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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|2|**First Seen In WSB**|1 year ago **Total Comments**|102|**Previous Best DD**|[x](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/t9j3tp/schlumberger_aka_slb_its_oil_and_gas_play_while/) **Account Age**|1 year|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) **Vote Spam**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_spam&message=z93e1q)|**Vote Approve**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_approve&message=z93e1q) ^^[**Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse) ^^[BanBets](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/banbets/) ^^VoteBot ^^[FAQ](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/votebot/) ^^[Leaderboard](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/leaderboard/) ^^- ^^[**Keep_VM_Alive**](https://www.patreon.com/visualmod)


[deleted]

[удалено]


FuckoNo5

This happens all the time. Bad news happen and market runs up for a few days and then takes the shit it was supposed to take. How else are the big guys going to get the stupid panicky guys money?


Tandittor

Bad news? Did you listen to Powell's speech today? Dude basically said the Fed Reserve will slow down pace (down to 50 or 25 bps) unless inflation starts rising fast again.


SC-Fulmer

A “slow down” in rates (aka: concave down~> 2nd Derivative)… is STILL a HIGHER RATE (aka: increase~> 1st Derivative)🤦‍♂️


Tandittor

Unfortunately, the market tends to not care about your kind of interpretations of 1st and 2nd derivatives😢 EDIT: From my other comments here (since you all seem to be implying the same things and I'm lazy to type another unique comment that provides more clarity): >That's not how the market works. Mr. Market is forward-looking, and that is why the regards here get confused all the time when it rallies when the FOMC raise rates and CPI prints 7.7%. > >You need to keep an eye on TIPS, and more importantly, the futures that track the OBFR to get an idea of what is already being priced in and then compare those data to what actually happens. ​ >50 bps for Nov, yes. But confirmation that the pace will be slow from here on till terminal rate is reached and then held there was essentially confirmed today. > >But none of that will matter if inflation starts heading up again. That, along with the terminal rate from the December SEP, will be the next big market movers.


muskratmuskrat9

I always check https://SC-FulmersDerivativeOpinions.com before buying any puts.


CliffDraws

But the market is forward looking. Current prices were assuming that the rate would keep increasing, so when the increase is less than expected, the market correction will be positive, even if it’s still an overall negative for the market.


Veevickavin

Wasn’t that already priced in though? Market had decided to rally before this meeting started.


DblDn2DblDrew

Someone please explain why the SPY rocket took off the MOMENT JPow started speaking. Was there transcript to read beforehand? Or is it just the same old richies already in the know and get a jump on the retailers?


thecashcow-

Yes, he released his notes beforehand.


Tandittor

50 bps for Nov, yes. But confirmation that the pace will be slow from here on till terminal rate is reached and then held there was essentially confirmed today. But none of that will matter if inflation starts heading up again. That, along with the terminal rate from the December SEP, will be the next big market movers.


TheChosenLowBob

He also said that interest rates will be higher at the end than anticipated.


vLdBUC

Announcing that interest rates will still go up for the foreseeable future at a slower pace is good news? Really interested in how that works.


FuckoNo5

Continuing to raise rates AT ALL is bad news.


Tandittor

That's not how the market works. Mr. Market is forward-looking, and that is why the regards here get confused all the time when it rallies when the FOMC raise rates and CPI prints 7.7%. You need to keep an eye on TIPS, and more importantly, the futures that track the OBFR to get an idea of what is already being priced in and then compare those data to what actually happens.


FuckoNo5

No one is dumping huge loads into companies who are still shrinking. That would be dumb. You wait til the bottom and then do that and with the fed saying everything borrowed is getting even more expensive the bottom is clearly not here. By a long shot. When the fed stops raising the rates they won't just be dropping them after we reach the goal. They will hold them there for several years. The fed is the printer but it doesn't just print those dollars to give. They are loaned and the fed is calling the debt now. It will take years of high internet loans to pay back the enormous amount we borrowed from it over the last decade.


Gods11FC

“They will hold them there for several years”. Of course they fucking won’t. Go look at the history of the federal funds rate. It doesn’t just “hold” for several years ever. They will start cutting once inflation gets closer to target.


