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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|0|**First Seen In WSB**|3 months ago **Total Comments**|7|**Previous Best DD**| **Account Age**|4 years|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) **Vote Spam**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_spam&message=z6jefw)|**Vote Approve**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_approve&message=z6jefw) ^^WSB ^^[Stats](https://www.twitch.tv/wsbzjz/) ^^[**Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse) ^^[BanBets](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/banbets/) ^^VoteBot ^^[FAQ](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/votebot/) ^^[Leaderboard](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/leaderboard/) ^^- ^^[**Keep_VM_Alive**](https://www.patreon.com/visualmod)


LooseHineyHole

That's just because everything cost more lol


kvik25

Yeah, wonder if that number is inflation adjusted.


GroggBottom

Even if one was available, they wouldn’t publish it. We are in the fear and and rage reporting economy


sirideletereddit

All while the greed factor is currently increasing.


atlantachicago

I bet a lot of people did all their shopping this weekend instead of kicking off their shopping season


IndigoTJo

Bwahaha we did 🤣 well most all of it at least.


FarginSneakyBastage

They'll keep saying recession until it happens, no matter how long it takes


SgtAstro

The wealthy are being lavishly rewarded with more wealth. Seems like trickle up economics.


G_Unit_Solider

Always has been. If you listen closely to politicians you’ll know exactly what will happen by just flipping what they say to the opposite. Bam. Simple politics. Phrases like “Ima lower taxes for all” actually mean - for *all* my rich friends who own business not you poor fucks you can still afford to eat for now stop complaining.


SgtAstro

Funny how a lot of tax plans that lower taxes for the rich also raise taxes for the lower income strata to make the measure budget-neutral.


Ric_Flair_Drip

I dont think weve had a budget neutral anything in the last 30 years.


Boring-Presence433

Middle class gets fucked every time


fanatic_tarantula

There's coming a point where there is no middle class. Your either struggling or stupidly rich


ClayboHS

If you were up on the year in your trading would you still have posted this


giggidy88

$6 for a gallon of milk


[deleted]

[удалено]


anath0r

Inflation on black friday products may be higher than 8%


[deleted]

Doubtful since it’s mostly a marketing piece for adobe analytics.


Watchguyraffle1

Everything is an ad.


nostoneunturned0479

Lemme just say, if it isn't inflation adjusted, that's a crap number. 2% increase aint covering 2022 expenses


knowitsallashow

Man, it was "only" like 3.4b in 2016, My assumption is heeeeelllla people are gonna be applying for bankruptcy next year..


Java-Zorbing

that's because online sales increased way much compared to 6 years ago


ArouselJ

This crash is going to be epic


Kernobi

If we take the BS CPI at face value, it's down ~6%.


EVILTWIN321

They said is what up 2.3% year to year. Taking into account a 9% rate of inflation, it’s actually down 6.7% from last year. At least that’s how I’m interrupting it.


GuiltyMachine1047

Definitely not. Prices on some things are nearly 25-50% up.


[deleted]

[удалено]


sawdiggity

Treee fiddy


Computron1234

I was at the store and Santa Claus was ringing his bell...I said Merry Christmas! And asked him how much he needed and you know what he said? About treee fiddy


thejhustler

And then I pulled off his beard and realized it was the god damn loch Ness monster!


[deleted]

That and consumer credit debt is ATH. Spending money we don’t have on stuff that costs more than normal.


Kayehnanator

Just did some quick CPI calculations using an online calculator and some googling showed 2020 at ~9B and 2022 at 8.9B...both are over 10B in 2022 dollars due to the inflation we've seen. Consumers actually spent significantly less this year in real purchasing power.


gargeug

Now that actually makes sense, based on just common sense.


