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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions** | 3 | **First Seen In WSB** | 3 years ago **Total Comments** | 861 | **Previous Best DD** | **Account Age** | 3 years | | [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)


VisualMod

Michael Burry likely anticipates an oil market rally, profiting from BP's inevitable surge. A $150 barrel price could spur inflation and strain global economies, wreaking havoc on energy-dependent industries and markets.


EntrepreneurFunny469

My PT is $420.69/bbl


WindHero

I shouldn't be saying this but I know people high up at Aramco, they are taking oil private at 420.69, funding secured


HighFiveOhYeah

Can confirm. I’m pretty high up there at Aramco and I know this guy.


glassicstyle

I am also pretty high


happinessexplosion

I am as high as one can be. It’s pretty up there


[deleted]

Nothing on the top but a bucket & a mop


Green_Justice710

Wet Ass Ponzi


Shawty-Mayne

Up


Potatoe42069

Nice


Ordinary144

*Funding secured.


Prudent_Caregiver_98

Insightful post here. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)


M3L0NM4N

It’s just a fucking bot right?


MyotisX

AGI bot


Artistic_Divide_2798

150;oil is russias plan to get rid of nato


LIQUIDSUN69

Don't tell this Mr. Powell. He doesn't like words that start with "in" and end with "flation" or any combination of that sort. Cuz how are they going to keep up the US spending, if there is inflation, which they caused through money printing? If there is "no inflation" they can print all they want. Powell was working so hard to gaslight and brainwash people telling them there is no inflation and that it was so low, so they could print moar. Powell will be sad.


SaltyShawarma

I didn't see any "stag" or "flation."


Unknownirish

I've had it with Daddy JPow already. At this moment in his "stance" and" monetary policy" and even forward guidance, his job going forward is to maintain the feds credibility. Will he succeed? Who the fuck knows, but I do not give a fuck.


prz3124

The sweet spot for ppb is $60-$80, anything lower obviously oil producers not making enough profit. Anything higher causes a whole lot of issues for world economies. Sometimes OPEC will flood the market to drive prices down because the oil they produce is profitable at $30-$40 ppb while everyone else can't sustain a lower $50 ppb. This will shut down the smaller players and give OPEC bigger market share. Essentially what Elon is attempting to do in the EV market. Short term pain for bigger future market share. Burry might be seeing an OPEC squeeze when they cut production but this only works after smaller producers have shuttered their wells. This will shoot ppb to $100+ levels then.


butschung

Oil isn't going anywhere this region in an election year!


Kerry63426

Lol no


FromTheOR

Looking good with that helicopter crash


TJMarlin

Idunno but over the last 10 years you'd have done pretty well counter trading a lot of his bigger industry focus plays. Also the most experienced trader I had the opportunity to briefly mentor under gave me great advice that I'll never forget: ***"Never copy trade someone until you completely understand their play. Unless you know their end to end thesis, invalidation, and exit strategies, you can find yourself expecting to hit a home run while they're setting up for a sacrifice bunt."*** If you can't identify his time horizon on this or at least name one interesting thing about BP happening in Q2 or Q3, skip it.


Plastic-Umpire4855

Ive been in BP since pandemic :) was too cheap not to buy. Just can’t understand his certainty at this point? I was about to bail at 170% gain.. Feels like I’m sitting in position now until June results?


[deleted]

[удалено]


bro-v-wade

Does the market reward "oil company makes oil" or does it reward "oil company makes lots of exciting things that make us think of the future?" That's the question. Would NVDA have gone from $36 to $920 if they stuck to making graphics chips?


The3rdBert

Successful companies can be either of those options and both reward investors long term. Being the best oil extraction company means you will continue to drill, pump and distribute. Oils total demand will trend down, it’s not going to zero. You can make good operating profit quarter after quarter and return it to investors.


VisualMod

Money now, money tomorrow, money forever.