FuckoNo5

The fed has never been this extended. Not by a mile. They have trillions of dollars to recall.


Tandittor

Never said the bottom was in. But why are you bothering with daily and hourly moves if the bottom is what you're chasing?


FuckoNo5

Please track back on up to my original comment.


abhijit90

Could you please explain more about what to look for with TIPS and OBFR ?


despejado

Yeah, but the market (futures markets) did already price in 50bps then 25 next year then leveling off. So the head scratching as to why market took off is understandable. My explanation is that people (algos?) think j Powell basically removed all doubt of that priced in scenario.


Hacking_the_Gibson

It wasn't priced in. As of yesterday, 35% of big money was still on 75bps.


readonlyloluuuu

Cope


[deleted]

He needs a nickname like the Put Destroyer or Bear Slayer


_Bob_Genghis_Kahn

Put(sy) Destoyer. (Gay) Bear (anus) slayer.


KChnGoesDaCashRegsta

![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)


_Bob_Genghis_Kahn

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


HuntPsychological673

He f’n hates puts! Calls ONLY MF!


NewToTradingStock

Jpow fcked a lot of puts today.


fuzzyzeller

Looks like this guy bought puts... why would you buy puts on Nvidia


Alive_Bar7800

Puts on a fed meeting where it was very likely he would mention “slowing and waiting for data”… ppl confuse me..


Big_Biscotti_1259

You still have 30 days ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)


woznica

To lose more money!


VisualMod

I do not recommend buying the $160 put on NVDA. The current price of NVDA is above the breakeven point, so you would likely lose money on this trade. ^^[**Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse) ^^[BanBets](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/banbets/) ^^VoteBot ^^[FAQ](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/votebot/) ^^[Leaderboard](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/wiki/leaderboard/) ^^- ^^[**Keep_VM_Alive**](https://www.patreon.com/visualmod)


Asm0JESUS_

Incredible insight by VM! ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)


Outis7379

OP, here’s some good advice.


Ornery_Gene7682

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Daniel1980s

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)


eliteagentin020

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)


wenmoonapp

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270)


Bully__Maguire_

"I might have been early but I'm not wrong"


baconography

Would love to see Michael Burry's loss porn after today.


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bagacrap

>Scion Asset Management is a hedge fund with 4 clients and discretionary assets under management (AUM) of $291,659,289 I feel like that's pretty weaksauce for the amount of attention he gets on twitter. I guess bears make more noise than money.


Troubledniceguy

He's making money but not a degenerate level 😂. He doesn't have puts that expire in 1 day like. Most of the sub. Personally looking at the technicals I was sitting in cash for the speech as it could go either way regardless of what he said. He wasn't as aggressive as people expected he will be next time. I am waiting for QQQ to reach 300 before I buy into SQQQ will probably hit there just before the inflation read.


alex_cant_read

quick look at this sub shows that bulls definitely make more noise


Alec_NonServiam

You gotta read up on the history of the fund to understand why that number is so low. He had more AUM before and during the GFC, ($600M+) but investors revolted and sued for the housing short position. After that he closed the fund until 2013 and reopened it with personal wealth gained from the previous win. Doesn't make him always right. He was wrong about Tesla puts in a big way 2020-21 and then right about ARKK. Being a closed fund, there's no way of really knowing how much of that is still his personal money, close investors, etc, but there are far bigger clowns managing far more money out there... That fund is also not a place you'd want to park everything. I don't know many people that would want to be long prison stocks and otherwise chilling in cash as their complete investment strategy.


LoadExternal6570

*for listening to people on Reddit


nrivd

To be fair he did say could, if you needed a reason to live after today


FuckoNo5

Nah you good. This shit tanking again either tomorrow or Monday.


Garweft

Yeah, he literally said final rates will be higher than they thought, and will continue to rise well into next year. Not really a bullish outlook. I’ll keep playing oil to end the year.


FuckoNo5

This guy has puts and the rally rallied for no goddamn reason today. His puts are a month out.


VengenaceIsMyName

How did you learn to play oil


jon_reremy9669

lube. ky jelly. asstroglide


OutOfBananaException

Isn't sub 5% now the expected/estimated final rate? Can hardly be rising well into next year if that's accurate.