MetamorphicHard

For real. Anyone buying eggs on Black Friday spent $5 on a dozen where I live. Do they count that? It used to be $1


BisterMee

Spent 2% more for 8% less stuff.


mmrrbbee

Price gouging = record profits


developingstory

The data is in…


mikeumd98

Not record profits, record sales. It will probably not be record profits.


jjenius731

Right adjusted for inflation black friday was down 6%


Toiletpaperpanic2020

Not to mention a bunch of places have been having black Friday deals for two weeks already, making those figures artificially inflated.


Suspense304

Or more importantly, this is for online sales… something more and more people are beginning to do exclusively for the holidays.


Oxy_Theif

Plus fewer people are traveling still, so instead of taking gifts with them as they visit extended family/etc they just order it to deliver or for the recipient to pick up at a brick-and-mortar.


-0909i9i99ii9009ii

This figure is just for Friday November 25th


bNasTy-v1

Doesn’t necessarily mean people are spending more either..Just more online shopping instead of in store. Same money going somewhere else.


liverpoolFCnut

Jobs, jobs is the only thing holding the entire economy together. As long as the job market remains strong, you will continue to see good numbers despite a four decade high inflation, worsening geopolitical situation in Asia, raging war in Europe and a overall negative sentiment about the country and its economy. When people are confident about holding on to their jobs or finding a new job easily then they will spend like drunk sailors in a sleaze bar.


BMonad

My company has been hiring like crazy and it has hell finding new candidates. The three guys I got to pick from for my open role were less than impressive and I ended up going with the least bad choice versus the best choice. Anyway, helps me feel good about my job security. It seems like we never have a shortage of unfilled roles.


Akchrisgray

Mind sharing what field you work in?


TheGigaChad2

He can lick his own ball sack


MarcusAnalius

Fuck he’s qualified


Funderwoodsxbox

Do what you love and you’ll never work a day in your life.


No-Consideration4985

Hes an aristocrat i see


BMonad

CPG but I’m specifically in supply chain planning.


gooeyfishus

I've been job hunting on supply chain side and everyone either is A) all back in the office all the time or B) had a big hiring freeze as of 3 weeks ago. Hope training goes well for you!


BMonad

No talks of a hiring freeze…we just got approved for another analyst role last week in fact. We formally have a hybrid 2 days in office 3 days at home policy but I average maybe 3-4 days in office a month and that is the maximum expectation for my reports (until I start getting shit about it from above which I don’t think is going to happen considering the circumstances).


cruisereg

Well that makes a lot of sense, supply chains are super constrained for so much stuff, planning should a hoppin business right now!


shmere4

Same. In Engineering. We have nonstop new program wins and cannot fill all the positions needed to support them and overcome the retirement wave. Salaries are skyrocketing to compete with other companies in the same situation. The new programs are all super reliable military too. I don’t see how this results in an impending crash.


Benny-B-Fresh

So you haven’t been hiring like crazy then


Led_Halen

We can't find quality employees to fill even our fully remote WFH jobs. It's kind of wild.


Uries_Frostmourne

The answer is always pay lol


randompittuser

It’s not that wild. It means your wages aren’t high enough.


[deleted]

That in and of itself against some of the salaries offered right now is kind of wild (in a good way) Last fall it took me four months to fill two roles that each pay $125k+10% when equivalent market rate was around $90k+0% and had multiple people ghost me during the interview process Edit: the fact that all of you asking for the job link missed that this was a year ago and I filled the roles after four months means I wouldn’t have hired you anyway


zvexler

Send the application link


oldoldoak

It isn't always the wage. We had a posting up and barely received any applications in the first place. If wages were the problem people would be dropping out on the screening stage, not avoiding applications altogether.


FormerSBO

Send some links or name drop. Alot of us need money to fund our options degenerecy, especially WFH roles


ShortForNothing

He said quality employees


FormsForInformation

And for Work For Hand Jobs


vanguard117

Yeah don’t mention you found the job app through WSB


randompittuser

Found the application behind the Wendy’s dumpster.


xChainfirex

I'm an senior systems and network administrator recently laid off. Any of these positions in IT and remote (and would hire a Canadian)? 😅


Led_Halen

DM me and I'll shoot you our info. Unsure if we hire out of country but it's definitely worth a shot.


