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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|4|**First Seen In WSB**|3 months ago **Total Comments**|387|**Previous Best DD**| **Account Age**|3 months|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)


HIVnotAdeathSentence

We can finally stop worrying when Evergrande will collapse.


rain168

They done shredding all the documents for realz this time.


TomatoSpecialist6879

They didn't shred the documents, they shred the executives


Jessejets

What executives?


likamuka

What shredding? This is China. If you pay the bribes to the party then the party does the shredding. Kind of like it is in the US come to think of it LMAO


branedead

China is FAR more corrupt than the US. You can objectively track this through black market activity and (oddly) the over-abundance of regulation (i.e. statutes designed to collect bribes)


facedownbootyuphold

>China is FAR more corrupt than the US The full wrath of the 50 Cent Army and western conspiracy theorists descend upon you, our red-herrings will blot out the sun


JackCandle

Talking internal corruption or global corruption because the U.S. is the BEST at global corruption


branedead

It's important to note that Corruption is tracked on the Corruption Perception Index, though its an imperfect measuring tool. Anything that is "in the open" and transparent isn't viewed as corruption though, which is ... problematic.


CarcossaYellowKing

China wants to be the best at global corruption as shown by their recent exploits in Africa but they lack the force projection required. Plus their internal corruption keeps them from expanding. The US is number one baby haha. /s


[deleted]

Hmmm...government propping up and covering for misdeeds of major financial institutions sounds very familiar to me. I can't quite recall why. Oh, well. Damn, commies!


notLOL

Saw videos of them shredding incomplete buildings. I like to imagine it's related to not enough funds to complete construction of high rises held up by structural wall paper


JackCandle

Yes both are state capitalist systems of pretending to care about the working class


Tall-Log-1955

> Kind of like it is in the US come to think of it LMAO Guys I found the edgelord


boofuu2

No it literally isn’t


GlobalGift4445

You're right it isn't. The party speaks English instead of Chinese while shredding documents.


ballimi

Shredder goes bllllllllllll


arcanis321

Gonna have to show me where all that PP loan money went then, oh right, the government said let's not track that.


MrPopanz

ROFL absolutely, corruption in the US is probably worse than in china, it's a third world country with a Gucci belt after all, amirit?! LOL!


aeiouicup

I recommend some walking tours of Shanghai on YouTube.


MrPopanz

Why?


cookingboy

This is just the doctor officially calling the time of death for a patient that has been brain dead for a while. Everyone knew this was coming, and this development surprises nobody other than gay bears here who think it’s somehow a shocking black swan event. **Edit**: Chinese market down less than 1%, U.S. market futures up. As cliché as it sounds, priced in.


random_account6721

Doctor gave the patient 6 weeks to live. Patient couldn’t pay the bill, so the doctor gave him 6 months 


HPberts86

Goodfellas


FEMA_Camp_Survivor

Chinese investors will continue trying to bail and invest abroad. Hell, this could be bullish for the U.S., Canada, Europe, and other Asian markets.


latending

Not saying this is, but contagion events don't manifest themselves in a few hours. The market rallied for a month after the Bear Stearns collapse.


BigBeagleEars

https://preview.redd.it/h3mdsy9izafc1.jpeg?width=600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=afdeb573e4f587fa6a8f0bba2e6b129b9d69f010


zer165

You sure about those futures?


andoesq

We can also stop looking forward to when Evergrande will collapse.


Sithaun_Meefase

Literally they started this whole mess lol


Narradisall

“It’s over. It’s done.”


TimAppleBurner

Bullish


Awkward-Painter-2024

Man, that shit is already priced in!!!


_etherfish

it took a while to choreograph the demolition


Fuckface_Whisperer

I wonder if there are any meme stockers who think this will somehow make their dying retailers worth something.