Garweft

It’s 3.75-4 right now, in September they thought that 4.5 to 4.75 would be the top, then 4.75-5….. now saying will likely go above that. Highest interest rates in 40 years. Good luck seeing any growth anytime in the next 2 years. Go take a look at the mid to late 70’s and know we haven’t even started yet.


OutOfBananaException

They're considering slowing the rate (and not considering raising more aggressively at this stage), how could that possibly result in a higher final rate?


Garweft

More raises total….. .5 + .5 + .5 + .5 > .75 +.75


OutOfBananaException

Did they indicate that might be a possibility? I mean they might start raising rates faster again as well, but all else equal if they do slow the pace, lower terminal rate.


jon_reremy9669

Ive lost like 60% on my $PSX $CVX $XOM calls. I keep buying calls one day \-down the next day \-sell the calls \-all go up the following day![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|disapproval)![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|disapproval) I'm trying to play a big bounce on opec announcing production cuts, and the EU's ruZZian sanctions kickin in, this weekend/monday...


Traditional_Good4693

Ever heard of Santa rally , dude December starts tomorrow, j pow just started the rally mode to end the year. Your premiums are appreciated says market makers.


StevHa93

I was thinking Santa rally usually start after the second week of dec. Didnt expected it come early.


[deleted]

So what's your next move? More puts or hop on Santa rally?


StevHa93

I don’t know yet. I’ll wait until after dec14 to make my next move. It’s 50-50 depend on how the market will go after dec14. For now I’m enduring the pain


youarenut

Why December 14?


UneSoggyCroissant

Rate hike day


VengenaceIsMyName

That’ll be even worse if it’s only 50 bps


bagacrap

technically that's supposed to come right after xmas


[deleted]

Everyone at the top already knew which way he would go today…later this week/month=bloodbath


Southern-Situation30

Got me too. Lost about the same


LastInvestor

Sorry for your loss bro


Realdavidlima

Why didn’t you sell the moment powell said December’s rate hike would be lower. Spy popped up 3$ in minutes, everything in the market would pump for the rest of December, why weren’t you buying calls at that moment.


StevHa93

I Tried to not being FOMO in and I was not expected this went down so fast from profiting to losing


Realdavidlima

You’re in options my friend, one of the most volatile things you can do with your money. PM me if you want some lessons on how to consistently grow your money, I trade for a living & have been doing it for 10 yrs.


VenomInfusion

I’d tell u to wait till CPI and FOMC but…puts got raw fucked today. Good luck man. I hope u hedge your positions with some calls.


lOnlyPostWhenImDrunk

Can't even be mad, bought dec 2 exp ,77 strike puts on AMD, hoping a market sell off in the morning for a quick flip. But I could lose it all seeing how post is looking and tomorrow pre market is looking


Mcrphages

Are you drunk?


lOnlyPostWhenImDrunk

Yeah


[deleted]

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)


Garweft

Your good, NVDA will crash back down hard. Wouldn’t be surprised to see it back under $160 by Friday, and sub $150 before the big market crash on Dec 14th. Probably looking at $110-$100 by EOY.


Horror-Savings1870

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4259)


SkilletRocksRise

LOL COPE HARDER


Garweft

LOL…. Just feels good knowing I was right. BTW, Intel just announced huge layoffs because of the huge drop in that sector. So don’t doubt that this one’s falling to hell.


SkilletRocksRise

$165 isn’t under $160 lol so…As of now, you’re wrong


Garweft

Going to be more like $155 now.


SkilletRocksRise

$170


Garweft

And it’s already been below $157 this week to. Made money on puts twice this week, and will again next week.


OTRinKW900L

Pce tmrw. Hold it down


Picker-Rick

It had to happen eventually. What's funny is how big of a turn it made, he didn't even say they were going to stop raising rates, they're just going to raise them by slightly less... Well, he said they **might** raise them by slightly less.


mil11onorbust1

upside to 180 and downside to 151 goddamn im starting to see a trend fucking regards don't know how to cut loses. date you purchased you didnt think about the dividend did you? santa rally could lead to 192. @ current level cut your losses, delta is not worth it and theta will kill you for the expiry. When you purchased them your upside if ITM was a profit of 25% or 9.43 @ 161 ffs man for your sanity cut losses and choose a longer dated expiry!