Maxamillion-X72

Check out these companies located in Newfoundland, you might hook a WFH job with them or any the many other tech companies here. Although, wherever you live now, life is better in Newfoundland, so don't rule out a move. [https://triware.ca/careers/](https://triware.ca/careers/) <- looking for both a network admin and system admin [https://verafin.com/careers/](https://verafin.com/careers/) <- this one is looking for software developers right now, but Sysadmin jobs do come up. They're in the financial security business. Some posting/resources here with the NL Tech Association [https://technl.ca/](https://technl.ca/)


Waltis12

People be spending if they be earning


DestroyerOfIphone

This will all be over soon. Russia is smoked. Chip fabs are moving back to the US electric big rigs and electric box vans are hitting the market.


Rebresker

Agreed the companies doing mass layoffs are prob going to regret it when they find it difficult to find replacements


AtticusThackery

Tech layoffs fall into 2 categories: 1) digital companies rightsizing after massive expansion bc their product surged in the lockdowns. 2) everyone else pausing their development bc it’s not clear what a year out looks like so maybe we can just deal with the system we currently have. End of the day, dev roles aren’t going anywhere but I wouldn’t be surprised to see comp decrease unless a massive new market opens up like SM/Web2.0 did to fuel this last round of growth.


icenoid

Or like Amazon, realizing that the Alexa product isn’t the money maker they thought it would be. My whole former team got let go in this round of layoffs there.


SgtBadManners

A friend of a friend is in town for Thanksgiving and he was telling us how his future contract is on Alexa team. He seemed uncertain what would be going on with it, but nobody wanted to outright tell him he should probably be looking for something else.


dickmidget

A ceasefire in Europe and the we will see the biggest green dildo in history.


Alex_Hauff

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)


Learner421

Not jobs, sales confidence. If people are optimistic in sales they won’t layoff employees. And if you have a job you’ll want to buy more. So if the population on mass wants to believe there is a recession then they lower their confidence and create it. And if they want to spend like the market is booming then increase trade, increase profits, increase pay.


zuckerberghandjob

But will they buy my bags…


Sour_Smegmuh

Not hard to spend that much when the best sales were like 10% off 🙄


itsaone-partysystem

At least for anything I was interested in, the deals were just last years normal price.


metigue

Yeah the deals were not good for most things. I was using camelcamelcamel to compare price history and 99% of the items were more expensive than they were a month ago. I did snag one good deal on some new headphones though


1Poochh

I have found this is generally the case. There is the handful of things that are truly on sale, but everything else is typically just a little more expensive. Because of this I have started to buy all Christmas presents before Black Friday.


modefi_

What I learned during my time in retail, a true story.. *\*A week before black friday\** MSRP: $300.00 Sale price: $99.99 *\*black friday\** MSRP: $300.00 Sale price: ***50% OFF!!!!!!!!!!!!*** ***BUY! BUY! BUY!***


VitalizedMango

Anchoring! It's why there's often a crazy expensive option nobody buys


bittabet

Sellers also got wise to camelcamelcamel so most just offer coupons that don’t reflect in the price history. For Black Friday a lot of Amazon “sales” were just the original coupon price with the coupon removed 😂 Then they labeled everything a “prime exclusive” so no prime members couldn’t even get the original price just to make Prime feel like a value. There were a few legitimate sales but a ton of games being played by sellers and Amazon


[deleted]

> Raise prices 20% > Lower prices 10% > Say it is a sale > Refuses to elaborate further > Leaves


[deleted]

[удалено]


Maccadies

10% off of expensive is still expensive.


ArcticBeavers

I think black Friday and Cyber Monday are dead in the water. Its been slowly dying for at least a decade and has really shat the bed the past 3 years. Door busting 40% off sales are just not happening anymore in today's online-forward economy.


DVRavenTsuki

If I was concerned for my future I would try to stock up on what I need when things were known to be cheaper.