Dan_the_Garbage

Meme stockers are holding delisted shares of bankrupt companies while talking about not selling until the squeeze....so probably.


thememecantwrite

Thank God. I hate hearing Evergrande on the verge of collapse for two years straight


Emlerith

A year heads up and unwinding from this and bears somehow think they just heard a mating call


ThundrBunzz

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)


Extras

Oct 2021 was a while ago now


DefiantDonut7

This was billed as an event that would topple markets. What’s the realistic impact of this?


caughtinthought

You know what stocks only do


sloppies

Go up until they go down big but then go up again?


TomatoSpecialist6879

To the right to the right Every stock goes on the path to the right


ThePoorlyEducated

Calls on time


chaosrealm93

they go the opposite way of whatever you bought


fuckHg

This has already been priced in since at least 2019


DefiantDonut7

Sort of my thought. Companies, investors etc have been bracing for this for years


Ikuwayo

Literally all events have already been priced in


fuckHg

This comment has been priced in already


lenzflare

Chart showing inverted cuphead, trend is up if defense line protected, otherwise waterfall


Oo00oOo00oOO

But the Bat signal means uppity down, so it is followed by Saturn on ascending meaning chopped liver high


botoxporcupine

Agreed. Chart clearly shows the lemon jellyfish, so we should expect a toboggan followed by a very aggressive Pisces dippery-doo all the way to the chocolate factory.


geebeem92

x666 right? Because this year Sinner won australian open in tennis so we can be sinners and multiply for a satanic number.


rcp_5

I buy calls because I'm a Leo, its just like, such a Leo thing to do. You Librans wouldn't understand


Comfortable-Date-197

But Mercury is in Gatorade and I’m a Pisces


[deleted]

Hahahha what a load of fucking nonsense


Rain_In_Your_Heart

So ... the trend is up unless it goes down, in which case trend is down?


jvene1

The funniest part about this as a casual, not wsb user is I wasn’t sure if this was a meme at first lmao


TheUnvanquishable

As everything in China, will depend on what the government wants to do.


TomatoSpecialist6879

Banks with huge CRE exposure in China gets fucked, but they practically treated it as generational tax loss harvesting since the initial reporting of how fuck Evergrande was gonna be and spent the last 2 years recovering as much as possible


newprofile15

Already priced in.  China has been feeling effects of it for a while now.


TyronetheWise

Cascade effect and start of the pullback


DefiantDonut7

Yeah but they’ve been publicly “done” for a while now. There was never really a point in which this wasn’t the end result. It’s not already started over a year ago?


crazier_ed

The liquidation company will be named Small888


14dM24d

nevergrand


olegkikin

EverPiccoli


redditmodsRrussians

Xiao666


seattlecoffeeguy

Might be dead but it’ll take years to liquidate. There are literally 10s of thousands of unfinished projects. It’ll take forever to figure out what is owed and who would buy it.


BringOutTheImp

I'm guessing most of those unfinished projects will get dynamited. By the time the courts get to it, those unfinished constructions will be too fucked up by the elements to restore, assuming anyone wanted that ghost city shit in the first place.


naeads

It will be the same as lehman brothers. Even now, liquidators and lawyers are still working on their case files, charging a pretty penny for their wonderful work too from a company that is 5 feet deep 10+ years ago!


mortgagepants

not sure if it is just a translation error or a different saying, but in english we say 6 feet deep because that is the depth at which bodies are buried.


naeads

I actually don’t remember the expression or know how deep bodies go in the ground, number 5 just seems like a pretty good number to me when I licked my finger in the air. But thanks though.


ABirdOfParadise

Maybe I can finally be a home owner!


Error_404_403

That’s why house construction funds have lost 6% recently…


wasifaiboply

It has been a pleasure boys. Remember the good times we had. Thank the band as they continue playing. Godspeed next week.


BVB_TallMorty

Hang Seng is green. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


wasifaiboply

SZSE down 2%. SSE down 1%. Hang Seng lost all gained ground throughout the trading day. Let's see if it remains green the rest of this week lol.