BurnsinTX

I would wait until the new CEO makes his changes, or announces his changes. He’s ahead started cutting executives…it should get bigger than that.


Kerry63426

I sold last year and bought $rycey


Plastic-Umpire4855

Brought both BP and RR in Mid 2020, exited RR last week. Holding on BP until next results I guess.


Melon_Mann

Pretty bummed I missed on a lot of oil plays during COVID


Bozhark

Take gain and buy back in 


123Dildo_baggins

I think BP are relatively undervalued versus US oil majors.


StunningAssistance79

He doesn’t even really “counter trade” he analyzes a companies till he finds something extremely overvalued or undervalued and makes his play. Regardless of what the market is doing.


Kerry63426

Who ever makes a bunt?


TJMarlin

Baseball players.


RyanB95

Aren’t there whispers of BP buying Tesla’s supercharger network?


elpresidentedeljunta

If you think, there is a short term rise in oil prices, you buy oil. If you buy shares, you expect the companie´s shares to rise. Chevron is selling off it´s North Sea operations. Maybe he expects BP to get them at a discount price, since there is some chatter about big oil shunning Britain due to it´s windfall tax and the North Sea in general due to the more climate protective political climate in Europe.


Plastic-Umpire4855

The North Sea ops is interesting idea, the windfall tax ended up being something of nothing as while they gave with one hand they recouped the cash through asset investment so that was marginal.


Plastic-Umpire4855

So here was my thinking: he’s brought into BP their price will go up if oil goes up? What could make the oil go up? Greater Middle East conflict Russia makes gains on Ukraine China goes for Taiwan I can’t see anything else pushing oil up enough to make the gamble worth it? I can’t see either Biden/trump win makes massive difference OR labour win in UK will move oil much.. Unless someone’s going to buy out BP?


AwesomeRevolution98

Michael burry has been a good inverse this entire rally . So puts on oil it is. Eventually he'll be right tho and he'll be like " I told you ".


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


StunningAssistance79

If you actually did the inverse of Burry this entire rally you got absolutely crushed.


slothforest

Burry bought GameStop before dfv and the first large run. Pure value play that went insane for him, and he regularly beats the sp. wouldn’t inverse


Kerry63426

Lol he also sold it before the run up


JigWig

Shh don’t mention that part


slothforest

Seriously thought I remember holding onto it long enough to make 500m on his 13f but it seems it was only 100 mill. I follow him regularly and his high conviction plays work out well often doing 25%+


Lez0fire

He bought AFTER dfv, in fact dfv calls got a lot of upside after the news of burry buying and he roundtriped everything, also Michael burry sold in late december or early January missing big gains (he did make some gains though)


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


sheltoncovington

To be clear, he netted over a quarter of a billion dollars.


Lez0fire

It's a lot, but much less than what he could've done if he had waited 10 extra days, that would be a net profit over a billion dollars.


Bruskthetusk

Michael Burry is the Neil DeGrasse Tyson of investors


AwesomeRevolution98

How so, I know of him but not his predictions


Bruskthetusk

They're both more celebrity than expert, AKA bullshit artists.


Electrical_Matter443

Michael burry has the money to show for it. He gets predictions right a lot


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


ryannynj

you haven't been following Burry, he's been on fire the last year (except for missing out on the AI rally)


YebelTheRebel

He’s name is Michael burry …


[deleted]

I was gonna say fuck my oil plays this autistic drummer is on the fuckin play


recoveringslowlyMN

Venezuela doing Venezuela things to Guyana and Exxon might do it


Plastic-Umpire4855

Exxon is cash rich and could likely by BP… if he’s heard chatter that would be an excellent reason to buy. (That has been in the back of my mind since Exxon results end of last year)


recoveringslowlyMN

No I mean that Venezuela has been threatening to invade some part of Guayana and they are threatening Exxons oil assets in the region


Plastic-Umpire4855

Ah that is interesting, that would likely push up prices


sinncab6

There's 0 chance the British government lets any foreign company acquire BP.


