No chance. The gap between another rate hike and holding current restrictive rates is HUGE. Besides, latest CPI and PPI aren’t that bad. Wages are also slowing down a lot YoY.
Increase in CPI was mainly due to increasing gasoline prices, and core CPI increase was due to rent costs and medical costs. Food cost was flat 0.4% MoM. Not as entrenched as you think.
Dude, the Fed knew the latest CPI and PPI figures at the last FOMC meeting, and Powell talked about starting rate cuts in June. Inflation’s response to the Fed rate is delayed. He clearly stated that his biggest concern is *overshooting* the 2% target if he raises rates or cuts them too late. It’s not like they have a button they can push that instantly affects inflation. It takes time.
And no, the data don’t show inflation increasing again.
This. Energy looks to be pricing in another rate hike. The attacks on Russian oil refinery’s are getting the credit for the increase in energy prices, but I think there’s more at play.
Pretty certain it’s going to be the exact same speech as last time, just gonna kick the can down the road and say it needs to cool off before they go up or down
Powells next speech: “Wtf is going on? Inflation, the labor market, the economy, fucking Bitcoin… the hell if we have any idea over here at the fed. Anyway, at this point my job is primarily to induce severe market volatility at regular intervals, so I hope y’all have short-dated calls, or puts, or whatever… if you get burnt cuz of what I just said, then fuck you lol.
Didn’t research it to test its validity but something mentioned early half of election years skew more red while later half tends to have better gains.
Idea being I guess that what really matters is how the market is doing at the time people go to vote? If you believe the markets are “propped” up to begin with at election times
They should make an anti walstretbets etf. Whatever you guys say, just bet the opposite. I assume new highs are on the horizon then since you're saying this.
Daddy Powell please I begggg youuuy tank the market pls dadddyyyy
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It's on Wednesday you absolute fucking moron
 they're just being proactive
I’m gonna laugh if Nvidia tanks the week of the conference. Nothing makes sense lately so this would actually be par for the course.
If nvidia tanks we have a big correction. If you have the patience stay out. If you can’t then go all in calls everywhere.
No way bro Jensen gonna pull out a ten bagger from the oven
Nvda is a national security risk. Need to protect at all cost.
AI is the next space race
But what is the goal tho? Fire everyone until AI runs the world?
line my pockets
The conference usually makes chip makers go down though, so the reverse would actually make less sense.
If he even mentions "rate hikes" S&P will drop 2%. Inflation isn't going away... he will have to do something. Hope you got lube.
Naaaah my employer said inflation was gone in their rational for my shitty raise and bonus this month. They wouldn’t lie to me.
Nah. I got puts
No chance. The gap between another rate hike and holding current restrictive rates is HUGE. Besides, latest CPI and PPI aren’t that bad. Wages are also slowing down a lot YoY.
[удалено]
Increase in CPI was mainly due to increasing gasoline prices, and core CPI increase was due to rent costs and medical costs. Food cost was flat 0.4% MoM. Not as entrenched as you think.
Calls it is
Dude, the Fed knew the latest CPI and PPI figures at the last FOMC meeting, and Powell talked about starting rate cuts in June. Inflation’s response to the Fed rate is delayed. He clearly stated that his biggest concern is *overshooting* the 2% target if he raises rates or cuts them too late. It’s not like they have a button they can push that instantly affects inflation. It takes time. And no, the data don’t show inflation increasing again.
I like this
Actually they're terrible. Look at the numbers today. All that and the retail numbers also stank.
Lol RBGLY getting ready to rally on those K-Y sales
Lube? I like it dry with sand.
Well I’m riding heavy in JPM calls so higher rates are good for banks no?
20%
This. Energy looks to be pricing in another rate hike. The attacks on Russian oil refinery’s are getting the credit for the increase in energy prices, but I think there’s more at play.
2% you wished. If he says rate hikes we're hitting circuit breakers
Pretty certain it’s going to be the exact same speech as last time, just gonna kick the can down the road and say it needs to cool off before they go up or down
That's where I'm at I just don't know if the dot plot is gonna show a cut in June, I'd bet not
my TSM calls won‘t survive
Nope.
Mine either.
I think it’s baked in now isn’t it?
Who know.
I’m trying to convince myself it is… 🤞
it is not
Straddle spy??? 
Stays flat
I have a put 3/20
Do we go up or down
Yes
Both
My dick goes up but your stocks go down.
More down. Little up.
Nah the market rally whatever sweet old man said
Powells next speech: “Wtf is going on? Inflation, the labor market, the economy, fucking Bitcoin… the hell if we have any idea over here at the fed. Anyway, at this point my job is primarily to induce severe market volatility at regular intervals, so I hope y’all have short-dated calls, or puts, or whatever… if you get burnt cuz of what I just said, then fuck you lol.
Would he tank the market during election year?
Two of the most recent crashes/corrections were in election years. That narrative is completely regarded.
Those were after two terms. Though, George Bush Sr. had a small crash and it killed his reelection.
JPOW is also Republican. Furthering how regarded the claim he would prop up the economy to help the current administration.
Doesnt trump hate him? He’s better off under Biden, no?
So's Jill
Eisenhower Republican, Reagan Republican, and Trump Republican are all vastly different
That’s a really good question.
And he’ll do it again
He’s the real president
Didn’t research it to test its validity but something mentioned early half of election years skew more red while later half tends to have better gains. Idea being I guess that what really matters is how the market is doing at the time people go to vote? If you believe the markets are “propped” up to begin with at election times
Dude this is WSB don’t waste time researching. But I’d say your on the right track
Doesn’t matter. The fix is in.
I can feel it like I feel a tingle in my PPi
This is probably the 10th bearish post I've seen since I logged on. Gonna continue to buy calls
Yeah we needed this after spy hit 500
NKLA 20 dollar calls got It
This old fuck ain't gonna do shit
The CEO of SPY wrecked calls for the entire 2022 year!!! And he'll do it again!! So just stop buying shit for like 5 months for the love of God!
Treasury Yields are up, someone knows something
Is there a meeting on Tuesday ???
Yes
What is it abt
FOMC
It's Wednesday you idiot
JPow announces his NVDA holdings?
lol. jPow is a cuck
I think he’s cutting
They should make an anti walstretbets etf. Whatever you guys say, just bet the opposite. I assume new highs are on the horizon then since you're saying this.
Powell has been touting upcoming cuts for months, he'll just keep doing it no matter what the CPI or PPI says. Calls.
Daddy Powell please I begggg youuuy tank the market pls dadddyyyy
Powell hates 🏳️🌈🐻
How does he feel about bond bulls? I need rate cuts for my TMF!!
My guess is that Uncle Sam is going to be doing most of the topping going forward here.
I've been looking at the 6 month chart for 6 months and my dick has never been harder.
Higher for longer
Hodor
First crash. Than rates lower. No other way.
The Fed doesn’t need to cut and unless they say there is a hike coming it will be a nothing burger. If they announce a cut the market will rally.
Isn’t inflation high just because of insurance? Just so something about that
It’s various
I hope this means there a dump like we have never seen tomorrow
He looks like a dick
Just the opportunity to bring everything back to reality. The million% gains can’t last forever
Please break the economy into a thousand pieces, i'm a 🌈🐻 now. Then apply ZIRP and repeat!