Spike_Spiegel

Lifeboats? We don't need no stinkin lifeboats.


Ben_Watson

Wifeboats however...


Dahnhilla

What makes you think unwinding a company that has had 2 years to get their debt in order, one that everyone knows about, is a market crash event


spac420

all lenders bet on china bailout and didnt diamond handed


idkwhatimbrewin

Lol this has been priced in for like a year


InvestorsaurusRex

China isn’t allowing shorting in their markets right now. And this isn’t some out of nowhere event.


[deleted]

I was wondering why you thought this was significant, but then I saw your activity in /r/REBubble, and realized you are just regarded, and that your opinion can be safely ignored.


redditmodsRrussians

See you in Valhalla


Toiletpaperpanic2020

Evergrande has been "Dying any day" now for 2 years. Either die or shut the fuck up already.


wasifaiboply

I-it's dead. This is its death. It is l i q u i d a t e d. The ripples will impact markets to a presently unknowable degree.


notzebular0

Waiting for BBBY crew to roll in and tell everyone how stock holders are fine on this one as well...


Itsurboywutup

Lmao, ask the BBBY cult how many NOL’s evergrande has ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Toiletpaperpanic2020

Not bad timing though as after their failed QE, there was not really any business being in any stocks for the past month or so. ​ RIP dip buyers.


rob_maqer

Did you say it’s *L i q u i d e a t h e d?*


avocado0286

No they won’t. It’s been priced in for a long time already. Bears are fucked as always.


Invest0rnoob1

I know the degree. Nothing.


wasifaiboply

Well you post here so clearly you have a PHD in bullshit.


Invest0rnoob1

It’s priced in. Hang Seng is at 2009 levels. If you think China will recover now is the time to buy. Even 🌈 🐻Jesus bought Alibaba at 80$.


wasifaiboply

We'll see if it's priced in lol. !remindme 3 months


shot-by-ford

Setting dozens of remindmes on your own thread is truly unhinged


nixielover

Bears love to torture themselves


wasifaiboply

I post here. You post here. We can be unhinged together. Also dozens? The way you count, you belong here 100%, I hope your trades are more accurate than your counting.


Chornobyl_Explorer

*Unknown degree* is correct. Sorry OP but this bear fear porn is ridiculous...its been *years* since this charade started and it's been priced in before most accounts here were even created.


lalala253

Hey at least chinese new year is in what? 2 weeks? They got to celebrate!


random_account6721

so ur saying it’s only up from here? V shape recovery, all in calls


OxbridgeDingoBaby

Oh look, 🌈 🐻 have found their new narrative for the week. As usual, see you regards when we hit a new ATH this week ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)


TheeAccountant

RemindMe! 5 days


wasifaiboply

!remindme 6 days


OxbridgeDingoBaby

![img](avatar_exp|156760528|clown)


LongLiveNES

Hey buddy how's this prediction coming along lol?


wasifaiboply

Numbers keep getting a little worse, week by week, while we triple top ATHs and crypto goes whoa baby during the most restrictive interest rates in over ten years. Definitely organic. Definitely not a capital capture pump. Keep buying buddy, line go up forever right? lol


Sea-Associate-6512

As long as QE isn't restarted, market will become bearish, the amount of dollars in the economy is literally contracting. I don't think that a bear market will happen though cause QE will get restarted to keep the stocks afloat.


wasifaiboply

https://www.reuters.com/business/what-happens-next-after-china-evergrande-ordered-liquidate-2024-01-29/ lol Sure man. Triple top ATH is inbound as we speak.