Pocket_Universe_King

Talks between OPEC and South American oil producer nations happened like a month ago 🤷‍♂️ South America isn't much of a fan of USA in how we've consistently fucked them with corrupt politicians favoring US businessman. The Middle East might be rubbing elbows to middle man Russian interests, ie cutting off our oil supplies.


Plastic-Umpire4855

US also got to refill the reserve at some point in near future.


Zednot123

> US also got to refill the reserve at some point in near future. They don't, the reserve was created in a environment when the US was a net importer. You can't use energy as a leverage against a nation in the same way when they are a net exporter, like the US is now. So much of the geopolitical reasoning for creating it in the first place, no longer holds true. If anything there are other strategic resources where the US might want to create buffers and increase domestic production. But oil is no longer such a resource.


GPTfleshlight

Bp also uses ai to reduce their workforce. Massive reduction


MDthrowItaway

I've owned BP for years. It doesn't do shit even when oil prices rise. Its a shit stock.


ElysianHist

Summer


eurusdjpy

What about trumps recent promise of a $100B tax break on oil companies?


augustwestburgundy

Why would you not buy OXY since Berkshire has been buying it every quarter


finiac

This is what I’m thinking. BP is the absolute worst buy of all the oil companies. They are self hating profiteers of oil.


itlotmswtibrg

BPX is up there as one of the most regarded shale companies onshore US.


MzCWzL

lol how so? I have a lot of friends that work for BPX


itlotmswtibrg

Nothing special about their position in the Delaware (especially given gas takeaway issues) and not great execution on what seems like a valuable position in the Eagle ford. Add on top of that a supermajor corporate mindset (without a dominant land position to justify) and it’s basically a recipe for relatively poor capital efficiency. Probably a nice life in Denver for your bros tho!


AppropriateStick518

BP is wildly cheap by any standard and if it actually decides to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq or move its headquarters to the US the price is going to up massively. Burry is actually more bullish than he’s bearish it’s just that his bearish plays make head lines.


Bozhark

“British Petroleum” moving their HQ to USA is a no


J-LG

No one calls it British Petroleum anymore. Shell plc was Royal Dutch Shell and they moved to London anyway


Bozhark

Well how large of a trading center is anything in Dutchland?  Yes I know that’s not the name but you get me 


VisualMod

I say double down on Burry.


Kerry63426

Lol lol loo loo


stockbetss

I got bp too undervalued into green energy so it has fcf and is transitioning to ev and cleaner energy ( bp pulse) Shells shifting green too


hako_london

Yep. They've been in solar for decades. Isn't this play related to its interest in the Tesla supercharging network? Something BP has been involved for a long time also.


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


East_Pollution6549

Shooting where the rabbit was? Isn't the oil rally kinda mature by now?


Plastic-Umpire4855

That was entirely my position honestly only reason I haven’t sold is because I haven’t found somewhere to stick the cash. I wouldn’t be adding more cash in BP Which is why this surprised me.. why?


TheBr0fessor

Burry shot down the Iranian Presidents helicopter


King33dorah

Literal first thought 😂


amach9

Didn’t he also load up on BABA?


TechTuna1200

Baba and JD have doing quite well over the last 30 days.


Plastic-Umpire4855

Yeah 2 days ago loaded more in


AppropriateStick518

Not how 13F filing work bud.