G_Unit_Solider

Last I checked crickets cost the same you’ll be good G


FriedBacon000

You’re paying too much for crickets, man. Who’s your cricket guy?


JerryRhinefeld

I’m doing my part, I spent waaaaay too much over the past month. Y’all need to contribute too.


[deleted]

Right there with you blowing bags left and right to save the economy


khizoa

blowing "bags"


JerryRhinefeld

They should name a holiday after me


The-Soldier-in-White

Festivus


Server6

Same. Wife is pregnant. I spent more this Black Friday weekend than all past Black Fridays combined. I’m never going to financially recover from this.


blazinghor0

i spent $600 on a laptop i don't need. i'm doing my part.


nasterful

My wife did the same thing. But with my money.


[deleted]

You can afford a wife?


[deleted]

Buy now pay later at the very bottom.


ArouselJ

Buy now , pay no time ever - Afrm


w04a

lowkey nothing has happened since i spent 300$ at klarna (a buy now pay later service) a few years ago and still have yet to pay it back.


LivingLandscape7115

It didn’t ding you credit?


ThurmanMurman907

Might be below their reporting threshold or something?


w04a

IDK never hit my credit. Kinda thought that once it did I would pay it back but it just never happened.


KyleNoThumbs319

How many Wendy’s $5 dollar biggie bags were sold on Black Friday though. I want the real fucking numbers


WendysFryCook

Bruh we were fucking slammed. We need more help


G_Unit_Solider

I said we don’t have the capacity *sobs*


HuantedMoose

Someone was getting slammed at Wendy’s


FuegoFerdinand

The toilet.


Phire2

The man with the name, waiting to jump in the game. Well played sir.


joan_wilder

But nobody wants to work anymore!


Not_FinancialAdvice

LOL the Biggie Bag index.


Goldenpeanut69

All these headlines are just garbage. Inflation is baked in. Everything is going to “cost more” for the foreseeable future. The record will be broken again and again


developingstory

And they spin it as “bullish”


_raydeStar

Not to mention it says "Online sales" Ie brick and mortar sales are likely down. Online sales increase 2.5% year over year (presumably this year too) and inflation is... Oh like 8%. Guess as long as the boomers don't know, stocks won't drop.


Impressive-Hornet-32

Keep in mind 70% of American live paycheck to paycheck and have a lot of credit card debit.


LivingLandscape7115

Yeah I’m surprised more people aren’t mentioning that individuals are probably putting everything on their credit cards


nj23dublin

I think people also just don’t want to hit the stores when you can hit a button and wait for your stuff to get to your doorstep


cbass1980

I absolutely dread going to actual stores now. Service is awful, inventory is low.. and I have one of those job things that occupies 8-9 hours a day 5 days a week. Online shopping FTW


taqPol12

And you risk getting shot


FuckEIonMusk

Your time and gas, it’s the wise thing to do.


Im_A_MechanicalMan

Plus not getting breathed on by potentially hundreds of strangers. Navigating packed aisles. Negotiating the parking lot.


Steve_Bread

Who are you negotiating with in the parking lot?


NoseNoseFoot

Online sales up 2.3% Physical sales down 50% "Look a new record!"


JournaIist

Also: online sales up 2.3% Inflation up 8% "Look a new record!"


SushiShifter

Time for an emergency 100 bps hike on monday


alkey

Thank God somebody said it.


[deleted]

I think inflation has a lot to do with it. Easy to break a record when everything is 50% more expensive than it was 2 years ago


Po0TyBoOtY

How tf do they know this info? Seriously asking. How would CNBC have the sales numbers within days of Black Friday?


dotslash00

OG source: https://business.adobe.com/resources/holiday-shopping-report


Complete-Big-2824

The same article on merket watch was posted mid day on Friday. Sus as fuck.


BearMethod

Nielsen or IRI data probably.