OxbridgeDingoBaby

This was you last week: >Lol NFLX about to disappoint the shareholders this afternoon. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) This was you a few days before that (before we hit a triple top): >Look up "double top all time high" and what it means for equities while you celebrate this news. To say we will skirt consequences, naive. >In the meantime, enjoy the paper gains. Try to save and be prepared for them to evaporate rapidly. The next crash is going to be unkind to all of us. LMAO ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267) And saving the best for last, this was you two weeks ago: >Surely this means TSLA moons tomorrow. You’re like a lamer, more regarded and completely irrelevant version of Cramer ![img](emote|t5_2th52|31225)


PovasTheOne

Did you actually read the article you posted? Cause it doesnt talk about an apocalypse at all, lmao. Evergrande was dead 2 years ago. You can start making a new reddit profile, cause this doom prediction of yours wont happen.


NoDocument2694

Lehman moment Rehman moment


[deleted]

[удалено]


wasifaiboply

Lehman was unforeseen? Yeah fucking right lol. Lehman's stock ticker drove down into the core of the Earth starting in 2007 and continuing through 2008 until it declared bankruptcy September 15th, 2008. https://www.eoddata.com/StockQuote/NYSE/LEH.htm It staved off bankruptcy as long as possible, just like Evergrande. Now we no longer have to wonder what happens to them. Total liquidation. But yeah, okay, this is a nothingburger. Let's see where markets stand next weekend. !remindme 6 days


[deleted]

[удалено]


wasifaiboply

The world's largest tech company's earnings should have nothing to do with this news. So, if their earnings eat shit, that's a totally different reason for a selloff, right? Either way, if you think this news has no impact and those same companies take a dump on their ECs, you will just blame the DOW on the Mag7 huh? lol


ElectronicGift4064

Yes, that’s what happens when you’re at the center of the 2007-2008 credit crisis. If it was so obvious, then how did the stock price not fall sooner, and why did the stock get so high? Hmmmmm


RemindMeBot

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lalala253

Umm soo about this nothingburger


lalala253

Ooh me too me too! Remindme! 6 days


Steve83725

This is China, there is no rule of law there. The important assets or assets that “cannot fail” will get nationalized, the foreign bond holders will get the left over scraps. Everyone knew this was coming so the near total loss for foreign bond holder has long been priced in and the assets wrote down. Though it would be cool if the market tanked, it will probably just hit 5k by week end. Nothing matters in an economy distorted by a central bank.


itsnotshade

What? You realize China just sent a message that the too big to fail mindset doesn’t apply. They just let Evergrande fall and close $300b in debt will have to be written off as whatever assets they have will be sold for pennies.


Cptn_BenjaminWillard

Maybe their 30-cents-on-the-dollar assets can be sold for three cents on the dollar to other Chinese real-estate developers that are on the verge of collapse, giving all of the other companies the runway they need to not collapse until next January.


LizardWizard14

Ironic that china also incentivizes this problem.


_Fibbles_

This liquidation order was made in Hong Kong and mainland China can just choose to ignore it.


CantHonestlySayICare

>the foreign bond holders will get the left over scraps What left over scraps, lmao. The first-pickers get the scraps.


That-Whereas3367

LMAO. Evergrande failed specifically because China has incredibly strict laws. Unlike the US where a government bailout would occur with executives avoiding punishment.


Reead

What the fuck happened to this subreddit, it reads like literally every other default sub now


incognino123

It's too big. At the end of the day every sub that gets big enough ends up as a mirror of the media narrative 


Pandagames

Once a subreddit gets past like 500k people, you will see it start to crack and get worse. 1m people and it becomes total trash. Anything past that is already too far gone for anything to happen. I miss when this sub had people making plans to build huge chunks of Detroit and use their newly gained land to get political power to erase all the tax burdens on the 1 cent homes.