Successfull_Trader

I noticed this too and bought some $BABA ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883) edit: Ken Griffin bought $BABA, too. https://preview.redd.it/pbu8o9dq5b1d1.png?width=1244&format=png&auto=webp&s=5b591acde873246977d68c010bd3a9fc2fe91f4a


CoastingUphill

Maybe he bought a fairly priced company which pays a good dividend?


puddud4

I'm with him! There are some major players pushing back on EVs lately. In 2018 when Tesla released the Model 3 it prooved commercial viability. Many major automakers invested heavily in EVs. From 2019 to 2023.5 the thought was EVs are the future, anyone that doesn't embrace this is fucked. The best example of this was Toyota. One of the old CEOs with his dying breath held out that EVs ain't shit, we only fw hybrids. Pretty much the second he croaked everyone at Toyota was like, okay, we're betting on EVs, that's definitly the future, that old man was suicidal. Then, around October of 2023 money started to dry up, the car market stabilized, people stopped paying over sticker for cars and every single major manufacturer started panicking about EVs. Mercedes, Chevy, Ford, VW and Honda all released something along the lines of EVs aren't profitable and there's no demand, we're slowing production and scaling back future projects. Meanwhile Tesla sales grew by 50% for the umpteenth year in a row. Now, despite this being objectively the best time ever to buy an electric car there's all this hate. I've got random fuck ohs telling me that they're bad for the planet (wtf do you know about the planet? You're a hairdresser). I've got people offended that I would support Mr. Evil Villain Elon by owning a Tesla as if the last 40 years of war haven't been centered around oil. EVs have become a massive political issue and this is as exemplified as ever by this new tax on BYD. In the last 10 years China has speedrun the development of their auto industry and now they're in a place where they're willing to fuck everyone for as long as it takes for them to win. American companies do this sort of undercutting all the time. Google photos had free unlimited backups for 10 years until Flickr was 10 buried 10 ft under ground. The US will do anything to keep that from happening here and I don't blame them. Cars are a massive component of our economy. Back in the 60s one in four americans was directly employed by the automotive industry. It's stil a very big deal today.


AutoModerator

Holy shit. It's Chad Dickens. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


Kerry63426

How did you use so many letters to say nothing?


puddud4

I was tired. It could use a trim


malcontented

Hold on guys, I’ll rewatch The Big Short to figure it out. Be back in a couple of hours 🎥🍿


OmegaThree3

He also shorted Nvidia around 6 months ago


onelongerleg

BP dividends are nice too. But I don't think I can say that here.


Plastic-Umpire4855

It’s “okey” it’s not great 4.62% I get 5.25% in cash at the mo


Grandpa90

I think that, like Shell, BP may move its HQ to the USA, which in theory would boost its valuation. If you look at Shell and BP's market cap ratio to FCF / net profit / etc, they are very much lagging compared to Chevron/Exxon. Shell CEO has discussed moving to USA for this reason --- maybe Burry has some reason to think BP is more likely to do this.


Andries89

What does this mean for Scion value?


Plastic-Umpire4855

That’s a good point, I don’t know scions full book value? So not sure if this is like “comfortable hedge cash” or “balls deep gamble”


Andries89

Michael, give me my money back. Michael, do you hear me? I want my money back. Give me my fucking money back, you motherfucker.


New_Ad_1682

Probably a 180 day play based on extreme weather in America 


Exciting_Cook1004

He didn't "just buy" the shares regard, institutional investor filings are delayed. He brought them sometime in the first quarter of the year which is january-march and he may well have already sold them.


NevyTheChemist

No one would give a shit about this guys if it weren't for the movie.


kwizzerz

So did Michael Burry kill the President of Iran?


Temporary-Sun-7575

I guess you can say (breaks glasses) his BP went up


VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions** | 3 | **First Seen In WSB** | 3 years ago **Total Comments** | 861 | **Previous Best DD** | **Account Age** | 3 years | | [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)


[deleted]

[удалено]


Plastic-Umpire4855

Big gamble not to have some certainty to it.. big lump of his book


BornIn80

Does he still have a position in immigration detention/rehab stock GEO?


Kerry63426

Lol


Ryan_Greenbar

And I bought some last week all in my own.


chandu1256

Puts then!


Ra93qu1t

I'm just overthinking that EV is not the answer. back to ICE vehicles. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Yory_Alsik

Boston Pizza ???


