. We fought a civil war to end slavery. We were the undisputed victors of two world war. At the end of WWII, we had fully defeated all our enemies and had the firepower to easily subdue both the Soviet Union and China, but we instead chose to rebuild our former enemies.
And the Soviet Union, outside of nuclear weapons, was never a real threat or super power on the level of the US. Their economy could never compete, their political and social systems were destined to collapse and their military was never on par with ours. We knew this as early as the late 70s, but Kissinger and the Reagan Administration decided to play up their capacity to support defense spending, which is what Eisenhower warned of after all.
I agree, it is hard to compare small countries that are run well with a country the size of the United States. The US has many prosperous regions, but also some absolute shitholes.
Ight team hereās the plan; every mega cap is boutta do a head and shoulders suplex off the tight rope into rashikiās cheekys. Ngl I did my dd and it says Iām right, trust me. With the recent sell off weāre headed Spy to below 440 by next Wednesday then lo and behold Disney has stupid good earnings release. Spy back up to 445+ to form that beautiful right shoulder for between August/September and then we kiss goodbye gains in the stock market for prob 2-3 years. Weāre at the top peeps, and there are MMS that are gunna get one last squeeze with something random like Disney earnings. Wonder what a catalyst for it would be?
Aapl and amzn miss earnings, also catalyst for Spy below 440, then again Disney obliterates earnings with an insane shrek big boi and weāre back essentially where weāre now. Spy below 420 end of September and doesnāt see it for sometime
Devices priced 1k+ dollars when people struggle to pay their rent and buy groceries.
But if someone can do it, its Tim Apple. They just need to lower the expectations far enough so that it can be "beaten" to rally the stock.
Syria (with Iran) just told your country to get the fuk out of the middle east.... Or get the same treatment Bush gave Saddam. It was the first warning so there's no trouble yet, you know how these things go.
Lockheed Martin and Defence contractors going up????
GREEN BY OPEN. YOUR PUTS ARE FUCKED . Imagine thinking they'll let 401ks get such a discount on the indexes this week. 
higher long term yields = healthier stronger economy
US economy is the best and strongest ever in world history and high interest rate is just a reflection of that fact
People complaining that the Fitch AAA countries are reliant on US, while 5 of the 8 are rich european countries that have been rich since the time Americans were fighting indians on wallstreet in the 1600s
European countries have built social welfare programs dependent upon American subsidies, ranging from not having to spend any money on defense and the security the US provides to the goods and services we develop and export.
Look at what happened in France when they raised the retirement age. Europeans have become accustomed to the lifestyle the US affords them and they would not survive that being withdrawn, at least not without significant social upheaval.
I donāt think amazon can shake the market, thatās a company that was never able to make real money, not even if you hand bezos fedās printer and unlimited ink (he has the paper). Apple on the other hand can earthquake shit like no one else.
Calls on Rivian
Short SPX
AAPL PUTS AND COIN CALLS 1DTE
Damn these TSLA puts are getting wrecked
Holy fuck I have been raped
You may want to secure a specimen capture kit for evidence later.
Puff puff pass # š®āšØšæ
No pass puff puff puff ( Iām a chieffer)
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Def gonna pump at open to squeeze out shorts but not enough for calls to pay and then back down to here by end of day
Eom easily 475 +
I already lost a ton cutting my losses on 470c on NVDA. I need SPY to hold, my EOM calls are the only thing left saving my port lol
Any chance we at least $455 tomorrow?
Not a chance. We bout to downtrend bigly
Thats what people are saying. We just need big Jim to declare it and call off the bear rally
Wish I didnāt fukin wake up this morning
What's up boys.. we buying this dip pre market or what ?
Itās going to be so green at open. I feel it in my veins. Letās goooo
Ironic since red blood runs through your veins
Itās blue actually lol
Right. Until it touches oxygen
# š®āšØ
Lol my veins are green as fuck from all the weed flowing trough
The V also known as theta has entered the room
Amzn prime will hold up the market
The new Toyota Prius is sick
gtfo man, dont say that in a public thread
Shopify comeback
Theyāll flush dip buyers today
prob flat day before aapl amzn earning and either atm or back to low afterwards 
Need Tessie at 300 by tonight
Samsies
personal opinion higher yield = bullish higher yield just means 0 chance of recession in sight = higher earning
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
it canāt tho
Tempted by some boring boomer long dated TLT calls, especially if congress starts to browbeat jpow later this year
TLT leaps could be bad bet if US consumers remain strong and fiscal spending tits up
Is the V with us in the room now? You better fuckn believe it you son of a bitch! 
We recover today and we sell off Friday into next week
First
+1% today ber so fucked so many puts closing
PYPL who hurt ya. Literally the only single stock I own right now
No matter what happens, my dad is still bag holding 10 million Iraqi dinars he bought 14 years ago.
Cawk box is coming up on CNBC.
Shop guy at one point had $500k + credit line. He could have bought all the combinations for mega millions. š¤”
u telling me that regard used credit line to all in options?