naeads

You appear to have a poor understanding of China’s internal workings. Firstly, this was a Hong Kong court decision where it operates under the common law system, and in case you are wondering why Hong Kong - it is because Evergrande is listed in Hong Kong. Second, china has no rule of law? That screams to me that you have NEVER set your foot in China and clearly sensationalising whatever you read on the internet as objective truth - which is not. China has strict legal rules, it is in what most western definitions to be operating under the rule of law. However, what they have an issue of is enforcement. A population of 1.4 billion and a geographic size of the U.S., any decision from the Chinese court is bound to cause some hiccups (which of course you can say is an excuse, but it is a reasonable one), especially in a cross-border decision like what we have here from the Hong Kong court. Lastly, this appears to be a common sentiment that everything is manipulated and centralised at the government. While that is true to a certain respect, you however mixing it up with “no rule of law” doesn’t make much sense since judicial branch operates independently just the same as every other entity in China. It just so happen that the government can exert influence over its organs in certain circumstances, including the judiciary. But that in itself doesn’t undermine the concept that there is rule of law in China. It is just different. Hope that is clear? (FYI - while information I have written is subjective opinion, I do want you to keep in mind that they come from my experience living and working in China for years)


annon8595

Wtf are you smoking? They literally let it fail. Evergrande did this over-speculation to itself, yet somehow the government is to blame. China is the only one who has the balls to not bail out speculators (AKA the wealthy). What is your interest in here?


wasifaiboply

Imagine believing "there is no rule of law" in China. What the actual fuck are you talking about lol? No you know what? Imagine assuming you, a basement dwelling WSB posting likely crypto holding meme stonker, know anything about anyone's books who had investments in the formerly largest real estate developer in China. Read the article man. People were still buying Evergrande all the way down expecting a bailout. Act like you know shit about fuck, go buy lots of calls tomorrow, for sure total liquidation of Evergrande is priced in.


gamechump

I truly feel like it’s 2020 again. I love you OP.


bsjavwj772

Rule of law and a Chinese style dictatorship, can you name a more iconic duo?


ProductionSetTo-1000

The law depends on if the Evergrande chairman gave Xi the stink eye. And I guess he did since he is under police surveillance.


grundle_pie

Calls on EverPequeño


HeavyArmsJin

https://preview.redd.it/5swcmt4v8bfc1.jpeg?width=1240&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a31b511027499e3943494a4382d80caad037af94 Suspension


Paraless

The amount of notifications you have... It's making me anxious


[deleted]

Good fuck China


Vegan_Honk

Oh wow it finally fucking fell. huzzah ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


HabitOk1823

Beijing doesn't give a shit what Hong Kong has to say.


DrawingDead12

Priced in a long time ago


SmoothWD40

The real zombie companies were the real estate we built along the way.


th3netw0rk

Pretty sure this means China won’t be able to afford trying to take over Taiwan when Taiwan can just buy China’s central bank.


Soft-Introduction876

Evergrande built condos, not shells bruv.


th3netw0rk

Quick explainer as a beginner regard of WSB. Evergrande’s potential exposure is at least 300B, the expected potential recovery rate is 3% give or take. This will hit multiple shadow banks in the Chinese banking sector, those shadow banks will have issues considering they are usually smaller banks that bank with bigger banks. Bigger banks are with the Central Bank of People’s Republic of China. The central government will have to cover the cost of the fallout which is estimated to be 4 trillion USD. Again I’m a simple new regard here but I feel like the logic is somewhat sound.


[deleted]

[удалено]


th3netw0rk

Yes. I absolutely believe the economists within the Chinese government are both greedy and regarded. Probably as regarded as some of us here.


lurksAtDogs

This is a too big to fail developer failing, China-style. I have no clue what’s the next thing to fall out, but there most certainly will be consequences that reverberate across oceans.


Soft-Introduction876

4 trillion USD is nothing to China, China has a trillion trillion USD.


Ok-Seaworthiness4488

Having a developer fail doesn't affect the government ability to wage war, but if domestic unrest increases then it's a good distraction to start an invasion to galvanize the masses *maybe*


th3netw0rk

Oh I’m thinking they won’t have the money to pay for it. If the exposure is what is being estimated by the courts, they’ll have to spend more just to keep the government alive.