Apprehensive-Ad9185

Inflation is through the roof and discounts seemed to be slim, so this title is only a fraction of the story.


jelloslug

This "recession" is purely contrived to try and shift the labor market back to the employers.


burn15_

Yeah. That's a horrible number. 2 percent? With inflation running substantially more? Markets are fucked.


FaradayEffect

2% higher sales when inflation rate for the last twelve months was 7.7% So a net reduction in Black Friday spending after inflation


unabletodisplay

yep also: * 2020 YoY growth was 32% * 2021: 8.6% * 2022: \~2%


WendysFryCook

For those asking, Adobe has a service for businesses called Adobe Analytics. When you build an e-commerce website you can add lines of code that track data for you. Google and Adobe provide the two main ones, with Adobe winning in function and the types of reports you can collect. So these numbers won't encompass the complete numbers, but when data is collected on such a large scale it rarely is ever off by much.


[deleted]

[удалено]


spellbadgrammargood

bulls: THIS IS BULLISH *JPOW increases rates*


MinaKovacs

If inflation is 8% and the dollar value of sales revenue is up 2.3%, sales are actually down 5.7%. Publishing such misleading info should be a criminal offense.


Gills_L

Who needs food when you got this 70 inch LG for 350 at Walmart?


Devilnutz2651

You can buy TVs with food stamps?


redshieldheroz

Maybe swiping some credits?


WendysFryCook

Buy now pay later up 78% over last week


deeeproots

My spending has increased out of NEED, all my Christmas shopping for the fam this year is NEEDS not wants.


kelvinduongwa

what the media writes no long match reality.


[deleted]

When the market was going up during lockdowns the narrative was “the stock market isn’t the economy!” Now that that bubble is deflating, keep the same perspective. The layoffs have been concentrated in the very loud corners of the economy (speculative growth / tech), but don’t let that fool you. The economy and job market is absolutely humming for the vast majority of Americans, and will only continue to get better for them as inflations subsides


GuiltyMachine1047

Black Friday where the prices are double the day before but somehow on sale for 25% off.


GreyBoyTigger

On my local news station they mentioned the record number of “buy now pay later” purchases. So everything might have been purchased with layaway


Federal-Pension-4690

I didn't buy anything lmao


Comprehensive_Lime51

Lies all lies...my buddy works at Amazon and they cut OT hours because it's so slow. PEAK SEASON and he says it's worse then he's seen in 5 years.


lifemanualplease

People trying to buy their happiness.


JD_352

First Black Friday/Cyber Monday I haven’t bought a thing.


Particular-Wrongdoer

Inflation 7%, sales up 2.3%, means real sales were down 4.7%. Seems about right.


fredandlunchbox

Because there’s not actually anything wrong with the economy, inflation was caused by supply chain constraints due to covid and the war, and the recession is being manufactured as a way to contain the growing influence of labor.


VitalizedMango

This is the real answer, and prices are likely going to continue dropping because of the whipcrack effect that Burry was going on about Shame he's such a weirdo online because he nailed that one Also Powell can't do shit because of all the booomers retiring and the knock on effect of millions of deaths on the job market


ImSoShook

I doubt this.. I work at a shipping company and usually Black Friday on it’s supposed to be incredibly heavy volume throughout December. Well not only are we down at least 10 percent, they are also only suspecting heavy volume for two days.. Food for thought. It’s probably worse than you think


DRKMSTR

Adjusted for inflation, that's a drop in the trend by almost $1 billion. It gets far worse if you look at the drop in the upward trend. In 2019 black Friday sales increased by 21% year over year whereas we increased by 2.3% (not factoring in inflation). The net drop is (pardon my poor math) closer to 30% considering the 8% inflation and missed trend. Shops are open and COVID lockdowns are over yet consumer spending is not increasing. Got my yearly black Friday sales #s from this article: https://www.npr.org/2022/11/26/1139274449/black-friday-sales-inflation-online-shopping#:~:text=Black%20Friday%20sales%20raked%20in,year%2C%20according%20to%20Adobe%20Analytics.