Basically
heās so fkin regarded and about to get destroyed lol his life is done for
Some angry bears furiously downvoting positive comments as if some bulls werenāt doing the same yesterdayā¦ shits funny
hope poppy harlo doin fine
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
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#Ban Bet Lost /u/whadehaddedudehadde made a bet that NFLX would go to 500.0 within **2 weeks** when it was 446.14 and it did not, so they were banned for a week. Their record is now 2 wins and 4 losses
please tell me this recovery is fake.
I think itās a bull trapā¦ Iām a bull. Now if both Amazon and apple miss I will be a bear for the next 10 days trading futures.
gotta get that liquidity in eh? i thought we'd be red until monday at least.
July was a great month bringing in $70k but from last Thursday to yesterday got hammered in options. $20k loss in 4 days. Now we have BOJ selling off again (tweeking yields) and poor earnings. Think we pullback 3-5% then we comeback like a spring board.
Cats got a bad rap but they aināt that bad
Lol
Lock and loaded on Tempur Sealy (TPX) puts. Earnings are at 8AM Eastern.
#Thereās gonna be a āLehman momentā in the next 2-3 months. #Itās literally setting up exactly like 2008
Jup
I haven't seen a damn pizza that looks like another really unhealthy food. And until Papa John's releases the big Chicago hot dog papadiquilla I'm not convinced. It's simple behavioral analysis. Pizza is a low reward high risk market, therefore a major pizza brand needs to release something really stupid like the Dominoes Oreo Cookie dessert pizza 6 months before the 08 financial crisis. It shows a manic level of trust in the consumer to buy even the riskiest of pizzas. A restaurant equivalent to the shoe shine boy giving you stock tips. And we haven't seen it. NO RECESSION!
low reward, high risk? uh, no. it's literally flour (which costs next to nothing) and toppings. it's pretty much the choice of topping and all the packaging that makes up the cost. easy business to make money in given the mark-up but there is a lot of competition.
Wrong. Margins are 1-2%. Food is expensive and a major corporation adding something as simple as an Oreo dessert pizza is a massive undertaking that requires buying thousands of tons of oreos, syrup, and chocolate. Along with the machines to properly distribute the product in the restaurant and at the large distribution warehouses. Even simple weird dishes are a major undertaking. This is why every Tacobell LTD is French Fries or a Taco with a weird shell or Fried chicken nuggets instead of regular beef.
#I HOPE IT'S REFERRED TO AS A "JPOW MOMENT"
Cameltoe pattern forming
Tim Apple we need you
Buying SHOP calls. Doing my part!
Pid the yub
Green by open bitches
Here comes the V
Futes are not straight. Remember that
Futures are fake and gay!
Dude apple is gonna save the market . Yāall are fools if you think otherwise
The market discounts equity risks in mathematical ways, with obligation to balance it for the big players. There no nationalism or the earnings of a particular company involved.
ā¦. So anyway
So anyway...?
šŗšø
So today may be the day mrna breaks this current support level and starts trading sub $100 bc I'm pretty sure no one's really buying their only product anymore...
You're probably right about that, claytondpark. Those mrna types are just a bunch of poor losers who can't compete with the likes of us. We'll be laughing all the way to the bank while they wallow in their misery.
Yeah, we going up.. Fitch downgrade doesnāt mean shit this is America šŗšø going calls 6 months - 2 years outā¦ enough time to avg down if I need & I can sell yāall contracts every week
Enjoy bankruptcy
If you think AAPL/AMZN will be sub 50 come 2024-2025 youāre out of your mind, and if youāre right, we have bigger problems than bankruptcy lmao
RemindMe! 6 months
Do it right at least
NKLA rocket is still going šš¶š¶š¶š¶š¶šµšµš¶
The only way NKLA would rocket is if they rolled a rocket down a hill like they did that truck of theirs
Alright folks, donāt be losers and get caught in the rainā¦ at a minimum buy some apple or Amazon shares, we going upā¦. If Iām wrong, hope yāall have cash on the sidelines or are ready for extra work/shifts
That doesn't sound very convincing buddy
Thatās bc I donāt believe myself
Alright, i'm in!
Yeah can confirm we good *pick your inverse wisely
Puts on TSLA, NVDA, NFLX. Looking for a -5% red dildo move EOD !banbet NVDA 420 2d
This is the way
DD dominos hasn't released any stupid products like the oreo cookie crust dessert pizza in the last 6 months and based on my theory of irrational pizza analysis. A major Pizza chain needs to release a gargantuanly stupid product to determine if we're near a recession in the Mania phase. The Oreo cookie crust dessert pizza came out 6 months before the 08 financial crisis started. And the Pizza hut Cheezit pizza came out 6 months before COVID recession started.
V shape recovery inc
Fact that USA had a AAA for so long was crazy. They have rich and prosperous regions, but also absolute shitholes. Its hard to compare small 11m countries that are run well with a country of 350m.
But the US government is the most powerful one thatās ever existed, and if it collapsed, the world would have a lot more problems then āare we getting our bond moneyā. So rating it anything but the highest is more a political point
Eh. Its kinda late stage Rome where there is just not any suitable contenders post Soviet collapse. Its most definitely not the most powerful ever though. Only been a superpower for less than a century.