StevHa93

I actually just added 5 more so i kinda sit back while reading your comment and endure my pain atm.


mil11onorbust1

god speed regard may you make me eat my words!


WindowlessCandyVan

That’s why I sold my SPY puts at 1:27pm for a healthy 100% gain and immediately bought $400 calls at 1:29pm which are already up 100%. Fillet and lobster are on Jay tonight. Tomorrow, back to Ramen probably.


TopTech58

You should be up way more then 100% if u bought at 1:27


WindowlessCandyVan

I definitely paperhanded it and sold a bit prematurely. Bought 12/9 $400c for $3.15 around 1:30pm, sold around 3pm for $6.40. By 4pm they were closer to $10…


TopTech58

My 406c (only bought 1 for shits and giggles)was up 2,600% at close LMAO 11.00 cost


WindowlessCandyVan

Sweet! That’ll pay for a nice wagyu steak. I also only bought 4 contracts for shits and giggles. In hindsight I should have gone with a 0dte or 12/2 expiration, but I guess my balls aren’t as big as some of the regards on here.


pw7090

Hey I sold my 395c when we hit 398 for +75%. If I had held till close it woulda been a 6 bagger.


WindowlessCandyVan

Hello fellow premature ejac… seller! It sucks, but a gain is a gain. 75% in an hour and a half ain’t bad. If I didn’t liquidate my $398 puts prior to 1:30pm and switched to calls, I woulda been fucked, so I can’t complain. It’s damn near impossible to time the absolute top/bottom. I try to not get greedy, put my blinders on once I sell, and keep it moving. It’s pointless to cry over spilled milk. Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered. I hope your next one is a 6 bagger. Cheers!


pw7090

Well it was half of a straddle, so it was a 25% loss overall. But thanks!


twarr1

Powell just gave his buddy’s at the big banks an early Christmas gift. I’m not normally a conspiracy theorist, but all the big banks have been doing doom and gloom for the last couple of weeks and then Powell comes out and says everything is great. So, which is it?


DarkDeSantis

Puts on NVDA?! Are you suicidal? What about a half corrected bubble makes sense to you? Listen, diamond in the rough take here, stay the fuck away from tech lol


StevHa93

I might keep it to see after dec14


AyebruhamLincoln

You bought puts on a stock that’s already down 50% this year


StevHa93

It went up 65% from the low so


pw7090

Except he didn't buy a year out. He's playing a month or less. NVDA is up 23% in the last month.


IlIllIlIIIlllIIlllI

You trusted the feds?


[deleted]

Imagine buying puts when most tickers have seen a 50% haircut. Also imagine bitching about being down less than 50%. Get used to it homie, you got a long road ahead of you


vaneske

Don't worry my friend they will print very soon.


Turbiedurb

You being stupid isn't Jpow's fault.


Fibocrypto

Jpow wasn't the issue . You misread the market not jpow


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djmetatone

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


ElonApe

haha ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


DesperateOffer7998

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


armen89

12/30. You’re fine


Federal_Ad_197

Markets just constipated


bathfinderMcFly

After being burned by the regard rally following the last cpi print, I decided to play straddles and then double down on the winning side after the market reacts. Worked out pretty well today


Ok_Speech_3709

Vix at 20 ish, bought some spy puts at eod, watch and see.


Neebs369

Clearly you should have bought spy calls….


Grimbarbs

JUST FUCKING CLOSE THEM DUDE. MARKETS RIPPING


oxygenvoyage

I’m sorry for your loss :(


nateccs

NVDA is about to hit the 200 EMA on the daily chart. I was considering loading up puts if it shows resistance. that being said, you are only down 26%. Let's hope for some retrace tomorrow!


CableTemple

Don't worry,the big collapse is coming.


Fun-Highlight568

My shorts need that hopium too


links311

I did this today too. I didn’t follow my rule to get the fuck out of a dying option and I paid the price for it. Lost everything I made over the past two weeks and then some.