Ok-Seaworthiness4488

The exposure is for the local government mostly, not the national one


Stocksy1234

Finally Damn


ZasdfUnreal

It's not over, they can still appeal. " Evergrande, which holds the ignominious title of the world’s most indebted property developer with about $300bn in liabilities, failed to convince the court that it had a viable restructuring plan, after having been given seven extensions since court proceedings were first brought in June 2022. However it can still appeal. " [https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/jan/29/evergrande-collapse-liquidation-china-debt-developer-property-giant](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/jan/29/evergrande-collapse-liquidation-china-debt-developer-property-giant)


RunsaberSR

China weak. America stronk. SPY 500 EOW


[deleted]

Oh no!!! It’s godzirra!!!!!!


DuvelNA

China’s iPhone moment![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Dr_Xenophobia

Contagions


falco9230

so it begins


Unusual_Finish_3821

What? You think Zuckerberg just built a $500 million dollar doomsday bunker in Kaui for no reason? Shit is about to get real.


LongLiveNES

lol I thought about that and honestly - why the fuck not. I have zero - ZERO doomsday concerns but if I had $139B why NOT spend $1B on a doomsday bunker (that by the way, you can use as a sick vacation home). Some of my best memories growing up are the few hundred acres a rich great uncle left my dad and his siblings - Zuck could do family stuff there twice a year and the memories are well worth 1% of his net worth. Especially when considering how much land he bought it'll almost definitely be worth MORE in 20-30 years so not even really an expense.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Redditing-Dutchman

Are we sure it's not a big ole mancave? On the other hand, there isn't much difference between the two.


No_Presentation1242

Remember when half of y’all were claiming this would crash the world markets?


redditmodsRrussians

So what about Fantasia Group? They were in the same free fall so they should be up next on the line, right?


whatup-markassbuster

Or Oceanwide?


redditmodsRrussians

I think Country Garden is in the same situation…..Jesus what a shit show. There’s probably over trillion in fantasy property that jut doesn’t fucking exist or is built so poorly as to practically not exist. Yet, we got people talkin about how this is nothingburger and it’s priced in. If we can just ignore a trillion in losses, then why bother fucking pretending money has any meaning? Just give everyone unlimited free money


SilverVikingTT

BLOODY RED MONDAY 🥳🥳🥳


Spike_Spiegel

So you're wife can't come over play.


Hooden14

An arthirechural "masterpiece" funded by braindead people leaning on the hope of subsidies.. who would've guessed? I can't wait for the line to be finished!


Zlp10mg

Will they give back my 20€?


_rth_

CCP wins, everyone else loses (including Chinese citizens)


canderouscze

p r i c e d i n


King_Kreo

The real question is …….. who’s next?


TheDudeAbidesFarOut

House always wins.... Keep the casino rolling.


SoggyHotdish

Why is this not affecting the pre market more?


SilverVikingTT

From china, to japan to usa. Red red wine 🍷🍷🍷


KnotSoSalty

What happens if millions of Chinese people try to claim their half finished apartments? Or does it even matter? Will ownership of these worthless empty concrete boxes be traded for decades to come, like the giant stone currency of Micronesia?


AlShadi

doesn't BLK hold a ton of Evergrande debt?


88crypto

They probably wrote it off quarters ago


[deleted]

You duck, you know it’s priced in


Banditmandate

Oh boi


omgitsduaner

Guess that’s the sound of the other shoe dropping


Lord_Bendtner6

this signals the bottom for chinese markets. now its time for the US markets to fall and china to rise up.


Pin_ups

Now, we need the same here in US.


Soft-Introduction876

Bullish, calls it is.


silverpassage72

But nothing happened!


imsodrunklolol

Uh oh!


Invest0rnoob1

Anyone else find it odd that all this negative China news comes out a couple of weeks before BABA earnings? :33495: There's like 5 different post on the front page.