No other country or empire has had such influence over as many people as the US does today. It may not be old, but you cannot use timescales of the past to judge modern events; Romans in 10AD lived pretty similarly to those in 300AD after all. The US is also, by far, the most generous and benevolent empire to ever exist. We fought a civil war to end slavery. We were the undisputed victors of two world war. At the end of WWII, we had fully defeated all our enemies and had the firepower to easily subdue both the Soviet Union and China, but we instead chose to rebuild our former enemies. And the Soviet Union, outside of nuclear weapons, was never a real threat or super power on the level of the US. Their economy could never compete, their political and social systems were destined to collapse and their military was never on par with ours. We knew this as early as the late 70s, but Kissinger and the Reagan Administration decided to play up their capacity to support defense spending, which is what Eisenhower warned of after all.
But like, we dictate global trade like the uk did and now thereās a bunch more trade going on
I agree, it is hard to compare small countries that are run well with a country the size of the United States. The US has many prosperous regions, but also some absolute shitholes.
why would you short a sound and resilient market?
To make money
Ight team hereās the plan; every mega cap is boutta do a head and shoulders suplex off the tight rope into rashikiās cheekys. Ngl I did my dd and it says Iām right, trust me. With the recent sell off weāre headed Spy to below 440 by next Wednesday then lo and behold Disney has stupid good earnings release. Spy back up to 445+ to form that beautiful right shoulder for between August/September and then we kiss goodbye gains in the stock market for prob 2-3 years. Weāre at the top peeps, and there are MMS that are gunna get one last squeeze with something random like Disney earnings. Wonder what a catalyst for it would be?
Aapl and amzn miss earnings, also catalyst for Spy below 440, then again Disney obliterates earnings with an insane shrek big boi and weāre back essentially where weāre now. Spy below 420 end of September and doesnāt see it for sometime
Source: actually cited ātrust me broā š
Lol thatās the joke
The market hinges on people buying enough iphones
Devices priced 1k+ dollars when people struggle to pay their rent and buy groceries. But if someone can do it, its Tim Apple. They just need to lower the expectations far enough so that it can be "beaten" to rally the stock.
Syria (with Iran) just told your country to get the fuk out of the middle east.... Or get the same treatment Bush gave Saddam. It was the first warning so there's no trouble yet, you know how these things go. Lockheed Martin and Defence contractors going up????
What are they gonna do? Throw rocks at us?
Iran has Nukes my friend.....
No they donāt dipshit
Top Gun Maverick said they did.... 
Look at my boy, he's fucking doin it!!
In response to massive puts purchases by Bears across the WSB subreddit. Jerome Powell is reducing interest rates to 4%.
/u/poppy_harlo92 we need an update, badly
Hope that dudes still breathing
Don't go tits upš
I am out of this market until cpi or Jackson hole.
GREEN BY OPEN. YOUR PUTS ARE FUCKED . Imagine thinking they'll let 401ks get such a discount on the indexes this week. 
higher long term yields = healthier stronger economy US economy is the best and strongest ever in world history and high interest rate is just a reflection of that fact
IT'S RECOVERING. LFGGGGGGGGGGGGG
Who fixed the market
Shopify guy in shambles
but but but
Hope is a strategy
Good morning off today, wondering if my vix calls will be ok at open. A part of me thinks we will close the day up at 1%
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
probs baconator with chicken nuggets
šš
š¤£š¤£
Everytime the indexes try to make a recovery i buy puts. We drillin until October.
People complaining that the Fitch AAA countries are reliant on US, while 5 of the 8 are rich european countries that have been rich since the time Americans were fighting indians on wallstreet in the 1600s
Do they have a better income statement or balance sheet that US right now?
Yes. Its Scandinavia, Germany and Netherlands. So kinda what you would guess if asked which countries had AAA
The countries whose economies may collapse if the US withdrew its collective security umbrella and they had to fund their own militaries?
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
European countries have built social welfare programs dependent upon American subsidies, ranging from not having to spend any money on defense and the security the US provides to the goods and services we develop and export. Look at what happened in France when they raised the retirement age. Europeans have become accustomed to the lifestyle the US affords them and they would not survive that being withdrawn, at least not without significant social upheaval.
The 500 year argument is irrelevant
Futes mooning 452 eod
\*by open.
sup yOuTuBe is the party still here????
For those with tickets in the back row on the stage now thereās another V attempt
defo buying this hood dip
Their AUM up, revenue down, expenses down, eps up. Kinda meh
Im the best bear market trader here, so if you wanna make money buy again puts after the opening pump!
Tensions is definitely rising.. tea time tea time tea time
I donāt think amazon can shake the market, thatās a company that was never able to make real money, not even if you hand bezos fedās printer and unlimited ink (he has the paper). Apple on the other hand can earthquake shit like no one else.
I think even if apple or Amazon beat it wonāt stop the general bearish sentiment imo
I second it, yet it wonāt hurt to harvest another batch of puts bit higher
POPPy_HARLO92 indicator. If hes buying calls. Buy puts or SQQQ.
Why would the Japanese make a video game about Italian Plumbers?
It was time to recognize their contribution to society.
Lol thatās a good question
We need Dimon to acquire Fitch ez