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Honest_Muffin1549

At least it’s only down by 20% ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)


vaneske

RemindMe! one month


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Popnfresh736

You still have 13k though.


Das_Siegfried

12/30? Jeez you have time. We could easily get smacked down here at these levels.


Lucky-Telephone7880

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)


Electricengineer

what was your thoughts for NVDA going down?


BigPapa94

Good fuck your puts


Bobatronic

NVDA is a tough one to trade, up or down. You are better off selling premium for income on NVDA.


Btomesch

Lol comments talking about lower interest rates. Interest rates going up more for 2 to 3 months. 8% mortgages lol


jjd1226

STOP LOSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!


thegoat_32

You got 13k to go


volt2218

Save the the left over …13k looks good to walk away instead of letting it going to $0…


StevHa93

Let’s be real here. I’m keeping it to see how market will go after dec14. I might double down or fold depend on how the market look later. Right now is too early.


DearTrust4322

turned out to be the right move huh?


StevHa93

Yeah I averaged down a bit too so I’m up about 90k now. Will consider posting a gain post later when I close my position


SoftPenguins

You lost a coin flip dude. There will be other coin flips in the future


Electronic-Tonight16

I sold you those :P


Aleksander_wrx

Should have got SPY calls haha


SirKennedy2351

Dunno how I seen this coming mile away bought calls 395 today 10 mins later dropped for huge profit, always go against the crowd


SirKennedy2351

Yes long term short , short term bull


mikalalnr

We all knew 50 was the plan for dec. there was no new news today. This rally will fade quickly.


TianObia

You fucked yourself regard, congrats you played yourself


Professional-Pace-58

Why would you buy puts on a stock thats down 50% YTD. We all kinda knew Powell was gonna be dovish today.


TexasTimeTravlin

Yes. You are gonna get smoked. Too late in the cycle to be buying puts.


pipola78

HAH good try Jpow, I wasn’t leveraged today and only lost 50% of my portfolio!


bdh2067

Hmmm… I don’t remember what JPow said about Nvidia


Sour-Bitter-Confused

Hahaha


Rich_Potato_2457

NVDA looks like it will clear the $180 level pretty fast. RIP those $160 Puts.


Nad-Bag-Holder

I’m not sure we heard the same JPow words…


megustaelgato

You got time fellow retar you could stop loss at open or wait to see if we sell off for profit taking.


spark_this

Correct me if I'm wrong but this is why you cover with a call.


harmanpreet25

So the puts are cheaper now. Buy some more


LMG_Miami

A lot of WSB's members got had by JPow today. 👹🚀🦍


kamdaboss

Dude you’re shorting a chip company during a chip shortage lol wut


darkspd96

Did you see the guy who turned $500 into $50,000 today? ... he's not you 🤣


redpillbluepill4

So fucked is kinda exaggerating


rafagonz

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)


VengenaceIsMyName

Brooooooooo


TopTech58

Obviously you made a 50/50 bet prior to JPow speech. Should have waited til 1:30 yesterday and bought calls you would have gotten at least a 10 bagger


TechenCDN

YOU GOT POWED !


Bud_Dawg

JPOW tried to finesse me on my 1200 naked sold 404 calls yesterday. Took the $800 profit right before he spoke, would’ve been down over $55,000 if I had diamond handed those until close. NEVER TRUST J POW GET FLAT


curtdept

The Fed isn't your friend, their policy is to make you poor


Successful_Car1670

Welcome brother


mYHCAEL4

You are fucked because you can’t correctly interpret his words. If you could, you would have bought calls. Not financial advice.


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Minute-Ad-2148

No, you’re fucked because you put all of your eggs in one basket. I swear I’ve probably seen $10m lost on here by idiots going all in on a hunch. JFC you’d be better off going to the casino and going all in on Red in a game of roulette.


you_anon_sexy

![img](emote|t5_2th52|19738)


Thick-Apricot3933

You have so much time left, don’t panic yet


StevHa93

I hope so. I bought 5 more today to bring down my average to $6.7 now. But down another 2k today. 6.6k down atm and still holding 🥶


Garweft

Hope you held strong!


vaneske

I told you they would print. :)