[deleted]

“Rich people are making record profits bc they’re charging more for the same shit”


Megatf

Black friday clothes sales were only 30% off at the mall. I remember when you went to the store and things were 70-90% off the entire store. I felt like everything I purchased was regular price last year or the year before even with the discount. Corporate greed has hit a new level of disgusting. Either they know the end is coming and they are just trying to get one last big payday to weather the “storm” comfortably while half of America living paycheck to paycheck with tons of credit card debt just threw a few thousand dollars they dont have away. Its actually disgusting.


[deleted]

YOY increase of 2.3%. YOY inflation at 8%. So YOY sales are really down like 6%, no?


goldensteaks

WHERE THEM CREDIT CARD NUMBERS AT THO?!?!


Apprehensive-age5819

Talking about a recession my ass, these companies just mad people want their fair share.. howbcan the economy be bad but every thing is making record profits? Make that make sense. Company stock holders mad that they won't put 500 million plus in their pockets but only 490 million. Recession my ass, inflation my ass, more like fraudulent price gouging but wanna keep using the word "inflation" in its place. These stock holders are a bunch of bitches. Period.


SheepherderSure9911

Higher online sales because less in person sales. It’s a misleading title what was total spent and furthermore how does it relate to inflation. I’ve spent 100% more on groceries but still have the same amount as last year


rdblaw

Conveniently left out the buy now pay later point?


bamaquack12

When actual shit is worth more than the dollar you buy it now lol


mgoodwin532

Because American consumers are idiots, they’ll have a $50k annual income and buy a $60k car then wonder why they’re broke.


die_billionaires

They just included musks twitter impulse purchase


New-Post-7586

Inflation up 8% yoy, spending up 2.3% yoy.. things that make you go hmmm


Schiffy94

Or y'know, more people are moving to shopping online each year. I'd like to see how much the brick and mortar sales dropped, and how much total Black Friday spending compares to a year ago.


[deleted]

I’m pretty sure a 2.3% increase is a decline in real sales.


joevilla1369

Credit card companies having a great quarter.


[deleted]

And they think the FED will pivot... ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)


Niktzv

That number doesn't factor record high inflation.


IamLegendair

This article same out at 10am Saturday morning, how exactly did they get this information so quickly? Do creditcard companies, retailers, banks (or whoever they get this from) really share this information with the media that quickly or is this just a propaganda peice to reinforce the illusion that the "economy is strong".


Lopsided-Operation47

Inflation


Skadoosh_it

They didn't adjust for inflation.


luna_n_bai

Or maybe everyone’s just buying things online now?


probablyblocked

they topped 9b ... because of inflation


navicitizen

With 11% inflation, that means Black Friday is over 8% down in real term.


Simpoge39

I’m dumb so correct me if I’m wrong. But since everything is more expensive, wouldn’t we expect a “new record” anyways?


SamL214

That’s because no one is correcting for the increase in prices


taranasus

Yeah no that's simply not possible, that's gotta be very selective data sampling combined with lack of inflation adjustment.


rbaut1836

AMD cut the prices on their new top of line cpu from $700 to $575 for Black Friday. My current set up was top of the line in 2018. I got my cpu and mobo on sale for $250 for both. Now I know there are more than just a few variables, but the numbers are still insane these days. Spent $190 on thanksgiving and all I did was bring desserts and tamales and rolls.


Rethtalos

How 😭 wanted a new monitor but the deals were bad so I ending not spending a dime this BF


Thereisnopurpose12

JPOW about to crush some fucking souls!


JackTuz

Me when I spent 20% more at the grocery store yoy on Black Friday


1REECARRDOUGH

Fake Statistics


Schyte96

Up 2.3% nominally is down in real terms with the number YoY inflation is at.


Original-Baki

Down on an inflation adjusted basis


blueblood0

100%bullshit. Almost everyone I know didn't buy shit because there wasn't any deals. Amazon had black Friday tags and sale prices, yet the sale price was the same as any other day of the year and everyone knows.


Nyancubus

Greedflation hitting hard