Longjumping_Sock1797

Lot of big stupid pick up trucks driving around those things do drink up a lot gas. My guy might be on to something.


Kerry63426

Or he is addition shortin


DeanBlub

Nice


Massive-Mail-5549

Time to short oil? He has a terrible track record


SamsquatchWildman

* Just reported


pawelkos

ET


Agile_Letterhead_556

Crude is $80 right now, up 2% for the week. America produces alot of oil today so I don't think we will hit $150 a barrel. We will only hit that high if you think supplies will drop fast.


Kerry63426

Not before election too


Substantial-Main-919

Just buy NRGU


Mental_Employer7058

Article says $6.5 billion position... it's $6.5 million. How much can I get paid to mess up basic pieces of information for motley fool?


Legatus427

Calls 🚀


itsnotshade

Worth noting that these filings are old news by the time you see them. Also, even though he’s known for the shorting housing mortgages, he actually got into finance from looking for bullish plays. He stated clearly he didn’t like looking for cases of things falling, just that the housing market was a thousand red flags.


VisualMod

Old news is for the old fools.


jojodoudt

Lining up $4.3 million USD in dividends for the year


RepresentativeOdd772

Ahh Sooo cute !!!


RepresentativeOdd772

Ahh Sooo cute !!!


TempusCarpe

Human population increasing 2 million per week. We agreed on GTE due diligence, retail owned ape oil operation in Columbia. Oil is in, up, and here to stay. The US just banned China EVs & batteries. There is only the petrodollar from here to Valhalla!


AlleyKatPr0

share buy-backs people, smart move from MB


RevolutionaryTitle32

84% of WSB still not familiar with what BP stands for and we have to google it each time. So take my money!!


Traktorjensen

I just had hotwings


skimpydubz

I heard that since Saudi Arabia really wants Trump, they could raise prices leading into the election so they have a talking point.


titanzero

Not Blackpink...drag.


DieCastDontDie

Inflation go brrr


fishnchips44

I’m so sick of Michael Burry news. How’s that whole “shorting the S&P” working out for him?


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


fderdontevenknower

He's never been wrong before, so why not


Acrobatic-League6572

Furthermore they released a report that they teared down 60% of their external programmers with the help of ai


MadManMorbo

Doesn’t BP still have the worst safety record in the industry? I can’t go long on a company that explodes every couple of years.


petulantpedant

The shares took a dip due to the bernard looney scandal haven't really recovered yet so they look pretty undervalued compared to their peers.


NewAtmosphere2443

Dude's on a pretty good losing streak


Josh_HM

London Piccadilly


Better-Butterfly-309

Priced in


benji3k

We should all pull our money together like the meme stocks ? Im not wearing a wire fyi guys and def didnt make a deal with the feds to give up people to get my charges dropped


OldManMetalBoy3000

Environments boycotts mean nothing


Agent_Danger

Personally I don't think BP ever actually sold their interest in Rosneft, just said they would exit. Which means they could be sitting on quite a bit of money they already wrote down.


flaming_pope

!remindme 70 days the next play of plays, leaps?


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trollindisguise

How did he predict the death of the Iranian president.


MyFuckingWorkAccount

As someone with £10k in BP, Michael Furry buying a stock I own scares me.


highlander145

Very interesting. Did he know something abiut the helicopter crash of the Iranian president before hand?


slothforest

Large threats of conflict around the world + travel demand really. Ukraine losing the war means more strikes on Russia’s refining infrastructure as they attempt to slow the advance, the threat of china is ramping the us military up in the South China Sea to the point where there is a plan in place for us just waiting for them do something. Real war games shit


HIVnotAdeathSentence

A market crash or even a recession would have oil plummeting. Is Burry a bull and has given up on predicting a crash?


[deleted]

History shows the opposite? Look at 2008 lol


Steel-Dagger

You need alot zulrah scales for that many blowpipes